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Economicdata

EURUSD at 20 day Exponential Moving Average support.The 20 day moving average is a strong point which plays big part in how the future trend is set and detected. Setting up for a trade, short term selling from under 1.23 to 1.2270 may play a good trade short term trade, below it is stronger support directly to the 1.2200/1.2190 trend line support where more buyers are emerging. Be careful and follow also everything connected with news and don't forget next week is NFP's week. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trading carries a high level of risk to your capital and may result in losses that exceed your initial deposit. Supplied information is not advice.
by TheTrade_Academ
GBPAUD Forecast for the week Long Entry: break of 1.82865 SL: will be right under the breaking point Short: Entry: 1.82865 SL: just above the resistance at price: 1.82865 Also a Bearish divergence, have formed. the price will go up a little before confirming the divergence Look in the RSI and the orange line in the chart, divergence is marked with cirkels Description: An long entry can be taken, when a break of the rising wedge above the resistance/support line (1.82865) A Short entry can be taken when the price hits the resistance/support line. This is risky, and therefore I will wait for the confirmation, when the price breaks the support line in the rising wedge. Historically there is a 69% chance for a breakout of the support line in the rising wedge. This is because a rising wedge is formed after a longer decline in price, and therefor the rising wedge can be seen as a consolidation formation, before further downside. Breakouts above the resistance line, is occurring 31% of the time historically. In a consolidating rising wedge. Also there is coming more this week about brexit, and can perhaps give more information about the prices direction Also there is a great deal of economic numbers with high importance coming out this week for Britain. That needs to be taken in considering. www.fxpro.co.uk
Short
by Fx-AlphaStrats
The Big Short | Putting Economic Data to the TestHello Traders, I have been fiddling with the idea of applying the same model used to predict Financial Markets to Economic Data.This is my first attempt at applying the model to such data publicly. Consider this post an experiment. Taking into consideration some fundamentals (and a little bit of rationalizing); Since the auto industry bail outs of 2008-2009 interest rates have been at a record lows(0%). Car sales reacted accordingly making a full recovery into pre 2008 levels. Now that QE and 0% interest is over (interest rates are likely to rise in the next few years), there is a bit of stagnation in the car industry as a whole. Once attractive lease offers and 0% financing is off the table a decline in sales should occur. Overall, when interest rates are high people buy less as a whole. Questionable Lending Practices: The use of Sub Prime loans in the auto industry and selling those loans as bonds has an all too familiar ring to it. Granted, it is not as rampant as it was in the mortgage industry, but the same practices of junk loans being sold as junk bonds is occurring. One does not need to be a prophet to know what the end result of that is. Take a look at this satirical piece by John Oliver for more detail: www.youtube.com Self Driving Cars: It is imminent, self driving cars are the future and can reach the everyday consumer as soon as 2020. www.nissanusa.com Why is this important? The idea of self driving cars also brings up the idea of not having to own a car to get around in one. Cars being able to move around without a driver + (UBER + Car Manufacturer Collaboration) = Less consumers having to own cars to get around in one. www.wired.com The Model: The most important aspect here is the model. Time and time again it has proven to predict and forecast financial markets with pin point precision. Here, the model points to 5.26 as the highest probability target. So...what does this all mean? If the model is successful in predicting the outcome of auto sales, it means that there will be a massive decline in auto sales. It also means that there is a great recession looming over us like a dark cloud. The ideas discussed in this thread are purely conversation topics that help "aid" the rationale behind the targets defined by the model. I do not consider myself an economist, nor do I think I have the full range of ideas listed in this thread. If you feel like you have a different outlook or if I missed something please feel free to discuss it in the comment section(with sources to back up your view). Best, Chartistry
FRED:ALTSALESShort
by GWaves
2
EURUSD outlook for the next week, waiting for NFPThe next targets could be fibo50%, to 1,120, and the next test of the trendline at 1,129, close to the 0.618 fibo important to understand if this bullish sprint really hiding something more than just a swing upward in a movement facing down... RSI+ MA seems now near a new attempt for a bullish momentum and direction.. The market movers that await euro-dollar in the coming week could therefore play a crucial role, just as has happened with the US GDP previous week..
by MANOLIS
3