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The Best Correction for Tesla We’ve Seen in Months 🚀 The Best Correction for Tesla We’ve Seen in Months – Targeting $486! 🚀 📊 Trade Setup: Entry Price: $380 Take Profit 1: $418.19 (previous support) Take Profit 2: $486 (recent high) Stop Loss: $350 (below the trend line) 📈 Analysis: Tesla has seen its best correction in months, providing an incredible buy opportunity at a discount. The price recently hit a support level on the bullish trend line and is now showing early signs of upward movement. With a strong uptrend still in place, we’re looking for a potential move towards the previous support at $418.19 and ultimately the recent high at $486. 🎯 Targets: $418.19: Previous support zone $486: Recent high, key resistance level 🔹 Risk Management: Stop loss set at $350, safely below the trend line, ensuring proper risk control. ⚡ Are you ready to ride the bullish trend with Tesla? Drop your thoughts below! ⚡
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ValchevFinance
30
Trading Resolutions for the New Year (and How to Stick to Them)Ah, the New Year. A time of hope, fresh starts, and wildly ambitious resolutions. We sit down, crack open a new trading journal, and swear this is the year we’ll stop taking impulse trades on hot meme coins at 3 AM or doubling down on losing positions because “It’s gotta bounce soon, right?” Making trading resolutions is easy. Yes, we saw your entries to the Holiday Giveaway and we wish everyone to go above and beyond in hitting those lofty goals in 2025 (special props to the fellow trader who wants to run his account to a billion dollars!) But sticking to those goals? That’s where the challenge begins. If you’re ready to finally conquer the trading year ahead, here are some resolutions you can (and should) keep—and how to actually make them stick. 1️⃣ Cut Losses Quicker (Yes, Really This Time) Every trader knows the pain of watching a small loss snowball into a catastrophe or even a whole wipeout of the account. “I’ll just hold it a little longer,” you say, convincing yourself that the market will reverse out of sympathy. Cutting losses quickly is one of the oldest rules in trading. “Losers average losers,” says the poster on the office wall of Paul Tudor Jones, a legendary macro trader. No one likes admitting they were wrong. But the reality is, being wrong is part of the game. The trick isn’t avoiding losses altogether but managing them so they don’t tank your account. A quick exit preserves capital and keeps you in the game for the next opportunity. By cutting losses early, you avoid the mental drain of watching a red position fester. Traders who master this skill not only protect their balance but also their confidence, knowing they have the discipline to make hard decisions when needed. 💡 What You Can Do in 2025 : Set hard stop losses and respect them like they’re your boss. The less room you leave for emotion, the more disciplined you’ll become. Backtest your strategy with strict stop-loss rules and track how often timely exits would have saved you. The data might just convince you. 2️⃣ Stop Revenge Trading—It’s Not Personal We’ve all been there. One bad trade spirals, and suddenly you’re out to “get back at it.” Next thing you know, you’re over-leveraging into positions that make no sense, trading assets you’ve never touched before, and whispering, “If I could double my profit here…” Revenge trading is the quickest way to derail your entire strategy. It turns a calculated endeavor into emotional gambling. The market doesn’t care about you, for better or worse. It’s not out to get you. And trying to settle the score rarely ends well. In fact, it often leads to larger losses, reinforcing negative habits that make bouncing back even harder. Recognize that losses are part of the trading game—no one escapes them entirely. The sooner you accept this, the faster you can detach emotionally and trade objectively. 💡 What You Can Do in 2025 : After a loss, walk away. Seriously. Step outside, touch grass, or binge-watch a series (heard the new Squid Game season was really nice). Give yourself at least an hour to reset before even considering another trade. Better yet, cap your trading day by setting a daily loss limit. Hit it? You’re done. Close the laptop. Develop a ritual that signals the end of a trading day—whether it’s exercise, journaling, or even cooking. The goal is to separate trading losses from your personal worth. 3️⃣ Set Achievable Goals (Forget Lambo Dreams) “I’m turning $600 into $1 million this year,” said every trader who sees all those charts ramping up and imagining “I could’ve entered here.” Ambition is great, but unrealistic goals set you up for frustration. Instead of aiming to retire by April, focus on steady, incremental growth. Small, consistent wins compound faster than you think. And by setting achievable targets, you’re less likely to tilt into risky trades trying to hit moonshot goals. Setting modest targets allows for compounding success, keeping morale high and reinforcing disciplined behavior. Plus, gradual growth encourages process over profits, which is the hallmark of long-term success. Traders often overlook that a 5% monthly gain snowballs over time into exponential returns. The market rewards patience far more than haste. 💡 What You Can Do in 2025 : Break down your goals. Instead of shooting for massive account growth, aim for something like 2-5% per month. Heck, try 10% if you’ve got it going well. Focus on refining your strategy, improving accuracy, and minimizing drawdowns. Growth will follow. Review your goals quarterly and adjust based on performance. 4️⃣ Stick to One Strategy (and Master It) Ever jump between strategies like a caffeinated squirrel? One day you’re scalping the 1-minute chart, the next you’re holding for months, pretending to be Warren Buffett. This lack of consistency is why many traders struggle. Pick a strategy and stick to it. Master it. Understand its strengths, weaknesses, and nuances. The best traders aren’t masters of everything; they’re experts at one thing. By limiting focus, you give yourself the chance to refine execution, develop an edge, and build confidence. Juggling multiple strategies often leads to overcomplication and mismanagement, which is a breeding ground for unnecessary losses. Repetition breeds familiarity, and mastery follows. 💡 What You Can Do in 2025 : Find a strategy that fits your personality and schedule. If you love adrenaline, day trading might suit you. Prefer a slower pace? Swing or position trading is your jam. Commit to one approach for at least three months and track your progress. Don’t switch strategies after a losing streak—adapt and refine instead. Mastery takes time, and the payoff for patience is unmatched. 5️⃣ Keep a Trading Journal (and Actually Use It) A trading journal isn’t just for documenting wins and losses. It’s a blueprint for your growth. Yet, many traders either skip it entirely or scribble down half-hearted notes. Document every trade. What went right? What went wrong? How did you feel? What’s your winners-to-losers ratio? This isn’t just busy work—it’s how you identify patterns and learn from mistakes. A journal highlights recurring errors and psychological triggers, providing insights that no webinar or book can. Reviewing your journal can be eye-opening, showing how emotional patterns influence performance. The more detailed, the better. 💡 What You Can Do in 2025 : Create a template that tracks entry/exit points, trade rationale, emotions, and results. Review it weekly. Over time, you’ll start to see recurring themes (like why you keep losing on Thursdays). Adjust accordingly. Make reviewing your journal part of your weekly routine—treat it like a date with yourself. It’s data analysis, but with personal flair. 6️⃣ Diversify, but Don’t Overcomplicate Diversification is key, but too much can dilute returns and leave you overwhelmed. Holding 50 assets in your portfolio might feel “safe,” but it often just spreads you too thin. Focus on a handful of assets you understand deeply. Diversify across sectors or asset classes, but keep it manageable. Quality over quantity. A concentrated portfolio of well-researched positions often outperforms a haphazard collection of tickers. By focusing on fewer assets, you can track performance, breaking news , and sentiment with greater precision, avoiding unnecessary surprises. 💡 What You Can Do in 2025 : Limit your portfolio to 5-10 solid positions. If you can’t explain why you’re holding something, it doesn’t belong there. Simplify, and let your knowledge of each position drive decision-making. Trim positions that no longer align with your goals and continuously research new opportunities that fit your core thesis. Final Thoughts Trading resolutions aren’t about perfection. You’re going to break some of them—and that’s okay. The goal is progress, not perfection. As long as you’re moving forward, learning from mistakes, and staying disciplined, you’re already ahead of most traders. So here’s to a profitable, less stressful year. May your charts trend favorably, your stop losses trigger at the right time, and your wins outweigh the losses (big, big time). Happy New Year and happy trading!
Education
by TradingView
18
TradeCityPro Academy | Money Management👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Money Management Training Is More Important Than Learning Technical Analysis Let’s start the channel's training with the most important lesson, which helps us survive in the market, transform from a losing trader to a profitable one, and maintain our peace of mind! 📚 Capital Management in Life Capital management in life means planning and managing your financial, time, and even energy resources optimally to achieve personal and professional goals. This concept goes beyond financial matters and includes conscious and responsible decision-making to utilize various resources. 🕵️‍♂️ Capital Management in Financial Markets Capital management in financial markets refers to planning and controlling the amount of capital allocated for trading, investing, or activities in these markets. The main goal of capital management is to reduce the risk of asset loss and maintain financial survival in various market conditions. It is one of the key principles of success in trading and investing. 💰 Trading Without Capital Management Surely, like me, you have traded before learning about capital management, and some of you might have even been profitable for a while. However, that profitability has never been sustainable, and at some point in the market, you would lose a significant portion of your capital. Consequently, you might experience severe stress and pressure, affecting your social relationships, family life, restful sleep, and a stress-free lifestyle. Trading without capital management can bring profits occasionally, but the volatility in your trading account increases significantly, disrupting your peace of mind. For instance, if you have a $10,000 account, trading without capital management might result in one day making $20,000, but the next day dropping to $5,000. This wide range of volatility and the feeling of gaining and losing capital lead to losing your calm in subsequent trades, making you constantly monitor the charts because you haven’t set any rules for yourself. What If My Capital Is Only $100? You might say, “I only have $100; why should I do capital management? A 2% profit on $100 is insignificant.” Here’s the answer: even if your capital is small, you must manage it. If you consistently make a 5-10% monthly profit on that $100 over a year, your capital might not become substantial, but you’ll become a trader who many investors will seek to entrust their funds to. So, don’t just look at percentages. 💵 Why Don’t Most People Practice Capital Management? The reason why 95% of market participants don’t practice capital management is that they see trading as a get-rich-quick scheme. Unfortunately, due to misleading advertisements designed to empty your pockets, many view trading as a shortcut to wealth. Trading is a long journey; without practicing capital management, you might turn $100 into $10,000, but you’ll lose it all in the next trade. This isn’t poker, gambling, or any similar game. Markets are far more unpredictable. Without setting rules for yourself, you’ll be eliminated quickly, and your money will go to those who stay in the market. 💼 Defining Risk in Capital Management and Setting Daily Risk Limits While practicing capital management, you must define your daily risk limit. This means deciding the maximum percentage loss you’re willing to accept before closing the charts and ending your trading day. For example, if your daily risk is 1%, regardless of whether you open 4 trades or 2 trades, you’re not allowed to lose more than 1% of your capital in a single day. Now, suppose you’ve defined your daily risk limit. If you lose 1% for three consecutive days, totaling a 3% capital loss, would you be okay? Would you talk to your family and friends as usual? Would you stay calm? If not, then this isn’t your appropriate risk level, and it needs to be lowered. Additionally, you should have a monthly risk limit. For example, if your monthly risk (or drawdown) is 10%, you should stop trading for the month if you lose 10% of your capital and return to the charts the following month. Initially, accepting stop-losses, planning your trades, and adhering to capital management may be difficult. However, you must practice capital management for all your positions, not just a single trade. You should also set penalties for not adhering to it! Penalties vary depending on each person’s life. Moreover, you should view your profits and losses in percentages, not in dollar amounts. For example, instead of saying, “I made $10,” say, “I made a 1% profit.” Viewing your results in percentages is crucial as your capital grows because focusing on dollar amounts can negatively affect your trading. 💡 Practice and Example on the Chart Let’s go through an example on the chart to fully grasp the concept. On the chart, you’ll see the capital management formula, which includes: The total capital you’re using for futures trading. Your risk percentage, which is your position and daily risk discussed earlier. For instance, if your daily risk is 1%, your position risk could be 0.25%, 0.5%, or 1%, depending on the number of trades, but this is specific to the position you’re about to open. On the other side of the equation is the position size, which is the unknown we’re solving for using this formula. Next is the leverage, which is set in your exchange and doesn’t significantly impact your capital management. Finally, there’s the stop-loss size, which is determined using the position management tool in TradingView. Now, let’s apply the formula to a Bitcoin trade with a 4% stop-loss and a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. Suppose your total capital for futures is $1,000, and you’re willing to risk 0.5% on this position. The multiplication of these two numbers gives $500. On the other side of the equation, we’re solving for position size in dollars. Assuming a leverage of 10 and a 4% stop-loss (as shown in the example), the multiplication of 10 and 4 equals 40. Dividing $500 by 40 gives us $12.5. Therefore, you can enter this position with $12.5 using a 10x leverage. ❤️ Friendly Note If you don’t practice capital management or don’t agree with me, that’s completely fine! But take a small portion of your capital and trade according to the explanation above. See if you feel calmer and more at ease. Afterward, decide what’s best for your life. Finally, try to share this article as much as possible so that people don't lose their money in the market because it's not just their money that makes them frustrated and their pride is lost. Let's help them with the help of the community!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by tradecitypro
109
Bitcoin - Final Crash! Prepare to buy, new ATH soon.Bitcoin is ready for the final crash to around 85k! This is an excellent buying opportunity on the spot market, or you can use leverage on futures. I expect Bitcoin to hit 125k in 2025. 85k is a strong support because it's the start of the FVG (Fair Value GAP). It's the first major point and major support on this chart. Expect a strong rebound from this level. It's possible that Bitcoin will go a little bit lower to 83,842. This is also significant support because it's the 1:1 FIB extension from wave A to wave B. Bitcoin always reacts to this FIB extension; it's the most popular. After we complete the C wave, we are ready to start a new impulse wave and start a new bull market. Also, I expect an altseason to kick in; for example, Ethereum should overpower Bitcoin. The Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) chart is on a strong resistance. I think the plan is clear; 2025 will be very successful! Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
261
HEAD AND SHOULDERS: NOT JUST A SHAMPOO Alright, traders, buckle up. 🚀 What you’re looking at isn’t just a chart—it’s a warning shot. 💥 📉 Head and Shoulders? Classic textbook stuff. But don’t get comfortable. That neckline at 68,285 isn’t just a pretty yellow line—it’s the price’s last line of defense before it nosedives into the abyss. 🕳️ Let’s connect the dots: Momentum? Fading faster than New Year’s resolutions. 🗓️ (👀 at that RSI—she’s screaming bearish.) Buyers? They’re running out of steam, and it’s not looking pretty for the bulls. 🐂💨 But here’s the kicker: 🎯 When (not if) that line breaks, the price could freefall faster than your hopes in a Monday morning meeting. 💸📉 So, what’s your play? 🤔 Sit there, fingers crossed 🤞, hoping the neckline holds? Or take action, position yourself, and ride the wave down like the shark 🦈 you are? Your choice. But remember—trading isn’t about hoping; it’s about acting. 💪 Let’s see who’s ready to capitalize and who’s stuck waiting on miracles. 👀 💬 Feel free to screenshot this when the price hits new lows and say you were here first.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RoadToAMillionClub
164
AMD’s Chart Shows Potential Life Signs After Nine Tough MonthsIs it finally time semiconductor giant Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD to show some life after a more than nine-month-long beatdown? Let's investigate what the stock’s technical and fundamental analysis says. AMD’s Fundamental Analysis Advanced Micro Devices has lost better than 40% since hitting a $227.30 all-time intraday high on March 8. In just in the past two weeks or so, three analysts with five-star rating from TipRanks have reduced their AMD target prices while either reiterating "Hold" ratings or downgrading the stock. Joseph Moore of Morgan Stanley, William Stein of Truist Financial and Vivek Arya of Bank of America took their targets for AMD down from $168.73 on average to a $152.67 mean. The stock closed Friday at $125.24, so even that reduced average target would require AMD to climb more than 21% to hit it. Some "Hold" that would be. Meanwhile, two other five-star analysts -- Gus Richard of Northland Securities and Thomas O'Malley of Barclays -- have recently either reiterated or initiated "Buy" ratings on AMD with target prices in the $170s. AMD’s stock has struggled as the company chased Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA in the generative AI space without really capturing much more market share. Broadcom NASDAQ:AVGO and Marvell Technology NASDAQ:MRVL are starting to crowd into that space as well, not to mention the hyper-scalers like Apple that have started to design their own chips as a means toward saving capital. Still, there are the gaming and PC sectors -- spaces where AMD has practically eaten the lunch of rival chipmaker Intel NASDAQ:INTC . As for earnings, AMD will report Q4 results in about a month's time. The Street is looking for about $1.09 in adjusted earnings per share on $7.5 billion of revenue. If that holds true, the results would compare favorably to AMD’s year-ago $0.77 in adjusted EPS, while reflecting 22% year-over-year sales growth. That would also represent the fifth consecutive quarter of 20%+ year-over-year revenue growth. AMD’s Technical Analysis AMD’s chart as of Tuesday looks like it’s starting to tell us something potentially positive after months of problems -- the possibility of a so-called “double-bottom reversal pattern” completing its development: Bottom No. 1 formed in early August at $121.83, while AMD might have just put in Bottom No. 2 a few days ago at $117.90. The apex of the rally in between these two bottoms (which would form a pivot point in this pattern) occurred in early October at $174. All of that is potentially bullish. Looking at AMD’s other technical indicators, readers will see that the stock’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at top in the above chart) is still weak, but is rallying out of a technically oversold condition. Meanwhile, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” denoted with the black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) appears to be trying to force a more bullish set-up. Mind you, there's still plenty that could prevent any real bounce-back for AMD. For instance, the histogram for the stock 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with blue bars at the chart’s bottom) has improved, but is still negative. However, the 12-day EMA (marked with a black line) has caught up to the 26-day EMA (the gold line) and could rise above it. That would historically represent a positive development. On the other hand, AMD’s 21-day EMA (the green line above), 50-day SMA (the blue line) and 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a red line) are all above AMD’s Friday close. That historically means there will be algorithmic resistance on the way up for AMD, and that the stock is still technically in a downtrend. That said, those are the lines that AMD will have to retake to pull swing traders and portfolio managers back from a risk-off sentiment toward the stock. Time will tell, but I personally have a little more hope for AMD than I did a week or two ago. (At the time of writing this column, Moomoo Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long AMD.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NASDAQ:AMD
by moomoo
13
To Those Rushing to Buy Apple Right Now 2024.12.30Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on Apple (AAPL). Weekly Chart The chart above is a weekly chart of Apple, and it serves as the perfect explanation of why now is not the time to buy Apple. Since 2004, Apple has consistently maintained an upward trend, repeatedly hitting new all-time highs. Of course, with such a strong upward trajectory, buying at any level and holding long enough will eventually yield profits. But aren’t we here to maximize our returns as chart enthusiasts? We’re not just blindly throwing money into the market like those who don’t study charts. Let’s get to the point: After the subprime mortgage crisis, Apple has always experienced corrections of 30% or more from its highs. Shouldn’t we be waiting for the 30% correction before considering a buy? Buying now, at the highs, is far from ideal. Daily Chart Historically, Apple has seen massive corrections, such as an 83% drop and another of 64%. While we may not expect such extreme corrections now, 30% corrections from highs have consistently occurred. Looking at current levels: The white box zone, representing a 30% correction, would bring Apple to approximately $180–$164. This is where we should start considering entries rather than buying now. Zoomed-In Daily Chart A closer look at the daily chart reveals that the 20 EMA and 60 EMA are currently in a strong uptrend. However, analyzing the angle of the upward trend since April 2024, we can estimate that price consolidation may occur until approximately February 2025, when the price could test the trendline. If the trendline breaks, a one-way decline toward the white box zone is likely. What’s next? While the white box zone is a logical area for initial entries, patience may still pay off. Coincidentally, the timeline aligns with the U.S. presidential transition, which could amplify a downward correction. If this happens, the price may dip into the orange box zone, potentially reaching the green box zone at its lowest. Conclusion Don’t rush to buy Apple. Be patient. The right time will come. Buy smart, not impulsively. Timing is everything, so let’s trade wisely. 🚀
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Greedy_allday
14
Strategy & New Group Trading ConceptHanging out chatting about next year's trade desk business goals. I'm a firm believer that a good trader is just as valuable as the assets that they trade. Learning how to simplify trading is the first step to building a reliable strategy. There are a few areas of fund management that are hidden from everyday traders because it does not apply to non-financial professionals. For starters I've got this idea to start the 'seaside connection' . I've met many different types of traders. Some of which have profitable strategies, copiers, and some who gamble. What if we found a balance? I have a track for all of these people. The goal is to add more value to your time on the desk. so if your trading 100 - 100,000 does not make a difference. Strats (protected) can be copied without requesting private proprietary information about what & how it works. Purely focused on results. Non-Strats (Train & Trade): Learn how to apply my strategy to markets. Literally, you focus on your market timing, force, and fundamentals. Gamblers: Learn how to protect your punting with risk to reward strategies that reduce your risk or blow up your account in style lol. Just kidding, but you should know that the majority of traders are not trading, they are gambling. I'm not here to turn atheist into believers, but soon enough, the markets will. Investors: You look down on us traders at times. This is okay, because without us you have no one to blame when your 3 month outlook shifts. You need us, because we provide you with near term returns. Our strategies will be packaged in PAMM / MAMM funds for you to take advantage of as a hedge to that longterm underlying position you've got working since last year!
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by moneymagnateash
3
What Those Peaks and Valleys on Your Chart Are Telling You (RSI)Hello, Traders! 👋🏻 Have you ever noticed those peaks and valleys at the bottom of your trading charts? Like tiny mountains rising and falling, they seem to reflect the market’s heartbeat 🩺. But what do they actually mean? Think of them as the market’s thermometer — showing you when it’s overheated or cooling down. This tool is none other than the Relative Strength Index (RSI). RSI meaning? RSI is one of the simplest indicators traders use to time their moves. It tells you when an asset is overbought or oversold, helping you spot potential reversals and entry points. In this article, we’ll break down how RSI works, why it’s such a powerful tool, and how you can use it to read the market. What Is RSI? What is the Relative Strength Index/RSI? RSI isn’t just a random line on your chart. It’s a momentum oscillator that measures how quickly prices are moving up or down. Think of it as a score for how strong the market’s mood is right now. Let’s dive into how to use the RSI indicator effectively. 1. Overbought and Oversold Levels. The most common way to use RSI trading is to look for these levels. If RSI rises above 70, ➡️ the market might be overbought . This could be a good time to think about locking in profits or avoiding new buys. If RSI falls below 30, ➡️the market might be oversold . This could signal a buying opportunity. But don’t jump in blindly. These levels are just a starting point. Always check for confirmation from other indicators or chart patterns. 2. Spotting Divergences. Divergences happen when the RSI and the price move in opposite directions—a powerful signal that something is about to change. Bullish Divergence: The price makes a lower low, but RSI makes a higher low. This suggests that selling pressure is weakening, and a reversal to the upside may be coming. Bearish Divergence: The price makes a higher high, but the RSI makes a lower high. This indicates that buying momentum is fading, and a downturn could be near. Divergences often occur before major reversals, giving you a chance to prepare for your next move. Why RSI Deserves a Place in Your Toolkit The Relative Strength Index is more than just a line on your chart—it’s a window 🪟 into the market’s psychology. It helps you see when traders are getting too greedy or too fearful, giving you the edge to act decisively. But remember, no indicator works in isolation. Pair RSI with other tools, adapt it to different market conditions, and always trade with a plan. So, traders, how do you use RSI in your strategy? Do you rely on it for entries and exits, or do you combine it with other tools? Let’s discuss it!
WHITEBIT:BTCUSD
by WhiteBIT
47
HOVR Heading For New Horizons?! Cup & Handle Set-UpLets break down NASDAQ:HOVR on the Daily Chart! Price from Mid-Sept to Early-Dec outlined the "Bowl" of the Cup and on Dec. 11th, Price made the Retracement to the Golden Ratio Zone to start the "Handle"! Today we have Price printing a STRONG Bullish Candle Breaking the Confirmation of the Cup & Handle Pattern @ .8799! Fundamentally, NASDAQ:HOVR secured a $8.4 Million investment from an "unnamed investor" to help with the advancement of the Hybrid Electric Vertical Take-off Aircraft, the Cavorite X7. -https://www.tradingview.com/news/mtnewswires.com:20241220:A3286797:0/ *In order for the Pattern to be Validated, WAIT for Price to Close above Confirmation @ .8799, then we will expect Price to come back down to Retest the Break @ ( .8900 - .8799 ), THEN the Pattern is Validated and we can look for Buying Opportunities!! Indicators: -RSI Above 50 -BBTrend Printing Green Bars -Bullish Volume Building
NASDAQ:HOVRLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
9
Why I Think More Companies Will Buy Themselves Back in 2025I noticed that Nordstrom is making headlines today as the Nordstrom family moves to take the company private, effectively "buying it back" from public shareholders. I find this fascinating and may add it to one of my themes for 2025: more small and mid cap companies will leave public markets and go private. What is Nordstrom's doing? The strategy involves acquiring all outstanding shares not already owned by the family, removing Nordstrom from the public stock exchange. Taking the company private allows the family to regain full control, enabling strategic decisions without the pressure of quarterly earnings reports or shareholder scrutiny. Actually, the exact quote from the company is rather interesting: The Nordstrom family believes it will be more successful without the scrutiny and demands of the public market. For Nordstrom, going private could mean focusing on long-term investments and restructuring without the constraints of public market expectations, costs or regulations. Ah, the freedom to build! A few things to note about this: 1. Look at the trend of Nordstrom's in the chart above into this go private offer. 2. Nordstrom's will save massively on legal costs and fees associated with going public. 3. I think more companies that are floundering at the small and mid cap level will opt to go in this direction. 4. More CFOs and CEOs will ask if it's worth it to stay public if there is no immediate benefit. 5. What's also interesting is that the companies can always go public again if they think they need to raise money once again or need to tap back into the markets. This will be a space to watch and I will be writing about this more in 2025.
NYSE:JWN
by scheplick
6
Giveaway: Happy Holidays & Merry Christmas!It's that time of year where we can openly say (without sounding too cringe) how thankful we are to have you. Your unwavering support, charting enthusiasm, and shared passion for the markets is what drives us. You've been the heartbeat of our work and community. As we close the book on another year of trading, we’re reminded that it’s not just the numbers or the record highs — it’s you that makes this journey worthwhile. Happy Holidays from all of us at TradingView! May your holidays be filled with warmth, laughter, and just the right amount of volatility to keep things exciting. 🥂📈 Wishing you a breakout year ahead, fewer false signals, and plenty of wins — on and off the charts. 🥁 And now... 🥁 🎁 THE GIVEAWAY 🎁 Who: 🏆 THREE LUCKY WINNERS 🏆 walk away with prizes What: 🚀 PREMIUM PLAN 🚀 for a full year When: ⏳ JANUARY 3 ⏳ we announce the winners To participate, leave a comment under this Idea, answering the two-part question: 1️⃣ What was your best trade this year? 2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025? And now follow these rules: 1️⃣ Like this Idea 2️⃣ Follow our official account Note: 💡 You can only participate once — three lucky winners will be picked randomly by the TradingView Santa to win a Premium plan for one year. Watch this space — announcing the winners on January 3 !
by TradingView
452
Stock Market Logic Series #11If you are not adding the pre-and-after-hours of trading on your chart, you don't actually see the full picture of your trading analysis. A lot of times, the market makers will push the price on the pre/after-hours times on a light volume, and will define the true low or high of the day, where you could have gotten inside with a much better price and stop placement, so when the trading hours starts, you don't feel lost that you don't have a close risk point to put your stop at. Also, in those outside-hours, you can clearly see a much more sensible picture where the trendlines are much more clear and it is clear what the price is doing. Also, I don't even talk about when EARNINGS are happening... and there is a high chance for gap to happen in one direction or the other. After a gap happens, if you only look on the trading hours, you have only the information of the first 5 min of the day so you have some estimation of what could be the high or low of the day, but looking at the pre-market you could see what are the possible true high or low of the day, which is completely different. Also, after a gap happens, your indicators are "wrong", since they miss information. As you go into a higher frame this becomes less important, but still... some crazy huge moves start in the pre/after-hours and the price just never comes back, it just flies to the moon. So why not position yourself at a better price with better stop placement? The logic behind it, is that if BIG money wants a stock badly... he will buy it whenever it is possible and available before the other BIG money will snatch it from it... Look how clear price action looks in this chart:
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ZoharCho
15
Santa Claus Rally: How Will Christmas Impact Stock MarketsSanta Claus Rally: How Will Christmas Impact Stock Markets in 2024 The Santa Claus rally is a well-known seasonal phenomenon where stock markets often see gains during the final trading days of December and the start of January. But what causes this year-end trend, and how does Christmas influence stock markets overall? In this article, we’ll explore the factors behind the rally, its historical significance, and what traders can learn from this unique period in the financial calendar. What Is the Santa Claus Rally? The Santa Claus rally, or simply the Santa rally, refers to a seasonal trend where stock markets often rise during the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January. For instance, Santa Claus rally dates for 2024 start on the 24th December and end on the 2nd January, with stock markets closed on the 25th (Christmas day) and the 28th and 29th (a weekend). First identified by Yale Hirsch in 1972 in the Stock Trader’s Almanac, this phenomenon has intrigued traders for decades. While not a guaranteed outcome, it has shown a consistent pattern in market data over the years, making it a point of interest for those analysing year-end trends. In Santa rally history, average returns are modest but noteworthy. For example, per 2019’s Stock Trader’s Almanac, the S&P 500 has historically gained around 1.3% during this period, outperforming most other weeks of the year. Across the seven days, prices have historically climbed 76% of the time. This trend isn’t limited to the US; global indices often experience similar movements, further highlighting its significance. To check market dynamics, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform. The Christmas rally in the stock market is believed to stem from several factors. Low trading volumes during the holiday season, as many institutional investors take time off, may reduce resistance to upward price movements. Retail investors, buoyed by end-of-year optimism or holiday bonuses, may drive additional buying. Additionally, some investors reposition portfolios for tax purposes or adjust holdings ahead of the new year, contributing to the upward momentum. However, this pattern is not immune to disruption. Broader economic events, geopolitical tensions, or bearish sentiment can easily override it. While the Santa Claus rally is a fascinating seasonal trend, it’s essential to view it as one piece of the larger market puzzle rather than a reliable signal on its own. Why Might the Santa Claus Rally Happen? The Santa Claus rally isn’t a random occurrence. Several factors, both psychological and practical, can drive this year-end market trend. While it doesn’t happen every year, when it does, there are usually clear reasons behind it. Investor Optimism and Holiday Sentiment The holiday season often brings a wave of positive sentiment. This optimism can influence traders to take a bullish stance, especially as many are eager to start the new year on a strong note. Retail investors, in particular, may view this period as an opportunity to position themselves for potential January gains. The festive atmosphere and the prospect of year-end “window dressing”—where fund managers buy well-performing stocks to improve portfolio appearances—can also contribute. Tax-Driven Portfolio Adjustments As the year closes, many investors engage in tax-loss harvesting, selling underperforming assets to offset taxable gains. Once these adjustments are complete, reinvestments into higher-performing or promising stocks may push markets higher. This activity can create short-term demand, fuelling upward momentum during the rally period. Lower Trading Volumes Institutional investors often step back during the holidays, leaving markets dominated by retail traders and smaller participants. Lower trading volumes can result in less resistance to price movements, making it easier for upward trends to emerge. With fewer large players balancing the market, price shifts may become more pronounced. Bonus Reinvestments and End-of-Year Contributions Many professionals receive year-end bonuses or make final contributions to retirement accounts during this period. Some of this money flows into the markets, adding buying pressure. This effect is particularly noticeable in December, as investors seek to capitalise on potential market opportunities before the year wraps up. How Christmas Impacts Stock Markets The Christmas period is unique in the trading calendar, shaping market behaviour in ways that stand out from other times of the year. While some effects align with holiday-driven sentiment, others reflect broader seasonal trends. Reduced Liquidity and Trading Volumes One of the most notable impacts of Christmas is the sharp decline in trading activity. This contributes to the Santa rally, with the largest market participants—institutional investors and professional traders—stepping away for the holidays. This thinner activity can lead to sharper price movements as smaller trades carry more influence. For example, stocks with lower market capitalisation may experience greater volatility during this time. Sector-Specific Strength The most popular Christmas stocks tend to be those in the consumer discretionary and retail sectors (though this isn’t guaranteed). The holiday shopping boom drives significant revenues for companies in these sectors, often lifting their stock prices. A strong showing in retail sales, especially in countries like the US, can bolster market indices tied to consumer spending. Many consider companies like Amazon and brick-and-mortar retailers to be among the most popular stocks to buy before Christmas, given they often see increased trading interest around the holidays and a potential Christmas rally. Economic Data Releases The Christmas season still sees the publication of economic indicators. While there are no specific year-end releases from government statistical bodies, some 3rd-party reports may have an impact. Likewise, scheduled publications, such as US jobless claims (every Thursday) or non-farm payrolls (the first Friday of each month), can affect sentiment. Positive data can provide an additional boost to stock markets in December. However, weaker-than-expected results can dampen enthusiasm, counteracting any seasonal cheer. International Variations While Western markets slow down for Christmas, other global markets may not follow the same pattern. For instance, Asian markets, where Christmas is less of a holiday, may see regular or even increased activity. This discrepancy can create interesting dynamics for traders who keep an eye on global portfolios. The "Post-Holiday Rebound" As Christmas wraps up, markets often experience a slight rebound leading into the New Year, driven by renewed investor activity. This period, while brief, is closely watched as it can set the tone for the opening days of January trading. Potential Risks and Considerations While the Santa Claus rally and year-end trends can be intriguing, they are far from guaranteed. Relying solely on these patterns without deeper analysis can lead to overlooked risks and missed opportunities. Uncertain Market Conditions Macro factors, like interest rate changes, geopolitical tensions, or unexpected economic data, can disrupt seasonal trends. For instance, during times of economic uncertainty, the optimism often associated with the holidays might not translate to market gains. Traders must account for these broader dynamics rather than assuming the rally will occur. Overemphasis on Historical Patterns Historical data can provide valuable insights, but markets evolve. A pattern that held up in past decades may not carry the same weight today due to shifts in investor behaviour, technological advancements, and globalisation. Traders focusing too heavily on past trends may miss the impact of more relevant, current developments. Low Liquidity Risks The reduced trading volumes typical of the holiday season can work both ways. While thin markets may allow for upward price movements, they can also lead to heightened volatility. A single large trade or unexpected event can swing prices sharply, posing challenges for those navigating the market during this time. Sector-Specific Sensitivity Sectors like retail and consumer discretionary often draw attention during December due to strong sales data. However, poor performance or weak holiday shopping figures can cause a ripple effect, dragging down not only individual stocks but broader indices tied to these sectors. FOMO and Overtrading The hype surrounding the Santa Claus rally can lead to overtrading or ill-timed decisions, particularly for less experienced traders. Maintaining a disciplined approach, potentially combined with clear risk management strategies, can potentially help mitigate this issue. The Bottom Line The Santa Claus rally is a fascinating seasonal trend, offering insights into how market sentiment and activity shift during the holidays. While not guaranteed, understanding these patterns can help traders develop their strategies. Whether you’re exploring seasonal trends in stock CFDs or other potential opportunities across forex and commodity CFDs, having the right platform is essential. Open an FXOpen account today to access more than 700 markets, four trading platforms, and low-cost trading conditions. FAQ What Is the Santa Claus Rally? The Santa Claus rally refers to a seasonal trend where stock markets often rise during the final week of December and the first two trading days of January. It’s a well-documented phenomenon, first identified by Yale Hirsch in the Stock Trader’s Almanac. While it doesn’t occur every year, Santa Claus rally history demonstrates consistent patterns, with the S&P 500 averaging a 1.3% gain during this period. What Are the Dates for the Santa Claus Rally? The Santa Claus rally typically covers the final five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January. The Santa Claus rally in 2024 starts on the 24th of December and ends on the 2nd of January. During this period, stock markets will be closed on the 25th (Christmas Day) and the weekend of the 28th and 29th. How Many Days Does the Santa Claus Stock Rally Take? The rally spans seven trading days: the last five of December and the first two of January. While its duration is fixed, the intensity and consistency of the trend vary from year to year. Is December Good for Stocks? Historically, December has been one of the strongest months for stock markets. Positive sentiment, strong retail performance, and tax-related portfolio adjustments often contribute to this trend. Is the Stock Market Open on Christmas? No, US and UK stock markets are closed on Christmas Day, with reduced hours on Christmas Eve. Historically, What Is the Best Day of December to Invest in the Stock Market? Financial markets bear high risks, therefore, there is no best day for trading or investing. According to theory, in December stock market history, the last trading day of the year has often been among the strongest, as investors position portfolios for the new year. However, results vary based on broader market conditions and a trader’s skills. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXMEducation
by FXOpen
8
1-Minute Scalping Trading Strategies With Examples1-Minute Scalping Trading Strategies With Examples Scalping is a popular trading style capitalising on rapid, small price movements within minutes. 1-minute scalping strategies are often used by traders but require precise execution and solid understanding of technical indicators. This article explores four 1-min scalping strategies, detailing the indicators used alongside specific entries and exits. Understanding 1-Minute Scalping 1-minute scalping is a fast-paced trading style focusing on taking advantage of small price movements within a minute timeframe. Traders using this approach rely on 1-minute charts to make quick, multiple trades throughout the trading session. The primary goal is to accumulate potential small gains that might add up to larger returns over time. A scalp trading strategy requires a solid understanding of technical analysis and market conditions. Scalpers typically use indicators, price action patterns, and trend analysis to identify short-term market movements and potential entry and exit points. The rapid nature of 1-minute scalping demands precision and discipline, as even a slight delay can impact the trade outcome. One of the key advantages of 1-minute scalping is the ability to generate frequent trading opportunities, which can be particularly appealing during volatile market conditions. However, it also comes with higher risks due to the speed and frequency of trades, meaning risk management plays a significant role. Scalpers must also be aware of transaction costs, as frequent trading can lead to significant fees, which can erode potential returns. Choosing a broker with low commissions, tight spreads, and fast execution speeds is essential to maximise a scalping forex strategy’s potential. FXOpen provides an ideal environment for scalping trading strategies, with commissions from $1.50 per lot, spreads from 0.0 pips, and ultra-fast execution. Open an account! Four 1-Minute Scalping Strategies Now, let’s take a closer look at four 1-minute trading strategies. To apply these strategies, see how they work in practice, and access each of these 1-minute scalping indicators, consider following along in FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform. Strategy 1: VWAP + MACD Indicators Used - VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): VWAP calculates the average price a security has traded at throughout the day, based on both volume and price. It helps traders understand the trend and identify potential support and resistance levels. - MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD is an indicator that visualises the relationship between two moving averages. MACD settings for a 1-minute chart are standard: the MACD line is derived from the difference between the 12-period and 26-period exponential moving averages (EMA), while the signal line is a 9-period EMA of the MACD line. VWAP and MACD work well together by providing both trend and momentum analysis. VWAP helps identify the overall trend and significant price levels, while MACD offers insights into momentum changes. This combination can help traders determine entries by confirming trends and potential reversals. Entry - Traders typically look for the price to close through the VWAP, with the MACD turning from positive to negative or vice versa. This coincides with the signal line crossing over the MACD line. - Alternatively, another common entry point is when the price uses the VWAP as a level of support or resistance, confirmed by the MACD turning from positive to negative or vice versa. These triggers will likely occur within a few candles of each other, typically within 4 or 5 candles. Stop Loss - Stop losses are often set just beyond a recent high or low swing point, which helps potentially protect against losses if the market moves unexpectedly. Take Profit - Traders commonly take profits when the signal line crosses the MACD line in the opposite direction, and the histogram switches from positive to negative or vice versa. This approach allows traders to take advantage of momentum shifts and potentially lock in gains as the trend changes. - However, some may prefer to exit at a significant support or resistance level in order to maximise potential gains. Strategy 2: Keltner Channels + RSI Indicators Used - Keltner Channels: A volatility-based envelope set above and below an exponential moving average. The channels are typically set to two average true range (ATR) values away from the EMA. They help identify overbought and oversold conditions and potential breakouts. - RSI (Relative Strength Index): A momentum oscillator that gauges the rate and extent of price changes. It ranges between 0 and 100, where readings above 70 signal overbought conditions, and readings below 30 indicate oversold conditions. RSI can also indicate bullishness when it crosses above 50 and vice versa. The Keltner Channels and RSI strategy leverages volatility and momentum to identify effective trading opportunities. By combining the channels, which offer insights into breakouts, with the RSI, which gauges momentum, traders can uncover trading opportunities on the 1-minute chart. Entry - Traders often look for two or more closes outside of the Keltner Channel and ideally strong and/or consecutive green (bullish) or red (bearish) candles. - This is confirmed by the RSI recently breaking above 50 for bullish signals or below 50 for bearish signals. The combination of strong price action and momentum change helps traders identify potential trend continuations. Stop Loss - Stop losses are commonly set beyond the opposite side of the Keltner Channel to potentially protect against adverse price movements. - For a higher risk-reward ratio, traders might place stop losses beyond a nearby swing candle. Take Profit - Traders typically take profits when the price crosses back beyond the Keltner Channel's midpoint or reaches the opposite side of the channel, indicating a potential exhaustion of the current move. - Alternatively, profits may be taken when RSI moves beyond 70 (overbought) or below 30 (oversold), signalling potential reversals in price direction. Strategy 3: ALMA + Stochastic Indicators Used - ALMA (Arnaud Legoux Moving Average): ALMA is a moving average that aims to smooth price data while reducing lag. The settings used are 21 for the window size, 0.85 for the offset, and 6 for the sigma. This combination helps in identifying the trend with greater precision. - Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic measures the location of the close relative to the high-low range over a set period. Settings of 21, 1, 3 are used to capture momentum and potential reversal points. A figure above 80 signals overbought conditions, while below 20 indicates the opposite. Combining ALMA with the Stochastic Oscillator allows traders to identify potential reversals in trends. ALMA provides a smoothed view of the price trend, while the Stochastic Oscillator offers momentum-based signals, helping to confirm the strength of a move. Entry - Traders look for the price to close through the ALMA, ideally with a strong close, which suggests a potential trend change. - This is confirmed by the Stochastic Oscillator crossing below 80 for a bearish signal or above 20 for a bullish signal, indicating momentum alignment with the trend. Note that price may fluctuate above and below the ALMA in ranging conditions and produce false signals. Stop Loss - Stop losses are typically set beyond the nearest swing point, which helps to potentially protect against adverse price movements. Take Profit - Traders typically take profits when the Stochastic reaches the opposite territory (e.g., from above 80 to below 20 for a bearish move), indicating a potential exhaustion of the current trend. - Alternatively, profits may be taken at identified areas of support or resistance, where price action historically reacts, providing a logical exit point. Strategy 4: RSI + Bollinger Bands Indicators Used - RSI (Relative Strength Index): For this strategy, RSI setting for a 1-minute chart is a length of 4, with overbought and oversold boundaries at 80 and 20, respectively. These RSI settings for the 1-minute chart help in identifying short-term overbought and oversold conditions. - Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands settings for a 1-minute chart are a 20-period simple moving average (middle band) and two outer bands set at a standard deviation level of 2 from the middle band. They help identify periods of high and low volatility as well as potential reversal points. The combination of RSI and Bollinger Bands allows traders to identify potential short-term reversals in the market. The Bollinger Bands provide a dynamic range for price action, while the RSI helps confirm overbought or oversold conditions, improving the accuracy of entry and exit points. Entry - Traders often enter when the RSI crosses below 80 from above or above 20 from below, signalling an exit from potential overbought or oversold conditions. - This entry is confirmed when the price is also touching or breaching the Bollinger Band, indicating the likelihood of a short-term reversal. Stop Loss - Stop losses are typically set beyond a nearby swing point or just outside the Bollinger Band, providing potential protection against significant adverse price movements and giving the trade room to develop. Take Profit - Traders commonly take profits when the price touches the opposing Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential end to the current price move. - Alternatively, some may take profits when the RSI crosses into the opposing overbought or oversold territory, indicating a shift in momentum. The Bottom Line Mastering a 1-minute scalping strategy can potentially enhance your trading performance. To take advantage of these techniques, consider opening an FXOpen account. As a regulated broker, FXOpen offers access to over 600 markets for scalping, supported by commissions as low as $1.50 and spreads from 0.0 pips. With the right tools and strategies, you can navigate today’s fast-paced trading environment effectively. FAQ What Is the 1-Minute Timeframe Trading Strategy? The 1-minute timeframe trading strategy involves making multiple trades within a single minute, aiming to capture small price movements. Traders use a 1-min scalping strategy to identify quick trading opportunities and rely heavily on technical indicators for entry and exit points. Which Indicator Is Best for 1-Minute Scalping? There is no single best 1-minute scalping strategy indicator; it comes down to preference and experience. However, popular choices include the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Bollinger Bands, and the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). Combining several indicators can potentially provide more reliable signals. What Is the Best Timeframe for Scalping Crypto*? The best timeframe for scalping crypto* depends on the trader's preference and strategy. While a 1-minute crypto* scalping strategy offers rapid trades and numerous opportunities, some traders prefer slightly longer frames like the 5-minute or 15-minute charts to balance speed and cryptocurrency* market noise. What Is the Stochastic Setting for 1-Minute Scalping? For 1-minute scalping, the Stochastic Oscillator is typically set to the standard settings of 14, 1, 3. These settings help capture short-term momentum changes, providing timely signals for entry and exit points. Adjustments can be made based on the trader's specific strategy and market conditions. *At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
11
Top Trading Ideas of 2025: AI, Bitcoin, Stock Picks and PoliticsIf you’re extremely online and watching the blog of every investment bank, financial institution and markets-focused media outlet, you’ve probably seen a few of those already — year-ahead previews are just too enticing to pass on. With this Idea, we’re aiming to lay out what our traders care about the most — the big trading and investment trends that will drive a huge chunk of the buying and selling. While only a forecast, this type of outlook could help you to better prepare your trades and set your gaze upon the assets and categories that will slosh around billions upon billions next year. So let’s do it. 🤖 AI on the Horizon A thematic priority and one of the top investment trends in 2025 will undoubtedly be Nvidia artificial intelligence. AI is touted as the game changer of the tech industry and all big tech players are racing to seize as big a market share as they can. To get a feel for what may be coming, let’s look at what happened this year. According to technology-focused analyst firm Omdia, Microsoft MSFT was the biggest buyer of Nvidia’s NVDA flagship AI chip Hopper. (One of these babies will run you about $30,000.) Estimates point that the tech giant bought 485,000 Hopper chips (~ $15 billion ). It’s understandable because Microsoft is OpenAI’s biggest investor with about $13 billion jammed into the ChatGPT parent. Next in line for the Hopper chip in 2024 is Meta META with 224,000 units. Other big spenders for the AI-enabling tech include Tesla TSLA , Amazon AMZN and Google GOOGL . Next year, that upside trend is expected to pick up the pace with Hopper’s successor Blackwell — a next-generation AI chip , which has seen insane demand , according to Nvidia’s main man Jensen Huang. With all that AI buzz, investors will be closely following Nvidia’s every step for signs of whether the chip juggernaut could carry on the miraculous growth. ₿ Bitcoin is the New Orange What’s the new year without some orange-colored cryptocurrency? Bitcoin BTCUSD is now a $2 trillion beast ready to tear down every permabear’s gloom-and-doom forecast. So what can you expect to see in 2025? With Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20, the cryptocurrency industry is poised for deregulation (think, crypto companies finally getting bank accounts). The President-elect has set out to assemble a team of A-list venture capitalists , entrepreneurs and, frankly, billionaires. And with the Congress largely made up of crypto bros, digital-asset companies hope regulators will wave away a whole string of suits against them — Coinbase, Kraken and Binance have been carrying a target on their backs for years. Stripping down weighty rules will help companies expand services and establish bigger footprints, potentially powering Bitcoin’s valuation. Other than having banks take deposits or lend to crypto companies, something else can propel Bitcoin. The US government may soon have its very own Bitcoin strategic reserve . The vehicle will aim to collect a total of 1 million Bitcoin over a five-year time horizon. The goal: keep stacking and never sell. 🎯 The Game of Whack-a-Mole Here’s why stocks won’t be skyrocketing in 2025: the Federal Reserve just said it’s nearly done with lowering interest rates. After Fed boss Jay Powell announced another trim to borrowing costs Wednesday, he struck a cautious note saying that the US central bank is now projecting two rate cuts, down from a previous forecast of four. In other words, stock picking is back on the menu. It’s easy to feel smart — even a genius — when your trade is in profit together with the broader market. But true craftsmanship is best seen amid churning waters when markets are volatile, tough and choppy. No doubt there will be winners even if equities are moving sideways or looking down. But it’s hard to imagine that US stocks could pull off a third straight 20%+ annual gain (the S&P 500 SPX was up more than 24% in 2023 and is up 24% on the year so far). Also, the broad-based index is at a record high . So is the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average DJI and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite IXIC . Among the big factors that could contribute to a negative year for stocks are rate hikes, recession or stubborn inflation. All in all, stock pickers, this might just be your year! 🏛️ Power Plays and Market Sways President-elect Donald Trump’s agenda is pretty clear by now and he isn’t even officially sworn in. If it could be summed up in a sentence it would probably be “America, heck yeah.” Trump’s second four-year term is expected to usher in a new era of growth through an America-first approach, sweeping deregulation and tax cuts. All that mix of reflation policies threatens to flare up price pressures again. Add to that some hefty tariffs on US imports and you get a powerful concoction of “wait and see if this bursts in your face.” Inflation expectations have already crept up and the recent consumer price index readout for November does sound some alarm bells. If things are heating up, Trump’s moves may bring them to a boil — tariffs are inflationary and immigration control is inflationary. And so if the election win introduced animal spirits into the markets, the presidency starting next year will get a chance to make good on all the promises given by the President-elect (and expose some potential weaknesses). 📣 With that, we conclude the walk through what we think makes the most sense to grab headlines next year. What’s your take — do you think there are opportunities to be seized in 2025? Share your thoughts and let’s spin up a discussion!
SP:SPX
by TradingView
22
Will NVDIA rise at the expense of APPLE?We have seen in the past few days the NVDIA Corporation (NVDA) to be holding its ground better than other tech giants that got more inflated during the recent run like Tesla. What we've discovered by running some regression tests among top 30 cap stocks, is a very interesting relationship between NVDIA and Apple Inc (AAPL). Though most people might think that the two have completely parallel paths on their growth, we found out that at times, their correlation has been negative. Our sample data starts 2 years ago from the October - November 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. As you can see, this is where the first divergence between the two stocks started, with NVDIA rising to spearhead the recovery to a new Bull Cycle, while Apple was lagging behind and falling. What followed was a period where naturally both stocks rose, which led to the first 'Bear' stage, what we call Phase 2 where both stocks showed a synchronized weakness (with Apple correcting more however). Then after a recovery for both to their highs, NVDIA formed a Bull Flag, which led to Phase 3 (similar to the late 2022 price action): Apple topped and started falling aggressively, while NVDIA started an impressive rally. Again a period of price increase for both stocks followed, which has led to a new Phase 2 (July -October 2024). In line with their 2-year pattern, Apple has been rising since the November U.S. elections, while NVDIA has formed a new Bull Flag. If the price action continues to replicate this model, then we may see a new Phase 3, where Apple starts to correct while NVDIA's Bull Flag leads to a strong rally. So do you think potential Apple capital outflows will turn into inflows for NVDIA? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingShot
13