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Economy

Can the Ichimoku predict a future recession?This is a 2 week chart of BTC using the Ichimoku Cloud and past pattern with hindsight of economic conditions (Covid 19). As many economists and market specialists have been saying we are in for a massive downturn. With the FED kicking the can down the road and inflating the economy more with Bank Bailouts, will we see a deflationary regime to the global earnings as corporate companies pay higher interest rates and consumers wait for prices to drop?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by GSL20
P2P | DXY - 2.16.23Hello everyone! Thanks for being patient with the content, just finished building the studio setup so I can really dive into the markets and give in depth analysis. In this clip I will be discussing my take on DXY for the next few weeks to Q2 and Q3. As you can see the #dollar has made a significant pullback to an area of previous support, where its also trading under the most recent support. There is no news from today/tonight until Feb 21st for #DXY, I believe it will be an opportunity for the #centralbanks (Whales) to collect orders and take out any retail or liquidity. Following the accumulation into distribution phase, I'd say we could see a continuation of a #bearish dollar to hunt the biggest liquidity pool before continuing a #bullishtrend I won't be trading live until April due to some strategy testing so I hope you guys and gals can appreciate the breakdowns of the dollar. Remember, this is for you to frame your own idea around the market and use what works for your analysis. As always gang, happy trading, trade well, and lets run it up from 2023 til infinity! You can help continue to grow the page by liking and following the channel, and if you get any value from this to boost it too! DISCLAIMER ***This page is for educational purposes only and is not intended for any financial arise. I am not a financial advisor nor do I manage any other accounts for users. Any trades you take will be of your own doing and P2P will not be held responsible.***
TVC:DXYLong
by Pips2Porsches
1
Why the CPI Report Matters and Could be a Bullish Catalyst As long as inflationary expectations remained low after Jerome's last speech where he spoke about softening the increase in interest rates, which may or may not be the case, there is a good chance that inflation ticks down. This would confirm a 50bp hike for December, easing monetary policy and providing room for equities to continue their rally. While I think a lower CPI report is more likely in the near-term than a tick up in inflation, with a possible higher than 50bp increase and a decline in equites, it could go either way. Later, when the lagging effects of QT are felt, I expect a further decline in the market as discussed in my previous thesis. It is also possible that inflation stays near its current 7.7%, in which case there may not be too large of a response in equity markets tomorrow. The bigger the move in CPI, the bigger the move in equites. VIX is inching up in anticipation of this binary event. I am linking this thesis with "long" because I believe the negative CPI trend will continue and result in a near-term rally, but this is only because I feel there is a higher probability of this occurring, not that it is by any means certain. InTheMoney
AMEX:SPYLong
by InTheMoneyAdam
8
US Recession? We will Sink at least 50% For a Recession.Between the 2008 great financial housing crisis, the end of the dotcom bubble in the year 2000, the 1970s stagflation recession, and the great depression of 1929 all have one thing in common. The market retraced at least 50% from it's peak. I personally believe the US economy is in conditions for a recession that will at least sink 50% or more if we were to compare to past indicators and technical conditions of a recession. Just my opinion take it with a grain of salt. At the end of the day past is no indicator of the future. However history doesn't repeat itself it often rhymes. There's been a lot of rhymes I'm seeing. Much peace, love, health, and wealth!
SP:SPX
by peacefuljustin
5
New one family housing in US - Macro Chart & Analysis. Be very careful those who wants to buy houses, I would suggest stay liquid or park your capital somewhere you will not loose your purchasing power as we know Central Banks are printing Trillions of USD/Euros to bring back stability but at the cost of taxpayers money, they are printing more money indirectly stealing the purchasing power of people who saved their entire life. Wait for the right time i would suggest at least 6-12 months so the dust settles down.
FRED:HSN1F
by E2S100
1
My top 10 most dangerous Infectious diseasesDisclaimer: There are many diseases, and this list is my personal opinion based on several factors mostly deadliness & contagiousness. There are no infectious diseases as of now that are highly infectious and also highly deadly. Simple logic: if there was then we would all be immune to it and therefore low death rate, OR we would not exist we'd have been wiped out long ago :) Diseases we see as trivial now were probably THE VERY WORSE that wiped out huge numbers are could have ended the human race and deserve respect, but the survivors were immune to it and the rest disappeared of the gene pool, so now they are not very deadly. Important: I am not a medical doctor, not an expert in diseases, I even dropped biology as soon as I had the option in my first year of high school.
Education
by MrRenev
5
DJI -Wall Street - collapsesI had flagged that the DJI and NASDAQ were in trouble some time ago. I told everybody to 'GET READY'. Some were hypnotised by POTUS's assertions that the American economy is doing "fantastically well". Yes he said so and I have the reference. The data on ISM that triggered this plunge/correction was not brand new information at all. It's only because the ISM release went viral that there was trouble. Anybody who was anybody who was looking at non-mainstream media would have known that manufacturing and lots of other things were troubled in the US economy. Some haven't even taken note of the $23 Billion in debt as yet. Others were punching the air about low unemployment figures - which were fake. Yes fake - because they were revised down weeks after the markets had pumped north (and nobody took notice of reality). The true unemployment rates are much lower, and when that goes viral there will be even more trouble. Just to be clear - contrary to Mr Trump's opinions - the DJI is not the 'economy'. It is sentiment about 'the economy'. Right if you don't here from me again, it's because I've been locked up in an American gulag, for disagreeing with POTUS. LOL!! Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation to trade securities of any kind. Trading is a high risk activity, with 70-90% of all traders consistently losing money. Your losses are your own. Sue yourself if you lose your money.
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by Captain_Walker
The American dream is a nightmare - Trump cool aid running out.In this screencast I review briefly some headline issues that point to deep troubles affecting the American economy. I look at the Dow Transportation Index which appears to be leading Wall Street in a southward direction. My list of troubles for America is not exhaustive - so I may well have missed something of greater importance. Do share other facts if you know more. If others know of reasons for optimism on the US Economy I would be willing to learn more. So far, I've not been able to find anything of true substance to support optimism. This post is compliant with Tradingview's house rules on text-based posts.
Education
by Captain_Walker
5