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AUDUSD _____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Guys, If you follow me already, you would know I get my directional bias for USD-related pair from the dollar index. My outlook for the dollar is bullish (see below the analysis) which means that this week and going forward, AUDUSD should be bearish. Currently, NZDUSD has traded into the weekly order block, and we may commence the bearish move from here. Price is also trading in the monthly order block with gives more confluence for a bearish move. The goal will be to trade lower into the monthly demand order block. Follow for more updates. Dollar Index analysis Other USD-related pairs GBPUSD NZDUSD USDJPY USDSGD Cheers, Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
2
USDSGD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHey Guys, USDSGD hunted sell-side liquidity last week Thursday & Friday and also traded into the weekly FVG. From the weekly FVG, I speculate that the price will rally to hunt the buy-side liquidity and head into the daily FVG. However, I expect that price will try again to go lower at the beginning of the week and start the bullish rally. Also, as a confluence, the dollar index is also getting ready for the bullish rally (see below my analysis on DXY) Follow for more updates. Feel free to DM me. See my Dollar Index analysis Other USD-related pairs GBPUSD NZDUSD USDJPY Cheers, Jabari
Long
by jabariofafrica
NZDUSD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders, If you follow me already, you would know I get my directional bias for USD-related pair from the dollar index. My outlook for the dollar is bullish (see below the analysis) which means that this week and going forward, NZDUSD should be bearish. Right now, NZDUSD has traded into the weekly FVG, and from here, we may commence the bearish move. (See my previous analysis of NZDUSD below) Follow for more updates. Dollar Index analysis Previous NZDUSD analysis This week's analysis on GBPUSD Cheers, Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
GBPUSD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Guys, If you follow me already, you would know I get my directional bias for USD-related pair from the dollar index. My outlook for the dollar is bullish (see below the analysis) which means that this week and going forward, GBPUSD should be bearish. Right now, GBPUSD has traded into the daily order block, and from here, we may commence the bearish move. (See my previous analysis of GBPUSD below) Follow for more updates. Dollar Index Last week's GBPUSD analysis Cheers, Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
The ABCD Pattern: from A to DHello dear @TradingView community! Are you familiar with the ABCD pattern? The ABCD pattern is a highly effective tool utilized in trading to identify potential opportunities across diverse markets, including forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures. This pattern takes the form of a visual and geometric arrangement, characterized by three consecutive price swings or trends. When observed on a price chart, the ABCD pattern exhibits a striking resemblance to a lightning bolt or a distinctive zig-zag pattern. Importance of the ABCD Pattern The significance of the ABCD pattern lies in its ability to identify trading opportunities across different markets, timeframes, and market conditions. Whether the market is bullish, bearish, or range-bound, the ABCD pattern remains a reliable tool. By recognizing the completion of the pattern at point D, you can get a perspective trade entries. Furthermore, the ABCD pattern helps you determine the risk-to-reward ratio before initiating a trade. When multiple patterns converge within the same timeframe or across different timeframes, it strengthens the trade signal and increases the likelihood of a profitable outcome. Finding an ABCD Pattern The ABCD pattern has both a bullish and bearish version. Bullish patterns indicate higher probability opportunities to buy or go long, while bearish patterns suggest opportunities to sell or go short. To identify an ABCD pattern, it is essential to locate significant highs or lows on a price chart, represented by points A, B, C, and D. These points define the three consecutive price swings or legs of the pattern: the AB leg, the BC leg, and the CD leg. Trading is not an exact science, so traders often employ Fibonacci ratios to determine the relationship between the AB and CD legs in terms of both time and price. This approximation assists in locating the potential completion of the ABCD pattern. When patterns converge, it increases the probability of successful trades and enables you to make more accurate decisions regarding entries and exits. Types of ABCD Patterns There are three types of ABCD patterns, each having both a bullish and bearish version. To validate an ABCD pattern, specific criteria and characteristics must be met. Here are the characteristics of the bullish and bearish ABCD patterns: 📈 Bullish ABCD Pattern Characteristics (buy at point D): To effectively trade the bullish ABCD pattern, you might consider the following characteristics: 1. Find AB: Identify point A as a significant high and point B as a significant low. During the move from A to B, ensure that there are no highs above point A and no lows below point B. 2. After AB, then find BC: Point C should be lower than point A. In the move from B up to C, there should be no lows below point B and no highs above point C. Ideally, point C will be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the length of AB. However, in strongly trending markets, BC may only be 38.2% or 50% of AB. 3. After BC, then draw CD: Point D, which marks the completion of the pattern, must be lower than point B, indicating that the market has successfully achieved a new low. During the move from C down to D, there should be no highs above point C. 4.1 Determine where D may complete (price): To determine the price level at which point D may complete, Fibonacci and ABCD tools can be utilized. CD may equal AB in price, or it may be 127.2% or 161.8% of AB in price. Alternatively, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of BC in price. 4.2 Determine when point D may complete (time) for additional confirmation: For additional confirmation, you can analyze the time aspect of the pattern. CD may equal AB in time, or it may be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the time it took for AB to form. Additionally, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of the time it took for AB to form. 5. Look for Fibonacci, pattern, trend convergence: Convergence of Fibonacci levels, pattern formations, and overall trend can strengthen the trade signal. Therefore, you should look for instances where these elements align. 6. Watch for price gaps and/or wide-ranging candles in the CD leg: As the market approaches point D, it is important to monitor for any price gaps or wide-ranging candles in the CD leg. These may indicate a potential strongly trending market, and you might expect to see price extensions of 127.2% or 161.8%. 📉 Bearish ABCD Pattern Characteristics (sell at point D): To effectively trade the bearish ABCD pattern, you might consider the following characteristics: 1. Find AB: Identify point A as a significant low and point B as a significant high. During the move from A up to B, ensure that there are no lows below point A and no highs above point B. 2. After AB, then find BC: Point C should be higher than point A. In the move from B down to C, there should be no highs above point B and no lows below point C. Ideally, point C will be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the length of AB. However, in strongly trending markets, BC may only be 38.2% or 50% of AB. 3. After BC, then draw CD: Point D, which marks the completion of the pattern, must be higher than point B, indicating that the market has successfully achieved a new high. During the move from C up to D, there should be no lows below point C and no highs above point D. 4.1 Determine where D may complete (price): To determine the price level at which point D may complete, Fibonacci and ABCD tools can be utilized. CD may equal AB in price, or it may be 127.2% or 161.8% of AB in price. Alternatively, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of BC in price. 4.2 Determine when point D may complete (time) for additional confirmation: For additional confirmation, you can analyze the time aspect of the pattern. CD may equal AB in time, or it may be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the time it took for AB to form. Additionally, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of the time it took for AB to form. 5. Look for Fibonacci, pattern, trend convergence: Convergence of Fibonacci levels, pattern formations, and overall trend can strengthen the trade signal. Therefore, you should look for instances where these elements align. 6. Watch for price gaps and/or wide-ranging bars/candles in the CD leg: As the market approaches point D, it is important to monitor for any price gaps or wide-ranging bars/candles in the CD leg. These may indicate a potential strongly trending market, and you might expect to see price extensions of 127.2% or 161.8%. 💜 We would love to hear your feedback! Did you find the article on the ABCD pattern helpful? We strive to provide valuable and informative content for traders like you. Your feedback is important to us as it helps us improve our articles and better serve our readers. Please take a moment to share your thoughts and suggestions. Did the article cover the topic comprehensively? Were the explanations clear and easy to understand? Is there anything you would like us to add or elaborate on? We appreciate your time and input. Thank you for being a valued reader, and we look forward to hearing your feedback!
Education
by Vestinda
11
EURNZD ____ UNDERSTANDING ORDER BLOCKSHello Trader, Here we have EURNZD which showed bullish strength last week and rallied into a daily order block. This daily order block is meant to cause a reaction in price i.e a reversal or retracement. What are order blocks you may ask: Order blocks in forex are price levels where institutions attempt to buy or sell a foreign exchange pair without potentially having too much of an impact on the pair's price. Once the price enters an order block, It mitigates the orders that were initially placed there and would trigger a bullish or bearish move in price depending on where the price is coming from. Order blocks found on the daily timeframe (as marked on my chart), weekly and monthly timeframes are usually really strong and can cause a reaction in price. As you can see, the price created multiple buy-side liquidity just around the order block to induce early sellers, then liquidated their positions. It has gone deeper into the order block and has changed the structure on the 1-hour timeframe from bullish to bearish as expected. From here, I expect the price to retrace not reverse as higher timeframes such as the weekly and monthly suggest higher prices to come. Follow for more analysis. Cheers, David
Short
by jabariofafrica
1
EURAUD ____ INCOMING SHORT TRADEHello Guys, EURAUD traded into a monthly order block, which caused a sell-off in price. Price is likely to continue this sell-off as the structure remains bearish which is understandable because the monthly order block this pair traded into is a strong one. Right now, I expect the price to retrace into the weekly order block for me to take a short. This will be validated if I see a CHOCH in the 1Hour timeframe. Also, as I am expecting a retracement in EURAUD, I am looking to enter a long trade on EURUSD. Follow for more trade analysis. See my analysis on EURUSD below. Cheers, David
Short
by jabariofafrica
CHFJPY ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Guys, We have on our hands a sweet sell opportunity to capitalize on. CHFJPY recently reached an expected high which price is meant to ease the bullish rally. What we can see on the daily is a manipulation of buyers to go long then the sellers jumped in. Now I am expecting the price to continue the short selling after entering into the daily order block which should give price momentum to create another bearish leg. Once the price gets into the daily order block again, I will be looking for CHOCH to go short to my TP. Follow me for more trade analysis. Cheers, David
Short
by jabariofafrica
US DOLLAR INDEX ____ WHY YOU SHOULD PAY ATTENTIONHey Traders, Long time no see. If you follow me already, you will notice that I draw my bias to trade USD pairs from the dollar index. My bias as you can see for this week is bearish. However, I expect a longer-term bullish move for the dollar. As the price has entered a weekly order block, I expect it to help force the retracement from the bullish rally. Based on this view, I will be posting a few pairs on my radar to trade accordingly. Follow for more. Cheers, David
FX:USDOLLARShort
by jabariofafrica
XAGUSD (SILVER) ____ TIME TO GO BULLISHHello Guys, Last week, this pair was strongly bearish as speculated (see my analysis below). The bearish leg ended up in a daily demand FVG and as we can see, it reacted strongly. Also marked on the chart are the multiple buy-side liquidity I expect the price to hunt. In addition to this, I had posted my analysis on the dollar index which I expect a short-term bearish movement in the dollar after which the bullish run will continue long term. Follow me for more. See below my previous XAGUSD (Silver) and US Dollar Index analysis. Previous XAGUSD analysis Current Dollar Index analysis Cheers, David
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by jabariofafrica
USDJPY ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Traders, USDJPY rallied last week into a weekly bearish order block and I expect it cause a retracement in the bullish rally. As you can see on my chart, I have marked out the sell-side liquidity that I expect price to go and hunt. Also, the dollar index is showing that there is likely to be a short-term bearish move in the dollar which is meant to impact USDJPY. Follow me for more analysis. Dollar Index Analysis XAGUSD analysis Cheers, David
Short
by jabariofafrica
4
AUDUSD ____ ENOUGH MANIPULATION, LET'S RALLYHello Traders, This week has been a roller coaster for some people and I'd count myself as one. But truth be told, it has also been a fun one too. If you recall, I had speculated that the dollar was to go bearish this week which would be that the likes of AUDUSD would go bullish. However, the dollar did some crazy manipulations which you will see clearly if you look at the dollar index. This manipulation also aided AUDUSD to head into a daily order block. As I had explained in my analysis of the dollar index, I expect a short-term bearish move initially and a long-term bullish move. This simply means that AUDUSD should rally... I suspect the manipulations are over and price is ready for this move. Follow me for more eye-opening analysis Here is my analysis on the dollar index Cheers, David
Long
by jabariofafrica
Litecoin Halving Soon,what's Next?#LTC UPDATE LTC is creating a symmetrical triangle pattern in this daily time frame (basic about symmetrical triangle pattern) A symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern characterized by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs. These trend lines should be converging at a roughly equal slope. Trend lines that are converging at unequal slopes are referred to as a rising wedge, falling wedge, ascending triangle, or descending triangle. KEY TAKEAWAYS #Symmetrical triangles occur when a security's price is consolidating in a way that generates two converging trend lines with similar slopes. #The breakout or breakdown targets for a symmetrical triangle are equal to the distance between the initial high and low applied to the breakout or breakdown point. #Many traders use symmetrical triangles in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as a confirmation. The upper trendline is acting as resistance right now, and if it doesn't break out of this pattern, we may see a retest of the lower level of this pattern, which is also the golden level of fid retreatment. After the breakout of this pattern, we can anticipate a very strong bounce. LTC is encountering resistance at $102 but market sentiment indicates a breakthrough is on the horizon. The best exit place for short-term investors would be in the $130–$140 region if this barrier is broken, at which point LTC might start a bullish run. This piece is not intended to be financial advice. Before making an investing choice, always do your own research and speak with a qualified advisor. For more Quality Charts Analysis, follow us. I'm grateful.
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
4
LESSON 1: TRADE THE LIQUIDITY OR BE THE LIQUIDITYWhat is Liquidity in Forex Trading? Liquidity is the presence of orders at specific prices in the market, ensuring that transactions can take place without disruptions. When traders talk about liquidity, they are usually referring to the resting orders in the market. These orders can be absorbed or targeted by banks and financial institutions (BFIs) to influence the patterns of price movement. Liquidity can be found throughout the market, although certain areas may have higher levels than others. The good news is that it is indeed possible to learn how to identify and recognize liquidity patterns. Liquidity comprises a variety of orders that gather in the market, including limit orders, stop loss orders, and stop limit orders. These orders come into play when prices reach specific levels of supply or demand in the market. Understanding liquidity is essential in comprehending how prices move. Why do you need to understand Liquidity? Liquidity is crucial for predicting price movements. Analyzing liquidity, along with market structure, supply and demand, and order flow, provides insights into potential price directions. It's important to consider liquidity alongside trend analysis and supply and demand to understand market conditions effectively. Highly liquid markets can be manipulated by large banks or institutions, leading to liquidity shortages, price slippage, and poor trade execution. Recognizing liquidity pools during slow sideways price movements is key. What are the main types of Liquidity in Forex trading? 1. Buy-side liquidity (see chart for example) Buy-side liquidity refers to the accumulation of orders above a range or high, including buy-stop limits and stop losses placed by sellers and breakout traders. Banks and financial institutions (BFIs) may target these orders to fuel temporary or sustained bullish price movements. 2. Sell-side liquidity (see chart for example) Sell-side liquidity refers to the collection of orders situated below a range or low, including sell-stop limits and stop losses placed by buyers and breakout traders. Banks and financial institutions (BFIs) can target these orders to generate temporary or sustained bearish price movements. Similar to buy-side liquidity, sell-side liquidity serves a crucial role in the market dynamics. Do you have any questions? feel free to ask. Cheers, David
Education
by jabariofafrica
10
USDCHF ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHi Traders, USDCHF rallied last week into a daily bearish order block and I expect it cause a retracement in the bullish rally. As you can see on my chart, I have marked out the buy-side liquidity that I expect the price to go and hunt before the sell-off begins. Also, the dollar index is showing that there is likely to be a short-term bearish move in the dollar which is meant to impact USDJPY. Follow me for more analysis. Dollar Index analysis USDJPY analysis XAGUSD analysis Cheers, David
Short
by jabariofafrica
NFP on Good Friday | What to expect?"What to expect from NFP on Good Friday? What is Good Friday? Good Friday is a federal holiday, which means that US equity and bond markets are closed. However, the futures market, as well as the forex market, is open. Good Friday is a rare occurrence, but it has happened in the past. The last three times it occurred were in 2021, 2015, and 2012. Let's take a look at what happened to the price action on these past data releases when NFP came out. EURUSD moved in 2021, 2015, and 2012. USDJPY moved in 2021, 2015, and 2012. This tells us that the move is comparatively smaller than on normal days' releases, and it has a lot to do with FED policy action. This time, the FED has given a hint of not increasing interest rates anymore. The best decision here is to stand aside because the market is less volatile and may remain in a range for today. Let us know what do you think of the idea
by JustTradeSignals
5