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REAL - Why I love this (super cheap) company. LOADING UPI will forever be a holder of my REAL stock. It's the largest position in my personal investment account with a basis in the very low $1 range from early 2023. You can see why as we have positive earnings reports quarter after quarter and it's only a matter of time until Wall Street starts to notice. There is a huge short float position on this so I'm just happy to see that our selling has been in a controlled manner and I'm excited for the future of it! See you all at market open! Happy Trading :)
NASDAQ:REALLong
by ReigningTrades
Toll Brothers Inc. ($TOL) AnalysisSector: Consumer Cyclical - Residential Construction | Country: USA Company Overview: Toll Brothers Inc., a key player in the consumer cyclical sector, specifically residential construction, holds a significant position in shaping the real estate landscape in the United States. Known for its innovative approach and commitment to quality, Toll Brothers Inc. plays a crucial role in the dynamic and ever-evolving construction industry. Performance Metrics: NYSE:TOL demonstrates robust signals and compelling performance metrics within the wide-net screening, indicating its potential for growth and resilience in the residential construction sector. Relative Strength: NYSE:TOL exhibits a remarkable relative strength, boasting a score of 7.8 against its sector and 4.53 against the S&P500. This suggests a notable outperformance, underlining its competitive edge and market strength. U/D Ratios: With U/D ratios standing at 1.0 (50 days) and a strong 1.69 (15 days), NYSE:TOL showcases positive market sentiment, emphasizing recent bullish activity and supporting a favorable outlook. Detected Base Depth: A substantial detected base depth of 22.4% positions NYSE:TOL strategically, indicating a solid foundational level and potential for significant upward movement. Price Dynamics: The last closing price's slight deviation of 4.53% from base resistance suggests a favorable positioning, indicating potential for a breakout. Robust volume, standing at 71.73% above the 15-day average, indicates heightened investor interest and active participation, contributing to positive market sentiment. Recent candlestick patterns reveal a 0.24% range in the last candle body and a solid 69.0% closing range, indicating recent price stability and a strong closing stance. Short-term Trends: Over the last 10 days, NYSE:TOL has experienced rising prices, accompanied by increasing volume and accumulation. This alignment suggests a bullish sentiment among investors, supported by short-term positive trends. EMA Analysis: Historical EMA patterns indicate that NYSE:TOL typically encounters local tops when the price closes around 55.89% above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Currently, the last closing price is 9.04% away from the 50 EMA, providing insights into potential correction levels. Trade Idea: With an entry point set at $87.31, the trade idea presents an opportunity aligned with current market dynamics. A disciplined stop loss at $83.82 mitigates risk at 4%, adhering to prudent risk management principles. The trade targets an attractive 11.66 Risk-Reward (RR) ratio, with a target price of $128.03, anticipating a total profit of 46.65%. Conclusion: Toll Brothers Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) emerges as a strong contender in the residential construction sector, supported by impressive relative strength, positive short-term trends, and insightful EMA dynamics. The proposed trade idea aligns with a base breakout strategy, presenting an attractive risk-reward profile for investors seeking opportunities in the dynamic realm of residential construction.
NYSE:TOLLong
by HaseebKhan_90
Positive Earnings Gaps Seldom Fill: NFLXTo follow up on my analysis of NFLX from Wednesday ... Despite the market moodiness and selling, NASDAQ:NFLX reported well above estimates. HFTs triggered a huge gap up on heavy pre-open order flow yesterday. Volume was also huge, so smaller funds' VWAPs triggered and retail traders chased the stock while Pro Traders and HFTs made some big profits. Gaps up on positive earnings seldom fill completely. There is a strong support level at $350 which the gap up now confirms.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
MRVL fell after earnings beat & recovery REVERSALMRVL a technology stock beholden to the ebbs and tides of both the general markets and the leaders of the tech sector fell on a mild earnings beat this is to say traders were disappointed and responded with a 16% sell off from the pre-earnings run up. I see MRVL potentially suitable for a retracement of half of the 16%. On the 30- minute chart using both pivots as well as near and intermediate volume profiles I have marked out important levels upside from the current market. Accordinly, there are three targets I will close 50% of the position at the first 30% at the second and the remaining 20% at the third. I see this as an 8-10% overall profit in a swing trade of about a week duration. If the tech sector recovers next week from this current week, the profit could well be higher.
NASDAQ:MRVLLong
by AwesomeAvani
DE falling into undervalued territory / Favorable Earnings LONGDE on the 4H chart is now setup for a long trade. It is now positioned just above a long term anchored VWAP to which a stop loss can be set just below @ 390. DE was falling before favorable earnings and has not yet reversed. I see this as an opportunity to trade an industrial blue chip taking entry well below fair value and so a bargain. I will get a mixture of a handfulof stock shares and a single option 4 months to expiration. The target is selected to be 445 at the upper Bollinger bands confluent with the second deviation line of the anchored VWAP. This is about 13% upside- while the option's profit potential is substantially higher. If you would like to know the details of the call option leave a comment. ( if this idea is of interest considering liking and following :)
NYSE:DELong
by AwesomeAvani
UPST ready to run higherUPST on the daily chart is 65% below its highs of March 22 . It rose above the long term POC line of the volume profile two months ago after a favorable earnings report. Another earnings will report in a month. There has been very little trading above the current price in the visible range. This means there is little volume resistance to price rise. Price is presently at the longterm mean VWAP anchored 16 months in the past and got there by rising from the support of the line one standard deviation below the mean aVWAP. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines have first crossed under the histogram and then ascended in parallel above the zero line in yet another sign of bullish momentum. Lastly, the three in one indicator including money flow is all green. I readily conclude that UPST is set up well for a long swing trade targetting just below the mentioned swing highs and so $160 or so. This would be about 200% while setting a stop loss at $50. I believe the trade offers a great potential reward to risk and so will open this position while identifying an entry on the 15-30 minute chart looking for a pivot low.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by AwesomeAvani
22
APPLE: POST EARNINGS - 1.42EPS & $42.4BN BEAT - UP 8% @ 103.5 PMApple beat expectations marginally at 42.4bn and 1.42EPS. Apple reported not outstanding results, but nonetheless, the earnings call from Tim Cook et al. gave Apple the momentum to break the 101 resistance level and we closed post market up at the last low 100 resistance level at 103.5 (filled the low 100's resistance gap in). Today the market will go either way - 1) With more liquidity backing the move break-out to the 104's - from here I would advise buying with a target of 110-112. - Signs of this move would be a bullish pre-market e.g. 104-5; I would advise buying this level ASAP OR risk-averse traders could wait and see if we get a pullback into the 103.8 resistance level at some point after the rally as a recovery leg of the move higher which would be almost inevitable 2) and my preferred prediction is that more liquidity brings us back down to at least the previous resistance level at 101 before then moving higher in the next few days to break-out the 104 and trade towards 110, as IMO 103.4 is high relative to the results - yes they just beat estimates but IMO the estimates were very low and i infact expected more. Nonetheless, given apples depression and even at 110 trading 20% down I can easily see this becoming a recovery rally to the 112 level before reversing (especially as the Nasdaq continues to make new 12m highs on its way to ATH). BOJ on friday is something to watch out for though - a miss will likely turn risk markets sour and take the carpet from under apples feet say if it was at 107. - Signs of this will obviously be a quiet pre-market or a bearish pre-market e.g. trading at 103 flat, then when market opens we see a cascade of old TPs move us to the 101 level where supply/ demand stabilises. Or simply in pre-market we've already moved to 101 and are ticking along. IMO if this is the case it is best to see if we can get a 102/104(breakout) before buying as at 101 we run the risk of breaking lower (as we have seen apple break lower from 101 several times). 3) Also it is possible that the market sees apple as expensive at 103/4 so sells off straight through the 101 resistance say to low 99/100's - this imo is a bearish setup and i dont think Apple will plan on having any upside momentum going forward e.g. no 104 breakout if today in pre/ normal market we see 100 or less. - Signs of this will obviously be a sell-off from the 103.5 post market to the 100 level in pre/normal market. Here I have no interest in buying as i expect apple to move back into the 90's with time - also you have to remember even a sell-off to the 100s shows apple up 4% as it closed at $96 yesterday. Personal Note: I have long been an apple bull so i like the topside possibilities but equally Apple has struggled of late to hold onto gains/ rally. that said, the time to rally would be now (on target earnings/ bull market/ upbeat earnings call/ broken initial resistance levels) - it would have been nice to see apple trade through the final level at 104 which is the last highly restrictive technical level left, but the fact it held means we have to be vigilant - read the above and make smart decisions.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by QuantumLogicTrading
5