USDNOK potential bearish cypher pattern Will be looking to enter a short position at 8.84658 if the cypher pattern holds up.
Stop loss is based on previous structure as indicated by the red line.
Take profit is based on Fibonacci levels.
Unfortunately the risk/reward isn't the best I've ever seen, but I will still be looking to take this trade.
Fundamentals
Aren't any particularly exciting fundamentals to support this cypher pattern, although based on the current consolidation of crude oil (Norway's economy depends strongly on oil exports) as well as uncertainty in the US economy, an up and down move is definitely not unreasonable.
Economics
Ah... China, and we've just begun - yellow line of despairWe won't be getting higher than the yellow line any time soon.
With recent events around China's "real" numbers coming in (who knows what's real anymore?) and the issues around oil production (which are NEVER going away b/c in 15 years we won't even need oil anymore), the market is in a major, structure re-evaluation phase. Why?
1. Global unease in the old model of forever growth, which is unsustainable
2. QE x 17 or whatever and people realizing that money isn't actually worth anything (currency)
3. All the old people (baby boomers) cashing in their retirement accounts so they can buy that giant bus conversion and finally go visit their grand kids.
4. Marijuana. If you want to decrease employee productivity... give it to them.
Short on US30 SELL SELL SELL !!!I personally have been short on this pair since December :)
Okay some may see this as a crazy setup but i believe US30 setup will fall to around 7000 in the next year or so
There are many reasons for this setup Fundamentals and technicals
FUNDAMENTALS
- jubilee year ?
- shemitah Year ?
- every 8 years a financial crisis
- FED raising rates to signify economy in a recession
- The possibility of QE4 ?
- A possible world disaster ?
i can keep going on in regards to such things but ill keep it short
TECHNICALS
- Price has hit a all time high and after the US30 booming for around 8 Years isit time for a change ?
- Price found strong KEY LEVEL (RES) at 18000
- Price is now down trending
- Price has put in lower high and lower lows
- Price has broken many key Trendlines
- Also price is on the verge of breaking a key level (SUP) at 16000
- If price breaks that key level we will possibly see a huge drop to the downside
I can go on abit more too but i am sure you all get the idea i am portraying
i do believe and confident of the drop too 8000/7000 :)
so here we come 8000 POINTS PROFIT ;)
Unemployment Prediction Model with Scary Accuracy!This RSI-MA Model Predicts Unemployment Rate With Scary Accuracy!
Although high unemployment usually occurs during economic recessions, it doesn't always mean that equity valuations would drop, nor does rising unemployment always mean recession.
On the monthly chart of the official national unemployment rate:
Unemployment Momentum Rising = MA6(RSI3) cross>50
Unemployment Momentum Dropping = MA6(RSI3) cross< 50