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Economic Cycles

PEAQ — Fibonacci Meets Wyckoff Structure +100% SetupAfter more than 70 days of sideways action, PEAQ is finally showing signs of life — with a well-defined structure that suggests accumulation is giving way to a potential new trend. What we’re seeing aligns closely with a classic Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. A local bottom formed around the psychological $0.10 level, followed by a clean breakout — marking a potential Sign of Strength (SOS). Now comes the real opportunity. Wyckoff Accumulation Structure Following the long consolidation range: 🔹 Phase D: Breakout from range = Sign of Strength (SOS) 🔄 Current: Pullback = potential Last Point of Support (LPS) The recent correction has now retraced into the 0.786 Fib zone of the impulse wave — a deeper but still healthy retracement for Wyckoff structure. Notably, this level also coincides with the previous highs that PEAQ broke out from, now flipping into support. A perfect test of demand. 🔍 Confluence Zone Breakdown 0.786 Fibonacci retracement: ~$0.1312 Previous highs: ~$0.14 Monthly open: $0.1289 (ideal invalidation level) These overlapping signals create a tightly packed support zone that defines the next high-probability long setup. 🟢 Long Setup — 0.786 ($0.1312) Entry: $0.1312 Same stop-loss: $0.125 (below mOpen) Targets: $0.2589 and 1.618 Trend-Based Fib Extension target at $0.2694 R:R: ~16:1+ Potential upside: +100%+ 📘 Educational Insight: Wyckoff Meets Fibonacci This setup is a combination of Wyckoff theory and Fibonacci structure: SOS breakout signals strength LPS pullback into 0.786 Fib = high-probability continuation zone Previous highs now acting as support When structure, confluence, and psychology align — you don't chase. You wait. 📌 Summary ✅ 70+ days of accumulation ✅ SOS confirmed 🔁 Now retracing to LPS around $0.131 🔒 Monthly open provides clear invalidation 🎯 Targets: $0.2589 and $0.2694 💰 Potential R:R: 16:1+ Each chart is a lesson. Read it with patience, trade it with purpose. ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
13
XLM Short Trade (Second Attempt) - Initiated on May 15, 2025 On May 12, 2025, our initial Stellar Lumens (XLM) short position was closed after a stop-loss trigger two days into the trade. Despite bullish market sentiment, primarily driven by the anticipated year-end launch of the Valour Stellar ETP, which is expected to attract significant institutional interest , we are confidently pursuing a contrarian, short-term bearish strategy by initiating a second short position on XLM. While Bitcoin’s rise to $104,018 as of May 16, 2025, reflects market strength CoinMarketCap - Bitcoin, we believe it is approaching cycle highs, potentially leading to a market pullback that could pressure altcoins like XLM. We anticipate a 28% price drop in XLM to $0.2128 from its current level of $0.2964, capturing liquidity at lower levels to fill orders. This decline is expected to set the stage for a subsequent upward move to absorb liquidity above and meet year-end demand at higher price levels, fueled by the Valour ETP launch and an anticipated bull run peak. Our bearish outlook is supported by an expected increase in USDT dominance (USDT.D), currently stable at 4.55% but poised for a potential rise, and a bearish technical signal from the four-day moving average crossing below the five-day moving average at 8:58 PM PDT on May 15, 2025, as observed on TradingView charts TradingView - XLMUSD.
Short
by JarlView
2
Advanced Auto Parts | AAP | Long at $64Advanced Auto Parts NYSE:AAP has gone through an exquisite shakeout of shareholders. Currently trading near $64, the stock is currently testing my "stock crash" simple moving average (seen green SMA lines). From a technical analysist standpoint, it's in a personal buy zone. This stock has tested this simple moving average level a few times in the past and recovered very well. Will history repeat? Target #1 = $88.00 Target #2 = $110.00
NYSE:AAPLong
by WorthlessViews
1
VIX | Nov 19, 2025 Call Options | Strike $21TVC:VIX , the great "fear" index, has two looming price gaps on the daily chart. Every gap has always been filled in the history of the $TVC:VIX. Given the 90-day tariff pauses and forever world turmoil, there will (undoubtedly), be a spike in the TVC:VIX to close these open gaps. It's just a matter of timing... I've chosen to go 6 months out on the option date (November 19, 2025) as a hedge to my portfolio ($3.45 per contract). I plan to add more contracts if the TVC:VIX dips into the 13-14 area, too. I truly dislike timing the market, but such a position could be a nice 3x gainer of the TVC:VIX spikes to $36 in short time. Or... totally worthless if we are in a constant bullish market for the next 6 months. Time will tell.
TVC:VIXLong
by WorthlessViews
BTC - Why THIS TIME is DIFFERENT (⊙ˍ⊙)This time IS DIFFERENT. Bitcoin has made a new ATH as I predicted in a few previous posts, but something's off...🤔 If we look at BTC from a macro view, the dates for this run up was quite extended. We do see some similarities in terms of the retracement (highlighted in blue) but from a timeframe analysis, there is no comparing this high to the previous: stretching from March to October where classical bear market symptoms were show - lower highs and lower lows, with a duration unlike any of the previous cycles. Interestingly, the previous season we increased not even 7% from the previous peak. And if we were to look at the same fractal, that places us around $116k. But the ONE thing, that has had me suspicious this entire time (🥁) was ETH. Overlaying the ETH chart, we see that historically, ETH peaked a week or two after the BTC ATH - until this time. The fact that BTC made such a dramatic ATH and Ethereum didn't? That was a new one. And even up to now, ETH is still 80% away only from it's previous ATH - imagine the altseason we will have IF ETH makes a new ATH... or will this time just be , different ?
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Crypto-Check-
2
EurAud update.Good day traders, I’m back with yet another update on EurAud. In the description I will tag my previous setup on EurAud to show you where we are in price and I left the drawings as they were to help you understand price more. On Monday price opened with that same bullish flow and pushed till the low of the volume imbalance as expected but as we can see that FVG was able to hold price above. From the original setup what price did yesterday was expected Thursday or Friday the latest, so since price did not go for that 1st.PFVG on Monday and Tuesday, we can now expect price to go for that level. If we take a closer look at that leg higher from that FVG, we have a balanced price range that we can expect price not to respect.
Short
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
Gold’s Multi-Decade Supercycle: $13,000 Is Not a Meme, It’s MathThis is not just a chart — it’s a map of the global financial psyche, spanning over 50 years of inflation, war, debt, and monetary decay. What you're seeing is the multi-decade logarithmic structure of gold, starting from under $40 in the early 1970s to projections reaching above $12,000 and even $13,000 in the coming decades. Each impulse, each correction, and each consolidation phase corresponds not only to technical patterns but to shocks in the global system: 📈 Key Historical Milestones: 1970s – Oil Crisis / End of Gold Standard → First explosion to $873 2001–2011 – War & Debt → From $254 to $1,900 2011–2018 – Lull Before the Storm 2020+ – Pandemic, ETF Adoption, Rate Chaos → New breakout in progress Now, price is respecting a decades-long logarithmic growth line, with clear projected fractals suggesting: 🎯 Projected Price Milestones (Based on Structure): Phase Target Current Range Completion ~$3,800–$4,300 Mid-Term Expansion ~$5,800–$7,700 Final Supercycle Top ~$12,600–$13,000 This chart doesn’t claim time precision — it outlines magnitude. And magnitude matters when trust in fiat is collapsing faster than central banks can lie. 🔥 The Real Message: Every dip in this chart was political calm. Every pump was systemic collapse. If you're waiting for gold to “correct,” maybe the world needs to break first. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. It’s a macro-technical exploration of long-term capital flow and systemic risk. Stay sharp. Stay solvent. Stay golden. 🪙 Trade safe and stay profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by parm79
[ TimeLine ] Gold 12-13 May 2025Hello everyone, 📅 Today is Friday, May 9, 2025 📌 Upcoming Signal Dates: • May 12, 2025 (Monday) • May 12 & 13, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday) 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes: ✅ Gold has experienced a sharp reversal of over 1,650 pips, falling from 3435 to 3270 ⚠️ If the upcoming Hi-Lo range is wide, consider reversal entries or setups based on Fibonacci retracement levels ✅ I will be trading both signals as part of my ongoing research and strategy ⚠️ If you're feeling risk-averse or uncertain, it's totally fine to skip the May 12 & 13 signals 📋 Execution Plan: 🔹 Wait for the price range from the specified candles to fully form (marked by green lines on the chart) 🔹 Entry will be triggered on breakout, with a 60-pip buffer 🔹 If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), cut/switch and double the position on the next valid setup to attempt recovery 📉📈 Chart Reference: 🔗 TradingView URL Code: TV/x/Au2Hjg0M/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
Bitwise Bitcoin ETF | BITB | Long at $46.25It definitely should get everyone's attention when a US Senator (David McCormick) is willing to dish out up to $600,000 in a Bitcoin ETF ( AMEX:BITB ): Feb. 27: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 Feb. 28: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 3: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 March 5: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 10: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 March 11: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 13: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 20: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 Something may be brewing this year with the "U.S. crypto reserve" and I'll throw down a couple grand at $46.25 with a self-proclaimed wild prediction into 2026: Bitcoin to $120,000. Bitwise ETF Targets: $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00
AMEX:BITBLong
by WorthlessViews
BTC Primary trend. Secondary - expanding triangle.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Linear for clarity. Now the price is in consolidation in the key resistance zone of the "psychology 100" zone. Everything is as before, nothing new. The price moves from dynamic zones of support and resistance of the large channel, and with the observance of the proportions of decreasing % from the previous maximums and minimums, adhering to a conditional 4-year cyclicality. Which is also initially embedded in the Bitcoin halvings, and the understanding of increasing demand, with a decrease in supply through halvings (but, here is a nuance with ETF, that is, conditionally with "fake bitcoins", which significantly increases the supply). With a huge degree of probability, in the next cycle (possibly the final one), Bitcoin will be driven above or around $ 1 million, depending on the maximum that will be set in this cycle. Perhaps it will be much higher (parabolic growth as at the end of 2017) than the average distribution price. Mass digitalization is underway... and there are more and more dollars, they need to be somehow utilized in the future. I specifically refreshed the old ideas of the main trend (2 and 3 years ago published) of this scale, and made it on a linear chart, for greater visualization of the trend direction and patterns that are formed on a smaller scale. BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings. 1 07 2022 BTC/USD Halving 518 When will the minimum and maximum price be cycles. 27 09 2023
Long
by SpartaBTC
EGX30 Neutral Zone AnalysisEGX30 stock is currently in a neutral zone, between the 31,970 resistance line and 31,424.07 support line, reflecting the buyers' and sellers' wait and taking their time for market analysis, especially with the investment atmosphere that is full of unaligned points of view. In case of taking an upward trend, it is expected not to breach the resistance line at 32,464.493 points, but in case of falling, it's expected not to break the support line at 29,989.245.
EGX:EGX30
by RowaynaAhmed
BTC | New ATH Incoming | + 135% ??A very interesting fractal from 2021 lead to a 135% increase - and a new all time high. Bitcoin has been following similar patterns to the bullish twin-peaks in 2021. After a multi-month correction, the price proceeded to increase another 135% over the next few months. Some weeks fast, and some weeks sideways. Is it possible that BTC follows a similar pattern - and increase another 135%, all the way to 170k? Hec, I'd even be happy with just a 100% ! That would lead us up to around 149k, which can also be considered a phycological resistance zone. While you're here! Check out this post on PEPE: _________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by Crypto-Check-
1
DXY 1W Forecast until the end of MAY 2025Up-trend will resume and last until the end of February 2025 topping no higher than 114. Current bottom is in at 105.9 Hence, it shouldn't fall below. After February a consolidation period of 1,5 months will trap price action between the bottom of 122.16 and upper level of 114.9 The spring squeezed during consolidation will provide enough energy for further upwards movement starting in the end of April 2025. This will ignite a chain of devaluation of national currencies followed by epidemic inflation across the globe. This will finish/cool-down at DXY reaching the mark of 148. New reality after May 2025?
INDEX:DXY
by discarding