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Earningsplay

Bout to run off on the $PLUG $PLUG has earnings this week, Monday May 9th after the market closes. My sentiment for obvious reasons I hope. $PLUG currently has a head and shoulders trading within a descending triangle on the daily and weekly. I kind of don't like the head and shoulders because the first shoulder doesn't touch the neckline but nonetheless There's also a small gap from 17.7 to 16.70ish on the daily. I think there's two things that are probably occurrences for $PLUG earnings. 1. Dependent on earnings report and macro market sentiment it could bounce to 24/25 area within or slightly outside of the top of the triangle. 2. Will breakdown outside the triangle on (another) missed earnings report and head towards small gap aforementioned above. Price targets: 17.70 16.70 14 I plan to watch the price action on Monday to figure out when will be the best time to enter a trade. If we have a green day I'll wait until i feel like the peak has reached or if we're downtrending I will wait for confirmation on 5 and 15 minute time frames to confirm the trend. Obviously an earnings play so probably risking 3-5% max off my account.
NASDAQ:PLUGShort
by markbully
Pick up that Coin at Actual Floor. JeezEven without chart pattern indicating bounce from here I am a Buyer of shares and mid term calls at this level. Could be a bullish AB==CD with slightly inflated ratios. I realize the general ratios for these are 0.618|1.618 but I have performed backtests on this pattern in general and there is some wiggle room around these, COIN fits the bill here with the ratios shown on chart. Other factors that indicate a post-earnings bounce (likely major bounce) is on the table with todays low marking the bottom: - BTC at infamous 30k support which will likely be the spring low in a major wyckoff accumulation phase before markup to new highs - COIN will follow - Symmetry of B to C and C to D just over 120 days - bullish divergence in the Accumulation/Distribution - This is a great risk/reward especially long-term Targets: Initial target over the next couple weeks is 150 (near term) Intermediate Target will test that overhead around the B at the 0.5 fib (low- mid 200s) (mid term) Target is a full 1.0 retracement to that C at 369 (long term) Sincerely, Jeez
NASDAQ:COINLong
by JerryManders
PLTR- BREAKOUT OR GOOD BUY OPPORTUNITYPalantir Technologies is scheduled to announce Q1 earnings results on Monday, May 9th, before the market open. The consensus EPS is $0.04 and the Revenue Estimate is $443.51M. On the chart, we see a breakout of the support level, but the earnings report will give us a confirmation of whether the breakout is real or fake. Worse than expected results will push PLTR to dive even deeper into the red zone and new lows below $9 will be displayed on the chart. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
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by legacyFXofficial
$ROKU Double Top Trade Idea$ROKU has earnings coming up on the 28th I believe and is in a text book "double top" pattern. I got price targets of $93.45, $87.83 and $81.90. It's crossed over the neck line @ $99.64 on the daily. A daily candle closed under $99.64 would probably be the safest entry but I'm already in 4/29 $80 P and 4/29 $75 P. Generally speaking Roku usually follows $NFLX. In regards to earnings I don't expect as an extreme move as Netflix but I am bearish on $ROKU leading up to earnings this week coming up. I'll update my position win or lose when I close out my contracts. *I'm a self taught trader, this is not trading advice in anyway shape or form.
NASDAQ:ROKUShort
by markbully
Update to my recent ideaI posted a bullish UPST view recently, but I want to add some important observations that should be noted for anyone playing this tomorrow: -I can't pretend that unfilled gap from last April-May around 61 doesn't post a major risk here. However, take a look back at the price action last May earnings and you'll notice a common theme, namely, pre-earnings the price came off a bullish anti-cypher harmonic and tested that lower 80 level at the top of the gap for support going onto the report (not shown in chart but take a look for yourself)... due to the high short interest at the time and the earnings beat it absolutely took off to the upside post-ER. Fortunately for UPST bulls currently, heavily shorted and Friday it did the same thing where it tested that upper gap and held so I believe if they impress with this report it will not need to fill that gap (just yet). However, I will be hedging accordingly. The May 13 options are priced for a move to 61-107 (wow)... everyone's thinking it, I'm just saying it THIS REPORT NEEDS TO BE $$$$ - Support to the bullish view can be seen clearly in this 2 hour interval view with that stochastic RSI and the RSI primed for liftoff; furthermore, double completed bullish harmonics coming into this with the same anti-cypher pattern in the most recent harmonic - If this pops it needs to keep in the upper section of Gann fan for continuation - it needs to keep up with time - Please refer to the RSI at the 1D level (i.e. see my last post or refer to it on your own chart) - I did a full statistical eval. on the performance over the full history of UPST using RSI as a sole trade signal and it was very impressive. 88% reliability (measured this by the percentage of successful trades, e.g. if RSI purple crossed above yellow and upside move materialized that = successful trade, and vice versa for bearish crosses). 54% capture rate (this is actually extremely rare for trading with a sole indicator, but the idea is after a signal how much of the move on average did the signal capture, e.g. from open long to close long). Average upside move after bullish crosses was +65%... this thing can swing! Expectations Bullish case: gap to low 100s and if we see continuation it can run to 114, 120s, 150s, low 170s.. the extent of this continuation (i.e. which of those levels will actually be realized) will depend on market environment and/or if the short interest data are up to date (I'm seeing 28.5% short float, 2 days to cover so this can happen fast if it does move to mid 100s I wouldn't be surprised but I don't think it will be sustained unless whole market squeezes, 38% recent short increase). After bullish run ends (possibly low 170s but I'll be taking profits at 120-150 tbh) I would not be surprised if this whipsaws and fills that gap down to 61. Bearish case: on a miss this could get hit down to gap fill and, hate to say it, but that downward momentum could send it on continuation down to around 35.. I didn't include elliot wave in this but UPST is, after all, trying to complete a rather funky corrective cycle before beginning next bullish impulse cycle. If someone has that corrective count mapped out I would be very interested in seeing it because I couldn't quite pin it. Good luck to all, not financial advice but expect some very interesting and volatile price action in the weeks to come.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by JerryManders
7
Start her up...This has the setup to really go, point target = 155 by May 20 (the yellow highlighted date that is covered up (oops) is 5/20). - target range is 130s to 160s by May 11 - early June, depending on if the price can keep up with time! - initial/moderate target is 114, which is a statistical adj. target, I'll likely play calls with this as goal target by May 20 (and if I get more, i.e. 130-160, that's great) - if it falls out of fan off the recent low I'd expect a test of around 64 and would re-eval from there. Need to see how it reacts with market post-FOMC, plenty of upside to be patient here. Some aspects to note on the side/apart from chart: - Very heavily shorted this could easily squeeze to target but they need to deliver on this upcoming report - Irregularly bullish options activity spotted recently with up to $900K sweeps at strikes ranging from 90.00-150.00 Please provide any feedback, especially related to Gann (this is my first Gann idea so any criticism welcomed... Best, Bard's Apprentice
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by JerryManders
Bigger view, will take market with I thought I wrote the filler text and was like wow. I’m good. Anyway, bullish setup unless it breaches 2551ish (wherever wave 1 high was, can’t go below that or EW invalidated. Most likely it begins move up to 4200-4500 to complete wave V. SPY also trying to complete wave IV/start wave V. I posted a more near term scenario on post earnings move statistically pointing to bigger move than options are priced for. This bigger picture makes me lean to bullish initial target around 3500. Would not be an anomaly if it dropped to 2450 region which would invalidate wave IV and thus the bullish structure which it has been building since 2017. If you want to know how market will get out of this downward trend and momentum... pay attention to AMZN Tomo
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by JabezDolz
4
AMD: Any chance of reversing? Let's see.Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how AMD is doing today! First, in the 1h chart, we see a strong bear trend, and there’s nothing indicating it’ll reverse. As long as we keep seeing lower highs/lows, we can’t say it is a buy. However, AMD has a few key points that if broken, it could trigger a reversal. First, we have the 21 ema, working as a resistance for the price. Second, we have the purple trend line, as AMD has been trading below it for nearly a month now. Last, we have the previous resistance at $ 91.35. Only if AMD breaks all these resistances we might say the trend will reverse in the mid-term. If AMD is about to react, the timing couldn’t be better: We just hit the support from July 2021 today (blue line). We see a bullish candlestick today, which is great, and since we are just at this support, the Risk/Reward ratio favors long trades. We are far from the 21 ema, and any reaction in the 1h chart could make it retest the ema again. If we see more confirmation signs in the daily chart, we could say AMD will fill the last gaps, and the $ 118.60 would be our target. The only problem is we have earnings in 6 days. This will increase the volatility, and could help a bullish thesis, sure, but if it backfires, the next support level is at $ 72. For now, I am neutral on AMD, and I see many other stocks that look much more interesting, but if this works out, it could be a great opportunity to trade. Now is the time to watch it closely. I’ll keep you guys updated on this, so remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
NASDAQ:AMD
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
7
What you need to know to trade Twitter ahead of Thursday’s earniTwitter (NYSE:TWTR) is set to announce its first-quarter earnings results on Thursday and some analysts expect the microblogging platform to again incur losses on the back of its increased infrastructure and marketing spending amid tight competition. Saturated market The company, once among the most popular social media channels globally, has become old news particularly to young people with the emergence of platforms like TikTok and Snapchat (NYSE:SNAP). Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) remains the market leader among social networking sites globally in 2022 in terms of the number of monthly active users, while Twitter has lagged far behind WhatsApp, Instagram, WeChat, TikTok, Snapchat, Telegram and Pinterest in terms of the number of users, according to data from Statista. Stronger market competition over the past years has prompted Twitter to boost its spending on research and development, and sales and marketing over the recent years. Losses mount In 2021, Twitter’s R&D expenses ballooned 43% from 2020 to $1.25 billion, while sales and marketing costs surged 32% year on year to $1.18 billion. These pushed the company’s overall costs and expenses up 51% to $5.57 billion in 2021 and resulted in a net loss of $221 million for the whole year. Still, the figure was down from a net loss of $1.14 billion in 2020 when the pandemic battered the company’s operations. For the first quarter of 2022, Twitter expects GAAP operating loss of between $225 million and $175 million, against an operating income of $52 million in the year-ago period. Twitter also expects its quarterly revenue to range between $1.17 billion and $1.27 billion, up from $1.04 billion last year. Analysts expect the company to post a 22% jump in Q1 revenue to $1.57 billion, significantly up from the company’s targeted range. The analysts pegged Twitter’s earnings per share for Q1 at $0.33, down 13.2% from last year. In the fourth quarter of 2021, although total ad engagements fell 12% year over year, Twitter still managed to rake in $1.41 billion in fourth-quarter ad revenue, up 22% from a year prior. Musk’s $44 billion offer Ahead of its earnings release on Thursday, Twitter became the subject of an acquisition offer from Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk. On Monday, the New York Times reported that Twitter is close to reaching a deal to sell itself to Musk after the latter launched an unsolicited go-private bid worth $54.20, or a total transaction value of ~$44 billion. That figure represents a substantial premium from Twitter’s current $37 billion market value as of Friday. Musk has made his plans for Twitter quite clear. Even before the billionaire built a 9.2% stake in the company for an estimated $2.9 billion, Musk has been vocal about how Twitter’s policies quash free speech. However, the Tesla CEO has been notorious in the past for making big market-moving stunts that lead to bigger regulatory concerns for companies that he control. In his letter to Twitter’s board made public on Friday, Musk said "Twitter has extraordinary potential. I will unlock it.”
NYSE:TWTR
by BlackBull_Markets
1
NVDA earnings gamble ($250)Do you like risk? Do you like NVDA? Do you live on the edge? Are you dumb with your money?.. Then this is the chart for you! NVDA closes a gap at 228, and the charts are leading right to that gap closing on the 16th. Anyway, if that gap does close on the 15th or 16th, and earnings are good (AH on the 16th), why not take a chance up to $250 and maybe even higher, I'd probably say a max of 261.86. Anyway, I drew a line, because those are fun sometimes.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by nicktussing77