Earningstrategy
GOOGL we had a breakout, but we didn’t get the strength neededGOOGL: Yes, we had a breakout, but we didn’t get the strength we needed.
We got confirmation that Google exited the yellow channel, which I call "no man's land," but when Google broke out of this channel to the upside, it did so with a candle that wasn’t to my liking.
Double TOP!
After the price tried to go up the first time after the breakout, it made one more attempt to go higher but failed. The price returned to the stagnant channel we had analyzed last week.
The earnings report is approaching. I believe the last two candles give me a lot of hope that Google’s upward run is starting here. However, I would like to confirm on Monday or Tuesday with 1 or 2 bullish candles to confirm that my prediction will indeed take effect.
Even though I'm still bullish on GOOGLE ! Remember, we are very close to the earnings report, which could push Google to glory!
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
Best regards,
Maximize Gains with Options for $UBER: Option Chain Outlook The NYSE:UBER stock price had been in an uptrend until it reached around the $75 level, after which it entered a correction phase. The price is currently near a long-term upward trendline, which could act as strong support.
Volatility: The IVRank (Implied Volatility Rank) is 107.5, indicating that the current volatility is high compared to the values observed over the past year. The IVx value is 73.6, also indicating high volatility.
IVx 5-day Change: +7.8%, showing a significant increase in volatility over the past 5 days. This is common in the period leading up to earnings as investors prepare for the announcement.
Price Skew: The 27.3% skew indicates that call options are more in demand, which could suggest that investors are expecting a bullish movement post-earnings. A solid skew suggests higher demand for call options, indicating a potential bullish sentiment among investors.
IVx (46 DTE): 73.6, indicating high volatility expected over the next 46 days. Volatility is likely to remain high around the earnings report, which is favorable for selling option premiums.
Exp.mV (46 DTE): The expected move over the next 46 days is $7.6, indicating that investors are pricing significant price movement after the earnings report.
NFLX Falling into a Dark Pool Buy Zone?While we all wait on the highly anticipated NASDAQ:NFLX earnings report at the close today, let's study the weekly chart to study the downside potential since the stock gapped down today on expectations of a weak report.
Netflix’s percentage of shares held by institutions has recovered to a respectable 79%, which is more consistent with a company that is in favor with the Buy Side Institutions. There has been accumulation going on since the lows of 2022.
Selling Short is problematic due to the support levels not far down from the current price and the risk of a hidden Dark Pool Buy Zone starting at the highs of the U-shaped bottom formation.
The current run down is at a technical support level, which is where pro traders often nudge the price to trigger HFTs. Beware of the risk of an extreme reaction at the open tomorrow. During earnings season with a report at the close, pro traders often take profits either in the final minutes of the day to avoid the risk of a surprise, or shortly after the open to capitalize on the reaction to the report.
X United States Steel Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought X here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of X United States Steel Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 26usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.24.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
BIOL- running earnings 8/10 LONGBIOL had a triple top in late July so this is a logical long target at 8,0, With earnings in less
than two days, volumes above the mean in the past couple of days and a decent
price-volume product trend coupled with a Price Monetum Oscillator without any signs
of topping out in a momentum stall or fade. I see this as a long pre-earnings play
with about 12% upside to the target from the current price. BIOL has no options. The
last earnings were a solid cash making top and bottom line beat. Go BIOL !
SBUX upcoming earnings opportunity LONGSBUX fell going into earnings in early May and continued down all of May then pivoting
into a slow climb on this 2H chart through the lower anchored VWAP bands until the present
where it is about to cross the mean VWAP lines as signaled by an engulfing green bar after a
Doji. The dual time frame RSI lines have both near the 50 levels with the lower in green
slightly above the higher in black. I see SBUX rising in the earning upcoming this week.
The target is the ascending trendline in black at about 104 for a quick 2.5% ROI in 2 days.
I will play this with some call options contracts striking 102 expiring August 11th. I will take
half of them off with a 50% unrealized profit and let the remainder run until 8/9 to avoid
acceleration of time decay.
DASH a quick play on earnings LONGDASH has earnings upcoming in two trading days. Since the last earnings three months
ago, on the 4H chart, DASH looks to be very healthy and decidedly bullish. The nearly
continuous MACD lines above the histogram say it all. The PVT shows occasional pullbacks
of the price volume product which are the ideal entries for a long-term swing trader or
investor. Earnings could beat or disappoint seemingly a beat is more likely. Price just completed
a mini pullback and resumed the trend. The " upper Bollinger band walk" is highly
bullish. I see a long trade of perhaps 5% upside with little risk. An options trade with
5 days DTE expiring 8/4 could have far more significant profit carefully constructed to
limit risk with relatively wider stop loss. Good luck to all who elect to take this trade.
Can CMG recover from the post earnings drop?CMG had earnings today which were a beat but apparently less than expectations
of investors and traders. On the 15-minute chart, the indicators support a reversal
with a bounce on the dual time frame RS lines showing a bit of bullish divergence.
Decelerating bearish momentum on the MACD with lines converging under the histogram
suggests a reversal is impending. Further, the mass index indicator is in the reversal
zone but not yet triggering the signal with a drop below the zone. I will take a
long trade of CMG. They say trade what you know, My local CMG is always buzy and
a love either food. I believe that CMG is ready to give me a big rebate on my
patronage. I will take a call option expiring 8/18 striking $2100. I expect to realize
a large profit having done a similar trade on CMG more than once in the past. The expected
premium of $7300 will be about $700 of risk given a stop =loss but I expect a reward
of 4-6 times that if not more.
ZM: Pre-Earnings Release RunZoom is showing a pre-earnings release run up out of its extreme low, ahead of its Q1 report today. The current run's pattern is indicative of professional traders swing trading with earnings strategies; they tend to take profits on the report since they bought at the low. While revenues are likely to come in below last quarter, earnings should improve over the big loss last quarter.
The stock has probably found its final low, at long-term support from 2020. ZM outperformed during the pandemic due to huge demand that was unsustainable and time limited. So it has a lot of work to do from here; it must reinvent to offer a greatly improved service to compete with huge companies like Google, etc. which all have very similar services.
VZ Verizon Communications Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven sold VZ here:
Then analyzing the options chain of VZ Verizon Communications prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 37usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-5-19
for a premium of approximately $0.84
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
How to Access Stocks Earnings Report in TradingViewWelcome back Traders!
TradingView has done an excellent job providing earnings information on individual stocks! If you are a new or existing stock market trader, you will find this information helpful
and I hope you learn something new.
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DIS Pre-Earnings RunDisney is in the retail news a lot these days but the chart has a pre-earnings run in anticipation that Year over Year financials will look a lot better than it did most of 2022. This stock has been as high as $200 a share so it has plenty of room to continue upward.
HOWEVER, it is over-speculated right now so profit-taking on the earnings release, good or bad, and probably a gap, are highly likely.
This is WHY earnings strategies for swing traders require that you prepare 2-4 weeks in advance so that you're already in the stock ahead of the earnings report. There are smaller funds and retail groups in the mix at this point.
Entry Points in NFLX Ahead of EarningsPlatforms ahead of earnings is an important pattern to watch for. Platform-building markets develop on the dominance of institutional investors buying quietly with controlled orders via the Dark Pools.
NFLX has a classic "quiet accumulation" pattern, also known as a Dark Pool buy zone. These platforms provide strong support for the bottom formation, especially since this was a breakaway gap.
Preparing for Earnings Season: ESPRStocks that are reporting earnings in 3 to 4 weeks can be monitored for pre-earnings runs.
ESPR had momentum runs recently, as marked by the candlestick patterns within the green rectangles in this chart. A shift of sentiment can be seen in the bottoming pattern with Accumulation/Distribution indicators (the area between the blue rectangles).
Often, when an earnings report is going to be great, then the company tries to leak it out subtly. IF earnings were to be negative or below expectations, then CEOs would be warning.
No need to go looking for analyst recommendations, everything you need is in the charts.
Focusing on the charts, rather than on the commentary around the market, will help you find the stocks that will be lucrative for trading this earnings season.
Pro Traders Take Profits on EarningsWhat happened today on the earnings announcement by PEP? Pro traders took profits against the retail crowd's buying on the news headlines that suggested an earnings "beat" for Q2. The retail buying causes the gap up at open, which is a prime cue to take profits on swing trades.
This was what we call a pre-earnings run. The earnings results don't matter as much as the technical setup a few weeks ahead of the earnings release. Swing trades were initiated at the reversal from the support at 155, confirmed by price and volume patterns at that time.
Now, with resistance overhead, where the initial target for this earnings play was, and the retail crowd causing a gap up at open on the earnings announcement, this is where professional short-term traders close long positions. This should not be construed as a good opportunity to short swing-style, however. It is an example of the execution of a long swing-style earnings strategy.
This is an example of TechniTrader's Relational Technical Analysis techniques for planning better trades.
1 Day breakout trend line near price after earnings.According to the earnings the net profit has risen 4 % in (QoQ) and 9 % growth on (YoY)
My idea is to buy near 790.50 to 785.05
with a stop loss of 779.90
For 1st Target of 817
2nd Target of 860 (with a trailing stop loss)
I think that there will be a bounce back from the 1 Day breakout trend line as the earning are flat to positive
$CASA strongest Q4 with record wireless revenueIn the fourth quarter of 2020, Casa Systems' revenue rose 7% year over year to $120.5 million. Adjusted earnings increased from $0.15 to $0.27 per diluted share. Your average Wall Street analyst would have settled for earnings of roughly $0.11 per share on sales near $107.5 million.
The company booked 26 purchase orders for 4G and 5G wireless systems in the fourth quarter, making wireless products the largest revenue generator in this period at 42% of total sales. That's a significant shift from the year-ago quarter, where cable broadband equipment accounted for a leading 48% of Casa's total sales.
Wireless sales nearly doubled in fiscal year 2020, while fixed telco network sales posted even faster growth of 150%. The laggard in Casa's portfolio these days is the cable networking segment, which CEO Jerry Guo sees as a "steady and consistent" contributor rather than a growth driver.
www.fool.com
“We had one of our strongest quarters with record wireless revenue and a healthy backlog to support our top-line growth in 2021,”
finance.yahoo.com
$JMP killer earnings $0.45 per shareJMP Group (NYSE:JMP) stock is soaring higher on Friday after releasing its earnings report for the fourth quarter of 2020 after-hours yesterday.
The most recent earnings report has JMP Group bringing in earnings $0.45 per share of on revenue of $53.62 million. Both of these are strong increases over the company’s EPS and revenue of 1 cent and $23.82 million from the same time last year.
Those positive results for the quarter are easily enough to explain why JPM stock is on the rise today. However, there’s more investors should note. It looks like the company is the target of investors looking to pump and dump it on the news. Talk on social media seems to back this idea up.
As a trader you have to understand the power of a catalyst. $JMP had killer earnings.
finance.yahoo.com
$VCRA provide outstanding Fourth Quarter 2020 Financial ResultsVocera Announces Fourth Quarter 2020 Financial Results
$VCRA Today reported total revenue of $56.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2020, an increase of 14% compared to last year.
GAAP net income of $0.1 million compared to a GAAP net loss of $(1.7) million last year
Non-GAAP net income of $9.7 million compared to $4.9 million last year
Adjusted EBITDA of $13.1 million compared to $6.9 million last year
Full-year bookings were $233.3 million, up 17% year-over-year
Deferred revenue and backlog combined of $173.9 million as of December 31, 2020, an increase of 28% over last year
Earnings per share were up 86.67% over the past year to $0.28, which beat the estimate of $0.20.
finance.yahoo.com
finance.yahoo.com
Why I think Post Earnings Trades can be more profitable!
PLEASE NOTE: this is just my opinion. I know a lot of people who LOVE trading earnings and can and do have some pretty good results. If you trade earnings, that's awesome, I just always say no matter what or how you trade, just have a plan and stick to it! But for me, earnings just doesn't fall into my game plan. I used to trade earnings with some up and down results and finally came up with a game plan and stuck to it -- COMPLETELY forget about earnings! And, if anything, trade POST EARNINGS, not PRE-earnings. Ever since, my consistency has increased.
Yes, I understand there are many viewpoints here, i.e., great to capture volatility crush by selling; ability to capture huge move with little risk lotto. Yea, you can bank pretty good if you get an earnings right, but there are so many factors working against you that I would rather trade 10 consistent trades with a higher win percentage compared to making 10 trades with the hope that fate is on my side for at least one or two of them. So, this is why I think post earnings can better set you up for more sustainable, consistent profits.
I've attached an image of Netflix. With their recent earnings, figured I'd just use them for an example. To help illustrate, I'm using the Oct. 16, 2019 earnings.
So, what is my set up for earnings? ABSOLUTELY NOTHING! I trade wave theory and supply/demand. Let's walk through this hypothetically .... Pretend there is NO such thing as earnings for this...
It's beginning of October and I want to make a trade in Netflix. I go chart it, find supply/demand, and low and behold, "NOPE, not entering a trade yet. We are currently in a chop zone. But, based on my game plan, I will WAIT and LOOK TO SHORT at the 300 supply zone OR I will WAIT and look to enter a LONG position at the demand zone around around 268."
Game plan set, set some trade alerts/price alerts, and now wait. Oh, Oct. 17 I get an alert Netflix has entered a supply zone. I go, check out price action, and potentially decide to enter a short trade because price for some reason rocketed up to a BIG supply zone. I enter a short and stick to my game plan until invalidation level. Well, Oct. 18 rolls in and the stock has now dropped by end of day from 308 down to 273! Let's say I lock in some profit and I close all positions. I have now followed my game plan up to this point with no consideration as to what, why or how price entered my target zone. My main thing is to find my entry zones and WAIT until price gets there, no matter the reason of how.
Now, after I close out, I re evaluate. Oh, look at that, there is a BIG DEMAND zone down at 265 area. Guess what, another trade alert set and then it triggers. I go and review price action and see that there was a WHOLE LOT of selling directly into demand. Sweet, a confirmation signal I look for. So, lets say I now enter, according to my game plan (short supply, long demand), I enter a long position at 268. Well, as you can see, sticking to my game plan and the general concept of powerful moves being able to come out of demand, price trended all the way up to 338. Lets hypothetically lock in those gains and move on to the next trade!
...... Well, happens all the time, but lets say someone asks, "OMG, did you trade Netflix earnings? I made a killing on the pop up! (or lost on the surprise beat)." My response: "ummmm I didn't even know there was earnings...."
My game plan: less stress; putting odds in my favor; potentially made some awesome swing trades for a total point value of about 110 points!
Person who traded earnings: stressed; ears and eyes locked onto the news; fingers crossed that the $100 lotto/gamble they made will pay off and hoping that fate is on their side.
Funny thing too to help illustrate the horrendous odds of earnings ... this earnings report posted a surprise BEAT; so, rightfully so, the price rocketed right up! However, that rocket landed SMACK DAB in a supply zone. So, to the person trading earnings scratching their head as to what the heck happened to the stock after posting such a great report??? Well, lets look: you bought in a chop zone where the market was already indecisive of where to go and the report did nothing more than to SPEED UP THE PROCESS of helping the stock price either go to a demand or a supply zone. Here, earnings, I suppose, just helped to accelerate time a little bit and pushed it straight to supply. Once it got there, there were a whole lot of sellers waiting to just dump their holdings. And, ironically, at the same time, you have all of your Earnings "Winners" locking in their profit, also dumping off their holdings.
Result = good earnings report > massive price swing to the negative
If this is too long, I apologize. I just hope this makes sense and hopefully helps to illustrate to people my reasoning as to why I don't trade earnings. Seriously, I couldn't tell you when an earnings report is on any of the stocks I trade. The only time I look to when earnings are is to help me decide how far out in time to purchase or sell my putts or calls. Meaning, if I was going to buy 6 weeks out and find out that that expiration lands right on earnings, then I will SKIP THIS DATE and go out maybe 8 weeks or go shorter to maybe 4 weeks out BECAUSE I do not want to buy elevated implied volatility due to an event that has absolutely no bearing on how I trade.
Let the trade set-up establish itself FIRST; don't trade hoping for a set-up to happen...