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NZDCAD ____ TRADE IDEA FOR DAY TRADERSHello Day Traders, I come bearing bearish fruits. This trade is simply a continuation of the bearish trend. Looking at the daily chart, you will notice that the price structure in the past couple of days is bearish. Also, there was a price manipulation to the bullish side yesterday. This is very visible by just looking at how yesterday's candle closed. My speculation is that price would retrace into one of these order blocks and confirmation for the bearish continuation would be seen on lower timeframes. Which one of the order blocks would hold? well, I don't know but we shall see. I would like to also state that price might just continue selling to the target price without giving a retracement to any of the order blocks. Follow for more updates like this. Cheers, Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
GBPUSD ____ TRADE IDEA FOR DAY TRADERSHello Day Traders, What you can see is a sell setup on GBPUSD... Looking at the daily timeframe, you would notice that this pair is bearish in structure... Although the bullish rally is drawing closer, it is always advised you trade what you see not what you want the market to do. The daily chart shows that there is likely to be another daily bearish candle and looking at the 1-hour timeframe, it is clear that we have sell-side liquidity to sweep. It would be nice to see if price will trade into the order block before going to sweep the sell-side liquidity. Once price trades into the order block and there is confirmation in market structure shift from bullish to bearish, the target would be to hunt the sell-side liquidity as marked on my chart. Follow for more updates like this. Cheers, Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
5
GBPSGD _____ TRADE IDEA FOR DAY TRADERSHello Traders, I know this pair is not one that most people trade, however, the price structure of this pair presents a short trade for day traders. This pair has some bearish juice in it and based on the price structure, this pair is retracing after the bullish rally. If you look closely at how yesterday's candle closed, you will notice that the price was manipulated to the bullish side only to close bearish. Hence, a bearish continuation is probable. I'd like you to look at my speculation on GBPUSD for day traders (inserted below) Follow for more updates like this. GBPUSD ANALYSIS Cheers, Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
CADCHF ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders, Let's review CADCHF together... On the monthly timeframe, price should continue the bearish move... also the last month's candle represents a bearish continuation candlestick. On the weekly timeframe, you will notice the massive dump in price and how the price started retracing then printed a bearish continuation candle. Most times, when price dumps with speed, it hardly retraces higher... it makes a little retracement and continues the bearish move. This little retracement formed relatively equal lows (sell-side liquidity) which price will hunt. On the daily timeframe, you can see the sell-side liquidity clearly and you will also notice that I had marked two daily order blocks which price hasn't gotten to... but I notice price has formed a bearish CHOCH which could mean that price might likely not get to the two daily supply order blocks above because of the bearish momentum. I have updated my chart and inserted the daily order block formed by the bearish CHOCH. I'd wait for price to trade into the daily supply order block then go to the 1-hour chart for my trade setup to go short if it presents itself. See below correlated pairs: EURCAD & GBPCAD Follow for more updates like this. EURCAD ANALYSIS GBPCAD ANALYSIS Cheers, Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
GBPAUD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Guys, This pair is on my radar for one very strong reason amongst others... which is... in the monthly timeframe, the price is to continue the impulse leg... in the weekly timeframe, the price is printing the impulse leg and in the daily timeframe, price is retracing which I expect will get into the daily order block then continue the rally that is expected on the daily, weekly and monthly timeframes. You will also notice that the price has formed relatively equal lows (sell-side liquidity) on the lower timeframe which I have indicated on the chart for you to see which is just above the daily order block. As we know, liquidity and imbalances are what attract price... hence, I expect it to be swept which gives more reason why price might get to the daily order block. Once this happens, I will go to the 1-hour and wait for my trade setup to go long. My target price is gotten from the weekly chart. See correlated pair analysis: EURAUD & GBPCAD Follow for more updates like this EURAUD ANALYSIS GBPCAD ANALYSIS Cheers, Jabari
Long
by jabariofafrica
EURAUD ____ INCOMING SHORT-TERM SELL -- LONG-TERM BUYHello Guys, EURAUD, just like EURNZD (See analysis below) in my speculation is poised to continue the bullish drive. However, there might be a bearish opportunity that will form the retracement for the bullish drive. Price is trading at a key level from where the retracement might start. However, if the price would just wick above the previous high, I would love it... as it would entail that we have swept liquidity which would give momentum for the bearish move (retracement). See below correlated pairs: EURNZD & EURAUD Follow for more updates like this. EURCAD ANALYSIS EURNZD ANALYSIS Cheers, Jabari
Long
by jabariofafrica
EURNZD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Guys, Let's break down EURNZD together... On the monthly timeframe, we can see that the bullish rally is meant to continue as the retracement seems completed. On the weekly timeframe, you will notice that price formed relatively equal highs (buy-side liquidity) which as you will know attracts price to sweep it. You will also notice that last week's candle depicts the continuation of the impulse leg. On the daily chart, we have a W pattern that is currently trading at a supply level (this could give cause to the retracement). You will also notice the order block of the daily chart is the same as the weekly chart. What next you may ask... I will be looking to capitalise on a short-term sell if I get an opportunity with my target to be the order block below... and I will monitor price once it enters the order block to go long. I have 2 targets for my bullish trade... the first one (yellow line) was gotten on the weekly timeframe while the second one (red line) was gotten on the monthly timeframe. Do you like the way I did this analysis?... should I continue in this form? let me know in the comment section. See below for EURCAD analysis. Follow for more updates like this so you don't miss out. EURCAD ANALYSIS Cheers, Jabari
Long
by jabariofafrica
GBPCAD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Traders, Just like my EURCAD analysis (inserted below), GBPCAD has also aligned on the monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes. Just like EURCAD also, GBPCAD did not trade into the weekly order block before the daily chart printed a bullish price structure and as I stated in my EURCAD analysis, it is not necessary. GBPCAD printed a bullish CHOCH on the daily chart which retraced and reacted nicely. I have adjusted my daily order block accordingly and I am waiting for the price to retrace into the order block to go long. Although I am speculating on higher price movement, if I am able to enter the trade, I will look to exit at the daily supply order block. Follow for more updates like this. EURCAD ANALYSIS Cheers, Jabaro
Long
by jabariofafrica
XAUUSD Long, Inflation Correlation With The DollarDear Ziilllaatraders, We could see inflation numbers coming out of the PCE price index. These numbers were lower than the previous numbers. When inflation numbers trend lower, it can lead to a bearish sentiment for the Dollar and a bullish outlook for gold. The relationship between lower inflation and the movement of these assets can be explained by the following factors: Monetary Policy and Interest Rates: Lower inflation rates may prompt central banks, like the Federal Reserve in the United States, to adopt a dovish monetary policy stance. In response to subdued inflation, central banks are more likely to keep interest rates low or even implement rate cuts to stimulate economic growth. A dovish monetary policy typically results in a weaker DXY as lower interest rates reduce the currency's yield attractiveness for investors. Currency Depreciation: Lower inflation can erode the purchasing power of a currency, leading to depreciation relative to other currencies. In the case of the dollar, if inflation remains subdued, the value of the dollar may decline, making it less valuable in the foreign exchange market. This depreciation can drive a bearish trend for the Dollar. Safe-Haven Demand for Gold: Gold is often considered a safe-haven asset, particularly during times of economic uncertainty and low inflation. When inflation is low, investors may become concerned about the potential erosion of the value of paper currencies and seek a hedge against currency devaluation. As a result, demand for gold as a store of value and an inflation hedge increases, leading to a bullish trend in the price of gold. Real Interest Rates: Lower inflation can also impact real interest rates, which are nominal interest rates adjusted for inflation. When inflation is low, real interest rates tend to be higher, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive to investors seeking positive real returns. This shift in interest can contribute to a bullish gold market. Conclusion: The correlation between lower inflation numbers and a bearish Dollar, as well as a bullish gold market, is driven by the impact on monetary policy, currency depreciation, and the increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset and inflation hedge. Traders and investors should closely monitor inflation data, central bank policies, and overall market sentiment to gauge the potential movements of the Dollar and gold. As always, it's important to use proper risk management as I always tell you people. Feel free to ask any questions. Greetings, Ziilllaatrades
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZILATRADES
XAGUSD (SILVER) ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders, XAGUSD (Silver) still has some bearish moves to deliver. This can be confirmed by the bullish view of the dollar index (inserted below). While price retraces to the weekly order block, I will be waiting. Once price enters the order block, I will be looking for a continuation of the bearish move by looking for a CHOCH on the 1-hour timeframe. Follow me for more analysis like this. US DOLLAR INDEX ANALYSIS USDCHF ANALYSIS USDSGD ANALYSIS Cheers, Jabari
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by jabariofafrica
USDSGD ____ INCOMING BULLISH RALLYHello Guys, As I had previously published, the dollar index seems to be setting up for a bullish rally (analysis inserted below) and USDSGD which is correlated with the dollar index is aligning accordingly. You will also notice that the price has buy-side liquidity to hunt. I have set an alert to know when price trades into the daily order block from which I will be looking out for a CHOCH on the 1-hour timeframe to go long. Also, USDCHF is aligning for this long (analysis inserted below) Follow me for more updates. US DOLLAR INDEX ANALYSIS USDCHF ANALYSIS Cheers, Jabari
Long
by jabariofafrica
USDCHF ____ INCOMING BULLISH RALLYHello Traders, I'd keep this simple... Price traded into a strong demand level and on the weekly timeframe, a CHOCH is evident (look at your weekly timeframe). Last week, the price hunted the trendline sell-side liquidity and I speculate that the price could trade to the daily order block just below sell-side liquidity (equal lows). Also, the dollar index also gives a view that the dollar will rally which supports the view on USDCHF. Follow me for more updates. US DOLLAR INDEX ANALYSIS Cheers, Jabari
Long
by jabariofafrica
US DOLLAR INDEX ____ INCOMING BULLISH RALLYHello Guys, As I have stated most times that at some point, the dollar will rally and reach higher prices. I suspect we have gotten to that period. I will insert my previous analysis for this. With this view of the dollar rally, I would be looking out for USD pairs that have a good structure in alignment with the dollar rally. Pairs like: USDCHF, USDSGD & XAGUSD have very interesting price structures. I advise you to monitor them. Follow me for more updates. US DOLLAR INDEX (Previous analysis) Cheers, Jabari
FX:USDOLLARLong
by jabariofafrica
AUDNZD ____ INCOMING BULLISH RALLYHello Guys, You would recall that at a certain point, I was looking for a short on this pair (inserted below) this short was to form the retracement to go long long-term. However, I was unable to join the bearish move as I was stopped out at breakeven. Since then, I have kept AUDNZD on my radar and right now, It is approaching a weekly order block which could generate the much-needed demand for it to commence the bullish rally. I would suggest you monitor this pair also when it trades into the weekly order block. You can also notice that I have set an alert on my chart to know when price trades into the order block. Follow me for more updates like this. AUDNZD (Previous analysis) Cheers, Jabari
Long
by jabariofafrica
UNRATE Update | December 2021 - PresentThe US unemployment rate can double from here and still be within the long-term range and still below the extremes that have occurred during more recent recessions. Also worth point out that the only time we have been below this level of unemployment (higher employment) was during the Korean war in the early 1950s. Sure, we could see the rate of employment increase - that can happen. But it's unlikely, based on 75 years of data that spans everything from Post-Keynesianism, to Real Business Cycle (RBC), to Monetarism, to MMT. As such, it is safe to conclude that a lower UE rate, from "here", is unlikely. So unemployment has probably bottomed, stocks are yet to recover their December 2021 highs (19 months) and the interest rate on the US10Y is up roughly 200% (having gone as high as + 215%) over the same 19-month period and currently offering a yield of 4.049%; the US10Y maintains it's lag of the US02Y, which is currently offering a yield of 4.95%. In other words, bank lending is more constrained... Wow, even the banks are telling us there is significant risk in the market. Meanwhile a lot of folks are running around telling you how great fake-money crypto supposedly is. Maybe the banks are right about risk.... Oh! one more thing: the VIX has also reached a bottom of sorts.
FRED:UNRATEShort
by ChiefMacro
The Divergence Cheat Sheet: Your Quick Reference GuideHello dear @TradingView community! In this guide, we will delve into the concept of divergence and its significance in technical analysis, specifically focusing on its application in the cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin. Understanding Divergence: A Key Concept in Trading Divergence occurs when the price of an asset and an indicator, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), move in opposite directions. This pattern provides valuable insights into potential price reversals or changes in trends. The Divergence Cheat Sheet To help us identify and interpret divergence patterns, a divergence cheat sheet can be an invaluable tool. It provides a concise overview of different divergence patterns and assists us in making timely and accurate decisions. By having a cheat sheet on hand, you can save time, reduce errors, and ensure they don't miss crucial signals in the fast-paced cryptocurrency market. Detecting Divergence Detecting divergence is crucial for identifying lucrative trading opportunities. By using divergence indicators like the RSI, MACD, or Stochastic Oscillator, we can gain significant insights into market trends and potential price reversals. To pinpoint divergence effectively, follow these steps: Choose an indicator capable of detecting divergence, such as the RSI, MACD, or Stochastic Oscillator. Look for discrepancies between the indicator and the price action. Regular divergence occurs when the price and the indicator move in opposite directions, while hidden divergence occurs when they move in the same direction but at different rates. Monitor the direction of the trend. Divergence can indicate a trend reversal, so keeping track of the current market trend is crucial. Confirm the divergence signal with other technical analysis tools. Divergence is just one piece of the puzzle, so it's essential to use other indicators to validate your trading decisions. Examples of Divergence in Trading Charts Let's examine a few examples of divergence on Bitcoin charts: Strong Bullish Divergence: When lows of the price decreases while the RSI increases, a regular bullish divergence occurs. This signals a potential trend reversal and presents an opportunity for a bullish trade. Strong Bearish Divergence: When highs the price of an asset is rising while the RSI is falling, it indicates a regular bearish divergence. This suggests a potential trend reversal and presents an opportunity for a bearish trade. Medium Bullish Divergence: When the lows of an asset remain equal while the RSI is rising, it indicates a medium bullish divergence. This suggests a potential increase in price, although it may not be a strong upward movement. Medium Bearish Divergence: When the highs of an asset remain unchanged while the RSI is decreasing, it indicates a medium bearish divergence. This suggests a potential decline in price, although the downward movement may not be significant. Weak Bullish Divergence: When the lows of an asset is decreasing while the RSI lows is equal, it indicates a weak bullish divergence. This suggests a potential increase in price, although it may not be a strong upward movement. Weak Bearish Divergence: When the highs of an asset are rising while the RSI remains unchanged, it indicates a moderate bearish divergence. This suggests a potential decline in price, although the downward movement may not be significant. Hidden Bullish Divergence: Hidden bullish divergence occurs when the price creates higher lows while the RSI is creating lower lows. This reinforces an existing uptrend and suggests its strength. Hidden Bearish Divergence: Hidden bearish divergence is observed when the price forms lower highs while the RSI forms higher highs. This indicates a potential weakening of the current uptrend and might signal a trend reversal or a pullback. By recognizing these divergence patterns on trading charts, we can gain insights into potential market reversals, entry and exit points, and adjust trading strategies accordingly. Incorporating Divergence into Your Trading Strategy To effectively incorporate divergence into your trading, consider the following steps: Identify the appropriate indicators: Choose reliable indicators such as RSI, MACD, or Stochastic Oscillator that can detect divergence patterns effectively. Learn to spot divergence: Familiarize yourself with the different types of divergence patterns and practice identifying them on price charts. This will help you develop a trained eye for spotting potential trading opportunities. Confirm with additional analysis: While divergence can provide valuable signals, it's essential to use other technical analysis tools to confirm your trading decisions. Look for supporting indicators, chart patterns, or trendline breaks that align with the divergence signal. Set clear entry and exit criteria: Define your entry and exit points based on the divergence signal and your risk tolerance. Consider using stop-loss orders and take-profit levels to manage your trades effectively. Practice risk management: Implement proper risk management techniques, such as position sizing, to protect your capital. Divergence alone should not be the sole basis for your trading decisions but rather an additional tool in your arsenal. Backtest and refine your strategy: Test your divergence-based trading strategy on historical price data to assess its effectiveness. Make adjustments as needed and continuously monitor and evaluate your results to improve your trading approach. Remember, divergence analysis is not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis methods and market factors. Regular practice, continuous learning, and adapting to changing market conditions are crucial for successful trading. Divergence analysis is a powerful tool that can provide us with an edge in the cryptocurrency market. By understanding and effectively utilizing divergence patterns, we can identify potential trend reversals, improve entry and exit timing, and enhance overall trading strategy. Incorporate divergence analysis into your trading approach and combine it with other technical indicators and risk management techniques for a well-rounded and informed trading strategy.
Education
by Vestinda
2
NZDCHF ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders, I did an analysis on this pair some days ago (inserted below). My bias hasn't still changed. I still speculate that NZDCHF will make it to TP. Not to be rigid or dogmatic in my approach, but the market structure as of today supports the bearish move. Also, NZDSGD which is a correlated pair is having same bearish structure. You may want to keep this on your radar. Follow me for more updates. NZDCHF Previous Analysis NZDSGD Correlated Pair Cheers, Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
6
What Is "Scalping" In ForexHello Traders, We thought that we'd make a little guide to those of you who are looking at scalping as a possible trading strategy. This educational idea will give you a few things to consider and we hope that it will inform you of what you can expect from being a scalper. Our Take: Personally for us scalping isn’t our style and we wouldn’t recommend it to anyone but some people absolutely love it and are drawn into this type of trading because of the huge profit potential which is why we thought that we’d make this educational guide so that if you want to become a scalper then you know what you’re getting yourself into. Scalping can be a great way to trade but if you want to break out of that 9-5 job and not sit at a computer all day then scalping definitely isn’t your style. The reward you get from being a scalper comes with an equal risk and this is something a lot of people overlook. A Message From Us: We hope that you liked our guide and be sure to look out for our next educational guide where we’ll go over more lessons in regards to trading. If you have anything you want us to cover then please do contact us and we’ll see what we can do. We’d love it if you could show your appreciation if you liked this post and we wish you the best. Stay Safe - The JPI Team Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by jpeacockfx
4