S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 19, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Spooz has once again demonstrated resilience in this week's trading session by banging on Key Res 5635 and completed Inner Index Rally 5642. This week's achievement was also the completion of Inner Index Rally 5668. The prevailing price action suggests a continuous primary decline toward the Mean Support at 5449 and a conceivable extension to the Mean Support at 5420. Anticipation surrounds a prompt recovery after attaining these targets, directing the price toward the designated target of Mean Resistance at 5567, with a conceivable extension to Key Resistance at 5666 in the impending week's trading session.
Economy
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 19, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar exhibited a notable surge once again, exceeding the Mean Resistance level of 1.090 and the previously attained Inner Currency Rally of 1.091, ultimately reaching this week's Inner Currency Rally of 1.094. The prevailing analysis indicates a sustained downward movement towards Mean Sup 1.086 and its corresponding Mean Sup 1.081. The concluded downward movements are anticipated to yield an initial interim rebound, such as Mean Res 1.086.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 19, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has consistently demonstrated an upward trend in the current week's trading, aligning with the projections outlined in the Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of July 12. Both the Mean Resistance level at 60400 and the subsequent Mean Resistance level at 62800 were not only reached but surpassed greatly. The overall trajectory is progressing towards the long-anticipated target of the Outer Coin Rally at 92000. Concurrently, two significant interim milestones have emerged: the Inner Coin Rally at 70400 and a retest of the completed Main Inner Coin Rally at 73300. It is imperative to underscore the substantial downward primary squeeze pressure toward 64000, prevalent across all specified upper target levels.
$JPIRYY -Japan Inflation Rate YoYECONOMICS:JPIRYY (March/2024)
The annual inflation rate in Japan ticked lower to 2.7% in March 2024 from February's 3-month peak of 2.8%, matching market consensus.
There were slowdowns in prices of transport (2.9% vs 3.0% in February), clothes (2.0% vs 2.6%), furniture & household utensils (3.2% vs 5.1%), healthcare (1.5% vs 1.8%), communication (0.2% vs 1.4%), and culture & recreation (7.2% vs 7.3%).
At the same time, inflation was stable for food (at 4.8%), housing (at 0.6%), education (at 1.3%), and miscellaneous (at 1.1%).
Meanwhile, prices of fuel, and light dropped the least in a year (-1.7% vs -3.0%), with electricity (-1.0% and -2.5%) and gas (-7.1% vs -9.4%) falling at softer paces as energy subsidies from the government would fully end in May.
The core inflation rate fell to 2.6% from a four-month top of 2.8%, slightly below forecasts of 2.7%. Monthly, consumer prices rose by 0.2% in March, the most since last October, after being flat in the prior two months.
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
$EUINTR - Highest Level since 2000The European Central Bank raised Interest Rates by a Quarter of a percentage point Thursday, judging that Inflation remains too High ;
even as data points to a deepening economic downturn in the 20 countries that use the euro.
The move takes the benchmark rate in the euro area to 3.75%, the highest since October 2000.
$GBIRYY - CPI (YoY)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY 2.3% (April/2024)
source: Office for National Statistics
The annual inflation rate in the UK eased to 2.3% in April 2024,
the lowest since July 2021, compared to 3.2% in March and market forecasts of 2.1%.
The largest downward pressure came from falling gas (-37.5% vs -26.5% in March) and electricity (-21% vs -13%) cost, due to the lowering of the Office of Gas and Electricity Markets (Ofgem) energy price cap in April.
At the same time, prices slowed for food (2.9%, the lowest since November 2021 vs 4%) and recreation and culture (4.4% vs 5.3%).
On the other hand, the largest, partially offsetting, upward contribution came from cost of motor fuels.
The average price of petrol rose by 3.3 pence per litre between March and April 2024 to stand at 148.1 pence per litre, up from 145.8 pence per litre in April 2023. Prices also rose faster for restaurants and hotels (6% vs 5.8%) and miscellaneous goods and services (3.6% vs 3.4%).
Compared to the previous month, the CPI rose 0.3%.
Shipping prices increasing, Oil going lower, cancel each other?By the graph included, we can see that Asian container freight rate prices are skyrocketing. This is due to disruption & stock.
This is good sign for the overall economy, means not in recession.
With news that Trump is being called the next prez will #oil trend lower?
Maybe one can offset the other?
LSE:INDU SP:SPX NASDAQ:NDX AMEX:USO
$CNGDPQQ -China's GDP (QoQ)ECONOMICS:CNGDPQQ (Q2/2024)
- The Chinese economy expanded 4.7% yoy in Q2 2024, missing market forecasts of 5.1% and slowing from a 5.3% growth in Q1.
It was the weakest advance since Q1 2023, amid a persistent property downturn, weak domestic demand, falling yuan, and trade frictions with the West.
In June, retail sales rose the least in near 1-1/2 years while industrial output growth was at a 3-month low.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Spooz has again demonstrated resilience in this week's trading session, advancing to the next Outer Index Rally 6515 and completing the newly created Inner Index Rally 5642. The current price action suggests a primary squeeze to Mean Sup 5577 and a secondary squeeze to Mean Sup 5535. The additional supplemental squeeze target 5449 cannot be discounted.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current week's trading session, the Eurodollar has demonstrated a substantial surge, surpassing the Mean Resistance level of 1.085 and reaching the designated target of Mean Res 1.090 and the previously completed Inner Currency Rally of 1.091. The prevailing analysis suggests a potential downward movement for the Euro toward the Mean Support level of 1.086, with additional extensions identified at Mean Support levels of 1.081 and 1.078, respectively.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Over the course of this week's trading, Bitcoin has continuously traded within the range of the completed Outer Coin Dip of 54000 and the Mean Resistance level at 57900. Our analysis anticipates a potential breakout from this fluctuation zone, implying upward movement toward the Mean Resistance level at 60400 and possibly further to the subsequent Mean Resistance level at 62800. It is important to note the presence of potential downward squeeze pressure at the specified target level.
$DXY -Decisive Move Around the Corner !!! Dollar Index TVC:DXY on the cusp of making a major move TA speaking ;
(100.8 or 110)
- To the upside starting currently by jumping at 200EMA and breaking recent highs within pattern while facing strong resistance just above on Range Ceiling(105) and last Highs of 107(ChoCh).
- Either falling off a cliff headed in to re-visiting Range Bottom of 100.82 (Swing/Positioning)
Fundamentally speaking ;
Would be a great move to the Upside for TVC:DXY Fundamentally speaking,
resulting so on SHORTING anti-correlated assets, such as EUR/USD and other FX pairs.
Must be time for TVC:DXY to strengthen even more, makes sense ,,
otherwise Recession is just ahead !
On headlines ,
CPI ECONOMICS:USIRYY is coming lower,
with economists awaiting Fed Cuts ECONOMICS:USINTR cuts by end year.
However, worth mentioning is that wealth hedges such as TVC:GOLD continues to be stocked up in piles of tonnes from China ECONOMICS:CNGRES and not only;
China's Wealthy Class is also in the process of purchasing pure physical Gold
*** NOTE
This is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research with your own diligence and
consult your own Financial Advisor
before partaking on any trading activity
with your hard earned money based solely on this Idea.
Ideas being released are published for my own trading speculation and
journaling needed to be clear on different asset classes price action.
$USIRYY -CPI# *M print (post AA+)- Awaiting CPI# numbers readings for ECONOMICS:USIRYY on August 10th (today) post US being Down-Graded to AA +.
While on the 9th of August ECONOMICS:CNIRYY came deflationary on the other side of the world
Consensus sits at 3.1% (0.1% increase) and some to 0.3% increase at 3.3% for ECONOMICS:USIRYY
Economists forecast Inflation rising up again on a steady pace
for the rest of 2023 and the entering of 2024 for coming down YoY from 9.1% to 3%
On the last ECONOMICS:USINTR Rate Hike Decisions following a Month of Breath,
our pal,
Jerome Powell stated during his speech regarding Fed's seeing
inflation coming up on months to come not being total uder control.
This was aswell one of many reasons they didn't felt
confident to stop the Rate Hiking .
He aswell stated that Federal Reserve does not see Inflation coming down to their
Target Norm of 2% CPI by 2025, and they fimrly prompt a 'Soft Landing'.
How about another joke, Powell !
It's not about Money ,
its about sending a Message .
Everything Burn ...
TRADE SAFE
*** Note that this is not Financial Advice
Please do your own research and consult your own financial advisor
before partaking on any trading activity based solely on this idea.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Spooz has demonstrated resilience in the abbreviated trading week, achieving our long-anticipated Outer Index Rally 5560 target. The current price action suggests attaining the primary target of the Next Outer Index Rally at 5615. Nevertheless, the prospect of a rapid decline to the Mean Support level at 5515 cannot be discounted.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar has surpassed the Mean Resistance level of 1.074 and is currently positioned below the Mean Resistance level of 1.085. The present analysis indicates a potential down movement for the Euro to the Mean Resistance level of 1.078 and subsequently decrease to the Mean Support level of 1.074. However, it is essential to acknowledge the potential for an upward extension towards the Mean Resistance level of 1.090.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has retraced to our pre-established completed Inner Coin Dip level of 59000, Outer Coin Dip of 57000, and current Outer Coin level of 54000. We anticipate a recovery from this landmark move, with a target to attain the Mean Resistance at 57900 and extend to the Mean Resistance at 60400. Conversely, our principal downside objectives encompass a retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip 54000 and potentially the subsequent Outer Coin Dip 51000.
July Economic Calendar - IMPORTANT EventsIt’s going to be a busy month for the Chair of the Fed (Jerome Powell), who delivers a speech today and then will testify later this month in front of Congress to provide updates on monetary policy decisions. Will we gain clarity on the timing of potential rate cuts this year, and if they are even being considered?
Crypto in June - How BTC responds
June saw significant volatility across the crypto market. Bitcoin fluctuated between price highs above $70,000 and lows of around $60,000, with substantial movement around 4 June when Bitcoin peaked above $71,000, before declining on 6 June and continuing a downward trend and falling to levels last seen in May. ETH and altcoins followed along, with Ethereum down approximately 11% in June . Pulling it back to the US markets, some analysts argue that the fluctuations was largely driven by uncertainty surrounding inflation data. The drop to $60k could likely be due to the reducing likelihood of multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve Bank this year, contrary to earlier investor anticipations (causing hesitation and a cautious approach).
Upcoming Events that could Affect Markets:
❗ Tuesday, 2 July 📢 Jerome Powell speech
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will provide an economic overview today, outlining current monetary policies. He will answers questions and the outcome of this speech can significantly impact financial markets and investor sentiment.
❗Wednesday, 3 July 📢 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
The upcoming FOMC minutes are expected to provide more details on the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged, and its revised economic projections. Key points could include the reasons behind the more hawkish stance on rate cuts, and the implications of updated forecasts for unemployment and inflation.
❗Friday, 5 July📢 US Unemployment Rate
The US unemployment rate is a key indicator of economic health, influencing consumer spending, corporate profits and the social sentiment. During May the US jobs sector added 272,000 jobs, further casting doubt on the rate cuts in the US this year.
❗Tuesday, 9 July 📢 Fed Chair Powell testimony
Jerome Powell is set to discuss the state of the economy, monetary policy decisions, and also outline future policy intentions in his twice-a-year testimony in front of Congress.
❗Thursday, 11 July 📢 US Inflation Figures
The year-on-year and month-on-month inflation numbers provide crucial insights into purchasing power trends, influencing market expectations for interest rates and the overall economic outlook. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 0.2% in May, the smallest advance in core CPI since October 2023.
Take extra caution when over the next few weeks as volatility will be likely depending on the outcome of these events.
_______________________
ECONOMICS:USINTR FRED:UNRATE ECONOMICS:USIRYY
Bitcoin Performance - Trump vs BidenThis is a follow up to the Stock Market Propaganda graphic that has been going around stating the markets performed better under Biden vs Trump.
This is an outright lie.
I posted a chart yesterday on the Bitcoin performance for each President's time, but I mixed the dates up due to my lack of sleep with my newborn so reposting now.
(TV doesn't let you delete ideas)
After re-analyzing, Bitcoin actually performed 3,822% better with Trump!
Don't believe the lies that are being spread. DYOR!
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 28, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Spooz has exhibited marked downward price action during this week's trading session, swiftly descending on the last trading day of the week from our designated Key Resistance level of 5488. It displays distinctive interim bearish price action characteristics, targeting Mean Support levels at 5449 and 5420. Anticipated renewed upward movement is expected from one of these specified price targets.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 28, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading session, the Eurodollar gyrated back and forth between our Mean Res 1.074 and Mean Sup 1.067. Currently, it is performing a dead cat rebound back to the completed Mean Res 1.074 target; However, the possibility of a sudden downturn to the first designated extension, termed as the completed Inner Currency Dip at 1.060, cannot be discounted.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 28, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has declined to our predetermined Mean Support and Next Inner Coin Dip levels of 60700 and 66500, respectively. We anticipate a rebound from this point, aiming to reach the Mean Resistance at 62500 and Inner Coin Rally level at 63300, with potential for further upward movement. Conversely, our downside targets encompass revisiting the completed Inner Coin Dip at 59000 and the completed Outer Coin Dip at 57000.
Unemployment & The Coming RecessionOnce the Unemployment Rate crosses the 36 mo MA this has historically marked a period of
a coming Recession. As you can tell from the RSI indicator we entered into this phase a few months ago.
I'm posting this chart because tomorrow Biden is going to tell everyone how great the Economy is doing (wait for it), but the Unemployment Chart indicates we have officially moved into the "Recession" category and there is nothing on the horizon that says this situation is going to be improving, in fact, millions of illegal aliens now flooding into the country indicates the situation will be getting much worse. Banks will begin seizing a record number of properties in foreclosures and bankruptcies as the Unemployment Rate continues upward thanks to the plans they implemented. These periods of "Boom and Bust" are completely fabricated through the policies they implement. There is no reason why this chart shouldn't be mostly a steady line with minor hills and valleys in what would be considered a growing and healthy economy. Also note the Unemployment Rate has never returned back to it's 1972 levels following the removal of the Gold Standard in 1971 by Nixon.
Nasdaq Slapped- Like u saw yesterday, BTC dipped but the main reason for now is just the global economy being worst.
- Nasdaq Companies made big % lost yesterday - here the main list - www.cnbc.com
- The Covid19 caused a fast dip followed by a mega pump based on stimulus (brrrrr), now the real dip is ongoing.
----------------------------------
Trading Part ( Long Term )
----------------------------------
- Buy 1 : 12,000$
- Rebuy : 10,500$ - 11,000$
TP : before 20,000$
----------------------------------
- This Analyze of course can be faked by a strong money printing (Brrrrrrrrrrrr)
Happy Tr4Ding and St4y Safe !