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Economic Cycles

Columbus McKinnon Corp | CMCO | Long at $14.90Columbus McKinnon Corp NASDAQ:CMCO is a stock that is highly cyclical, moving in "boom and bust" cycles every 3-5 years. As indicated by its entry into my "crash" simple moving average area (currently between $11 and $13), it may be nearing the end of its bust cycle (time will tell). With a book value at $31, debt-to-equity of 0.6x (healthy), quick ratio over 1 (healthy), insiders buying over $1 million in the past 6 months, a 2% dividend yield, and earning forecast to grow after 2025, NASDAQ:CMCO may be a hidden gem for double-digit returns in the coming years. But every investment is a risk. Thus, at $14.90, NASDAQ:CMCO is in a personal buy zone. Targets: $25.00 (+67.8%) $30.00 (+101.3%)
NASDAQ:CMCOLong
by WorthlessViews
Huntsman Corporation | HUN | Long at $11.34The stock price for Huntsman Corp NYSE:HUN , a manufacturer of organic chemical products, has dropped significantly since its peak in 2022 ($41.65). This was due to lower sales volumes, weak demand in construction and transportation, higher input costs, and European operational challenges, including a $75M hit from closing a German Maleic Anhydride facility. This year (2025) is anticipated to be its worst earnings year, and the stock is priced as such. However, this stock is historically cyclical, and the company expects recovery / growth again in 2026. Moving forward, earnings are forecast to grow and the company is trading at good value compared to peers and the industry. While many headwinds may still exist with tariffs, etc., insider are grabbing shares and large options positions (very bullish). With a book value of $17, debt-to-equity at 0.8x, quick ratio under 1, etc., the company appears healthy. From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price just barely missed my "crash" simple moving average area (currently between $9.00 and $10.50). It may reach those levels and below in 2025, for which I will add another position as long as fundamentals do not change. This moving average area often signifies "bottom" territory and historically, the stock has rebounded from this area. While my entry at $11.34 may be a little early, predicting true bottoms isn't my trading method and I hope to strengthen the position at lower trading prices. Targets: $15.00 (+32.2%) $17.25 (+49.9%)
NYSE:HUNLong
by WorthlessViews
Sleep Number Company | SNBR | Long at $6.99Sleep Number Company $NASDAQ:SNBR. Closed all existing open price gaps on the daily chart below its current rice. The overall downward trend is starting to flatten. They make all their products in the US and have minimal exposure to international markets (reduced risk around tariffs). Understandably, recession risks are high and such a company would be impacted. Plus, their debt is pretty high. This is a risky investment, but from technical analysis perspective, there could be a future rebound in the near-term. Thus, at $6.99, NASDAQ:SNBR is in a personal buy zone. Targets: $10.00 $12.00
NASDAQ:SNBRLong
by WorthlessViews
1
[ TimeLine ] Gold 2-3 June 2025Hello everyone, 📆 Today is Friday, May 30, 2025 📌 Upcoming Gold Signal Dates: • June 2, 2025 (Monday) — Single candle setup • June 2–3, 2025 (Monday–Tuesday) — Two-candle range 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes ✅ Gold recently made a bearish move of ~780 pips, breaking below the prior key support at 3323, down to 3245 🔁 Multiple re-entry opportunities were identified using Fibonacci retracement levels, which provided solid price reaction points. ⚠️ If the June 2 Hi-Lo range appears wide and sideways, we may consider holding off until June 4 for confirmation of clearer directional bias. ✅ I will be trading both signals (June 2 and June 2–3) as part of my ongoing research and strategy ⚠️ If the range is narrow or shows false breakout risk, it's okay to skip the June 2 signal and focus instead on the June 2–3 combined range. 📋 Execution Plan 🔹 Wait for the Hi-Lo range from the selected candle(s) to fully form. ▫ These will be marked initially with purple lines on the chart. ▫ After market close, I’ll update the chart with additional indicator levels. 🔹 Entry triggers will be based on breakouts beyond the range, with a 60-pip buffer. 🔹 If the trade hits SL, the plan is to cut/switch direction and double position size on the next valid signal as part of the recovery strategy. 📉📈 Chart Reference Copy & paste this code into your browser and add TradingView URL: 🔗 TV/x/iQrX0gJW/ ✅ Stay alert and follow the signal flow — upcoming entries could offer solid reward potential if executed with discipline. 📌 I'll post the final Hi-Lo levels and updated chart after the June 2 and June 3 candles close.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
[ TimeLine ] Gold 26-27 May 2025Hello everyone, 📅Today is Sunday, May 25, 2025 📌 Upcoming Signal Dates: • May 26, 2025 (Monday) • May 27, 2025 (Tuesday) (using 2 candles) 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes: ✅ Gold has experienced a sharp bullish move of over 1000 pips, breaking out from the ranging area 3255 to 3366 ⚠️ If the upcoming Hi-Lo range is wide and shows bullish continuation, consider entries on corrections after breakout or setups based on Fibonacci retracement ✅ I will be trading both signals as part of my ongoing research and strategy ⚠️ If you're feeling risk-averse or uncertain, it's totally fine to skip the May 26 or May 27–28 (2-candle) signals 📋 Execution Plan: 🔹 Wait for the Hi-Lo range from the selected candles to fully form. These will be initially marked with purple lines on the chart, and I’ll update the chart with additional indicator lines once the range is fully confirmed after market close 🔹 Entry will be triggered on breakout, with a 60-pip buffer 🔹 If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), cut/switch and double the position on the next valid setup to attempt recovery 📉📈 Chart Reference: 🔗 Copy & paste this code into TradingView URL: TV/x//BjdZ9IgR/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
What is Happening to Puma?Puma's stock has experienced a significant decline, dropping nearly 50% year-to-date and reaching its lowest levels in almost a decade . This downturn is attributed to several factors, including underwhelming financial performance, escalating competition, and macroeconomic challenges. Financial Performance: In 2024, Puma reported a 4.4% currency-adjusted increase in sales, totaling €8.82 billion . However, profitability did not keep pace; net income declined by 7.5% to €282 million, and EBIT remained flat at €622 million, falling short of analyst expectations . The company's P/E ratio stands at 17, which some analysts consider high given the current earnings yield of 2.8% . Debt and Balance Sheet: Puma's financial health shows a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 48.2%, with total debt at €1.3 billion and shareholder equity at €2.7 billion . While the company has a solid capital base, increased interest payments have impacted income . Competitive Landscape: Puma faces intense competition from industry giants like Nike and Adidas. Nike holds a significant market share, while Adidas has recently increased its share to 8.9% . Puma's market share stands at approximately 4.94% . The company's efforts to boost sales through new product lines, such as the Speedcat trainers, have yet to yield significant results . Macroeconomic Challenges: Global economic factors have also played a role in Puma's struggles. Trade disputes and currency volatility have negatively impacted sales, particularly in key markets like the U.S. and China . Additionally, new U.S. tariffs on imports from China, where Puma sources 28% of its products, have created further uncertainty. Strategic Response: In response to these challenges, Puma has announced plans to cut 500 corporate positions globally by the end of the second quarter of 2025 to reduce costs . The company has also appointed former Adidas executive Arthur Hoeld as its new CEO, effective July 1, 2025, aiming to revitalize its performance . In summary, Puma's recent stock decline reflects a combination of internal financial challenges and external market pressures. While the company is taking steps to address these issues, including leadership changes and cost-cutting measures, it remains to be seen how effectively Puma can navigate the competitive and economic landscape moving forward. - *Disclaimer: This is just my personal opinion and not financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions. Any losses incurred are solely at your own risk.The figures that i found might not all be correct, as I do sometimes make mistakes, so do your own due diligence.*
XETR:PUM
by bossout10
2
Skeptic | USD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Momentum Fuels Short Setups!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! I know some of you might’ve missed our last USD/CHF short signal that hit a sweet 3:1 R/R—no worries! 😊 The market’s always here, so missing a trade isn’t the end of the world. I’m not here to push FOMO; my goal is to take you on a long-term trading journey, and I’m stoked to have you along for the ride! :))) Let’s get back to USD/JPY and break down the latest action. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture First, let’s zoom out and talk about the DXY (US Dollar Index), which recently broke the 99.005 support and turned bearish. This puts USD-based pairs like USD/JPY in the spotlight for short opportunities this week. Here’s what’s happening with USD/JPY: Trend Context: The major trend is bearish. Last week, sellers showed no mercy to buyers, and with DXY’s bearish move, we’re likely to see more of the same this week. Key Level: We’re currently reacting to a major daily support at 142.305. Expect a range or reaction here, so we must wait for confirmation before shorting. Recent Correction: The prior correction reached the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement and seems to have resumed the major bearish trend. With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short setups. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups The 4-hour chart is giving us some clear signals to work with. Here’s the plan: Short Setup: Key Level: The 142.338 level is critical, as it formed a ceiling at 148.569 in the past and acted as support before. Trigger: If we form a lower high and then break below 142.305, open a short position. Confirmation: Use RSI to back up the breakout, ensuring momentum aligns. Why It Works: A lower high signals increasing weakness in this support, making a break more likely. Long Setup: My Take: I personally don’t have a long trigger right now. Both the major and minor trends are downtrends, so going long doesn’t make sense in these conditions. If You Insist: If you’re set on a long, wait for a break above 144.125. But keep it tight—low risk, small stop loss, and take profits quickly once you hit a decent R/R. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
by SkepticWise
3
GBP/USD Bearish Signal | Technical + Custom AlgoSmart Sell Signal | GBP/USD – Powered by Custom Algorithm & Technical Precision This sell signal is generated by a proprietary trading system I’ve developed, combining pure technical trend logic with automated decision-making. The algorithm: Confirms reversal signals through layered filter logic Defines clean entry, stop-loss, and target zones — all fully automated No human judgment, no discretionary trades — just objective data turned into actionable analysis. 🧠 Built on precision. Backed by testing. 📉 Current outlook: Bearish sentiment confirmed on multi-timeframe structure. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational and analytical purposes only.
Short
by PowerBlock
1
XAUUSD Bullish Signal | Technical + Custom Algo📈 This signal is the result of a fusion between classic trend analysis and a proprietary algorithm I’ve personally developed. First, the system identifies the market trend strictly through technical indicators — no emotional bias, no subjective interpretation. Next, a custom-built intelligent algorithm analyzes the data to pinpoint optimal entry and exit points, then generates the signal. 🔍 The outcome? A fully data-driven signal — no guessing, no personal bias involved. 📌 Note: This signal is intended for educational and analytical purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PowerBlock
Blackberry Update-Review - Let the Bulls drive in !In the previous analysis, we observed the formation of an impulsive 1-2-3-4-5 structure of a cycle according to Elliott Wave Theory, which was invalidated by a downside breakout (caused by tariff-related uncertainties). After a period of consolidation, during which trading was mostly driven by algorithms, it now appears that technical analysis has once again become relevant. In this study, we examine the targets of an Minor-degree impulsive wave, typically lasting up to 6 months, as well as those of a Intermediate-degree wave, which can span 2–3 years and is considered to have started in November 2024. These are probabilistic scenarios, and it is important to remember that Elliott Waves were originally developed for analyzing stock market indices. Personally, I believe Blackberry is the most undervalued tech stock on the market!
NYSE:BBLong
by Tesi_Daniela_Radice
1