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Earningsplay

ABNB (Long) - end of the choppiness? Looking at my past track record, I am becoming somewhat of a fanless guru hahah - I better knock on some wood; otherwise the market goods give me a losing streak like I have never seen. However, it is nice to see how these age-old rules coupled with some patience work. Anyways, enough of bragging and lets get to the trade Fundamentals The market is disgustingly overbought , so this trade is on only if the NASDAQ:ABNB earnings deliver Overall, right now, I would only purchase stocks that have already posted blockbuster earnings, otherwise I am in expectations of a pullback that should last at least a couple of weeks (c. 2-4) Considering how ridiculous are some valuations getting in the market, ABNB is actually priced quiet reasonably, almost conservatively The company is pretty much printing money with a net profit margin of 58% (up from 20% a year ago) ,which is, honestly, incredible, hence the P/E of 'only' 18 The earnings have grown by 253% yoy, and the revenue is steadily marching higher The firm is not bending under a pile of debt with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.2 - so, no interest burdens Technicals Given that Airbnb is a famous and popular brand, it is almost shocking how badly the stock has been performing since the IPO, having moved basically nowhere However, the chart has been putting in the work to build us a nicer a picture (an accumulating base) and we are nearing something that could potentially be a marvellous breakout, which is not incidentally coinciding with upcoming earnings Throughout this whole period, the stock has been gradually being accumulated with almost no major distribution periods (check the indicator) Indicators like MACD and Stochastics showing strong momentum Trade This part is a bit tricky - if the earnings disappoint, then the trade is probably off because the setup goes to sh**; if the stock shows strong earnings than we can probably expect a major pop, which means we will have to be chasing But if you backtest strong earnings , you can see that it is worth chasing even a major earnings pop - the price tends to carry on performing strongly (e.g. NASDAQ:ARM , NYSE:PLTR etc. - from some of the recent examples) 'Meeting estimates' results that would barely move the stock is probably good, but I would wait a bit for more stock price action If the stock pops, but there is no follow through - is usually a bad signal and should be watched out for Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help If you like my content, Please leave a like, comment or a donation , it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by jurajholik
The NWS double top is looking even more bearish than yesterday.This chart looks even more bearish than it did a few days ago. Not only does it have a double top pattern and a bearish divergence, but it now has a candle wick that has dropped below the bottom trend line. Certainly not all, but many times, this can be the 'nail in the coffin' that tips off traders that price is about to break out of the wedge pattern to the downside. At this point, I'm extremely bearish, but will be running a tight stop 1.5% above the upper trend line. Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
NASDAQ:NWSShort
by MetaShackle
SMA- earnings play- a beat with a drop for a pop LONGSMA reported today with about a 2% drop - while traders responded with a 8% drop. Everybody especially auto mechanics love their stuff. So were they looking for more? It is hard to say. Idea is on the chart. I am looking for a recovery in a reversion to the mean. It looks like it's underway. For those familiar with volume profile analysis and trading the best buy short was upon the drop out of the high volume area ( lower zagged blue line at 9:45 AM EST) and the best exit was the transient cross over and above the Hull 35 moving average at 12:15. This would have been a monster trade of about 600% if the strike 280 expiring 2/16 was taken about 9:45 AM and closed at 12:!5 PM; the price of about $150 for the single contract would have yielded $1300 and netted $1150 for those 2.5 hours for an hourly rate of over $400. Enough said about the short, this idea is about the backside. The stock shares trade is what is is. The options trade in my opinion only is a call contract striking $ 270 just under the 0.5 fib retracement is currently priced at about $530. If price gets above $270 or even gets over the $280 fib level line in the next week, the return again would be 300-600%. I am taking this call options trade, I will enter on a pivot low of the day on the share price chart. I'll set a stop loss of 20% meaning about $100 is at risk. 3X the premium is about $ 1600 so the reward to risk is 16. Managing with TradingViews handy alerts on the stock chart for moving average inflections and cross-overs as well as MACD line and signal intersections should take about one hour of combined time in a week. I consider the potential gain to be excellent for the anticipated expense of time.
NYSE:SNALong
by AwesomeAvani
CMG - it might be expensive but the value is there LONGCMG on the weekly chart has been uptrending for a year after being rangebound sideways for a year. It has seen a volume spike and corresponding price action with the current earnings beat Price rose 60% in the past year and 16% YTD. This is not linear and nor is it parabolic. The MACD supports the bullish momentum observation in the price action while the RS indicator shows good strength in both shorter and longer time frames. This is a blue chip megacap for sure. While it is not technology like the MAg7, the food business is lucrative. the CEO in the earnings call announced plans to expand to 7000 stores nationally. This is ambitious. Those who are ambitious investors or traders and are well funded could consider adding some shares or even a few options of CMG. I am going with a few options OTM at $3000 six months out. I believe that I will be well rewarded for the risk taken especially given the expansion plans and the historical track record here.
NYSE:CMGLong
by AwesomeAvani
PLUG - flagging at rest for continuation LONGPLUG on the 120 minute chart is resting on its trend up. Earnings are about 4 weeks ahead. The uptrend has been solid. Two bull flag patterns are noted along the way. They follow pops on the Relative Trend Index indicator also showing bullish buying volatility on the Relative Volatility indicator. I see the rest ( consolidation) as a good point to add into my ongoing long position for PLUG which recently got an upgrade and higher target by more than one analyst. For a basic and simple trade, take the 3rd upper VWAP band at 6.35 as the target the mean VWAP at 4 as the stop loss for a basic3:! R:r trade. For something better zoom into a 15-30 minute time frame reset the anchored VWAP and fine tune.
NASDAQ:PLUGLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
NWS likely to miss earnings expectation on Feb 7th.Media companies have been getting the pants kicked off them lately, and NWS - News Corporation is at the top of an all time high on the charts, which may provide an incredible opportunity to capture a very sharp decline in the price. Earnings will be released on Feb 7th (next week), and with price sitting at/near an all time high, if earnings are missed, it could present a very rare opportunity for short positions/short plays. Good luck, and always use a stop.
NASDAQ:NWSShort
by MetaShackle
$AAPL Long SwingNASDAQ:AAPL just recently had earnings and released the new VR-headset, Apple Vision Pro. I'm looking at swinging calls for NASDAQ:AAPL next week because the Jeanius Algo Suite (Indicator/Screener) gave me multiple buy confluences: Fell through 2 untested lows (~$180.17), grabbing liquidity Partially filled a Fair Value Gap Tested an uptrend line formed on the monthly timeframe In a long term and short term structural uptrend The indicator shows "Combo" signals every time this combination of signals happened in the past. It also automatically painted the lines/zones
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by jeanius_tech
AMD: Targeting HOP Level at $208.051: Holding 3.618 as SupportLast week during earnings, INTC reversed at the PCZ of a Bearish 5-0 after trading just below the highly contested 50 dollar strike. Now AMD is doing something similar, except its highly contested strike is below it at $170-$175. I find it a little bit more likely that AMD goes for a move up towards the 200 level which would align it with the Bearish HOP level where then one may consider switching to a Bearish bias. I will be playing it via synthetic longs and vertical spreads This is an updated Post after realizing that AMD just filled a gap visible on the daily, I also felt like reposting it on the daily timeframe because after hours activity does not really matter for the options position.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by RizeSenpai
AMD: Targeting HOP Level at $208.051Last week during earnings, INTC reversed at the PCZ of a Bearish 5-0 after trading just below the highly contested 50 dollar strike. Now AMD is doing something similar except it's highly contested stike is below it at $175. I find it a little bit more likely that AMD goes for a move up towards the 200 level which would align it with the Bearish HOP level where then one may consider switching to a Bearish bias. I will be playing it via options spreads, in a way that gives some credit in order to reduce risks either being a Vertical or a Butterfly call spread though I may increase my risks a bit and go synthetic long.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by RizeSenpai
Time to buy into the GTA 6 hype?Tomorrow will be the day the first trailer for GTA 6 will be released. It's been nearly ten years since GTA 5 was released and broke world records. The wait for GTA 6 can not be compared to another game. The hype and anticipation are off the charts. This creates a unique investment opportunity. Looking at the historical prices news related to GTA has created considerable share price movements. Especially when related to GTA 6. In September 2022, a leak about GTA 6 caused Take-Two’s stock to plummet. Recently, when Rockstar announced in November that early December is when we would see the first news around GTA 6 the shares gapped up and rose around 17.17% in 30 days. There is considerable space for big gains when Rockstar releases the trailer tomorrow. It all rides on the investor's expectations, which will largely be following the customer's expectations. If the customers see it being good and the trialer receives a lot of attention, positive of course, then the share price will inevitables go up. Trailer released => Large positive response by customers => investors excited and happy => share prices rise. Now of course this is the short-term outlook. What about the long-term? The game will most likely be released next year in the fall. But this game will no doubt break records and will allow Take-Two, the company that owns Rockstar, to profit handsomely. Just as GTA 5 did. This therefore seems like a great opportunity to buy the shares before the short-term rapid rise and possible long-term outlook. However, speaking long-termly this would need a different piece of analysis that I'm not doing right now. But all I will say is the potential for long-term growth is there and this could be a good buying in price right now. It would be difficult to put a price range for tomorrow. But I would say between 20% - 30%, which is around the all time high. But I do see potential for further upside tomorrow.
NASDAQ:TTWOLong
by BlackbearTrader
USAU Gold Penny Stock with impeding EarningsUSAU has been in an ascending channel on the 30-minute chart with the rise in spot and future gold prices. With earnings coming in the next day, price broke out of the channel the top line of which is now supported albeit without a retest. The relative volume indicator shows in 3-4X volume surge in the past week while the RSI level is now up from 50 to 75-80. I see this as an earnings play with a stop loss just below the upper channel line at 3.75 and a target of 4.5 and 4.75 for a good reward-to-risk ratio. This is a quick swing trade earnings play to compliment my much larger long-duration swing trade in GDXJ. While an expected earnings beat is probably baked into the price I am betting that the beat will be significant and will keep price momentum intact.
NASDAQ:USAULong
by AwesomeAvani
1
Nvidia Is Still Bullish💸Hello Traders, My name is Philip and I am just an average stock and indices trader with over 4 years of trading experience💻 ------------------------------------------------------------------- ➡️In today's video, I will analyse Nvidia for you🫡 ------------------------------------------------------------------- ➡️Let me know your opinion about today's analysis in the comments below👇 ➡️I will only enter a trading position if ALL of my trading/entry criterias are met! Keep your long term vision! P.S. Trading is risky and most beginner traders lose money!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
1
INFA (Long) - AI play with a robust baseFundamentals The market right now is full of companies acting like prime AI bets . From what I can tell, NYSE:INFA is one of the more legit ones, building an AI-powered platform for multi-cloud system The valuation is slightly stretched but that is to be expected in a hot sub-sector. Hence, we need to gauge it against the industry, where INFA is exactly at the average Sales growth has been reliable and strong over the past decade, and the firm is nearing profitability Debt is stable at 1:1 ratio with equity. One fun fact is that CEO's compensation is $32m a year; the average in the industry is $8m, That's a major red flag, but we do not really care in a 6-month window; just something to be aware of On this one though, we are here for the technicals Technicals The technicals on this chart are gold Starting, as always, with a robust base which has accumulated over a longer time period The break out of the base came on news of blockbuster earnings , which is the kind of support a name like this needs Because of the positive news, the move was accompanied by higher-than-average volume as depicted on the graph Indicators also further support the break : (i) volume, represented by Chaikin Money Flow, has been showing divergences long before the move actually happened (orange circles) and (ii) a factor I consider crucial, a high relative strength against the market; the indicator is clearly breaking out and pointing higher Momentum is strong (stochastics) and supported by the rally in the broader indexes The stock clearly broke through all the moving averages ; another important factor when looking for an uptrend with legs Trade On the daily, the trade is slightly stretched. However, it still provides a good entry considering the proximity to the breakout line Ideally, the stock would oscillate around this line for a couple of days and let the moving averages catch up with the price It is up to you whether you wait or enter here. I choose to wait just because I feel the price action in the whole market needs to consolidate for a few days Caveat? The stock does not hold the line and breaks lower. However, considering the magnitude of the move, it is not unrealistic that this happens. In that case, I would wait for the price to break again and re-enter Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help If you like my content, Please leave a like, comment or a donation , it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
NYSE:INFALong
by jurajholik
UDMY (Long) - Edutech reversal playFundamentals Not my usual play, but I do like to tell myself that I have developed a keen eye for reversals. So let's see if this one works out Udemy is an Edutech firm with surprisingly good fundamental s, considering the stock price would probably be telling you otherwise Valuation is not extended (compared to the current market standards - P/S = 2.8), the sales growth is reliable and strong while the firm is nearing profitability The business carries high margins and if it remains on the current trajectory, it is bound to become a highly profitable firm. And as a bonus, it does not have any debt! The thing I like the most though is the support the stock is getting from the overall education sector. Look at the charts of NASDAQ:DUOL or NYSE:COUR (which I recently covered in another post) to see how strongly these stocks have been performing Technicals Reversals are very tricky, but there is a couple of signals to always look out for The stock broke the series of lower lows and lower highs and is establishing a new higher high The price broke cleanly through all moving averages And it has done so on very positive news that carried the stock 30% higher . Most importantly, we can see follow-through in price; not collapsing higher or consolidating, but rather marching higher RSI is breaking towards new highs despite the stock being price-depressed and stochastics are showing a strong momentum I do not know if this trade lives up to the expectations, but this is how I would imagine an ideal reversal Trade Putting on the trade is rather tricky , I am not going to lie. Hence why I have not put it on myself either The next support levels are unfortunately 10% away (the black line) and the stock price has not properly pulled back. A good sign of the underlying strength, but bad if one wants to enter the trade One option is to wait a bit but risk the trade running away from you. This is what I am going to choose because my own risk managemen t would not let me enter the trade at this price. The other choice is to get in now. In that case, I am going to leave it to each and every one of you to pick your own spot for a stoploss. At this point, there is only one viable level that I can see, which is around the black line depicted on the graph By the way, a really good pick for a long-term investmen t if someone is interested in that Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help If you like my content, Please leave a like, comment or a donation , it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
NASDAQ:UDMYLong
by jurajholik