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ECB lowers rates, Euro edges higherThe euro is showing little movement on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1369, up 0.09% on the day. The ECB lowered its deposit facility rate on Thursday by a quarter-point, bring the rate to 2.25%. This marked the seventh rate cut since the ECB started its easing cycle in June 2024 and interest rates are now at their lowest since December 2022. The markets had expected the rate cut and the euro showed limited movement in response to the move. The ECB's rate cut was largely a response to the chaos around US tariff policy. US President Donald Trump has sharply attacked the EU over its trade policy and slapped 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports into the US. The EU retaliated with counter-tariffs but suspended those measures for 90 days after Trump suspended a second round of tariffs on EU goods. The sides are negoatiating but the US has threatened new tariffs on pharmaceutical products and the EU-US trade war could escalate in the coming weeks. The euro has benefited so far from the escalating trade tensions, as hit 1.1476 last week, its highest level since February 2022. The US dollar has sustained sharp losses against the major currencies as investors look for safer shores in the midst of the turmoil in the financial markets. The ECB statement said that the inflation continues to ease but expressed concern over worsening trade tensions which have muddied the economic outlook. ECB President Lagarde said in her follow-up press conference that "downside risks to economic growth have increased" which would likely impact on exports, investment and consumption. The Federal Reserve is prepared to lower rates if necesary but the markets have priced in a hold at 90% the May 7 meeting according to CME Fedwatch. A cut in June is much more likely, with a 60% probability.
by OANDA
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 18, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the Euro has demonstrated a successful pullback to the anticipated support level of 1.128, from which upward momentum has emerged. Consequently, the currency is positioned to retest the previously completed Outer Currency Rally level of 1.142, potentially advancing towards the subsequent target marked next Outer Currency Rally at 1.159. However, it is essential to recognize that there is a possibility of downward momentum re-emerging should the Euro challenge the completed resistance at 1.142 or the forthcoming target of 1.159.
by TradeSelecter
EURUSD Holds Below 3-Year HighsAs the U.S. dollar lingers near 3-year lows, the euro is testing 3-year highs—holding critical resistance zone at 1.1520. This level marks a pivotal point, further challenging the broader downtrend that has shaped the EUR/USD chart since 2008. A confirmed breakout above 1.1520 could open the door to further upside toward 1.17 and 1.20, revisiting the highs last seen in 2021. Should the euro fail to break higher and begin to retreat, key support levels to watch include 1.1270, 1.1140, 1.1000, and 1.0920. A potential pullback may be amplified if overbought momentum begins to fade—particularly as the current 3-day RSI levels echo those last observed in 2020. Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
by FOREXcom
Dovish ECB Meets Technical Confluence – EUR/USD at Make-or-BreakEUR/USD has been respecting a clear bearish trend structure, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows across the lower timeframes. The pair is currently in a corrective phase, retracing toward the 1.13600 zone, a critical area where the descending trendline, horizontal resistance, and prior support converge. This level could serve as a strong turning point. Fundamentally, the euro remains under pressure as markets anticipate a dovish stance from the ECB amid subdued inflation and softening economic data. Meanwhile we should be very cautious about the dollar with the very mixed war tariffs. A rejection at this level with confirming bearish price action could open the door for a fresh leg lower in line with the prevailing trend. I’m closely monitoring candlestick behavior and momentum signals around 1.13600 for a potential short setup.
Short
by JoeChampion
Will the persistent weak dollar help strengthen the euro? The Trump administration announced a 90-day tariff reprieve and reciprocal exemptions on smartphones and semiconductors. However, President Trump denied that this constitutes a tariff exemption, stressing that duties on items such as semiconductors and pharmaceuticals will be reimposed. Amid growing concerns over the impact of US tariff hikes on Eurozone growth, market sentiment has strengthened around the prospect of further ECB rate cuts. ECB President Christine Lagarde warned that the Trump administration’s aggressive tariff policy could destabilize European financial markets. EURUSD has extended its sharp uptrend, testing the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The widening gap between both EMAs indicates a continued extension of bullish momentum. If EURUSD breaks above the channel’s upper bound, the price could advance toward the resistance at 1.1475. Conversely, if EURUSD falls below the support at 1.1210, the price may decline further toward 1.1050.
by inkicho_exness
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Euro has demonstrated an exceptional rally during this trading week, revisiting and significantly enhancing its upper trading range by reaching an outer currency rally level of 1.142. Consequently, an intermediate price reversal has been identified, suggesting that the Eurodollar may continue to decline toward the support level at 1.128, possibly extending to the support level of 1.119. It is important to note that upward momentum may emerge from either of these support levels.
by TradeSelecter
2
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 4, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Euro has experienced a notable increase, surpassing resistance levels at 1.086 and 1.095 in the current trading session, thereby completing the Inner Currency Rally of 1.114. However, an intermediate price reversal has been observed, suggesting that the Eurodollar will continue to decline towards the support level at 1.090, with a potential extension down to 1.075. An upward momentum could emerge from either of these support levels.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Euro has experienced a downward trend in the current trading session, surpassing the Mean Support level of 1.078, where an intermediate price reversal occurred. The analysis indicates that the Eurodollar is expected to retest the Mean Resistance level at 1.086, with a possible resistance level marked at 1.095. A downward momentum may be initiated from either the Mean Resistance of 1.086 or 1.095.
by TradeSelecter
EURJPY Confirmed Pennant Pattern BreakoutOANDA:EURJPY Long Opportunity Price has made a Breakout of the Falling Resistance of the Pennant Pattern it has been forming the past couple of weeks. The Breakout meets all the requirements needed to be validated as a True Breakout! With Price trading above the 200 EMA, this adds more confirmation that the Bulls are in-control and we can reasonably expect to see price move to the Upside. At the Start of the Following Hour ( 09:00 CST ), I will enter a Long Position on OANDA:EURJPY with my SL below the Retest of the Break!
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
4
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: As indicated in the analysis conducted last week, the Euro has initiated a downward trend following a successful retest of the Mean Resistance level at 1.093. It is currently trending downward toward the Mean Support level at 1.078, potentially declining further to the Mean Support level at 1.061. Conversely, should the anticipated downward trend not materialize, the Eurodollar will retest the Mean Resistance level at 1.087, with an additional resistance level marked at 1.095.
by TradeSelecter
DAX Trade Log DAX Buy Setup with Ichimoku Confluence Geopolitical tensions—especially the ongoing conflict in Eastern Europe—continue to influence risk sentiment, while inflation and central bank policy remain in the spotlight. The European Central Bank’s more hawkish stance contrasts with fears of slowing growth in the Eurozone. Despite these headwinds, the DAX could see a near-term bounce, supported by technical signals: 1. Ichimoku Confluence : Price is testing the Kijun and the lower edge of the cloud, aligning with a daily pivot. A close back above the Kijun/cloud area suggests potential upside. 2. Volume Spike : Recent volume surge around this support zone may indicate bullish absorption—watch for follow-through. 3. Macro Backdrop : Although persistent inflation and geopolitical uncertainties loom large, short-term volatility can present trading opportunities. Keep an eye on ECB communications and any unexpected developments in global tensions. 4. Risk Management : A 120-point SL (around 2% account risk) below the key support could help protect against false breaks. Targets include the top of the cloud or previous swing highs. 5. 8-Day Cycle : Day 2 in your cycle analysis suggests a potential upswing—confirmation will come if price holds above this confluence zone. Stay vigilant, monitor news flow, and maintain discipline in your trading plan. This is not financial advice—always do your own due diligence.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by Fondera
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the current week's trading session, Bitcoin has made multiple hits by retesting our completed Outer Coin Dip 78800 on Sunday and Monday. Consequently, the cryptocurrency has experienced a significant uptrend, reaching the inverse (Resistance) Mean Sup 84700 level. This upward oscillation indicates a potential for further price rally and suggests a likelihood of advancing toward the target designated as the Interim Coin Rally 88400. Such developments could facilitate an extension toward the supplementary target of Mean Res 94500 and beyond. If there is a decline from Interim Coin Rally 88400 or its current price level, the coin is expected to retest the completed Outer Coin Dip 78700, potentially reinstating the upward rally.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the preliminary phase of the Inner Currency Rally, the Euro achieved a significant milestone of 1.060 during the current week's trading session. Demonstrating an unprecedented surge in "dead-cat rally" sentiment, it subsequently completed our next targeted level of Inner Currency Rally of 1.086. As a result, the market has established a Mean Support target at 1.077, which the ongoing pullback indicates may be the next point of focus. This price movement may also lead to a further decline toward an additional Mean Support level of 1.057. Conversely, should the anticipated downward trend fail to materialize, the Eurodollar may initiate an upward trend toward the Mean Resistance level of 1.091. This movement could aim for the ultimate Outer Currency Rally level of 1.124 in the near future.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD keeps rolling after ECB rate cutThe euro has posted strong gains on Friday after taking a pause a day earlier.  EUR/USD is trading at 1.0858 in the European session, up 0.69% on the day.  It's been a remarkable week for the euro, which has soared 4.7% against the US dollar. The ECB lowered rates by 25 basis points on Thursday in a widely-expected decision.  This brings the deposit rate to 2.5%, its lowest level since Dec. 2022.  The central bank has been aggressive in its easing cycle, slashing rates by 185 basis points in just nine months. The rate reduction was no surprise and is being described as the "last easy cut".  Inflation is running at a 2.4% clip, above the ECB's 2% target but low enough to deliver rate hikes in order to boost the flagging economy. What's next for the ECB is a tricky question, especially with economic and political developments moving at a dizzying pace. First, the new Trump administration hasn't wasted any time in imposing (and in some cases, suspending) tariffs, which has chilled investor sentiment and sent equity markets tumbling. The US hasn't applied tariffs to the European Union although it has threatened to do so.  The EU would surely retaliate and a trade war between the two giant economies will damage growth and raise inflation in the eurozone. Second, Trump is showing growing impatience with Ukraine and has suspended military aid. Germany has responded by easing its fiscal spending rules and has proposed a massive spending scheme for defense and infrastructure. This has sent German bond yields and the euro soaring. ECB President Lagarde said after the ECB meeting that the situation was changing "dramatically" by the day and the ECB would need to be "extremely vigilant" and "agile". She reiterated that future rate decisions would be based on the data. The US wraps up the week with the February employment report. Nonfarm payrolls sank to 143 thousand in January from 256 thousand a month earlier.  The market estimate for February stands at 160 thousand. A surprise in either direction from nonfarm payrolls would likely have a significant impact on the direction of the US dollar. EUR/USD has pushed above resistance at 1.0801 and 1.0837 and is putting pressure on resistance at 1.0889.  Above, there is resistance at 1.0925 1.0749 and 1.0713 are the next support lines
by OANDA
EUR/USD soars as eurozone CPI higher than expectedThe euro has charged out of the gates and posted strong gains on Monday.  In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0484, up 1.06%.  With today's sharp gains, the euro has ended a three-day slide. Inflation in the eurozone eased to 2.4% y/y in February, down from 2.5% in January but above the market estimate of 2.3%.  Monthly, inflation jumped 0.5%, the fastest pace since April 2024 and after a January decline of 0.3%.  It was the same story for core CPI, which slowed to 2.6% y/y, down from 2.7% in January but above the market estimate of 2.5%. Investors focused on the fact that CPI was higher than expected and on the hot monthly CPI figure.  As a result, the euro has soared as the European Central Bank could delay rate-cut plans with inflation surprising on the upside.  The ECB is also concerned about sticky services inflation, which fell from 3.9% to 3.7% but remains much higher than the inflation target of 2%. The ECB lowered rates in January and meets next on March 6. There is little doubt that the ECB will trim rates by a quarter-point but after that the rate path is unclear.  The eurozone economy is sluggish and hasn't shown much response to the five rate cuts from the ECB since it started its easing cycle last June.  The economy could use additional rate cuts but the ECB remains concerned about the upward risk of inflation and today's CPI report hasn't put those worries to rest. Europe's manufacturing sector is stuck in the doldrums, with contractions in Germany, Italy, France and even Spain, which has been the eurozone's bright spot.  Still, there is some optimism among manufacturers, as Germany quickly formed a government and there is the possibility of an end to the war in Ukraine. EUR/USD is testing resistance at 1.0483.  Above, there is resistance at 1.0590 1.0421 and 1.0314 are the next support lines
by OANDA
EUR: watch for a single word that could change everything The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its March 6 meeting, lowering the deposit rate to 2.5%. All 82 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the cut. So, with this in the bag, the focus shifts to what comes next. Markets see a 60% chance of another cut in April, but hawkish policymakers like Isabel Schnabel are pushing back. According to ING, a key signal will be whether the ECB drops the term “restrictive” from its stance. If it does, a pause could follow; if not, further cuts may be likely. Overall, though, the ECB is unlikely to provide detailed forward guidance. Factors like U.S. tariffs and developments in Ukraine could significantly impact the eurozone economy, making it difficult to set a long-term policy path.
by BlackBull_Markets
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the initial rally attempt in this week's trading session, The Euro failed to reach our target of Inner Currency Rally 1.060 due to prevailing bearish sentiment. As a result, the market established a Mean Resistance target of 1.041. The current trend suggests a continuation of the downward price movement toward our designated target of Mean Support at 1.030, and there may be a retest of the Completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.020 via Key Support at 1.024. Conversely, if the anticipated downward trend does not materialize, we may witness the Eurodollar retesting the Mean Resistance level of 1.041 and subsequently target the Inner Currency Rally level of 1.060.
by TradeSelecter
ECB at a Crossroads Between Inflation Resurgence and Recession The Eurozone CPI recorded a year-on-year increase of 2.5% (previous: 2.4%, consensus: 2.5%), fueling concerns over inflation. Belgian central bank governor Pierre Wunsch emphasized the need for caution against excessive rate cuts without sufficient awareness of risks. Meanwhile, Germany’s February Ifo Business Climate Index came in at 85.2 (previous: 85.2, consensus: 85.9), further exacerbating uncertainty surrounding the Eurozone economy. After testing the resistance at 1.0530, EURUSD retreated below the EMA21. However, the price is still maintaining its bullish momentum above the ascending trendline. If EURUSD breaches above 1.0530, it could gain upward momentum toward 1.0630. Conversely, a break below 1.0455 and the trendline may lead to a further decline toward the support at 1.0400.
by inkicho_exness
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: This week, the Euro reapproached our designated Mean Resistance level of 1.050 and reversed its upward momentum. This trend indicates a continuation of the downward price movement, establishing a new support level marked at 1.042. Further declines may materialize, with potential targets including Mean Support at 1.030, a weaker Key Support at 1.024, the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.020, and the outermost target Outer Currency Dip at 1.005. Contrariwise, should the anticipated downward correction not transpire, the Eurodollar may experience an upward rally, possibly revisiting the Mean Resistance level of 1.050 and subsequently engaging with the Inner Currency Rally target of 1.060.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading session in the current week, the Euro reached our designated Mean resistance of 1.050 and is establishing a potential resurgence of extending upward momentum to an Inner Currency Rally of 1.060. On the other hand, if the anticipated upward resurgence does not emerge, the cryptocurrency may experience a drop toward the Mean Support of 1.039. Further engaging with the Mean Support level at 1.030 and the Key Support at 1.024, ultimately progressing toward the completed outer Currency Dip target of 1.020 and outermost Outer Currency Dip of 1.005.
by TradeSelecter
SHORT! US Dollar.....For nowUSD is in a clear wave 2 down for many reasons. - Tariffs speculation - Inflation data higher than expected - US M2 money supply increase - US manufacturing output drops and Retail sales drop Moreover, the dollar for now is bearish until reversals in the aforementioned list of causes for its recent decline. Primarily, look for the FED to hold off on any future rate cuts until later in the year. Treasury Yields(Bond Sell off) rising recently is an indication that the market does not expect any FED rate cuts happening anytime soon. This could spur demand for the US Dollar as other Central Banks globally look to continue to cut rates (i.e. ECB and BOE).
TVC:DXYShort
by UCHE9121
2
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading session on Monday of the current week, the Euro reached the Key Support level of 1.024 and brushed off the completed outer Currency Dip at 1.020. This movement was followed by a significant rebound, establishing a new Mean Resistance level at 1.040, which is expected to be tested in the forthcoming trading sessions. Conversely, the prevailing downward movement may prepare the price action for a subsequent decline if the anticipated rebound fails to materialize. This may lead to a revisit of the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.020, further engaging with the Mean Support level at 1.030 and the Key Support at 1.024, ultimately progressing toward the specified outer Currency Dip target of 1.005.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD slides on tariff turmoil, euro CPI risesThe euro has weakened at the start of the new week. EUR/USD slumped over the weekend and dropped as low as 1.0141, its lowest level since Nov. 2022. The euro has recovered somewhat on Monday and is trading at 1.0277 in the North American session. Still, the euro has dropped 0.76% since Friday's close. US President Trump hasn't wasted any time and imposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada over the weekend, effective February 4. Mexico and Canada have both announced retaliatory tariffs in response. Earlier today, just one day before the tariffs were to take effect, the US announced that the tariffs against Mexico would be delayed for a month. The breather is good news, but the US could still find itself embroiled in a trade war with its two neighbors, in what is the world's largest trade zone. Trump hasn't slapped the European Union with any tariffs yet, but said on Friday that he would "absolutely" go after imports from the EU. Global markets have been hit by fears of a global trade war resulting from the US tariffs and the US dollar is up sharply against most of the major currencies, including the euro. Inflation in the eurozone ticked upwards to 2.5% y/y in January from 2.4% in December, above the market estimate of 2.4%. This was the highest CPI level since July 2024, driven mainly by a sharp jump in energy prices. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, remained unchanged at 2.7% y/y for a fifth straight month, just above the market estimate of 2.6%. This is above the European Central Bank's 2% target but is the lowest level since January 2022. Services inflation, which is closely watched by the ECB, eased to 3.9% in January, down from 4% in December. Today's inflation report affirms that inflationary risks remain and could complicate the ECB's plans to reduce interest rates and kick-start the weak eurozone economy. The ECB meets next on March 6. EUR/USD has pushed above resistance at 1.0244 and is testing resistance at 1.0297 There is support at 1.0203 and 1.0175 www.tradingview.com
by OANDA