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EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 9, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook: The euro-dollar price movement followed our projections as stated on Daily Chart Analysis For the Week of June 2 - the price action hit our initial upside target of Mean Res 1.076. The continuation of the pivotal rebound is expected to push to Mean Res 1.082 this week, following through the pivot move that will take us to Mean Sup 1.068 and possibly two extensions to fulfill our target next Inner Currency Dip 1.047 ultimately. Viewing the Pivotal Down Move prediction is based on the current price action, notwithstanding confirmation from the Trade Selector that will be given before implementing any strategies.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 9, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook: The coin has reached the Retest Dip price furiously banging on our completed Inner Coin Dip of $25,800 and Mean Sup $25,700 with follow-up today (Sat., June 10). However, we anticipate a significant shift in the market with the Restart of the Pivotal Rally, which could lead to a return to the mean Res $27,300 or even Mean Res $28,250. In the event of failure, the Continuation of the Down Trend will target our Outer Coin Dip of $23,950.Viewing the Pivotal rally prediction is based on the current price action, notwithstanding confirmation from the Trade Selector that will be given before implementing any strategies.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
Global Economy RecapGood day traders. International news recap. This recap has a high probability of influencing the international economic trends for the next six months. First, let us look at the trade balance of Mainland China, which stands at 452.3 billion yuan, compared to the previous value of 618.4 billion yuan (decreased by 26%). Furthermore, the trade balance in terms of the US dollar is 65.8 billion dollars, compared to the previous value of 90.2 billion dollars (decreased by 27%). From this, we can see a weakening in Mainland China's trade volume by a quarter. It's a big decline! Moving on to the United States, the trade balance for April is negative 74.6 billion dollars, compared to the previous value of negative 64.2 billion dollars. Declined by 16%! This indicates a weakening in US trade as well. I sense signs of an economic recession. However, Mainland China is quick to act. Today, they have lowered the deposit interest rates by 10-15 basis points, injecting liquidity into the market to stimulate the economy. Today is the 9th, and next week we should pay attention to the US CPI data (inflation data), as well as Wednesday's interest rate decision. According to CME's assessment of the probability of the Federal Reserve not raising interest rates on the 14th June stands at 78%. Conclusion: If next Tuesday's CPI data meets expectations or is lower than expected, coupled with no interest rate hike at 2PM on Wednesday, then gold, stock markets, and the cryptocurrency market will experience a short-term increase. However, in the medium to long term, we should be mentally prepared. The yield spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury bonds has reached 0.775%. Both Mainland China and the United States are experiencing a decrease in their trade balances, indicating signs of economic weakness. Recession MAY happen. For reference.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by INFINITY8CADEMY
$BTC - Bulls vs Bears All you need to know about #bitcoin and where it's at , Fundamentally and TA speaking ; Fundamentally, there is a mixed feeling between Bulls and Bears. They both have their solid case ; Recently #bitcoin has been fueled in price by the Banking Crisis which is likely to continue, and Feds may be on no support of banks bailout, as the US Debt Ceiling has reached it's climax and Congress seem to be very against expanding it furthermore. All this Banking Craze might give #Bitcoin a real Bullish fundamental case when it comes to being applied as ; ' Be your own Bank ' ... adding in to that, Technical Case of TA with 19.6K holding so far as a Higher Low from 15K (which indicates a bullish uptrend momentum and a speculative Bottom there compared to previous Halving Cycles) While with Bears on the other side foreseeing incoming looming times for Financial Markets and a US Recession or a Global One (with BRICS coming forth united) adding high risk to TVC:DXY as a Global Reserve Currency. China and Russia have been purchasing Gold heavily past year and ongoing through 2023 Bears have a real case as well as we've seen #bitcoin being highly correlated to Equities Sector of Wall Street, so it won't escape their gravity pull on Bearish Momentum. Whatever happens between Bulls VS Bears that is yet to be seen. 2023 has been so far the year of OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) and other precious metals due to Macro Economic Risks, Banks Meltdown, and Geo Politics (BRICS and Russia vs Ukraine ongoing war) Bitcoin being an deflationary asset in it's nature , has out-performed them YTD with a high of 72% ROI . Future belongs to the Bulls alongside deflationary assets.
by Mr_J__fx
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 2, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook: The curtailed by US holiday trading week did not surprise us; see Daily Chart Analysis For the Week of May 26. On Tuesday, after hitting our initial target Outer Index Rally 4230 and weeding out the weak longs a day later, the swift rebound on Thursday retested the 4230 again, followed up on Friday by completing our second target of extended Outer Index Rally 4285. The next upside target is major Key Res 4330 and, down the road, extended Outer Index Rally 4412. The pivotal 4230, as tooted a few weeks ago, was ultimately canceled due to price action turning south prematurely on Friday, May 19, and not confirmed by Trade Selecter's targeted movement. On the downside, the price action might take us to Mean Sup 4180; however, the upswing to Key Res 4330, within the highest probability, will emerge first.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
4
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 2, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook: In our Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of May 26, the euro-dollar price movement followed our projections perfectly. On May 31, the price hit our initial down target of Inner Currency Dip 1.064, followed by a dead cat bounces to our Mean Res 1.075 target last Friday. The retest of the completed Inner Currency Dip 1.064 is in progress, with the strong possibility of falling further to Mean Sup 1.054.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 2, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's session, the coin has achieved the projected prices of Mean Res $27,500 and Mean Res $28,750 as outlined in the Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of May 26. Based on the current price action, the coin will likely test the Inner Coin Dip of $25,800 and potentially make a significant drop to the Outer Coin Dip of $23,950. The upside potential will address the Mean Res $28,250 as a ''Do That To Me One More Time''.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 26, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook: This week's index did not surprise us with the swift rebound (Mean Sup 4110) and continued the reignited rally as specified in a previous couple of weeks of daily chart analysis. The price action is expected to reach our primary destination of the Outer Index Rally at 4230 and possible extension to Outer Index Rally 4285 and Major Key Res 4310. The pivotal at 4230 is not expected at this time unless confirmed by Trade Selecter price action within this upcoming trading week session - stay tuned.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 26, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook: This week's eurodollar price action was lower, and the current trading pattern suggests the designated target of the Inner Currency Dip is 1.064 in the making, as indicated in last week's daily chart analysis, with the possibility of falling further to Mean Sup 1.054. We also anticipate a quick rebound to Mean Res 1.075 with the potential to reach Mean Res 1.082 upon completion of its main target.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 19, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook: Throughout the week, the coin's prices remained relatively stable, fluctuating between the Completed Inner Coin Dip of $25,800 and the Mean Res of $27,650. However, the emergence of a new, less significant Mean Sup of $26,750 indicates the possibility of a drop in price to the Inner Coin Dip of $25,800 or even lower to the Outer Coin Dip of $23,950. Conversely, there is currently no indication of an increase in price action to and beyond the Mean Res of $27,650 and $28,250.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
💥 WORLD ECONOMY: ...big drop is coming? 😡Amazon rarely delays deliveries, but I ordered the crystal ball over 30 years ago and it still hasn't arrived! 😢😂 ...So, I don't know what will really happen in the coming months, but what we can do right now is try to make some considerations. The chart above represents the DJ Transportation Index , an excellent "thermometer" of US economy. If we look at a monthly time frame, we see that a deep pullback appeared after a structure with "Wave 1 Extension", so we cannot exclude that it could happen again. At the same time however, we see that the Price Action has reached an important static support around 14,000, and only its failure could confirm a bearish leg with a first target around 11,000, obviously we are talking about a monthly chart, so to confirm this hypothesis, we have to wait until the end of the month. In this historical context, many things could change in global economy, and the geopolitical situation is one of the main actors of this period. Inflation, the war in Ukraine, wide social gap, the dollar crisis, are all key factors that could still lead to uncertainty in the medium term. INFLATION and THE PRICE WAR We are well aware that a large part of the developed economy is struggling with rising prices, and even if inflation in the U.S. and in Europe it is driven by different reasons, Central Banks are using the same tools (are they wrong??) of monetary policy, , but something could change in the coming months. The most important Central Bank (Federal Reserve) could face a diabolical "pincer", because the danger of hyperinflation is the same as a potential stagflation. Thanks for your attention. A.B. ❤
DJ:DJT
by TheAnonymousBanker
"De-Dollarization" is coming...?The U.S. dollar has dominated global trade and capital flows over many decades. However, many nations are looking for alternatives to the greenback to reduce their dependence on the United States. This graphic catalogs the rise of the U.S. dollar as the dominant international reserve currency, and the recent efforts by various nations to de-dollarize and reduce their dependence on the U.S. financial system. The United States became, almost overnight, the leading financial power after World War I. The country entered the war only in 1917 and emerged far stronger than its European counterparts. As a result, the dollar began to displace the pound sterling as the international reserve currency and the U.S. also became a significant recipient of wartime gold inflows. The dollar then gained a greater role in 1944, when 44 countries signed the Bretton Woods Agreement, creating a collective international currency exchange regime pegged to the U.S. dollar which was, in turn, pegged to the price of gold. By the late 1960s, European and Japanese exports became more competitive with U.S. exports. There was a large supply of dollars around the world, making it difficult to back dollars with gold. President Nixon ceased the direct convertibility of U.S. dollars to gold in 1971. This ended both the gold standard and the limit on the amount of currency that could be printed. Although it has remained the international reserve currency, the U.S. dollar has increasingly lost its purchasing power since then. Russia and China’s Steps Towards De-Dollarization Concerned about America’s dominance over the global financial system and the country’s ability to ‘weaponize’ it, other nations have been testing alternatives to reduce the dollar’s hegemony. As the United States and other Western nations imposed economic sanctions against Russia in response to its invasion of Ukraine, Moscow and the Chinese government have been teaming up to reduce reliance on the dollar and to establish cooperation between their financial systems. Since the invasion in 2022, the ruble-yuan trade has increased eighty-fold. Russia and Iran are also working together to launch a cryptocurrency backed by gold, according to Russian news agency Vedmosti. In addition, central banks (especially Russia’s and China’s) have bought gold at the fastest pace since 1967 as countries move to diversify their reserves away from the dollar. How Other Countries are Reducing Dollar Dependence De-dollarization it’s a theme in other parts of the world: - In recent months, Brazil and Argentina have discussed the creation of a common currency for the two largest economies in South America. - In a conference in Singapore in January, multiple former Southeast Asian officials spoke about de-dollarization efforts underway. - The UAE and India are in talks to use rupees to trade non-oil commodities in a shift away from the dollar, according to Reuters. - For the first time in 48 years, Saudi Arabia said that the oil-rich nation is open to trading in currencies besides the U.S. dollar. Despite these movements, few expect to see the end of the dollar’s global sovereign status anytime soon. Currently, central banks still hold about 60% of their foreign exchange reserves in dollars. What will happen to the dollar in the next few years? What is your opinion? Like if my analysis is useful. Cheers!
TVC:DXY
by TheAnonymousBanker
7