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Economic Cycles

LINK Fractal | ALTS | Chainlink can EASILY +90%Chainlink is one of those alts that haven't yet made a new ATH with the rest of larger alt market group. This means that the bullish cycle is taking a detour and it could be extended to another multi-month cycle, as I've previously stated in my BTC updates. If LINK follows the previous pattern of a multi-month extended patter, we could see a fractal playout that takes us beyond the current ATH over the next few months. _________________________ BINANCE:LINKUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
Outlook for the next weeks (i love these XD)Right now, i am looking for some kind of pullback before going up. I have marked 3 most important zones and i will look forward to trade from them. But everything can happen so we as a traders need to stay flexible. The Fundamental side still looks great. But the question is whether inflation will rise and unemployment will fall, as this could mean slowing growth and postponing further rate cuts. Wages have also increased, which could mean that there is a greater demand for employees, or there is a great demand on the market for goods and services, which could mean increasing inflation. On the other hand PMI looks great and CPI + PPI is neutral. Tell me whats your analysys, let me know in the comments. I am open to every point of view to the situation and I am happy to learn :)
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Filip_Kozak
Bitcoin crystal ballEvery investor and trader has at sometime wished they had a crystal ball. You can do your own due diligence, taking the time to do technical and fundamental analysis weighing market sentiment and still not be 100% correct every single time. As the saying goes, hindsight is 20/20. So with that said, if you look back at Bitcoin's price discovery history, you can see the general and specific trades you "should" have made. However, how do we extrapolate this data into future trades we "should" make? For me, It's all based on probability and risk management. I look for high probability and low risk trades. Most of the time a trade is not ready for that perfect timing to trade. It takes planning and patience to setup a great entry and exit. The old adage, “it's not about timing the market, but about time in the market.” That's why investors simply hold on with a long term bullish trend. But, what if you had a crystal ball? Then obviously you would time selling the major tops and buying major lows. Here's a Bitcoin 1 week chart with Heikin Ashi candlesticks without wicks, to take out the visual noise. In the past 7 years, I have identified only 7 major long trades and 6 major short trades. Why is this important? It means that the last best time to go long was the week of 9/9/24. And it also means the next trade is a short trade. This does not mean the timing is to short Bitcoin today. It just means that if you had a crystal ball you would know when to exit your long position. For now Bitcoin is still a long to hold on to. BTC/USD crystal ball trades: #7 long = $54,566 w/o 9/9/24 short = ? w/o ? profit = ? time = ? #6 long = $24,900 w/o 9/11/23 short = $72,777 w/o 4/8/24 profit = $47,877 = 2.92x time = 7 months #5 long = $16,543 w/o 1/2/23 short = $31,050 w/o 4/10/23 profit = $14,507 = 1.88x time = 3 months #4 long = $29,302 w/o 7/19/21 short = $69,000 w/o 10/8/21 profit = $39,698 = 2.35x time = 3 months #3 long = $5853 w/o 3/30/20 short = $64,899 w/o 4/12/21 profit = $59,046 = 11.09x time = 14 months #2 long = $3341 w/o 2/4/19 short = $12,320 w/o 8/5/19 profit = $8979 = 3.69x time = 7 months #1 long = $1758 w/o 7/10/17 short = $16,275 w/o 1/8/18 profit = $14,517 = 9.26x time = 6 months
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Options360
DogeCoin (DOGE) To Mars - The Elon Ride (Part 2)COINBASE:DOGEUSD has been loyal to me previously. I managed to get some good Buys on #DOGE. I aped continuously on the 7 Cents Levels. Then cashed all my COINBASE:DOGEUSD earnings at the 42 Cents #Resistance. * all well documented in the related idea. What Happened To BINANCE:DOGEUSDT ? It provided to #Correction I was predicting. From a #Fibonacci perspective, it's enough to be considered as an #ElliottWave 2. What's Next For BINANCE:DOGEUSDC ? $DogeCoin follows MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN and the #Altseason. With BITSTAMP:BTCUSD about to burst again, so will #DOGECOIN. It might go #Bull now, or Dip and then... so please DYOR. The #Bullish move would also be provided by CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 & CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , as a new #ATH is in play. * see related ideas for more details. COINBASE:DOGEUSD #TechnicalAnalysis - #ElliottWave A-B-C Sequence - #Impulse / #MotiveWave in Primary ⓒ (white) - #Fibonacci Retracements & Extensions Confluence My #HODL #Long Levels For BINANCE:DOGEUSDT I will only go #HODL for this #Crypto #Token. Trading #Futures ( BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P ) is not something I want to pursue with $DOGE. Moderate Entry @ 35 Cents Conservative Entry @ 24 Cents TP @ 68 Cents
BINANCE:DOGEUSDLong
by EW4X
1
Stockholm Syndrome in Crypto Trading: Why We Stay LoyalLet’s be honest: altcoins haven’t been performing as well as many would like. As I’ve started pointing this out through posts and videos, I’ve received a fair share of criticism. Whenever I mention the possibility of a market decline, I’m met with hate, while others who claim the market is heading to the moon are celebrated. What’s baffling is that no one seems to ask, “Hey, you’ve been saying ‘altcoin season’ is coming for a year, yet we’re still stuck around the same prices. What’s going on?” This got me thinking: Could this be a form of Stockholm Syndrome in trading? ________________________________________ What is Stockholm Syndrome in Trading? Stockholm Syndrome is a psychological phenomenon where hostages develop positive feelings towards their captors. In trading, it’s a bit like this: traders grow emotionally attached to a losing market, even when all signs point to the fact that things aren’t going well. Instead of cutting losses and accepting reality, they keep holding on, hoping things will change – just like a hostage hoping for their captor's kindness. In trading, this manifests as traders continuing to support a market (like coins or certain stocks) that isn’t performing, even when the evidence suggests it’s time to move on. They become attached to the idea that a specific asset will turn around and deliver massive profits – even when the price action doesn’t back that up. ________________________________________ The Comfort of Familiarity Many traders are caught in the cycle of constant hope and “what ifs.” It’s much easier to stay attached to the narrative that specific coins will eventually “take off” than to admit that their portfolios might be stuck sideways or even bear market. It's also easy to get drawn into the excitement of “moonshots” and grand promises of big returns. The altcoin season, the bull run, the new innovations – these ideas are comforting, even when the market isn’t cooperating. But here’s the catch: sticking with a market that’s not performing well out of loyalty is dangerous. It stops you from adapting, from making the necessary moves to protect your capital, and from taking advantage of more promising opportunities elsewhere. ________________________________________ The Reality of the Market Altcoins have been on a rollercoaster. The hope for altcoin season has been building up for over a year now, yet many traders are still facing stagnant or even declining prices. When faced with this reality, we often see two types of responses: 1. The Blind Optimist: Some traders will continue to hold and buy into altcoins, even when it’s clear the market isn’t moving in their favor. They believe that the next big move is just around the corner, and they refuse to let go of the dream. 2. The Critic: Others, like me, will point out the slow or negative price action, urging caution and suggesting that a pullback or continued consolidation is more likely. But when we do, we’re met with anger, disbelief, or even accusations of “fear-mongering.” It’s frustrating to see those who remain hopeful get so emotionally attached to a failing asset, while others who try to see things more clearly get met with hostility. ________________________________________ The Dangers of Stockholm Syndrome in Trading When traders fall into this “Stockholm Syndrome,” they stop questioning their strategies and beliefs. They become too emotionally involved with a market that isn’t giving them the results they want. This prevents them from making the tough decisions they need to make to protect their portfolios – whether that’s cutting losses or re-allocating capital to more promising assets. It’s also a trap that keeps you stuck in an echo chamber of hope and denial, rather than facing the market with logic and clear-headed analysis. The longer you stay loyal to an asset that’s underperforming, the more you risk watching your portfolio sink further. ________________________________________ Breaking Free: A Rational Approach to Trading The key to successful trading is learning to let go of emotional attachment. Don’t hold onto an asset simply because you’ve been told it will perform or because you’ve invested a lot of time and money into it. Here are a few ways to break free from the Stockholm Syndrome in trading: 1. Focus on the facts: Look at the actual price action and market conditions, not the narrative you’ve built around it. If the market isn’t moving, don’t force a belief that it will soon. 2. Admit when it’s time to move on: It’s not about being right or wrong – it’s about protecting your capital. If an asset isn’t performing, consider cutting your losses and finding new opportunities that align with your trading strategy. 3. Stay flexible: The market is dynamic, and you need to be able to adjust your strategy based on current conditions. Don’t get stuck in a “one-size-fits-all” approach. 4. Let go of the need to be loyal: Trading isn’t about loyalty; it’s about profits and risk management. Sometimes, moving on is the best decision for your financial health. ________________________________________ Conclusion If you’ve been stuck in the cycle of hoping that altcoins will suddenly surge, or waiting for the long-awaited altcoin season, it might be time to reconsider your approach. It’s important to recognize when you’re emotionally attached to a market that isn’t performing, and break free from that attachment. By focusing on logical analysis, cutting losses when necessary, and staying flexible in your approach, you can avoid the dangers of Stockholm Syndrome in trading and move towards more profitable opportunities. Remember: Trading isn’t about loyalty to a coin or a narrative – it’s about making smart, objective decisions that will help you grow your capital.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
22
XMR: I was there, Gandalf. I was there 3000 years ago...In the crypto space, it's quite difficult to talk about long-term trading because very few coins actually survive for a long time and continue to show cyclical dynamics. But when such coins do appear, their setups can be published in a textbook on technical analysis. On the weekly chart, we see a formed Wyckoff accumulation structure with almost all the features inherent to this structure on the chart. We can see how smart money accumulated their positions from mid-2022, conducted a local rally in early 2023, thus forming a range in which we have been for almost 2 years . This was possible due to the negative sentiment around the coin (tightening regulatory screws, delisting from a number of exchanges, including Binance on February 20, 2024 ) and the lack of speculative hype around XMR. However, the price has now broken out of the range and confidently consolidated above it, and right now there is a good opportunity in terms of Risk/Reward to go long on XMR. It should be noted that the trade will be positional, with a horizon of more than 6+ months. However, the wait may be justified because the volume profile on the chart does not illustrate large "walls," i.e., potential seller pressure across the entire price range up to the ATH . KRAKEN:XMRUSD
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by trolldead
1
Potential trade setup on S&P 500We are looking at a long trade on S&P 500 based on the stretch strategy. There is trend,stretch and direction alignment with this trade on both 1h and Daily TF. Early entry was taken on swing high breakout on 1h for a trend change. There is a high probability for range,previous daily high and range to be formed to the upside. We will exit the trade once range has been achieved. Trader Order Details: S&P 500(Long) E - 6083 SL - 6066 T - 6122 We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by masterthemarkets2010
PYPL , PEPS, COIN | HOT STOCKSThere are a few stocks that could be good buys, and are approaching idea l buy zones. PEPSICO VIE:PEPS Pepsi is showing it's "annual correction" as we're finally getting close tot he apex of the correction, which may be an ideal buy zone. PAYPAL NASDAQ:PYPL Paypal is still on my watchlist, for great growth, further adoption and upside potential after finish of a clear bearish cycle: COINBASE NASDAQ:COIN Fairly recently released, coinbase could be a good buy for a long term hold. Also currently observing a pattern that can either be called an Inverse Head and Shoulders, or Cup and Handle. ________________
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by CryptoCheck-
SHITCOIN - Solana Meme Token - Huge Pump#Shitcoin ( RAYDIUM:SHITCOINSOL_67ZSVE ) is a TRADENATION:SOLANA #Meme #Token. Yeah, I know, the name says it all. However, #Shitcoins have been trending lately, especially the ones deployed on the CRYPTOCAP:SOL #Blockchain. That's why I looked into the mechanics of it... Billions printed, coded, etc. If I was gonna' trade #Memes, might as well go with the one that has the ticker: #Shitcoin. So, by going down the rabbit hole, I became a part-time #Crypto #Degen. #Chads were #Raiding and I watched RAYDIUM:SHITCOINSOL_67ZSVE.USD #Pump to 24 Mil #MarketCap (MC) in 2 days. This literally blew my mind. After all that, it tanked back to 500K MC, but that's quite normal with these #Memes. People cashed in, sold at the tops, reentering at the bottoms again. Friendly Warning on CRYPTOCAP:SOL #Memes DYOR is a must in the CRYPTOCAP:SOL #Meme Ecosystem, so I did my due diligence. Many #Rugs, a lot of uncertainty, scams all over bro... * this idea is not advice, trading #SOL #Memes is dangerous! What ticked my boxes for #Shitcoin ( RAYDIUM:SHITCOINSOL_67ZSVE.USD ) - 10K+ Holders - Active X & TG Community - Token Functionality * Main aspect: Same Developer (DEV) as the infamous MEXC:FARTCOINUSDT , #ATH at 2.6 Billion. #Shitcoin #TechnicalAnalysis - Intermediate Wave (B) (white): Complete - #ElliottWave #Impulse: Wave 1 Complete - #EndingDiagonal: Complete - #Oversold with #BullishDivergence - Fractal Pattern Expectations: Intermediate Impulse Wave (C) (white) to commence. That is because the #Altseaon and #Altcoins are about to start booming. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D shall make the #Correction, while CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 will spike. * more details about this in the related ideas below. My RAYDIUM:SHITCOINSOL_67ZSVE.USD #HODL Levels - Entry @ 600K MC (0.0006 USD) - TP1 @ 10 mil MC (0.01 USD) - TP2 @ 20 mil MC (0.02 USD) - TP3 @ 30 mil MC (0.03 USD) - TP4 @ 40 mil MC (0.04 USD) - TP5 @ 50 mil MC (0.05 USD) Good luck Chad!
SLong
by EW4X
5
Solana ($SOL) - ATH Break-Out - A Bull To RememberTRADENATION:SOLANA and I are good friends. I called the ultimate #Support and went #Bullish on $SOL. Went #Long on COINBASE:SOLUSD ever since 10, then 15, then ramping the the #Bull on 145. * see related idea for details. Cashed in at 250, was the #ATH and had doubts, seen the #Correction coming. What's next for BINANCE:SOLUSDT ? A Massive #Pump, that's what! TRADENATION:SOLANA will become Number 3 on #TotalMarketCap ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL ), mark my words. Why? Why will TRADENATION:SOLANA pump? It's quite simple actually. It's all about the MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN pushing #MarketSentiment up. But even BITSTAMP:BTCUSD will need to provide some #Correction, and that is seen on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart. There will be some wild #Swings on #BTC. I believe that with the #AltSeason and #AltCoins Cycle starting, CRYPTOCAP:SOL will bloom. That's because of TRADENATION:SOLANA connection with the #Solana #Meme Coins Ecosystem. CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 & CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 are about to shoot. Billions printed, coded #MemeCoins. COINBASE:SOLUSD - #TechnicalAnalysis - #ElliottWave: Wave 4 Complete - #RunningFlat at #ATH - #Break-Out - Wave 5 Confirmation My CRYPTOCAP:SOL Buy Levels - Entry @ 240 - SL @ 140 - TP @ 500
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by EW4X
3