SPY to New LowsMarket Makers are selling off large caps and shifting funds into Indexes in order to hold the market up for a complete exit on large caps since they'll be hit the hardest by a crash event and another rate hike. Apple earnings are today after hours, and appear to be the last decider for this earnings weak, amazon and apple both hold the largest weight for SPY. Meta down, Microsoft down, Tesla down, Google down, Apple & Amazon are Spy's last hope, and based on not going against the trend, I'd assume these two giants do like Meta, Google, Microsoft, & Tesla. Slight chance this gets manipulated since apple is the largest holding of a lot of investors but I believe they must be exiting apple shares while pumping the indexes to maximize the exit position.
GDP was higher than expected, which can add fuel to the fire of another rate hike that can tank the market further down, US Dollar needs to go up from here, very overextended to be honest, and could lead to a ripple effect, a huge parabolic sell off.
Earningsplay
Kraft: Gains to be capped?!Kraft Heinz Company
Short Term - We look to Sell at 38.68 (stop at 40.36)
Prices have continued the bullish move higher and resulted in 2 consecutive positive days. This has resulted in signals for sentiment being at overbought extremes and we look for a move to the downside. Bespoke resistance is located at 39.00. Price action continues to gravitate towards crucial resistance levels with aggressive buying interest. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 34.50 and 33.00
Resistance: 39.00 / 44.50 / 55.00
Support: 34.50 / 31.00 / 25.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
PAYO pre-earnings rally highly likelyNew IPO got smashed with the overall market.
Made a nice bottom with a latest accumulation on 7-8 range
With two strong earnings in the pocket we can expect another pre-earnings rally.
Low float stock.
Latest upgrades + stronger overall market can make this thing run.
1st Target - next resistance 9.60
AA: Bad earnings report will push down?Alcoa Corporation
Intraday - We look to Sell at 37.00 (stop at 41.12)
This stock has recently been in the news headlines. A sequence of daily lower lows and highs has been posted. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 37.00 level.
Our profit targets will be 27.48 and 22.00
Resistance: 41.00 / 58.00 / 80.00
Support: 27.50 / 17.50 / 10.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Tesla earnings are everything tomorrow!Traders,
Do not underestimate an earnings miss on Tesla tomorrow. Earnings est. is $1.00. If missed:
1. It could trigger the start of the massive bearish H&S pattern.
2. It will bring down the Nasdaq with it.
3. Nasdaq will bring down other indices like the SPX.
4. SPX coming down could break its critical support that has held up thus far.
5. Investors tend to correlate stocks like Tesla to crypto. An alarming report can levy more significant damage to bitcoin and crypto than its already incurred.
In my view, it is critical Tesla does not break and confirm the break of its neckline here over the next few days! Earnings must be hit and the $212-$215 pps MUST hold or it could mean trouble. Watch this closely!
Stew
Bullish Unusual Options Activity on CCL Sep 9.50 callNYSE:CCL $325K in premium traded for $9.5 strike calls for Friday September 30th 2022 expiration traded today.
Unusual Activity for $9.5 calls about 28,000 contracts traded throughout the day @ approx $0.25 per contract (Above Open interest of only 3200)
Carnival Corp earnings date is 09/29/2022 Thursday
Stock is at an interesting price level. If stock price moves up and IV increases could help add premium value to the call options.
Risks : Short Expiration - Theta Risk. Earnings Risks.
I would recommend a vertical spread to keep theta at bay especially after earnings when IV will drop reducing the price of the options if you expect to hold this past earning.
Entry Above: 9.01
Target 9.36, 9.65, 9.96
SL close below 8.74
You can use the above levels to trade the stock as well with risk reward ratio of approx 3.65 (defined risk)
Follow more unusual activity signup using my referral link marketaction.live
Important Note: This is a short duration contract with earnings risk. Please trade responsibly.
Please let me know in the comment if you find this useful.
09/07 - DSGX Earnings Review- Large areas of supply at current price from prior trough may compress price following tonight’s earnings.
- 200 SMA enveloping price from above.
- Fundamentally priced to perfection and will need to revise up to prevent price decline
- Targeting a move to $63 post earnings
$NIO Short on Bearish Earnings -> on path to test $12$NIO Short Idea
We expect a bearish earnings release tomorrow. We believe that the support level near $15 will be tested this week and there will be enough selling pressure to continue lower and test the $12 level within the next month.
Our Foliko AI indicator, earnings power score, is demonstrating a large divergence with $NIO's recent price levels. When this pattern emerges near an earnings event, it does not support any expectations for positive earnings news.
LULU: Fade the rally!Lulumelon Athletica
Short Term - We look to Sell at 329.26 (stop at 346.16)
They reported better than expected earnings and the stock jumped up premarket. The medium term bias remains bearish. We are assessed to be in a corrective mode higher. Bespoke resistance is located at 332.00. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 284.68 and 272.00
Resistance: 332.00 / 410.00 / 478.00
Support: 283.00 / 246.00 / 129.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
9/1 - Lulu Pre-Earnings Analysis Higher probability of downside move with Lulu earnings scheduled evening of 09/01:
1. Multi-month head and shoulders was cleanly pierced and then retested with downward pressure from its base.
2. Multi-week down trend off of 200 SMA.
3. Multi-day weakness leading to today, with overall rounding of price to the downside.
4. Multi-year support would occur around 245.
5. General market weakness and downward revisions from retailers.
Conclusion: Earnings volatility on 09/02 could see test of $245.
NVDA possible Breakdown before EarningsNASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA on the daily chart appears to have formed a flat top triangle
with the trendlines drawn onto the chart. Price appears to
be falling outside the ascending support line before upcoming
earnings. Will NVDA rise to regain support or breakdown further?
SNOW: The sun looks to melt this awaySnowflake
Short Term - We look to Sell at 193.62 (stop at 220.84)
This stock surged after earnings report on premarket. We are trading at overbought extremes. A lower correction is expected. A move higher faces tough resistance and we remain cautious on upside potential. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 132.14 and 120.00
Resistance: 194.00 / 240.00 / 320
Support: 130.00 / 110.00 / 80.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
$DELL will slide on Earnings🔸️Ticker Symbol: $DELL timeframe: 4H 🔸️2X Bull Pattern 🔸️Investment Strategy: Short
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Lets dig into $DELL here a little; It has not been a very good year for most stocks this year, and no exception is made with DELL. We have the Co-COO selling more than $5 million worth of shares last week; and the YTD coming in at a dismal (-15%). Most analysis have revenue matching closely to the estimate, and missing on EPS by a point. As we look more into the technical analysis viewpoint of $DELL, We have our custom indicator telling us a few things here; money flowing out of the market, and a rejection from our top regression channel. We have fundamentals and technical analysis calling for a sell off; and I will be looking at swinging some puts at the end of the trading day tomorrow for some ER Lotto's!!!
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$AFRM poised for Earnings🔸️Ticker Symbol: $AFRM timeframe: 4H 🔸️2X Bull Pattern 🔸️Investment Strategy: Long
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: AFRM is slotted to post earnings heading into tomorrow's after hours, and I think we will get a decent indication of trend and momentum throughout Thursday's trading session. Taking a peak at previous price action, AFRM, has posted positive revenue growth, and price typically follows the reaction to the high side. There is a ton of insider activity that promotes positive feelings from within the company, and we can validate this on the current options board; posting more than $50k in call options on this Friday's $30 call strike. From a technical analysis, money flow looks to run positive, and price is currently holding a decent trend line; as we look to start the uptrend following the downhill phase of this "Bump-N-Run" pattern.
🔔 Follow for daily stock, crypto and forex technical analysis .
⚠️ Trading is risky, and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
Can $DLTR repeat on Earnings?🔸️Ticker Symbol: $DLTR timeframe: 4H 🔸️3X Bull Pattern 🔸️Investment Strategy: Long
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: With $DLTR opening up tomorrow's market with an ER, there may be some positive outlook on the outcome. So far in 2022, $DLTR has been on fire on company operations. The last 3 ER have led to significant jumps on the price action, and top analysis see no difference with tomorrow's report. Technical analysis, money momentum is poised to bounce from the bottom indicators on the dashboard; and price is holding nicely at the middle trend line. I'm not a gambling man, but if I were, I'd stack my chips on green.
🔔 Follow for daily stock, crypto and forex technical analysis .
⚠️ Trading is risky, and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
INTU: Not so 'into' this stockIntuit
Short Term - We look to Sell at 478.00 (stop at 501.49)
This stock reported earning in line with expectations and reported a share buyback which led to a jump in shares premarket. We look to fade this brief rally.480.00 continues to hold back the bulls. Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 480.00 level.
Our profit targets will be 421.00 and 400.00
Resistance: 480.00 / 580.00 / 660.00
Support: 420.00 / 340.00 / 280.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
PANW:Earnings surprise catalyst!Palo Alto Networks
Short Term - We look to Buy at 533.54 (stop at 509.45)
They reported better than expected earnings and share jumped in premarket. We are trading within a Bullish Ascending Triangle formation. Broken out of the triangle formation to the upside. Previous resistance at 531.00 now becomes support. Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 604.82 and 620.00
Resistance: 560.00 / 605.00 / 640.00
Support: 531.00 / 460.00 / 400.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’ ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
35%+ Upside following earningsNVDA has earnings this week and is completing its accumulation, should test 166 before the report but is in buy zone from 166-175. The semiconductors are bullish across the sector, most have completed their bullish cycles and will begin next wave at larger degree - this will take the market higher and on to new highs in early 2023.
NVDA expected price action:
- gap up toward 194-198 and continue to 207-217 by 9/9/2022
- retest breakout level/upper range of accumulation structure in upper 190s, then run to primary target of 230 by end of Sep. '22 (there is also a gap to fill there from a few months back. At this point its impulse trajectory will be clear and can get a new goal target (subwave 5, count not shown), est. 242-257 (another open gap at 257)
- Goal target and resistance is 280s by end of 2022
Stochastic RSI is very bullish and signals accumulation period is completed (or will complete around 166 - not required condition just estimate, it could markup from here). The markup will be activated above 191.
WWE Falling Wedge LONGWWE is in a falling wedge ; I had a good pop from earnings
a month ago and another earnings report is upcoming.
The RSI oscillator shows bullish divergence increasing
the probability of a breakout.
I see this as a long trade with the RSI confirming and
in the context of upcoming earnings, I will agressively
enter without waiting for a retest as soon as price goes
over the downward resistance trendline.
DKS SHORT SETUP for earningsDKS has had increasing prices since the last earnings when it beat the estimates.
However, the price is ascending in a rising wedge which may suggest a breakdown.
While a breakout is possible it is less probable than a breakdown.
The chart has the rising wedge drawn in. The RSI indicator is suggestive
of bearish divergence in the past week. This may forecast a reversal in
the immediate term i.e. a breakdown.
All in all, I will take a put option with an expiration of September 2nd
at strike of $105 and watch for a reaction to earnings which ger reported
this week.
. NYSE:DKS