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Bitcoin: Bullish Until 90K Is Broken.Bitcoin has found support in the low 90K area (read my previous week's analysis). As long as 90K stays intact it is within reason to continue to have bullish expectations. Also wrote in the previous article that overly optimistic expectations are not in line with the developing price structure. Based on the inside bar formation that is developing now (see arrow), price is likely to test the 102,500 area minor resistance. IF it gets there, and what happens after is anyone's GUESS. The idea here is to be prepared for the coming week by coming to the market with a sense of context while at the same time being open to ANYTHING. The market decides what actually happens, the only thing we can do is adjust and follow. I like to think of everything within a limited range of scenarios. "If this scenario, then that" or "if this other scenario, then that other outcome". For example, IF the current candle closes as a doji and the high is cleared over the next day, price is likely to squeeze into the next resistance area which happens to be in the 102Ks (see thin rectangle). This information can help you to prepare for bullish setups and confirmations on smaller time frames to capture a portion of the 4K point potential. This is where a confirmation tool like my Trade Scanner Po comes into play. You come to the market with an idea and the tool provides an objective confirmation with defined risk and profit objective. IF the current candle develops into a bearish engulfing instead, that would cancel out the bullish idea and increase the likelihood of price retesting the 90K AREA support zone. A location where long setups should be anticipated UNTIL the level is compromised. Again the market moves first, and then from there we can better anticipate the following movement. At this point there is not much to do but wait for a confirmation one way or the other. The 100K area may also act as a psychological resistance so taking swing trades or positions with longer time horizons carries a lot more risk compared to signals around the low 90ks. How you navigate the market depends heavily on the time horizon you choose. Smaller time horizons have smaller associated risk, but a larger amount of noise and false signals. Larger time frames are less noisy and offer larger movements, but the risk is much greater. It is possible to operate on multiple time frames but requires a decent amount of experience. And while Bitcoin is still generally bullish, that does not mean it will stay that way. It is better to keep an open mind than to get married to an opinion ESPECIALLY if the source of that opinion came from some "expert". For better perspective, keep an eye on the weekly or monthly time frame. If the low of the current monthly candle is compromised, some kind of corrective move is likely to follow, NOT BTC 1.2 million. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
29
Bitcoin: Entering New Presidential CycleCharts are essential, but it’s equally important to stay aware of major events that can significantly impact markets. Alongside this, I’ll share some theoretical insights. Market During Presidencies: The chart tracks the S&P 500’s growth on a logarithmic scale, highlighting U.S. presidential terms by party since 1933. Blue areas represent Democrat presidencies, and red areas indicate Republican presidencies. It shows that the market has grown steadily over time, despite fluctuations tied to economic cycles, policies, and global events. Key trends include significant growth during Clinton and Obama presidencies (dot-com boom, post-2008 recovery) and slower growth during Nixon and Carter presidencies. The chart also reflects recent market gains under Trump and Biden, despite challenges like the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, it demonstrates consistent long-term market growth under both political parties, driven by a mix of policies and external factors. PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE "Presidential Cycle" in trading refers to a theory that financial markets tend to follow a recurring pattern tied to the four-year term of U.S. presidential administrations. This cycle is based on the idea that government policies and political events during a president’s term can influence economic conditions and market behavior in predictable ways. PHASES: Post-Election Year Stock Market: New or re-elected presidents introduce reforms that may unsettle markets. Slower growth and higher volatility are common as policies stabilize. ₿ Market: Historically, Bitcoin has experienced significant growth following U.S. presidential elections. For instance, after the 2016 election, Bitcoin’s price increased by over 2,500% in the subsequent year. Potential Impact: The resolution of electoral uncertainty typically restores market stability. Additionally, newly introduced policies can foster investor confidence, making alternative assets like Bitcoin more appealing. If these policies are crypto-friendly, they could accelerate Bitcoin adoption and drive price appreciation. Midterm Year Stock Market: Midterm elections create political uncertainty, often causing market corrections. The second half of the year typically sees recovery as clarity improves. ₿ Market: Bitcoin may experience corrections or slower growth during midterm years. For example, in 2018, Bitcoin’s price declined significantly, aligning with the midterm election period. Potential Impact: Midterm elections can lead to shifts in political power, creating regulatory uncertainty for the crypto market. This could deter institutional investors or slow Bitcoin’s momentum. However, as the political landscape becomes clearer, the market could stabilize, potentially paving the way for future growth. Pre-Election Year Stock Market: Historically the strongest year, with administrations boosting the economy. Market-friendly policies lead to stronger performance and public support. ₿ Market: Pre-election years have often been bullish for Bitcoin. In 2019, Bitcoin’s price saw substantial gains, rising from around $3,700 in January to over $13,000 by June. Potential Impact: Increased government spending and the anticipation of policy changes often stimulate economic activity, benefiting risk-on assets like Bitcoin. This optimism can lead to higher investor participation and significant price increases as the market factors in favorable policy expectations. Election Year Stock Market: Election uncertainty heightens volatility, but clarity post-election boosts markets. Performance depends on the perceived business-friendliness of leading candidates. ₿ Market: Bitcoin has shown mixed reactions during election years. In 2020, despite initial volatility, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high post-election, suggesting that the resolution of political uncertainty can positively influence its price. Potential Impact: The election outcome often dictates the regulatory direction for cryptocurrencies. A pro-crypto administration could fuel optimism and attract new investors, while stricter regulations could introduce headwinds. Regardless, the post-election clarity often drives market confidence, benefiting Bitcoin’s valuation. Chronological Flow of Events Fueling Bitcoin’s Exponential Growth Shift to CFTC Regulation Trump proposed moving crypto regulation from the SEC to the CFTC, creating a friendlier environment to foster innovation and boost investor confidence. Institutional and Retail Adoption Bitcoin became accessible through retirement accounts and ETFs, driving demand from both institutions and retail investors. Market Sentiment and Musk’s Influence Endorsements from Elon Musk (Trump's circle) sparked optimism, fueling rallies and increasing crypto adoption. Geopolitical Competition The U.S. aimed to lead the crypto space, countering China’s dominance and stabilizing Bitcoin’s market. Trump’s Bitcoin Strategic Reserve A proposed U.S. Bitcoin reserve would position it alongside gold, boosting demand and global legitimacy. J.D. Vance’s Proposal to Devalue the U.S. Dollar Vance’s plan to weaken the dollar to boost exports contrasts sharply with Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21m coins, which makes it an inflation-resistant alternative to fiat currencies. Bitcoin’s finite supply and decentralized nature make it a strong hedge during monetary policy uncertainty, further solidifying its role as a store of value. Vance’s proposal inadvertently highlights the vulnerabilities of fiat currencies, positioning Bitcoin as a compelling alternative in a volatile economic landscape. Holiday Effect Bitcoin’s performance is influenced by alignment of market sentiment, economic factors, and geopolitical events with holiday seasonality known as the “holiday effect” during major holidays like Christmas and New Year. 🏛️ FEDERAL RESERVE The Federal Reserve operates independently of the President and Congress, focusing on economic goals like controlling inflation, maintaining employment, and ensuring stability. While the President appoints members to the Board of Governors, these appointments require Senate confirmation and fixed terms, insulating monetary policy from political influence. This structure safeguards long-term economic stability and credibility. Donald Trump’s pro-crypto stance faces significant challenges due to the Federal Reserve’s autonomy and cautious approach to cryptocurrencies. The Fed has historically expressed skepticism about decentralized assets, citing concerns over financial stability, regulatory risks, and potential misuse. Instead, it prioritizes initiatives like Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), such as a digital dollar, which could compete with cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. This divergence underscores a conflict of goals: pro-crypto policies encourage innovation and adoption, while the Fed views decentralized cryptocurrencies as a challenge to its control over monetary policy and the U.S. dollar’s global reserve currency status. Additionally, the Fed collaborates with other regulatory agencies, like the SEC and Treasury, which have traditionally taken a cautious stance on cryptocurrencies. Ultimately, while Trump’s policies may boost private crypto adoption and innovation, the Federal Reserve’s focus on financial stability and its own priorities, like CBDCs, limits the broader impact of these policies. This highlights the difficulty of aligning political aspirations with the Fed’s institutional priorities.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by fract
14
HOVR Heading For New Horizons?! Cup & Handle Set-UpLets break down NASDAQ:HOVR on the Daily Chart! Price from Mid-Sept to Early-Dec outlined the "Bowl" of the Cup and on Dec. 11th, Price made the Retracement to the Golden Ratio Zone to start the "Handle"! Today we have Price printing a STRONG Bullish Candle Breaking the Confirmation of the Cup & Handle Pattern @ .8799! Fundamentally, NASDAQ:HOVR secured a $8.4 Million investment from an "unnamed investor" to help with the advancement of the Hybrid Electric Vertical Take-off Aircraft, the Cavorite X7. -https://www.tradingview.com/news/mtnewswires.com:20241220:A3286797:0/ *In order for the Pattern to be Validated, WAIT for Price to Close above Confirmation @ .8799, then we will expect Price to come back down to Retest the Break @ ( .8900 - .8799 ), THEN the Pattern is Validated and we can look for Buying Opportunities!! Indicators: -RSI Above 50 -BBTrend Printing Green Bars -Bullish Volume Building
NLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
9
SPY Triple Bottom, Rally time?!AMEX:SPY SP:SPX I'd really like us to end the week above $580 in order to have this either Double or Triple bottom friends! I could see a flash crash down to fill the price GAP at $574.81 as well. Either way from what I'm seeing on the TVC:VIX , Economic numbers, and the charts I believe we are getting close to a bottom friends. Consolidate down to only the best names until we receive that confirmation. They did a fake out today and another FED putting FUD into the market didn't help with the GDP projection. Not financial advice.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RonnieV29
31
Nasdaq - This Can Still Be A Fakeout!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is starting to slow down: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 A couple of months ago, the Nasdaq perfectly broke above the channel resistance trendline again, attempting the creation of another parabolic rally. However bulls are not flexing their muscles properly so this breakout attempt could still turn into a devastating fakeout. Levels to watch: $20.000, $17.000, $30.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQShort
by basictradingtv
37
The Best Correction for Tesla We’ve Seen in Months 🚀 The Best Correction for Tesla We’ve Seen in Months – Targeting $486! 🚀 📊 Trade Setup: Entry Price: $380 Take Profit 1: $418.19 (previous support) Take Profit 2: $486 (recent high) Stop Loss: $350 (below the trend line) 📈 Analysis: Tesla has seen its best correction in months, providing an incredible buy opportunity at a discount. The price recently hit a support level on the bullish trend line and is now showing early signs of upward movement. With a strong uptrend still in place, we’re looking for a potential move towards the previous support at $418.19 and ultimately the recent high at $486. 🎯 Targets: $418.19: Previous support zone $486: Recent high, key resistance level 🔹 Risk Management: Stop loss set at $350, safely below the trend line, ensuring proper risk control. ⚡ Are you ready to ride the bullish trend with Tesla? Drop your thoughts below! ⚡
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ValchevFinance
30
Trading Resolutions for the New Year (and How to Stick to Them)Ah, the New Year. A time of hope, fresh starts, and wildly ambitious resolutions. We sit down, crack open a new trading journal, and swear this is the year we’ll stop taking impulse trades on hot meme coins at 3 AM or doubling down on losing positions because “It’s gotta bounce soon, right?” Making trading resolutions is easy. Yes, we saw your entries to the Holiday Giveaway and we wish everyone to go above and beyond in hitting those lofty goals in 2025 (special props to the fellow trader who wants to run his account to a billion dollars!) But sticking to those goals? That’s where the challenge begins. If you’re ready to finally conquer the trading year ahead, here are some resolutions you can (and should) keep—and how to actually make them stick. 1️⃣ Cut Losses Quicker (Yes, Really This Time) Every trader knows the pain of watching a small loss snowball into a catastrophe or even a whole wipeout of the account. “I’ll just hold it a little longer,” you say, convincing yourself that the market will reverse out of sympathy. Cutting losses quickly is one of the oldest rules in trading. “Losers average losers,” says the poster on the office wall of Paul Tudor Jones, a legendary macro trader. No one likes admitting they were wrong. But the reality is, being wrong is part of the game. The trick isn’t avoiding losses altogether but managing them so they don’t tank your account. A quick exit preserves capital and keeps you in the game for the next opportunity. By cutting losses early, you avoid the mental drain of watching a red position fester. Traders who master this skill not only protect their balance but also their confidence, knowing they have the discipline to make hard decisions when needed. 💡 What You Can Do in 2025 : Set hard stop losses and respect them like they’re your boss. The less room you leave for emotion, the more disciplined you’ll become. Backtest your strategy with strict stop-loss rules and track how often timely exits would have saved you. The data might just convince you. 2️⃣ Stop Revenge Trading—It’s Not Personal We’ve all been there. One bad trade spirals, and suddenly you’re out to “get back at it.” Next thing you know, you’re over-leveraging into positions that make no sense, trading assets you’ve never touched before, and whispering, “If I could double my profit here…” Revenge trading is the quickest way to derail your entire strategy. It turns a calculated endeavor into emotional gambling. The market doesn’t care about you, for better or worse. It’s not out to get you. And trying to settle the score rarely ends well. In fact, it often leads to larger losses, reinforcing negative habits that make bouncing back even harder. Recognize that losses are part of the trading game—no one escapes them entirely. The sooner you accept this, the faster you can detach emotionally and trade objectively. 💡 What You Can Do in 2025 : After a loss, walk away. Seriously. Step outside, touch grass, or binge-watch a series (heard the new Squid Game season was really nice). Give yourself at least an hour to reset before even considering another trade. Better yet, cap your trading day by setting a daily loss limit. Hit it? You’re done. Close the laptop. Develop a ritual that signals the end of a trading day—whether it’s exercise, journaling, or even cooking. The goal is to separate trading losses from your personal worth. 3️⃣ Set Achievable Goals (Forget Lambo Dreams) “I’m turning $600 into $1 million this year,” said every trader who sees all those charts ramping up and imagining “I could’ve entered here.” Ambition is great, but unrealistic goals set you up for frustration. Instead of aiming to retire by April, focus on steady, incremental growth. Small, consistent wins compound faster than you think. And by setting achievable targets, you’re less likely to tilt into risky trades trying to hit moonshot goals. Setting modest targets allows for compounding success, keeping morale high and reinforcing disciplined behavior. Plus, gradual growth encourages process over profits, which is the hallmark of long-term success. Traders often overlook that a 5% monthly gain snowballs over time into exponential returns. The market rewards patience far more than haste. 💡 What You Can Do in 2025 : Break down your goals. Instead of shooting for massive account growth, aim for something like 2-5% per month. Heck, try 10% if you’ve got it going well. Focus on refining your strategy, improving accuracy, and minimizing drawdowns. Growth will follow. Review your goals quarterly and adjust based on performance. 4️⃣ Stick to One Strategy (and Master It) Ever jump between strategies like a caffeinated squirrel? One day you’re scalping the 1-minute chart, the next you’re holding for months, pretending to be Warren Buffett. This lack of consistency is why many traders struggle. Pick a strategy and stick to it. Master it. Understand its strengths, weaknesses, and nuances. The best traders aren’t masters of everything; they’re experts at one thing. By limiting focus, you give yourself the chance to refine execution, develop an edge, and build confidence. Juggling multiple strategies often leads to overcomplication and mismanagement, which is a breeding ground for unnecessary losses. Repetition breeds familiarity, and mastery follows. 💡 What You Can Do in 2025 : Find a strategy that fits your personality and schedule. If you love adrenaline, day trading might suit you. Prefer a slower pace? Swing or position trading is your jam. Commit to one approach for at least three months and track your progress. Don’t switch strategies after a losing streak—adapt and refine instead. Mastery takes time, and the payoff for patience is unmatched. 5️⃣ Keep a Trading Journal (and Actually Use It) A trading journal isn’t just for documenting wins and losses. It’s a blueprint for your growth. Yet, many traders either skip it entirely or scribble down half-hearted notes. Document every trade. What went right? What went wrong? How did you feel? What’s your winners-to-losers ratio? This isn’t just busy work—it’s how you identify patterns and learn from mistakes. A journal highlights recurring errors and psychological triggers, providing insights that no webinar or book can. Reviewing your journal can be eye-opening, showing how emotional patterns influence performance. The more detailed, the better. 💡 What You Can Do in 2025 : Create a template that tracks entry/exit points, trade rationale, emotions, and results. Review it weekly. Over time, you’ll start to see recurring themes (like why you keep losing on Thursdays). Adjust accordingly. Make reviewing your journal part of your weekly routine—treat it like a date with yourself. It’s data analysis, but with personal flair. 6️⃣ Diversify, but Don’t Overcomplicate Diversification is key, but too much can dilute returns and leave you overwhelmed. Holding 50 assets in your portfolio might feel “safe,” but it often just spreads you too thin. Focus on a handful of assets you understand deeply. Diversify across sectors or asset classes, but keep it manageable. Quality over quantity. A concentrated portfolio of well-researched positions often outperforms a haphazard collection of tickers. By focusing on fewer assets, you can track performance, breaking news , and sentiment with greater precision, avoiding unnecessary surprises. 💡 What You Can Do in 2025 : Limit your portfolio to 5-10 solid positions. If you can’t explain why you’re holding something, it doesn’t belong there. Simplify, and let your knowledge of each position drive decision-making. Trim positions that no longer align with your goals and continuously research new opportunities that fit your core thesis. Final Thoughts Trading resolutions aren’t about perfection. You’re going to break some of them—and that’s okay. The goal is progress, not perfection. As long as you’re moving forward, learning from mistakes, and staying disciplined, you’re already ahead of most traders. So here’s to a profitable, less stressful year. May your charts trend favorably, your stop losses trigger at the right time, and your wins outweigh the losses (big, big time). Happy New Year and happy trading!
Education
by TradingView
18
TradeCityPro Academy | Money Management👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Money Management Training Is More Important Than Learning Technical Analysis Let’s start the channel's training with the most important lesson, which helps us survive in the market, transform from a losing trader to a profitable one, and maintain our peace of mind! 📚 Capital Management in Life Capital management in life means planning and managing your financial, time, and even energy resources optimally to achieve personal and professional goals. This concept goes beyond financial matters and includes conscious and responsible decision-making to utilize various resources. 🕵️‍♂️ Capital Management in Financial Markets Capital management in financial markets refers to planning and controlling the amount of capital allocated for trading, investing, or activities in these markets. The main goal of capital management is to reduce the risk of asset loss and maintain financial survival in various market conditions. It is one of the key principles of success in trading and investing. 💰 Trading Without Capital Management Surely, like me, you have traded before learning about capital management, and some of you might have even been profitable for a while. However, that profitability has never been sustainable, and at some point in the market, you would lose a significant portion of your capital. Consequently, you might experience severe stress and pressure, affecting your social relationships, family life, restful sleep, and a stress-free lifestyle. Trading without capital management can bring profits occasionally, but the volatility in your trading account increases significantly, disrupting your peace of mind. For instance, if you have a $10,000 account, trading without capital management might result in one day making $20,000, but the next day dropping to $5,000. This wide range of volatility and the feeling of gaining and losing capital lead to losing your calm in subsequent trades, making you constantly monitor the charts because you haven’t set any rules for yourself. What If My Capital Is Only $100? You might say, “I only have $100; why should I do capital management? A 2% profit on $100 is insignificant.” Here’s the answer: even if your capital is small, you must manage it. If you consistently make a 5-10% monthly profit on that $100 over a year, your capital might not become substantial, but you’ll become a trader who many investors will seek to entrust their funds to. So, don’t just look at percentages. 💵 Why Don’t Most People Practice Capital Management? The reason why 95% of market participants don’t practice capital management is that they see trading as a get-rich-quick scheme. Unfortunately, due to misleading advertisements designed to empty your pockets, many view trading as a shortcut to wealth. Trading is a long journey; without practicing capital management, you might turn $100 into $10,000, but you’ll lose it all in the next trade. This isn’t poker, gambling, or any similar game. Markets are far more unpredictable. Without setting rules for yourself, you’ll be eliminated quickly, and your money will go to those who stay in the market. 💼 Defining Risk in Capital Management and Setting Daily Risk Limits While practicing capital management, you must define your daily risk limit. This means deciding the maximum percentage loss you’re willing to accept before closing the charts and ending your trading day. For example, if your daily risk is 1%, regardless of whether you open 4 trades or 2 trades, you’re not allowed to lose more than 1% of your capital in a single day. Now, suppose you’ve defined your daily risk limit. If you lose 1% for three consecutive days, totaling a 3% capital loss, would you be okay? Would you talk to your family and friends as usual? Would you stay calm? If not, then this isn’t your appropriate risk level, and it needs to be lowered. Additionally, you should have a monthly risk limit. For example, if your monthly risk (or drawdown) is 10%, you should stop trading for the month if you lose 10% of your capital and return to the charts the following month. Initially, accepting stop-losses, planning your trades, and adhering to capital management may be difficult. However, you must practice capital management for all your positions, not just a single trade. You should also set penalties for not adhering to it! Penalties vary depending on each person’s life. Moreover, you should view your profits and losses in percentages, not in dollar amounts. For example, instead of saying, “I made $10,” say, “I made a 1% profit.” Viewing your results in percentages is crucial as your capital grows because focusing on dollar amounts can negatively affect your trading. 💡 Practice and Example on the Chart Let’s go through an example on the chart to fully grasp the concept. On the chart, you’ll see the capital management formula, which includes: The total capital you’re using for futures trading. Your risk percentage, which is your position and daily risk discussed earlier. For instance, if your daily risk is 1%, your position risk could be 0.25%, 0.5%, or 1%, depending on the number of trades, but this is specific to the position you’re about to open. On the other side of the equation is the position size, which is the unknown we’re solving for using this formula. Next is the leverage, which is set in your exchange and doesn’t significantly impact your capital management. Finally, there’s the stop-loss size, which is determined using the position management tool in TradingView. Now, let’s apply the formula to a Bitcoin trade with a 4% stop-loss and a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. Suppose your total capital for futures is $1,000, and you’re willing to risk 0.5% on this position. The multiplication of these two numbers gives $500. On the other side of the equation, we’re solving for position size in dollars. Assuming a leverage of 10 and a 4% stop-loss (as shown in the example), the multiplication of 10 and 4 equals 40. Dividing $500 by 40 gives us $12.5. Therefore, you can enter this position with $12.5 using a 10x leverage. ❤️ Friendly Note If you don’t practice capital management or don’t agree with me, that’s completely fine! But take a small portion of your capital and trade according to the explanation above. See if you feel calmer and more at ease. Afterward, decide what’s best for your life. Finally, try to share this article as much as possible so that people don't lose their money in the market because it's not just their money that makes them frustrated and their pride is lost. Let's help them with the help of the community!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by tradecitypro
109
Bitcoin - Final Crash! Prepare to buy, new ATH soon.Bitcoin is ready for the final crash to around 85k! This is an excellent buying opportunity on the spot market, or you can use leverage on futures. I expect Bitcoin to hit 125k in 2025. 85k is a strong support because it's the start of the FVG (Fair Value GAP). It's the first major point and major support on this chart. Expect a strong rebound from this level. It's possible that Bitcoin will go a little bit lower to 83,842. This is also significant support because it's the 1:1 FIB extension from wave A to wave B. Bitcoin always reacts to this FIB extension; it's the most popular. After we complete the C wave, we are ready to start a new impulse wave and start a new bull market. Also, I expect an altseason to kick in; for example, Ethereum should overpower Bitcoin. The Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) chart is on a strong resistance. I think the plan is clear; 2025 will be very successful! Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
261
HEAD AND SHOULDERS: NOT JUST A SHAMPOO Alright, traders, buckle up. 🚀 What you’re looking at isn’t just a chart—it’s a warning shot. 💥 📉 Head and Shoulders? Classic textbook stuff. But don’t get comfortable. That neckline at 68,285 isn’t just a pretty yellow line—it’s the price’s last line of defense before it nosedives into the abyss. 🕳️ Let’s connect the dots: Momentum? Fading faster than New Year’s resolutions. 🗓️ (👀 at that RSI—she’s screaming bearish.) Buyers? They’re running out of steam, and it’s not looking pretty for the bulls. 🐂💨 But here’s the kicker: 🎯 When (not if) that line breaks, the price could freefall faster than your hopes in a Monday morning meeting. 💸📉 So, what’s your play? 🤔 Sit there, fingers crossed 🤞, hoping the neckline holds? Or take action, position yourself, and ride the wave down like the shark 🦈 you are? Your choice. But remember—trading isn’t about hoping; it’s about acting. 💪 Let’s see who’s ready to capitalize and who’s stuck waiting on miracles. 👀 💬 Feel free to screenshot this when the price hits new lows and say you were here first.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RoadToAMillionClub
164
AMD’s Chart Shows Potential Life Signs After Nine Tough MonthsIs it finally time semiconductor giant Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD to show some life after a more than nine-month-long beatdown? Let's investigate what the stock’s technical and fundamental analysis says. AMD’s Fundamental Analysis Advanced Micro Devices has lost better than 40% since hitting a $227.30 all-time intraday high on March 8. In just in the past two weeks or so, three analysts with five-star rating from TipRanks have reduced their AMD target prices while either reiterating "Hold" ratings or downgrading the stock. Joseph Moore of Morgan Stanley, William Stein of Truist Financial and Vivek Arya of Bank of America took their targets for AMD down from $168.73 on average to a $152.67 mean. The stock closed Friday at $125.24, so even that reduced average target would require AMD to climb more than 21% to hit it. Some "Hold" that would be. Meanwhile, two other five-star analysts -- Gus Richard of Northland Securities and Thomas O'Malley of Barclays -- have recently either reiterated or initiated "Buy" ratings on AMD with target prices in the $170s. AMD’s stock has struggled as the company chased Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA in the generative AI space without really capturing much more market share. Broadcom NASDAQ:AVGO and Marvell Technology NASDAQ:MRVL are starting to crowd into that space as well, not to mention the hyper-scalers like Apple that have started to design their own chips as a means toward saving capital. Still, there are the gaming and PC sectors -- spaces where AMD has practically eaten the lunch of rival chipmaker Intel NASDAQ:INTC . As for earnings, AMD will report Q4 results in about a month's time. The Street is looking for about $1.09 in adjusted earnings per share on $7.5 billion of revenue. If that holds true, the results would compare favorably to AMD’s year-ago $0.77 in adjusted EPS, while reflecting 22% year-over-year sales growth. That would also represent the fifth consecutive quarter of 20%+ year-over-year revenue growth. AMD’s Technical Analysis AMD’s chart as of Tuesday looks like it’s starting to tell us something potentially positive after months of problems -- the possibility of a so-called “double-bottom reversal pattern” completing its development: Bottom No. 1 formed in early August at $121.83, while AMD might have just put in Bottom No. 2 a few days ago at $117.90. The apex of the rally in between these two bottoms (which would form a pivot point in this pattern) occurred in early October at $174. All of that is potentially bullish. Looking at AMD’s other technical indicators, readers will see that the stock’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at top in the above chart) is still weak, but is rallying out of a technically oversold condition. Meanwhile, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” denoted with the black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) appears to be trying to force a more bullish set-up. Mind you, there's still plenty that could prevent any real bounce-back for AMD. For instance, the histogram for the stock 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with blue bars at the chart’s bottom) has improved, but is still negative. However, the 12-day EMA (marked with a black line) has caught up to the 26-day EMA (the gold line) and could rise above it. That would historically represent a positive development. On the other hand, AMD’s 21-day EMA (the green line above), 50-day SMA (the blue line) and 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a red line) are all above AMD’s Friday close. That historically means there will be algorithmic resistance on the way up for AMD, and that the stock is still technically in a downtrend. That said, those are the lines that AMD will have to retake to pull swing traders and portfolio managers back from a risk-off sentiment toward the stock. Time will tell, but I personally have a little more hope for AMD than I did a week or two ago. (At the time of writing this column, Moomoo Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long AMD.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. 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NASDAQ:AMD
by moomoo
13
To Those Rushing to Buy Apple Right Now 2024.12.30Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on Apple (AAPL). Weekly Chart The chart above is a weekly chart of Apple, and it serves as the perfect explanation of why now is not the time to buy Apple. Since 2004, Apple has consistently maintained an upward trend, repeatedly hitting new all-time highs. Of course, with such a strong upward trajectory, buying at any level and holding long enough will eventually yield profits. But aren’t we here to maximize our returns as chart enthusiasts? We’re not just blindly throwing money into the market like those who don’t study charts. Let’s get to the point: After the subprime mortgage crisis, Apple has always experienced corrections of 30% or more from its highs. Shouldn’t we be waiting for the 30% correction before considering a buy? Buying now, at the highs, is far from ideal. Daily Chart Historically, Apple has seen massive corrections, such as an 83% drop and another of 64%. While we may not expect such extreme corrections now, 30% corrections from highs have consistently occurred. Looking at current levels: The white box zone, representing a 30% correction, would bring Apple to approximately $180–$164. This is where we should start considering entries rather than buying now. Zoomed-In Daily Chart A closer look at the daily chart reveals that the 20 EMA and 60 EMA are currently in a strong uptrend. However, analyzing the angle of the upward trend since April 2024, we can estimate that price consolidation may occur until approximately February 2025, when the price could test the trendline. If the trendline breaks, a one-way decline toward the white box zone is likely. What’s next? While the white box zone is a logical area for initial entries, patience may still pay off. Coincidentally, the timeline aligns with the U.S. presidential transition, which could amplify a downward correction. If this happens, the price may dip into the orange box zone, potentially reaching the green box zone at its lowest. Conclusion Don’t rush to buy Apple. Be patient. The right time will come. Buy smart, not impulsively. Timing is everything, so let’s trade wisely. 🚀
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Greedy_allday
14
Strategy & New Group Trading ConceptHanging out chatting about next year's trade desk business goals. I'm a firm believer that a good trader is just as valuable as the assets that they trade. Learning how to simplify trading is the first step to building a reliable strategy. There are a few areas of fund management that are hidden from everyday traders because it does not apply to non-financial professionals. For starters I've got this idea to start the 'seaside connection' . I've met many different types of traders. Some of which have profitable strategies, copiers, and some who gamble. What if we found a balance? I have a track for all of these people. The goal is to add more value to your time on the desk. so if your trading 100 - 100,000 does not make a difference. Strats (protected) can be copied without requesting private proprietary information about what & how it works. Purely focused on results. Non-Strats (Train & Trade): Learn how to apply my strategy to markets. Literally, you focus on your market timing, force, and fundamentals. Gamblers: Learn how to protect your punting with risk to reward strategies that reduce your risk or blow up your account in style lol. Just kidding, but you should know that the majority of traders are not trading, they are gambling. I'm not here to turn atheist into believers, but soon enough, the markets will. Investors: You look down on us traders at times. This is okay, because without us you have no one to blame when your 3 month outlook shifts. You need us, because we provide you with near term returns. Our strategies will be packaged in PAMM / MAMM funds for you to take advantage of as a hedge to that longterm underlying position you've got working since last year!
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by moneymagnateash
3
What Those Peaks and Valleys on Your Chart Are Telling You (RSI)Hello, Traders! 👋🏻 Have you ever noticed those peaks and valleys at the bottom of your trading charts? Like tiny mountains rising and falling, they seem to reflect the market’s heartbeat 🩺. But what do they actually mean? Think of them as the market’s thermometer — showing you when it’s overheated or cooling down. This tool is none other than the Relative Strength Index (RSI). RSI meaning? RSI is one of the simplest indicators traders use to time their moves. It tells you when an asset is overbought or oversold, helping you spot potential reversals and entry points. In this article, we’ll break down how RSI works, why it’s such a powerful tool, and how you can use it to read the market. What Is RSI? What is the Relative Strength Index/RSI? RSI isn’t just a random line on your chart. It’s a momentum oscillator that measures how quickly prices are moving up or down. Think of it as a score for how strong the market’s mood is right now. Let’s dive into how to use the RSI indicator effectively. 1. Overbought and Oversold Levels. The most common way to use RSI trading is to look for these levels. If RSI rises above 70, ➡️ the market might be overbought . This could be a good time to think about locking in profits or avoiding new buys. If RSI falls below 30, ➡️the market might be oversold . This could signal a buying opportunity. But don’t jump in blindly. These levels are just a starting point. Always check for confirmation from other indicators or chart patterns. 2. Spotting Divergences. Divergences happen when the RSI and the price move in opposite directions—a powerful signal that something is about to change. Bullish Divergence: The price makes a lower low, but RSI makes a higher low. This suggests that selling pressure is weakening, and a reversal to the upside may be coming. Bearish Divergence: The price makes a higher high, but the RSI makes a lower high. This indicates that buying momentum is fading, and a downturn could be near. Divergences often occur before major reversals, giving you a chance to prepare for your next move. Why RSI Deserves a Place in Your Toolkit The Relative Strength Index is more than just a line on your chart—it’s a window 🪟 into the market’s psychology. It helps you see when traders are getting too greedy or too fearful, giving you the edge to act decisively. But remember, no indicator works in isolation. Pair RSI with other tools, adapt it to different market conditions, and always trade with a plan. So, traders, how do you use RSI in your strategy? Do you rely on it for entries and exits, or do you combine it with other tools? Let’s discuss it!
WHITEBIT:BTCUSD
by WhiteBIT
47