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Tesla Stock Down 30% This Year. What Happened to the EV King?The electric-car maker is in dire need of charging after losing more than $260 billion this year and turning Elon Musk into the biggest loser among the world’s wealthiest. Table of Contents » How It Started vs How It’s Going » Nothing Magnificent About It » Competition Revs Up » Teslas Pile Up on Weak Demand » If You’re Having a Bad Day, Read This 📍 How It Started vs How It’s Going Tesla (ticker: TSLA ) kicked off the year as the big tech highflyer we all know. With a valuation of more than $780 billion, the electric-car maker stepped into 2024 as the world’s largest EV seller. Deliveries were standing at record highs and chief executive Elon Musk was the world’s richest person and was looking at a gargantuan $55 billion pay day. All of that was taken away in one way or another. Chinese automaker BYD (ticker: 1211 ) dethroned the EV kingpin by selling 526,000 EVs for the fourth quarter of 2023, more than Tesla’s 484,000. Even as Tesla reclaimed the top spot in the January through March quarter, it flagged a worrying signal that its business was shrinking. As for Elon Musk, he lost a court battle over his lofty $55 billion pay package when a judge called it “an unfathomable sum.” Shortly before that, he handed the World’s Richest title to Amazon founder Jeff Bezos . 📍 Nothing Magnificent About It Chugging through first-quarter twists and turns, Tesla drifted away from the highly exclusive club called the “Magnificent Seven.” The group of companies with a snappy nickname is made up of Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ), Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ), Facebook parent Meta (ticker: META ), Google parent Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL ), Amazon (ticker: AMZN ), Apple (ticker: AAPL ), and outsider-in-the-making Tesla (ticker: TSLA ). How did that happen and why is Tesla at risk of falling out of the Magnificent Seven? Tesla’s valuation — which is notoriously volatile and hard to pinpoint — saw a massive 30% drop over the first three months of 2024, turning the stock into the worst performer in the S&P 500. More than $260 billion has been washed out since early January, giving the EV maker a price tag of around $520 billion today. Zoom further out, and you see Tesla peaked during the Reddit stocks meme-trading era of 2021 when shares hit an all-time high of $417. Back then, Tesla became the first car manufacturer to break into the $1 trillion club. Tesla stock has lost about a third of its valuation this year. Source: TradingView The drastic fall spotlights a stark difference between Tesla and the rest of the Magnificent Seven big shots. The other tech giants are at the top of well-developed yet competitive industries. Take for example Microsoft — the software mainstay has created for itself a competitive moat in the enterprise and retail software business. Tesla, on the other hand, is the trailblazer for the EV revolution but charged up rivals are shifting gears, threatening to soak up market share fast. 📍 Competition Revs Up Chinese smartphone maker Xiaomi (ticker: 1810 ) last week unveiled a slick-looking, tech-rich electric ride. The model is called SU7 and it clocked up 10,000 reservations in the first 4 minutes after launch. Then it got to 89,000 in 24 hours. The successful launch bumped Xiaomi’s market cap by $4 billion to around $50 billion, or 10 times less than Tesla. The SU7, however, is priced lower than a high-end Model 3. Tesla has more rivals to outsell, among them BYD (ticker: 1211 ) and the more-niche player Rivian (ticker: RIVN ). Rivian is an EV startup that marked a 70% increase in sales for the first quarter. The number, however, is a tiny 13,980 units delivered. 📍 Teslas Pile Up on Weak Demand Tesla’s year went from bad to worse this week when it announced it had delivered 386,810 EVs in the first quarter. The number was about 20,000 below the most bearish forecast on Wall Street. It was also 9% lower than last year’s first quarter, indicating that the company’s business is shrinking. More importantly, Tesla produced 433,371 units, leaving about 46,000 waiting to be purchased by customers. The difference between production and deliveries meant that unsold models are piling up. A demand issue maybe? 📍 If You’re Having a Bad Day, Read This In all that chaos, Elon Musk emerged as the world’s worst moneymaker, taking a huge blow to his net worth so far this year. According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index , the eccentric engineer is down $45 billion to roughly $180 billion, taking the number one spot on the loser board. Elon Musk owns a 20.5% stake in Tesla worth about $120 billion, according to a December 31 filing . The stake consists of 411 million shares of common stock and 303 million stock options with a strike price of $26 a pop. The majority of Musk’s wealth is concentrated in his EV company, but he also owns private social media platform X, former Twitter, and space exploration company SpaceX, among other businesses. 📍 What’s Your Take? Are you buying the dip in Tesla stock? Or are you waiting for a deeper drop before scooping up some shares for yourself? Let us know your thoughts on Tesla’s future in the comments below! 🚀if you liked this article, give us a follow to make sure you don't miss any. 💖 TradingView Team
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingView
38
Nvidia - Entering a bear market!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Nvidia. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For more than 6 years, Nvidia stock has been trading in a long term rising channel formation. We had the last retest of support in 2021 which was then followed by a +650% rally towards the upside. As we are speaking Nvidia stock is retesting the upper resistance of the channel and we might see a short term correction towards the downside to retest the previous all time high. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDA
by basictradingtv
64
The TradingView Digest - April 3rdHey there! Welcome back to the TradingView Weekly Digest. We are thrilled to announce the successful conclusion of our first-ever paper trading competition - The Leap ! With immense joy, we share that over 90,000 traders enthusiastically participated, executing a staggering 2,700,000 trades and securing an impressive $119 million in profits. Heartiest congratulations to all the winners, and our sincere gratitude to every participant for their overwhelming love and support. In this edition, we’re excited to spotlight the top posts and ideas from our community. This includes an informative post on using stop-loss orders , a write-up on trading symmetrical triangle patterns , a hot script on volumes , and all the latest headlines , earnings , and economic events . We hope you find this week's edition exciting and engaging. And don't forget to participate in our Bitcoin halving contest for a chance to win our exclusive T-shirt. Without further ado, let's dive right in! 😀 💡 How to Use Stop Loss Orders in Trading? - by TradingView In trading, reducing risks is oftentimes all that matters to achieving success. One of the essential tools to protect your investments from steep or unexpected losses is the stop loss order. Understanding how to use stop loss orders can unlock your path to profitability by allowing you to balance your risk and reward ratio. 💡 A Comprehensive Guide to Fibonacci Retracements - by XForceGlobal Fibonacci Retracements are a set of ratios defined by the mathematically important Fibonacci sequence. This allows traders to identify key levels of support and resistance for price action. The Fibonacci retracement tool, although widely used by many traders, is almost always not correctly used by new traders. 💡 Bitcoin Halving Contest: Time’s Ticking, But When’s It Kicking? - by TradingView Buckle up, crypto enthusiasts! The Bitcoin Halving is on the horizon, and the countdown has begun. But here’s the twist - every Bitcoin clock out there is telling a different time for when block 840,000 will hit the scene. It’s like they’re all watching different episodes of the same thrilling show. 🍿 🔝 Top Stories 📰 Japan Manufacturers Sentiment Deteriorated for First Time in Four Quarters 📰 AMC Shares Drop 14% to Hover Near Record Lows After Filing to Sell $250M of Stock 📰 Reddit Stock Can’t Get Off the Volatility Train After Another Double-Digit Drop 📰 Bitcoin Halving Countdown: BTC Skyrockets to $71,000 Amidst Market Anticipation 📰 SEC May Delay Ethereum ETF Until December: Bitwise 💵 Earnings highlights from the previous week: 💲 McCormick (MKC) Q1 Earnings & Sales Top Estimates, Grow Y/Y 💲 GameStop Q4 Earnings Highlights: Retail Favorite Stock Plunges After Revenue, EPS Miss 💲 Compared to Estimates, Carnival (CCL) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics 💲 Jefferies Financial Group Fiscal Q1 Earnings, Revenue Rise; Dividend Maintained 💲 Walgreens Sees Steep Loss After Major Write-Down of Clinic Operator VillageMD 💡 How To Trade A Symmetrical Triangle Break-Out - by TVM_MENA A symmetrical triangle is a geometric formation found in technical analysis, often appearing during periods of market consolidation. It's characterized by converging trendlines, typically drawn by connecting a series of lower highs and higher lows. This pattern reflects a balance between buyers and sellers, signaling indecision in the market regarding the future price direction. 💡 Bitcoin Heading Below 20K is A Good Thing! - by WicktatorFX/ This one is a bit of a hack but follows on from my video on how to set 'Stop Losses' on TradingView for Connected Brokers. To set a trailing stop loss, you need to open your broker account, place the trade there, and it will then be reflected on the TradingView interface. 📆 Economic Calendar ⚡️ April 3rd (United States) — Fed Chair Powell Speech ⚡️ April 5th (Canada) — Unemployment Rate ⚡️ April 5th (United States) — Non Farm Payrolls ⚡️ April 5th (United States) — Unemployment Rate 🔥 What's New ✅ New launch: predict market activity with unerring accuracy ✅ Scan your watchlists in Stock, ETF, and Crypto Coins screeners 🌟 Script of the Week 📜 Periodic Activity Tracker - by LuxAlgo This tool visualizes cumulative buy and sell volume for user-defined periods, offering insights into volume dynamics with customizable options. 💭 Our Weekly Thought: “ Weak traders focus on results - Strong traders focus on process. ” We hope you found this helpful. Please share your feedback, remarks, or suggestions with us in the comments below. 💖 TradingView Team 📣 Want to be among the first to know all the news? Give us a follow!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TradingView
4
Don't Get Duped by the RSIWhy This Popular Indicator Can Lead You Astray The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a common technical analysis tool used by traders to gauge whether an asset is overbought (priced too high) or oversold (priced too low). It analyzes price movements over a specific period (often 14 days) and displays a score between 0 and 100. Generally, an RSI above 70 suggests an overbought condition, while an RSI below 30 suggests an oversold condition. While the RSI seems straightforward, there's a crucial catch: it's a lagging indicator. This means it reacts to past price movements rather than predicting future ones. This inherent lag can sometimes mislead traders, particularly when markets are volatile or trending strongly. Here's how the RSI's lagging nature can be deceptive: Overbought Traps: The RSI might reach overbought territory (above 70) during a strong uptrend. However, instead of signaling an imminent reversal, the price could keep climbing, potentially reaching new highs. This can lure traders into believing a correction is coming (based on the high RSI) only to miss out on further gains. Oversold Deceptions: Conversely, the RSI might dip into oversold territory (below 30) during a downtrend. This could be interpreted as a buying opportunity, anticipating a bounce back. But, in a strong downtrend, the price may continue to fall, and the RSI might stay oversold for extended periods. How to Use the RSI More Effectively: Despite its limitations, the RSI can still be a valuable tool when used strategically: Confirmation Tool: Combine the RSI with other technical indicators or chart patterns for confirmation. For example, an RSI divergence (where the RSI moves in the opposite direction of the price) might strengthen a potential reversal signal. Identify Trending Markets: The RSI can help identify the strength of a trend. During strong uptrends, the RSI may frequently reach overbought levels without signaling an immediate reversal. Conversely, in downtrends, the RSI may stay oversold for extended periods. Identify Overbought/Oversold Conditions: While not a precise timing tool, the RSI can indicate when an asset might be nearing extreme price levels, potentially due for a correction. However, be cautious about chasing these signals blindly. Beyond the RSI: Remember, the RSI is just one piece of the puzzle. Always consider other factors like market sentiment, news events, and overall price trends when making trading decisions. Here are some additional tips: Don't rely solely on technical indicators. Develop a comprehensive trading strategy that considers both technical and fundamental analysis. Backtest your strategies. Test your trading ideas using historical data to see how they would have performed in different market conditions. Start small and manage your risk. Don't invest more than you can afford to lose, especially when using potentially deceptive indicators. By understanding the limitations of the RSI and using it strategically, you can improve your technical analysis skills and make more informed trading decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by ParabolicP
51
Trade like the pros in dark pools█ Trade like the pros in dark pools If you're accustomed to trading on the stock exchange, you know that an exchange operates like a digitalized marketplace. Buyers and sellers gather around a stock and indicate what they're willing to trade for, hoping that two orders will match. Before you decide at what price you're willing to trade, you likely look at the order book depth. There, we see how many shares are seeking buyers or sellers at a specific price. For a trade to be completed, the so-called spread needs to be crossed. The spread is the difference between the buying and selling price, in the example above 20 cents (226.40 – 226.20). In stocks that are traded very frequently, the spread is smaller and it's seldom a problem to execute very large volumes on the open market. █ Dark pools simplify trading in small companies Many stocks have too small a turnover to place a larger order without significantly affecting the price. Therefore, professionals have used dark pools for many years. Leading brokers are now making this flow available to all their customers. The advantage of a dark pool is that you don't need to show your order to other market participants until a trade has been completed. This facilitates, especially, trading in larger volumes. Another advantage of dark pools is that trades are made at so-called midprice. Returning to the example above, a trade would occur when someone is willing to pay the full spread of 20 cents. Had the order book been a dark pool, the midprice would have been 226.30 SEK. In this way, it results in a better price for both buyers and sellers. For those trading in larger volumes, this can mean a lot of money. █ All orders pass through dark pools The fact that dark pools are now available to everyone does not mean that all orders should be placed there. In fact, there are several barriers to how much trading can be routed this way before the dark pool is temporarily limited. When you place a regular order, thanks to so-called smart order routing, it will check if a better completion can be achieved via this dark pool than on the open market. So, whether you choose to actively place an order in the dark pool or not, you can benefit from the characteristics of the dark pool. █ Shouldn't the exchange be completely open? A criticism of dark pools is that they are exactly as they sound, hidden. But all trades made in Nasdaq Stockholm's dark pool are visible under completions. Stocks with low turnover can be difficult to trade without significantly affecting the price. ⚪ Let's take another example. Here we have a stock where the entire buy side corresponds to just over 130,000 SEK. That's a lot of money, but not an unreasonable holding for a private individual. This is also an order book from a company with a market value of about 1.6 billion. Thus, a small company, but not so small that trading for a couple of hundred thousand SEK should be unreasonable. Here, the spread is also 30 cents. Which is over one (1) percent on this stock price. Being able to halve this cost can save a lot of money both directly and over time. It is also possible to hide parts of an order today. In the advanced order placement on the open market, there is actually a tool for that problem as well. There, you can set the visible number of shares to be shown in the order book. █ When you should use the dark pool If you have never had problems with your order placement, you probably don't even need to consider placing an order in the dark pool. But if you trade stocks where you need to split your orders to not swallow too large a part of the order book, it might be valuable to try. ----------------- Disclaimer This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only. The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
OMXSTO:ERIC_AEducation
by Zeiierman
3
Unlock the Mysteries of Your Portfolio with a Tarot Twist!Hey traders, ready for a cosmic journey into your investments? Dive into an uncharted dimension of market wisdom with our latest breakthrough – Tarot readings for traders! 🚀 Instant Insights : Just click, ask, and reveal! Your free daily Tarot reading awaits to guide your trading journey. 🌟 💡 Unlock Secrets : Uncover bullish signals or cautious advice through the mystical cards. Share your unique fortune and light up your network! 🔮 Grab your free reading today! 🌈 Share your experience in the comments below! ⬇️⬇️⬇️
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TradingView
38
Last Leg To The Finish Line - UCHFHere I have USD/CHF on the Daily Chart! Now we've been following USD/CHF since it created its NEW LOW back in Dec. '23. This LOW I believe sparked the beginning of an Elliot Wave and currently we are looking at what seems to be a possible LAST LEG of this Impulse Move! Price has currently created a HIGHER HIGH @ .90721, so we will be looking for Price to either: 1) Finish its BULLISH run to the Fib-Ext Ranged Target @ ( .91572 - .93426 ) -OR- 2) Look to make another Retracement to the ( .88726 - .88418 ) B/C Zone for another Potential Entry to surf the Wave the rest of the Way! *RSI is showing we are currently Over-Bought, so this leads me to believe we could see price descend to our Zone. Fundamentally- -The BIG contributor to this scenario is with the SNB being the FIRST this year to cut their Interest Rates making the CHF look less attractive to investors & The FED holding rates gives the USD a Leg UP! *Forecasters for Next Weeks News (Apr. 1 - Apr. 5) are leaning towards Bullish Outcomes so that could help feed the Bullish Mindset of traders for USD to start the new month off but ANYTHING can happen so BE MINDFUL OF NEWS!!
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
35
How to Use Stop Loss Orders in Trading?Stop loss order is the order that automatically closes your trade once it reaches a specified price target. Learn all about it here. Table of Contents: 🔹What Is a Stop Loss Order? 🔹Why Stop Loss Orders Matter? 🔹Setting Stop Loss Levels 🔹Types of Stop Loss Orders 🔹Adjusting Your Stop Loss Orders 🔹Summary In trading, reducing risks is oftentimes all that matters to achieving success. One of the essential tools to protect your investments from steep or unexpected losses is the stop loss order. Understanding how to use stop loss orders can unlock your path to profitability by allowing you to balance your risk and reward ratio. In other words, with the right stop loss setup, you can shoot for asymmetrical risk returns by keeping your drawdown small and letting your profits run. Let’s dive into the exciting world of trading and see how stop loss orders can be your greatest ally in trading. 📍 What Is a Stop Loss Order? A stop loss order is an essential risk management tool used by traders to limit potential losses on a trade. By using a stop loss order, you instruct your broker to automatically sell the asset you’re holding when it reaches a predetermined price level that is below your purchase price, or entry. A stop loss order allows you to control your losses and protect your investments so you don’t have to sit glued to the screen all the time. 📍 Why Stop Loss Orders Matter Stop loss orders play a big role in risk management. These easy-to-set trading tools help traders stick to predefined risk tolerance levels by limiting the amount of money they are willing to lose on any given trade. Without a stop loss order in place, traders may give in to emotional decision-making during periods of market volatility, leading to potential losses. If you have a hard time cutting your losses If you have a hard time cutting your losses when —ok, we get it, you're a bigshot— IF positions go against you, setting a stop loss when you enter the market will do the hard work for you. ➡️ Risk Management: One of the primary reasons stop loss orders are essential is because they help traders manage risk effectively. This is crucial in volatile markets where prices can fluctuate rapidly, as it prevents significant losses that could otherwise occur if trades were left unattended. ➡️ Emotional Control: Trading can evoke strong emotions such as fear and greed, which can lead to irrational decision-making. Without a stop loss order in place, traders may be tempted to hold onto losing positions in the hope that the market will reverse in their favor. ➡️ Peace of Mind: Knowing that there is a safety net in place can provide traders with peace of mind. Stop loss orders allow you to do your thing in the market without obsessively watching charts and tickers. Set your stop loss orders and focus on other aspects of your market study like catching up on the latest market-moving news and analysis . ➡️ Preventing Catastrophic Losses: In extreme market conditions, prices can experience sudden and significant declines. Without stop loss orders, traders risk experiencing catastrophic losses that could wipe out a significant portion of their capital. ➡️ Enforcing Discipline: Successful trading requires discipline and adherence to a well-defined trading plan. Stop loss orders help enforce discipline by striving to ensure that traders stick to their predetermined risk management rules. If trading is about discipline and consistency, then stop loss orders are the stepping stone to success. 📍 Setting Stop Loss Levels Choosing the appropriate stop loss level is a critical aspect of using stop loss orders effectively. Traders should consider various factors, including their risk tolerance, investment objectives, market conditions, and the volatility of the asset being traded. A common approach is to set the stop loss below a significant support level or a recent low in an uptrend (if you have a long position) and above a significant resistance level or a recent high in a downtrend (if you have a short position). Example: Suppose you purchase shares of a company called X (not Elon Musk’s privately held X Corp., which he created by rebranding Twitter) at $50 per share. You estimate that a 5% decline in the stock price would indicate a potential trend reversal. Therefore, you set your stop loss order at $47.50 per share to limit your potential loss to 5% of your investment. 📍 Types of Stop Loss Orders There are several types of stop loss orders that traders can utilize, each with its own special characteristics. The most common types include: ➡️ Market Stop Loss: a type of stop loss order that triggers a market order to sell the instrument at the prevailing market price once the stop loss level is reached. ➡️ Stop Limit: with a stop limit order, you have to deal with two types of prices. The first one is the price that will trigger a sell and the limit price. But instead of converting your order into a sell based on current market prices, you set a limit price. ➡️ Trailing Stop Loss: A trailing stop loss order is dynamically adjusted based on the movement of the instrument’s price. It allows traders to lock in profits while giving the trade room to move in their favor. Example: You purchase shares of a big tech company at $100 per share, and the stock price then rises to $120 per share. You set a trailing stop loss order with a 10% trail. If the stock price declines by 10% from its peak, the trailing stop loss order will trigger, selling the shares at prevailing market prices. 📍 Adjusting Stop Loss Orders While setting stop loss orders is essential, monitoring and adjusting them as market conditions evolve is equally important. Traders should regularly reassess their stop loss levels to account for changes in volatility, price action, and overall market sentiment. Additionally, as profits accumulate, trailing stop loss orders should be adjusted to protect gains and minimize potential losses. 📍 Summary In conclusion, stop loss orders are one of the most essential and effective tools for traders seeking to manage risk and preserve and grow capital in the challenging world of trading. By understanding how to use stop loss orders effectively, you can rein in emotional decision-making, protect your investments, and increase your chances of long-term success. Whether you're a novice or an experienced trader, integrating stop loss orders into your trading strategy is a smart approach to navigate the twists and turns of the financial markets. Remember, trading involves inherent risks, but with proper risk management techniques like stop loss orders, you can tilt the odds of success in your favor. ❓Do you use stop loss orders when trading? Which type ? Let us know in the comments ⬇️
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingView
12
BITCOIN - Heading Below 20K...It's A Good Thing!We know this is an unpopular opinion BUT technically, Bitcoin is ripe for a move to the downside. On the monthly chart, we can see that we've completed a major wave 1 impulse and now we're in a wave 2 correction. We're looking for one more move down to complete this wave 2. See monthly chart below: It looks as if we're making a 535 correction and therefore, we believe we'll be moving towards the 20k region to complete wave C. Please note that we are still bullish on Bitcoin, as well as Crypto. We're looking for any buying opportunities to hold for the long term! We'll be loading up for the long term anywhere below 20k region. What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe! See our previous setups below:
INDEX:BTCUSD
by WicktatorFX
383
Bitcoin Halving Contest: Time’s Ticking, But When’s It Kicking?Buckle up, crypto enthusiasts! The Bitcoin Halving is on the horizon, and the countdown has begun. But here’s the twist - every Bitcoin clock out there is telling a different time for when block 840,000 will hit the scene. It’s like they’re all watching different episodes of the same thrilling show. 🍿 So, what’s the real deal? When will the Bitcoin magic happen? That, my friends, is where you come in. We’re rolling out the red carpet for your predictions. 🌟 Dust off your crystal balls and tell us the exact date and time (down to the second, UTC style) when you think the halving will unfold. But here’s the game rule that adds a twist - only your first submission counts . Think of it as your opening move in a game of high-stakes chess. Make it count, because there are no do-overs. 🕰️✨ Here’s the kicker: only the predictions submitted before April 12th, at the stroke of midnight UTC , will enter the arena. Sharpen those pencils and mark your calendars. 📅✏️ The stakes? High. The reward? Higher. The five wizards closest to the halving moment will snag an exclusive TradingView T-shirt , a trophy of honor in the world of market experts. 👕🏆 Get set, predict, and may the odds be ever in your favor! Remember, it’s not just about guessing; it’s about being part of a moment that defines the future of finance. Let’s light up the charts with our collective predictions and watch as the Bitcoin saga unfolds. Ready, set, predict! ⬇️ 🚀 this idea and drop your prediction in the comments below! Good luck! 🍀
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TradingView
216
NIKKEI-225 Analysis Indicates Possibility of CorrectionNIKKEI-225 Analysis Indicates Possibility of Correction from Historically High Levels On March 21, the value of the Japanese stock index reached a historical maximum, exceeding the level of 41,100 points. This was facilitated by: → Weak yen supporting exporters. It increases the value of profits earned abroad for a large number of companies that sell their products abroad and then convert the profits into yen. → Demand for shares of Japanese companies paying dividends. For example, shares of air conditioner manufacturer Daikin Industries rose by 2.82%. At the same time, the NIKKEI-225 chart signals indicate the likelihood of a correction, since: → The price is near the upper border of the ascending channel, from which resistance can be expected. → Based on the results of trading in the Asian session, a long upper shadow is forming on today’s candle – a sign of selling pressure (as shown by the arrow). It seems that the price of NIKKEI-225 is difficult to stay above the level of 41,000. If the Japanese stock market follows a correction scenario, the price of NIKKEI-225 may be supported by: → the lower boundary of a steeper ascending channel (shown in purple), which runs in the area of the Fibonacci level = 50% of the A→B impulse; → psychological level of 40,000. Bearish sentiment for NIKKEI-225 could be triggered by decisions from the Bank of Japan and the Ministry of Finance, which are concerned about the weakness of the yen — the USD/JPY rate is today near a 34-year low. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:J225
by FXOpen
3
How To Trade A Symmetrical Triangle Break-Out A symmetrical triangle is a geometric formation found in technical analysis, often appearing during periods of market consolidation. It's characterized by converging trendlines, typically drawn by connecting a series of lower highs and higher lows. This pattern reflects a balance between buyers and sellers, signaling indecision in the market regarding the future price direction. Here's how a symmetrical triangle pattern typically looks: Upper Trendline: Connects a series of lower highs. Lower Trendline: Connects a series of higher lows. As the price oscillates between these trendlines, the trading range becomes narrower, forming the triangle pattern. Trading a breakout in forex involves capitalizing on a significant price movement that occurs when the price breaks out of the symmetrical triangle pattern. Traders employ a systematic approach to identify, confirm, and capitalize on these breakouts: Pattern Identification: Recognizing the symmetrical triangle pattern entails observing the converging trendlines and confirming their formation with multiple swing highs and swing lows. Determining Breakout Direction: Traders closely monitor price action within the triangle, looking for signs of an impending breakout. Breakouts can manifest in either direction, and traders seek confirmation through a decisive breach of a trendline, often accompanied by increased trading volume. Confirmation and Entry: Patience is key as traders await confirmation of the breakout. Some may wait for a close above or below the trendline, while others may enter trades immediately upon breakout, anticipating further momentum. Risk Management: Implementing effective risk management strategies is crucial. This involves setting stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses if the breakout fails or reverses. Monitoring and Adjusting: Traders diligently monitor price action post-breakout, anticipating volatility and potential retests of breakout levels. They adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels based on evolving market conditions and price movements. Trade Management: Once in a trade, traders adhere to their predefined trading plans. They consider scaling out of positions as price reaches predetermined targets or if market conditions shift. Successful breakout trading in forex requires discipline, patience, and effective risk management. It's imperative to integrate technical analysis with other market factors like fundamentals and sentiment for well-informed decision-making.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDEducation
by CASHTICKER
33
Microsoft Might Have Done This BeforeMicrosoft has been rallying since October, and now a recurring pattern may be present again. This chart highlights bullish breakouts by the software giant in October and January. First you have tight consolidation against support. MSFT first held the October 13 closing price of $327.73, followed by the December 4 closing price of $369.14. In both cases falling trend lines appeared along the closing highs. Notice how MSFT rallied after breaking those short-term resistance patterns. Next, the lower study includes our 2 MA Ratio custom script. It plots the ratio of the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) versus the 21-day EMA. Consider how the ratios turned positive before each advance. Fast forward to March 2024 and similarities are potentially visible. MSFT has mostly remained above the February 20 close of $402.79 and prices are back above a falling trendline. The ratio of the 8-day and 21-day EMAs is also turning up. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by TradeStation
4
bullish scenario of the second wave of the sideways correction pDear analysts and traders, I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering different scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. It should be noted that I do not like to be surprised in the market, and that's why I have different market prospects. I follow them to be sure and recognize the structure that is forming so that I can 100% recognize it. I will share my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is completely unbiased, so if the idea analysis meets your standards, you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision. I have attached my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand. However, having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily. I have been studying the Elliott Wave Principle for almost three years now, and over time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has grown. What I have achieved so far is the legacy of a genius called Ralph Nelson Eliot, and I am really happy with my progress. May peace be upon him. Thank you for your support so far. I will always remember your kindness. Please share your comments and criticisms with me. I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. Sincerely, Mr. Nobody
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by mehdi47abbasi79
20
ETH HAS BEEN SERVED BY THE SEC! GOOD BYE ETHEREUM!ETH HAS BEEN SERVED BY THE SEC! GOOD BYE ETHEREUM! Hello everyone. Just as I thought something big was going to happen well here it is. SEC is going after Ethereum. A lawsuit by the SEC has possibly already been filed. If you need a better explanation please watch the video by Bitcoin University on youtube that just came out, he explains it fully and why he believes they have already been served already has 20k views. This would be a perfect catalyst to make ETH drop to way low prices over the next many years during the lawsuit. Look what happened to XRP and multiply that x10. Oh boy this is going to be epic. Once ETH loses and is deemed a security because it simply is theres no way around it. ETH is going to TANK mark my words people. I called this years ago. I knew this would happen but I was called crazy. We'll see who the crazy one is at the end of this. Do you realize how much money the SEC is about to make. This is why Bitcoin, Litecoin and a couple others are going to go to such crazy numbers no one would ever imagine. The whole shltcoin market is about to drain into the real decentralized crypto commodities. THE ONLY NON SECURITIES IN ALL OF CRYPTO RIGHT NOW IS BITCOIN, LITECOIN, DOGE, AND BITCOIN CASH. There may be others like Feathercoin, or Namecoin from the early days but they are dead chains. Isn't it funny how Charlie Lee stepped down from Litecoin just at the right time right before securities regulations? I Hmm and Digibyte founder Jared Tate just did the same thing, hmmm? All these decentralized mined cryptocurrencies from the early days that all these people called dinosaurs could actually rise up again and become the top 5? No way right? Wrong its happening but most of you were too blind to see it. Maybe youll see it now or maybe you learn lessons the hard way and you lose all your money. Once this thing starts to fall its going to be a waterfall youll never get out of your staking in time. If ETH is a security then SOLANA is BNB all of them, its all over for all these shlt coin scams like DogWifShlt and all the other trash all these fools are buying. Coinmarketcap will be half of one page you'll see. The rest will be archived for future reference and so people can have a good laugh at what people actually invested in! Dont be a fool and hold to zero, I would get to the exits and into something safe ASAP or you may gut stuck in the burning building cause the exits are jammed. Im not biased I just know whats coming and I dont want to see you all lose money, I hate it when people lose money. Not financial advice just my opinion!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by Bitgolder
237
The Marathon Continues: $MARASince our initial investment in Marathon Digital Holdings NASDAQ:MARA in early October 2023 at $7.31, the landscape has dramatically transformed, propelling Mara to a striking $33.77. However, the journey hasn't been devoid of challenges, notably the three-month sideways movement troubling the stock and a pervasive sense of FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) among later entrants lacking substantial unrealized gains. This period has ignited queries regarding Marathon's performance divergence from Bitcoin, especially when contrasted with entities like Microstrategy NASDAQ:MSTR , which leverages Bitcoin's movements more directly. The Short Squeeze Anticipation Amidst a Bull Market A critical aspect influencing Mara's trajectory is the significant short interest, temporarily curtailing its ascent. However, the notion that short sellers could thrive unscathed in a bull market is quickly dispelled when considering the potential for a short squeeze. Market makers are poised on the edge of their seats, anticipating the revelry as Bitcoin aims for the $80-100k mark, setting the stage for a triumphant rally. The Path to Parabolic Growth Expectations are set high with a projected parabolic surge leading to an intermediate target of $84, following a minor correction. The ultimate aspiration harks back to the inaugural high of $234 in 2012, a benchmark set at the dawn of Marathon's journey. While this target appears ambitious from the current vantage point, the culmination of a parabolic trend's force could make it a tangible reality. As always, this ideal scenario warrants meticulous analysis at each juncture, with adjustments made as necessary. Technological Innovations Paving the Way An unforeseen variable in many analysts' projections is the technological advancements driving Marathon forward. The recent announcement of the MARA 2PIC700 cooling system for Bitcoin mining rigs marks a significant milestone, underscoring Marathon's commitment to innovation in both software and hardware domains. This development not only enhances the operational efficiency of Bitcoin mining activities but also positions Marathon as a frontrunner in adopting and advancing technology within the crypto-mining industry. Here is a YouTube video of the new cooling system: www.youtube.com In summary, Marathon Digital Holdings presents a compelling narrative of growth, innovation, and resilience. With a keen eye on Bitcoin's trajectory, technological advancements, and the broader market dynamics, Marathon is poised for significant movements. Investors and observers alike should stay attuned for updates, as the journey of Marathon Digital Holdings unfolds in fascinating and potentially lucrative ways. Engage with these insights by liking the post, sharing it, subscribing to our given resources, and participating in the ChartScope community! Remember, everything here is custom-made for maximum engagement and, as always, should not be taken as financial advice. Be a part of the future–track and decode volatile market dynamics with us
NASDAQ:MARALong
by ChartScope
33
A Comprehensive Guide to Fibonacci Retracements (Updated)Hello traders, in this post, we will be going over one of the most commonly used tools in all asset classes - the "Fibonacci Retracement" (or Fib for short). For a better viewing experience, please view this on your desktop/PC, as the mobile and tablet versions of the charts are harder to read. Although I have briefly touched on how to use the Fibonacci Retracement tool in my previous Elliott Waves series, we are now going to go over it in depth, and talk about how this tool can help you find entries and exits within an existing trend with or without the use of the Elliott Wave Theory, which also helps identify whether you are in a bullish or bearish trend. The Fibonacci Retracement tool, although widely used by many traders, is almost always not correctly used by new traders. Most traders will often connect the wrong points, indicating the wrong Fibonacci retracement levels. Here, I will be explaining the proper way to use the Fibonacci Retracement tool in a very simple translated friendly guide in one post. ------- What Is the Fibonacci Retracement? Fibonacci Retracements (Fib(s) for short), are a set of 'ratios', defined by mathematically important Fibonacci sequence. This allows traders to identify key levels of support and resistances for price action. Unlike other indicators, Fibonacci retracements are FIXED, making them very easy to interpret. When combined with additional indicators, Fibs can be used to identify potential entry and exit points with high probability to trade on trending movements. Fibonacci retracements are used to indicate levels of support and resistance for a stock’s price. Although they are similar to moving averages in this respect, Fibonacci retracements are set by the extent of the previous bullish or bearish run and do not change each day in the current trend as moving averages do. Therefore, it can be significantly easier to identify and anticipate support and resistance levels from Fibonacci sequences. How Is the Fibonacci Retracement Calculated? (You don't need to calculate it yourself - It's already done for you!) Fibonacci retracements are based on what is known as the 'Fibonacci sequence', where each number in the sequence can be added to the previous number to produce the following number within the sequence. Now, you might be confused here, but don't! - I am just explaining the concept on how it's calculated. You do not need to personally calculate the actual sequence of the Fibonacci Retracement, as everything is already pre-determined and calculated within the tool itself on TradingView. To put it simply, dividing any number in the sequence by the following number yields 1.6180 – known as the "Golden Ratio" – while dividing any number by its predecessor yields 0.6180. Dividing any number in the sequence by two positions in advance yields 0.382, while dividing any number by a number three positions in advance yields 0.236. These ratios originated from the Fibonacci sequence are found throughout nature, mathematics, and architecture - such as flowers, buildings, and so forth. Yes, if you search for Fibonacci sequence examples, you can find these within daily uses, not only in trading. ------ Retracement levels for an asset are drawn based on the prior bearish or bullish movement. Don't forget this - you need to know whether you are in a bullish or bearish trend. Is the stock or coin going up? or down? To plot the retracements, draw a trendline from the low to the high (also known as the swing low to the swing high), or vice versa, high to low, within a continuous price movement trend – Fibonacci retracement levels should be placed at 61.80%, 38.20%, and 23.60% of the height of the line for you by the tool itself. Again, these numbers are already calculated for you within the tool itself. In a bullish trend, the retracement lines start from the top of the movement (i.e. the 23.60% line is closest to the top of the movement), whereas in a bearish movement the retracements are calculated from the bottom of the movement (i.e. the 23.60% line is closest to the bottom of the movement). ------ How to Trade Using the Fibonacci Retracement Once you have drawn a set of Fibonacci retracements on a chart of your liking, it is possible to anticipate potential reversal points where support or resistance will be encountered. If the retracements are based on a bullish trend, the retracements should indicate potential support levels where a downtrend will reverse bullishly. So to put it simply, the pre-determined Fibonacci levels, should in theory and practicality, act as support if in a bullish trend, and resistance in a bearish trend. There will always be some form of price reaction at each Fibonacci level just based on Market Psychology. If the retracements are based on a bearish movement, the retracements should indicate potential resistance levels where a rebound will be reversed bearishly, which is vice-versa for the bullish movement trend. The most common reversals based on Fibonacci retracement levels occur at the 38.20%, 50%, and 61.80% levels (50% comes not from the Fibonacci sequence, but from the theory that on average, stocks retrace half of their prior movements - so this is considered a 'psychological level'). Although retracements do occur at the 23.60% line, these are less frequent and require close attention since they occur relatively quickly after the start of a reversal. In general, retracement lines can be considered stronger support and resistance levels when they coincide with the overall trend, meaning, that if you know that you are in an established bullish or bearish trend, you will most certainly get some form of reaction at the most common reversal levels within the Fibonacci level, which is shown in the image below. Whenever applying Fibonacci retracements, keep in mind that retracement lines represent only potential support and resistance levels, they are NOT 100% set in stone – they represent price levels at which to be alert, rather than hard buy and sell signals; however, they have HIGH PROBABILITY. It is important to use additional indicators, in particular MACD, to identify when support or resistance is actually being encountered and a reversal is likely. The more that additional indicators are pointing towards a reversal, the more likely one is to occur. Also note that failed reversals, especially at the 38.20% and 50% retracement levels, are common.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by XForceGlobal
36