Kraft Heinz | KHC | Long at $32.00Kraft Heinz NASDAQ:KHC currently has a 4.88% dividend and anticipated earnings growth (though modest) through 2027. Inflation benefits the food industry and Kraft Heinz may do well moving forward. From a technical analysis standpoint, the chart is in the accumulation zone around my selected simple moving average and may be preparing for a larger move up. Currently in a personal buy zone at $32.00.
Target #1 = $42
Target #2 = $47
Earnings
GOOG: Risk for HFT Gap on EarningsThe mighty NASDAQ:GOOG has hit the Market Saturation Phase and its advertising AI is one of the primary problems. Alphabet is losing small business advertisers in droves as prices skyrocket to advertise on Google Ads while results are dismal for the advertisers.
This run down is due to speculation that is not based on financial data. It may find support at this level, but it is vulnerable to an HFT gap down. It is never a good sign to see selling a few days ahead of an earnings report. A gap up would be based on Year over Year, not quarterly improvement.
Apple's Highest Dollar Volume Day EVERI was pretty surprised to see that just a few weeks ago, on a random summer June day, over 51 billion dollars worth of Apple was traded.
That's 51 BILLION DOLLARS of Apple traded in just 24 hours.
After doing some research I also realized that this was a record for Apple. At no other point in history has this much Apple traded. This is hard to ignore for any large investor and it has me thinking the following:
1. What large investor exited this position?
2. By extension, which large investor bought the position?
3. There's no way this was just day trading volume, clearly there was a large change of hands and ownership.
4. For $51 billion worth of trading activity, it's also fascinating the stock barely moved during that transaction. Perhaps it was at an agreed upon price.
We all know Buffett has an outsized stake, as do others, is it possible one of them just exited? And who was the buyer? An ETF or Mutual Fund?
I'll be watching the filings closely going forward to see who this was and what it says about Apple's potential. If it turns out to be Buffett, and knowing his skillful investment approach, I do think that'll be a rather critical sign for Apple's future.
DIS which way will it go?Disneyland’s largest union coalition overwhelmingly voted to authorize a strike Friday, July 19 as Disney negotiators and union officials prepare to head back to the bargaining table. I think this stock could recover around $92.76 which it has recovered before a few times going back to 2015. 200 EMA is where the $92 mark is on the monthly view and the RSI seems to bounce on the line I draw on my chart. If the price does recover at $92, it can swing up to 103.63 and as high as 117.89 if earnings are good. If the workers decide to strike into earnings, the stock could go as low as $71.
Long gold price
The position of 2452-2448 is a strong support. From the trend point of view, it is a good position to go long.
Focus on the impact after the opening of the Asian market.
TVC:GOLD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P MCX:GOLD1! OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! BINANCE:BTCUSDT NYMEX:WTI1!
Continuously analyze accurately for a month. Good at account management. The current market is exactly where I am good at trading. So you should not continue to be in a state of loss. Follow me. Guaranteed profits will not disappoint you.
Bullish on SMCI - Symmetrical Triangle FormationSMCI looks has clearly formed a symmetrical triangle. I expect a triangle breakout at earnings or possible before earnings if really good news is expected. Because this is a symmetrical triangle, you have to play the direction of the breakout. Have a tight stop loss at 800 and prepare for take off to retest $1220 💰. If this breaks out bullish, this will be a 45%+ move 🚀. On a side note, I'm expecting a stock split announcement and a killer earnings to catapult this thing. Hold on 💺
AMD - buy the dipNASDAQ:AMD has seen a failed breakout out of a cup and handle 3c pattern. It has performed the worst out of the whole sector year to date. Earnings is coming up on July 30th, I believe this is a perfect setup for a rip to ATH, as AMD is seen as the biggest potential competitor for nvidia AI gpus. Cloud providers are buying every GPU they can lay their hands on, which is why I believe AMD will post great earnings, with strong growth in DC, target is ATH in the week following earnings which is why I am buying long diagonals (sep/aug) and bull spreads for August after earnings.
MSFT: Technical Weakness Ahead of EarningsNASDAQ:MSFT reports next week but is having some selling pressure ahead of its report. The two very small-bodied indecision candlesticks with wicks and tails, and now followed by a larger down day, indicate weakness for potentially more downside. However, because weak to moderate support levels are not far off, selling short is not a good idea for swing traders.
DOMT "Billionaire revenues and profits that are a joke Q1 financials. Revenue is up 2.1 billion Egyptian pounds, but profits are down compared to the last 10 quarters. The company blames flat product prices while raw material costs are skyrocketing. Seriously, what's the deal? Are they just waiting for us to tell them to raise prices or cut costs? If they're asking for my advice, I'd say they need to get their act together. Oh, and by the way, the full H1 report is coming out in two weeks, so stay tuned.
DJT stock: Dead cat rebound or wave of support?Trump Media & Technology Group Corp's stock surged following news of an attempted assassination on major shareholder Donald Trump at a political rally on Sunday.
Given the fervent nature of Trump's supporters, it's plausible that voters could turn to their wallets before casting ballots in November as the presidential race heats up. Drawing parallels to the recent activity surrounding the GameStop stock, a meme rally cannot be entirely ruled out, potentially presenting a lucrative opportunity for speculators.
For this scenario to materialize, high trading volumes in the stock need to persist. The average trading volume over the past two weeks is around 10 million shares. If today's activity surpasses this figure, it could indicate sustained interest in the stock following yesterday's massive gap up and record trading volume.
Although DJT stock closed $6 lower than its opening price, it currently hovers around the crucial $40 level. If the bulls can maintain the price above this level before today's close, it could signal a further bullish trend. Conversely, if the price were to fall below the $40 mark, we might see the stock trading at its early July levels of $30.
This trade is highly speculative, and while the current political climate could easily add more fuel to the fire, it's crucial to monitor the fundamentals. DJT reported a loss for Q1, but with Q2 earnings around the corner, investors should stay vigilant. Call spreads with 30-40 DTE (shortly before Q2 earnings report) might be an interesting play here regardless of the direction you're betting on.
I think Netflix is going to take a hit on this Month EarningsPersonally don't like Netflix business model focus right now.
Too many voice overs foreign movies, Producing too many low quality shows and movies.
NFLX falling behind the competition this Year only reason I have it now is because T Mobile offers Netflix for free.
I Could Be Wrong but Do not see netflix as a buy right now.
$TSLA not done going higher. $320-$330 by July 24. GET LONGSo we already know that Tesla deliveries came in 9000 more than what was expected, 438,000 expected verse 447,000 that Elon Musk posted on Twitter a couple weeks ago. Last quarter earnings per share of $.47 was slightly missed, and on July 23 they’re expected $.60 per share earnings. So IMO, That could indicate that even a slight earnings beat on revenue and earnings, would propel the stock to complete wave three at 2.618 Fibonacci level.
never mind, the whole Robo-taxi delay, which caused an 8% decline on Thursday along with the rest of the Big tech Nasdaq. I don’t think robotaxi is realistically a factor in their valuation just yet.
Long $ENPH till day after earnings report July 24.There’s is a huge lift for all battery and renewable energy companies right.
For example, META hired Evercore EVR, to the tune of $54B to build out 11 square mile solar powered data storage facilities for its push into A.I., which requires a lot of energy to run AI.So there’s a ton of money from the large cap MAG 7 companies going into this industry right now.
Based on the volume profile and the fib levels already breached, i would easily believe if ENPH just slightly beats rev & earnings, and has decent guidance.
ETF Developers Buying Ahead of Q2 Earnings Reports: HDThis Dow component was the highest gainer for the average with a modest 2.10% gain yesterday. NYSE:HD price action was very controlled. Volume was slightly below average indicating it was likely ETF developers buying ahead of the earnings report.
Accumulation/Distribution indicator confirms this price range is a buy zone.
This is a technical setup to watch for pre-earnings runs for swing trading.
The First Trillion Dollar Healthcare Company - Eli LillyI recently wrote about Eli Lilly and why it has caught my attention, what it may mean for markets, but more specifically the most expensive and elaborate industry on Earth, that none of us can understand... HEALTHCARE.
Insurance is wildly expensive.
Many people are focused on health.
Scientists around the planet are trying to solve health.
And now, Eli Lilly, is on the very of becoming the first trillion dollar company in healthcare. Eli Lilly is nearing $900 billion market cap and is on pace to become the first trillion dollar healthcare company.
I have long followed healthcare stocks because I do believe they bring a lot of insight into health, innovation, and the natural sciences. After all, they are tasked with curing challenging diseases, sicknesses, and other aspects to help humans. Most recently, a certain stock has caught my attention.
I find this to be a noteworthy development for the industry, especially while stocks like Pfizer and others, such as NASDAQ:MRNA are dropping. NYSE:PFE
Place your bets accordingly. This move and alert has been added to my watchlist.
Visualize $TSLA CALL pricing skew due to the upcoming earningsLet’s take a look at our new tradingview options screener indicator to see what we observe, as the options chain data has recently been updated.
When we look at the screener, we can immediately see that NASDAQ:TSLA has an exceptional Implied Volatility Rank value of over 100, which is extremely high. This is clearly due to the upcoming earnings report on July 23rd.
As we proceed, we notice that Tesla's Implied Volatility Index is also high, over 70. This means that not only the relative but also the absolute implied volatility of Tesla is high. Because the IVX value is above 30, Tesla’s IV Rank is displayed with a distinguishable black background. This favors credit strategies such as iron condors, broken wing butterflies, strangles, or simple short options.
Next, let’s examine how this IV index value has changed over the past five days. We can see it has increased by more than 6%, indicating an upward trend as we approach the earnings report.
In the next cell, we see a significant vertical price skew. Specifically, at 39 days to expiration, call options are 84% more expensive than put options at the same distance. This indicates that market participants are pricing in a significant upward movement in the options chain.
The call skew is so pronounced that at 39 days to expiration, the 16 delta call value exits the expected range. This signifies a substantial delta skew twist, which I will show you visually.
We see a horizontal IV index skew between the third and fourth weeks in the options chain. This means the front weekly IVX is lower than the IVX for the following week, which may favor calendar or diagonal strategies. Hovering over this with the mouse reveals it’s around the third and fourth week.
In the last cell, we observe that there’s a horizontal IVX skew not just in weekly expirations but also between the second and third monthly expirations.
Now, let’s see how these values appear visually on Tesla’s chart using our Options Overlay Indicator. On the right panel, the previously mentioned values are displayed in more detail when you hover over them with the mouse. The really exciting part is setting the 16 delta curve and seeing the extent of the upward shift in options pricing. This significant skew is also visible at closer delta values.
When we enable the expected move and standard deviation curves, it immediately becomes clear what this severe vertical pricing skew in favor of call options means. Practically, market participants are significantly pricing in upward movement right after the earnings report.
Hovering over the colored labels associated with the expirations displays all data precisely, showing the number of days until expiration and the high implied volatility index value for that expiration. Additionally, a green curve indicating overpricing due to extra interest is displayed. Weekly expiration horizontal IVX skew values appear in purple, and those affected by monthly skew are shown in turquoise blue.
The 'Lite' version of our indicators is available for free to everyone, where you can also view Tesla as demonstrated. Pro indicators are available more than 150 US market symbols like SPY, S&P500, Nvidia, bonds, etfs and many others.
Trade options like a pro with TanukiTrade Option Indicators for TradingView.
Thank you for your attention.