COIN moment of truth COIN managed a nice pop on its somewhat odd news if a partnership with Blackrock. But let’s be honest, if it doesn’t gain earnings momentum and take the overhead resistance it will find itself back below $80 in a hurry. Lots of overhead supply and weakening fundamentals are a dangerous combination in this market.
Earnings
NVAX… once a loser always a loserthe inability of NVAX to properly capitalize on the covid vaccine is a sign of a poorly managed company. was the rise from near penny status exceptional? of course. was the following wealth destruction of epic proportions? sure was.
endless upset longs continue to exit as all good news acts as a selling event. this will be a ride back to single digits for a company who, pre-covid, could not get a single ball across the goal line.
TSLA IN 4H dear traders and investors tesla still on bearish trend on daily but we see this jump means correction and we have a trend line bearish since 21 april and we see this breakout came with impulsive and huge volume that means investors are intrestiong in selling tesla next week take this positon and hit your target at 800.00
Review Update: $ELAReview Update: $ELA
5/5 ⭐️
In Feb 2022 at $4.10/share, I said this stock was a GREAT buy. Now it’s at $7.52/share. Even in this market! Great company, still growing rapidly Y/Y.
-Shared from PersonaFi iOS App
“See what the best traders, backed by their linked portfolios, are buying and selling in real-time.”
Review Update: $TWLOReview Update: $TWLO
2/5 ⭐️
In Feb 2022 at $202/share, I said this stock was a bad buy. Now it’s at $98/share. Good revenue growth, but their net income/EPS are atrocious. Not a good time for this one
-Shared from PersonaFi
“See what the best traders, backed by portfolio performance, are buying and selling in real-time.”
Break-Even Point Calculation
Break-Even Point (BEP)
1. The break-even point is the point at which total cost and total revenue are equal.
2. Meaning, there is no loss or gain.
3. Potential investors in a business not only want to know the return to expect on their investments but also the point when they will realize this return.
Calculating the Breakeven Point (BEP)
1. Current Total Investment = (1*BTC@49348.17) + (2*BTC@39342.32) + (4*BTC@21117.39) + (8*BTC@10357.35) = 295361.17
2. Breakeven Point = Current Total Investment / (Total Number of BTC) = 295361.17 / 15 = 19690.74
Martingale Strategy
Martingale Strategy
1. The Martingale Strategy is a strategy of investing or betting introduced by French mathematician Paul Pierre Levy.
2. It is considered a risky method of investing.
3. It is based on the theory of increasing the amount allocated for investments, even if its value is falling, in expectation of a future increase.
4. When the Martingale Strategy is used in trading, the trader must double the position size when faced with a loss.
5. The Martingale system is a methodology to amplify the chance of recovering from losing streaks.
6. The amount spent on trading can reach huge proportions after just a few transactions.
7. If the trader runs out of funds and exits the trade while using the strategy, the losses faced can be disastrous.
8. The risk-to-reward ratio of the Martingale Strategy is not reasonable.
Calculating the Breakeven Point (BEP)
1. Current Total Investment = (1*BTC@49348.17) + (2*BTC@39342.32) + (4*BTC@21117.39) = 212502.25
2. Breakeven Point = Current Total Investment / (Total Number of BTC) = 212502.25 / 7 = 30357.48
$HDSN Review: 5/5 ⭐️In 11 months, I’ve turned $680 into $1660 with this stock so far. I think this stock is still incredible & I am holding because it has these factors:
REVENUE GROWTH: ✅
NET INCOME GROWTH: ✅
EPS GROWTH: ✅
SMALL CAP: ✅
NO LARGE EXTERNAL FACTOR? ✅
Join my “Long-Term Stock/Crypto” group chat if you want to discuss more about my current rating of this stock. Too much to post here
-Shared from PersonaFi iOS App
“See what the best traders, backed by portfolio performance, are buying and selling in real-time.”
Paypal pumpWith positive Earnings Payapl is already + 10% in after-hours breaking the 92.57 resistance...the retest of this line turned support could be a good entry for a long ap around the 120 $ where there's strong resistance from the 200 MA as well. I would take some profit if you are a trader and not an investor, Also the structure from April till now seems like a bottom to me.
Stellantis: combine the short and the long-term strategy!STLA:
The company is huge!
It's french-american and combines PSA (Peugeot, Citroen), Fiat, DS Automobiles, Chrysler with Jeep, Dodge, and many many others.
This company has a great future if the next generation products will arrive. Electrification will boost revenue and margins.
Short it the next weeks, you will see a correction based on no current model issues and probably less demand in China as well as supply chain issues.
But don't miss the right moment to invest after this correction ended.
- Owner earnings are >20% of current price => the company is cheap.
- Quick ratio = 0.98
- Current ratio = 1.15
- Cash change +8.5
- ROE = 0.254
- EPS 4,71
- No stock compensation -> very good value sign
- P/E = 2.8
The stock is cheap and undervalued.
THE MOST IMPORTANT FOREX FUNDAMENTALS 📰
Hey traders,
Even though I am a pure technician and I rely only on technical analysis when I trade, we can not deny the fact that fundamentals are the main driver of the financial markets.
In this post, we will discuss the most important fundamentals that affect forex market.
📍Unemployment rate.
Unemployment rate reflects the percentage of people without a job in a selected country or region.
Rising unemployment rate usually signifies an unhealthy state of the economy and negatively affects the currency strength.
📍Housing prices.
Housing prices reflect people's demand for housing. Rising rate reflects a healthy state of the economy, strengthening purchasing power of the individuals and their confidence in the future.
Growing demand for housing is considered to be one of the most important drivers in the economy.
📍Inflation.
Inflation reflects the purchasing power of a currency.
It is usually measured by evaluation of the price of the selected basket of goods or services over some period.
High inflation is usually the primary indicator of the weakness of the currency and the unhealthy state of the economy.
📍Monetary policy.
Monetary policy is the actions of central banks related to money supply in the economy.
There are two main levers: interests rates and bank reserve requirements.
Higher interest rates suppress the economy, making the currency stronger. Lower interests rates increase the money supply, making the economy grow but devaluing the national currency.
📍Political discourse.
Political discourse is the social, economical and geopolitical policies of the national government.
Political ideology determines the set of priorities for the ruling party that directly impacts the state of the economy.
📍Payrolls and earnings.
Payroll reports reflect the dynamic of the creation of new jobs by the economy, while average earnings show the increase or decrease of the earnings of the individuals.
Growing earnings and payrolls positively affect the value of a national currency and signify the expansion of the economy.
Pay closes attention to these fundamentals and monitor how the market reacts to that data.
What fundamentals do you consider to be the most important?
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
SPX earnings recession, growth slow down.The fed hiked rates today by 0.75%.
They have also moved to meeting by meeting data dependency.
Since they've done both in one meeting there is the possibility that if inflation continues higher for a few months they will be unable or unwilling to cut rates to save the economy from the earrings recession likely on the way.
In short the supply side situation is still not resolved leading to over supply of certain goods and under supply of others. Oversupply of goods in typical capital overproduction is what breaks the system due to over competition and thus lower prices. utility theory of value applies until extreme highs/lows of supply and demand shows the underlying labor relations. This imbalance will lead to a slow down in growth and thus an earning recession. Q3 & Q4 are thus likely a prolonged period of reduced demand coupled with oversupply.
Such conditions will allow the FED to pivot, reduce rates and step up asset purchases late in Q4 or early Q1 as they will be reluctant to cut rates and "save" the economy from low growth while jobs numbers are high and inflation stabilizes in Q3 and Q4 even if that's what is needed it would be politically dangerous until after the election.
If you're a bull you want the jobs numbers to decline quickly in a sharp recession allowing the FED to pivot sooner. If you're a bear you want inflation numbers to be sustained and plateau while jobs numbers slowly come down.
I for one am bearish on the current overall trend and that is unfortunate since it means real pain ahead for actual people not just numbers on a screen. Always remember that little nugget is conditional to you making money anthropomorphic reader I am creating on the fly.
Probably shouting into the ether on this one...which reminds me of a good long trade actually given the merge...hmm.
SPY - GDP data, Recession Looming? 💀Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
This week is the final week of trading for July and perhaps the most important week of the summer — with the Fed meeting, GDP data and earnings from almost a third of the S&P 500 on deck. Many investors, entrepreneurs and speculators (including myself) are worried about the potential of an economic recession and are hoping this week’s news storm will help direct their expectations and provide some clarity.
According to Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, most investors believe that Thursday’s GDP report will show a second quarter of decline, which is the unofficial signal of recession. It is his opinion that the Fed will most likely announce a 75-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday .
Consumer index shows that consumers are extremely pessimistic, but they're spending more than they did last year. The number of jobs is recovering, but economic output is slowing sharply.
This is causing a debate among policymakers and investors about whether the United States is close to, or already in, a recession — and if it isn't, whether persistent anxiety about one could be enough to make it a reality, as nervous businesses and consumers start to pull back. Could people "anticipate" the economy into a recession? US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo said earlier in July that she does not believe a recession is on the cards. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Sunday that we are definitely not in a recession but "...we're in a period of transition in which growth is slowing."
Former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers (during an interview with CNN) espoused a different view — focused not on what the data is currently showing, but on what's likely to happen next .
He stated that he believes a recession is most likely, stating : "When we've been in this kind of situation before, recession has essentially always followed."
His concerns lies with the Federal Reserve. The central bank is rapidly tightening interest rates to throttle inflation, but a sharp pullback in economic activity as it boosts borrowing costs .
While the Fed is hopeful it can engineer a "soft landing," where inflation comes down without a recession, Summers said he is skeptical. He mentioned that when inflation has been high and unemployment has been low, soft landings represent a kind of hopium.
The final word: One definition of a recession is when the economy experiences two consecutive quarters of negative gross domestic product . In the first three months of the year, output declined at an annual rate of 1.6%. That raises the stakes for Thursday's first look at GDP data for the second quarter. The recession call that economists and policymakers watch for, however, comes from the National Bureau of Economic Research's Business Cycle Dating Committee. They define a recession as "a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months."
In a recent blog post, the White House said that even though some maintain that two consecutive quarters of falling real GDP constitute a recession, that is neither the official definition nor the way economists evaluate the state of the business cycle.
So don't expect the NBER to settle the back-and-forth debate on recession any time soon. It waited until June 2020 to announce that the coronavirus-induced recession started the previous February — and that was faster than usual. That means the recession debate is likely to persist for many months, no matter what's revealed later this week.
If you're looking for an easy to understand guide on Wyckoff Method and phases, check out this Bitcoin idea:
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To know the macro phase is to have power - this will eliminate fear and greed, and cancel out the noise you hear from news and paid "influencers".
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Short @ 77 Lately there's been a short covering rally in high yield/junk but I think that ends soon with big tech earnings, FOMC and all of the other economic data releases this week. Macroeconomic picture has not changed.
Don't think we break this downward trend line that's been in place all year. I'll also take a long position in TLT to offset exposure.
*Not financial advice.
AAL short - UPDATEUpdating my AAL earnings idea:
As you can see, we got a confirmation of the described scenario.
It was acceptable to sell intraday using the VWAP pullback point.
Also on the second day we got something similar to a flag, which has worked out.
But of course, being in a position already on the first day, I would not add on the second day.
General Mills Broke Out. Now It’s Pulled BackGeneral Mills has been a slow mover for years, but the Cheerios maker has gotten more interesting lately.
The main pattern on today’s chart is the June 29 rally above $73. That was not only a new 52-week high. It was also a breakout above the previous all-time peak in July 2016.
Next, consider how GIS pulled back and held the level yesterday. Has old resistance become new support?
Third, stochastics have returned to an oversold condition.
Finally, GIS has now beaten earnings estimates for two straight quarters amid a trend of Americans eating at home to overcome inflation.
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TSLA Tesla confirms strength on reportUpdating my TSLA idea:
After the report, tesla showed great momentum and I hope some have managed to buy.
Because any price around 780 could be a great entry point.
Now I would consider the 765 level as a good support that should hold the price.
Looking forward to further price movement!
Is AAPL gonna miss and find a bottom?Will APPL be able to overcome this candle syndrome?
In case it misses its earnings, this is how I see it finding a bottom. I think Apple is being used to "manipulate" the market and keep the indices up.
Otherwise, enjoy the continuation of this rally during the 2nd semester! :)