Oracle ($ORCL) Gap-Fill & Earning Jump PlayTheory : Oracle has a history of significant price gaps after earnings reports. The stock is currently trading within an ascending channel and has an open gap from the last earnings. I expect a pullback to close this gap before the next earnings report triggers a potential upward gap.
Ideal Entry Point : 142.51 - 144.97 USD (after the gap fills and the price hits channel support).
Profit Taker : Targeting 192.27-195.02 USD (2 weeks range after earnings report), aligning with the top of the ascending channel and historical earnings reactions. This move represents a potential 35%+ gain.
Disclaimer : This idea is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. I am not a professional, and you should do your own research or consult with a licensed professional before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
Short AMD via optionsWhat I did: Long Oct 4 vertical 145/135 AMD put spread @ 2.06, as a swing trade.
The rationale:
NASDAQ:AMD seems to struggle with the 3-month VWMA (white line), while in the context of a declining 3-month and 1-month trend.
Fundamentally, AMD competes with NASDAQ:INTC on CPUs and with NASDAQ:NVDA on graphics cards. Of the three, NVDA is the most profitable by far, with a 10-yr median FCF margin of 27.5% (INTC 19.3%, AMD 2.1%).
In terms of 10-yr revenue CAGR, NVDA is also the most compelling with 30.9% (INTC 0.3% ,AMD 15.6%).
Despite this, AMD does not offer a significant valuation discount relative to NVDA. AMD's next-twelve-month estimated PE multiple is 35, just as NVDA's. And in terms of forward EV/EBITDA, AMD is currently currently MORE expensive, with a 33.1 multiple vs. 29.4 for NVDA. INTC is at this point unprofitable, and at best a turnaround candidate, so I am excluding it from further consideration.
I do understand that NVDA's large exposure to the AI infrastructure build-out presents unique downside potential once that wave will have run its course. But a temporary benefit is still preferable to no benefit at all, so I think as long as NVDA grows faster and operates more profitably than AMD, its valuation multiples should present an upper bound to AMD's. In other words, unless NVDA can progress to new highs, I don't see AMD going up. And, as we have seen today, NVDA is struggling to recapture its past highs.
I believe that AMD is susceptible here to significant volatility from its association to NVDA. A full reversal of trailing 10-day swing back towards 133+/- seems quite possible, especially since I see the market anticipate a lot of good news from inflation/Fed direction. While I do believe that the Fed will come through with a 50bp cut on Wednesday, I think that cut will be justified with a long discussion of poor recent economic data, casting doubt on the feasibility of a "soft landing".
My trade is simply a swing with the intent of hedging some of my long exposures. But it also exists in a larger context: For the last couple of years the argument has been made that semiconductors are no longer cyclical stocks, but rather idiosyncratic growth machines, like software. If that narrative gets challenged by reality, then I think AMD has a long way down. Its current multiples are one third above trough valuations, and if analysts were to revise down their estimates, then the downside grows in proportion.
Cornucopias is a blockchain-based open-world RPGCornucopias is an innovative blockchain-based MMORPG (Massively Multiplayer Online Role-Playing Game) built on Unreal Engine 5. Set in a stunning, technologically advanced airborne world, the game offers a variety of activities such as crafting, commerce, combat, and racing12.
Here are some key features of Cornucopias:
Open World Exploration: Players can explore vast landscapes and vibrant settlements.
Player-Driven Economy: Engage in trading, crafting, and other economic activities.
Digital Assets: Own and trade NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens) like vehicles, land plots, and customizable domes3.
Play-to-Earn: Players can earn the in-game utility token $COPI through various activities4.
Community Initiatives: The game also focuses on making a positive impact, such as planting trees and providing clean drinking water to communities.
To start playing Cornucopias, follow these steps:
Create an Account: Visit the official Cornucopias website and sign up for an account.
Download the Game: Once registered, download the game client compatible with your device.
Set Up a Wallet: You’ll need a cryptocurrency wallet to manage your in-game assets and tokens. Popular options include MetaMask and Trust Wallet.
Acquire $COPI Tokens: Purchase $COPI tokens from supported exchanges to use within the game.
Explore and Play: Log in to the game, create your character, and start exploring the Cornucopias world. Engage in activities like crafting, trading, and completing quests to earn rewards.
You can earn $COPI tokens in Cornucopias through various in-game activities:
Quests and Missions: Complete different quests and missions that reward you with $COPI tokens.
Crafting and Trading: Create valuable items and trade them with other players in the marketplace.
Combat and Challenges: Participate in combat scenarios and challenges that offer $COPI as rewards.
Racing: Engage in racing events and tournaments where you can win $COPI tokens.
Staking and Yield Farming: Stake your existing $COPI tokens or participate in yield farming to earn more tokens over time.
Liberty Media Corp | LSXMA | Long at $21.00Liberty Media Corp NASDAQ:LSXMA may have just double bottomed near $20. If so, it could mark the beginnings of a turnaround in price (especially during this political season). However, I am staying cautious. Warren Buffet was diving into this name a little too early for my taste, but now it is in a personal buy zone if it can stay above the $20 mark in the near-term.
Target #1 = $25.00
Target #2 = $30.00
Target #3 = $43.00 (long-term view...)
WARNING: LAST WAVE BULL RALLYThis is part of my algorithm, I consider many more factors when studying SMART MONEY MOVEMENTS, view my arrows for guidance. We're in an uptrend based on volume. My MA will start moving downwards based on uptrend volume.
TA reads BEARISH but that's not what I read.
Where will the uptrend end? That's up to the whales. There are plenty of BAITs for retail traders. Many will know when to get out. Do you?
As the MA downtrends for an uptrend, the MA move-up means there will be a CRASH FALL.
THC Tenet Healthcare Corp Financial
- Company has grown fast.
- Outperforming the market in general.
- Good outlook for the coming time.
Techinical
- Good risk-reward setup.
- Sector is in favor by many investors.
- Other stocks in the sector are just like this stock outperforming the market and I think this will continue for a while.
DVA DaVita Inc (Long) Financial
- Company shows great results.
- Company passed the Hanhart fundamental growth test.
- Earnings + outlook + 10%.
- Growth outlook is one of the bests in these times.
Marco
- Company seems to perform well in most market conditions that are coming up.
Techincal
- Company is outperforming the market for a longer time.
- Buyers are making the market place.
- Healthcare, in general, are very common investments in these market times.
- This is one of the most outperforming stocks at the moment so that's why I'm getting on in this point.
Major earnings are times to hedge or BTDAs far more eloquent and technical writers have covered (spotgamma, etc) - it's very clear that the markets in general are driven by single name options on the largest market cap companies.
And to help visualize just how much volatility can happen around earnings on these single names, I wanted to be able to visualize those earnings dates and impacts against some of the major benchmark ETFs like SPY or QQQ.
So far, I hadn't seen a place that gives this a more clear presentation so here is my first attempt at visualizing just how large the ripples are from the "megacaps" (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, etc) in a very "glanceable" way.
Introducing this indicator here first!
Earnings Date Highlighter - from0_to_1
Easily see the earnings dates from top market movers or the top holdings of your favorite ETF!
MSFT at Risk for More DownsideNASDAQ:MSFT needs to do a split. It doesn't have buybacks at this time. It is at risk of more downside until it hits prior lows. Support should kick in at the lows of prior rebound areas. The last earnings report was good. Percentage of Shares Held by Institutions ticked up this quarter.
going long Brady corporation
1 day till earnings and looking amazing expected massive earnings along with this a acquisition of gravoteach the UK's leading printing and manufacturing company this will obviously boost earnings and will increase investor confidence along with this last earnings massively affected the price of the company boosting its stock price 14.89% which is massive if we have another surprise earnings again we could see another massive spike in price however I don’t know what to along with this matches all my undervalued criteria with this I'm going long
not financial advice
BlackSky | BKSY | Long at $1.09BlackSky Technology NYSE:BKSY is a small company focused on satellite imagery tech. It's another name from the SPAC-boom era that suffered a massive price drop - reaching a high of $17.41 in 2021 and a low of $0.86 in 2024. However, based on my selected simple moving averages (SMAs), there may be a price "influx" soon as it merges with its primary SMA (white line) and consolidates further or rises. Fundamentally, the company needs more time to prove itself as a growth/earnings generator, but in the near"er"-term, there may be some price movement in its future. It's currently in a personal buy zone at $1.09.
Target #1 = $1.50
Target #2 = $1.75
Target #3 = $2.00
"Fibonacci Fuel-Up with FCELFuelCell Energy (FCEL) is showing signs of a potential bottom formation, and savvy traders are keeping a close eye on its Fibonacci retracement levels. After a prolonged downtrend, FCEL might be gearing up for a reversal. By recognizing key support levels and using Fibonacci analysis, we could be witnessing the early stages of a bullish move. With clean energy gaining momentum, FCEL’s recent price action could be an opportunity to fuel up on this stock before the next wave. Keep this one on your radar for a potential Fibonacci-fueled breakout!
IPAR Inter Parfums, Long oppertunity (Long term) By Leo Hanhart Writer statment, please boost and comment and help more people
After publishing 25 idea's the past month almost all long idea's have been profitable <95%. With 10 years of passion put into the knowledge that is integrating these stock picks is been a pleasure to help you out with idea's. My portfolio tracker gives me a current expected return of 165% in one year, with a 1x leverage including fees. That's something I'm very proud of.
If you want to do something back please write me a comment, this attention is already motivating, follow me for more idea's or if you have a job opportunity contact me right away.
Macro - strategic
This stock is rapidly growing in the US market, which is a very good strategic accomplishment that clears the road to becoming a global player. This is not priced in yet, but with an average PR of 28, the market is confident that it will work out.
- This company's performance is driven by good sales execution, and consumer spending, and with the upcoming interest rate cuts I see it happen that the growth will only continue, accelerate, and even cause surprises in the upcoming time. Sales is just a matter of extrapolating the previous efforts.
- From a trader's point of view, this a stock you want to have in times of economic boom's. I think all equity traders will consider this stock and with a 1y growth of +15% and 5Y of +10% it will only rally.
Fundamental
- As mentioned above, high growth outlook, good earnings growth, company good, strategy execution.
- Perfect increase of Income or equity such as book value. We see low depts, great extension. It's just good looking from my knowledge.
Technical
- Stock broke true the 20MA and clearly gains momentum.
- There is a good Risk Reward setup 1/2RR until the coming M2-High, and 1/6 on the 6M high.
SRE Sempra Bullish oppertunity(Long term) Fundamental
- Stock has great fundamentals, good earnings growth.
- You could expect this stock to trade near 85.
Technical
- Good risk reward setup possible.
- Buyers making the market move.
Strategic
- Winter is coming with inflation + volatility pushing commodity prices up so I expect
this earnings to be even better
TRN Trinity Industries (Long) (MidTerm)Fundamental
- Company is growing fast.
- The last earnings surprise was intense.
Technical
- Stock is very underpriced compared to the price paid on the day earnings came out.
- If the liquidity on the upside remains this low, one big rational buyer will aim for the 38 zone as a target.
Macro
- The company will profit more if interest rates go down, driving the earnings up.
- Expecting the growth is exceptional this will work out in the outlook soon.
Nvidia Fails to Wow Traders. What to Make of Its Earnings ReportNvidia stock (ticker: NVDA ) is up nearly 3,000% in the past five years. Back then, in 2019, no one really cared about its earnings report as it was known mainly for its niche products targeting geeks, gamers and crypto miners. Now, when Nvidia reports, the world listens.
Everyone and their moms were glued to the screen Wednesday afternoon when the company released its quarterly earnings report. The numbers were good — triple-digit growth was there and guidance was calling for even more growth.
Yet investors proceeded to dump the stock. Big time . Shares lost as much as 10% of their valuation in after-hours trading before Nvidia fans scooped up some of those bruised gems at a discount.
Nvidia is worth $3 trillion (depending on the day) — that’s about 6% of the massive $50 trillion valuation of the S&P 500. The lofty price tag is largely due to Nvidia leading the AI boom with its chips being the hottest commodity in the tech world. As a result, Nvidia has turned into a top pick among the thousands of stocks available out there.
That gives you an idea of this stock’s important role. Markets are placing so much significance on Nvidia’s earnings update that you might as well put it on par with the jobs report or a Fed event.
Good but Not Absolutely Mind-Boggling Amazing
Analysts: We expect revenue growth of 115%.
Nvidia: Here’s 122%.
Analysts: Nooo, why not a bigger beat? Disappointed!
Nvidia posted another blockbuster quarter with $30 billion in revenue, up 122%, surpassing Wall Street’s estimates of $28.7 billion. Earnings per share landed at 68 cents a pop, up 152%, eclipsing consensus views of 65 cents. Thanks to the wide profit margins, Nvidia pocketed some $16.95 billion in net profit.
It did say, however, that gross profit margins narrowed quarter on quarter. For the three months to July 28, Nvidia generated an adjusted gross margin of 75.7%, down from 78.9% the previous quarter. Full-year gross margins are projected to sit above 75% while total revenue is expected to hit $120 billion.
With Great Returns Comes Great Responsibility
Here’s a harsh truth: the bigger you become, the higher the expectations for more breakneck growth. Nvidia’s revenue blasted by a supercharged 265% in the previous quarter. And if 122% can’t keep shares above the flatline, then Nvidia’s rapid expansion has turned against it. And by the looks of it, that growth is going to be increasingly challenged. Large-cap rivals are threatening to chip away (pun intended) at Nvidia’s dominance, potentially taking from its market share, diminishing the profit margins and pulling some of its Big Tech clientele.
For the October quarter, Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang projects revenue of $32.5 billion, which exceeds the average consensus of $31.7 billion. But, then again, it doesn’t exceed it by a lot — and that didn’t sit well with the overly optimistic investors out there.
Not everything was above market expectations. Nvidia’s next-generation AI chip — Blackwell — still hasn’t started shipping and that unnerves some stock holders. Huang tried to assuage investor fears during the earnings call, saying that despite some design-related delays , Blackwell will ramp up production as expected and will bring in “several billion dollars” still this year. In a move to instil confidence and maybe patch things up, Nvidia authorized a juicy $50 billion stock buyback, which is a mere 2% of its market cap.
What are you doing with Nvidia’s shares? Are you a long-term holder or looking for the right entry? Maybe buying this dip? Let us know in the comment section!
Option Chain Before Earnings - $NVDA huge CALL skewThis week, keep an eye on NASDAQ:NVDA , which will release its quarterly earnings on Wednesday.
Here are this week’s earnings releases implemented by the TanukiTrade Options Overlay indicator for Tradingview:
08/28 Wednesday after market close: NVDA , CRWD , CRM
08/29 Thursday after market close: MRVL
The Options Overlay indicates that NVDA's call skew is above 55% at 54DTE, meaning that CALL options are priced 55% higher than PUT options for the binary expected move distance .
This suggests that the market is pricing in a strong upward move.
The yellow curve represents the binary expected move, while the blue curve shows the 16-delta OTM options. The green rectangle highlights the area where you can potentially profit from the butterfly trade if the earnings report meets bullish market expectations.
Upward price levels:
7/8 - 138
8/8 - 150
Downward price levels:
6/8 - 125
5/8 - 112
If you agree with the market’s bullish sentiment, one of the best R:R trades might be a directional NVDA call butterfly. You can buy it for $109 with the nearest Friday expiration, with a maximum (theoretical) profit of nearly $900. It’s worth executing this trade before the earnings announcement. Note that the green dashed line is theoretical; while it's not a traditional trendline according to classic TA, the long-term upward trend is still quite clear
Expiry: Aug 30
Legs: 1x140C -2x150C + 1x160C
Net debit: ~$100
Max profit: $890