Understanding Volume In TradingVolume is one of the most crucial yet often overlooked aspects of trading. It represents the total number of shares, contracts, or lots traded in a given period and provides insight into the strength of price movements. By analyzing volume effectively, traders can identify trends, confirm breakouts, and detect potential reversals before they happen.
Unlike price action alone, volume adds a critical layer of confirmation. A price move supported by high volume is more likely to be sustainable, while a move on low volume may indicate weakness or manipulation. Institutions, hedge funds, and large market players leave footprints through volume, and understanding these patterns can give traders an edge.
Volume Types 🎯
Volume
Buy/Sell Volume
Delta Volume
Cumulative Delta Volume
Relative Volume
Cumulative Relative Volume
Open Interest
Volume Profile
01. Volume 🔥
In trading, volume refers to the total quantity of assets traded during a specific time frame, whether they are stocks, futures contracts, options, or currencies. It measures the activity level of a security and provides insights into the strength or weakness of price movements.
Key aspects:
Market sentiment: High volume often indicates strong interest in a security and can signal the strength of a price move. Conversely, low volume may suggest a lack of interest and can indicate that price movements may not be sustainable.
Liquidity: High volume generally indicates better liquidity, meaning it is easier to enter and exit positions without significantly impacting the asset’s price. Low volume may lead to higher slippage and greater price volatility.
Volume spikes: Extremely high volume after a prolonged trend may signal the end of that trend (blow-off tops or panic selling bottoms).
Market types: Volume can vary by market type. In stock markets, it is usually reported in shares. In futures and options, it is reported in contracts, while in Forex, it is often measured by tick volume (the number of price changes).
Impact on market orders & liquidity
High Volume = Lower Slippage: Large orders can be executed more efficiently in high-volume environments.
Low Volume = Higher Volatility: Thin order books in low-volume markets can lead to erratic price swings and wider bid-ask spreads.
02. Buy/Sell Volume 💹
Buy volume and sell volume are key metrics that indicate the level of buying and selling activity in a market. They help traders assess the strength of price movements and market sentiment.
Buy Volume
Buy volume represents the number of shares, contracts, or lots traded at the ask price (or higher). It occurs when buyers are willing to pay the seller’s asking price, indicating buying pressure and potential bullish sentiment.
How buy volume is measured:
Transactions that execute at the ask price are counted as buy volume.
In some cases, aggressive market orders (where buyers take liquidity) are considered buy volume.
Buy volume is often compared to total volume to determine demand strength.
Sell Volume
Sell volume represents the number of shares, contracts, or lots traded at the bid price (or lower). It occurs when sellers accept the buyer’s bid price, indicating selling pressure and potential bearish sentiment.
How sell volume is measured:
Transactions executed at the bid price are counted as sell volume.
Market sell orders (where sellers take liquidity) contribute to sell volume.
Higher sell volume relative to buy volume suggests downward price pressure.
03. Delta Volume ✨
Delta Volume (often referred to as Volume Delta) is a key order flow metric that measures the difference between buy volume and sell volume over a given period.
Calculation
Delta Volume is defined as: Delta Volume = Buy Volume − Sell Volume
Where:
Buy Volume is the total volume transacted at the ask price (aggressive buying).
Sell Volume is the total volume transacted at the bid price (aggressive selling).
Interpretation
Positive Delta (Buy Volume > Sell Volume): Indicates more aggressive buying, suggesting bullish momentum.
Negative Delta (Sell Volume > Buy Volume): Indicates more aggressive selling, suggesting bearish momentum.
Near Zero Delta: Indicates a balance between buyers and sellers, often seen in range-bound markets.
04. Cumulative Delta Volume ⚡
Cumulative Delta Volume (CVD) is an advanced order flow metric that tracks the cumulative sum of Delta Volume over time.
Calculation
CVD t =CVD t − 1 + (Buy Volume − Sell Volume)
Where:
Buy Volume = Volume transacted at the ask price (aggressive buying).
Sell Volume = Volume transacted at the bid price (aggressive selling).
CVD*t = Current cumulative delta value.
CVD\*{t-1} = Previous cumulative delta value.
Interpretation
Rising CVD (Positive Delta Accumulation): Buyers are dominating, indicating bullish momentum.
Falling CVD (Negative Delta Accumulation): Sellers are in control, signaling bearish momentum.
Flat or Divergent CVD: A divergence between price and CVD can indicate potential reversals or absorption by large traders.
05. Relative Volume 📉
Relative Volume (RVOL) is a key trading metric that measures current trading volume compared to its historical average over a specified period. It helps traders assess whether a security is experiencing unusual trading activity and provides insights into liquidity, volatility, and potential price movements.
Calculation
Relative Volume is typically expressed as a ratio:
RVOL = Current Volume / Average Volume Over A Given Period
Where:
Current Volume = The total shares/contracts traded in the current period (e.g., 1-minute, 5-minute, daily).
Average Volume = The average volume over a past period (e.g., 10-day average, 50-day average).
A higher RVOL (>1) means the security is trading at above-average volume, while a lower RVOL (<1) indicates below-average activity.
Interpretation
RVOL > 2: Indicates significantly higher-than-normal volume, often linked to news events, earnings reports, or breakout trends.
RVOL around 1: Suggests normal trading activity with no unusual volume spikes.
RVOL < 1: Indicates low trading activity, which may lead to weak price movements and lower liquidity.
06. Cumulative Relative Volume 💥
Cumulative Relative Volume (CRVOL) is an advanced volume metric that tracks the total volume traded throughout a session relative to its historical average at the same time of day.
Calculation
Cumulative Relative Volume compares the ongoing total volume at a given point in time to the average cumulative volume at that same time over a historical period.
CRVOL = Cumulative Volume at Time X / Average Cumulative Volume at Time X over N periods
Where:
Cumulative Volume at Time X = The total volume traded from market open up to time X.
Average Cumulative Volume at Time X = The average total volume at that point in time over a selected historical period (e.g., 10 days).
N periods = The number of historical sessions used for comparison.
A CRVOL > 1 indicates higher-than-normal trading activity, while CRVOL < 1 suggests lower-than-average activity.
Interpretation
CRVOL > 1.5: Significantly higher trading activity than usual, often linked to news events, earnings reports, or institutional participation.
CRVOL ≈ 1: Normal trading volume, suggesting typical market conditions.
CRVOL < 0.8: Below-average trading volume, often indicating low liquidity and reduced volatility.
07. Open Interest 📊
Open Interest (OI) is a key metric in derivatives markets (futures and options) that represents the total number of outstanding contracts that have not been settled or closed. It is an important indicator of market activity, liquidity, and trader commitment.
How it works?
Open Interest increases or decreases based on the interaction between buyers and sellers:
OI Increases: When a new buyer and a new seller enter the market, creating a fresh contract.
OI Decreases: When an existing buyer and seller close their positions (either by offsetting trades or expiration).
OI Unchanged: If an existing contract is transferred between traders (one trader closes, another opens an equal position).
Interpretation
Rising OI + Rising Price: Suggests strong buying interest, indicating a bullish trend with conviction.
Rising OI + Falling Price: Indicates strong selling pressure, confirming a bearish trend.
Falling OI + Rising Price: Signals a short-covering rally or weakening trend, as traders close positions.
Falling OI + Falling Price: Suggests a lack of commitment to further declines, indicating potential trend exhaustion.
08. Volume Profile 🎢
Volume Profile is a powerful market analysis tool that plots trading volume at different price levels over a specific period. Unlike traditional volume indicators, which show volume per time interval, Volume Profile reveals where the most buying and selling activity occurred, helping traders identify key support and resistance levels, market structure, and potential price reactions.
Components
Volume Profile is displayed as a histogram on the vertical axis, showing the amount of volume traded at each price level. It is built using tick data or intraday price action and is often calculated for different timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly, or custom sessions).
Key components of Volume Profile include:
Point of Control (POC): The price level where the highest volume was traded, acting as a major support/resistance zone.
High Volume Nodes (HVN): Price areas with heavy trading activity, indicating consolidation zones where price is likely to stabilize.
Low Volume Nodes (LVN): Price areas with little trading activity, often leading to fast price movements as there is little resistance or support.
Value Area (VA): The price range where 70% of the total volume was traded, representing the "fair value" zone of the market.
Value Area High (VAH) & Value Area Low (VAL): The upper and lower boundaries of the Value Area, acting as dynamic support and resistance levels.
Types
Session Volume Profile: Analyzes volume for a single trading session (daily or intraday).
Composite Volume Profile: Covers a longer period (weeks, months, or custom-defined ranges).
Fixed Range Volume Profile: Analyzes volume for a specific price range or custom-selected area.
Developing Volume Profile: Updates dynamically throughout the trading session to show real-time changes in volume distribution.
Interpretation
POC as a Magnet: Price tends to revisit the POC due to high liquidity and market agreement at that level.
Breakouts from Value Area: If price breaks above VAH with strong volume, it signals a bullish trend; if it breaks below VAL, it signals a bearish trend.
Reaction at LVN: Price moves quickly through LVN areas but may reverse or stall when approaching HVN.
Rejections at VAH/VAL: If price rejects VAH, it may return to POC or VAL, and vice versa.
09. Indicators 📦
Volume indicators help traders gauge market strength by analyzing the number of shares or contracts traded.
Volume (Default) – Displays the total volume traded per candle, often color-coded based on price movement.
Volume Profile (Fixed Range, Session, Visible Range) – Shows volume distribution across price levels to identify support and resistance zones.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) – A dynamic support/resistance line that calculates the average price based on volume.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) – Measures cumulative volume flow to detect price trends and confirm breakouts.
Money Flow Index (MFI) – A volume-weighted RSI-like oscillator that identifies overbought and oversold conditions.
Volume Delta – Measures the difference between buying (ask) and selling (bid) volume.
Cumulative Delta Volume – Tracks the cumulative sum of volume delta over time to assess buying/selling pressure.
Relative Volume (RVOL) – Compares current volume to historical averages to highlight unusual trading activity.
Key Takeaways 📋
Volume is a crucial market indicator that reflects trading activity and liquidity, often preceding price movements.
High volume confirms trends and breakouts, while low volume can signal weak or false moves.
Volume Profile identifies key support and resistance zones, with High Volume Nodes (HVNs) acting as strong barriers and Low Volume Nodes (LVNs) allowing fast price movement.
Relative Volume (RVOL) highlights unusual market activity, while Delta Volume and Cumulative Delta reveal buying and selling pressure.
VWAP serves as a dynamic support/resistance tool commonly used by institutional traders.
Community ideas
Breakout to the downside on BA?🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
SPY Another -10% Fall Incoming?Here in this video, I would like to help you guys understand my perspective for SPY for these next upcoming months. I believe its very possible that we could see another -10% fall from today's close.
My overall target would be the low of august sell off, and as I mentioned in the video, I truly believe that sell off back in August was just a flash of what's to come.
Most importantly, done panic. Huge sell off leads to great buying opportunities. Wishing you all the best! I'd love to hear you guys perspective as well!
How to Spot a Reversal Before It Happens (Before Your SL Hits)You know the feeling. You’re confidently riding a winning trend, high on the euphoria of green candles, when—BAM—the market flips faster than a politician in an election year. Your once-perfect trade is now a humiliating red mess, and your stop loss is the only thing standing between you and financial pain.
But what if you could see that reversal coming before it smacks you in the face? What if, instead of watching your profits evaporate, you could exit like a pro—or better yet, flip your position and ride the reversal in the other direction?
Reversals don’t happen out of thin air. The signs are always there—you just have to know where to look. In this idea, we break down how to spot reversals before they happen.
😉 Price Action: The Market’s Way of Dropping Hints
Markets don’t just change direction because they feel like it. Reversals happen when sentiment shifts—when buyers and sellers agree, sometimes all at once, that the current trend has run its course.
The first clue? Price action itself.
Look for hesitation. A strong uptrend should be making higher highs and higher lows. A downtrend should be carving out lower lows and lower highs. But what happens when that rhythm starts breaking?
A higher high forms, but the next low dips below the previous one? Warning sign.
Price approaches a key resistance level, but momentum stalls, and candles start looking indecisive? Caution flag.
A massive engulfing candle wipes out the last three sessions? Somebody just hit the eject button.
Before markets reverse, they throw up some red flags first—and depending on your time frame, these red flags can give you a heads up so you can prepare for what’s coming.
🔑 Divergence: When Your Indicators Are Screaming "Lies!"
Indicators might be lagging, but they’re not useless—especially when they start disagreeing with price.
This is where divergence comes in. If the price is making new highs, but your favorite momentum indicator (RSI, MACD, Stochastic—you name it) isn’t? That’s a major warning sign.
Bearish Divergence: Price makes a higher high, but RSI or MACD makes a lower high. Translation? The momentum behind the move is fizzling out.
Bullish Divergence: Price makes a lower low, but RSI or MACD makes a higher low. Translation? Sellers are losing their grip, and a bounce might be coming.
Divergences don’t mean immediate reversals, but they do suggest that something’s off. And when the market starts whispering, it’s best to listen before it starts shouting.
📍 Volume: Who’s Actually Driving the Move?
A trend without volume is like a car running on fumes—it’s only a matter of time before it stalls.
One of the clearest signs of a potential reversal is a divergence between price and volume.
If price is pushing higher, but volume is drying up? Buyers are getting exhausted.
If price is tanking, but selling volume isn’t increasing? The bears might be running out of steam.
If a major support or resistance level gets tested with huge volume and a violent rejection? That’s not a coincidence—it’s a battle, and one side is losing.
Reversals tend to be violent because traders are caught off guard. Watching the volume can help you avoid being one of them.
📊 Key Levels: Where the Market Loves to Reverse
Price doesn’t move in a vacuum. There are levels where reversals love to happen.
Support and Resistance: The most obvious, yet most ignored. When price approaches a level that’s been historically respected, pay attention.
Fibonacci Retracements: Markets are weirdly obsessed with 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% retracement levels. If a trend starts stalling near these zones, don’t ignore it.
Psychological Numbers: Round numbers (like 1.2000 in Forex , $500 in stocks , or $120,000 in Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD act like magnets. The more traders fixate on them, the more likely they become reversal points.
Smart money isn’t chasing prices randomly. They’re watching these levels—and if you’re not, you might consider doing it.
🚨 Candlestick Warnings: When the Market Paints a Picture
Candlesticks aren’t just pretty chart elements that give you a sense of thrill—they tell stories. Some of them hint at “reversal.”
Doji: The ultimate indecision candle. If one pops up after a strong trend, the market is questioning itself.
Engulfing Candles: A single candle that completely erases the previous one? That’s power shifting sides.
Pin Bars (Hammer/Inverted Hammer, Shooting Star): Long wicks show rejection. When they appear at key levels, reversals often follow.
Candlestick patterns alone aren’t enough, but when they show up alongside other reversal signals, they’re hard to ignore.
📰 The News Factor: When Fundamentals Crash the Party
Technical traders like to pretend breaking news doesn’t matter—until it does.
Earnings reports , economic data , interest rate decisions ECONOMICS:USINTR —these events can turn a strong trend into a dumpster fire instantly.
A stock making all-time highs right before earnings? Tread carefully.
A currency pair trending up before an inflation report? One bad number, and it’s lights out.
A crypto rally before a major regulation announcement? That could end badly.
Reversals don’t always come from charts alone. Sometimes, they come from the real world. And the market rarely gives second chances.
✨ The Reversal Cheat Sheet: When Everything Aligns
A single signal doesn’t guarantee a reversal. But when multiple factors line up? That’s when you need to take action.
If you see:
✅ Divergence on indicators
✅ Volume drying up or spiking at a key level
✅ A major support/resistance level getting tested
✅ Reversal candlestick patterns forming
✅ News lurking in the background
Then congratulations—you’ve likely spotted a reversal before your stop loss takes the hit.
✍ Conclusion: Stay Ahead, Not Behind
Catching reversals before they happen isn’t magic—it’s just about knowing where to look. Price action, volume, key levels, indicators, and even the news all leave clues. The problem? Most traders only see them after their account takes the hit.
Don’t be most traders. Pay attention, recognize the signs, and act before the market flips the script on you.
Because the best time to spot a reversal? Before it happens.
Do you use any of these strategies to spot reversals in your trading? What’s the last time you did it and what were you trading—forex, crypto, stocks or something else? Let us know in the comments!
Bitcoin Breaks 90k with upward bounce on Daily FVG and 200MABitcoin Breaks 90k with bounce on Daily FVG and 200MA.
The FMG "Fair Value Gap" is a big deal, especially this one on the daily.
The 4h and 2h and 45min charts are looking like this could continue.
It's a powerful moment, and maybe 80k will never been seen again?
This is more bullish than I have felt in a few days.
Gold back to it's normal bullish programAs we always say, after a bullish daily close, we will remain bullish until a bearish daily close. With that being said, there was def a short opportunity today after reaching our buyside goal.
We will continue to track the development here and keep you on point with expectations.
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BTC Distribution towards 65k / 50k - ExplanationIn this video, I break down why Bitcoin's market structure is shifting bearish.
I explain the distribution phase, the key signs to watch for, and why I believe price is likely to trade lower. To give you a clearer picture, I also show a real example for comparison.
🚀 Topics Covered:
BTC structure switching bearish 📉
Understanding the distribution phase
Why I expect price to drop 🔻
A real example for comparison
If you find this analysis helpful, like & subscribe for more insights!
Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
LULU - My favorite chart RIGHT NOW!I will be so happy if this continues to dip and wants to fill the gap at 351/340. This thing is poised to explode and I am scooping it up every chance I get.
DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH and let me know what you think :)
I am excited about this one because I love the company and I love the chart.
Happy Trading :)
How to pick a benchmark for you portfolio and beat the market What is a benchmark?
A benchmark is an index or a basket of assets used to evaluate the performance of an investment portfolio In the context of portfolio analysis the benchmark serves as a point of comparison to determine whether a fund a strategy or an investment is performing better worse or in line with the reference market.
In the current chart, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is displayed with a solid and larger blue line in relation to other cryptocurrencies for the current period.
Benchmarks are essential tools for institutional and private investors as they allow measuring the effectiveness of asset allocation choices and risk management Additionally they help determine the added value of an active manager compared to a passive market replication strategy.
Benchmark analysis example: NASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:NDX
Benchmark analysis example: NASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:AAPL - NASDAQ:NDX
What is the purpose of a benchmark
The use of a benchmark in portfolio analysis has several objectives
1) Performance Evaluation: Provides a parameter to compare the portfolio's return against the market or other funds
2) Risk Analysis: Allows comparing the volatility of the portfolio against that of the benchmark offering a measure of risk management
3) Performance Attribution: Helps distinguish between returns derived from asset selection and those linked to market factors
4) Expectation Management: Supports investors and managers in assessing whether a portfolio is meeting expected return objectives
5) Strategy Control: If a portfolio deviates excessively from the benchmark it may signal the need to review the investment strategy
How to select an appropriate benchmark?
The choice of the correct benchmark depends on several factors:
1) Consistency with Portfolio Objective: The benchmark should reflect the market or sector in which the portfolio operates
2) Representativeness of Portfolio Assets: The benchmark should have a composition similar to that of the portfolio to ensure a fair comparison
3) Transparency and Data Availability: It must be easily accessible and calculated with clear and public methodologies
4) Stability Over Time: A good benchmark should not be subject to frequent modifications to ensure reliable historical comparison
5) Compatible Risk and Return: The benchmark should have a risk and return profile similar to that of the portfolio
Most used benchmarks
There are different benchmarks based on asset type and reference market Here are some of the most common.
Equity
FRED:SP500 Representative index of the 500 largest US companies.
NYSE:MSCI World Includes companies from various developed countries ideal for global strategies
FTSE:FTSEMIB Benchmark for the Italian stock market
NASDAQ:NDX Represents the largest technology and growth companies
Bonds
Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index Broad benchmark for the global bond market
JP Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index EMBI Benchmark for emerging market debt
[* ]BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Index Representative of the high-yield bond market junk bonds
Mixed or Balanced
6040 Portfolio Benchmark 60 equities SP 500 and 40 bonds Bloomberg US Aggregate used to evaluate balanced portfolios
Morningstar Moderate Allocation Index Suitable for moderate-risk investment strategies
Alternative
HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index Benchmark for hedge funds
Goldman Sachs Commodity Index GSCI Used for commodity-related strategies
Bitcoin Index CoinDesk BPI Benchmark for cryptocurrencies
A reference benchmark is essential in portfolio analysis to measure performance manage risk and evaluate investment strategies The selection of an appropriate benchmark must be consistent with the strategy and market of the portfolio to ensure meaningful comparison.
Understanding and correctly selecting the benchmark allows investors to optimize their decisions and improve long-term results.
Trump Fuels Crypto Rally with Strategic Reserve. What’s Inside?The lines are finally rocketing upward! Bored crypto traders suddenly turned into hyperventilating market mavens after Donald Trump on Sunday unveiled the creation of a “strategic crypto reserve.”
Names were named and those names pumped by 10% or more as enthusiastic buyers couldn’t get enough of them. Here’s who made the short list:
Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
XRP BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
Solana COINBASE:SOLUSD
Cardano COINBASE:ADAUSD
These five made the cut as the only blue-chip tokens worthy to be recognized by the White House’s crypto working group, which finally got something out after staying tight-lipped for weeks.
“A U.S. Crypto Reserve will elevate this critical industry after years of corrupt attacks by the Biden Administration, which is why my Executive Order on Digital Assets directed the Presidential Working Group to move forward on a Crypto Strategic Reserve that includes XRP, SOL, and ADA,” Trump said on Truth Social . “I will make sure the U.S. is the Crypto Capital of the World.”
“And, obviously, BTC and ETH, as other valuable Cryptocurrencies, will be at the heart of the Reserve,” he said in a follow-up post . “I also love Bitcoin and Ethereum!”
Cardano’s token was the biggest gainer moments after the announcement, pumping more than 60% to cross the dollar mark. XRP soared more than 30% to eclipse $2.80 and Solana followed up with a 20% advance to $170 a pop.
Bitcoin and Ethereum, the two heavyweights of the crypto world , climbed 10% and 12%, respectively.
Let’s break down what all this means. A key thing to note is that Trump changed the wording from a crypto “stockpile” to a crypto “reserve.” A reserve would imply that the US government will be collecting, i.e. buying, digital assets for the purpose of holding them right next to its other reserves like gold XAUUSD . The US holds about $770 billion worth of gold.
No proportions, weighting or targets have been announced for the crypto reserve.
But this Friday Trump will be hosting the first-ever crypto venue in the White House. The White House Crypto Summit will be chaired by the administration’s AI and Crypto Czar David Sacks and will feature a speech by the President.
Traders and investors will most likely be glued to the screens for any signs of government adoption and warm legislation.
Obviously, the White House getting involved with crypto is a big deal and perhaps even a watershed moment. But crypto is notoriously volatile and the good (or bad?) old market adage “buy the rumor, sell the news” might hold true more times than traders want to admit.
Do you expect this news to be the start of a new upside swing for crypto? Or is it another frothy move that would soon fizzle? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Market Update - 3/2/2025Strong relative strength in car related names, especially from China, but finance names especially in insurance and credit, as well as real estate seem to be the leaders. All of these I'm reading as positive signs given these are cyclicals. On Friday we had an accumulation day on the AMEX:IWM which is my first sign to start looking for good RS stocks for potential entry in case we start a new uptrend. I think short term the market is oversold and next week we'll see a rally, but I'm not sure long term if that rally can hold.
Either way, I still don't have any positions and did not buy anything the whole week, so I'm still cautious and in protective mode.
US DOLLAR: Sell Opportunity after support breakTVC:DXY has broken below a key support zone, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The price is now retesting this zone, which previously acted as support and could serve as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation.
If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to decline further toward the 105.800 target , which aligns with a major support level. Conversely, a breakout above the zone could signal further upside.
Before considering short positions, look for bearish confirmation signals such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the resistance zone, or increased selling volume.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
TESLA I Its not only EV Cars. Elon Musk predicting 1000% growthThis is not a short-term trade as you know from me on FX, Crypto and Indices. This is buy and hold investment. I got already good bag of share and Im still adding without trying to time if perfectly, but now I think its time to buy bigger positions.
Tesla is my 3rd biggest position after the Bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy). Many people see it only as an EV cars company, but it's not all what they do, just read bellow to see why I see a huge potential in this company.
📍 Why Tesla is Considered a Top Investment
Tesla stands out as a leading player in the EV market, with a strong brand and a history of delivering innovative products. In 2024, it produced about 459,000 vehicles and delivered over 495,000 in the fourth quarter alone, showcasing its ability to meet growing demand Tesla Fourth Quarter 2024 Production, Deliveries & Deployments.
💾Financially, Tesla reported $97,690 million in total revenue for 2024, with the automotive segment contributing $87,604 million and energy solutions adding $10,086 million Tesla, Inc. Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2024. This diversification into energy, alongside investments in autonomous driving, positions Tesla for long-term growth, making it attractive for investors seeking exposure to future trends in sustainability and technology.
📍 What Tesla Does Beyond EV Cars
Beyond EVs, Tesla is deeply involved in energy solutions:
📍 Solar Products: Offers solar panels and solar roofs for clean energy generation.
📍 Energy Storage: Provides Powerwall for homes and Megapack for large-scale projects, helping stabilize grids and manage energy costs.
📍 Charging Infrastructure : Operates a network of Supercharger stations, increasingly open to other EVs.
Services: Includes vehicle maintenance through service centers and body shops.
📍 Robotaxi: Plans to launch a fully autonomous ride-hailing service in June 2025 in Austin, Texas, potentially opening new revenue streams Tesla's robotaxis by June? Musk turns to Texas for hands-off regulation.
📍 Tesla Optimus: Developing a general-purpose robotic humanoid for tasks like household chores or industrial work, which could lead to new markets.
This expansion into energy and services, along with unexpected ventures like Robotaxi and Tesla Optimus, enhances Tesla's role in the transition to sustainable energy and technology, offering benefits like grid stability and potential robotics applications.
The growth in the energy segment, with a 67% increase from 2023 to 2024, highlights Tesla's expanding role in sustainability, potentially attracting investors focused on long-term trends. Additionally, Tesla's commitment to innovation, particularly in autonomous driving technology, is noteworthy. The company is developing features like Full Self-Driving (FSD), which could open new revenue streams, such as robotaxi services, enhancing its investment appeal.
🤔I think Optimus and Robotaxi will exceed rapidly exceed their EV cars revenue. Elon musk is predicing over 1000% growth in 5 years. Which would be way above $2900 without stocks splits.
I m a bit conservative and I think we can go somewhere between 3 - 4 standard deviations.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔
Nvidia Flexes Bold Guidance but Can the Chipmaker Deliver on It?Chief Jensen Huang showed hubris on the earnings call right after Nvidia NVDA reported another blockbuster quarter with record sales and soaring profits. He said that demand for the new Blackwell chip is “amazing.”
“Well, I'm more enthusiastic today than I was at CES We have some 350 plants manufacturing the 1.5 million components that go into each one of the Blackwell racks, Grace Blackwell racks. Yes, it's extremely complicated,” Huang said. “Nothing is easy about what we’re doing, but we’re doing great.”
Everyone and their dog was glued to the screen after-hours Wednesday, waiting to hear what the most important person for the stock market was going to say. And many were hoping it’ll be good and Nvidia will save us from the recent selloff that spilled from tech stocks to all stocks .
And indeed, it was another stellar performance by Nvidia. For the fourth quarter ended January 26, the chipmaking giant pulled in record revenue of $39.3 billion, up 80% from a year ago, topping analyst estimates for $38 billion. Earnings per share reached $0.89 against Wall Street guidance for $0.84 a pop. Net income landed at $22.1 billion, up 80% from a year earlier.
Without a doubt, Nvidia continued its string of record-shattering results. And, what’s more, that’s also what Nvidia thinks will happen with the current quarter. The company projected revenue of $43 billion for the first three months of 2025, up 65% from the year-ago quarter when sales hit $26 billion .
To get to that figure, and keep the growth going, Nvidia will need to retain all its deep-pocketed clients like Amazon AMZN , Meta META , Microsoft MSFT and Alphabet GOOGL . These four alone make up about half of Nvidia’s revenue. Other customers with buckets of cash include ChatGPT parent OpenAI and Elon Musk’s Tesla TSLA .
As to the share price, investors didn’t really cheer the upbeat guidance or the double beat on both earnings and revenue. The stock showed virtually no reaction in extended trading — could it be that markets expected an even bigger blowout performance?
Or maybe they don’t believe in Nvidia’s business model after DeepSeek achieved for mere millions what OpenAI achieved for hundreds of millions? Year to date, Nvidia, the second-largest company in the world , is down 5% to $3.2 trillion. It’s drifted about 10% away from the all-time high hit in early January.
And with this, make sure to closely watch the earnings calendar for other hot reports as AI history is being made before our eyes.
What’s your take on Nvidia’s future? Do you think its Big Tech clients will soon whip up their own AI chips? Or is Nvidia’s AI dominance set in stone? Share your thoughts in the comment section!
Dead Bitcoin soon will break 92K support (Bye 100K and Hi 80K) As we mentioned a lot major support which is 92K$ is holding price from falling now for 8Th times and each time a support or resistance touch it gets weaker and soon this support will also break to the downside and below 90K$ we are looking for massive dump and fall and start of bear market for at least 2-3 months and this would be correction and rest for market and bitcoin and after that we are looking for rise and next phase pump for the market and maybe targets like 130K$ and more.
So for now we are looking for correction and dump like the red arrows and for confirmation of bear market and dump major support zone should break soon.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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Multiple markets2.26.25 there are a number of markets signing up for reversal patterns to go higher. I think that Tesla probably start finding buyers. oils at a support area so I would be looking for buyers. I think we will find some buyers on bitcoin and gold.... but there may be some more downside to but I wouldn't start a short position in gold or Bitcoin. there might be some upside on coffee. and I know there were some other markets I talked about... Palladium was one of them. I did not preview this video if I made mistakes... sorry about that I was stressed for time.
Elliot Wave Theory Analysis on DOGENew to Technical Analysis here but I am loving my learning journey. Watch this absurdly long video to see my thoughts on where I think we are in relation to past cycles and how after deep thought on the Elliot Wave Patterns I have found it astonishingly lines up to a tee with past cycles. I didn't modify it anyway to make it line up ------ it just did!