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The Day Ahead Friday May 9 Data: China April trade balance, Q1 BoP current account balance, Japan March labor cash earnings, household spending, leading index, coincident index, Italy March industrial production, Canada April jobs report, Norway April CPI Central banks: Fed's Williams, Waller, Kugler, Goolsbee and Barr speak, ECB's Simkus and Rehn speak, BoE's Bailey and Pill speak Earnings: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Recruit Holdings, Commerzbank, Cellnex This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead - BoE Rate Decision Thursday May 8 Data: US Q1 nonfarm productivity, Q1 unit labor costs, March wholesale trade sales, April NY Fed 1-yr inflation expectations, initial jobless claims, UK April RICS house price balance, Germany March industrial production, trade balance Central banks: BoE, Riksbank and Norges Bank decision, BoJ minutes of the March meeting, BoE's April DMP survey, BoC financial stability report Earnings: Toyota Motor, AB InBev, Shopify, ConocoPhillips, Nintendo, DBS, McKesson, Enel, Rheinmetall, Siemens Energy, Coinbase, Cheniere Energy, Infineon, Kenvue, HubSpot, TKO Group, Leonardo, AP Moller - Maersk, Warner Bros Discovery, Toast, Expedia, Pinterest, DraftKings, Affirm, Tapestry, Illumina, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena, Rocket Lab, Paramount Global, Davide Campari-Milano, Crocs, Lyft, Puma, Peloton, Sweetgreen Auctions: US 30-yr Bonds
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead - Fed Rate Decision US: March consumer credit slowed → weaker demand → supports lower rate expectations. UK: April construction PMI below 50 → contraction → bearish for GBP. Eurozone (Germany, France, Italy, Euro-wide): Factory orders, construction PMIs, retail sales weak → signs of economic slowdown → bearish for EUR. China: April foreign reserves slightly down → limited impact. France (details): Widening trade deficit, mild wage growth → mixed outlook. Italy: March retail sales down → weak consumer demand. Federal Reserve (May decision): Held rates at 5.25–5.50%. Slowed pace of balance sheet reduction (QT). Powell ruled out further hikes for now. Fed remains data-dependent. Trading Relevance: Rates/Bonds: Bullish – lower yields likely. USD: Slightly weaker – dovish Fed tone. Stocks: Positive – QT slowdown supports equities. EUR/GBP: Bearish – weak data, dovish central bank expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day AheadTuesday, May 6 – Financial Trading Summary & Relevance Key Data Releases: US March Trade Balance – Important for assessing the strength of US exports vs. imports. A larger deficit may weigh on USD; narrower gap may support it. China April Caixin Services PMI – Insight into China's private service sector. Stronger data could lift global risk sentiment and commodity-linked currencies (e.g., AUD). UK April Data: Official Reserves Changes – Minimal short-term trading impact. New Car Registrations – Reflects consumer sentiment and demand; relevant for UK auto stocks and GBP sensitivity. France March Industrial Production – A leading gauge for Eurozone growth; stronger output may support EUR. Italy April Services PMI – Adds to Eurozone PMI sentiment; market-moving for EUR if deviating significantly. Eurozone March PPI – Inflation gauge; higher-than-expected may raise ECB hawkishness bets, boosting EUR and yields. Canada March Trade Balance – Important for CAD traders; strong trade could support CAD. Major Earnings Releases (market movers): Tech & Growth Focus: Palantir (PLTR) – Government & AI analytics focus; market keen on forward guidance and AI revenues. AMD (AMD) – Key semiconductor player; crucial for tech sentiment, especially in AI chip space. Arista Networks (ANET) – Cloud and networking performance gives insights into broader tech infra spending. Datadog, Astera Labs – Watch for cloud and AI-related growth signals. Consumer & Travel: Marriott (MAR) – Key for travel demand trends. Zoetis – Animal health; solid defensive sector performer. Coupang – Insight into Asian e-commerce and consumer health. Autos & Industrials: Ferrari, Rivian – Luxury vs. EV sentiment; Rivian earnings especially key for EV sector momentum. Vestas – Wind energy indicator; watch for green transition spending trends. Financial & Healthcare: Intesa Sanpaolo – Italy’s largest bank; insight into Eurozone financials. IQVIA, Fidelity – Relevant for healthcare services and asset management outlook. Bond Market: US 10-Year Note Auction – Closely watched for investor demand amid shifting Fed rate expectations. Weak auction = higher yields = USD strength. Trading Relevance Summary: FX: EUR, GBP, CAD and USD sensitive to economic prints (trade, PMIs, inflation). Equities: Focus on tech (AMD, Palantir, Datadog), EVs (Rivian), and industrials (Ferrari, Vestas). Bonds: 10-yr auction could set tone for yields. Commodities: China services PMI may influence oil and metals via demand expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead - US Employment data due!Friday, May 2 Macro Data to Watch (Market Impact Potential): US April Jobs Report – Major market mover for USD, equities, and bonds. Sets expectations for Fed policy. US March Factory Orders – Secondary data; relevant for industrial and manufacturing sectors. Eurozone April CPI – Key inflation data; potential EUR/USD and ECB rate path influence. Eurozone March Unemployment Rate – Labor market context for ECB policy. Japan April Monetary Base & Labor Data – JPY-sensitive; signals BoJ liquidity stance. Italy Manufacturing PMI & March Unemployment – Insight into Eurozone periphery economy. France March Budget Balance – Fiscal health check; limited direct market impact. Central Bank Watch: ECB Economic Bulletin – Can give insight into ECB’s inflation and growth outlook. May guide EUR direction. Earnings (Key for Sector Moves & Index Impact): Energy: Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Shell – Crude oil-sensitive; big impact on energy indices. Healthcare & Insurance: Cigna Group – Influences healthcare and insurance stocks. Industrials/Chemicals: Eaton, BASF, DuPont – Watch for global growth signals and margins. Financials: Apollo, ING, NatWest, Standard Chartered – Useful for readthrough on credit trends and regional banking health. Autos: Mitsubishi, Italy new car registrations – Auto demand signals, relevant for sector ETFs. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Macroeconomic Data Releases (Market-Moving Potential): US Data ISM Manufacturing Index (April): A key indicator of manufacturing health; impacts USD, equities, and bond yields. Total Vehicle Sales: Reflects consumer demand and manufacturing strength. Construction Spending (March): Signals strength in real estate and infrastructure sectors. Initial Jobless Claims: Weekly indicator of labor market health; influences Fed policy expectations. UK Data Net Consumer Credit & M4 (March): Provides insight into consumer borrowing and money supply growth; can affect GBP and BoE policy outlook. Japan Consumer Confidence Index (April): Influences sentiment on domestic consumption; impacts JPY and Nikkei index. Canada Manufacturing PMI (April): Indicator of economic activity; affects CAD and TSX. Central Bank Activity: Bank of Japan (BoJ) Policy Decision: Key focus on any adjustments to yield curve control or forward guidance. High impact on JPY, Japanese equities, and global bond markets. Corporate Earnings (High-impact, broad sector exposure): Mega-cap Tech & Consumer: Apple, Amazon, Airbnb, Roku, Wayfair, Reddit: Major influence on Nasdaq and sentiment in growth/tech stocks. Financials & Payments: Mastercard, Block, Blue Owl Capital, KKR: Insight into consumer spending and credit trends. Healthcare: Eli Lilly, CVS Health, Moderna, Stryker, Amgen: Updates on drug pipelines and healthcare services; influences biotech sentiment. Industrials & Energy: McDonald's, Linde, Harley-Davidson, Dominion Energy, United States Steel, Targa Resources, Howmet Aerospace: Read-throughs for global demand, input costs, and supply chains. Other Key Sectors: Estee Lauder (Luxury/Consumer), Duolingo & Twilio (Tech/EdTech), Live Nation (Services), Maplebear (Instacart), Cameco (Uranium/Nuclear): Diverse sector insights. Other Notable Events: UK Local Elections: Though local, outcomes may indicate broader political sentiment, especially ahead of a potential general election. Moves in GBP, UK equities, and gilts possible if results hint at political instability or changes in economic policy outlook. Trading Implications: Equities: Expect high volatility due to major earnings releases and macro data. Sectors like tech, healthcare, and consumer discretionary could see significant moves. FX: USD, JPY, and GBP in focus due to data and central bank developments. Bonds: ISM, jobless claims, and BoJ decision may affect global yield curves. Commodities: Vehicle sales and construction data may influence oil/metals demand expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Wednesday April 30 Data: US Q1 GDP, employment cost index, April ADP report, MNI Chicago PMI, March core PCE, personal income and spending, pending home sales, China April official PMIs, Caixin manufacturing PMI, UK April Lloyds Business Barometer, Japan March retail sales, industrial production, housing starts, Germany April CPI, retail sales, import price index, unemployment claims rate, Q1 GDP, France April CPI, March PPI, consumer spending, Q1 GDP, Italy April CPI, March PPI, Q1 GDP, Eurozone Q1 GDP, Canada February GDP, Australia Q1 CPI Central banks: ECB’s Muller speaks, BoE’s Lombardelli speaks Earnings: Microsoft, Meta, Samsung, Qualcomm, Caterpillar, TotalEnergies, Airbus, Iberdrola, Santander, UBS, KLA, Equinix, GSK, Tokyo Electron, MediaTek, Equinor, Mercedes-Benz Group, Credit Agricole, Barclays, Volkswagen, CaixaBank, Deutsche Post, Haleon, Robinhood, Societe Generale, Humana, eBay, GE HealthCare, ArcelorMittal, Evolution AB, Repsol, Norwegian Cruise Line, Albemarle, Wingstop, Etsy Auctions: US Treasury quarterly refunding announcement This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day AheadTuesday April 29 Data: US April Conference Board consumer confidence index, Dallas Fed services activity, March JOLTS report, advance goods trade balance, wholesale inventories, February FHFA house price index, Germany May GfK consumer confidence, Italy April consumer confidence index, manufacturing confidence, economic sentiment, March hourly wages, February industrial sales, Eurozone March M3, April economic, industrial, services confidence, Sweden Q1 GDP indicator Central banks: ECB’s March consumer expectations survey, Holzmann and Cipollone speak, BoE’s Ramsden speaks Earnings: Visa, Coca-Cola, Novartis, China Construction Bank, AstraZeneca, HSBC, Booking, S&P Global, Pfizer, Honeywell, Spotify, American Tower, Altria, Starbucks, Mondelez, Sherwin-Williams, UPS, BBVA, BP, Atlas Copco, Ecolab, Regeneron, PayPal, Royal Caribbean Cruises, Wal-Mart de Mexico, Universal Music Group, Hilton, Fair Isaac, adidas, GM, Corning, Kraft Heinz, CoStar, Ares This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day AheadMacro Data to Watch: US: April Kansas City Fed Services Index – May give insight into regional business sentiment. UK: April GfK Consumer Confidence – Early read on sentiment post-budget. March Retail Sales – Important for GBP and rate expectations. Japan: April Tokyo CPI – Key inflation indicator ahead of BoJ policy. France: April Business Confidence – Watch for any signs of slowing Eurozone momentum. Canada: February Retail Sales – Impacts CAD, potential rate path hints. Central Bank Watch: BoE’s Greene speaks – May offer clues on UK rate path amid inflation stickiness. Earnings to Watch (Market Movers): US: AbbVie, Colgate-Palmolive, HCA Healthcare, Charter Communications, Schlumberger, Centene, LyondellBasell Focus on healthcare, consumer staples, and energy names for sector sentiment. Asia: Ping An Insurance, Keyence, Advantest – Key bellwethers for China and Japan. This lineup could drive volatility across FX (GBP, JPY, CAD), equity indices, and sector ETFs. Watch sentiment shifts based on inflation data and earnings surprises. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day AheadThursday, April 24 – Market Focus US Economic Data: Chicago Fed National Activity Index (March) Durable Goods Orders Existing Home Sales Kansas City Fed Manufacturing (April) Initial Jobless Claims International Data: Japan PPI Services (March) Germany Ifo Business Climate (April) France Consumer Confidence (April) EU New Car Registrations (March) Central Bank Speakers: Fed: Kashkari ECB: Nagel, Simkus, Rehn, Lane BoE: Lombardelli Earnings Highlights: Alphabet, P&G, T-Mobile, Merck, PepsiCo, Gilead, Union Pacific, Comcast Sanofi, BNP Paribas, SK Hynix, Intel, Dassault Systèmes Bristol-Myers, Fiserv, Digital Realty, Freeport-McMoRan, Keurig Dr Pepper Eni, Nasdaq, L3Harris, Vale, PG&E, Orange, Valero, Nokia, Dow US Treasury Auction: 7-Year Note This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day AheadWednesday 23rd April 2025 Key economic data includes April flash PMIs for the US, UK, Japan, Germany, France, and the Eurozone. These are important indicators of economic momentum and inflation pressures, with potential impact on FX, rates, and equities. In the US, March new home sales will provide a read on housing market strength. The UK reports March public finances, which could influence gilt markets and sterling. In the Eurozone, February trade balance and construction output data are on deck, offering insights into trade dynamics and sector-specific activity. Central bank focus is high. The Fed releases its Beige Book and features speakers including Goolsbee, Musalem, Waller, and Hammack. Markets will be listening closely for signals on rate expectations and regional economic trends. From the ECB, Knot, Villeroy, and Lane are scheduled to speak, potentially influencing eurozone rate expectations. From the Bank of England, Bailey, Pill, and Breeden will offer comments that could affect sterling and rate outlooks. Earnings are heavy and span key sectors. Notable names reporting include IBM, ServiceNow, Texas Instruments, Lam Research, Boeing, GE Vernova, Chipotle, O’Reilly Auto, Thermo Fisher, Boston Scientific, NextEra Energy, Newmont, Philip Morris, AT&T, General Dynamics, and Volvo. This mix provides important reads across tech, industrials, healthcare, and consumer sectors. On the fixed income side, the US Treasury will auction 2-year floating rate notes and 5-year notes. Watch for yield curve movements and demand signals, particularly given the dense schedule of Fed speakers. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Tuesday 22 April - Macro Data to Watch US Philadelphia Fed (non-manufacturing) – Insight into regional services sector strength. Richmond Fed Index – Regional manufacturing pulse; can affect rate expectations. Business Conditions – Sentiment read, relevant for short-term economic momentum. Eurozone Consumer Confidence (April) – A leading indicator for consumer spending. Debt-to-GDP (2024) – Helps assess fiscal sustainability/risk premium. Canada March Industrial Product Price Index & Raw Materials Price Index – Key inflation inputs, may influence BoC policy outlook. Central Bank Speakers (Potential Market Movers) Fed Jefferson, Kashkari, Harker – Watch for any guidance on rate cuts/timing. ECB Knot speaks; ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters also out – Insight into inflation/monetary policy expectations. Earnings (Market Impact: High) Big Names Reporting: Tesla – Retail/institutional focus; moves broad market + sentiment. SAP – Tech/enterprise software sector read. GE, RTX, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman – Defense/industrial tone-setters. Verizon, Intuitive Surgical, Danaher, Chubb – Broad sector coverage; healthcare, telecom, insurance. Elevance Health, MSCI, Moody's, Equifax – Key reads on health insurers, financials, and credit conditions. Enphase Energy, EQT, Baker Hughes – Energy sector sentiment, especially in renewables/oil services. US Treasury Auctions 2-Year Note Auction – Short-end yield focus; critical for curve shape and rate expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Thursday, April 17 – Market Snapshot In the US, traders will be watching March housing starts and building permits for signs of real estate momentum, while initial jobless claims and the Philly Fed index offer fresh insight into the labour market and regional manufacturing sentiment. Overseas, Japan reports its March trade balance, Germany releases its March PPI—a key inflation gauge—and Australia’s labour force survey will be crucial for AUD positioning. Canada’s February international securities transactions could offer clues on capital flows. Central banks are in focus with the ECB rate decision front and centre, which could move EUR pairs. Fed speakers Schmid and Barr are also on the radar for any policy tone shifts, while BoJ’s Nakagawa and the Bank of England’s Q1 credit conditions survey could influence JPY and GBP, respectively. On the earnings front, TSMC will set the tone for semiconductors, and Netflix gives a look into streaming and consumer sentiment. Key financials like UnitedHealth, American Express, Charles Schwab, Blackstone, and Truist Financial all report, along with DR Horton for housing and ABB for the global industrial read. The US also auctions 5-year TIPS, which could move inflation expectations and impact rate-sensitive trades.
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The Day Ahead Key Economic Data Releases 🇺🇸 U.S. • March Retail Sales – Consumer spending trend, high market impact. • Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization – Signals strength of the manufacturing sector. • April NY Fed Services Index – Regional business activity snapshot. • NAHB Housing Market Index – Homebuilder sentiment. • Feb Business Inventories – Impacts GDP revisions. • Total Net TIC Flows – Foreign capital flows into U.S. assets. 🇨🇳 China • Q1 GDP – Key for global growth outlook. • March Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Home Prices, Property Investment – Domestic demand & real estate health. 🇬🇧 UK • March CPI & RPI, Feb House Price Index – Inflation indicators ahead of BoE moves. 🇯🇵 Japan • Feb Core Machine Orders – Business capex proxy. 🇮🇹 Italy / 🇪🇺 Eurozone • Feb Current Account Balances – External demand & capital flow indicators. 🇳🇿 New Zealand • Q1 CPI – Inflation print crucial for RBNZ rate expectations. ________________________________________ Central Banks • 🇨🇦 Bank of Canada Rate Decision – Watch for policy tone amid inflation shifts. • 🇺🇸 Fed Speakers: Powell, Cook, Hammack – Any hints on rate cuts or economic outlook closely watched. ________________________________________ Earnings to Watch • Tech & Industrials: ASML, Sandvik, Sartorius • Healthcare: Abbott Laboratories • Transport & Real Estate: Prologis, CSX • Financials: US Bancorp, Nordea • Consumer: Heineken • Materials: Alcoa High-impact guidance or surprises could trigger sector moves. ________________________________________ Bond Auctions • 🇺🇸 US 20-Year Bond Auction – Monitor for demand; impacts yields and USD. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Tuesday, April 15 – Key Market Events US Data: Empire Manufacturing Index (April): Early read on factory activity. Import and Export Prices (March): Trade-side inflation indicators. UK Data: Average Weekly Earnings (Feb) Unemployment Rate (Feb) Jobless Claims Change (March) Impact: Moves GBP based on labor market strength or weakness. Germany & Eurozone: ZEW Surveys (April): Investor sentiment on economy. Germany Wholesale Price Index (March) Eurozone Industrial Production (Feb) Watch EUR, especially if sentiment or output surprises. Italy: General Government Debt (Feb): Less market-moving unless sharply changes. Canada: Consumer Price Index (March): Key for CAD. Major inflation read. Housing Starts, Existing Home Sales, Manufacturing Sales: Supportive data, secondary to CPI. Central Bank Events: Fed’s Bostic speaks: Watch for comments on rates or inflation. ECB Bank Lending Survey: Shows credit conditions, potential ECB signal. Earnings Reports: Bank of America, Citigroup: Key for financial sector outlook. Johnson & Johnson: Healthcare read. Interactive Brokers: Trading activity snapshot. United Airlines: Travel demand indicator. Albertsons: Consumer and grocery sector trends. What Traders Should Watch: USDCAD: Canadian CPI is the main mover. GBPUSD: UK jobs data could push sterling. EURUSD: ZEW and industrial production could drive euro. Equities: Bank earnings will impact risk sentiment. Yields: Inflation data and central bank speak may shift rate expectations. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Key Data Releases: US: NY Fed 1-year inflation expectations (March) – Closely watched for signs of shifting inflation trends that could impact Fed rate outlook. China: Trade Balance (March) – Insight into global demand and China’s export strength; potential impact on commodities and risk sentiment. Japan: Capacity Utilization (Feb) – Secondary data, but relevant for assessing industrial activity in Japan. Central Bank Speakers: Fed’s Harker & Waller – Any hints on rate cuts, inflation stance, or economic outlook could move markets, especially USD and rates. Earnings to Watch: Goldman Sachs (GS) – Key read on investment banking, trading, and overall market health. Could set tone for broader financials. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Friday, April 11 – Market Movers Macro Data Releases US: March PPI: Key inflation metric; will shape expectations for upcoming Fed decisions. April University of Michigan Sentiment: Critical for gauging consumer confidence and inflation expectations—could move Treasuries and USD. UK: February GDP (m/m): Signals short-term growth trends; implications for GBP and BoE policy stance. Japan: March M2, M3: Measures of monetary supply; minor market mover but relevant for BoJ watchers. Germany: February Current Account Balance: Trade-driven indicator; may influence EUR depending on surplus/deficit surprise. Central Bank Watch Fed’s Williams and Musalem speak: Markets will watch closely for any guidance on rate trajectory or balance sheet. Hawkish/dovish tone could directly impact bond yields and USD positioning. Earnings – Big Banks Lead Q1 Reports JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, BlackRock Key Focus for Traders Paired with Fed speak, inflation data (PPI, Michigan inflation expectations) could drive rate volatility and USD. Equity rotation within financials is underway—watch credit-sensitive and trading revenue trends. FX: EUR and GBP are at risk from economic surprises; potential moves are tied to relative growth and trade flows.
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The Day Ahead Key Economic Data US: March CPI – Major inflation gauge, key for rate expectations Initial Jobless Claims – Labor market health Federal Budget Balance – Fiscal position China: March CPI & PPI – Inflation trends, key for global commodities UK: March RICS House Price Balance – Real estate sentiment Japan: March PPI & Bank Lending – Inflation and credit growth Italy: Feb Industrial Production – Eurozone manufacturing read Canada: Feb Building Permits – Construction and housing activity Nordics: CPI (Denmark, Norway), Sweden GDP Indicator – Regional inflation and growth check Central Bank Speakers Fed: Logan, Goolsbee, Harker – Potential rate path signals BoE: Breeden – Insight into UK monetary policy stance Earnings Tesco, CarMax, Fast Retailing – Retail sector insights Auctions US 30-Year Bond Auction – Watch for demand/sentiment on long-term rates This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Wednesday, April 9 – Market Highlights Economic Data: US February Wholesale Trade Sales – Insight into inventory and business spending; may impact GDP outlook. Japan March Consumer Confidence – Indicator of consumer sentiment; could influence JPY and equities. Japan Machine Tool Orders – Key for industrial activity; relevant for JPY and manufacturing stocks. Central Banks: FOMC Meeting Minutes – Closely watched for clues on Fed’s rate path; could move Treasuries, USD, and equities. Fed’s Barkin Speaks – May offer fresh policy signals. BoJ Governor Ueda Speaks – Comments could affect JPY and Japanese bonds. ECB’s Knot and Cipollone Speak – Potential impact on EUR if policy views are signaled. RBNZ Rate Decision – Markets expect a hold; tone of statement may move NZD. Earnings: Seven & i Holdings – Insight into Japanese retail and consumer spending. Delta Air Lines – Early look at travel demand and input costs; relevant for transport and consumer sectors. Constellation Brands – Watch for trends in consumer demand and margins. Auctions: US 10-Year Note Auction – Key for rate sentiment; demand could impact yields and broader market tone. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day AheadKey Data Releases US: March NFIB Small Business Optimism Index – gauge of small business sentiment, could hint at future economic activity and inflation pressures. Japan: March Economy Watchers Survey – frontline view of economic trends. February BoP (Balance of Payments): Current account & trade balance – impacts yen and risk sentiment. France: February trade and current account balances – minor euro impact unless surprise. Central Bank Speakers Fed: Daly – watch for comments on rate path or inflation risks. ECB: Holzmann, Guindos, Cipollone – possible euro movement on hawkish/dovish tones. BoE: Lombardelli – any forward guidance on rates may move GBP. Earnings Samsung – bellwether for tech and semis; relevant for risk sentiment in Asia. Walgreens Boots Alliance – watch for US consumer health and retail trends. Fixed Income US: 3-Year Note Auction – important for yield curve dynamics and short-end demand. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day AheadKey Data Releases (Market Moving Potential) US – February Consumer Credit Insight into consumer borrowing trends – potential impact on USD and interest rate expectations. China – March Foreign Reserves Watch for signals on capital flows and yuan (CNY) stability. Japan – February Labor Cash Earnings, Leading & Coincident Indexes Wage data affects inflation outlook – key for JPY and BoJ policy watchers. Germany – February Industrial Production & Trade Balance Vital for assessing Eurozone growth momentum – may impact EUR. Eurozone – February Retail Sales Consumer activity in focus – important for ECB policy direction. Central Bank Watch Bank of Canada – Business Outlook Survey Could move CAD if sentiment suggests rate shift ahead. ECB – Cipollone Speech Monitor for clues on rate path or balance sheet policy – relevant to EUR trades. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead US Jobs & FED Powell speech US March Jobs Report Most important release this week. Strong report boosts the dollar and bond yields Weak report supports stocks and pressures the dollar Canada March Jobs Report Strong numbers lift the Canadian dollar Weak numbers weigh on CAD Germany, France, Italy Data Includes factory orders, industrial production, and retail sales Weak data puts pressure on the euro Strong data supports the euro Japan February Household Spending Low spending signals continued Bank of Japan easing, weakens the yen Higher spending may support the yen UK March Car Sales and Construction PMI Positive surprises could lift the pound Sweden March CPI Hot inflation could delay rate cuts and support the krona Cooler CPI may lead to SEK weakness Central Bank Watch Fed’s Powell and Barr Speaking Hawkish tone strengthens the dollar and lifts yields Dovish comments could boost risk assets and weaken the dollar This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Day Ahead Economic Data Releases (Market Impact) US: March ISM Services PMI – Key gauge of economic activity in the services sector. A higher-than-expected number could fuel rate hike concerns. February Trade Balance – Trade deficit/surplus could influence USD sentiment. Initial Jobless Claims – A lower figure may strengthen USD as it signals a strong labor market. UK: March Official Reserves Changes – Could impact GBP if there are significant shifts. China: March Caixin Services PMI – A strong reading could boost market sentiment, supporting risk assets. Italy & Eurozone: March Services PMI (Italy) & February PPI (Eurozone) – Weak data could reinforce ECB rate cut expectations, affecting EUR. Canada: February International Merchandise Trade – Affects CAD; trade surplus could strengthen the currency. Switzerland: March CPI – Inflation trends impact SNB policy expectations and CHF. Central Bank Events (Market Moving) US Fed Speakers (Jefferson, Cook) – Any hints on future rate hikes/cuts will drive USD and bond markets. ECB March Meeting Account – Insight into ECB’s rate path; dovish tone may weaken EUR. BoE March DMP Survey – Expectations on inflation and growth, potentially influencing GBP. Geopolitical Event NATO Foreign Ministers Meeting (April 3-4) – Any geopolitical developments could impact risk sentiment, affecting oil prices, defense stocks, and safe-haven assets. Trading Relevance USD: High impact from ISM Services PMI, jobless claims, and Fed speeches. EUR: ECB minutes and Eurozone PPI could drive movement. GBP: BoE survey and UK reserves data in focus. CAD: Trade balance key for CAD direction. CHF: Inflation print may influence SNB rate expectations. Risk Sentiment: Watch China PMI and NATO meeting for broader market impact. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation