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Double Top on Tech?Technology stocks had a strong first half but could be ending the year on a weak note. Is the sector finally losing its leadership? Today’s chart of the SPDR Select Sector Technology Fund highlights the July 10 closing high of $237.68. XLK stalled around that same level a week ago, resulting in a potential double top on the fund. Second, prices have slipped below October's closing high of $233.73. That stands in contrast with other big sectors like Communications, Financials and Consumer Discretionaries. Third, relative strength in the lower study shows fading leadership in technology versus the broader market. We end with a look at Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , which has been a major driver of the sector this year. Notice the sharply rising lower trendline and the higher trendline with less of an upward slope. That kind of rising wedge is a potential reversal pattern. It could also raise the stakes headed into NVDA’s big earnings report after the closing bell next Wednesday, November 20. Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above: SPDR Select Sector Technology ETF (XLK) 1-year: +35.50% 5-years: +165.61% 10-year: +448.20% (As of October 31, 2024) Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs") are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
AMEX:XLK
by TradeStation
3
Streaming Wars | Who’s Winning, Losing, and Sharing Passwords ?Netflix Is Laughing, Cable Is Crying, and Amazon Is Sneaking Up Highlights for Today - Trends and Market Share - Disney: Streaming Profits on the Rise - Comcast: Cable Restructuring Underway - Warner Bros : Box Office Challenges - Paramount: Streaming Growth Amidst Challenges In the Battle for Loyalty, One Fact Stands Out: Netflix vs the Rest 1. Trends and Market Share Platforms like YouTube Premium, Amazon Prime, and Apple TV+ do not report quarterly numbers. Additionally, Disney+ Hotstar is excluded due to its planned merger with Reliance in 2025. Streaming continues to replace traditional linear TV, benefiting all players. Nielsen reports streaming comprised 41% of US TV time in September 2024, a 3.5-point increase year-over-year, primarily at Cable’s expense. Key Trends to Watch -Password-Sharing Crackdown: Following Netflix’s success, Disney introduced paid sharing in the US in late September, with effects expected to emerge in Q4. Max is also gearing up for this initiative. -Amazon Prime’s Growing Presence:CEO Andy Jassy revealed that Prime Video attracts over 200 million global viewers monthly. Combining exclusive content, live sports, and e-commerce integration, Amazon’s ecosystem presents a credible challenge to Netflix. -YouTube’s Dominance in Living Rooms: YouTube accounts for over 25% of US streaming TV time (excluding YouTube TV) and continues to grow. Alphabet disclosed that YouTube’s ads and subscriptions brought in $50 billion in revenue over the last 12 months, surpassing Netflix’s $38 billion. -Subscriber Trends: Tentpole events, like the Olympics for Peacock or hit series like House of the Dragon for Max, drove sign-ups. However, retention remains a challenge for all but Netflix. 2. Disney: Streaming Profits Rise Disney’s fiscal year ends in September, with Q3 FY24 covering the June quarter. -Streaming Profits:Disney’s direct2consumer (DTC) segment, which includes Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, posted its second consecutive profitable quarter, generating $321 million in operating income. Core Disney+ subscribers rose by 4.4 million, reaching 123 million, driven by ad-supported tiers. -Box Office Wins: Hits like Inside Out 2 and Deadpool & Wolverine powered $316 million in studio profits. Disney became the first studio to surpass $4 billion in global box office revenue in 2024. - Challenges in Parks: Parks and Experiences revenue dropped 6% to $1.7 billion, impacted by hurricanes, rising costs, and competition from the Paris Olympics. Domestic attendance held steady, while international parks struggled. - Linear TV Decline: Revenue fell 6%, with profits plunging 38% to $498 million as cord-cutting and reduced ad sales weighed heavily. Disney plans to integrate streaming and linear TV rather than divest assets. - Optimistic Outlook: Disney expects earnings growth in FY25 (high single digits) and double digits in FY26 and FY27. Blockbusters like Moana2 and Mufasa:The Lion King are anticipated to maintain momentum. Takeaway: Disney’s Q4 highlighted strides in its streaming turnaround, buoyed by box office wins. However, the decline in linear TV underscores the challenges of transitioning in a shifting media landscape. Strong content and a focus on profitability position Disney for success under Bob Iger’s leadership. 3.Comcast: Cable Restructuring -Olympics Drive Growth:The Paris Olympics boosted NBCUniversal’s revenue by 37%, generating $1.2 billion in advertising and adding 3 million Peacock subscribers, which now total 36 million. -Streaming Expansion: Peacock’s revenue rose 82% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, with losses narrowing to $436 million from $565 million last year. -Cable Struggles: Cord-cutting led to a loss of 365,000 cable TV subscribers, with video segment revenue down 6.2%. Comcast is exploring a spinoff of cable networks like Bravo and CNBC to prioritize growth areas. -Theme Parks Slow: Theme park revenue dipped 5% to $2.3 billion as domestic attendance normalized post-COVID. -Broadband Trends:Despite losing 87,000 broadband customers, revenue increased 3%, with higher average revenue per user. Takeaway:Comcast’s Q3 reflected both opportunities and challenges. While the Olympics showcased its media strength, declines in cable TV and theme parks persist. Streamlining through a cable spinoff could sharpen its focus, but sustaining growth in Peacock and broadband remains critical. 4.Warner Bruh : Box Office Challenges -Streaming Growth:Max gained 7.2 million subscribers, reaching 110.5 million globally, supported by international expansion and hits like *House of the Dragon*. Streaming revenue rose 9%, marking Warner’s first profit since 2022. -Box Office Struggles:Studio revenue declined 17%, with theatrical revenue falling 40% due to a weaker film slate (*Beetlejuice Beetlejuice* and *Twisters* compared to last year’s *Barbie*). Video game revenue dropped 31%. -Mixed Network Results:Network revenue grew 3% from the Olympics and *Shark Week*, but advertising revenue fell 13%. The $9.1 billion NBA impairment from Q2 continues to loom. -Debt and Cash Flow Issues:** Free cash flow dropped 69% to $632 million, with $41 billion in debt. Warner renewed its Charter Communications deal to bolster stability. -CEO’s Confidence:David Zaslav emphasized Max’s momentum, projecting $1 billion in streaming profits by 2025 and hinting at password-sharing monetization. Takeaway:Warner’s Q3 highlighted streaming success but underscored its dependence on Max as traditional film and TV segments falter. Balancing debt, declining cash flow, and expanding streaming profitability will be key to its stability. 5.Paramount: Streaming Growth -Streaming Success:Paramount+ gained 3.5 million subscribers, reaching 72 million, thanks to sports like the NFL and UEFA and shows like *Tulsa King*. The streaming unit achieved a $49 million operating income, its second consecutive profitable quarter. -TV and Film Challenges:TV revenue fell 6% due to lower ad sales and declining cable subscribers. The film division saw revenue plummet 34%, with theatrical revenue dropping 71%. -Merger Progress:Paramount’s merger with Skydance Media is on track for early 2025, following the exploration of 12 potential bidders. -Cost-Cutting:Paramount has completed 90% of its $500 million cost reduction initiative, resulting in layoffs and asset write-downs. -Strategic Shift:Paramount is seeking a streaming joint-venture partner to better compete with Netflix and Disney while managing cable TV’s decline. Takeaway: Paramount’s streaming gains are encouraging, but traditional TV and film struggles persist. The Skydance merger offers a potential transformation, though stabilizing legacy businesses remains a significant hurdle.
NASDAQ:CMCSAEducation
by moonypto
15
Long-Term Investment: Building Wealth for the FutureHave you ever thought about the astounding fact that the S&P 500 has achieved approximately a 10% average annual return over the last ninety years? This statistic serves as a powerful reminder of the effectiveness of long-term investment strategies for accumulating wealth. In contrast to short-term trading, long-term investing emphasizes the gradual growth of your financial assets through the benefits of compounding returns and the overall growth of the market. Yearly Chart of the S&P 500 For individuals seeking financial security and stability, embracing a long-term investment approach is essential. This strategy involves holding onto investments—such as stocks, bonds, or real estate—over extended periods, enabling them to endure market volatility and benefit from economic growth. By concentrating on long-term objectives, you establish a strong foundation for sustainable wealth, making it suitable for those in pursuit of financial independence and a prosperous future. Grasping the fundamentals of long-term investing and applying effective strategies can help you sidestep impulsive decisions and distractions associated with short-term market movements, keeping your attention focused on achieving lasting wealth. - The Importance of Long-Term Investments for Wealth Creation - Long-term investments are crucial for wealth creation, primarily because of the advantages of compound returns. Compounding allows your initial returns to generate further earnings, leading to exponential growth over time. The longer you stay invested, the more substantial the effects of compound interest become, facilitating significant wealth accumulation. Consider this example: if you invest $10,000 at an 8% annual interest rate, at the end of the first year, your investment will grow to $10,800. In the following year, interest is calculated on $10,800 rather than the original $10,000, boosting the total to $11,664. Over decades, this compounding phenomenon can lead to remarkable increases in wealth, underscoring the effectiveness of long-term investments. In addition to the benefits of compounding, long-term investments help mitigate risk. While short-term market fluctuations can be erratic, historical evidence shows that markets generally trend upward over time. Holding investments over more extended periods allows you to ride out volatility and avoid rash decisions during downturns. This approach encourages a mindset of patience and commitment, reducing the likelihood of common errors, like panic selling during market declines. Achieving success in long-term wealth accumulation requires a disciplined approach—sticking to your investment plan despite market fluctuations. Coupled with the advantages of compound interest, long-term investing becomes a dependable pathway toward financial growth and the fulfillment of your aspirations. - Key Long-Term Investment Options - When considering your options for long-term investments, it's imperative to assess choices based on your risk tolerance, growth prospects, and their alignment with your broader financial strategy. Here are several proven avenues for long-term investors to explore: 1 - Stock Market The stock market is a favorite among long-term investors, offering multiple avenues for wealth-building. Index funds and Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are particularly appealing due to their broad market exposure. Index funds are designed to track major indices such as the S&P 500, which has historically provided an average annual return of around 10% over the past nine decades. These funds are not only cost-effective but also inherently diversified, making them an excellent choice for novice investors and experienced portfolios alike. ETFs share many similarities with index funds but offer more flexibility as they can be traded like individual stocks. For those inclined to take a more active role, investing in individual stocks can be rewarding, provided thorough research is conducted and a focus is maintained on companies with strong growth potential. However, it's essential to balance investments in individual stocks with safer alternatives, especially within a long-term strategy. 2 - Real Estate Real estate represents another robust option for long-term investing, known for generating consistent returns through property appreciation and rental income. It provides a tangible asset, generating ongoing cash flow and serving as a hedge against inflation. Historically, property values have shown a tendency to increase over time, making real estate a fundamental piece of many long-term wealth-building strategies. Investing in real estate can take various forms, such as acquiring residential or commercial properties, or investing in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), which allow for real estate investment without the need for direct management. Leveraging real estate through mortgages can maximize its potential as a long-term wealth generator, although it’s crucial to consider associated costs like property maintenance and taxes. Key factors to consider when investing in real estate include location, property condition, and prevailing market trends. Properties situated in high-demand or growing areas usually appreciate at a faster rate and tend to attract more reliable tenants. Understanding local market dynamics and regulations can enhance your investment decisions and outcomes. 3 - Bonds Bonds are often regarded as the safety net within an investment portfolio, providing stable and fixed income, along with lower volatility compared to stocks. They are well-suited for investors who prioritize security or are approaching retirement. Government bonds, such as U.S. Treasury bonds, are typically the safest option but come with lower yields, while corporate bonds offer higher returns but carry additional risks. Incorporating bonds into your investment portfolio can help cushion against stock market fluctuations, ensuring steady returns and protection from extreme volatility. For beginners, bonds can particularly aid in maintaining portfolio stability over time. When considering bonds, it’s essential to evaluate the issuer's credit rating, as this significantly influences the bond's risk profile. Higher-rated bonds (e.g., AAA) tend to be less risky but offer lower returns, while lower-rated bonds (e.g., junk bonds) may yield higher returns at an elevated risk. Diversifying your bond holdings across different issuers and maturities can also aid in risk management. 4- Retirement Accounts (401(k), IRAs) Retirement accounts such as 401(k)s and IRAs are vital for accumulating wealth in a tax-efficient manner. These accounts afford substantial tax benefits: contributions to traditional IRAs and 401(k)s are tax-deductible, with earnings growing tax-deferred until retirement. Roth IRAs necessitate after-tax contributions, enabling tax-free withdrawals in retirement. Retirement accounts facilitate consistent investing over decades, capitalizing on employer matching programs available with 401(k)s. This type of compounding can transform modest contributions into significant sums, making retirement accounts a crucial vehicle for long-term financial success. When utilizing retirement accounts, it’s important to contemplate your retirement timeline and the investment options within these accounts. Traditional accounts may be advantageous for those expecting to be in a lower tax bracket during retirement, while Roth accounts could benefit individuals anticipating higher tax burdens in the future. Regular reviews and adjustments based on your investment goals and risk tolerance are also essential. - Crafting a Long-Term Investment Strategy - Creating a long-term investment strategy entails careful planning and steadfast execution. Whether you are embarking on your investment journey or refining an existing plan, these steps will guide you towards sustainable financial growth: 1- Define Your Financial Goals and Assess Risk Tolerance Before diving into investments, outlining your financial objectives and understanding your risk tolerance are critical. Clarify what you aim to achieve—be it retirement preparation, purchasing a home, or funding education. Clearly defined goals will steer your investment choices and help you remain focused during market fluctuations. Equally important is gauging your risk appetite. Younger investors typically have the flexibility to take on more risk, while those nearing retirement may gravitate towards conservative strategies that emphasize capital preservation through bonds and lower-risk assets. For instance, if you aim to retire in 30 years, a portfolio with a heavier allocation to stocks may be appropriate, given their potential for higher returns despite short-term volatility. Conversely, those closer to retirement may want to shift towards bonds and dividend-paying stocks to reduce risk while ensuring a consistent income. 2- Diversify Your Portfolio Diversification is an integral aspect of any long-term investment strategy. It involves allocating your investments across different asset classes—stocks, bonds, and real estate—to mitigate risk. By diversifying, you shield your portfolio from the detrimental effects of poor performance in any one area. For example, if equities suffer during an economic downturn, your bond or real estate investments may yield positive returns, buffering against significant losses. This balanced approach is key to navigating market volatility and enhancing overall performance. Additionally, consider diversifying within asset classes. In the stock segment, this may involve investing in various sectors and industries. For bonds, diversification means holding an array of types with varied maturities and credit ratings. A well-structured portfolio could include a mix of domestic and international stocks, government and corporate bonds, in addition to real estate investments. By broadening your investments across asset classes and geographical areas, you effectively mitigate risks tied to any single investment or market. 3- Implement Dollar-Cost Averaging Dollar-cost averaging is a strategy that entails investing a fixed amount at regular intervals, independent of market conditions. This approach allows you to buy more shares when prices are low and fewer when they are high, gradually reducing your average cost per share over time. This method helps mitigate the emotional impact of market volatility, proving particularly beneficial for novice investors. By focusing on the long-term while minimizing the effects of short-term fluctuations, dollar-cost averaging can promote the growth of your wealth. To optimize dollar-cost averaging, consider setting up automatic contributions to your investment accounts. This ensures consistent investment practices and makes it easier to resist impulsive decisions based on market activity. 4-Regularly Rebalance Your Investments Over time, some of your investments may outperform others, resulting in your portfolio shifting away from its intended allocation. For example, if stocks exceed bonds in performance, your portfolio may become skewed toward equities. To maintain your desired risk profile, it is crucial to periodically rebalance your investments. Rebalancing involves selling portions of assets that have performed well and reinvesting the proceeds into underperforming assets, thus maintaining your risk tolerance and capturing growth opportunities in undervalued investments. Keeping your portfolio aligned with your long-term strategy fosters steady financial growth. Establish a rebalancing schedule that corresponds with your investment style and market conditions. Some investors may opt to rebalance annually, while others might prefer quarterly or semi-annual adjustments. Additionally, consider rebalancing in response to significant market changes or personal circumstances that impact your financial goals or risk appetite. 5- Review and Refine Your Strategy Long-term investing necessitates ongoing attention. Regularly reviewing your portfolio, monitoring performance, and adjusting your strategy according to shifts in your goals or market conditions can help keep your investments aligned with your objectives. Conducting yearly reviews or quarterly assessments enables you to stay on track and make informed decisions. Monitoring entails evaluating how your investments stack up against your goals and making adjustments when necessary. For instance, if there’s a substantial change in your risk tolerance due to major life events such as marriage or retirement, you may need to alter your asset allocation accordingly. Stay updated on market trends and economic indicators that may influence your investments. While it’s important to avoid overreacting to short-term market changes, being informed allows you to make educated decisions and adapt your strategy when the situation demands it. By adhering to these principles and embracing a long-term perspective, you can lay the groundwork for substantial wealth accumulation and financial independence in the future. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
SP:SPXEducation
by FOREXN1
11
BTCUSD - Using Fibonacci To ScalpGood morning everyone! A bit of a different video today - more of an educational video. This is how I use fibonacci when I do trading. Over the last couple days, Bitcoin has been a great asset to scalp. I don't leverage trade often, but when I do, I try and look for the high probability setups. Using the 61.8% internal retracement fibonacci (fib) level, you can find a great place to make a trade, both long or short. After dropping from 93k to 88k, we can measure that move and find where the price action would move 61.8% within it. That's where you attack. Risk management? Well, from there, you need to give yourself some wiggle room. As you can see from the video, price action navigated within my stop territory, but you can use the 78.6% fib level (beyond the 61.8 level) as a stop. Typically, if price action gets to that 78.6% level, it's not going to stop. Target? I outlined two ways to get a target, but typically when you do get a rejection off that 61.8, you should be targeting the -23.6% fib extension target. That's basically exactly where bitcoin landed - around 87k. That is the general rule of thumb when trading with fibonacci - which as I mentioned in my video update - is one of the ONLY leading indicators - meaning it can give you insights into the future vs just explaining in many ways what has already happened. Have a great day everyone!
Education
by bitdoctor
10
Grasping Forex Volatility: How to Trade in Choppy & Calm WatersWhen it comes to the forex market , volatility isn’t just a side effect—it’s the main event. The constant ebb and flow of currency prices can be exhilarating or exasperating, depending on how good you are. Volatility can shift from a calm sea to a rogue wave, often without warning, leaving traders either riding high or clutching their lifebuoys. To help you navigate the forex waters like a pro, especially if you’re a newcomer, we’ve whipped up this Idea with some key insights and revelations. The Art of Trading During High Volatility High volatility tends to be thrilling—big price swings, rapid moves, and plenty of adrenaline. For the well-prepared trader, these market conditions are like surfacing a giant wave; the payoff can be huge, but it demands skill, timing, and control. Why High Volatility Happens Interest rate announcements, economic releases, geopolitical turmoil—high-impact events send volatility soaring. During these times, spreads can widen, price slippage creeps in, and liquidity often gets tighter, making precision essential. While the reward potential is high, the risks are right there with it. Think of high-volatility periods as power tools; they’re incredibly effective in the right hands but can quickly cause damage if used recklessly. Strategizing in the Fast Lane When volatility spikes, flexibility is key. One popular approach is to shorten your trading timeframe. Rather than holding out for the moon, focus on capturing smaller, rapid gains and set tighter stop-loss levels to limit downside. Pay attention to the economic calendar —if the Federal Reserve is set to speak, or if non-farm payrolls data is due, get ready to adapt fast. And if you’re following price trends, make sure to use a healthy dose of confirmation bias: watch those moving averages , MACD signals , and RSI readings , and let them do their job before you jump in. Finding Opportunity in Low Volatility Markets At the opposite end of the spectrum, low volatility often gets a bad rap. Price moves seem sluggish, the market consolidates, and excitement seems as far away as Friday on a Monday. But low volatility doesn’t mean no opportunity. It simply requires a shift in tactics. Why Markets Go Quiet Periods of low volatility often occur in the absence of major news or when traders are holding back, waiting for an upcoming event. These consolidating markets are common around holidays, just before important announcements, or in times of economic stability. Reading Between the Lines Trading in a low-volatility environment means you’re often dealing with range-bound markets. Here, the game is all about patience and precision. Use support and resistance levels as guardrails—when prices reach the top of a range, it’s often time to sell; when they reach the bottom, consider buying. But a word to the wise: low volatility doesn’t stay that way forever. A period of consolidation can quickly give way to breakout action. Keep an eye on breakout indicators like Bollinger Bands ; when they start expanding, it might signal the market’s about to wake up from its nap. Choosing the Right Pair Certain currency pairs are naturally more volatile than others. Major pairs like EUR/USD , GBP/USD , and USD/JPY see consistent action due to their high trading volume, but if you’re hunting high-pitch volatility, take a look at pairs like GBP/JPY , EUR/JPY , or any pair involving emerging market currencies like the Mexican Peso or South African Rand. Keep in mind, though, that with higher volatility comes a need for tighter risk control. On the other hand, when markets are in a lull, the majors are often your best bet. During low-volatility periods, the big, liquid pairs are less prone to the kind of wild fluctuations that can eat away at gains. Trading low-volatility pairs in a low-volatility market can keep you out of whipsaw territory and add some consistency to your returns. Leverage: Powerful yet Dangerous, and Not Always Your Friend Let’s get something straight: leverage in a high-volatility market can be like playing with fireworks. It’s all great until you get burned. When markets are moving fast, a little leverage goes a long way, but too much can quickly wipe out gains (and accounts). Dialing down leverage during volatile times can keep your trade within control without losing out on potential returns. In low-volatility markets, leverage might seem tempting as a way to amplify those smaller moves. But here’s the catch—just because volatility is low doesn’t mean you’re free from risk. Markets can turn on a dime, and it’s always better to live to trade another day. Use leverage sparingly, no matter what the market mood may be. Liquidity: The Grease That Keeps the Forex Machine Running Smoothly If volatility is the main character, then liquidity is the supporting cast, keeping everything steady when the markets get choppy. High liquidity—think major pairs like euro-dollar and dollar-yen—means your orders are filled fast and spreads stay tight, giving you a bit of breathing room. But liquidity can shrink fast in low-volume sessions, during major events, or with exotic pairs. That’s when spreads can widen unexpectedly, slippage sneaks in, and you might get more excitement than you bargained for. When volatility is high, liquidity can drop as big players step back, causing prices to jump erratically between buy and sell points. If you’re trading into the storm, consider the liquidity squeeze a warning: stick with high-liquidity pairs, watch those spreads, and avoid getting caught in thin markets. In fast-moving conditions, liquidity is your safety net, so stick with the pairs that offer deeper pools of it. In low-volatility markets, liquidity is usually stable. With tighter spreads and less risk of slippage, low-volatility conditions let you plan range-bound trades with more confidence. It’s one of the perks of low volatility: while big moves may be rare, the market structure tends to hold, keeping your trades smoother and more predictable. The Bottom Line: Volatility is a Double-Edged Sword High or low, volatility is something every trader has to contend with. The key is to approach it with strategy, patience, and adaptability. Anyway, here’s the advice you didn’t ask for: in high-volatility times, trade quickly, tighten your stops, and keep your leverage modest. In low-volatility environments, embrace the calm, focus on range trading, and don’t fall asleep on potential breakout signals. The forex market rewards those who play by its rules, adapt to its moods, and respect its risks. So, what kind of trader are you? Do you chase the thrill of big moves, or find comfort in the steadiness of a quiet market? Share your thoughts below!
Education
by TradingView
7
Mercedes-Benz group AG- An opportunity to buy/Average down.Hello, Today we will be looking at a buy opportunity from Mercedes solely using the tools available on Tradingview. Mercedes-Benz Group AG engages in the business of manufacturing and distributing premium cars. It operates through the following segments: Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Mobility. The Mercedes-Benz Cars segment includes the brands Mercedes-AMG, Mercedes-Maybach, and Mercedes-EQ. All this is found in overview section www.tradingview.com TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data) Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- The stock has corrected and is at the bottom of a flat pattern Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- The indicator is confirming purchase. Zero crossover on MACD soon. (MACD) is a technical indicator to help investors identify entry points for buying or selling Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- Future wave as shown Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target price EUR 76 (A good stock to buy/average down) Key highlights from the Mercedes-Benz Group's Q3 2024 interim report Revenue: €34.5 billion in Q3 2024, a 7% decrease compared to Q3 2023. For the first nine months, revenue totalled €107.14 billion, down by 5%. Net Profit: €1.7 billion in Q3, down by 54%, and €7.7 billion over nine months, a 31% reduction. Mercedes-Benz Cars: Unit sales were down by 1% to 503,600 vehicles in Q3. Electrified vehicle sales fell by 15%, and BEV sales dropped by 31%. Mercedes-Benz Vans: Sales declined by 13% to 91,100 units in Q3. Electrified van sales also decreased by 31%. Mercedes-Benz Mobility: New financing and leasing contracts fell by 14% compared to Q3 2023 R&D expenditure increased by 13% to €2.9 billion in Q3, with a focus on digitalization and electrification Company highlights can be found on the statements section or the news flow section www.tradingview.com Next earnings report date: February 13, 2025 (Q4 report 2024) The next earnings date can be found for each company www.tradingview.com Opportunities Mercedes-Benz is a globally recognized and respected brand in premium and luxury automobiles, giving it some resilience against fluctuations in car sales. The company’s strong focus on research and development, especially in electric powertrains, positions it well for growth as clean-air regulations continue to tighten worldwide. Management’s long-term goals for return on sales indicate that there is opportunity for further growth, suggesting potential upside to valuation. Risks to consider The global premium car market is highly competitive, and consumers have many choices, making it easy for them to switch between brands. The auto industry faces increasing global overcapacity, leading to pricing pressure. Given its capital-intensive nature, achieving strong economic returns over a 10-year period remains challenging. While Mercedes has maintained good union relations with its German workforce, union influence is substantial, with employees electing half of the supervisory board members. This strong union presence can limit profit margins due to wage demands during prosperous times and work rules that reduce flexibility in manufacturing. Our recommendation Since November 2021, Mercedes-Benz stock has traded in a sideways range between EUR 52 and EUR 76. Despite this, the company remains a globally recognized premium and luxury brand. This positioning continues to provide resilience against high sales fluctuations, making it a standout in the competitive global luxury car market. Mercedes-Benz Cars continue to face weaker macroeconomic conditions and fierce competition, mainly in Asia. The company is actively undertaking a share buyback. In Q4 2024 the Mercedes-Benz Group opened Europe’s first battery recycling factory in Kuppenheim, southern Germany. Valuable, limited raw materials such as lithium, nickel and cobalt can be recovered and are to be used to manufacture new battery cells for Mercedes-Benz vehicles. This buyback, along with the company’s strong positioning and stock’s trading range, presents a potential buying opportunity with a target price of EUR 76 despite the weak Q3 results. Our recommendation is buy/Average down. Mercedes-Benz’s commitment to research and development, particularly in electric powertrains, positions it advantageously for growth amid tightening clean-air regulations worldwide. Goodluck & all the best.
XETR:MBGLong
by thesharkke
9
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Major Crash? Warning Signs Ahead!👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently surged to all-time highs, but is the rally about to reverse? On the 1M monthly timeframe, a key horizontal resistance level is flashing warning signals. BTC appears heavily overbought, and the trend shows clear signs of overextension. 📉 Using advanced trading concepts like Wyckoff theory and ICT methodology, this video breaks down: 
 - How historical price action reveals similar overextended moves that led to significant pullbacks. - Why the Fibonacci tool suggests a potential retracement to equilibrium after a parabolic price swing. - The lack of smart money accumulation since the last major price breakout, signaling potential vulnerabilities. 🔍 We’ll examine two key scenarios: 1. Bearish Opportunity: If price action breaks structure and takes out existing range lows, it could signal a deeper correction. 2. Bullish Opportunity: If BTC trades into a discounted zone below equilibrium, this could present a strong buy opportunity for longer-term positioning. 📊 This analysis is for educational purposes only and highlights the importance of managing risk in a market known for its volatility. Past performance is no guarantee of future results—trade wisely and always assess your risk tolerance! 👉 Don’t miss this critical breakdown. Learn how to read the charts like a pro and prepare for what’s next in Bitcoin’s journey!📊
by fxtraderanthony
45
Tesla's Next Move: Will 360 Be the Target, or Are We Going LowerGood evening, trading family. Tesla is at an exciting crossroads, and we’re keeping a close eye on the key levels ahead. Let’s break it down: Upside Potential: 325: First step if the market pushes upward. 338: A critical resistance—breaking this could lead to 360+. Downside Risks: 298: A potential level for support if we pull back. 287: A deeper support level if selling continues. At the MindBloome Exchange, we care about your success. Trade what you see, stay patient, and let the levels guide you. Kris / Mindbloome Trading
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Mindbloome-Trading
12
AUD/USD Reaches New Low: Technicals Highlight Bearish TrendThe AUD/USD pair has sunk below 0.65000, hitting a low of 0.64529, reflecting a persistent bearish trend for the Australian dollar. This decline aligns with the strong US dollar index at 106.4 amidst robust post-election performance. The RBA's steady interest rate at 4.35% and lackluster employment growth in Australia indicate ongoing economic pressures that may limit the Aussie’s recovery. Meanwhile, anticipated rate cuts by the Fed could introduce USD vulnerabilities, adding complexity to the pair's future trajectory. Traders should closely monitor economic indicators and central bank policies in both regions for potential market shifts.
by tastyfx
5
The TradingView Show: Strategy Session with OKX Product PartnerWelcome, TradingViewers! 🚀 Get ready for an exciting and educational live stream designed to empower traders of all levels! In this broadcast, we’ll dive deep into markets starting with a top down research process, looking at the macro picture first, then zooming in to the moves that are shaping markets right now. We'll also dive into Pine Script, the election, recent moves as the year comes to an end, and much more. Our partner OKX has brought on one of their product partners to walk our audience through the charts. Remember: OKX is a partner and integrated broker of ours. Connect your OKX account to your TradingView account to get started by clicking the Trading Panel below the chart. Here’s what we’ll cover: 1. Top-Down Market Research: Start with a macro view of the markets and learn how to break down the big picture to make better, more informed trading decisions. 2. Crypto Market Updates: Get the latest insights and analysis on cryptocurrencies and what’s driving the market right now. 3. Pine Script Deep Dive: Learn how to leverage Pine Script to enhance your trading strategies and build custom indicators on TradingView. 4. Trading the Election & Year-End Moves: Understand how political events and seasonal market shifts are influencing price action as we approach the end of the year. 5. Live Q&A: Have your trading questions answered in real time by industry experts, and get tailored advice to level up your trading skills. Follow OKX on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Sit back, ask questions, and enjoy the show! Please note: This show is only for education and entertainment.
B
by TradingView
5
XAU/USD : CPI is coming, Bull or Bear ?Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after entering the highlighted demand zone, gold has delivered a return of over 270 pips so far and is currently trading around $2611. It’s important to note that today we have the CPI data release, which could significantly impact gold prices. If the CPI figures come in higher than expected, we’re likely to see further declines in gold, and vice versa if the data comes in lower. Key demand zones remain at $2586-$2593 and $2555-$2562, while important supply zones are $2610, $2619-$2626, and $2643. Additionally, the recent sharp declines in gold have created several liquidity gaps, marked in purple on the chart, which are expected to be filled in the medium term as the price recovers. Stay cautious and keep an eye on these levels, as well as the CPI announcement, for potential trading opportunities! The Last Analysis : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
66
AUD/USD sinks to new lows as focus shifts to Aussie jobs dataWhether you’re talking price action or momentum, AUD/USD looks terrible on the daily, taking out the intersection of the US election lows and downtrend support with ease on Wednesday. Momentum is with the bears; RSI (14) has cut its uptrend like a hot knife through butter while MACD has crossed over from above, confirming the bearish signal. Selling rips and bearish breaks may prove more successful than buying dips in this environment. The short setup would be to sell here or wait for a potential squeeze towards .6513 as traders anticipate another stellar labour force report – there have been plenty of those recently. That would allow for a tight stop to be placed above the level, providing appealing risk-reward for those targeting a retest of key uptrend support at .6375. The last time the Aussie interacted with the level during the Japanese market meltdown of August, it resulted in significant bullish reversal, underlining its technical importance. As such, it looms as an obvious target. Good luck! DS
Short
by FOREXcom
9
Verizon: Weak in a Strong MarketThe S&P 500 just had its biggest weekly rally in a year, but Verizon Communications didn’t participate. Are the bears moving in? The first pattern on today’s chart is the trio of drops following the last three quarterly reports. Those may reflect weakening sentiment towards the telecom’s fundamentals. Second, VZ peaked below $45.55 in late September. That was a long-term low from May 2022, which may suggest old support has become new resistance. Next, VZ has chopped around its 2023 high of $42.58 but is now below it. That could be a sign of resistance taking hold. Fourth, last week’s slide below the 200-day simple moving average could mark an end to its longer-term uptrend. Finally, MACD is falling. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:VZ
by TradeStation
1
Dogecoin Outpaces Bitcoin with 180% Post-Election Boom. When $1?In a much-wow fashion, Dogecoin DOGEUSD broke out of the pack with a 180% post-election rally. It did way better than Bitcoin BTCUSD . But what’s really behind the speculative gains and is there more room for growth? Like, say, can Dogecoin hit $1? It’s a possibility. Let’s dig into it. We’ve all heard about Bitcoin BTCUSD — the orange coin that shook up the fabric of global financial markets and rewired how we think about money and investments. But a small yet mighty cryptocurrency is befriending the small yet ambitious trader. Dogecoin DOGEUSD , the people’s digital asset and Elon Musk’s favorite coin, has posted some howling returns after Election Day vaulted Donald Trump to the top job in American politics. The Shiba Inu-themed coin has soared 180% since November 5, outperforming the big guy Bitcoin with its 30% rise for the same time span. How did that happen? It’s mostly Elon Musk and his lofty aspirations for Dogecoin. “Supporting Doge wherever possible,” the Tesla boss said back in 2022. Conveniently placed front and center for the meme-loving crowds, this iconic meme token is easy to scoop up in boatloads, empowering retail investors with a feeling of accomplishment. Dogecoin’s price was last seen floating near 40 cents, up from 15 cents before the election result. Bitcoin, on the other hand, is priced at just under $90,000 , powering higher in a record-setting run, and that makes it look much less affordable and less likely to appeal to retail traders. But looking at the plain price tag is misleading without factoring in the market cap, which shows you how much the token is worth. In Dogecoin’s case, the 40 cents translate to something big. It’s no joke. Even though the sole purpose of Dogecoin was to be a joke. Back in 2013, Dogecoin was created as a satirical homage to Bitcoin. But if that coin back then had a puppy-like valuation of a couple millions, today it’s a $60 billion unleashed beast that's ready to chew up and spit out your portfolio. It holds about 2% dominance of the overall crypto market cap and it's worth more than Ford F , which churns out annual revenue of $180 billion and boasts a 121-year history. Now digital-asset enthusiasts, especially the Dogecoiners around, are pinning their hopes on the iconic duo in the making — Donald Trump and Elon Musk. The two billionaires have apparently teamed up for the good of the crypto industry. Long story short — traders are betting on a crypto boom under President-elect Donald Trump. And Dogecoin might get pulled into the mix. Elon Musk has already openly stated he’d be happy to get involved with politics. But not just any politics. DOGE politics. And it’s official — Trump said late Tuesday he’s tapping Elon Musk to lead a new department aptly called Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE. The Tesla CEO will be joined by Republican presidential candidate Strive Asset Management co-founder Vivek Ramaswamy. “I am pleased to announce that the Great Elon Musk, working in conjunction with American Patriot Vivek Ramaswamy, will lead the Department of Government Efficiency (“DOGE”),” Trump said in the announcement , posted on his social media platform Truth Social. The duo is teaming up to “pave the way for my Administration to dismantle Government Bureaucracy, slash excess regulations, cut wasteful expenditures, and restructure Federal Agencies,” the President-elect added. All actions of the Department of Government Efficiency will be posted online for maximum transparency,” Musk said on his X platform . “Anytime the public thinks we are cutting something important or not cutting something wasteful, just let us know! We will also have a leaderboard for the most insanely dumb spending of your tax dollars. This will be both extremely tragic and extremely entertaining 🤣🤣” Given Musk’s unfaltering devotion to Dogecoin, it’s not unrealistic to predict a function for his beloved token in the newly-whipped-up department. In this context, a $1 price tag, according to many crypto faithful, might actually come to fruition at some point in the foreseeable future, propelling the cryptocurrency to a $130 billion market cap. But with all that hype, it could be difficult to go beyond the chatter and think clearly. And on the flip side, it may look easy to buy a dog-themed coin and retrieve some of those gains you see on the screen. Be careful, though — chasing down that game could lead to Great Dane-gers. Do you own any Doge? Or are you looking to buy if you’ve missed out on the red-hot beast-mode rally? Share your thoughts below and let’s spin up the discussion!
COINBASE:DOGEUSD
by TradingView
20
Gold soybean oil Monday Friday I posted that the goal was likely to go lower because the market Gap lower and even though the market went higher from its low it couldn't close the gap and that tells me that the markets likely to go to new lows even though it might temporarily shows some buying Behavior. that's what it did and it went even a few $1000 lower since the close of Friday and it still might go lower since there's no evidence of buyers even though the market is at a support resistance line. I think the unrealized drawdown from the high is 20,000 or so dollars and that does not make this Market bearish and if it goes lower as I suspect it will go lower.the market is Trading with significant volatility and expansion and that means the market is going to have bigger moves when it moves higher and bigger moves when it moves lower compared to markets that have very little volatility and very small range. I did not address this in the video because the video was on the laborious side.... sorry about that. it satis support resistance line, it has not closed an important Gap lower.... so it could go higher or lower but I think it's probably going to go lower. and a good portion of that analysis is that gold has been so bullish for a significant. Of time..... I think the sellers are ultimately going to push this a little bit lower and this can be very profitable for the smart money because the market is going to take out some of the late buyers who like to trade all-time highs which is a very difficult way to make money because this pattern suggests that a lot of people who were break out buyers are in trouble with their long trades because they got in to late. now if you have a lot of money and you think the markets going to find buyers and make new highs... maybe you can hold out and maintain your long position but if you got into this Market on the Breakout move higher and you're down $25,000 per contract because you were just too late.... it just think how you're going to feel if it goes down another $25,000 before it starts turning and going higher
COMEX:GC1!
by ScottBogatin
5
Dow Jones H1 | Falling to pullback supportDow Jones (US30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 43,909.20 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 43,600.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support. Take profit is at 44,527.74 which is a swing-high resistance at the all-time high. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:US30Long
by FXCM
7
NVIDIA is Poised to Reach $200NVIDIA is Poised to Reach $200 NVIDIA finally broke through its all-time high, which was reached on June 20, 2024, at $140.50. For about 110 days, the price has been developing a larger triangle pattern, accumulating bullish momentum. So far we have a clear bullish breakout and the price seems poised to reach $200. However, the first reasonable target I am looking at is near to $170. We should analyze it again later as long as the price is developing. You may watch the analysis for further details! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by KlejdiCuni
14
Ethereum Retail Investor Count Surges by 3.3 MillionEthereum Retail Investor Count Surges by 3.3 Million: The Road to an Altcoin Bull Run? Analyzing Changes in Ethereum's Retail Investor Count Over the past 60 days, we’ve observed a notable increase in the number of Ethereum retail investors. While the percentage increase may seem modest at 2.77%, this translates to approximately 3.3 million new retail addresses. With this rise over the past two months, the total number of retail investor addresses has reached 125.18 million. Could Retail Investors Be the Catalyst for a Bull Market? To answer this briefly: Yes. In a bull run, new investors entering the market are expected to drive a significant increase in demand. When supply is limited or relatively scarce, as with Ethereum, this demand surge is anticipated to lead to a substantial price increase. Given that Ethereum is often seen as the “father of altcoins,” this trend holds even greater importance. Why Is This So Significant? The Key to an Altcoin Rally: Ethereum Recently, Ethereum's price performance has lagged behind Bitcoin. In the last six months, for example, Bitcoin has gained 33%, while Ethereum's return has only been 10%. This discrepancy has left many altcoin investors disappointed. However, with Bitcoin dominance receding, we’re seeing Ethereum come back into the spotlight. Over the past week, while Bitcoin has risen around 19%, Ether has gained over 29%. Following Ethereum's rally, the entire altcoin market is experiencing a period of relief and upward movement. This is why Ethereum's price trends and volatility are crucial for a potential altcoin bull run. Monitoring on-chain data here can provide critical insights. How Can We Track This Data? Conclusion Through the IntoTheBlock & TradingView collaboration, you can track Ethereum's retail investor count under the "ETH_RETAIL" metric. Observing whether there’s a corresponding increase in retail interest following the recent price surge can offer insight into the rally’s sustainability. If there’s no notable rise in the retail investor count, expecting a strong, lasting bull run might be overly optimistic. Thus, on-chain data sometimes serves as a leading indicator, and at other times, it confirms trends. Thank you for reading.
ELong
by Bullfighterr
2
How to Analyze a Cryptocurrency: Fundamental & Technical StyleCrypto is fashionable again (was it ever out of fashion?), with Bitcoin BTCUSD pumping to a new all-time high above $82,000 . But with all that buzz and excitement, it’s easier than ever to get swept away in the tide of social media hype, viral memes, and “expert” Telegram signals chats. Is that real success in crypto trading? Not exactly. Real success requires more than just blindly following the noise. The savvy investor knows how to analyze a coin, piecing together a mosaic of factors to make some trading choice. Let’s break down 🤸‍♂️ how to do this effectively. When looking to analyze a cryptocurrency, there are two distinct approaches you’d want to consider — fundamental and technical analysis. This pair of viewpoints cuts through the noise and gets to the real story behind a coin. Coupling them together can be a powerful recipe for success. The Basics: Why You Need Both Fundamentals and Technicals Crypto analysis is all about the combination of fundamental and technical approaches. Fundamental Analysis (FA) helps you determine whether a cryptocurrency holds long-term potential based on its real-world application, team, and project structure. Technical Analysis (TA) lets you gauge market sentiment and potential price moves by analyzing past price actions and trends. Master both, and you’ve got yourself a complete toolkit. FA tells you if a coin is worth your time, and TA lets you fine-tune your entries and exits. Fundamental Analysis: Reading Between the Blockchains Fundamentals give you the long-term view—what a project stands for, what problems it’s solving, and whether it has staying power. A coin with solid fundamentals usually has a strong foundation, dedicated team, and clear purpose. Here are a few key aspects to evaluate: Use Case: Does This Coin Do Anything Useful? Not all coins are created equal, and some are, well… kind of a pointless joke, or created to be a pointless joke but turned out to be a big deal (did anyone say Doge DOGE/USE ?) If you want a real-world use case, look at Ethereum ETH/USD — it opened up the entire decentralized finance (DeFi) and smart contract universe. Now compare that to yet another dog-themed token. The key is to ask yourself: does this coin solve a real-world problem, or is it banking on social media likes? A strong use case equals a stronger shot at lasting value. Team and Leadership: Who’s Running the Show? The team behind a coin is often the make-or-break factor. You want to see solid, experienced people who’ve been in the space and know their stuff. Look for LinkedIn profiles, past projects, and what industry insiders are saying. Pro tip: if you can’t find the team anywhere online, or if their CEO goes by something like “CryptoKing” on Reddit or Telegram, proceed with caution (or dump it). Investors and Backers: Who’s Got Skin in the Game? In crypto, a solid roster of backers can be like a seal of approval — big-shot VCs, famous angel investors, or major blockchain funds often bring more than just cash. Big names like Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) or Pantera Capital backing a coin? That’s a good sign as they likely see something worth the investment. But let’s keep it real: even the pros get it wrong. Sequoia’s high-stakes investment in FTX? That didn’t age well. It went from a headline win to a headline regret. The lesson? Big names can be a great vote of confidence, but they’re no substitute for doing your own homework. Dig into how engaged these investors are. Are they making decisions or are they just a logo on the website? If they’re actually involved, it adds weight. Just remember: your best edge comes from putting in the research, not just riding on who’s along for the ride. Partnerships and Network: Are They Walking the Talk? A strong project is often backed by legitimate partnerships. Real collaborations with reputable companies from the industry show a coin has a foothold in the market, a strong network. But watch out for overblown claims—a name drop isn’t the same as a partnership. The best projects are the ones where you can verify the collaborations and see real interaction. Technical Analysis: Getting the Pulse of the Market If FA tells you what a coin is, TA tells you how it’s behaving in the market. TA is all about catching trends, spotting patterns, and getting the timing right. Here’s where to start: Indicators to Watch: Moving Averages, RSI, and MACD Moving Averages (MA): These smooth out price action to show you the market’s general direction. A 50-day MA crossing above a 200-day MA? That’s usually a bullish sign . Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI tells you if a coin is overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30), signaling potential reversals . MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it’s a buy signal; below, it’s a sell signal. This helps you ride momentum without getting whipsawed. Chart Patterns: Know Your Shapes Patterns like head and shoulders, double tops/bottoms, and trend lines are your map to market sentiment. Look for breakouts past resistance levels or breakdowns below support as entry and exit points. But stay flexible — that’s crypto and things can change on a dime. Meme Coins and the Hype Machine: Beware the FOMO If you’ve been in the crypto game for any time at all, you’ve seen the lure of meme coins. From Dogecoin to Shiba Inu, these coins have made some people rich — but they’ve also created some bagholders. Don’t Chase Trends: Just because a coin is all over TikTok doesn’t mean it’s a wise investment. Meme coins often rely on community-driven hype rather than any real-world utility. FOMO is the quickest way to make a costly mistake. Be Wary of Telegram and Discord “Tips”: While some groups are genuinely insightful, many operate more like echo chambers. If your trading strategy is “I saw it in a chat,” it might be time to rethink your approach. Look for projects with substance, not just the latest meme. Bringing It All Together: Using FA and TA for Smarter Trades Blending FA and TA lets you go beyond hype. Here’s a solid plan to put these tools to work: Research the Fundamentals: Assess if a project has real value based on its use case, team, and partnerships. Look for Technical Confirmation: Use technical analysis to decide the best time to enter and exit. Set Goals and Limits: Establish your profit targets and stop-loss points before you buy. Crypto trading is part science, part art. Fundamental analysis gives you the big picture, while technicals keep you tuned in to market conditions. Use them together, and you’ll be a lot less likely to end up with a token that’s only valuable for a while. Final Take: Follow the Data, Not the Crowd Crypto success isn’t about catching the latest Twitter trend — it’s about staying grounded in facts and making decisions based on data, research, and analysis. Use FA to pick projects that last and TA to catch price action at the right time. So, Which Type of Analysis Do You Prefer? Are you more of a fundamentals fan, focusing on the project’s long-term vision and team? Or do you live by the charts, riding trends and tracking indicators? Maybe you’re a mix of both? Whichever camp you fall into, we’d love to hear your thoughts. Drop a comment and share your go-to analysis strategy—let’s get the conversation started!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingView
13