Earningsplay
RIOT Platforms Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RIOT Platforms prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 15usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $2.98.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ROKU trade for upcoming earnings LONGROKU is here on a 15 minute chart. An anchored VWAP breakout from the lowermost bands
three days prior to earnings suggests to me a long trade through the earnings. The target
is on the chart as the recent high pivots and mean VWAP line. This is a swing trade of about
4-5 days expectant for a 6% gain and perhaps more with a call option trade to supplement
the shares.
CMG will likely retrace SHORTCMG catapulted after the best earnings beat with an excessive and overextending move to the
upper bounds of the widening wedge pattern and beyond the third upper VWAP band on
this 30 minute chart. It did have a corresponding leap in volume. However, I expect a
retracement into the 3020 level based on the Fibonacci tool. This is about a 5-6% downside.
I will take a short trade here targeting that Fib level. and perhaps more.
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t entered MSFT when they bought 49% of OpenAI:
nor on the comparison to AMZN and GOOGL:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 410usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $14.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
PG slow and steady long term winner with earnings coming LONGPG on the weekly chart gained 15% in a year and had a dip in the past two weeks with earnings
at the end of this week. PG persistently and consistently beats earnings estimates and pays a
dividend. Moreover, it consistently has a bit of a surge after earnings. I see this as an
opportunity to get a good stock on a 4% dip of a discount and hold it through earnings for
perhaps a 10% profit in two weeks while also picking up the quarterly dividend. Some traders
including those institutionally based believe that buying near to the middle line of the Bollinger
Bands is a good entry for getting fair value. I am one of them.
MS - Updated Analysis before earnings. Super healthy chartLove what i'm seeing here on Morgan Stanley pre=earnings next Tuesday. I want to see us continue to build liquidity in this very controlled orange selling channel where we can then find yellow to activate and bring us further up for a breakout of orange and beyond. My price target for the next few weeks is in the $99-104 range, earnings dependent.
Obviously, as with any industry, if banks that are announcing earnings on Friday announce positive results, you can expect the rest of the industry to follow. This, in addition to the extremely healthy chart movements, has me very bullish on MS and interested in watching this stock closely.
Happy Trading :)
- TraderDaddyOG
AVTX - a potential continuation WATCHAVTX popped on a big revenue beat on March 28th. It is now priced at about 3% of the ATH
of last July. With the massive price jump came a 15X relative volume. The question is
whether price has retraced into support and can rally again in the next market session.
This remains to be seen. i will put AVTX on the top of my watch list and take a long trade
if I see signs of continuation with volume supporting the move.
CLSK a crypto miner reports February 8th LONGCLSK is tied to the ebbs and tides of the crypto market especially high market cap Bitcoin.
On the 120-minute chart, it is trending up from a reversal. The 0.5 Fib level is above at 10.0
about 10% upside from the current price. Earnings are February 8th. The last earnings saw a big
turnaround as CLSK started to make money. Price is currently about 90% below all-time highs.
The recent surge in Bitcoin albeit with a partial pullback afterward has likely benefited
CleanSpark. I see this as a short-term swing pre-earnings play that could gain big or
drop with an earnings miss. I will set a stop loss to protect against the latter. Today's price
action and the indicators are reassurance in the risk taken.
WM Waste Management ( Garbage Collector / Recycler ) LONGWM on a 180 minute chart shows a trend up since the October earnings. The January earnings
substantially beat the earnings from the October report and the uptrend accelerated. The chart
shows both VWAP band and volume profile breakouts persisting over 5 months. I have added to
my long-term position in WM with call options for January 2026 striking $200. These have
expensive premiums but I believe there is high value showing on the chart. I have taken partial
significant profits from the $190 calls for January 2025 and am rolling the remaining a year
forward. I will also buy a lot of shares now and hold them for about 4 weeks closing out most
of the position a few days before earnings and hold the remainder through the earnings.
Profits will be used to buy another call option.
MARA fell on a huge earnings beat LONGMARA fell a few days ago while Bitcoin is staging another leg higher along with other coins.
On the 30-minute chart, MARA is in undervalued territory below the mean-anchored VWAP
and near to the bottom of the high volume area on the volume profile but above the POC line.
This seems to be an obvious long trade for me to take. I will set a stop loss of $1.00 below
market price and a target of $31 halfway between the mean VWAP and the first upper VWAP
the line above it. A call option trade striking $30.00 expiring in three months will be
considered. MARA fell from excellent earnings which apparently disappointed some
traders /investors. The discount sale is hard to resist given the current fundamentals in the
crypto markets.
EPIX - Biotech Pre-earnings Run LONGEPIX on the 15-minute chart shows a solid trend up with a set of moving averages as the
guardrails now in a bit of a pullback. The after-hours price action will not appear on the chart
but price jumped 5%. Earnings are anticipated for 2/8 or 2/9 as best as I can tell. Internet
search information is not consistent. So, if tomorrow this is still pre-earnings but price popped
5% overnight, I will take a small long position. If the price is still pulled back to the slowest
moving average, I will take a larger position. No matter I will assess it on a 3-5 minute time
frame and recheck internet information regarding an earnings report. One news catalyst is that
Secretary of Defense has been in and out of the hospital ( DC VAMC) with prostate cancer
and maybe currently getting treatment in a clinical trial of an EPIX drug per the NIH
in Bethesda. Biotech is forecasted to be one of the hottest sectors for 2024. EPIX has
a trend up that impresses me. I will go long on this when I find a best entry and possibly in the
next trading session. The options chain is minimal volume as so represents a liquidity trap.
I will not go there.
Puts ideaEach bounce was weaker than the previous one. And apparently is forming a HS to break down. Earnings on 03/07, I think the market won't save this one. It's a gamble but it is worth the risk.
Is BA Boening ready ?On the daily chart BA had big trend up for November and December but then fell with news
of issues the the Max model which further developed into an FAA inquiry. In the meanwhile
Thailand and India based airlines contracted for more jets and an earnings report beat both
lines especially earnings. It would seem forward earnings are fortified by those new contracts.
The chart shows price currently sitting at the support of the bottom of the high-volume
area of the volume profile and just under the nearby POC line. In confluence, it has been in
consolidation at a Fibonacci level. I consider that BA has been accumulating within a narrow
range and is now well situated for another leg up. The last trend up was about 50% over 2
months. I will take a long trade here anticipating a similar move sometime soon. Targets
are 230 and 250 with call options for August or September also under consideration.
BLUE- a biotechnology earnings penny stock LONGBLUE a week ago had a bull run to gain 90% in 5 days and then reversed into a standard
Fibonacci retracement on the 30-minute chart, then in consolidation for a day or two getting
support from the mean anchored VWAP. The last trading day was a quick rise with momentum
in a bull flag. Earnings are coming. I will take another long trade on BLU into earnings. My
target is 1.90 about the high of the prior trend up and below the second VWAP line above
the mean. A tight stop loss at 1.53 ( below the flag's consolidation) will make it more likely the
trade will be a 20% winner. I have taken call options strikng $1.50 for March 15th for $20 each.
or a small loss of 2-3%
MYO can Myomo continue the push to the earnings report?MYO had impressive week gaining over 35%. It is a volatile penny biotechnology stock
with good earnings back in November new due for another report. On a 120 minute chart
with relative volatility and volume indicators and a volume profile added. The volume and
volativlty of this past week's move is obvious. Price gain has slowed on the approach to the
POC line of the volume profile which appears to be resistance. Price may break that resistance
but could get rejected there. I plan to buy MYO long on a break of resistance with
a buy stop set at 4.04 and a stop loss at 3.96. If MYO rises and gets over 4.04 the order should
fill and if it retests the POC line as support and the support fails, the stop will close the trade.
My expectation however is for the earnings run to take it to the level of the pivot high
in early January for a 25% gain.
EXFY a fintech penny stock at 5% of the ATH LONGEXFY recently had an earnings beat and has bullish momentum. While on a sixty minute chart it
may appear to be overextended, in the context of an all-time-high of about $50 perhaps it
has as much as 20X upside. EXFY rose from the earnings beat and then retraced and reversed the
retracement. I see it as a long wing trade perhaps until the approach to the next earnings.
The volume and volatility indicators suggest bullish momentum is strong and may continue.
BA Trade Setup into Earnings by Fib Retrace / Volume ProfileBA is shown on a marked up 120 minute chart with a Volume Profile and Fibonnaci retracement
levels as well as the trend angle reversal at the consolidation upon finding support at the
bottom of the high-volume area of the profile. The fib levels suggest targets. Risk in the trade
is after earnings reports of "beats" will drive the action higher or "misses" will cause a down
trajectory. Volatility will increase as the earnings date quickly approaches. Some traders may
want to close a winning trade just before earnings or take a predominant partial close leaving
the the rest to move through the storm looking for blue sky.
I have a risk appetite here. I will take call options for February 5th striking OTM at $240.
I will cut them no later than 24 hours before earnings or when they hit 200% if that happens
beforehand.
CAn Boeing weather the storm BA LongBA on a daily chart is trading in the bottom portion of its intermediate-term trading range
having incurred a series of adverse news catalysts, FAA investigation and loss of trader
sentiment. It is now in the lower portion of the high volume area and below the POC line.
There are multiple touches of a horizontal support before and after a big earnings beat.
The question now is whether BA can mount a good fibonacci retracement of the prior
downtrend. I believe that it is quietly acumulating volume and shares at a given price for
a solid base from which to make a trending move upside to the Fibonacci levels on the chart
and perhaps in time after another good earnings head toward the pivot high of last year.
I will go long from here finding good cause to buy at this discount.
Is BA accumulating for an another leg higher ? LONGOn this 120 minute chart of BA where price is a blue line I have superimposed a RSI from the 4H
time frame. Each is on its own scale RSI is 0-100 while BA is the actual price level. This set
up detects divergences to forecast near-future price action. One the chart text box comments
serve to explain this a bit more. Basically if price is flat and RSI is rising divergence is there.
Likewise if RSI is falling and price is sideways there is bearish divergence. It follows that when
the RSI line is above price and price is rising, if the slope of RSI exceeds the slope of price,
that is a bullish bias. If price is falling and is above the RSI which is falling faster that is
a bearish bias. At this time, I believe that institutions are making small ( for them )
incremental buys trying not to move price until they get their quota. Price is currently
below the mean VWAP anchored into the distant past. Most buying and volatity will occur
at that price. I want to get in early. I will buy call options above current price near to
the VWAP so striking $210. So far BA has been very good to me actually a cash cow because
of the strategy used. I have two contracts at $220 for July. If things go well with this
trade, I will use the profits to buy a contract for expiration in September and spread the
risk over more time as a risk-off strategy. A stock share long trade is good from here for an
investor but the price ranging is not enough for your average trader. Fundamentally BA has
had plenty of good news and bad news. I focus on the good news. The new contracts to buy
coming out of India and Thailand point to future earnings stability something that suggests
the time to trade is now.
DSP Earnings Call 03/04 After Market CloseThis stock is a small DSP (demand-side platform) set to experience some growth as one of the alternative media spends as google sunsets 3rd party cookies from chrome. Most companies should have been contracting late last year into early this year rather than act reactively in Q3 of 2024 when 100% of cookies are said to be done away with. I started buying in the $4 dollar range but have continued to add to my position.
Full disclosure: I also have a small set of oom calls from now until end of the year.
This is not financial advice but I do enjoy community feedback on my trades occasionally. I also thought to post this because reddit as a whole completely ignore this ticker so maybe someone who wouldn't have otherwise seen this might.
Good luck, this is not financial advice nor should it be considered to be. Might add more to my position Monday depending on how we open.
AMC Earnings Build-upQuick disclaimer, I've posted many Ideas for this stock expecting an uptrend and they haven't panned out, but I'm going to pull out my inner Michael Burry and claim that I don't think I'm wrong, I'm just early.
AMC is currently being pinched in two downtrends that date back to Aug 24th and 25th.
The closer resistance would require the stock to break/stay above 4 dollars (as of tomorrow, Feb 8th). That number goes down every day after that.
The support on this downtrend would have AMC needing to stay above 3$ at the time of earnings on Feb 28th
But TA has let us down before, so let's talk about earnings:
Analysts' expected revenue is 1.046B.
AMC has met or beaten revenue expectations every single quarter since the initial COVID quarter, which hints to the possible re-occurrence for Q4 2023.
Maybe analysts don't exactly know how to calculate/predict AMC's revenue.
Even less now that AMC released their own movies (T. Swift + Beyonce). Nobody knows exactly how much they made from those.
On top of that, there's all the new merch they've been coming out with, popcorn at new stores, their own candy line (which according to Twitter and Reddit, Apes went out and bought like mad for the holidays) AND the AMC VISA Credit Card, of which it is pretty much impossible to predict the revenue from (and I'm optimistic considering VISA destroyed their last earnings)...
I strongly expect an Earnings Beat.
In terms of future outlook, which is also very important in determining the direction of a stock price post-earnings, Q1 will be the absolute weakest of the year for sure. But that doesn't mean it'll be terrible, or even bad. It's kind of too bad Dune 2 isn't released until after earnings. Having just one weekend before the call would give us a greater idea of how the quarter will finish but, if anything, a successful first weekend for Dune 2 immediately after a positive earnings call will just keep the momentum going. The rest of the year has many more blockbusters to come.
This will be my last Idea for AMC, I'll just keep expanding on it from here.
I'm so bullish that I am absolutely sure that we are hovering around the bottom. Once we start going up, there's no looking back.
DVN - Live analysis and why we could see a reversal soonSomeone asked me for my thoughts on DVN and I thought it would be a good opportunity to do a live analysis of how I get my charts to look the way they do (messy).
The further you go down in timeframe, the more algorithms you start to see and create. But here is an initial Daily bias to go on - and look to see some of these long-term selling channels broken in order to see a larger move and sustained uptrend.
Happy Trading :)