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Earningsseason

$AMZN: Fast Rebounds Reveal Fundamental Support LevelThe new technologies that Amazon is embracing, including robots/robotics, and a brilliant CEO keep this huge company moving forward. The HFT-driven gap down in August was massive but the rebound was fast. This isn't the first time the stock has moved right back up to its prior quarter's fundamental support range, aka Dark Pool Buy Zone. Now, NASDAQ:AMZN is slightly above that range to challenge the July high. A stock to watch ahead of its earnings report October 24th.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
Maximize Gains with Options for $UBER: Option Chain Outlook The NYSE:UBER stock price had been in an uptrend until it reached around the $75 level, after which it entered a correction phase. The price is currently near a long-term upward trendline, which could act as strong support. Volatility: The IVRank (Implied Volatility Rank) is 107.5, indicating that the current volatility is high compared to the values observed over the past year. The IVx value is 73.6, also indicating high volatility. IVx 5-day Change: +7.8%, showing a significant increase in volatility over the past 5 days. This is common in the period leading up to earnings as investors prepare for the announcement. Price Skew: The 27.3% skew indicates that call options are more in demand, which could suggest that investors are expecting a bullish movement post-earnings. A solid skew suggests higher demand for call options, indicating a potential bullish sentiment among investors. IVx (46 DTE): 73.6, indicating high volatility expected over the next 46 days. Volatility is likely to remain high around the earnings report, which is favorable for selling option premiums. Exp.mV (46 DTE): The expected move over the next 46 days is $7.6, indicating that investors are pricing significant price movement after the earnings report.
NYSE:UBERLong
by TanukiTrade
PLTR Earnings Options Analysis: Strong SupportsCurrent Price Level: NYSE:PLTR is currently trading around 23.79 USD. Options Data: IVRank: 95.8, indicating that the current implied volatility is at the 95.8th percentile over the past 52 weeks. IV% 5d Change: 16%, showing a significant increase in implied volatility over the past 5 days. Exp. move at 46 DTE: 4.6% for options expiring in 46 days. Price Skew: 31.8%, indicating the difference between the bid and ask prices of options. Market participants overpriced call options by 31.8% for the September expiration, indicating bullish sentiment despite the significant panic in the markets today. Support Level: There is strong support below the 4/8 level, which is crucial for put options. The green line represents the strike price expected by the market based on the options chain for 46 days to expiration (46 DTE), around 18 USD. The Delta 16 PUT level is below the 4/8 Murrey Math level, indicating strong support based on the status of the current optionchain.
P
by TanukiTrade
Options Analysis for Caterpillar Inc. ($CAT)Key Levels and Indicators: Current Price: $316.49 IV Rank: 129.5 IV (46 DTE): 58.7% IV Change (5 Days): +10.2% Expected Move (46 DTE): $31.4 Price Skew: 3.1% for PUTs (almost neutral) The market appears to anticipate that the price of NYSE:CAT will remain above this strike price ($280) by the expiration date of 46 days (DTE). A 5-day change in IV of +10.2% indicates increasing volatility possibly due to upcoming earnings or other significant events + today crash of SP500. An expected move of $31.4 suggests that the market predicts CAT could move within a $31.4 range from its current price over the next 46 days. The green horizontal line at $280 represents a critical support level at MurreyMath 2/8.
NYSE:CATLong
by TanukiTrade
AMZN is at weekly and daily demand zones.NASDAQ:AMZN is at key weekly and daily demand zones which have held up for the past several months. The daily 100 EMA and weekly 20 EMA have served as strong demand zones on this entire move higher after last earnings season, and we have been swinging the stock long from these levels in the $170s, before scaling out at $190 and $200 targets. This dip into $182 is a great level to reload equity that was sold into targets for a potential move back to highs. The trade will be invalidated if it builds below these levels; however, entry here provides favorable reward-to-risk ratio.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by DMT_Doctor
4
$T cheapest good R:R earnings play2024-07-23 at 3DTE NYSE:T Jul 26th 16/17 Put Ratio Spread Options Overlay indicator and Options Screener in action. Tomorrow before open : Earnings Max loss: $2.5 Max profit: $97 Bp.req: $200 Bearish micro, bullish macro. I expect that even in the event of a possible fall, the 4/8 will hold the price. If it doesn't, then the upward macro trend. So I went for a pretty safe-looking trade, with the green rage showing the range of returns, so I will sleep well :) PUTS = CALLS equally priced for 3DTE.
NYSE:TShort
by TanukiTrade
Earnings Season to Show if Big Tech Stocks Can Justify AI HypeUpper echelon of tech realm is expected to report the most profits since early 2022 as the bar is set high thanks to the big promise of artificial intelligence. Earnings season is about to hit fever pitch with the biggest names in the corporate world getting ready to deliver spring-quarter financial updates. The bar is set high thanks to the promise of artificial intelligence to rewire how businesses operate, spend and make money. How high exactly? All S&P 500 companies collectively are predicted to knock out the biggest increase in profits in more than two years — year-on-year earnings growth is pinned at 8.8% for the quarter ended June, the highest since the first quarter of 2022. Froth or Not? Stakes are high. The upcoming string of earnings data will show whether big tech high-flyers can justify the AI hype that has propelled stocks to record after record . The S&P 500 has notched more than 36 all-time closing highs this year and is sitting on gains of more than 18% since it started trading in January. The Big Dogs Apparently, optimism is sweeping left and right, lifting valuations of companies big and small. A handful of them have been singled out as the biggest group of winners. And — you guessed it — they’re all involved in the AI narrative. Chipmaking giant Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ) and a clique of big tech heavyweights are lined up to show if their earnings and revenue guidance will catch up to the sky-high valuations. Nvidia has more than doubled this year, soaring above $3 trillion in market value. Briefly, it became the world’s largest company . Its peers Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ), Facebook parent Meta (ticker: META ), Apple (ticker: AAPL ) and Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL ) have rocketed to records this year as well. Heavy Concentration The 10 biggest companies in the S&P 500 fill up about 37% of its worth, which presently gravitates toward $48 trillion. This said, these 10 titans of capitalism contribute 24% to the broad-based index’s earnings — the highest ratio since 1990. To keep going with the numbers, before we dive into what’s coming over the next few weeks, the S&P 500 companies are trading at 21.4 times their projected earnings over the next 12 months. For comparison, the average multiple for a five-year stretch is 19.7. It gets even more interesting when you zoom in and double click on five tech titans — Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Meta and Amazon. Their price/earnings multiples have ballooned to an average of 34 times projections, up from 28 times. The AI bellwether, Nvidia, has soared to 41 times, from 24 times in January. Against that backdrop, analysts are quick to point out that a correction in stock prices may loom large if these corporate giants can’t beat out their earnings projections. Is there room for disappointment? Stacked Up Against Expectations Let’s go around the table and see what’s coming over the next few weeks. We’ll keep it tight so we’ll only look into the elite Magnificent Seven club . July 23 Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ) Year-to-date performance: 23% Revenue guidance: $64 billion Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL ) Year-to-date performance: 33% Revenue expectations: $79 billion Tesla (ticker: TSLA ) Year-to-date performance: 0% ( find out the reasons ). Revenue expectations: $20.16 billion July 31 Meta (ticker: META ) Year-to-date performance: 44% Revenue guidance: $36.5 billion to $39 billion August 1 Apple (ticker: AAPL ) Year-to-date performance: 24% Revenue expectations: $84 billion Amazon (ticker: AMZN ) (date unconfirmed) Year-to-date performance: 30% Revenue guidance: $144 billion to $149 billion August 21 Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ) (date unconfirmed) Year-to-date performance: 168% Revenue guidance: $28 billion Let's Hear from You! Are we going to see another blockbuster quarter of record revenue and profits? Or is the AI hype overblown and could this mean big tech may let us down? Share your thoughts below!
SP:SPX
by TradingView
10
Weakening Patterns: NVDANASDAQ:NVDA is over-speculated on the short-term and intermediate-term trends. It has minimal support nearby for holding for a position trade. Without retail groups or smaller funds, the price action is weakening at this time. Nvidia doesn't report until May 22 which is very late in the season but for now, it has some minor rotation going on. If it continues to hold above the black line, then it can pattern out the excessive price gains. This is not a strong sell short opportunity, but it is important to keep an eye on this stock for the next couple of weeks.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Why did HPE Breakout?As shown on the one-hour chart, in the last trading session, HPE broke out of its usual trading the range being the blue high-volume area on the profile. This is with increased volatility as shown by the indicator and the large top wicks on the rising green candles. Why did this occur? Were traders simply buying anything in the IT sector vaguely related to AI after the NVDA breakout? Does HPE have a role in artificial intelligence? Was this a sympathy play? The Luxalgo Supply / Demand indicator shows supply immediately overhead. The wicks on the last several candles show a defined level. This might be called a " tweezer top " Overall, I see this as an excellent short setup to be played with either short selling or a put option as the retracement seems inevitable.
NYSE:HPEShort
by AwesomeAvani
Goldman Sachs, the Buyback King?Goldman Sachs, one of the very few giant financial services companies left, is intending to do the first mega buyback program that will exceed One TRILLION dollars into 2025. Gasp. So the chart shows the initial buybacks commencing and the support of its stock price during the very dicey sideways trend. The company reports earnings Monday, April 15. Enough time to catch another swing run to earnings if the current consolidation breaks out to the upside. NYSE:GS is a Sell Side Institution and admits it is heavily vested in NASDAQ:NVDA and other big tech stocks at this time. GS benefits from higher interest rates holding through this year.
NYSE:GS
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
JPM Earnings Next Week: Will Buybacks Hold Up the Stock?NYSE:JPM reached New Highs recently with a huge number of buybacks driving the stock upward so fast and so high. The big bank has also been busy gobbling up regional banks for two years now. JPM's floor traders, trading aggressively in a few key industries, are doing well. However, Revenues and Earnings were down last quarter over the prior quarter. And Volume is trending slightly lower over the quarter. An overextended run into earnings often sees profit-taking ahead of or on the day of the report. Smaller funds are in speculative mode chasing the buybacks. Why did smaller funds rush to buy on earnings last quarter? Year over Year comparisons show revenues and earnings are up. Year over year often distorts current values. What matters is the most current data, quarter over quarter, for the Buy Side Institutions.
NYSE:JPM
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
COIN Completes First Post-IPO BottomAs the first of its kind, this young company has a bright future. Weekly chart: NASDAQ:COIN has completed its first post-IPO bottom formation and is holding above the completion line despite some selling down in recent weeks. The company reports Feb 15th. The fundamentals are most likely at or near the bottom completion level. The run up became over-speculated so a minor correction is underway that can dip into the completion level, but support from the bottom formation is strong with Dark Pool buy zone patterns.
NASDAQ:COIN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Over-speculated Patterns Heading Into Earnings SeasonNYSE:JPM is the last Bank that has been able to hold onto its Dow 30 component status. It is running up on a combination of buybacks and ETF development for Dow 30 index components. The stock is over-speculated heading into the earnings season. Volume Oscillators show the extreme pattern clearly. So even minimal weakness in the earnings report could cause an HFT trigger. It might surprise either way. Some of its growth in 2023 was due to the regional bank debacle when JPM chose certain small banks to target for a silent hostile takeover.
NYSE:JPM
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Solid Small Caps for EarningsAnyone finding interesting setups in small caps this earnings season? These often have more reliable patterns for swing trading. Since they are largely under the radar of the retail crowd, institutional patterns can be clearer. NASDAQ:CERE is an example of a stock coming up in TechniTrader scans today. It has 88% institutional holdings. A compression pattern is developing. HFTs have been in it recently, possibly due to intermittent accumulation. The strengthening of the sideways action is particularly visible with the RSI indicator. Dark Pool accumulation tends to cause controlled sideways patterns like this, a key ingredient for what we call Relational Technical Analysis at TechniTrader. Because this has had a swing-style run out of the last compression pattern at a low in this longer trading range, a swing trade could be considered on the breakout, either above today's high or above the last resistance level for a more conservative entry. (Green lines on the chart) My target would be 31, but of course I'd be watching for exit signals or an extreme pattern to take profits early. Stop loss at the red line on the chart. A more aggressive trader could look at an entry ahead of the close today if pro trader patterns emerge in the last 15 minutes with an exit shortly after the open if a run or gap up develops for an EOD to FOD trade. Happy Trading! Guest author: Mele Ainuu, Senior Technical Analyst, Student Support @ TechniTrader
CLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/25/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2023 - PR High: 14854.50 - PR Low: 14776.00 - NZ Spread: 175.5 Key Economic Events 08:00 – Building Permits 10:00 – New Home Sales 10:30 – Crude Oil Inventories 16:35 – Fed Chair Powell Speaks Session opened with high volatility - Created super wide NZ spread - Credit given to earningns - Holding inside prev session range Evening Stats (As of 12:25 AM) - Weekend Gap: +0.21% (filled) - Session Gap 8/2: -0.33% (open > 15807) - Session Gap 7/20: -0.11% (open > 15939) - Session Open ATR: 255.16 - Volume: 31K - Open Int: 251K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From ATH: -11.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 15247 - Mid: 14675 - Short: 14103 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQZ2023
by mv3trader5
MSFT Showing Strength on Retest Ahead of EarningsPercentage of Shares Held by Institutions is a bit low at 69% for NASDAQ:MSFT stock right now. However, the indicators are showing some strength as it retests the lower level of resistance above its current price. NASDAQ:MSFT reports earnings next week on Tuesday. Microsoft has focused on AI for small businesses, the market niche that helped move it out of its 16-year slump until 2016, and during the pandemic. The pandemic anomalies in revenues should be patterned out this earnings season. The stock has ample support at the most recent lows. It is a heavily weighted component of all 3 indexes, so an important report for Q3.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader