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Earningsanalysis

Can CMG recover from the post earnings drop?CMG had earnings today which were a beat but apparently less than expectations of investors and traders. On the 15-minute chart, the indicators support a reversal with a bounce on the dual time frame RS lines showing a bit of bullish divergence. Decelerating bearish momentum on the MACD with lines converging under the histogram suggests a reversal is impending. Further, the mass index indicator is in the reversal zone but not yet triggering the signal with a drop below the zone. I will take a long trade of CMG. They say trade what you know, My local CMG is always buzy and a love either food. I believe that CMG is ready to give me a big rebate on my patronage. I will take a call option expiring 8/18 striking $2100. I expect to realize a large profit having done a similar trade on CMG more than once in the past. The expected premium of $7300 will be about $700 of risk given a stop =loss but I expect a reward of 4-6 times that if not more.
NYSE:CMGLong
by AwesomeAvani
SNAP Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SNAP here: or ahead of the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and chart patterns of SNAP prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 13usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-7-28, for a premium of approximately $1.34. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:SNAPLong
by TopgOptions
TSLA close analysis 7/20/2023Earnings brought forth a pretty big sell off. In hindsight, the oscillator cross yesterday was initial indication a short was the right play, but ER could have gone any which way making that a signal lacking confidence. What happens now is the question. We've cleaned up this chart a bit: My long trade was wrapped up on 7/17 2 gaps are gone 3 larger gaps remain as support I still think gap + momentum analysis is the best approach with TSLA on this 65m chart. Note how we temporarily stalled at open right on the gap from July 12th. Right now we're waiting for support. I've marked prior gaps with arrows. Most of those seem pretty far away. Good chance support is right here in the lower 260's but there needs to be some confirmation as TSLA has in the past had many consecutive sell off days. Why support? I had many old fib levels all in this 257-263 zone and expect for now it will hold as there's a lot of choppy price action with traders wanting to go every which way in this zone. The 6/30 gap is what I'm watching along with the 260 level. I'd like to see this act as support and go long after the oscillator bases and crosses but I'm also very willing to see it fail. If 260 fails, I will be looking for us to retest the mid 230's. Will post a new idea once I see an actual trade form.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by upslidedown
BAC Bank of America Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BAC here: Then analyzing the options chain of BAC Bank of America Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-9-15, for a premium of approximately $0.83. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:BACLong
by TopgOptions
1
Lockheed Martin Closing Gap?Lockheed martin earnings play. This stock has my interest with multiple contracts with the government and missing 1 of the last 5 earnings. Lockheed is no stranger to getting multiple contracts. A lot of constant contracts coming in with government agencies and commercial airlines. For a month it has been consolidating jun-jul and recently broke out of consolidation. coming up on earnings July 18th with price targets ranging from 498 to 579 and a strong out look from 1- 5 out of 5 its sitting at a 5 for earnings beat from Earnings whispers. Im Bullish looking for at least a gap fill at $475 Trade responsible, #TradeTheWave
NYSE:LMTLong
by FinesseTheWave
2
Is the WDFC earnings pop sustainable?WDFC, the manufacturer of WD-40 ( sprayable graphite) had a great earnings beat and a celebratory pop of 5%. My question is whether it can continue? On the 15 minute chart I have added four indicators and what they might indicate: (1) the Lorentzian Machine Learning Alert System with default settings with a few removed which shows the initial buy signal of July 6th. No sell signal has been printed since earnings. (2) the MTF RSI indicator of Chris Moody showing the RSIs one hour in black and 15-minutes in blue presently topped out and the lower TF in blue decreasing showing a bearish divergence. (3) The MACD shows K / D lines rising in parallel but very extended above the zero-line showing very high amplitude. (4) The volume indicator showing that volume did not get a relative spike with the post-earnings price pop. Overall, with heavy consideration of lack of volume with the price pop and the bearish divergence on the RSI, I will not take a long trade on this post-earnings WDFC. In fact, if I can find a good entry on a 3 or 5-minute chart, I will take a short trade. I price rise with a good volume spike might potentially convince me otherwise.
NASDAQ:WDFC
by AwesomeAvani
Semiconductors in Focus: Top or Not?NASDAQ:NVDA has shifted sideways since the huge earnings breakaway gap, a pattern that tends to provide strong support for profit-taking. Unlike NASDAQ:AMD , the trend doesn't appear to be at risk of shifting into a downtrend at this time. While there has been some negative news pertaining to China for NVidia, the chart patterns don't indicate any concern from the largest Buy Side Institutions yet. NVDA reports again near the end of August. By the end of this month, the big Buy Sides will have made adjustments to their holdings depending on their expectations for earnings, a time to watch for any shift in the technical patterns. AMD reports early August. This short-term M top is at risk of testing support level highs below.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
MU Micron Technology Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MU here: Or sold here: Then Analyzing the options chain of MU Micron Technology prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 64usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2023-6-30, for a premium of approximately $1.54. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:MUShort
by TopgOptions
$HOOD - A New Generation, A New Bull MarketState of the Stock Robinhood’s time in the stock market has been an arduous one and not one without controversy. The stock went public in a hotly anticipated IPO at about $36.41 on July 29th, 2021. It saw tremendous interest in the first week of trading reaching an overly lofty value at ~$85 a share before starting to sell off. This sell off has relentlessly continued and in many places, you will find negative commentary on the stock. I personally believe that the stock’s price action bottomed on June 17th, 2022 at about $6.84 a share. Since then the stock has been slowly plodding along and striking higher lows, which I will illustrate later in the charting. I also believe that the stock’s story is close to turning around and could get more positive attention in the later half of this year. I am going to talk about the balance sheet, cost cutting, charts, and the controversy. I will be limiting my comments on the balance sheet to lines that I believe deserve notice. For this post, I will be comparing Robinhood to their old school rival, Charles Schwab. The Balance Sheet (See Robinhood's Financials) Overall, I read Robinhood’s balance sheet as being quite strong. Particularly in the amount of cash and sort term investments that the company is carrying. At 5.46 Billion in cash and 1.52 Billion in short term investments the company can cover operating expenses (excl. COGS) for about 3.5 years. The company has also shared that the short term investments are in <1 year term treasuries. Which is quite a good decision given the current rates. I only wish they had purchased a little more than 500 million or so. As of this writing (6-11-23), Robinhood carries a market cap of ~$8.5 billion as well. Their cash position is nearly the size of their entire equity. In comparison, SCHW (Charles Schwab) has about $75 billion in cash and a market cap of 100 Billion. I believe that the market is underestimating how Robinhood can deploy that cash. Lastly, Robinhood is very close (9.41 market) to their book value per share (7.83). In comparison, SCHW has a book value per share of 15.36 and is trading at 55.0 in the market. I believe this illustrates that Robinhood is quite cheap, even after the June ’22 bounce when it was cheaper than the book. (See Robinhood's Financials) Next, the cashflow at Robinhood is quite good and turned positive in Q4’22. Whereas their rivals are experiencing negative free cash flow during this same period. Robinhood, on a relative basis for this metric, looks to be outperforming during the banking crisis. During their earnings calls they have also reported a net increase in deposits as well as assets under custody (AUC) increasing by an impressive 26% due to the run on stocks in 2023. What I find most interesting about this is that customer cash in Robinhood has steadily grown to $11 billion from $2 billion at IPO. It has been on an impressive path of growth. I believe this is the result of their strong “Brokerage Cash Sweep” program and the rates they’ve been able to offer. They have been able to effectively remove the friction between treasury yield and their customers. This also creates a beneficial situation where their clients can deploy capital quickly, while maintaining some yield from their cash. Effectively, creating productive reserves for their customers who can choose to deploy it at any moment right on their app. (See Robinhood's Financials) Lastly, the company itself is quite close to profitability. The next 4 quarters are projected by broader WallStreet to come in at an EPS of about -0.01 to -0.03. Any positive change in their costs or earnings could lead to a surprise profit. Such as cash from treasury yield, cost cutting measures, new products, or increased business. The company itself continues to stress, that they are becoming leaner as time goes on. I believe that to be true. Cutting Costs – The Layoffs In 2022, Robinhood performed several rounds of lay offs. This allowed them to cut Q2 ’22 and Q3 ’22 operating expenses significantly (excl. COGS). This does not appear to have impacted their revenue growth and has given them the added benefit of being ‘right sized’. And to the best of my knowledge, no further lay offs are currently on the table. In fact, their revenue is now higher than it has ever been since IPO at $447 million and is pushing them ever closer to profitability. “Robinhood Is Laying Off 9% of Its Full-Time Employees” – Wall Street Journal, Apr. 29, 2022 www.wsj.com “Robinhood Lays Off 23% of Staff as Retail Investors Fade From Platform” – Wall Street Journal, Aug. 2, 2022 www.wsj.com 2023 Road Map – 4 Catalysts Now that we’ve talked about cost cutting, let’s take a look at the road map and see if there are opportunities for fundamental growth. I will list out 4 that I believe can have a positive impact on their business. Options Trading in Cash Accounts Margin Outside Gold Futures Trading UK Market Expansion Lets tackle the first two on the list. Options Trading in Cash Accounts should continue to grow their existing business. This should increase their revenue generated per user as more current customers have access to more products. Options trading is particularly popular among Robinhood’s customer demographic. Margin Outside Gold I find personally controversial. I personally don’t believe in using margin. Regardless, it should also increase their revenue generated per user. While both of these are improvements that could turn the company profitable for EPS. They are not as major as the next two items. Futures trading would open an entire new market for the Robinhood user. I believe it is an incredibley potent catalyst for their user base and will allow their customers to trade more often and in new ways. Robinhood advancing offerings for active traders In March, we applied for a Futures Commission Merchant license and, if approved on a typical timeline, we expect to launch futures trading by the end of 2023. s28.q4cdn.com UK Market Expansion should allow them to acquire a significant number of new users. Robinhood continues to explore growth opportunities, expands access globally With an experienced team leading and an existing license in place, we believe we’re on track for our ambitious goal of launching brokerage services in the UK by the end of the year. s28.q4cdn.com To summarize, I believe expanding into a new country, the UK, and providing futures trading to their existing customers they expand their business significantly over time. Lets take a look now at the charts and see what we can find in the price action. Charting A Path The first thing of note on Robinhood’s stock chart is that a series of higher lows have been put in. The price action, for the first time since IPO, is showing an increasing pattern in the price. I believe the stock has a classic Falling Wedge which I interpret as bullish. I believe the wedge has formed because of the positive developments in the balance sheet, cost cutting, and the future outlook. Examining the MACD on the 1D time scale we also see higher lows put in as well as an MACD crossover onto the positive scale. Overall, I read the charts as having increasingly positive momentum. I also believe that momentum is growing, albeit slowly. Lastly, on the 2D time scale my favorite indicator, DMI, shows the bulls having taken control on ~May 24 2023. I don’t think it’s any coincidence that was the low after the most recent earnings report. I believe the majority of the bears have left the stock as evident by their strength at ~11.5. We also have seen the natural termination of the ADX which implies, to me, that the previous trading trend for the stock has come to an end. A new trend does appear to be forming. It could fizzle out, but that’s up to Robinhood’s management. I believe all of the necessary setups are currently there for them to succeed as both a company and a stock. Closing Thoughts & Possible Risks The Demographic & The Controversy By discussing Robinhood here, I feel that I must mention reddit’s r/wallstreetbets. The community there has a significant impact I believe on Robinhood’s success or failure. The community has a significant following and many of their members use the app. I believe they are an opportunity for Robinhood as well as a possible risk. The 14 million members are potential customers for the Futures trading introduction as well as the increased margin offerings. However, the community has aligned itself with being against the Robinhood app and have been in a ‘boycott’ of the app since the GME trading saga of early 2021. While the community is very vocal on the matter, many of the posts continue to show use of the Robinhood app. At a minimum, it remains controversial, but still in use. This has led me to believe that most of the drama has faded and because of the high quality product Robinhood offers, has started to draw users back to the app. I believe this is well illustrated in their MAU and NFA graphs. There’s a unique opportunity here for them to either win back this community or lose them forever. This could also be related to the flurry of trading activity seen in stocks related to AI in the past few months. Heavy Insider Selling An additional risk is that the insiders, specifically Tenev Vladimir, CEO & Bhatt Baiju, Chief Creative Officer, continue to sell large numbers of shares. This is creating an immense downward pressure on the stock price. If this pattern continues, it could contribute negatively to the stocks performance. However, I believe that’s a non-issue if the company becomes profitable. I hope that we are approaching the end of the insider selling. Crypto & SEC Action Additionally, due to recent events, Robinhood has pulled 3 of their crypto offerings. I believe this is another mixed risk. While they will take a revenue hit by delisting those tokens, they may end up gaining users if customers of Coinbase or Binance decide to take their business elsewhere. It could end up being beneficial to Robinhood, but there’s no way of knowing at this time. At the time of this writing there has been no report that I can find of Robinhood receiving a notice on the matters affecting Binance and Coinbase. Robinhood instead chose to remove the 3 affected securities voluntarily. I believe this is the responsible thing to do and well advised. By taking pre-emptive action they are protecting their business from getting entangled in the matter and remaining compliant with the SEC. This is a value the company has stated a number of times during their earnings calls. I believe their actions demonstrate that value and is representative of good governance from the company leadership. That said, the SEC could still take action against the company if they choose to do so. Therefore, it still carries some risk and must be considered. Macro & Last Thoughts So, here we are. It’s June 11th, 2023. Costs are significantly reduced and being controlled, notable Roadmap 2023 objectives are close, plans for new markets and offerings are approaching, and revenue continues to grow. The company is just a few pennies away on EPS from breaking even or potentially turning a profit. There is also significant distance from the drama surrounding GameStop, Robinhood, and WallStreetBets. The charts are showing higher lows being put in place. More positive momentum looks to be coming into the stock via the MACD. Additionally, the bulls appear to have taken control via the DMI on ~May 24th, 2023. I believe this is a case where a significant breakout could occur. It remains to be seen if it will, but I believe there is a potential trade here to the upside. It is not without downside risk though and that must be taken into consideration. Current thinking in the market is that we may be entering a new bull market based off of recent SP500 closing levels. However, the macroeconomic picture still remains unclear. Particularly in regards to inflation, interest rates, and consumer spending. If it is a new bull market, Robinhood may benefit from increased trading activity, but if the macroeconomic picture deteriorates it could degrade Robinhood’s business and affect the stock. Either way, I personally believe the stock is in an interesting position within the market. Trade carefully, trade wisely. ~Kryptonite As always, please consult the appropriate professionals for any financial decisions. I am not a professional. I am an amateur hobbyist. These are my own personal opinions that I’ve expressed regarding the market and the companies mentioned above. I am not responsible for any decision, trade, or investment you may make. You should assume that as of the publication date of any report, post, or communication referencing any publicly traded security or asset that Kryptonite Research (myself) may have a position in the security or asset and I might stand to realize significant gains if the price of the stock moves. Following publication of any report, post, or communication, I intend to continue transacting in the securities covered therein, and Kryptonite Research (myself) may be long, short, or even neutral at any time thereafter regardless of Kryptonite Research’s (myself) initial position. I reserve the right to alter my position at any time without notice. Images are sourced from the TradingView app, Adobe Stock photos, and Robinhood’s Investor Relations. I do not claim ownership. As an additional disclaimer, at the time of this writing I am a Robinhood customer and holding a position in Robinhood’s stock.
NASDAQ:HOODLong
by kryptoniteresearch
1
BLDR on a consistent trend higherBLDR is part of the construction industry and has had consistent gains over YTD in the range of 95 % with favorable beats on earnings estimates and increases in revenue. Volume has been rising in the past month. In the past when BLDR pulled back to the blue SMA100 line it then reversed quite well and resumed its move higher. At present, BLDR is on a pullback which provides an opportunity for a long entry at the current price where the SMA20 SMA50 and SMA 100 are converged. I will take a long trade here as I see BLDR to be consistent in its move up and setup for entry with a pullback.
NYSE:BLDRLong
by AwesomeAvani
4
NVIDIA soars to an all-time high after Q2 earningsNVIDIA soars to an all-time high after Q2 earnings far exceed expectations NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) shares hit new all-time highs on Thursday following the release of the company's robust Q2 earnings report, which showed a performance that far exceeded Wall Street's expectations. The tech giant's guidance for the next quarter also topped forecasts, leading to a sharp rise in the company's shares. Q2 earnings review NVIDIA reported record Q2 earnings, putting to rest any doubts about its continued growth trajectory. Driven primarily by strong sales in its data center and gaming segments, the company's financial results beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines. The company's revenue for the quarter came in at $7.4 billion, representing a healthy 68% year-over-year increase. NVIDIA's adjusted earnings per share were $1.04, beating the Wall Street consensus estimate of $0.89. Driving factors The impressive results were primarily driven by solid growth in the company's gaming segment, fuelled by insatiable demand for graphics processing units (GPUs). As the digital revolution continues, NVIDIA's high-performance chips have become indispensable business tools worldwide. In addition to its traditional strength in gaming, NVIDIA's data center business continues to thrive. The rise of artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), and high-performance computing (HPC) has opened new avenues of growth for NVIDIA's data center GPU solutions. In addition, the company's acquisition of Mellanox has successfully strengthened NVIDIA's position in the data center networking market. Forward-looking guidance The most exciting news for investors was NVIDIA's forward-looking guidance. The company forecasted Q3 revenues of approximately $7.8 billion, a staggering 50% above the Wall Street consensus of $5.2 billion. This significant increase reinforced the bullish view of the company's future growth potential. Market reaction Investors reacted positively to the news, with NVIDIA shares soaring. The company's robust Q2 results and favorable Q3 guidance drove the share price to an all-time high, further cementing NVIDIA's position as a powerhouse in the global technology industry. The bottom line Despite an uncertain economic climate, NVIDIA continues to exceed expectations with its remarkable financial results. Its stronghold in the booming gaming and data center sectors and its optimistic forward guidance underpin a compelling growth narrative. Investors will undoubtedly keep a close eye on the tech giant as it continues to innovate and grow in the fast-paced world of digital technology. Although NVIDIA's valuations may appear stretched after its recent run-up, its strong growth prospects could justify its high market capitalization. As always, potential investors should adopt a balanced approach, recognizing both the considerable upside potential and the inherent risks associated with high-growth technology stocks.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by LukkVal
Long Trade in CELHThe energy drink maker has always been a mover. The stock trends well and routinely makes 50% moves in a few weeks or months. The stock was a big leader in 2022 and actually rose more than 100% in the middle of the bear market. It has since pulled back but it is again showing a lot of strength. Shares ripped through the 200-day moving average to reclaim their long-term uptrend on heavy buying volume. And after three inside days, it pushed to new highs on Friday. CELH reports earnings Tuesday after the close. All signs point to them beating expectations, but I still wouldn’t risk the farm on it. I would prefer to buy Wednesday morning on a small gap higher.
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by rossgivens
4
$BAC Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Ahead of EarningsIn this video, we'll take a closer look at the technical analysis of Bank of America ( NYSE:BAC ) ahead of earnings and identify key levels to watch. Starting with the weekly chart, we'll analyze the overall trend and momentum of the stock. Moving to the daily chart, we'll look at recent price action and important levels of support and resistance. Next, we'll examine the 4-hour chart for any short-term trends or patterns. Finally, we'll analyze the 1-hour chart to identify potential entry and exit points for traders. By the end of this video, you'll have a better understanding of the technical outlook for NYSE:BAC and key levels to watch ahead of earnings.
NYSE:BAC
by Entrenched
9
Resistance Analysis in Bottoming Stocks: IDXX, OKTAResistance Analysis in Bottoming Stocks: Looking Ahead to Q1 2023 Earnings Stocks that are slowly crawling their way out of the correction of 2022 are now moving up to challenge the more difficult resistance levels from the intermediate-term downtrend. These resistance levels are sideways trends that developed during the downtrend of 2022 to the bottom low. Most stocks that are showing improvement quarter over quarter have completed bottoms, such as IDXX. Those that do not, such as OKTA, are often stocks that had anomalies in their revenue/earnings growth during the pandemic due to stimulus checks artificially inflating their sales to the point there was no possible way that the company could maintain such high revenues that were way off the normal growth levels annually. IDXX has been trending up out of a bottom with sideways trends 2 times now. This is best seen on a weekly or 4 day chart. The stock has not reached the next strong resistance level yet but is probably going there during the next month as it reports in early May. If it continues sideways during the month of April, then the report is not likely to show a significant improvement over the financial data from last quarter. The All-Time High will be Very Strong Resistance as it occurred at the peak of the pandemic's speculative gains. The Moderate Resistance is one tier down from the top's all-time high. It can be more easily overcome as it is not a longer sideways trend and there was no sideways trend at that level on the way up to the top in the final months of 2021. The Strong Resistance lowest red line is stronger because of the sideways trend from 2020 - 2021 and the sideways trend during the 2022 downtrend. OKTA has an entirely different trend moving upward. The stock has not completed the bottom and first resistance level to complete the bottom is Very Strong Resistance. The next tier up is Moderate Resistance. The next Very Strong Resistance is the rounding top highs of 2021.
NASDAQ:IDXX
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
How to Access Stocks Earnings Report in TradingViewWelcome back Traders! TradingView has done an excellent job providing earnings information on individual stocks! If you are a new or existing stock market trader, you will find this information helpful and I hope you learn something new. Please support this education idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by BKTradingAcademy
20
Truworths crashing after results and new target in play Truworths has formed an M Formation over the last few weeks. The price broke below the neckline and now it looks like the next target is in play. 21=7 - Changing Price >200 - Bullish RSI <50 Bearish Mixed view with bearish bias. Also it seems that the market is not appreciating the Truworths $JSETRU 1H 2023 results. Revenue R11.73 billion, +14% y/y Net income R1.88 billion, +6.1% y/y Adjusted EPS R4.874 vs R4.438 y/y Gross margin 53.5% vs. 53.6% y/y Interim dividend per share R3.20 I'm bearish right now but with the mixed signals anything can change.
JSE:TRUShort
by Timonrosso
ROKU Earnings: Not Bad But Not GreatROKU has an incomplete bottom ahead of its earnings report later this week. The technical patterns don't indicate a bad report, just not a great one. There is some accumulation and a shift of sentiment around the lows of the bottom formation, which are likely to provide support. It is unlikely that this stock would drop further than the Dark Pool Buy Zone unless it has a bad report. The company has struggled with Market Saturation for a while. Some strategic partnerships recently and in the future may be what the stock needs to stabilize here to eventually begin the next uptrend. Weekly chart showing strong long-term support for the current bottom formation:
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NASDAQ:ROKU
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
5