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Economic Cycles

Skeptic | Weekly Watchlist : DXY Triggers & Pro SetupsLast week, DXY played out our bearish scenario perfectly, breaking the short trigger at 98.530 and delivering a strong downward move . With Higher Wave Cycle (HWC) and Minor Wave Cycle (MWC) now bearish, I’m leaning heavier on short positions with tighter risk management. Let’s break it down with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture The key support at 98.801 was decisively broken, and we’ve confirmed below it—the major trend is now fully bearish. The next daily support lies at 96.478 , but I expect range-bound action early this week, especially after last week’s big move. Patience is key—let the market form a clear structure before jumping back in. Key Insight: The bearish trend is locked in, but early-week consolidation is likely. Wait for the market to signal its next move. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Zooming into the 4-hour chart, let’s pinpoint Low Wave Cycle (LWC) and triggers for long and short setups: Short Trigger: Break below 4-hour support at 96.995 , confirmed by RSI re-entering oversold. Want to wield RSI like a pro? Check out my RSI Masterclass —it’s a game-changer! 😏 Long Trigger: Break above resistance at 98.215 . This is riskier since it’s against the bearish trend—set a wider stop-loss and take profits quickly. Why? HWC and MWC are bearish, so the first uptrend wave risks stop-loss hunts or fakeouts. I’ll drop an HWC/MWC/LWC guide soon to optimize entries, stops, and more—stay tuned! Pro Tip: For longs, expect volatility in the first wave. Shorts align with the trend, so they’re the safer play—focus on 96.995. Final Vibe Check This Weekly Watchlist sets you up to trade smarter, not harder. DXY’s bearish momentum is our focus, but patience will unlock the best setups. I’ll keep you updated daily as markets evolve. Protect your capital—max 1%–2% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want the HWC/MWC/LWC guide or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this watchlist sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! Which setup are you eyeing this week? Share in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
TVC:DXYShort
by SkepticLab
PSYCHOLOGY OF A CRYPTO CYCLEWe expected a pullback, and now thats behind us!😅 The market is back on track, and we are firmly in the #Belief phase of the bull cycle. With heavy short liquidity stacked around $110K, a push into that zone could trigger a short squeeze, launching us into the #Thrill phase. And if momentum holds, all signs point to #Euphoria by late 2025. Favorites so far this cycle: 🥑 POLONIEX:GUACUSDT 🔗 POLONIEX:LLUSDT 🎮 KUCOIN:MYRIAUSDT 🌐 HTX:SYNTUSDT 🧪 MEXC:DEAIUSDT 🏠 OKX:PRCLUSDT 🧱 MEXC:YBRUSDT ⛏️ MEXC:KLSUSDT 🧩 $RUJIUSDT Comment below your favorite coins!
Long
by arcone
2
[ TimeLine ] Gold 25-26 June 2025📆 Today is Friday, June 20, 2025 📌 Upcoming Gold Signal Dates: • June 25, 2025 (Wednesday) — Single-candle setup • June 25–26, 2025 (Wednesday–Thursday) — Two-candle combined range 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes ✅ Gold recently experienced a sharp bearish reversal of approximately 1100 pips, after touching the key psychological resistance at 3451. 🔁 Several re-entry opportunities have emerged, especially around Fibonacci retracement levels, which have acted as reliable reaction zones. ✅ I will personally trade both signals (June 25 and June 25–26) as part of my ongoing live research and strategy development. ⚠️ If you're feeling cautious, it’s completely valid to skip the June 25 signal and prioritize the 2-day range (June 25–26) instead for added confirmation. 📋 Execution Plan 🔹 Wait for the Hi-Lo range to fully form from the selected candle(s): ▫ Ranges will be initially marked with purple lines on the chart. ▫ After market close, I’ll update with buffer zones, Fibonacci levels, and other supporting indicators. 🔹 Entry Trigger: • Executed only when price breaks out beyond the range, including a 60-pip buffer. 🔹 Risk Management – Recovery Rule: • If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), we will cut/switch direction and double the position size on the next valid breakout setup for potential recovery. 📉📈 Chart Reference 🔗 Copy & paste this into your TradingView URL: TV/x/fzDQQ7oo/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
Gold is coiling for a breakout... All eyes on the next move!📉 Gold is currently moving within a minor descending channel. In yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out the potential for a drop. Now, after a period of range-bound movement, I expect a breakout from this channel and a return to the main trend. 🎯 The first target on a reversal would be the top of the minor channel. Keep a close eye on price action here — this zone could be key for the next move OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by shakori_erfan
1
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent. A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter). Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time. However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least. What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1. A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150... Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility. I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
TVC:GOLDLong
by BallaJi
SSYS to 50A victim of the 2013 bubble has finally bottomed out and remains a leader in the 3D printing industry. As robotics and advanced materials advance, 3D printing will become the standard in manufacturing. A very beaten down stock for almost 10 years can go back to 50 and possibly higher. Has government and corporate contracts in: Medicine, aerospace, defense, and cars. - Break over 12.50 makes 50 inevitable given overall markets continue to perform well - If earnings were to see a large jump through sudden increased demand, new ATHs are absolutely in play
NASDAQ:SSYSLong
by CrashoutCapital
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week. On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25. We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear. In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
COMEX:GC1!Short
by LeapTrades
7
ADA | BTC | ET | Why ALTSEASON is COMING SOONAfter a -34% retracement, ADA is ready to go higher alongside with the rest of the alt market. We see a very interesting phenomena here, were ADA also represents a large part of the larger alts: BTC pulls back, ETH is starting to increase or trades sideways (before the increase) whilst the alts dip. This is actually BULLISH for alts, showing the very clear rotation between BTC, ETH and top 15 alts. If we look at the macro of ANY of the alts I've been working through recently, a similar pattern appears - a clear bottom, followed by a sideways trade. This is usually the point just before the big ALTS season. We actually see this pattern at the end of the 2018 rally, as well as after the 202- Covid dip: The bottom line - ADA and other alts are gearing up for their ALTSEASON. With patience, we will soon see some great gains across the markets.
Long
by Crypto-Check-
4
GBPUSD - Technical Outlook (Long + Short Term)In this article, I’ll share my current outlook on GBPUSD, highlighting both higher time frame (HTF) and intraday considerations. Higher Time Frame Analysis The overall trend remains bearish. Price is still trading within the previous structural leg, with the key level at 1.42500. Unless we see a decisive break above this level, my bias will remain bearish for this pair. Recently, we’ve witnessed what looks like institutional manipulation to the upside, followed by a sharp bearish reaction from the weekly supply zone. This price action aligns with a classic Wyckoff distribution cycle, which often signals that the prevailing trend is likely to continue. Intraday Advice For short-term traders, it’s best to wait for lower time frame (LTF) pullbacks and signs of manipulation before considering short positions. If price continues to push lower, there should be opportunities to ride the trend down over the coming weeks, with multiple entry points along the way. Trading Considerations If this analysis plays out, there’s potential to maximize gains through both swing and intraday trades. However, patience and risk management are key. Losses are inevitable - what matters is managing risk and staying disciplined. Key Points to Remember: Wait for clear pullbacks before entering trades. Stick to your risk management plan. Stay patient and let the market come to you. This is an exciting time to trade FX:GBPUSD , but always assess if the risk is worth the reward before entering any position. Happy hunting predators... Apex out!
Short
by Apexfx_Alpha
BTC/USD - The Bitcoin Cycle TopBTC has recently broken below a key uptrend line that had been guiding price for some time. I’m watching for a potential backtest of that broken trendline, a rather classic move that could set the stage for a final upwards squeeze, possibly printing a quick higher high to trap late longs. I’m watching the circled area closely as a potential exhaustion zone. Key levels and price action around the trendline will be critical, breaking of upwards trendlines after backtesting may mark the beginning of the larger unwind. We could see multiple backtests of the broken trendline over time, with the trendline now likely acting as resistance. Note: I’m publishing this idea simply to have a timestamped record. This post is my way of putting a clear marker in the sand. I’m not looking to debate or go deeper into the reasoning, and I generally won’t be responding to comments.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by eliasson89
1
Geopolitical Tension May affect Gold's Outlook!Gold is traditionally considered a safe haven, with prices often rising during geopolitical tensions as investors seek safe security. Will this scenario play out with the U.S. involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict? Gold is currently trading at a high of 3,368.75 and remains in a range. However, in times like this, technical analysis might take a back seat, as geopolitical developments could overshadow any technical setup. N.B! - XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #gold #xauusd
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BullBearMkt
SET's 4th time RSI(50m)< 30 since it's inceptionEvery time the SET Index enters the RSI "red zone" (oversold territory), the long-term outcome has consistently been positive. Historically, the following 8–10 years have delivered strong returns, with some bull markets reaching over 15% annually. The duration of time spent in this red zone has also been decreasing—21 months during the 1997 crisis, 6 months in 2008, and just 3 months in 2020. Currently, we are 5 months into this oversold zone. But unlike developed markets, Thailand’s stock market is largely liquidity-driven rather than purely fundamentals-driven. That means prices can often disconnect from actual economic conditions due to capital flows and investor sentiment. When liquidity dries up, prices fall sharply—but that also creates mispricing and higher information asymmetry, which can lead to alpha opportunities. This is exactly why we need to pay even closer attention now.
SET:SET
by JirathB
[ TimeLine ] Gold 17-18 June 2025📆 Today: Tuesday, June 17, 2025 📌 Upcoming Gold Signal Dates: • June 17, 2025 (Tuesday) — Single-candle setup • June 17–18, 2025 (Tuesday–Wednesday) — Two-candle combined range 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes ✅ Gold recently posted a strong bullish rally of ~740 pips, breaking through the key psychological resistance at 3400. 🔁 Several re-entry opportunities emerged, especially around Fibonacci retracement levels, which served as reliable reaction zones. ⚠️ As of writing, the June 17 Hi-Lo range appears relatively narrow (~300 pips). It may be wise to wait for June 18 to form before committing to a trade, to avoid false breakout risks and gain clearer directional bias. ✅ I will personally trade both signals (June 17 and June 17–18) as part of my live research and strategy development. ⚠️ If you're feeling cautious, it's perfectly valid to skip the June 17 signal and prioritize the 2-day setup (June 17–18) instead. 📋 Execution Plan 🔹 Wait for the Hi-Lo range to fully form from the selected candle(s): ▫ Initially marked with purple lines on the chart. ▫ Additional levels (Fibonacci, buffer zones) will be added after market close. 🔹 Entry Rule: Triggered only on breakout beyond the range, with a 60-pip buffer. 🔹 Recovery Rule: If SL is hit, cut/switch and double position size on the next valid breakout setup. 📉📈 Chart Reference 🔗 Copy & paste into TradingView: TV/x/Zg1X1vHF/ Stay tuned for the post-market update and range breakdown once the June 17 and 18 candles are closed. Let the chart guide you, and manage risk smartly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo