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The Power of a Trading Journal: Key to Consistent SuccessHave you ever pondered what distinguishes successful traders from those who struggle for consistent profits? One key tool, often underestimated, is the trading journal. Both research and practical experience demonstrate that traders who diligently track their performance and critically assess their decisions tend to enhance their trading skills and overall results over time. While financial markets can seem erratic, a well-maintained trading journal can provide clarity regarding your trading behavior and highlight areas ripe for improvement.
Understanding the Trading Journal
At its core, a trading journal serves as a comprehensive record of your trades, detailing every decision and its corresponding outcome. However, it goes beyond a mere tally of wins and losses; it acts as a robust instrument for self-reflection and growth. By keeping an organized log, traders can identify recurring patterns, refine their strategies, and cultivate greater discipline in their trading practices. In essence, a trading journal empowers you to track your performance while offering meaningful insights for informed decision-making.
What Constitutes a Trading Journal?
A trading journal is a personalized record of your trading journey designed to document every aspect of your experiences. Unlike a basic transaction log, it encompasses insights into your decisions, emotional states, and strategies, thereby providing an in-depth perspective on your trading habits and performance over time. This journal functions as a roadmap, enabling you to analyze your actions, learn from missteps, and recognize successful patterns to replicate in future trades.
Essential Components of a Trading Journal
1. Trade Details:
Log fundamental information for each trade, including the date, instrument, entry and exit points, position size, and the outcome.
2. Trade Analysis and Rationale:
Capture the reasons behind each trade, such as market analysis, utilized indicators, or significant news events influencing your decision.
3. Emotional Insights:
Document the emotions felt before, during, and after each trade, which will help you identify emotional triggers impacting your decision-making.
4. Results and Lessons Learned:
Reflect on the trade’s outcome and the insights gained. Did it align with your expectations? What could be improved next time?
By consistently maintaining these entries, your trading journal will allow for systematic performance tracking, enabling you to conduct insightful trade analysis and continuously enhance your trading methodology.
The Key Benefits of a Trading Journal
Maintaining a trading journal provides numerous benefits that can significantly elevate your trading performance over time. From honing decision-making skills to fostering emotional discipline, a trading journal is an invaluable asset for anyone committed to enhancing their trading approach.
1. Enhanced Decision-Making:
Analyzing past trades enables you to discern patterns in your decision-making process, both successful and otherwise. You might uncover that certain strategies work better under specific market conditions or that impulsive trades frequently lead to losses. Understanding these patterns grants you valuable insights for making informed, calculated choices in future trades.
2. Improved Emotional Control:
Trading often involves a rollercoaster of emotions, with factors like fear and greed skewing decision-making. Documenting your feelings during trades can help you identify emotional triggers and develop strategies to manage them, maintaining objectivity and preventing emotions from derailing your trading plan. Over time, this fosters emotional control, which is crucial for sustained trading success.
3. Increased Consistency and Discipline:
A trading journal encourages consistency by promoting adherence to your trading plan and strategies. By recording every trade—regardless of its outcome—you cultivate a disciplined mindset that helps you avoid impulsive decisions and maintain a structured approach aligned with your objectives.
How to Establish Your Trading Journal
Creating a trading journal is quite simple; the key lies in selecting the right format and knowing what to document. Follow this guide to set up a journal that effectively tracks your trading performance and identifies growth opportunities.
Selecting Your Format:
1. Digital Applications:
Tools like Evernote, OneNote, or specialized trading journal software offer accessibility, data backup, and automation. Many apps include analytics features for streamlined performance tracking.
2. Spreadsheets:
Utilizing Excel or Google Sheets affords flexibility and customization. You can craft a spreadsheet tailored to your needs, complete with specified fields, formulas, and visualizations.
3. Paper Journals:
For those who prefer a tactile approach, a traditional notebook can suffice. While writing by hand fosters reflection, it lacks digital conveniences like searchable records.
Crucial Information to Record:
To enhance the effectiveness of your trading journal, make sure to include these key data points:
- Entry and Exit Points:
Log the precise times and prices at which trades are entered and exited.
- Position Size and Trade Details:
Note the trade size, instrument, and any pertinent details.
- Motivation for the Trade:
Document the analysis or strategy that influenced your trade decision, whether rooted in technical analysis, fundamental factors, or broader market trends.
- Emotional State:
Record your feelings throughout the trading process to better understand emotional influences.
- Trade Outcome and Lessons:
Reflect on the trade's success and any insights gained, noting what worked well or what didn’t.
Starting a trading journal requires minimal time but can significantly affect your long-term ability to track performance and improve.
Read Also:
Reviewing Your Trading Journal for Growth
A trading journal can only yield benefits if you regularly review and analyze its contents. Consistent reviews enable you to identify patterns, adjust strategies, and enhance your trading acumen.
Setting Review Periods:
Designate time—weekly, biweekly, or monthly—to review your journal. These sessions reinforce your commitment to your goals and reveal areas needing adjustment, ensuring ongoing learning from your trades.
Spotting Patterns and Mistakes:
Analyze your trades for recurring themes. Determine if you consistently act on particular signals or if emotional responses lead to poor decision-making. Acknowledging frequent mistakes marks the first step toward correcting detrimental behaviors.
Implementing Adjustments:
Leverage insights from your journal to modify your trading strategies. If a specific method isn’t yielding results, revise or replace it accordingly. If certain emotional triggers lead to losses, develop coping mechanisms to mitigate their influence.
By committing to regular reviews, you can transform your trading experiences into invaluable lessons that foster better habits and skills.
Read Also:
Maximizing the Benefits of Your Trading Journal
To fully reap the rewards of a trading journal, it's crucial to engage with it effectively. Here are tips to enhance your journaling experience:
1. Maintain Consistency:
Regularly enter details after every trade or at least daily. This practice captures relevant details while they’re recent, building a robust record for analysis.
2. Practice Honesty:
Accurately document both successes and failures. A truthful account allows for clearer insights into areas needing improvement, as self-awareness plays a vital role in progress.
3. Utilize Visuals:
Incorporate charts, graphs, or screenshots to enrich your journal. Visual aids facilitate pattern recognition and provide a more comprehensive understanding of your trading performance.
Read Also:
Conclusion: The Transformative Role of a Trading Journal
A trading journal is an essential tool for any trader pursuing consistent success. By meticulously recording trades, scrutinizing decisions, and learning from both victories and defeats, you can sharpen your skills, master your emotions, and cultivate a disciplined approach to the markets. Beyond merely documenting past trades, a trading journal offers critical insights that can profoundly influence your long-term performance. By consistently utilizing this resource, you can decipher your unique trading habits, refine strategies, and ultimately boost your confidence in decision-making.
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Bollinger Bands: Basics and Breakout Strategy🔵 What are Bollinger Bands?
Bollinger Bands are a popular technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger in the early 1980s. They help traders analyze price volatility and potential price levels for buying or selling. The indicator consists of three lines plotted over a price chart:
Middle Band: A simple moving average (SMA), typically set to a 20-period average.
Upper Band: The middle band plus two standard deviations.
Lower Band: The middle band minus two standard deviations.
🔵 How Are Bollinger Bands Calculated?
Middle Band (MB): MB = 20-period SMA of the closing price.
Upper Band (UB): UB = MB + (2 × standard deviation of the last 20 periods).
Lower Band (LB): LB = MB - (2 × standard deviation of the last 20 periods).
The bands expand when volatility increases and contract when volatility decreases.
length = 20
basis = ta.sma(src, length)
dev = mult * ta.stdev(src, length)
upper = basis + dev
lower = basis - dev
🔵 How to Use Bollinger Bands in Trading
Bollinger Bands provide insights into market volatility and potential price reversals. Traders often use them to:
Identify overbought (price near the upper band) and oversold (price near the lower band) conditions.
Spot volatility contractions, which often precede significant price moves.
Confirm trend strength and potential reversals.
🔵 Bollinger Bands Breakout Strategy
One effective strategy involves preparing for breakouts when the upper and lower bands contract, indicating low price momentum.
Strategy Steps:
Identify Low Volatility Zones: Look for periods when the bands are close together, signaling a potential breakout.
Prepare for a Breakout: Monitor price action as it approaches either the upper or lower band.
Entry Signal: Enter a trade when the price closes above the upper band (for a long position) or below the lower band (for a short position).
Stop Loss Placement:
For long entries (break above upper band): Set stop loss at the lower band.
For short entries (break below lower band): Set stop loss at the upper band.
Profit Target: Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or close the position when price shows signs of reversal.
Example Charts:
🔵 Final Thoughts
This Bollinger Bands breakout strategy is simple yet effective. By recognizing periods of low volatility and preparing for breakouts, traders can capitalize on significant price movements. Always complement this strategy with proper risk management and confirmation indicators for optimal results.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and traders are solely responsible for their own decisions and actions.
GBP/USD - Pound Pummels Dollar!With three consecutive weeks of bullish price action, we have seen the impact it's had on the Dollar index, sliding to new weekly lows. If this continues, we can expect the continuation of GBPUSD to run up into the 1.27000 region.
We have seen the successful delivery of bullish price action last week. When will this run end?
How to Set Multiple TPs...for BeginnersHey Rich Friends,
I wanted to share how I find multiple TPs for my Forex trades using free tools and only 1 technical indicator. This strategy is perfect for beginners because it is easy to follow and has clear confirmations for entering and exiting a trade in profit, even if it hits your Stop Loss.
I keep my charts clean and let price action do the talking. Here's my setup:
✅ Session Breaks & Horizontal Lines – I mark the previous day’s highs, lows, and key levels to identify potential areas of interest.
✅ Stochastic for Entries & Exits – I use the Stochastic indicator to time my trades when the price reacts at my key levels (80 and 20 are very important here!)
✅ Horizontal Lines = Potential TPs – Instead of setting a take profit, I let the market tell me when to exit based on price action around these levels.
Less noise, more precision. Drop a "7" if you made it to the end of the video and let me know if it was helpful!
Peace and Profits,
Cha
Bitcoin: Bybit Hack Surprise? Watch For 90K.Bitcoin has established a lower high at the 100K range resistance. In this context it appears a support break (lower low) is more likely to follow. This means a 90K retest can unfold as early as this week. Will 90K hold? There is NO way to know, it all depends on the price action that unfolds at that level. Having opinions of the future will NOT help you at all, ESPECIALLY in this environment.
Case in point: over the previous week, we had Coinbase reveal that the SEC is planning to give up their legal case against them, Bitcoin goes to 99K. This level is the range resistance that I specifically highlighted in my previous week's article. This is followed by The Bybit hack which brought price right back to the 94K range low. Knowing your levels would have prepared you much MORE effectively to navigate the price action around these moves compared to simply reacting to the news.
One observation I would like to assert here is the fact that 99K was rejected so quickly. These situations often attract a LOT of longs who then get stuck in the trade because the unexpected reversal. These longs will be pushed out of their positions if price extends too far which will bolster selling pressure. It is this process that can facilitate the move to 90K especially if it is accelerated by more unexpected bearish news.
As a swing trader, it is best to WAIT for levels in this situation, evaluate the price action, measure risk and wait for some form of confirmation, I repeat this all the time. It is the best we can do, and AVOID trying to forecast the future. Unless you were an insider at Coinbase or a member of the hacking team, you had NO idea that these events were coming. And with the new administration in this country, new financial drama can come out of no where at any time. All I can say is focus on price levels and trend structure and you will be much better prepared than most.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
The Two Minds of a Trader: Analysis vs. ExecutionTrading is a game of probabilities, discipline, and emotional control. Yet, most traders unknowingly sabotage themselves by letting their analytical mind interfere with their execution. Understanding the distinction between the Analytical Mind (The Analyst) and the Execution Mind (The Trader) can significantly improve your trading performance. I’m Skeptic , and today, I’ll break down how to master these two mental states.
The Analytical Mind vs. The Execution Mind
The Analyst: The Market Forecaster 🔍📊
This is the part of your mind that loves to analyze, predict, and overthink.
It constantly searches for confirmation and the perfect setup.
It’s responsible for drawing support/resistance levels, using indicators, and finding confluence zones.
Often, it falls into the trap of “analysis paralysis,” hesitating to take trades due to over-analysis.
🛑 Biggest Mistake: Letting the Analytical Mind interfere with execution.
The Trader: The Decision Maker 🎯💰
This is the part of your mind that follows a structured, predefined trading plan.
It focuses on executing rather than predicting.
It respects stop-losses, sticks to the plan, and doesn’t chase the market.
It manages risk effectively and understands that losses are part of the game.
✅ Key to Success: Training the Execution Mind to act without emotional interference from the Analytical Mind.
How to Stop Overthinking and Trade with Confidence
1. Create a Clear Trading Plan 📝
A structured plan removes uncertainty. Before you enter a trade, you should already know:
Your entry triggers (specific price action setups, indicators, or fundamental conditions).
Your risk-to-reward ratio (R/R) and stop-loss placement.
Your profit-taking strategy (scaling out, trailing stops, etc.).
💡 Example:
I personally use setups based on support/resistance, RSI divergences, and volume confirmation.
I’ve backtested these setups with 30+ trades per condition, ensuring their viability.
This confidence in my system allows me to execute trades without second-guessing.
2. Separate Learning from Execution 🚧
One of the biggest mistakes traders make is learning while trading.
Before the trade: This is the time for analysis and preparation.
During the trade: This is execution mode—stick to your plan, no second-guessing.
After the trade: Review and learn. This is when you refine your strategy, not during a live trade.
3. Reduce Information Overload 📉
Too much knowledge can be detrimental in trading.
Many traders believe that knowing more = better trading. This is a myth.
The best traders master one or two strategies and refine them instead of constantly searching for new indicators.
Focus on backtesting and forward-testing instead of endlessly consuming content.
🚨 Reality Check: Traders 100 years ago made consistent profits without advanced indicators, algorithms, or AI models. Why? Because they focused on mastering risk management and execution instead of drowning in endless analysis.
Final Thoughts: Train Your Execution Mind
Trust your plan: If you’ve done your homework, your only job is to execute without hesitation.
Less is more: Reduce unnecessary analysis and stick to core principles.
Be patient: The best traders don’t chase trades—they wait for their setup.
📌 Key Takeaways: ✅ Stop over-analyzing and start executing.✅ Confidence comes from backtesting and having a structured plan.✅ The market rewards discipline, not predictions.
Which mindset dominates your trading—Analyst or Trader? Drop a comment below and let’s discuss!
🔹 I’m Skeptic, and my goal is to help traders gain clarity and consistency in their journey. Let’s grow together!
Leap Ahead with a Dynamic Setup: Trading with Andrew’s PitchforkThe Leap Trading Competition: A Chance to Trade Micro Euro Futures
TradingView’s "The Leap" Trading Competition provides an opportunity for traders to apply their futures trading strategies in a competitive environment. Participants can trade select CME Group futures contracts, including Micro Euro Futures (M6E).
This article presents a structured trade setup using Andrew’s Pitchfork, a technical tool that helps define potential trend direction and breakout levels. The setup involves two intersecting pitchforks near a key UFO support level, signaling the possibility of either an uptrend continuation or a confirmation of a new downtrend.
Understanding Andrew’s Pitchfork and Market Structure
Andrew’s Pitchfork is a technical analysis tool used to identify trend channels by plotting three parallel lines from a major price swing. The tool helps traders anticipate support, resistance, and breakout levels based on median lines.
In this setup, two pitchforks define opposing market structures. The green pitchfork represents an uptrend, suggesting that price could continue higher. The red pitchfork represents a developing downtrend, indicating a possible reversal. The intersection of these pitchforks at a key UFO support level marks an important decision point for the market.
The Dynamic Trade Setup: Long and Short Scenarios
In a long trade scenario, entry is confirmed if price breaks above the Upper Median Line (UML) of the red pitchfork. The target for the trade is the Median Line (ML) of the green pitchfork, representing trend continuation. A stop loss is placed below entry at a distance that ensures a minimum 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
In a short trade scenario, entry is confirmed if price breaks below the Lower Median Line (LML) of the green pitchfork. The target for the trade is the Median Line (ML) of the red pitchfork, confirming further downside movement. A stop loss is placed above entry at a distance that maintains a minimum 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
Because the UML, LML, and ML levels change dynamically with each bar, breakout levels and targets must be adjusted accordingly. If price remains inside the pitchfork structure, the setup remains neutral until confirmation occurs.
Contract Specifications and Margin Requirements
Euro FX Futures (6E) details:
Full contract specs: 6E Contract Specifications – CME Group
Contract size: €125,000
Tick size: 0.00005 per EUR/USD ($6.25 per tick)
Margin requirements depend on broker conditions and market volatility, currently around $2,600 per contract.
Micro EUR/USD Futures (M6E) details:
Full contract specs: M6E Contract Specifications – CME Group
Contract size: €12,500 (1/10th of 6E)
Tick size: 0.0001 per EUR/USD ($1.25 per tick)
Lower margin requirements provide access to traders with smaller accounts, currently around $260 per contract.
M6E offers a lower-cost alternative to 6E, making it a useful instrument for adjusting position sizes and managing risk effectively. Traders should consider market conditions and leverage when determining position sizes.
Execution and Trade Management
Before executing a trade, price must confirm a breakout by fully breaking above UML for long trades or below LML for short trades. Additional confirmation through volume trends, momentum indicators, or candlestick patterns may help validate the move.
If price does not confirm the breakout, the setup remains invalid. If price re-enters the pitchfork channel, traders should reassess market structure before taking a new position. Stop losses should be maintained at levels that align with a structured risk-reward plan.
Conclusion
Andrew’s Pitchfork provides a structured approach for trading trend continuation and reversals. This setup allows for both long and short breakout opportunities, depending on how price reacts at key pitchfork levels.
For traders in The Leap Trading Competition, this setup highlights the importance of disciplined execution, waiting for confirmation, and managing risk effectively when trading futures.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
TradingView 2024 Community AwardsThe 2024 Community Awards are here and they’re better than ever! All of you have made this ceremony a celebration of achievements, revelations and lessons. Enough with the sentimentalities — let’s go straight to the numbers!
In 2024, our community posted 771,813 public Ideas. Credit where credit is due. This number is a testament to your commitment to spreading trading knowledge and sharing your unique insights.
We’re grateful to see so many of you use the TradingView platform to have your voice heard and work appreciated ( and judged maybe, looking at you, picky hard-to-please traders ).
👉 Some more numbers:
✔️ Public scripts published: 60,078
✔️ Comments posted: 785,559
✔️ Public chat messages posted: 10,176,868
✔️ Minds Posted: 471,823
✔️ Minds Comments: 448,370
✔️ Ideas selected for Editors' Picks: 8,686
🤑 Editors' Picks Rewards paid (value): $46,200
🏆 And now — the winners!
Drumroll please… 🥁
🚀 Most Boosted Idea
The trading community couldn’t get enough of these. The most rocket-fueled, fire-starting ideas of 2024 that had traders hitting "Boost" without hesitation.
XAUUSD:29/2 Today’s Analysis and Strategy by @ActuaryJ
Liquidity as the Key to understanding the Market by @glazirovaniysirok
BTC Market Cycle | Repetitive and Predictable Market Cycle by @TeeBusa
🎬 Most Boosted Video Idea
When a single idea is so compelling, traders practically demand to see it in motion. These video ideas topped the charts and had everyone pressing play.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up details by @darcsherry
A Trading Plan Is Important For Success - Here Is Mine by @fxtraderanthony
USDJPY - beginning stages of a drop! by @Taneesha
📊 Most Boosted Educators
The true market whisperers. These educators turned complex charts into lightbulb moments, proving that great teaching is just as valuable as a great trade.
Don't Get Duped by the RSI by @ParabolicP
Powerful Fibonacci Trading Strategy For Beginners by @VasilyTrader
The Ultimate Guide on Elliott Waves in Crypto Trading by @Skyrexio
💬 Most Commented Ideas
Some ideas spark interest. Others start full-on debates. These top three had traders talking, arguing, and dissecting every detail throughout the year.
🅱️ Final Warning: A 50% Capitulation Drop Will Lead To 30K by @MasterAnanda
Bitcoin: How a Great Idea Became a Speculative Mania. by @holeyprofit
BITCOIN POTENTIAL EUROTLX:4K Target On Potential Major BEARISH FLAT by @noble1ones
🎥 Most Commented Video Ideas
A video idea so thought-provoking, the comment section became a trading battleground. These were the three that had traders weighing in with strong opinions and fresh insights.
SPY: What next? by @Steversteves
Why will Ethereum drop toward 2500 level by @ShinForex1
NVDA Video Update Correction vs Reversal by @RealMacro
💬 Most Commented Education Ideas
Knowledge is power, but discussion makes it unstoppable. These top three educational ideas sparked the most conversations, debates, and "aha!" moments in 2024.
DECEMBER ALTCOIN ANALYSIS REQUEST by @weslad
Predicting Bitcoin's Cycle Using the Elliott Wave Theory, Part 2 by @XForceGlobal
Bitcoin REALISM by @Mayfair_Ventures
🧠 Most Upvoted Minds Posts
Big-brain energy at its finest. These posts weren’t just read—they were respected, earning nods from the sharpest minds in the community.
AMD Mind Analysis by @FiboTrader1
Gold Mind Analysis by @Bullionbuzz
XAU/USD Mind Analysis by @Med_In_Trade
⚙️ Most Boosted Pine Scripts
A script so powerful, traders couldn’t help but hit boost. These top three stood out as game-changing tools that made trading smoother, faster, and smarter.
Machine Learning Adaptive SuperTrend by @AlgoAlpha
Linear Regression Oscillator by @ChartPrime
DTFX Algo Zones by @LuxAlgo
🌲 Most Commented Pine Scripts
The scripts that made devs and traders alike drop everything to talk about them. These three had the community dissecting every line of code.
Mxwll Price Action Suite by @MXWLL-Capital-Trading
Ichimoku Oscillator by @LonesomeTheBlue
Live Economic Calendar by toodegrees by @toodegrees
📚 Most Commented Pine Libraries
The libraries that had coders, quants, and strategy builders obsessed. These weren’t just resources; they were the foundation for countless new trading tools.
HTFCandlesLib by @Trendoscope
Order Block Drawing by @TFlab
ottlib by @ismailcarlik
Trading isn't a solo sport — the best ideas, tools, and insights come from a thriving community. These winners didn’t just post content — they shaped the conversation in 2024, sparking discussions, refining strategies, and making TradingView an even better place for traders of all levels.
To celebrate their contributions, each of the winners in every category will receive a one-year Premium plan for free. All selections are final and won’t be debated (gotta keep it fair and free from vote-stuffing shenanigans) Keep those great ideas coming! Prizes will be assigned before the end of February, so stay tuned. And who knows? Maybe next year, it’ll be your name on this list. 🚀
Is Alibaba still a BUY ?Now, from being ostracised by the Central government to being in the limelight after 3 years, we are now seeing Alibaba returning to stage once again and capturing the hearts of "love and hate" retail investors.
Those who had bought it around 200 price level back then would be relieved in some way to see the share price slowly inching back to their purchase price and their paper loss amount reducing. Hope this gives them a good night sleep.
There are many school of thoughts in investing and to say that one school is better than the others would be biased and self centred. There are factors like risk tolerance, time frame of investment, capital, knowledge of market, etc.
If you are in your mid 50s, would you want to risk say 10K to invest in this stock? Yes, if you believe in its growth story and you have a higher risk appetite and if the price falls back to 80 , you are OK and would not have sleepless night. It is too simplistic to say that people in this age category should invest in dividend stocks - a broad base of market categorisation.
However, if you are in your 20s but you are a thrifty little squirrel and have not heard of the stock market, fearful even to do paper trade, then it is wiser not to put even 1k in this growth stock. At less than 2% dividend, you are better off parking your funds in the government bonds.
So, to answer a straight YES or NO without considering the background of the investors would be putting the cart before the horse. Everybody situation is different and those who have bought are somewhat biased else they would not have bought it and those who think all China stocks are uninvestable would naturally stay away even this tech giant in China.
For me, I am riding on the rally and awaiting for it to pull back to 120-125 price level before accumulating. Please DYODD
BTC Bitcoin - Upside Likely THIS WEEK (Thanks Retail Liquidity)Here's a challenge for you:
How many places of built-up liquidity can you spot on this chart that indicated where price is heading to...?
Post your chart below.
Admittedly this isn't the easiest environment to trade in, but still the clues are there.
Plus: DXY Dollar is weak for now, so XXXUSD seem more likely to be Bullish.
Now we stalk it and wait to see the flip to the Upside (if it happens). The invalidation point is the clear last Wick low.
There could be more opportunities later to scale in.
------------------
Are you seeing price action here the same as I am?
If not, comment below and tell me if I'm missing something...
XRP The Greatest Deception & Delusion In Crypto History!I cannot believe how many have fallen for this deception. I cant believe how many are about to get scammed and rug pulled by Ripple. The amount of hype this thing has had over the years is simply amazing, just to keep it afloat so Ripple can sell their holdings to unwary, and naive investors. The number of influencers getting paydays because of clicks and subs by pumping this thing with their wild and wacky delusional predictions should be criminal. The amount of people being led to slaughter is going to absolutely be awful. This crypto is going to destroy so many investors wallets, hopes, and dreams. I cant believe this crap. Lets break this piece of turd down so a layman and children can understand because those are the only ones who would invest in something so worthless.
I know, I know but banks, banks, banks, banks! Yeah yeah yeah Garlic Bread shook Trumps hand I know I know. Lets get real here kids!
No banks are going to hold anything that is as volatile as this crap. The new stable coin RLUSD has officially made XRP useless. Why would any bank use something that can change in price within minutes over a stable USD pegged asset. They simply will not.
Also lets clarify some things here:
SANTANDER
Santander does not use XRP to power its One Pay FX service, which is a blockchain-based international money transfer service. Instead, Santander uses Ripple's xCurrent, a blockchain software that enables real-time tracking and settlement of payments
STANDARD CHARTERED BANK
You can't currently send money through Standard Chartered Bank using XRP tokens, but you can send and receive XRP using other services. Standard Chartered Bank works with a number of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, and stablecoins. Standard Chartered offers a variety of services for digital assets, including custody, trading, and banking. NOT JUST XRP
BANK OF AMERICA
You can't currently send money through Bank of America using XRP, but you can send money using Bank of America's wire transfer service. Bank of America (BoA) has been exploring Ripple's blockchain technology and XRP, and may use XRP for payments in the future.
MARKET CAP OF XRP TOKEN VERSUS OTHERS
XRP MARKET CAP $144 BILLION
MONEYGRAM $1 BILLION
WESTERN UNION $3.66 BILLION
SANTANDER BANK $93 BILLION
STANDARD CHARTERED BANK $27 BILLION
PAYPAL $77 BILLION
JP MORGAN CHASE BIGGEST BANK IN WORLD! $785 BILLION
AMERICAN EXPRESS $218 BILLION
BANK OF AMERICA $353 BILLION
CITI GROUP $160 BILLION
So you're trying to tell me that XRP market cap of $144 billion isn't already overvalued like crazy! Its worth more than Moneygram, Santander, Western Union, Standered Chartered Bank, Paypal, and Citigroup. For what reason would it be actually worth that much right now when everything is mostly just hype and speculation and being duped. Even if every bank did use it they arent holding onto it. They are simply buying it and then selling it instantly and converting it to whatever fiat the exchange called for. Simpletons believing that XRP can actually be worth $100 or $500 each is so crazy and stupid its hard to believe no one can do math. This thing will be lucky to double top and let you get out. Its going to crash in an epic fashion because its value to worth is so far off its insane.
Some more facts!
All XRP was pre-issued at launch, unlike cryptocurrencies that use mining
The XRP creators gifted the company 80% of all XRP, keeping 20 billion units for themselves
80% OF XRP WENT TO THE COMPANY FOR CRYING OUT LOUD!
WILL BANKS USE XRP WITH IT BEING SO VOLATILE?
Banks might use XRP despite its volatility because it functions as a bridge currency, allowing them to quickly and efficiently settle cross-border transactions at a lower cost by converting currencies into XRP instead of relying on traditional fiat currency exchange processes, which can be significantly slower and more expensive; essentially, the price fluctuations of XRP become less relevant when used solely as a TEMPORARY intermediary in transactions. KEY WORD TEMPORARY. BUY, SEND, SELL! NO ONE IS INVESTING IT IT ITS MERELY A SETTLEMENT CURRENCY.
The Ripple network, where XRP operates, is designed to provide readily available liquidity for cross-border transactions, meaning banks don't need to hold large reserves of various currencies! Wake up people, and now that the stable coin is running on the Ripple RLUSD, there is NO USE FOR XRP THE TOKEN. XRP was simply a token to dump on clueless investors to keep the company Ripple going.
If you think that all these institutions want to invest in XRP and theres this huge demand for institutional buyers of XRP lets take a look at Grayscale the closest thing available to big investors on the stock market.
SOME GRAYSCALE HOLDINGS
XRP $14 MILLION
ZCASH $13 MILLION
HORIZEN $14 MILLION
XLM $41 MILLION
CHAINLINK $22 MILLION
BITCOIN CASH $134 MILLION
ETHEREUM CLASSIC $240 MILLION
LITECOIN $260 MILLION
XRP is on the same level as Horizen and ZCASH, one of their lowest holdings. This is a clear sign that no big money wants anything to do with XRP the token because if they did they would be investing through the trust. XRP the token was a scam from the get go to get the insiders rich and to pay for the development of Ripple the company. If and when Ripple the company goes public do you really think your precious XRP token will be worth anything. NO IT WONT. THEY WILL HAVE THEIR OWN DAMN TICKER THAT HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH XRP.
Oh and the ETF, No f'ing way that thing will ever get approved while the SEC is still going after it. Get real! Even so even if THE SLIGHTEST CHANCE it did it'll have as much demand as the XRP Grayscale trust, NONE IT'LL BE A DAMN DUD. No big money will touch this with a 1000 foot pole. Not with the company holding still almost 60% of the supply. Its a honeypot for the creators.
None of this is meant to be financial advice just my opinion. Dont lose your shirts.
$BTC bearish outlook: $2B selling pressure incomingI am bearish on CRYPTOCAP:BTC for the following reasons:
1️⃣ The $Bybit hack resulted in a loss of $1.4B worth of $ETH. To continue trading, Bybit is currently bridging liquidity with Binance. However, this is only a temporary solution. Eventually, they will need to buy back $1.4B in ETH, and the only reserve asset large enough to cover this is Bitcoin. I expect at least SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B of BTC to be sold on the market to acquire the necessary ETH.
2️⃣ The hackers are liquidating their $1.4B in stolen ETH. Since smart contract-based assets can be traced and frozen, their best option is to swap to CRYPTOCAP:BTC , which is harder to track and cannot be frozen.
In total, Bitcoin faces a potential selling pressure of over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , which is enough to significantly impact its price.
📉 Given that Bitcoin is already in a consolidation phase, this pressure could push the price down to $93K or even $91K.
📊 Expect dead cat bounces, where traders can profit, but be cautious—this selling pressure is real. Bybit needs to resolve its liquidity issues quickly, and the hackers are racing to cash out ASAP.
⚠️ DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Options Trading with TradeStation: TradingView ShowIn this video, we're diving into options trading with David Russell, Head of Global Market Strategy at TradeStation, for a live stream exploring the latest updates to the platform, especially the enhanced integration with TradeStation for options trading. This update enables TradingView users to access equity options trading for the first time with a US brokerage, making it easier to trade directly from the TradingView platform.
Learn how to read an options chain, create an options order, and combine options trading with charts, research, and more. The new integration, combined with TradingView’s suite of educational tools like the strategy builder, chain sheet, and volatility analysis, helps traders see the options market in a new way, with crystal clear visualizations and data.
This live stream will highlight how users can link their TradeStation accounts to TradingView for seamless options trading and explore the opportunities that come with these updates.
This educational session is a great chance to learn about the latest tools and strategies that can elevate your trading success.
Got questions or eager to dive deeper? Drop them in the comments below—we’re here to help!
Thanks for tuning in, and get ready as we have many more groundbreaking tools for you. Stay tuned for what's next!
Are Trump’s Tariffs More Bark Than Bite? What Markets Are SayingThe heated tariff drama is reverberating across global markets with a different impact depending on the region and the asset itself. Some markets, previously considered highly sensitive to extra tax charges, are actually doing better than the dominant stocks on Wall Street. Or maybe that’s just the calm before the storm? Let’s find out.
🌏 Are Europe's Stocks Great Again?
European stocks are leaving Wall Street equities in the dust, contrary to investor expectations ( contrarians, hat tip to you ). Since Donald Trump officially stepped into the top job in American politics (and started the whole tariff narrative) the Europe-wide Stoxx 600 index SXXP has gained roughly 6% to date. Its US counterpart, the S&P 500 SPX is up about 2.5% over the same time span.
Europe’s start-of-year spectacle is so good it prompted Bank of America analysts to dig into the archives and realize this is the old continent’s best opening since the 1980s. That is, while European countries struggle to power up their economies and the European Central Bank is dropping interest rates fast .
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite IXIC has fallen out of favor and is languishing around with a 2.2% increase since Trump took office. Moreover, the elite club called the Magnificent Seven is barely getting by. With the exception of Meta META , which is up more than 20% this year, all the others are either underwater or head above the water.
By the looks of it, Trump is gradually rolling out his punishing tariffs but European investors don’t seem too scared. Earlier this week, the US President revealed his intentions to slap the auto industry with a hefty 25% tariff starting April 2. Drugs and chips got picked on, too, with levies in the same neighborhood.
The auto space in Europe is bound to feel the weight of that auto tariff decision. Currently, Europe’s car manufacturers are taxed with a 2.5% levy on their way to the US. In the other direction, however, the US is obligated to pay a 10% duty when it imports cars into Europe.
The proposed auto tariffs knocked Asia’s automaker stocks during the Asian session on Thursday. The Nikkei 225 index NI225 was trading almost 2% lower with the auto sector dragging the broad performance.
👀 What’s Happening Elsewhere?
Gold XAUUSD is apparently the biggest winner of the tariff threat. As long as it doesn’t get slapped with one. The yellow metal has skyrocketed to levels near $3,000 with a Thursday session high of $2,955 per ounce, breaking its record made earlier in the week . What a bonanza for gold bugs as their main asset is up 15% since mid-December with no corrections and no signs of slowdown.
The US dollar has been taking blow after blow, giving rival currencies some much-needed reprieve . The dollar index DXY , measuring the buck’s strength against six forex rivals, is down about 3% from its two-year peak in early January.
Bitcoin BTCUSD , the fire-breathing volatility dragon, has actually been pretty tamed up as Trump’s crypto working group has stayed mostly tight-lipped over the prospects of crypto-friendly legislation. Prices of the orange coin celebrated inauguration day with an all-time record but have slipped 11% since then to dive back under $100,000.
Against that backdrop, what are you loading up on? Are you stacking up some European shares and shunning their US peers? Or you’re after that OG token under $100,000? Let us know in the comment section!
Sneaky Breakouts: Recent IPOs Reddit and KlaviyoThe charts above highlight Klaviyo and Reddit. The first thing I must say is I am not long either of these companies. I am simply using them as a barometer to spark some research. What I find interesting about both of these names is the way they have marched to all-times and being somewhat new companies to the market. Both have IPO'd within the 12-24 months.
Reddit, however, is a bit more widely known and many of you have followed its breakout. So, in contrast, the chart at the top left of KVYO is very interesting because it is not widely followed or discussed. They are a company at the forefront of automated marketing messaging. Klaviyo enables businesses of all sizes to streamline their customer engagement, transforming a marketing team into a full-fledged messaging powerhouse, allowing brands to automate emails, SMS, and push notifications with data-driven precision.
But the real reason I’m sharing this chart isn’t just about what Klaviyo does—it’s about what its stock is doing alongside another recent IPO like Reddit.
Klaviyo went public on September 20, 2023, pricing its IPO at $30 per share and raising approximately $576 million, giving it a valuation around $9 billion at the time. The stock initially saw strong demand, opening at $36.75 on its first day of trading. Now, months later, it has quietly surged to new all-time highs, a move that flew under my radar.
This has me thinking: what other recent IPOs are quietly breaking out? Historically, some of the best-performing stocks in the market have been newly public companies that start to trend higher after an initial post-IPO base. Names like Shopify, CrowdStrike, and Datadog all had explosive runs after establishing themselves post-IPO. Klaviyo’s move could be an early signal that a new wave of breakouts is forming, and I’m looking for the next in line.
Beyond IPOs, I’m also watching broader shifts in the market, particularly how AI is reshaping industries. AI-driven automation is evolving beyond simple efficiency tools into full-fledged AI agents capable of transforming cost structures for companies. From marketing to customer service to software development, businesses that leverage AI in ways that improve margins could be tomorrow’s biggest winners. The question now is: which companies are positioned to capitalize on this shift?
This is my focus—hunting for epic breakouts, whether it’s fresh IPOs like Klaviyo or companies leading the next wave of AI-driven disruption.
If you know of any, add them to the comments below!
2 Ways to Potentially Gauge a Dip in PriceTrading markets should be simple right? Establish the direction of a price trend, take a position in the direction of that trend and enjoy the ride!
Of course, in practice, we all know trading is never that easy. All traders go through similar anxieties regarding whether the current level is the correct one to trade.
Perhaps one of the hardest challenges if you want to buy an asset, is when a high in price has already been established and prices are selling off. Are you now wrong with your view to buy, or should this sudden weakness be used as an opportunity to take a long position at possibly a better level?
As traders, we face these decisions every day, but fortunately, technical analysis offers several tools to aid us. Today, we want to look at 2 approaches that can assist in gauging how far a correction in price may go, and if we should consider that dip in price as an opportunity to take a position or not.
Previous Highs as a Support:
We all know prices never move in straight lines, be it to the up or the downside. Corrections are often seen as a healthy counter move to the on-going trend. However, being able to anticipate the extent of such weakness and when to make that trade, can be vital.
If we look at the chart of the UK 100 Index above, we can see that between May 15th 2024, when the index traded to a high of 8477 and August 5th 2024, when the 7906 low was posted, a period of sideways price activity materialised.
An upside closing break from this range materialised on January 17th 2025, at which point, traders perhaps began to anticipate a more extended phase of price strength.
However, as we’ve said, prices don’t always move in straight lines, even after such a break higher. Often, a pullback in price develops, offering opportunities to enter the market at potentially a better level than if we’d blindly followed price strength after the initial break higher.
A pullback in price is perfectly normal and doesn’t alter possibilities of a more extended phase of price strength. However, the challenge is anticipating where support may be found again, to hold and resume the advance.
Often, old price highs can be useful, as having previously marked resistance to price strength, once broken they can become support on dips, and may hold future price weakness, even turn it higher once more.
Within the UK 100 index, we might consider 8418 from August 30th and 8477 from May 15th as old price highs, which might then become support, after the January 17th upside break in price.
To highlight this possible support area marked by these previous price highs, where buying opportunities might have been offered in the UK 100 index during the January price setback, we’ve drawn two horizontal lines on the chart below.
Following the January 17th 2025 upside break, having previously been a resistance focus, the 8418 and 8477 highs, might now became potential support to a dip in price, possibly able to hold and reverse the correction back to the upside.
This 8418/8477 range, proved to be support when tested on January 27th 2025, from which price strength developed again, to post new all-time highs.
Importantly, it is possible given that this 8418/8477 range proved to be support in January, it could do so again, so keep that in mind, if price weakness develops, at any point in the future.
Using The 10 Day Moving Average to Act as a Support to Price Dips:
In the example above, the UK 100 index correction in January lasted several days, and in certain cases, this could even last weeks. However, what if price is already within an established uptrend? It’s here that setbacks may be seen over a shorter period of time with shallower price declines.
In this type of set-up, it is often the rising 10 day moving average that marks the extent of a price dip, before turning price activity higher again.
As an example, let’s look at Gold during 2025 so far, focusing on each recent setback in price. During this latest advance, it has been the rising 10 day moving average that has provided support for price dips on each occasion. Subsequent strength then extended the uptrend to new all-time highs.
Within such an advance, as traders, we might focus on the rising 10 day moving average to highlight possible support to short term price dips within an uptrend, and an area we might wish to use to establish long positions, anticipating continuation of the on-going uptrend.
However, it is important to be aware, a break under the 10 day moving average support might reflect a change in price direction and see deeper declines. So the use of a stop loss to potentially protect any positions is important.
With all this in mind, last Friday (February 14th 2025) saw Gold weakness again back to the rising 10 day moving average support. It will be interesting to see if this holds the recent weakness to extend the current uptrend to new all-time highs, or if a closing break lower develops, suggesting risks could turn towards a more extended phase of price weakness.
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Celsius Stock is a fast grower at a good priceCELH is a high growth stock that has finally found a fair price.
It has a popular brand and is now available everywhere, including costco.
Pepsi is partnering with them.
Now that its down 75%, it on my radar as a fairly price high growth stock.
so what, what can I expect.
What Im hoping when I get a grower, is 20-40% per year.
I covered Palantir when it was under 10, and now its over 100 only 2 years later, a 10x.
Could that happen here, I have no idea.
All we can do is look for good value and reduce our risk by finding quality.
Cheers.
Solana’s massive slide: Smart money waiting for this level?Solana has taken a 43% hit from its peak, and while it might look tempting to buy, is it really the right time? In this breakdown, I compare Solana’s performance to Bitcoin’s decline and use multipliers to estimate where SOL might be headed next. With Bitcoin hovering near key support, another drop could trigger a bigger move lower for Solana—possibly down to $134 or even $120.
💡 Are you buying the dip, or do you think there’s more downside ahead? Let me know in the comments!
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Gold - A Bullish Close Would Be Insane!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) has to close bullish now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just since the end of 2022, Gold rallied about +80% which is simply unbelievable looking at the already significant market cap of the precious metal. However this bullrun does not seem to be over and if Gold confirmes the trendline breakout, another rally of +40% will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)