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Economic Cycles

PYPL , PEPS, COIN | HOT STOCKSThere are a few stocks that could be good buys, and are approaching idea l buy zones. PEPSICO VIE:PEPS Pepsi is showing it's "annual correction" as we're finally getting close tot he apex of the correction, which may be an ideal buy zone. PAYPAL NASDAQ:PYPL Paypal is still on my watchlist, for great growth, further adoption and upside potential after finish of a clear bearish cycle: COINBASE NASDAQ:COIN Fairly recently released, coinbase could be a good buy for a long term hold. Also currently observing a pattern that can either be called an Inverse Head and Shoulders, or Cup and Handle. ________________
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by CryptoCheck-
SHITCOIN - Solana Meme Token - Huge Pump#Shitcoin ( RAYDIUM:SHITCOINSOL_67ZSVE ) is a TRADENATION:SOLANA #Meme #Token. Yeah, I know, the name says it all. However, #Shitcoins have been trending lately, especially the ones deployed on the CRYPTOCAP:SOL #Blockchain. That's why I looked into the mechanics of it... Billions printed, coded, etc. If I was gonna' trade #Memes, might as well go with the one that has the ticker: #Shitcoin. So, by going down the rabbit hole, I became a part-time #Crypto #Degen. #Chads were #Raiding and I watched RAYDIUM:SHITCOINSOL_67ZSVE.USD #Pump to 24 Mil #MarketCap (MC) in 2 days. This literally blew my mind. After all that, it tanked back to 500K MC, but that's quite normal with these #Memes. People cashed in, sold at the tops, reentering at the bottoms again. Friendly Warning on CRYPTOCAP:SOL #Memes DYOR is a must in the CRYPTOCAP:SOL #Meme Ecosystem, so I did my due diligence. Many #Rugs, a lot of uncertainty, scams all over bro... * this idea is not advice, trading #SOL #Memes is dangerous! What ticked my boxes for #Shitcoin ( RAYDIUM:SHITCOINSOL_67ZSVE.USD ) - 10K+ Holders - Active X & TG Community - Token Functionality * Main aspect: Same Developer (DEV) as the infamous MEXC:FARTCOINUSDT , #ATH at 2.6 Billion. #Shitcoin #TechnicalAnalysis - Intermediate Wave (B) (white): Complete - #ElliottWave #Impulse: Wave 1 Complete - #EndingDiagonal: Complete - #Oversold with #BullishDivergence - Fractal Pattern Expectations: Intermediate Impulse Wave (C) (white) to commence. That is because the #Altseaon and #Altcoins are about to start booming. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D shall make the #Correction, while CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 will spike. * more details about this in the related ideas below. My RAYDIUM:SHITCOINSOL_67ZSVE.USD #HODL Levels - Entry @ 600K MC (0.0006 USD) - TP1 @ 10 mil MC (0.01 USD) - TP2 @ 20 mil MC (0.02 USD) - TP3 @ 30 mil MC (0.03 USD) - TP4 @ 40 mil MC (0.04 USD) - TP5 @ 50 mil MC (0.05 USD) Good luck Chad!
RAYDIUM:SHITCOINSOL_67ZSVE.USDLong
by EW4X
4
Solana ($SOL) - ATH Break-Out - A Bull To RememberTRADENATION:SOLANA and I are good friends. I called the ultimate #Support and went #Bullish on $SOL. Went #Long on COINBASE:SOLUSD ever since 10, then 15, then ramping the the #Bull on 145. * see related idea for details. Cashed in at 250, was the #ATH and had doubts, seen the #Correction coming. What's next for BINANCE:SOLUSDT ? A Massive #Pump, that's what! TRADENATION:SOLANA will become Number 3 on #TotalMarketCap ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL ), mark my words. Why? Why will TRADENATION:SOLANA pump? It's quite simple actually. It's all about the MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN pushing #MarketSentiment up. But even BITSTAMP:BTCUSD will need to provide some #Correction, and that is seen on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart. There will be some wild #Swings on #BTC. I believe that with the #AltSeason and #AltCoins Cycle starting, CRYPTOCAP:SOL will bloom. That's because of TRADENATION:SOLANA connection with the #Solana #Meme Coins Ecosystem. CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 & CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 are about to shoot. Billions printed, coded #MemeCoins. COINBASE:SOLUSD - #TechnicalAnalysis - #ElliottWave: Wave 4 Complete - #RunningFlat at #ATH - #Break-Out - Wave 5 Confirmation My CRYPTOCAP:SOL Buy Levels - Entry @ 240 - SL @ 140 - TP @ 500
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by EW4X
1
Ethereum (ETH) - ATH Break-Out - Bullish CycleMARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM gave me a whooping 170% #Profit on the #Bullish Swing. I went #Long on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD from the 1.6K Mark, on the #Break-Out. I cashed it all in on the 3.5-4K Range. * see related idea for details. Unlike MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN , CRYPTOCAP:ETH did not deliver a new #ATH. In fact, it all leads to the fact that it's waiting for something. With the $BitcoinDominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) showing signs of an up-coming #Correction, I believe this will pave the way for #Altcoins to shine, thus the #Altseason to start. Crypto Market Cap ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 & CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 ) are about to burst on the #Bullish side. BINANCE:ETHUSDT will play a major role in this. * see related ideas for details. What's the Play for MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM ? I see a strong #ETH #Bull in Cycle Wave C (turquoise). This can easily reach 5K, but can also tag the 7K Mark. BITSTAMP:ETHUSD #TechnicalAnalysis - #ElliottWave Cycle Wave C (turquoise) - Inverted #HeadandShoulders - #RunningFlat My CRYPTOCAP:ETH #BUY Levels - Entry @ 3.1K - SL @ 2K - TP @ 5K
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by EW4X
7
Stick to shorting goldAs mentioned in my previous analysis, although gold remains in a clear uptrend, the signs of a short squeeze are increasingly evident. Therefore, in short-term trading, we should refrain from chasing long positions at this stage. If gold fails to decisively break through the 2760–2765 resistance zone, a significant corrective move could occur at any time, which is why my current focus remains on shorting gold. From the current price structure, we can observe a pattern where gold rallies by $60–65 following each confirmed bullish signal, only to retrace by $40 thereafter. Since the last confirmed bullish signal, gold has already advanced $62, indicating a high probability of a $40 correction based on this historical pattern. This means gold could retrace to test the 2740–2730 support range or even approach the 2720 level during this phase of consolidation. This is precisely why I prefer shorting gold in the current scenario. As my trading plan, I initiated a short position near the 2760 level and continue to hold it. Let’s aim to capitalize on this opportunity and secure profits from the downside ahead of most market participants. Here's to a promising outcome! Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Fractal Phenomenon Proves Simulation Hypothesis?The humanity is accelerating towards the times when virtual worlds will get so realistic that their inhabitants gain consciousness without realizing they exist in a simulation. The idea that we might be living in a simulation was widely introduced in 2003 by philosopher Nick Bostrom. He argued that if the civilization can create realistic simulations, the probability that we are living in one is extremely high. Modern games only render areas that the player is observing, much like how reality might function in a simulation. Similarly, texture of game environments update as soon as they are viewed, reinforcing the idea that observation determines what is rendered. QUANTUM MECHANICS: The Ultimate Clue Quantum Mechanics challenges our fundamental understanding of reality, revealing a universe that behaves more like a computational process than a physical construct. The wave function (Ψ) describes a probability distribution, defining where a particle might be found. However, upon measurement, the particle’s position collapses into a definite state, raising a paradox: why does the smooth evolution of the wave function lead to discrete outcomes? This behavior mirrors how digital simulations optimize resources by rendering only what is observed, suggesting that reality itself may function as an information-processing system. The Born Rule reinforces this perspective by asserting that the probability of finding a particle at a given location is determined by the square of the wave function’s amplitude (|Ψ|²). This principle introduced probability into the very foundations of physics, replacing classical determinism with a probabilistic framework. Einstein famously resisted this notion, declaring, “God does not play dice,” yet Quantum Mechanics has since revealed that randomness and structure are not opposing forces but intertwined aspects of reality. If probability governs the fabric of our universe, it aligns with how simulations generate dynamic outcomes based on algorithmic rules rather than fixed physical laws. One of the most striking paradoxes supporting the Simulation Hypothesis is Schrödinger’s Cat, which illustrates the conflict between quantum superposition and observation. In a sealed box, a cat is both alive and dead until an observer opens the box, collapsing the wave function into a single state. This suggests that reality does not exist in a definite form until it is observed—just as digital environments in a simulation are rendered only when needed. Similarly, superposition demonstrates that a particle exists in multiple states until measured, while entanglement reveals that two particles can be instantaneously correlated across vast distances, defying classical locality. These phenomena hint at an underlying informational structure, much like a networked computational system where data is processed and linked instantaneously. Hugh Everett’s Many-Worlds Interpretation (MWI) takes this concept further by suggesting that reality does not collapse into a single outcome but instead branches into parallel universes, where each possible event occurs. Rather than a singular, objective reality, MWI posits that we exist within a constantly expanding system of computational possibilities—much like a simulation running countless parallel computations. Sean Carroll supports this view, arguing that the wave function itself is the fundamental reality, and measurements merely reveal different branches of an underlying universal structure. If our reality behaves like a quantum computational system—where probability governs outcomes, observation dictates existence, and parallel computations generate multiple possibilities—then the Simulation Hypothesis becomes a compelling explanation. The universe’s adherence to mathematical laws, discrete quantum states, and non-local interactions mirrors the behavior of an advanced simulation, where data is processed and rendered in real-time based on observational inputs. In this view, consciousness itself may act as the observer that dictates what is “rendered,” reinforcing the idea that we exist not in an independent, physical universe, but within a sophisticated computational framework indistinguishable from reality. Fractals - Another Blueprint of the MATRIX? Price movements wired by multi-cycles shaping market complexity. Long-term cycles define the broader trend, while short-term fluctuations create oscillations within that structure. Bitcoin’s movement influencing Altcoins exemplifies market entanglement—assets affecting each other, much like quantum particles. A single event in a correlated market can ripple across the entire system like in Butterfly effect. Just as a quantum particle exists in multiple states until observed, price action is a probability field—potential breakouts and breakdowns coexist until liquidity shifts. Before a definite major move, the market, like Schrödinger’s cat, remains both bullish and bearish until revealed by Fractal Hierarchy. (Model using Weierstrass Function ) A full fractal cycle consists of multiple oscillations that repeat in a structured yet complex manner. These cycles reflect the inherent scale-invariance of market movements—where the same structural patterns appear.. By visualizing the full fractal cycle: • We observe the relationship between micro-movements and macro-structures. • We track the transformation of price behavior as the fractal unfolds across time. • We avoid misleading interpretations that come from looking at an incomplete cycle, which may appear random or noisy From Wave of Probability to Reality 1. Fractal Probability Waves – The market does not move in a straight line but rather follows a probabilistic fractal wave, where past structures influence future movements. 2. Emerging Reality – As the price action unfolds, these probability waves materialize, turning potential fractal paths into actual price trends. 3. Scaling Effect – The same cyclical behavior repeats at different scales (6H vs. 1W in this case), reinforcing the concept that price movements are self-similar and probabilistically driven. If psychology of masses that shapes price dynamics is governed by mathematical sequences found in nature, it strongly supports the Simulation Hypothesis Do you think we live in a simulation? Let’s discuss in comments!
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by fract
17
#Bitcoin $BTCUSD The Wedge dilemma.CRYPTO:BTCUSD Key Levels: 1. 109k 2. 150k 3. 85k 4. 75k CRYPTO:BTCUSD is currently trying to break a historical, old and respectful channel's upper wedge. Technically speaking, this wedge is a very significant level where it has been tested 5 times so far "illustrated on the chart". The last 2 attempts have shown that the wedge is still valid. Scenario A: Euphoria and institutions buying pressure will keep the price trading close enough to the wedge until it breaks out where it unlocks a new uncharted zone extended to the next psychological mark 150k. Scenario B: Price falls back to the nearest visible and massive demand zone around the 75k mark. I lean on a correction to the closest demand zone around the 75k mark. Corrections: It is worth noting that every time the price tests this wedge it causes a significant correction. "Check the illustrated table on the chart". Conclusion: Closing above 116k unlocks an uncharted zone to 150k Trading below the historical wedge will lead eventually to a retest of the 75k price level. #BTC #BITCOIN #CRYPTO #ANALYSIS #AHMEDMESBAH #SUPPLYANDDEMAND #BLOCKCHAIN #ETHEREUM
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by AhmedMesbah
1
GOLD/XAUUSD Aiming for New Highs? While the US and BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) aren’t in a formal trade war, tensions are rising. BRICS nations are working to reduce reliance on the US dollar, challenging its dominance in global trade. This “de-dollarization” effort and geopolitical shifts, like sanctions on Russia and US-China disputes, are fueling uncertainty. The USD surged by over 7.1% and was the only currency to see a positive growth in 2024. What This Means for Gold? Gold thrives during uncertainty. As BRICS push for alternatives to the dollar and tensions with the US escalate, demand for gold could rise: Hedge Against Currency Risks: If BRICS reduce dollar usage, the dollar might weaken, boosting gold’s appeal. Geopolitical Tensions: Gold is a safe-haven asset investors flock to during economic instability. Global economic shifts are driving gold’s narrative. Trade wisely! Apex out!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Apexfx_Alpha
AMD Harmonic Elliott Wave and Hurst Cyclic AnalysisLet’s revisit the key points from my last update on AMD, published on November 27th: We are currently correcting the bullish move from October 2022 to March 2024. Wave A of the second zigzag (labeled 'y') is nearing completion. The October 2023 trough aligns with an 80-week (80W) cycle trough. The first 20-week (20W) cycle within this 40W cycle was anticipated around December 18th. A rally is expected to follow before entering the extreme bearish phase. The 80W cycle trough is projected for early April 2025. Although the 20W cycle trough took slightly longer to form than expected, the overall analysis remains intact. We are currently progressing through wave B of y of (II), which I believe could push prices as high as 144. The 80W cycle trough is now projected for early May 2025.
NASDAQ:AMD
by bamdadsalarieh
Cycle similarity according to Pi-Cycle Top Risk/DeflectionAligning the bottoms of the Pi-Cycle Top Risk (PCTR)/Deflection (PCTD) indicator shows that this cycle has shown more similar behavior to the 2016-2017 cycle than the 2020-2021 cycle. So far we have had two major waves of the PCTR/PCTD, just as in the 2016-2017 cycle. The 2020-2021 cycle only had one. The third larger wave in the 2016-2017 cycle led to the blow-off top. This is just one piece to the puzzle, but I think we are looking at a "smoother" cycle until the top (similar to 2016-2017), but I don't think we will get a blow-off top again in $BTC. I'm looking for more of a Wykoff distribution top like the first top in 2020-2021. --Da_Prof
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Da_Prof
2
BTC Harmonic Elliott Wave and Hurst Cyclic AnalysisIn our previous update on December 25th, we projected BTC to push higher to complete wave V, followed by a bearish phase in March and April, with 121,500 identified as a potential peak target. The 20W cycle extended a bit longer than anticipated, forming on January 13th. Despite this, everything remains on track, and we are now in wave (b) of V, with my updated peak target at 118,500. Looking ahead, I expect the 40W cycle to form in May 2025. Until mid-March, the bullish trend should continue, after which bearishness is likely to set in, corresponding to the 40W cycle trough (wave B).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bamdadsalarieh
AAPL 1.22.2025 IdeaMy assessment is a fair price on the stock of $230 per share. AAPL now sitting at $222.5, I believe there is a high probability for a 5% up move within a few months. Entry would be favorable if AAPL =< $220. I would enter direct shares here. AAPL is of those companies that will be affected by tariffs. However, AAPL has benefitted from expanding its services economy. In other words, AAPL is not reliant on iPhone sales to drive their FCF. This opportunity is one for those looking for a discount on a MAG 7. Just be patient! But be flexible and anticipate further disruptions.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by SRNceo
Possible downward breakout of $USDT.D as start of altcoin seasonThe Order Blocks may indicate that the often canceled Altcoin-Season could be imminent CRYPTOCAP:USDC.D dominance is struggling to break through the crucial Order Block in Chart 1 between 3.7%-4% to the downside If the breakout to the downside happens, nothing should hinder the Altcoin-Season 🙏 There is usually an inverse relationship between USDT dominance and altcoins. If the dominance falls, crypto degens exchange their stable token for altcoins and their prices rise Another positive sign is that CRYPTOCAP:ETH relative to CRYPTOCAP:BTC in BINANCE:ETHBTC chart faces two significant Order Blocks around the 0.03 and 0.025 ranges from 2021 If one of them holds and should an upward reversal occur here, CRYPTOCAP:ETH could lead altcoins upward as in past cycles
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by OfficerDonut
$TIA: Ready to Breakout After 5 Months of Consolidation? I think LSE:TIA is finally primed for a breakout after spending the last five months consolidating in the tight $4–$6 range. The lows have been respected multiple times, and we're now seeing the buildup of potential for a significant move. I’m eyeing an entry at $4.85, which would be a perfect spot to load up if we get a retrace into that zone. If it does dip back there, it's a max bid scenario for me. However, I'm also prepared to jump in a bit higher if needed, especially if I get left behind as the breakout gains momentum. It's a balancing act between waiting for the perfect entry and not missing out on the move entirely. Let’s see how it plays out—I'm keeping a close watch!
Long
by ZelfTrade
BTC - Time cycles unlock some key insights BTC is very clearly able to be carved out into time cycles, or 'Hurst' cycles, which are regular appearing patterns of units of time which can help us in informing price action. Looking at BTC, it's clearly cutting into cycles of about 40 days with the price action within each cycle very clearly going in either direction - apart from one! Looking at the most recent cycle we just entered into, the price action is likely to rise and continue to rise until either the middle of the cycle (target) or the end of the cycle (vertical line). So please add Hurst cycles to your cocktail of methods for understanding 'when' an event is likely to take place, or at least give you a marginally higher percentage probability. Good luck. Follow and share for more.
Long
by cryptechcapital
The JSE Top40 Medium-Term ViewThe JSE Top40 is at a point of a relief rally though the bigger picture is that of a yearly decline. So the expectation is that we can rally while expecting price to be capped by the black trendline, we either make it there or we turn down before reaching this point. Longer term I expect price to trend towards the green support line. Since we must breach this line, My interest will be on the grey horizontal line for support. A t the back of my mind is the COVID drop scenario, this is where we get extreme moves downwards representing a continuation of current cycle, otherwise without that scenario we would have a tough quarter one and two of 2025. We have been in recession like conditions and so far, we could be going through a silent recession whereby conditions point that way but the economic measures do not confirm, does not help that US being leader in market sentiment has had war excursions to affect the indicators as well as constant revisions of the unemployment figures. The coming of Trump might cause war spend to decrease unraveling the dire state of the economy. It is best for traders to be aware of such a scenario and effect on the markets.
JSE:J200
by runyamhere