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Economic Cycles

Crypto Tide Rising: Will TOTAL Market Cap surf past $5T?In November 2024 the crypto ocean was calm, hovering near $2.25T . Then, in a short time, fresh capital poured in, daily volume spiked, and the tide lifted us to $3.65T by mid-December . Two bullish buoys popped up: ▶️ The daily down-trend snapped on Nov 4th, triggering a 51 % climb; ▶️ The 50-day MA (orange) crossed above the 200-day MA (white) on Nov 7th, after a 64 % rally. Fast-forward to June 4th 2025 . Another Golden Cross has just flashed, and price is again nudging that descending trend-line. If History rhymes: the line breaks and momentum matches 2024’s move, the TOTAL MC could vault toward $5T . Keeping today’s dominance ratios, that target implies roughly $162 k BTC and $3.8 k ETH . Add rising Global M2 and stablecoin liquidity, a supportive macro backdrop, and we may be staring at the next great crypto swell. Will the market catch this wave or will macro headwinds keep the tide in check? Not financial advice. DYOR, Arrr!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by MorangoTango
1
META: Testing Alternative Interconnection TypeResearch Notes Given expression like this: Fractal Corridors can be used for horizontal perspective of the same pattern manifestation. Alternative frames of reference exposes how historic swings of various magnitude in some way wire the following price dynamics. www.tradingview.com helps to seek a matching commonality in angles of trends which gives a hint how structure evolves in multi-scale perspective. I use both when it comes to working with complex waves and making interconnections through fibonacci ratios. To define emerging wave's limits (probable amplitude), I'll test classic rule of Support/Resistance shift in fibs. (When resistance becomes support or vice versa) By theory it means a trendline can also shift like that. In our case this can be applied as: Fibocnacci Structure:
NASDAQ:META
by fract
ABC Flat correction? Verifiably had Elliot wave impulse wave that reach completion. Going sideways was the correction. There’s either gonna be a breakout, which is likely, Or a correction to the downside. Since it is Fourth of July weekend, There’s plenty of room for global markets to greatly impact weekend trading. We’ll know by Monday, what Trump has said, what Elon has done, And with the wars results are. Hold on tight. Any correction to the downside is opportunity for institutions to further increase their anchor hold greater chunks of market liquidity. That’s all for today. Welcome back, Sincerely yours Paul Dorz
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by PaulDorz
AXON: Navigating Support After Short-Term Trend ReversalAXON: Navigating Support After Short-Term Trend Reversal Overall Trend and Channels: The stock has been in a clear uptrend since late February/early March, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. Two ascending channels are identified: A red diagonal band labeled "Short-Term Support, multiple times already tested" represents a steeper, more immediate trendline that the price has followed closely. A blue diagonal channel appears to define a broader, less aggressive uptrend, encompassing the price action over a longer period. Recent Price Action and Breakdown: The most recent price action, highlighted by the upper blue ellipse, shows a significant red candlestick indicating a strong down move. This candlestick has clearly broken below the "Short-Term Support" (red diagonal band). This breakdown suggests a loss of immediate bullish momentum and a potential shift into a corrective or consolidation phase after an extended rally. The current price of 777.05 is now below this previously established dynamic support. Identified Support Levels: Potential Area 700 to 715 (Green Horizontal Box): This zone is marked as the "Potential Area to look at if price drops" and "Ideal Level." It represents the next significant horizontal support level that the price could test if the current decline continues. This area also appears to align with the lower boundary of the broader blue ascending channel, providing confluence and strengthening its significance as potential support. Earnings Volatility Area 650 (Green Horizontal Box): This level is identified as a potential support that "Earnings volatility can trigger." This suggests it's a known historical support that might be tested under conditions of significant selling pressure, such as a negative reaction to earnings reports. Key Support Area 575 (Green Horizontal Box): This is the lowest and appears to be the strongest support level highlighted on the chart, labeled as "Key Support Area." This typically implies a major historical turning point or a strong accumulation zone where buyers have previously stepped in forcefully. Historical Volatility and Support Tests (Lower Blue Ellipses): The middle blue ellipse around late February highlights a prior instance where the price experienced a sharp decline, breaking through an earlier support level (likely the upper boundary of the blue channel that turned into resistance after breaking above it later on) before finding temporary support. The bottom blue ellipse in early March highlights a substantial plunge in price that tested and found strong support at the "Key Support Area 575," followed by a significant bounce. This confirms the historical importance and strength of the 575 level. In summary, the chart indicates that AXON has recently broken down from its immediate short-term uptrend. Technical analysts would now be observing whether the price finds support at the 700-715 zone, which is reinforced by the broader trend channel. Further downside could test the 650 area (potentially triggered by earnings), with the 575-level serving as a critical, long-term historical support floor. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.  
NASDAQ:AXONLong
by ManiMarkets
Skeptic| Cycle Mastery Part 1: HWC, MWC, LWC for Smarter TradingUnderstanding Higher Wave Cycle ( HWC ), Minor Wave Cycle ( MWC ), and Low Wave Cycle ( LWC ) is the key to making informed trading decisions, simplifying when to go long , short , or stay out . This Part 1 masterclass introduces these cycles, their relative nature, and how to align them with your strategy for precise entries and effective risk management . Let’s break it down. 📊 The Three Cycles: HWC, MWC, LWC We trade across three market cycles: HWC (Higher Wave Cycle) : The big-picture trend, like Bitcoin’s yearly uptrend. MWC (Minor Wave Cycle): A medium-term trend, often an uptrend or corrective phase within the HWC. LWC (Low Wave Cycle): The short-term daily trend, which can be range-bound, uptrend, or downtrend. Knowing these cycles helps you decide when to e nter long, short, or avoid trading altogether, ensuring you align with the market’s rhythm. Defining Your Cycles: It’s Relative The main question before diving in: What timeframes are HWC, MWC, and LWC? The answer is relative—it depends on your strategy. Think of it like a temperature scale: 0°C isn’t “no heat” but a reference point (water’s freezing point). Similarly, your cycles are defined by the largest timeframe you analyze: HWC: Your highest timeframe (e.g., Weekly for long-term traders). MWC: The next level down (e.g., Daily). LWC: Your shortest timeframe (e.g., 4-Hour or 1-Hour). Ask yourself: What’s the largest timeframe I check? Set your HWC there, then scale down for MWC and LWC based on your trading style. This relativity ensures your cycles fit your unique approach. While shorter cycles (LWC, MWC) form the HWC, the HWC’s power dominates, influencing smaller cycles. Let’s explore how to trade based on these relationships. Trading Scenarios: When to Act Scenario 1: HWC Uptrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in an uptrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Enter a long position on the first MWC wave when the LWC breaks the ceiling of the MWC range (e.g., a box breakout). Why? The HWC’s bullish power supports the move, likely triggering an MWC uptrend. This makes the first wave a strong, low-risk entry. Example: If the LWC (e.g., 4-hour) breaks the MWC range ceiling with a strong candle, you can confidently go long, backed by the HWC uptrend. Scenario 2: HWC Downtrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in a downtrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Skip the first MWC wave. If the LWC breaks the MWC range ceiling, avoid going long—the bearish HWC could reject the move, resuming its downtrend. Wait for the Second Wave: Let the MWC return to a range after the first wave. If the LWC breaks the range ceiling again, go long with confidence—the HWC’s influence is less likely to disrupt this second wave. Risk Management Tips (if you trade the first wave against the HWC): Reduce Risk: Lower your position size to minimize exposure. Take Profits Early: Close the position or secure most profits (e.g., scale out) once you hit your R/R target, as volatility is high. Wider Stop-Loss: Set a larger stop-loss to account for potential HWC-driven reversals, as stop-loss hunts are common in this scenario. Adjusting Stop-Loss Size Based on Cycles Aligned Cycles (HWC, MWC, LWC in Same Direction): When all three cycles align (e.g., all uptrend), set a tighter stop-loss relative to market conditions. Gradually scale out profits instead of closing the position, as the trend’s strength supports higher R/R (e.g., 5 or 10). HWC Against MWC/LWC: If the HWC opposes the other cycles (e.g., HWC downtrend, MWC/LWC uptrend), use a wider stop-loss. The HWC’s power could reverse the LWC, lowering your win rate if stops are too tight. Expect volatility and plan accordingly. Final Vibe Check This Cycle Mastery Part 1 equips you to time MWC waves with precision, aligning HWC, MWC, and LWC for smarter entries. By mastering when to trade the first or second wave, you’ll avoid traps and maximize your edge. Part 2 will dive deeper with examples—stay tuned! At Skeptic Lab, we trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. Want Part 2 or another topic? Drop it in the comments! If this guide sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! How will you time your MWC waves? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
Education
by SkepticWise
1
Parcl - PRCL-USD - 30 Million Market Cap (100x Potential)www.tradingview.com CHATGPT Research Summary: Parcl: Unlocking Real Estate Exposure on the Blockchain Introduction:Parcl is a groundbreaking decentralized platform that enables traders and investors to speculate on real estate market price movements much like they trade crypto or equities. By combining real-time housing data with blockchain technology, Parcl offers around-the-clock, borderless, and highly liquid exposure to global residential real estate markets. In this comprehensive blog post, we’ll explore what Parcl is, how it works, what it means to own the EGX:PRCL token, the unique opportunities it provides for investors (including AI-driven strategies), its core strengths, and the risks and challenges it faces. The tone is professional, investment-focused, and designed for the TradingView audience. What is Parcl and How Does It Work? Parcl allows users to trade real estate price indices for global cities without ever owning or transacting physical property. Each index represents the aggregated median price per square foot/meter for residential properties in a specific city. Users can go long or short on these indices using perpetual contracts with up to 10x leverage, entirely on-chain and settled in USDC. Built on Solana, Parcl leverages the blockchain's high speed and low fees to offer a seamless and cost-efficient trading experience. Users only need a Solana-compatible wallet (e.g., Phantom) to deposit USDC, select a city index, and place a trade. There are no barriers such as down payments, brokers, or escrow delays — just rapid, decentralized access to global housing markets. Data integrity is ensured through Parcl Labs, which aggregates millions of housing data points daily to generate real-time city indices. These feeds are streamed on-chain via oracles like Pyth Network, ensuring transparency and reliability. What Does It Mean to Own EGX:PRCL ? The EGX:PRCL token is the governance and utility token of the Parcl ecosystem. Holders of PRCL can: Participate in protocol governance by voting on changes to platform parameters, fee structures, and market expansions. Access premium real estate data and analytics through Parcl Labs. Receive airdrops, rewards, or staking incentives as part of community growth and loyalty initiatives. While PRCL doesn’t currently offer revenue sharing, it grants holders influence over protocol decisions and potential future economic alignment as the ecosystem matures. A New Asset Class for Investors and AI Agents Parcl opens up a completely new asset class: blockchain-native, synthetic real estate exposure. This has major implications: For retail investors, it democratizes access to real estate, which was previously limited by geography, capital requirements, and illiquidity. For sophisticated traders, it enables granular bets (e.g., short New York, long Miami) and high-frequency strategies previously impossible in traditional real estate. For AI agents and algorithmic investors, Parcl provides composable, on-chain access to a diversified asset class that can be rebalanced and traded programmatically. In short, Parcl makes real estate a liquid, programmable, and globally accessible financial primitive. Core Strengths: Why Parcl Stands Out Solana-native speed & cost-efficiency: Enables fast execution and micro-investments ($1+), ideal for retail users and automated agents. Unique data infrastructure: Parcl Labs’ real-time indices provide unparalleled accuracy and granularity. Sophisticated perpetual AMM model: Handles liquidity and market balancing with dynamic funding rates and cross-margining. Growing community and product-market fit: With 80,000+ users and over $1.3B in cumulative volume, Parcl is becoming the most liquid real estate trading venue in the world. Risks and Threats to Consider Regulatory uncertainty: Synthetic real estate products may eventually face classification as securities or derivatives in some jurisdictions. Liquidity dependencies: The AMM model depends on sufficient USDC liquidity pools; low liquidity could cause slippage or insolvency risk. Smart contract vulnerabilities: As with all DeFi platforms, there is non-zero risk of exploits or oracle manipulation. Platform dependency: Parcl is tightly coupled to Solana — if the chain experiences downtime or congestion, the protocol may be impacted. Investors should also be aware of token unlocks and potential dilution from early backers and treasury allocations. Future Outlook and 100x Potential With a current market cap near $30 million, Parcl represents a high-upside, early-stage bet on tokenized real estate. If the project gains traction and achieves broader adoption, it’s feasible to imagine a future market cap of $2.5 to $3 billion, representing a 100x potential from current levels. Factors that could drive this include: Expansion to more global cities Increased PRCL utility and staking incentives Growing demand for real-world assets (RWAs) on-chain Enhanced support for automated and AI-driven strategies Final Thoughts Parcl is redefining what it means to invest in real estate. By transforming local, illiquid property markets into a global, composable, and liquid asset class, Parcl enables both human and AI investors to access and trade the housing market like never before. Whether you’re a trader looking for uncorrelated exposure, a long-term investor seeking innovation, or a technologist building AI agents — Parcl offers a compelling opportunity. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and make investment decisions based on your individual risk profile.
COINBASE:PRCLUSDLong
by Mr_Anonymous_Investor
SP500 - Cycle Analysis; New V-Bottom24 Dec 2018 - V-Bottom Trough: This marks a clean V-bottom. Both the 227-ROC and 114-ROC showed simultaneous positive acceleration after price reacing its low. Shortly after, both crossed their 57-SMA almost in sync — increasing the probability of a sustained bullish move. Price confirmed this by breaking resistance and forming a V pattern. This was further validated by the centered moving average crossover (114-CMA crossing above 227-CMA). 25 Mar 2020 - Deep COVID Crash Trough: During this phase the priced broke below the support, creating a deep trough. Altough both ROC lines initially showed strong negative acceleration due to the COVID-19 crash, they soon reversed above their 57-SMAs, signaling a major shift in momentum. This coincided with the price breaking above the key resistance which was also crossed in 2019 when confirming the old V-pattern. After this breakout, a brief pullback followed before the uptrend resumed with increasing strength. 22 Jun 2021 to 19 Dec 2023 - Pattern During the initial period a bearish divergence was visible in the ROC, nevertheless price and rate of change both declined making a low in early October 2022. A technical pattern began to form, which appears to align more closely with a symmetrical triangle; So when measuring its height and projecting it from the breakout point aligns with the new all-time highs that were reached on 27 June 2025. 21 Mar 2025 - New Cycle Trough A new V-bottom formed shortly after the current cycle began. Both ROC indicators had already crossed their SMAs to the upside, showing early signs of positive acceleration, days before of price broke through the resistance and reached the new record high. The 227-SMA is likely to cross from below the fast SMA while a possibility of a pullback increase. Following that, the 114-CMA will probably has the chance to cross back the 227-CMA, with the price potentially confirming a new support level and resuming its uptrend - in line with the broader cycle timeline.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by AFCapital21