Long just-before or on 20th November 2018 Earnings Release DateThe last time BBY was in a downtrend with earnings release was 16 Nov 2017. 4-weeks after that the stock was higher; this was the case even through earnings per share was a miss (0.78 versus 0.79 consensus).
This time, expect an earnings per share beat for 20 Nov 2018.
Long at or around $68, Hold until $80 the resistance of current channel. Hold position until Christmas 2018.
Earningsanalysis
Apple earnings after today's closing bellApple, H4 and Daily
November 1, 2018 ·Andria Pichidi
Today, FAANG earnings announcements are reaching to an end, with the Apple being the last one releasing its third quarter earnings for 2018 after today’s closing bell on Wall Street. Apple shares, but in general stocks, moved broadly higher, globally, after a mixed session in Asia where Japanese markets underperformed.
Apple shares opened $4 higher, reaching the 20-day SMA, as market participants are looking forward ahead of third Quarter earnings report. Markets remain cautious to see whether the global trade tensions had an impact on company's growth and company's forecasts for the holiday season.
Apple's consensus recommendation is "neutral to buy", corresponding to the majority of the consensus recommendation for the Online Services peer group , as 13 out of 24 analyst firms suggest remaining on hold, and 11 propose the "buy" or "strong buy" possibility. According to Zacks Investment Research, the social network giant is expected to have $2.79 in earnings per share during the third quarter of 2018, which represents an incline by nearly 19% since the reported EPS for the fiscal quarter ending June 2018, and a yearly increase of up to 34.7%. Revenue is expected to be released at $61,558.40 billion , 13% up from the $53,265.00 billion reported in the previous quarter.
Aside from the EPS number, investors would probably turn their eyes on net sales, as Apple is anticipated to have boosted into the market more than 48 mln iPhones during the past 3 months. This is higher than the last September, and could push phone's price even higher, especially as iPhone XR is already out. Therefore, this along with the optimistic view on iPhone XS and XS MAX sales, Apple's total sales for the third quarter, are expected to positively surprise. Apple’s main concern seems to be the US-China trade war and Apple's wealth in China. However as Apple is the 1st trillion listed company in the world, the trade war is unlikely to have a huge impact on it.
Turning to the technical side, if the company achieves accuracy with its forecast, then a positive earnings outcome without any negative surprises could attract more bulls back into the market. This could boost price action higher and hence a correction to October's drop. In the near term, a closing today above the Resistance at $221.30 , which reflects the confluence of 50-day SMA and the latest up daily fractal. This is a crucial level as it represents also the break of 50.0% Fib. retracement level since the $233.42 high.
Therefore such move could confirm the turn of the outlook from neutral to a bullish and we could see stock retesting year's peak at $233.42.
The daily momentum indicators meanwhile comply with a neutral picture. RSI is consolidating close to 50 since mid of October, whilst MACD lines are just a breath below the neutral zone.
In the intra day chart, the sell-off sentiment pushes the stock price lower, amid a combination of events. Immediate Support holds at $213.43 , which is Tuesday's close and 2 consecutive low fractals area. Therefore a disappointing earnings outcome could extend Apple's price lower to the $213.43 Support. Further losses could lead to October's low at $207.30.
Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
Ahead of Facebook Q3 Earnings - Further Drop?FB , Daily and Weekly
October 30, 2018 - Andria Pichidi
This will be a busy and important week in the US for data and earnings, but today’s slate is rather quiet with just CB Consumer Confidence. Earnings include Facebook, Ebay, T-mobile, Morgan Stanley, Coca-Cola, GE etc. Hence as we are in the midst of Earning Season, the focus turns today to another tech giant after Amazon and Alphabet - Facebook and its third Quarter earnings release for 2018 after today’s closing bell on Wall Street.
Facebook's consensus recommendation is "strong buy", corresponding to the majority of the consensus recommendation for the Online Services peer group , as 24 out of 31 Analyst Firms recommend "Strong buy" and 3 propose the "buy" possibility, while 4 suggest remaining on hold. According to Zacks Investment Research, the social network giant is expected to have $1.47 in earnings per share during the third Quarter of 2018, which represents a decline by nearly 7% since the reported EPS for the fiscal Quarter ending September 2017. Revenue is expected to be released at $13.78 billion, 34% up from the $3.91 billion reported the previous quarter.
Aside from the EPS number, investors would probably turn their eyes exclusively to revenue and user growth outcome, as the miss on revenue and user growth the last quarter drove Facebook’s stock price down by 33%. At this stage, we have to point out that since September 2017, the company’s revenue missed expectations only once, while earnings per share always positively surprised. Despite the robust earning reports, Facebook stock price was seen sharply decreasing after the release of the earnings report the last Quarter, due to the miss of revenue, the slowdown on users growth and the huge spending on security and account fraud. The stock drifted from its $218.48 high in June 2018, to $138.78 as of today, which represents more than $200 billion in market value.
The 3 months after July 22 were dramatic for Facebook, as the company had to face regulation threats, the breach of privacy for its users, the hack of millions of accounts, the suspension of misinformation, executive departures and claims from their advertisers for manipulation of video metrics. All these barriers added further pressure on stock price and caused the dramatic decline since then. Meanwhile it seems that Facebook has not managed to overcome all these problems, since new misinformation news have been announced just last Friday. Facebook is currently fighting to eliminate misinformation ahead of the US mid-term elections.
Figure 2: Reprinted from Facebook Inc. Financial Highlights
As privacy was one of the main aids for Facebook’s underperformance, the decline in the global Equity market also weighed on stock price – USA30 is down by 7.62% QTD and USA500 declined by 9.36% QTD. Facebook is a part of both the USA500 and USA30 indices. The nagging trade/tariff concerns appeared to be vindicated by earnings shortfalls first in the semiconductor sector, then tech more broadly as follow-up misses by momentum titans Amazon and Alphabet took a bite out of the FAANGS.
Therefore along with the earnings report today, focus will be also on the conference that follows the release, regarding any remarks on the company’s growth and privacy problems.
Turning to the technical side, if the company achieves accuracy with its forecast, then a positive earnings outcome without any negative surprises on revenue and users growth could attract some bulls back into the market. This could boost price action higher and hence a correction to 4-month drop could be seen. In the short term, a decisive turn to the upside could find Resistance at $154.00-$155.00 area , which reflects the confluence of 20-day SMA, but importantly the confluence of 61.8% Fib level on 2-year rally and the 61.8% Fib. extension on the massive decline which occurred on July. Further potential Resistance could come near $166.00, the 50.0% Fib. level.
In the long term, after the 33% drop since July, only a spike above $176.90 could turn the outlook from bearish to a bullish one again. This strong Resistance level holds at the 50-week SMA and it is also the mid point of July to up-to-date performance. Hence if the asset manages to hold above this level, it could retest the year high at $218.49.
For now, the sell-off sentiment continues to push stock price lower, amid a combination of events. Therefore a disappointing earnings outcome could extend Facebook’s price lower. The next Support could be found at the $133.20 – $136.68 area, which includes the 200-week SMA, the 78.6% Fib. level and the 100.0% Fib. extension.
A break of this area and more precisely the $133.20 barrier is crucial as it is a “free fall” from that level downwards. This level is set at the 200-week SMA which coincides with the lower Bollinger Bands pattern. Support after this area could possibly occur around December 2016 prices, around the $114.00 level.
Technically, the weekly-term outlook for the corporation’s shares remains bearish, with trading activity taking place below 50 and 100- week moving averages, while momentum indicators comply with this as well. RSI is at 29 and falling, suggesting that there is further space to the downside. MACD lines crossed below neutral zone and signal line, while they are increasing to the downside, suggesting the potential rise of negative momentum. However as long as the floor at $133.20 – $136.68 holds, then there are still hopes for an upwards correction in the short term.
Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
Two Giants on the Same dayGOOGLE and AMAZON
On Wall Street, the USA500 closed 3.1% for the worse, and the tech-laden USA100 with a 4.6% loss. Corporate earnings and guidance have been flagging the nascent signs of a deteriorating business environment and outlook risks. As investors are loosing there faith in stock market, there pressure has moved to today's earnings reports, as two of the industry leaders Amazon and Google parent Alphabet, along with Twitter, will release their earnings reports for the fiscal Quarter ending Sep 2018, after today's closing bell on Wall Street.
Amazon and Google chart
Alphabet(Google)
Alphabet Inc. is a holding company and Google's parent company. The Company's businesses include Google Inc. (which is the largest one) and its Internet products, such as Access, Calico, CapitalG, GV, Nest, Verily, Waymo and X. The Company's segments include Google and Other Bets.
Alphabet's third Quarter earnings for 2018 will be reported after the US Market close today. The consensus recommendation for the company is “strong buy”, corresponding to the majority of the consensus recommendation for the Online Services peer group , as 23 out of 29 Analyst Firms recommending “buy” or “Strong buy” and 2 suggest remaining on hold, while just 4 Analyst firms propose the “Buy” possibility. Hence no Analyst Firms is making a "Sell" or "underperform" recommendation for the company.
According to Zacks Investment Research, the information service is expected to have $10.43 in earnings per share during the third Quarter of 2018, which represents a yearly change of 8.7%, since the reported EPS for the fiscal Quarter ending September 2017 was $9.57. Focus should also turn on revenues number which is projected to hit 22.6% yoy rise, to around $34.04 billion, from the $27.77 billion reported last year.
The Alphabet has faced some serious difficulties the 2nd Quarter, as EU commission accused the company for anticompetitive methods regarding its mobile search engine. The company was fined by 5.1 Billions by the EU, which it manage to handle but it also proceed in an appeal despite the fact that it already took the charge. Despite the pressure during the 2nd quarter, over the next five years, the search giant’s quarterly profits are expected to continue rising. The earnings expected to grow at an average annual rate of 17.37%, with the current year projection for EPS reaching 22.80%.
However, worries regarding another government intervention still hold. This in combination with the sharp decline we have seen in tech stocks the last 3 months, raise concerns whether company's earnings will manage to reach consensus.
At this stage, we have to point out that, the consensus recommendation, similarly to economic data forecasts, has a significant effect on the near term stock price, as it represents a company’s wealth picture. Hence on every earning report, stock price is highly influenced by the comparison between the outcome and the expectations. The market tends to react positively if the outcome comes better or at least in line with forecast, while the price moves lower if the reported earnings miss expectations.
Since September 2017, the company’s earnings missed expectations only once and positively surprised three times. Despite any missed earnings expectations, Google stock price was seen continuously increasing until it reached $1,272.36 high in July 1. The 4-years incline was affected by the increase of sales estimates and the general constant growth of Alphabet Inc.
The fall however, since the earnings report release for the fiscal Quarter ending June 2018 was driven by the miss on earnings, EU fine and global tech sell-off. The sell-off still holds sharply, concerns that earnings momentum is levelling off and that tighter financial conditions, coupled with ongoing trade tensions are hitting the global growth outlook, are prompting investors to rethink lofty equity valuations.
These caused the price to drop by nearly $222.00, to $1051.53.00 level since July peak.
After the sharp drop by 17.16% down, the past 3 months, a decisive turn above $1,160.00 - $1,169.00 area, could turn the attention to the northwards again. This area is significant as it coincides with 50% return of the losses seen since July, with the 50-day SMA and 20-week SMA. Hence if price action manages to sustain a move above this area, is likely to turn towards $1,230.00 (61.8% Fib. level). A move higher could take the asset towards the 100% Fibonacci extension at the $1,330.00.
For now, the sell-off sentiment continues to push stock price lower, just a breath away from the ascending trend-line set since June 2015 low and seems to fully support the asset since then. The trend-line coincides with the 20-month SMA, at $1,036.00 which provides the immediate Support level for the asset. An extension lower could be supported by April's low at $1,007.00
Technically, the medium term outlook for the corporation’s shares remains strongly bearish, with trading activity taking place below all daily MAs and below 20-and 50- week MAs, while momentum indicators comply with this as well. Weekly RSI is at 37 and falling, suggesting that there is further space to the downside. MACD lines are at neutral zone below signal line.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
Amazon:
The consensus recommendation for the company is “Strong buy”, which matches the majority consensus recommendation for the Software peer group (29/33). Amazon is expected to post $3.29 earnings per share and a revenue of $57.0 billion, which reflect to a huge increase of more than 500% on earning and a 30.2% grow on revenue on a year-over-year basis. According to Refinitiv, Amazon is expected by analysts to report a September-quarter non-GAAP net profit of $1.54 billion, compared to just $256 million a year ago.
The company’s earnings beat robustly expectations in the last 4 Quarters and it is expected to do it today as well despite the fall by 12% seen this month. There is nearly nothing to point conversely, as the 3rd Quarter was a good one for Amazon, as it manage to join Apple into the $1 trillion Market value club. During 3rd Quarter, the company will also include once of its largest shopping events, the Prime Day, which is expected to boost the quarterly revenue along with its subscription number.
Despite estimates put the giant’s earnings to post another massive growth report, the fall by 18.37% seen since $2,050.00 push Amazon's stock price further to the downside.
Taking a technical look at Amazon's stock, the drop of daily RSI and the increase of MACD oscillator further to the downside is pointing to a bearish medium-term picture. In the medium-term, the asset crossed below 20-week SMA 3 weeks ago, while it is moving below 20- and 50-day SMA and just $9 above 200-day SMA. The price movement suggest further bias towards bearish. Therefore the extension lower for Amazon price, prior to the earnings announcement or even disappointing earnings outcome, could find immediate Support at the $1,618.00 – $1,628.00 area, which is between the 61.8% Fib. level and the 61.8% fib. extension set since April's bottom.
A break of this area however is crucial as it is a “free fall” from that level downwards. Support could possibly occur around 50-week SMA, at the $1,581.00, and the $1.504.60, which coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci level of the rally from $1,358.00 low.
Conversely, immediate Resistance to a falling stock on the back of a rebound could occur around the latest up fractal which also the mid of 2-month decline, at $1,860.00. A move above the latter is likely to restore the bullish outlook, with the shares eyeing at record high, at $2,050.00 again.
NASDAQ:AMZN
Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
Netflix ahead of Q3: Key levels to watchNETFLIX, H4 & Daily
Netflix's third Quarter earnings for 2018 will be reported after the US Market close on October 16. The consensus recommendation for the company is "strong buy", corresponding to the majority of the consensus recommendation for the Online Services peer group , as 21 out of 32 Analyst Firms recommending "buy" or "Strong buy" and 9 suggest remaining on hold, while just 2 Analyst firms propose the "Sell" possibility.
According to Zacks Investment Research, the internet video service is expected to have $0.68 in earnings per share during the third Quarter of 2018, which represents an extraordinary yearly change of 235.35%, since the reported EPS for the fiscal Quarter ending September 2017 was $0.29. Focus should also turn on revenues number which is expected to be around $3.99 billion, from the $3.91 billion reported the previous quarter.
Figure 1: Reprinted from Netflix, Inc. Analyst Forecasts Earnings Growth, retrieved from www.nasdaq.com
The consensus recommendation, similarly to economic data forecasts, has a significant effect on the near term stock price, as it represents a company’s wealth picture. Hence on every earning report, stock price is highly influenced by the comparison between the outcome and the expectations. The market tends to react positively if the outcome comes better or at least in line with forecast, while the price moves lower if the reported earnings miss expectations.
At this stage, we have to point out that since September 2017, the company’s earnings missed expectations only once and positively surprised twice, while they remained unchanged just once. Despite in line or missed earnings expectations, Netflix stock price was seen continuously increasing until it reached $423.00 high in June 2018. The constant incline was affected by the increase of revenue number, along with the sales estimates as well.
The fall since the earnings report release for the fiscal Quarter ending June 2018 was driven by the miss on sales and revenue valuations, despite the upbeat earnings. Therefore, stock market price could also be affected by subscriptions growth or revenue outcome as well.
More precisely, Netflix reported upbeat earnings per share up to $0.85 (vs $0.80) for its second Quarter, while revenue came in less than expected at $3.91 billion (vs $3.94 anticipated based on Thomson Reuters estimates) and the company’s total subscribers growth domestically & internationally also fell below projections for the first time in five Quarters. This caused the price to drop by nearly $113.00, to $310.00 level.
Figure 2: Revenue and Earnings per Share. Reprinted from Netflix Inc. Financial Highlights, retrieved from www.reuters.com .
After the overall defeat in the second Quarter, the company’s management should have followed a more conservative method for third Quarter estimations regarding subscriber additions. If the company achieved accuracy with its forecast, then a positive earnings outcome without any negative surprises on revenue and subscriptions could attract many bulls back into the market. After the sharp drop by 18.3% down, the past 2 weeks, a decisive turn above $351.30, could turn the attention to the $400.00 handle. The $351.30 reflects the confluence of 100-day EMA but importantly the 50% return of the losses seen in October which is a level of importance. Hence if price action manages to sustain a move above $351.00- $354.00 area (50-day SMA), is likely to turn to a bullish outlook again.
For now, the sell-off sentiment continues to push stock price lower, amid a combination of events such as the ongoing China-US trade friction, but mainly due to the worries over the uptrend in rates, something that is boosting the US treasury bond yields higher and gradually weakening the demand for equities. Hence the higher the yields the lower the stocks, especially “risky equities” such as tech stocks, i.e. Netflix as well. The investor’s earning season anticipation also undermines stock demand.
Contrarily, the extension lower for Netflix price, prior to the earnings announcement or even disappointing earnings outcome, could find immediate Support at the $308.00 – $310.00 area, which is the 5-month bottom and 50-week EMA. A break of this area however is crucial as it is a “free fall” from that level downwards. Support could possibly occur around April’s prices, at the $272.00 – $280.00 area, which coincides with the 150.0% and 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the decline from $386.46 peak. The 161.8% Fib. level coexists with the latest weekly low fractal.
Technically, the medium term outlook for the corporation’s shares remains bearish, with trading activity taking place below 50-100 and 200- day moving averages, while momentum indicators comply with this as well. RSI is at 31 and falling, suggesting that there is further space to the downside. MACD lines crossed below neutral zone and signal line, while they are increasing to the downside, suggesting the potential rise of negative momentum. However as long as the floor at $308.00 - $310.00 area holds, then the complete turn to a bearish outlook cannot be confirmed.
Click HERE to read the full article: analysis.hotforex.com
Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
AMBA - High Def SCAMBA: The simple answer...Ambarella, Inc. offers semiconductor processing solutions for video that enable high-definition (HD), video capture, sharing and display.
Love this long run on sentence and now you know why the dip. Await smart driving cars for growth as likely booster.
The company's system-on-a-chip designs integrated HD video processing, image processing, computer vision functionality, audio processing, and system functions onto a single chip for delivering video and image quality, differentiated functionality, and low power consumption. Its solutions enable the creation of video content for wearable cameras, automotive cameras, and professional and consumer Internet Protocol (IP) security cameras, as well as cameras incorporated into unmanned aerial vehicles in the camera market; and manage IP video traffic, broadcast encoding and transcoding, and IP video delivery applications in the infrastructure market.
Small cap 1.4B Mkt Value Ambarella is beaten up currently with negative ROI, lower revenue growth and earnings. It is below it's normal resistance line, but ROI not ready to put in quarters. Still looking at Jukebox for play options. If you like smart car tech semiconductor, this will drive it's growth. Its system-on-a-chip design offers acquisition mindset for GOOG, APPL, etc. as other play. $38 bargain risky.
For own use. Viewers come to own investment opines/sententia.
RGEN - LEAPS & BOUNDs RGEN: Repligen Corporation is a bioprocessing company. The Company is focused on the development, manufacture and commercialization of products used to improve the interconnected phases of the biological drug manufacturing process. The Company's portfolio includes protein products, chromatography products, and filtration products.
RGEN as a mid-cap is new watch and being saved for own watch list and entry steep right now. 2.4B Mkt Cap and similiar EV. BETA 0.71 so great buy and forget stock. Debt low to cash flow.
Ownership: 80 Institution, 3 Management and insider trend has been sell. Look at chart and ask why?
Q2 Earnings in early Aug. were good, but first time below mkt expectations in awhile....so watching. Q3 E in early Nov-18.
Buylongselllong format courtesy of @MarxBabu. Format changed to add 1w MA and add resistance line for optimal entry. Comments & feedback appreciated especially if you understand the technology by Repligen.
H&S Inverse ***ON WATCH***W/ Confirmed breakout, PT ≈ 3.7.
Correvio completed CRME aquisition effective today. Also Q1ER w/ EPS miss, but REV beat. HS inverse w/ + daily detected momentum and MACD ready to cross, right after golden cross of 50 & 200 DMA on 09MAY.
My earnings analysis on EXELThere is a nice symmetrical triangle pattern that has formed just in time for earnings. A good indication that a decent move is in store for EXEL depending on the ER.
Green box : gap down here into support we could see some buying off the lower trendline and 100 day SMA, or the 200 day SMA if the price gaps that far. The latter being a much stronger area to buy.
Red box : gap up into resistance we could see some selling. However, if the move is strong enough, the resistance at $32.20 could be broken and she moves higher. At that point look to buy the rest off that old resistance, new support.
Let's see what happens tomorrow for earnings.
Good luck :D
Hammer ShortSSl recently has been recovering from a market correction. However, even tho the coppock curve and the ADX are saying this could be a buy, I see a hammer candlestick forming. This shows that the prior trend could be changing. So, I put a short position below the 50 MA. Also, volume seems to be decreasing.
Potential Option Plays for AAPL's earnings (Naked Put or BPS)To take advantage of the high volatility, I plan on selling a naked put over earnings for either the $155 or $157.5 strike price for this Friday's expiration (February 2). Most likely the $157.5 strike for around $0.80.
A less riskier option (no pun intended) is to sell a BPS about $10 below the closing price for the same February 2 expiration.
If I get put the shares, I won't mind since it's Apple. They are only the largest and most profitable company in the world. Shares + a covered call to get rid of the shares is the back up plan.
Earnings play pt.4BT is currently in a flag pattern, so is the RSI and the CCI.However, BT does not really show that much volatility in recent earnings reports. So, I would only be shorting till the 50 SMA.
Earnings play pt2CVLT has recently broken out of a flag position and has decreased in price. However the stock hit prior support and rose in price. The RVI is showing a flag pattern, so we could see a short-term rise in volatility. Also, the RSI is has been rising for the last few days. So, I am putting my long position above the 50 ma which is providing resistance and potential support in the future. My short will be below the prior support.
Earning play pt 2IBM has gapped up since yesterdays open. Looking at prior earning reports the stock does provide us with the volatility we need to profit off this earning. The RVI is backing this idea with the breakout in the trend. However, the RSI is showing this stock could potentially be overbought and a short-term sell off could occur. Also, the 50 MA is providing the support for the stock. Potentially, a short and long hedge could be played here.
Earnings playThe Coppock curve has been broadening in the last few weeks - this could be showing a potential swing trade. Also, the stock has a 50 MA resistance which could be a defining moment if the earnings report is a beat. Furthermore, the stock has not really shown any chart pattern in the last few months, but the volume has been decreasing ever since the stock jumped. So, I have decided to hedge this trade.
Broadening wedge earnings playUSM is now in a broadening wedge pattern. Past volatility has proven profitable, hence my long order is till 50 MA and my short order is till the last low.Also, the volume has decreased showing there maybe a large breakout about to come and the Coppock curve is in a horizontal pattern and has also gone negative so it may rebound and go positive.
Apple long term buy?I remember buying AAPL at 119.00 and I sold off my shares near 140-150. Another opportunity has risen. AAPL has broken out of a head and shoulders pattern. Also, the 50 MA is providing support and the coppock curve has a lot more room to move positive so this could be a chance to get back in. (If the stock does fall then it will probably fall into the top of the head and then rebound). AAPL recently released the iPhone X so since that's so recent there is not much room for its sales and profit to be counted in today's earnings report - but maybe in Q4.
So, if the stock rises I may cancel my take profit and go long-term. But, if it falls as I previously said I may buy for a medium-term swing trade.
Tesla Head and ShouldersTesla has produced a head and shoulders pattern. It has not yet broken out of that pattern but today is earning report- so maybe the opportunity is rising to profit tremendously. The volume has been in a decreasing trend ever since the last earnings report, so I accept a large breakout. Also, the coppock curve has been in a decreasing trend line for a while. I have put the buy order and the sell order at 3.00% take-profit, to cover any potential rebound in the short term.
Earnings cup and handle patternTRI has provided a cup and handle pattern - and is currently in a short term flag. The coppock curve has been decreasing with the flag. Long order is till the open of the flag. Short is opening below 25 MA. Also, the volume is decreasing with the flag at a angle of 35 degrees - showing a potential large breakout.
Earnings Flag Breakout?DVN previously has produced a head and shoulders patterns, hence the decrease in stock price for the long period. But, recently the stock broke out of its flag pattern and it is also earning report day for DVN today. So, there is an opportunity. I have put the Long order at the next fibonacci level, as that will provide support and resistance. The Long take-profit is till the 50 MA. The Short order is until the next lower fibonacci level.
New Yearly High?BP has broken out of a flag pattern.However, is going negative in the coppock curve. Also, the total revenue has been the same for a while now. Im going to be relying on volatility. If its short it will be only short-termly i believe and if it is Long then short-term increase followed by pull-back then increase until Q4. Also, the moving average is providing support. I put my Long on the next fibonacci level.I have put the Long and short take profit at 1% but I think the price change will be much bigger so if it is - I will extend take profit.
Amazon's current issueAmazon's total revenue has been increasing quarter on quarter since 2012, this is shown by the stock price rise form that point. But the current trend is a head and shoulders pattern. the stock rose against the head and shoulders pattern which is only natural, could this mean a larger reversal is coming for the stock? I have chosen to hedge this earning report. But, AMZN doesn't really have that much volatile in times of earning report - unless the surprise is astronomical. So, I'm going to be cutting short any losses. Also, the 100 MA is providing resistance as of this point, so this may be the volatile we are looking for, as stock usually rise or fall quite bit near moving averages. So, if the stock does boom, will it be enough to over power the head and shoulders pattern?