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Economic Cycles

Don't Make My MistakeCRYPTO – Don’t Make My Mistake I first heard about Bitcoin in September 2010, when a business associate asked if I knew anything about it. I didn't, but to spark my interest, he gave me $100 worth of Bitcoin, valued at $0.06 each. The following month, when BTC doubled, he encouraged me to invest, so I bought $900 worth at $0.11 each. This made me the owner of 13,636,363 BTC. At the time, there weren't many places to use BTC, so I happily sold my BTC for $0.54 each. As they say, hindsight is 20/20. If I had held onto my BTC, it would have been worth around $1.44 billion USD when BTC hit $106,000. Will there ever be another BTC story? I believe so. If the US Securities and Exchange Commission stops targeting Ripple, we might see it. But there are other ways to make a good amount of money in crypto. Take AI16ZUS (often referred to as ai16z) for example. With a market cap of $2.5 billion USD, it rose 287.66% in 12 days, 582.81% in one month, and 889.56% in one quarter. These are impressive numbers, and managing this and other DeFi tokens correctly can make you financially comfortable. Worth $1.44 billion USD? Probably not, but who knows—the financial world is changing right before our eyes. I will start sharing thoughts on other tokens that might be interesting to watch or invest in. Like I did, start small—$100 USD—and see where you end up. A $100 investment with a 287.66% gain gives you an account balance of $387.66. Take back your initial $100, and you now have $287.66 risk-free to invest in other fast-moving tokens. Don’t gamble; take your time, do your research, and reap the benefits. Until next time…
CRYPTO:AI16ZUSD
by MissouriTim
PEPE, long term super cycle awaits!This is how PEPE could play out in the long-term assuming that we're putting in wave 1, which looks like a leading diaganol. In the medium term we're likely to see some lows as the minor wave 1 corrects for the clearly visible ABC. But, then hold on to your hats as we put in wave 3 which is always the most violent. If you're not out of your shorts by then, this pattern could ripe your face clean off. In any case, keep an eye and plan for early retirement. Follow for more.
BITFINEX:PEPEUSDLong
by cryptechcapital
1
CELH Buy Setup - 1/27 R:R Opportunity at Strong SupportCelsius Holdings NASDAQ:CELH is presenting an excellent long opportunity. The price is currently at a strong support level, aligning with a bullish trendline that has guided the stock upward in the bigger picture. Recently, a bullish engulfing pattern has formed, signaling a potential reversal, which is occurring in a sweet zone where many traders were shaken out of the market. This has been confirmed by a noticeable increase in volume, further indicating that the buying pressure is returning. The setup offers a fantastic risk-to-reward ratio of 1:27, with the next key level being the all-time high (ATH), which is not far away. This suggests significant upside potential if the support holds.
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by PattRec
Elliott Wave View: Dow Futures (YM) Looking for Double CorrectioShort Term Elliott Wave view of Dow Futures (YM) is looking for a larger degree correction against cycle from 3.15.2023 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing. Rally to 45183 ended cycle from 3.15.2023 low as wave ((3)) per 1 hour chart below. Wave ((4)) pullback is now in progress to correct that cycle. Internal subdivision of wave ((4)) is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((3)), wave A ended at 43941 and wave B rally ended at 44556. Wave C lower ended at 42496 which completed wave (W) in higher degree. Rally in wave (X) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (W), wave A ended at 43663 and wave B ended at 42928. Wave C higher ended at 43746 which completed wave (X). The Index has turned lower in wave (Y), but it still needs to break below wave (W) at 42496 to validate this view. Near term, as far as pivot at 45183 high stays intact, expect the Index to extend lower. Potential target for wave (Y) lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (W). This area comes at 39403 – 41060 area where buyers can appear for more upside or 3 waves rally at least.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
BTC 2025 I have plotted the yearly OHL. White line shows year open. If you think BTC is bullish then you buy the year open and hold till EOY or hodl till your heart desires. Alternatively you could gamble and wait for a dip below year open and buy then. Or perhaps you can wait till there's a dip below year open and then wait for a reclaim back on top of the year open level to start bidding. Regardless I see a strong bull trend: 12 years of buy year open and hold till EOY = positive return 3 years of buy on year open and hold till EOY = negative return 2015 is an outlier but despite the heavy drawdown the year end gave a positive return. The probabilities are very skewed and its pretty crazy how complicated we make the LTF analysis and forecasts where the simplest of strategies garners significant gains. The years following a halving year (2013, 2017, 2021) all have a 100% hit rate of buy year open and hold till EOY. Those years offered a very positive return and marked the top of the "cycle" being followed by a down year. My personal opinion is you either buy now or buy higher later. We might look back in a few years and lament on how we had so much time to buy sub 100k. Alts see a similar pattern. The beginning of the year is crucial in determining what lies ahead.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by bhx10
4
EVO Elliot-Wave AnalysisDespite the very strong financials, the EVO chart is stuck in a correction since Apr '21. I think there still is a bit more downside potential. The price should eventually find support in the green box, and ideally start forming a bottom in this area. Potentially the price could drop even lower, but thats not my main scenario. Either way, it will probably take multipe monts, untill the price will start surging again. I see massive value at these prices! I will start buying aggressively, when the price is entering the green box.
OMXSTO:EVOLong
by PF_Analysis
BTC Weekly Signal: A Warning or Just Another Test?Analysis: Bitcoin's current price action presents a critical juncture, marked by the flashing of the PrimeMomentum LongTerm Signal BTC on the weekly chart. Historically, this signal has proven to be 100% accurate, correlating with significant corrections whenever it appears. If the signal persists until the weekly candle closes in 36 hours, we might see Bitcoin entering a deeper corrective phase. Key Observations: The Signal's History: As illustrated on the chart, each red diamond signal in the past has accurately predicted a correction. Corrections following the signal have ranged between 7% to 25%, with the most extreme being a 72% drop during the bear market. Potential Correction Zones: Two imbalance zones have been highlighted as potential targets: $85,000–$81,600: This aligns with the upper imbalance zone. $74,400–$70,600: A deeper support area, matching historical price reactions. These zones are consistent with prior correction depths and market behavior during similar signals. Market Cyclicity: Corrections often precede major market rallies. Historical data shows post-holiday rallies were initiated by small corrections, fitting the current scenario. This aligns with upcoming macro events, including the inauguration of significant political figures, which could fuel renewed bullish sentiment. What to Watch: Weekly Candle Closure: If the signal remains active upon close, the likelihood of a correction increases significantly. Reaction to Imbalance Zones: Monitor price action closely if Bitcoin approaches $92,000 or either imbalance zone. Macro and Whale Activity: Whales may capitalize on this correction to accumulate Bitcoin at lower levels before anticipated bullish catalysts in 2024. Final Thoughts: This setup reflects a dynamic yet critical stage for Bitcoin's market structure. While corrections can appear alarming, they are often healthy retracements that set the stage for stronger bullish moves. Keep an eye on the weekly close and remember that the PrimeMomentum LongTerm Signal BTC has yet to fail in its predictions. Will Bitcoin's trendline hold, or are we due for another major correction? Share your thoughts and let’s discuss! 🚀
Short
by SetKryptoBalans