🚩Symmetrical Triangle🚩 #️⃣OKXIDEAS !!!👨🏫Hello, everyone!👋 (Reading time less than 7 minutes⏰).
I’m here with another educational post to help you learners become super traders gradually.
🔅 As you know, various tools are usually used in any financial market to analyze all types of stocks, cryptocurrencies, and assets. Chart patterns are one of the essential tools used in technical analysis, and analysts evaluate the market movement and prepare to trade based on technical-fundamental studies.
🔅 The Symmetrical Triangle is one of the most used classic continuous patterns in the field, but it can sometimes turn into reversal patterns, as some analysts say.
🔷 So I’ll explain the following in this article:
Defining the triangle pattern
Getting to know the structure of a Symmetrical Triangle
Types of Symmetrical Triangles
How to trade using the Symmetrical Triangle pattern
Price target after Symmetrical Triangle pattern
The importance of trading volume in the Symmetrical Triangle pattern
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Triangle Pattern:
🔅The triangle pattern is one of the most well-known patterns many traders spend time on. A triangle is a trend continuation pattern that can occur in upward or downward trends. This triangle pattern is formed when a stock, cryptocurrency, or whatever shrinks towards an uptrend or downtrend.
The pattern represents a pause in the price trend, and the price consolidates in a range.
🔅 The triangle pattern consists of two converging lines with different slopes depending on the type. At least four major pivots are needed in the specific time frame to form a triangle pattern.
Basically, to form a triangle, 45 to 60 candles are needed in the specific time frame.
🔅 The take-profit of this pattern is considered the distance from the first top to the first bottom inside the triangle.
🔷 According to research, 84% agree that the triangle pattern is a continuation pattern that is divided into three types as follows:
Symmetrical triangle
Ascending Triangle
Descending Triangle
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One of the types of triangles that can lead you to money is Symmetrical Triangle which I’ll explain here:
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern in Upward Trends:
Take a look at the picture below. You can see the price forms tops and bottoms after an upward trend and then forms lower tops and higher bottoms.
🔅 Now try to draw a resistance line at the top and a support line at the bottom. What do you see? Yeah! That’s a triangle. These two lines will make a tip called the triangle's apex. If the four pivots(at least), two tops and two bottoms, are connected with a line, you can say a Symmetrical Triangle pattern in an upward trend has occurred.
🔅 It’s noted that if the price breaks the support trend line and drops, you’ll see this as a reversal pattern or a Symmetrical Triangle in the downward trend. Not always; a Symmetrical Triangle is a continuous pattern. So Watch out!
Here’s a picture of a reversal Symmetrical Triangle and how to trade while it is considered a reversal.
How to trade on the Symmetrical Triangle in an upward trend:
1-After the pattern completes, you must wait for the pattern to give us the entry confirmation(the upper line of the Symmetrical Triangle).
2-Try to open a long position when the real breakout happens. That can make a good profit. The real breakout occurs when a green candle like the Marubozu candle closes above the upper line of the Symmetrical Triangle or the resistance line.
3-Don’t forget to put a stop-loss. That will be below the breakout candle or below the prior candle’s bottom.
The distance between the first top and the first bottom in the triangle would be one of high risk-to-reward ratio take-profit points.
The other way to take the profit is to draw a line from the first top facing the support trend line along.
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Symmetrical Triangle Pattern in Downward Trends
🔅 Another trend that a Symmetrical Triangle can move is downward trend when the price continues downward after forming the pattern.
🔅 Luckily, one of the best tools that can help you earn lots of money is the Symmetrical Triangle because it supports two-sided markets. But the question is how this type of triangle forms. Stay with me.
🔅 Imagine you’re walking through the bushes for a long time, then you’ll get tired, and you don’t feel energetic in your feet to move on. So do buyers and sellers in the financial markets.
🔅 When the price of an asset enters a converging trend of lower tops and higher bottoms, buyers and sellers test how strong the trend is. The buyers make bottoms at a higher price as sellers prevent the creation of a higher top.
🔅 In this case, the sellers are mostly winners, so better to be a seller rather than a buyer. Like the pattern I already discussed, the Symmetrical Triangle pattern in a downward trend needs at least four significant pivots to be confirmed.
🔅 There's also a possibility of breaking the upper line of the Symmetrical Triangle on the top after the Symmetrical Triangle pattern formation. The reversal pattern has occurred in this case, and the long position is considered a plan.
How to trade on the Symmetrical Triangle in a downward trend:
1-You have to wait for the candles to break the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle. But the only key point is that if the breakout is valid. So if the breakout candle closes below the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle, it’s time to open a short position.
2-The stop-loss will be above the last top. Therefore, in case of opening a short position on an asset, you can also place your stop-loss above the breakout candle for a higher risk-to-reward ratio.
3-The price targets will be 1) the distance between the first bottom and the first top, or 2) you can draw a line from the first bottom facing the resistance line.
🔷 Below, you can see a Symmetrical Triangle in a downward trend and how you can trade with it.
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The Importance of Trading Volume in the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
🔅 The asset chart is in correction as long as the price chart is inside the Symmetrical Triangle pattern.
🔅 The trading volume in the pattern process will be neutral as most traders are waiting for the follow-up movement of the asset.
🔅 The closer the chart gets to the apex of the triangle to depart from the pattern, the range of fluctuations and the trading volume become less and less.
🔅 The importance of trading volume in the Symmetrical Triangle pattern can be seen near the exit from the pattern.
🔅 If the previous trend of the chart was bullish, it is likely that the trading volume will increase dramatically if the pattern is broken.
🔅 Also, the trading volume will decrease near the triangle's apex, but it increases instantly after breaking out, whether it is an upward or downward trend.
🔅 For this purpose, examining the trading volume in different areas of the pattern can greatly help us better understand the trend and predict the future of the asset.
🔅 In a way, you always have to wait for the chart to go out of the pattern, and by checking the direction of the trend and trading volume, you can make a better decision about buying or selling your currencies.
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Symmetrical Triangle in Elliott Theory
The Symmetrical Triangle called the “Contracting Triangle,” is a basic pattern in Elliott Waves. Elliott triangles can be considered one of the stable consolidation patterns in the market, which can be divided into five waves. To return, each of these five waves carries three sub-waves.
The waves of the triangle are named A, B, C, D, and E.
The Symmetrical Triangle can often be seen as a continuation pattern that creates a pause in the trend and then resumes.
In this pattern, wave A, which is the biggest wave in the pattern, can be a zigzag, double zigzag, triple zigzag, or a flat pattern, and wave B can only be a zigzag, double zigzag, or triple zigzag.
Waves D and C can also move in their pattern by a zigzag pattern, and finally, an E wave is formed, which can be a zigzag, double zigzag, triple zigzag, and sometimes a triangle.
In a Symmetrical Triangle, waves B, C, and D often cover 61.8% of the previous wave.
Finally, by drawing this pattern's up-and-down trend lines, the lines get close to each other and cannot be parallel.
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Conclusion:
🔔 In this article, you learned about the Symmetrical Triangle and how to trade using the pattern. You now know where to enter and exit the market to make a suitable profit. Don’t forget to follow your capital management to lower the trading risks.
Educationalposts
A beginner's guide to the foreign exchange marketForex trading, or foreign exchange trading, is the buying and selling of currencies in the global market. It is the largest financial market in the world, with an average daily turnover of over $5 trillion. Forex trading can be a profitable investment opportunity, but it is important to understand the market before diving in.
The forex market is decentralized, which means that there is no central exchange where all trading takes place. Instead, trading occurs through a network of banks and brokers around the world. This makes forex trading accessible to anyone with an internet connection, 24 hours a day, five days a week.
In forex trading, currencies are always traded in pairs. The first currency in the pair is called the base currency, and the second currency is the quote currency. For example, the EUR/USD pair represents the euro as the base currency and the US dollar as the quote currency. When trading, you are essentially betting on the direction of the exchange rate between the two currencies.
There are two main types of analysis used in forex trading: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis involves looking at economic, political, and social factors that may affect currency prices, while technical analysis uses charts and indicators to identify trading opportunities based on past price movements.
It is important to have a solid understanding of risk management when trading forex. This includes setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses, diversifying your portfolio to spread risk across different currencies, and avoiding emotional trading decisions.
In conclusion, forex trading can be a lucrative investment opportunity, but it is important to educate yourself on the market before getting started. Understanding the basics of currency pairs, analysis methods, and risk management strategies can help increase your chances of success in the forex market.
How to Identify A Daily TrendIn this video i talk about daily trends and how to identify them, also market maker levels and where to place you tp
What is the Power in Buy and Sell WallsHello, dear @TradingView community! Welcome to another insightful educational topic focused on Buy and Sell Walls in the world of cryptocurrencies!
Understanding buy and sell walls is critical for any trader or investor in the cryptocurrency market. It provides access to the order book and valuable insights into the market sentiment of specific cryptocurrencies. This understanding can help forecast future price movements and develop more effective trading strategies.
In this article, we will delve into the concept of walls in crypto, explore how to identify and interpret buy and sell walls, and discuss their significance in the market.
What is a Wall in Crypto?
Understanding Buy Walls
Understanding Sell Walls
How to Identify Buy and Sell Walls
How to Interpret Buy and Sell Walls
What is a Wall in Crypto?
A wall refers to a large limit order placed on a cryptocurrency trading platform, often depicted as a huge block on the order book. Market makers, institutional investors, as well as individual traders, utilize these large limit orders to buy or sell substantial quantities of a specific cryptocurrency at a predetermined price.
Walls tend to have a significant market impact since they can influence the supply and demand levels of a specific cryptocurrency. These large limit orders, representing a considerable quantity of a cryptocurrency bought or sold at a specific price, have the potential to cause significant price fluctuations.
Understanding Buy Walls
Buy walls are substantial limit orders placed to purchase a specific amount of a cryptocurrency at a particular price or higher. They can be formed by large market makers, institutional investors, or individual traders seeking to buy a significant amount of a cryptocurrency at a specific price or lower. Buy walls can serve to profit from price movements or accumulate a large quantity of a cryptocurrency at a lower price.
A buy wall indicates strong demand for a specific cryptocurrency at a certain price or higher, which can be seen as a positive sign for the market. It suggests that buyers are willing to pay the specified price or more, potentially leading to a price increase.
Additionally, a buy wall may indicate that a large market maker or institutional investor has faith in the future price of a coin or a token. By investing a substantial sum, they express confidence that the cryptocurrency's price will rise in the future.
Traders can utilize the presence of a buy wall to gauge market sentiment and identify potential buying opportunities. Buy walls can also serve as support levels and act as stop-loss points.
Understanding Sell Walls
Sell walls, on the other hand, consist of large limit orders placed to sell a specific amount of a cryptocurrency at a particular price or lower. Similar to buy walls, sell walls can be formed by market makers, institutional investors, or individual traders looking to sell a substantial amount of a cryptocurrency at a specific price or higher. These limit orders are utilized to profit from price movements or liquidate a large quantity of a cryptocurrency at a higher price.
A sell wall indicates a strong supply of a specific cryptocurrency at a particular price or lower, which could suggest overvaluation. It signifies that sellers are willing to sell at the specified price or lower, potentially leading to a price decrease.
Furthermore, a sell wall can indicate that a large market maker or institutional investor holds a bearish outlook on the future price of a cryptocurrency. By selling a significant sum, they imply their belief that the cryptocurrency's price will fall in the future.
Traders can leverage the presence of a sell wall to assess market sentiment and identify potential selling opportunities. Sell walls can also act as resistance levels for a cryptocurrency and serve as target price points for profit-taking.
How to Identify Buy and Sell Walls
Buy and sell walls can typically be found in the depth chart of order book on a cryptocurrency trading platform. They are often represented as conspicuous, large blocks, easily identifiable by traders. While some trading platforms provide graphical representations of the order book, this feature is not available on all platforms.
When identifying buy and sell walls, it's crucial to consider the context surrounding them, including current market conditions and the specific cryptocurrency being traded. Market conditions can change rapidly, so staying updated and understanding the current market environment is essential for making informed decisions.
It's worth noting that larger buy or sell walls tend to have a greater impact on the market compared to smaller ones. A large wall could indicate the involvement of a significant market maker or institutional investor, which can potentially influence the price of a specific cryptocurrency more significantly.
How to Interpret Buy and Sell Walls
By examining both buy and sell walls, traders can gain insights into the supply and demand levels for a specific cryptocurrency. A large buy wall suggests strong demand, while a large sell wall indicates substantial supply. When used together, these walls provide a comprehensive view of market sentiment and the supply-demand dynamics of a cryptocurrency.
Combining buy and sell walls can also help identify potential buying or selling opportunities. For example, if there is a significant sell wall and a large buy wall at the same price level, it may indicate a state of equilibrium in the market, presenting an opportunity for traders to enter or exit positions.
The presence of a buy wall typically indicates a bullish sentiment, while a sell wall suggests a bearish sentiment. A market with more buy walls than sell walls tends to exhibit bullish market sentiment, while a market with more sell walls than buy walls suggests a bearish sentiment.
It's important to note that the absence of buy or sell walls may indicate a lack of market activity or market uncertainty. It can also imply a period of consolidation or a lack of liquidity, which can impact trading conditions and market volatility.
Buy and sell walls can serve as potential entry and exit points for trades as well. A buy wall at a specific price can be seen as an opportunity to enter a long position, while a sell wall at a particular price may indicate a suitable exit point for a short position.
Conclusion
Buy and sell walls represent significant limit orders placed on cryptocurrency trading platforms, offering insights into the supply and demand levels for a specific cryptocurrency. They are used by market makers, institutional investors, and individual traders to profit from price movements or accumulate/liquidate substantial amounts of a cryptocurrency.
Understanding buy and sell walls is instrumental in making informed buying and selling decisions, as they display supply and demand levels and provide insights into market sentiment, which can serve as a reliable predictor of market trends.
Analysing the impact of buy and sell walls on the market can help traders develop effective trading strategies, identify potential opportunities, determine entry and exit points, and assess market sentiment accurately.
By mastering the concept of buy and sell walls, traders can enhance their ability to navigate the cryptocurrency market with greater precision and confidence.
We put a lot of effort into researching and writing this piece, and we would love to hear your thoughts and feedback.
Have you found the information in the article helpful and informative? Did it provide you with valuable insights into understanding market sentiment and trading strategies? Is there anything you would like to expand upon or clarify further?
Your feedback is greatly appreciated and will help us improve future articles. Thank you in advance for taking the time to read and share your thoughts.
Happy trading!
@Vestinda
Volume Indicators: Using Indicators to Analyze VolumeIn our last post we discussed how volume plays a crucial role in financial trading, providing insights into the strength of price movements and overall market sentiment. Volume indicators are essential tools for traders, helping them make informed decisions based on market activity. In this blog post, we will dive deep into the world of volume indicators, discussing their importance and exploring the best indicators available for analyzing volume in day trading. We will also provide practical examples of how these indicators can be used to enhance trading strategies.
The Importance of Volume Indicators
Volume indicators can reveal the level of interest in a financial instrument, showing how many shares, contracts, or lots are being bought or sold within a specific time frame . By analyzing volume, traders can better understand the market's momentum and identify potential breakouts, reversals, and areas of support or resistance. Volume indicators can also help traders detect bullish or bearish divergences, where price movements and volume are not aligned, indicating a possible trend reversal.
Top Volume Indicators
a. Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
VWAP is a popular volume indicator that calculates the average price of a financial instrument, weighted by volume. It is often used as a benchmark by institutional traders to gauge the efficiency of their trades. VWAP can help traders identify trends and potential entry and exit points, particularly for intraday trading.
b. Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
Like VWAP, VWMA assigns more importance to periods with higher volume by calculating a moving average that incorporates volume data. VWMA can be used to confirm trends, as a rising VWMA in an uptrend or a declining VWMA in a downtrend shows that volume is supporting the price movement.
c. Money Flow Index (MFI)
MFI is an oscillator that measures the inflow and outflow of money into a financial instrument over a specific time frame. It combines both price and volume data, providing insights into buying and selling pressure. MFI can help traders identify overbought or oversold conditions, as well as potential trend reversals.
d. Accumulation and Distribution Indicator
This indicator measures the cumulative flow of money into and out of a financial instrument, helping traders identify accumulation (buying) and distribution (selling) phases. A rising Accumulation and Distribution indicator suggests strong buying pressure, while a falling indicator signals strong selling pressure.
e. Klinger Oscillator
The Klinger Oscillator is a volume-based indicator designed to predict long-term trends by comparing short-term and long-term volume flows. It can help traders confirm price movements and detect potential trend reversals.
f. On-Balance Volume (OBV)
OBV is a simple but effective volume indicator that calculates the cumulative volume, adding the day's volume when the price closes higher and subtracting it when the price closes lower. OBV can help traders identify trends and potential breakouts by comparing price movements with volume data.
Applying Volume Indicators in Trading
When using volume indicators, it is important to remember that they should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and price action analysis. By combining volume indicators with other technical indicators and chart patterns, traders can develop comprehensive strategies for trading breakouts, reversals, and identifying areas of support and resistance.
Conclusion
Understanding volume and incorporating volume indicators into trading strategies is essential for traders looking to make informed decisions in the financial markets. By using a combination of indicators such as VWAP, VWMA, MFI, Accumulation and Distribution, Klinger Oscillator, and OBV, traders can better analyze market activity and develop effective trading strategies.
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Practical Insights into the Risk ManagementHey there, amazing @TradingView community! It's @Vestinda, and we're on a mission to deliver content that truly makes a difference.
👉 To become a successful crypto trader, it's essential to have a solid understanding of trade and risk management concepts, such as stop losses, position sizing, and scaling. In this article, we'll explore these key concepts in-depth to help you minimize your risks and maximize your gains in the cryptocurrency market.
Four Risk Management Concepts Every Crypto Trader Should Understand
To effectively manage the risk associated with trading, it is essential to first develop a comprehensive trade management and risk management strategy. Before committing your capital to any position, it's critical to have a clear plan in place to minimize potential losses and optimize your overall trading performance.
Successful market speculation requires effective risk management to preserve capital, which is the primary objective. By minimizing losses and maximizing gains through a comprehensive trade and risk management strategy, traders can achieve long-term success in the market.
One of the key strategies employed by the most successful traders is to minimize their losses while allowing their profitable trades to run. This approach is essential for avoiding disastrous scenarios, such as allowing profitable trades to turn into losers or allowing a single bad trade to wipe out an entire account. By focusing on risk management and trade management, traders can increase their chances of success and protect their capital over the long term.
It's true that implementing the "cut losses quickly and let profitable trades ride" strategy can be challenging, especially for discretionary traders who need to constantly evaluate changes in fundamentals and market sentiment against price movements. However, there are trade and risk management ("TRM") tools and methods available that can help simplify this process.
While these tools and methods may seem complex at first, they are quite accessible and easy to learn. With the right TRM strategies in place, traders can effectively manage risk and optimize their performance in any market condition.
Before diving into trading, it's crucial to understand four key concepts in trade and risk management:
Stop losses: Stop losses are predetermined exit points designed to limit potential losses on a trade. By setting a stop loss, traders can automatically close a position if the market moves against them beyond a certain point, minimizing their losses.
Traders may use price action signals, technical indicator signals, fundamental analysis, or a combination of all three to determine the appropriate level for a stop-loss order. This helps to limit potential losses on trade and is a crucial component of effective risk management.
Position sizing: Position sizing refers to the amount of capital allocated to a specific trade. By properly sizing positions based on risk tolerance and market conditions, traders can optimize their overall risk management strategy and minimize the impact of potential losses.
Position sizing refers to the process of determining the quantity of cryptocurrency to long or short based on the maximum amount of value a trader is willing to lose if the trade fails, also known as "max risk." For novice traders, it is recommended that the maximum risk should not exceed 1-2% of their portfolio for short-term transactions and 5% for longer-term positions.
For example, if a trader has a cryptocurrency account with $ 1,000 and wishes to purchase a token with a market price of $ 10.0 per token, they would need to determine the appropriate position size to maintain their desired level of risk. If their analysis indicates that they should place a stop loss at $ 5.0 per token to limit their maximum risk to 2% of their account, or $ 20.0, then the appropriate position size would be 4 units (40$ position size). This way, if the token's value drops by $ 5.0, the resulting loss of $ 20.0 would equal 2% of the trader's account.
Scaling: Scaling involves adjusting position sizes based on the performance of a trade or the overall market conditions. By scaling into or out of positions based on market conditions, traders can adjust their risk exposure and optimize their potential for gains while minimizing potential losses.
Scaling refers to the practice of dividing entries and exits into two or more orders around a trader's intended entry/exit area to reduce the likelihood of setting an entry too low or too high. This is particularly important because it is nearly impossible to predict the exact price or time at which the market's direction or volatility levels will change.
For example, if a trader intends to buy a token for $ 10.0 but their analysis indicates that it may drop as low as $ 8.0 before sentiment entirely flips bullish, they should consider dividing their entry/exit orders into multiple price levels. This way, they can enter the trade with a partial position if the token's price does not drop below $10.0, but if it drops to $ 8.0, they can scale into a lower average price of $ 8.75.
By using scaling and position sizing in conjunction with a maximum stop loss level, traders can effectively manage their risk and reduce the likelihood of incurring significant losses. While these concepts are relatively simple, understanding and applying them correctly can help traders avoid significant risks in the cryptocurrency market.
Leverage: Trading with leverage involves taking positions that exceed the account's total capital, which can be done through crypto exchanges (CEXs) offering margin trading or some DeFi protocols providing advanced borrowing mechanisms.
For instance, assume you have $ 100 in your account, and you want to purchase 1 unit of XYZ token worth $ 100, creating an open position valued at $ 100. Margin trading offered by a CEX may only require a 10% margin, meaning you only need to invest $ 10 instead of the entire $ 100. You can then utilize the remaining $ 90 to open additional positions, which can be tempting for many traders.
With a 10% margin requirement and a $ 100 account, you can open a position size of 10 XYZ tokens, having a notional value of $ 1000 ($ 100 x 10 units), with the CEX holding the $ 100 in your account as a margin for the trades.
This would make you leveraged 10x, which is considered an extremely high amount of leverage. If the token increases in value by 10% in a short period, the position value would grow from $ 1000 to $ 1100, which means you could double your account value from $ 100 to $ 200 (i.e., $ 100 profit + $ 100 margin). Alternatively, if the token rises by 20% to $ 1200, you would triple your account to $ 300 in value.
Although the potential for high profits may sound exciting, it is crucial to remember the risks associated with trading with leverage, and it is advisable to exercise caution and not get carried away by the prospect of quick and easy gains.
Many traders are lured by the potential profits of leveraged trading, but it's important to remember that leverage can be just as dangerous as it is rewarding. If a trader opens a position with 10x leverage and the position loses just 5%, that would be a loss of $ 50, which is 50% of their $ 100 account.
Additionally, if the position were to lose 10%, resulting in a $ 100 loss, the trader would receive a margin call and would need to deposit more money to keep their trades open.
If they are unable to do so, the CEX will close all positions, also known as being "liquidated". The CEX will use the margin that the trader had provided to cover the $ 100 loss, which means that the trader's account balance would be reduced to $ 0. It's essential to be aware of the risks of leveraged trading, as you could potentially lose everything you've invested.
It's important to remember that leverage in crypto trading is a double-edged sword that can either grow your account or quickly deplete it. While it's possible to make significant profits with leverage, it's equally possible to suffer substantial losses.
As a new trader, it's important to acknowledge that trading with leverage requires expertise and a sound risk management strategy, which can be challenging to implement successfully.
Therefore, it's wise to approach leverage with caution and focus on developing your skills and knowledge before considering this tool.
Here are some recommendations that can help you navigate the exciting but risky world of crypto trading:
First, it's important to be conservative with your risk-taking and to only invest in your very best trade ideas. Limiting your total exposure to the crypto sector to a small percentage of your total liquid capital, starting at 1%, is a good way to minimize your risk.
You should also limit your exposure to a specific crypto asset to a small percentage of your total crypto portfolio, with a 1% to 2% max risk on short-term trades and a max of 5% risk on longer-term positions. Using a stop loss with every position is also crucial to limit potential losses.
Remember, perfect timing is near impossible, so consider scaling into trading positions or "dollar cost averaging" into longer-term investments. Take profits along the way if a trade goes your way. And most importantly, avoid using leverage, which can be a double-edged sword and lead to substantial losses.
Lastly, only invest your capital in your very best ideas, which should be low-risk/high-reward setups on high-probability ideas. Don't force trades when there are no compelling opportunities, and remember that "no position" is a perfectly fine position when you don't see any good opportunities.
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Trader ⚔️VS⚔️ Analyst !!!(Differences)Hi, everyone👋.
Do you like surfing or guiding surfers?
In this article, I will talk about how analysis differs from trading. A good analyst is not necessarily a good trader📉. Do you know what the point is❗️❓
The point is that analysts talk about all aspects, so they always tell the truth and explain what really happens on the market, but the traders ride the waves. Financial markets include high and low waves, so if a trader makes a mistake in measuring its depth, speed, and height may drown in the sea. If you are a trader, don’t be proud of yourself because the financial market sea is very cruel or a beast.
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There are four trading keys in financial markets:
Trading Strategy
Capital Management
Market Psychology
Trader Psychology
These keys are like four legs of a chair🪑 which should be sat on carefully and calmly. Although by removing one of the legs, it’s possible to sit on the chair, safety has to be considered.
I’ll explain all the trading keys in the market in other posts later, but for now, let me dig into the differences between Analysis📈 and Trading💰 .
What is considered in the analysis are the price targets in both rising🟢 and falling🔴 markets, the probability of its occurrence and non-occurrence, and the necessary conditions for both.
Considering the subtlety of an analyst's words and the mentality of the people studying - who are mainly looking for confirmation of their position - generally, the analyst will always be right unless he has declared only one direction decisively, which is not an analysis, but a signal and prediction.
Declaring an upward↗️ or downward↘️ trend in only one direction is not an analysis but a prediction. It’s noted that any prediction can be wrong. But in the comprehensive analysis of both sides, the necessary conditions for their occurrence and their probability are stated, so whatever happens, the analyst is right, and you will hear the famous saying "as predicted."
🔷 A successful trader can take the following steps:
Comprehensive analysis of the market situation in which he wants to trade:
The technical analysis must be prepared before opening a trade position. A wrong analysis does not always lead to a wrong trade, and vice versa, a correct analysis does not lead to a correct trade because you have to see whether the position trigger is activated or not.
Find useful trading strategies to achieve profitable trading:
A trading strategy can be a system that includes a combination of different indicators and oscillators, which can finally indicate the entry and exit points as well as profit and stop loss while trading. This system makes you behave like a robot; after understanding and analyzing the market, you’ll wait for the entry and exit points to appear. Trusting this trading strategy is one of the critical keys to successful trading.
All the points mentioned so far are related to the technical analysis aspects; otherwise, in the Fundamental field, a daily checklist of various factors affecting the market is needed, which is vital for Fundamental analysis.
Find your own timeframe:
Chart analysis and trading can be viewed from the 1-second time frame(short-term) to several years(long-term), but every trader should have his own time frame based on his trading strategy.
The time frame is important because:
The trading strategy should help traders find the entry and exit signals in the same time frame.
The Stop Loss(SL) should be determined based on entry points in the same time frame.
The time required to reach profitability is estimated based on the same time frame. You can't analyze on a daily time frame and expect to get a very good profit immediately after entering the position.
After determining the time frame and with the help of the trading strategy, the following tasks should be done.
Studying market analysis to identify market trends, the state of market movement waves, and daily, weekly, and monthly support and resistance zones.
Determining the Entry Points(EP) based on the strategy
Determining the Stop Loss(SL) based on the strategy
Determining the Take Profits(TP) based on the strategy
All the above must be done before entering the market, and the only thing done after entering the market is the last step—changing the exit point based on the variable stop loss to increase profit.
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🔷 Conclusion:
According to the explanations given, it can be understood that analysis and trading have a significant differences. It should be noted that every wrong analysis published on social networks does not indicate that the analyst does not trade well and vice versa. So, to profit from the financial markets, you must be trained in the first step. Become an analyst and then trade. For this, you have to go step by step, don't be greedy, don't rush, so that you can stay in the financial markets and earn profit every day until you get a continuous profit one day.
EURUSD: Part 1 funny story!I. Not proficient unconsciously.
When you enter the market and start trading, you may think that it's a great way to make money because you hear a lot about it and know of people who have made a lot of money from Forex. However, it's important to note that this is just the first stage and, like when you first learn to drive, it may seem easy at first but can be challenging as you continue to learn. Prices in the market can fluctuate wildly, adding to the complexity of Forex trading.
When you're new to trading, it can be overwhelming and confusing. You may find yourself unsure of what to do when you see the prices fluctuate in the market. Without proper knowledge, you may take risks that could potentially harm your trades. You may even fall into a cycle of increasing your trading volume when you feel confident, only to end up losing capital in the long run. This is a common stage for beginners that typically lasts a few months to a year before moving on to the next phase.
Continue ...
I will release the next part tomorrow, stay tuned.
Trading ETHUSDT with Elliot WavesHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
In today's analysis, I'd like to present an easy-to-follow guide on using Elliot Waves for trading. Elliott Wave theory will require looking for a pattern of five consecutive waves before making a trading decision. Elliott Wave theory begins by identifying two different types of waves.
Impulsive waves : Move in the same direction as the overall trend, 12345
Corrective waves : On the contrary, move against the overall trend. ABC
Elliot Wave strategy needs to follow and abide by some strict rules in order to validate the 5 wave move. The three basic rules are :
Wave 2 never retraces more than 100% of Wave 1. Typically, the retracement is between 50% and 61.8% of wave 1.
Wave 4 never retraces more than 100% of wave 3. Typically, declines between 38.2% and 50% of wave 3.
Wave 3 always travels beyond the end of wave 1 and it’s never the shortest one; Wave 3 will normally extend 161.8 x wave
❗ as above, A is close to Wave 4
There are also cycles within cycles. Think of it as a broccoli stem, where each flower head is composed up of many tiny smaller flower heads:
Elliott Wave theory will require looking for a pattern of five consecutive waves before making a trading decision. Impulsive waves and corrective waves are perfect opposites. The most important thing is to observe the Macro trend before using Elliot Waves in other words, is the price in a bullish cycle or bearish cycle? Here are the basic steps to follow when trading with Elliott Waves:
Step 1: Learn the Theory
The first step is to familiarize yourself with the Elliott Wave Theory, which is based on the idea that financial markets move in predictable patterns. The theory suggests that market prices move in waves, with each wave representing a specific part of the overall trend. The theory identifies two types of waves: impulsive and corrective.
An impulsive wave consists of five smaller waves, which move in the direction of the trend. A corrective wave, on the other hand, consists of three smaller waves, which move against the trend. Understanding the basics of Elliott Wave theory is crucial to trading with Elliott Waves.
Step 2: Identify the Trend
The next step is to identify the trend in the market you want to trade. This can be done by analyzing the price action on the chart. To identify the trend, look for a series of higher highs and higher lows for an uptrend, or lower lows and lower highs for a downtrend.
Step 3: Look for Wave Patterns
Once you've identified the trend, you need to look for wave patterns within the trend. An impulsive wave is made up of five smaller waves, and a corrective wave is made up of three smaller waves . These waves can be identified by analyzing the price action on the chart.
Step 4: Use Indicators to Confirm the Wave Patterns
While identifying wave patterns on the chart is important, it's also a good idea to use indicators to confirm the patterns. Some of my favorites include the Relative Strength Index (RSI) , Moving Averages (MA) and CryptoCheck START v3.
Step 5: Enter and Exit Trades
Once you've identified the trend and wave patterns, and confirmed them with indicators, you can enter a trade. You can use the wave patterns to identify potential entry and exit points. For example, you may want to enter a long position at the start of an impulsive wave and exit when the corrective wave begins.
Step 6: Manage Risk
💭 Finally, it's important to manage risk when trading with Elliott Waves. This can be done by placing stop-loss orders to limit losses if the trade goes against you. It's also a good idea to use proper position sizing to ensure that you're not risking more than you can afford to lose. On the chart I have wave 4-5 hanging in the air atm, let's get to wave 3 first and then we can re-asses where 4-5 may be. Important to note that is is a longer term trading plan.
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Advantages of Trading with Prop FirmsProprietary (prop) trading firms offer traders the opportunity to trade with the firm's capital, rather than their own, in exchange for a share of the profits. Here are some of the advantages and benefits of trading a prop fund account:
Access to More Capital: Prop trading firms typically provide traders with access to significantly more capital than they would have if they were trading with their own funds. This allows traders to take larger positions and potentially earn greater profits.
Lower Costs: Prop firms often provide their traders with access to discounted commissions, lower borrowing costs, and other benefits that can help reduce trading costs.
Training and Support: Many prop trading firms offer training and support to their traders, which can be especially beneficial for those who are new to trading or who want to improve their skills.
Shared Risk: Because prop trading firms are providing the capital, they share in the risk of the trades. This can be beneficial for traders who want to take larger positions but don't want to risk losing all of their own capital.
Performance-Based Compensation: Prop firms typically offer traders performance-based compensation, meaning that traders are only paid a portion of the profits they generate. This incentivizes traders to focus on making profitable trades and can help align their interests with those of the firm.
Overall, trading a prop fund account can offer traders access to more capital, lower costs, training and support, shared risk, and performance-based compensation.
To find out about my favourite prop firms, comment below
6 simplest and most effective forex trading methods!Popular forex trading methods
Typically, strategies for forex trading are primarily founded on fundamental and technical analysis. Hence, astute traders possess the skill to creatively merge efficient trading techniques to identify the most appealing gains.
1. Day trading
Day trading is a trading strategy where traders, known as day traders, do not hold any trades overnight and close all orders before the end of the trading session. Day traders commonly use technical analysis to assess and capitalize on price changes by observing time frames or trading volumes throughout the day. Typically, day traders keep trades open for a few minutes to a few hours.
- Advantage: By effectively managing risks, traders can secure monthly profits without having to worry about prices moving unfavorably due to news or paying overnight fees. Additionally, closing positions at the end of each session can help avoid potential risks.
- Defect: Monitoring the market throughout the day can be both stressful and time-consuming for traders. Failure to do so could result in significant losses if the market experiences a decline or deviates from predicted movements.
2. Scalping
Scalping, a technique utilized by investors known as Scalpers, involves short-term trading wherein orders are held for just a few seconds or minutes at most. This approach entails buying and selling multiple times a day to capitalize on minor price movements within short time frames in order to gain small spreads. Scalpers execute numerous orders during trading sessions due to the brief trading period. With adept use of financial leverage, a trader can typically earn 5-10 pips per trade on average. However, choosing a broker with low spreads and commissions is crucial for maximizing the benefits of the scalping approach and minimizing trading costs.
- Advantage: There are always plenty of profitable trading opportunities every day. Overall income is quite high.
- Defect: Always have to watch forex charts for hours. The mind is always tense and pressured.
3. Swing trading
Swing trading is a strategy used by traders to take advantage of oscillations in the market. It involves holding positions for a few days to weeks, typically averaging two to four days. This approach relies heavily on technical analysis, including candlestick patterns, support and resistance levels, and indicator lines, to identify suitable entry and exit points. Since it is a medium-term strategy, traders usually analyze forex charts on 1H (1 hour) and 4H (4 hours) time frames.
- Advantage: You don't have to constantly monitor the market like scalpers and day traders, which frees up time for other important tasks. This allows for a more relaxed mental state and less pressure. The rate of return is still quite appealing.
- Defect: Take the risk for holding orders overnight. It is not possible to get a large profit when the market has strong fluctuations in a bad trend.
4. Position trading
Position trading is a trading strategy that involves holding orders for a prolonged period, ranging from several weeks to even years. Consequently, forex charts of position traders are viewed over days or weeks. Unlike scalpers, position traders rely more on fundamental analysis rather than technical analysis to make informed decisions regarding future price trends and determine whether to buy or sell currency.
- Advantage: No need to spend a lot of time "watching" the market. The sentiment is relaxed and not under great pressure because position traders are not affected by short-term price movements. Profit margins can be huge if the market moves according to your expectations.
- Defect: Requires traders to have a solid background in fundamental analysis and technical analysis, especially when it comes to regularly monitoring economic and political news in the world. The capital requirement is quite large as the stop loss is usually deeper. Profit is calculated on an annual basis because the number of trades is very small.
5. Price action
Price action trading is a technique that involves analyzing previous price movements to make technical trades. This strategy can be used alone or in conjunction with other technical tools. Fundamental analysis is seldom used by price action traders, who instead rely on resistance/support levels, Fibonacci retracement, price patterns, and indicators to determine entry and exit points. Price action trading is applicable to short, medium, and long-term timeframes, and investors are advised to analyze prices across multiple timeframes for a more comprehensive and precise overview.
- Advantage: Trading is relatively simple because mainly just using candlestick charts. Therefore, the price action method is very suitable for new traders. Cultivate analytical thinking ability.
- Defect: For intensive use is very difficult. It is highly subjective, depending on the assessment and experience of each trader. There are many risks such as strong price fluctuations or the market being manipulated by the makers.
6. High-Frequency Trading
Price action trading is a technique that involves analyzing past price movements to make technical trades. This strategy can be used alone or in conjunction with other technical tools. Unlike fundamental analysis, price action traders rely on resistance/support levels, Fibonacci retracement, price patterns, and indicators to determine entry and exit points. This approach is suitable for various timeframes, and investors are advised to consider multiple timeframes for more precise analysis.
- Advantage: Contributing to stabilizing the market to avoid strong price fluctuations. From there, helping traders limit big losses. Make full use of the price difference and make a profit.
- Defect: Trade with fast speed and large volume, so it is easy to have a strong impact on the market. No broker involvement due to complex algorithms applied. Easy to cause virtual transactions.
How to choose the right trading method for you
1. Determine the purpose of forex investment.
2. Determine the transaction time.
3. Consider some other factors.
Conclude: The article mentioned six successful forex trading methods along with their benefits and drawbacks. This comprehensive guide will assist you in selecting an investment plan that aligns with your objectives and vision. By skillfully combining these trading methods, you can increase your chances of successful transactions. Good luck in achieving your investment goals!
6 Short term Forex trading tips.To succeed in short-term forex trading strategies such as scalping and intraday, there are six key secrets that must be understood and implemented. These secrets are essential to success and have been proven effective.
1. Trading capital
Many traders aim to grow their small account from 10$ to $100 by frequently trading small orders, and some may even turn it into $100,000. However, it is not a guaranteed outcome for everyone. Short term trades require sufficient capital as they involve frequent opening and closing of positions. Failure to understand concepts such as Lot determination, pip valuation, and capital management may result in significant losses. Having low capital increases the risk of losing the account quickly, especially if the trader has poor control over their gains and losses.
2. Determine leverage
It's important to keep in mind that leverage has both positive and negative effects in Forex trading. Traders often suffer losses not because of their trading abilities, but rather due to two primary reasons:
Do not know how to use leverage, or abuse leverage
Lack of funds
When you use full leverage to trade, you are putting your account at the highest risk.
3. Transaction costs
All businesses have to bear transaction costs, and in the case of the Forex market, these costs are in the form of Spread, Comission, and Tax. The frequency of transactions directly impacts the escalation of costs, which can be pretty significant, especially for accounts that incur high Comission charges. However, if you avoid Comission, you may have to bear high Spread costs instead.
If you are interested in scalping or intraday trading, it is advisable to select a broker that offers low commission and narrow spread. But make sure that you are using an ECN account, as it will only require you to pay the commission fee. Moreover, it is suggested that you enroll in an IB account to receive additional commission rebates. It is crucial to consider these factors while choosing a broker for scalping and intraday trading.
4. Fluctuations of market trends
For traders who engage in Intraday and Scalping, it is crucial to select the appropriate position for trading. The initial step involves assessing the overall market trend, followed by recognizing significant price levels. You should then analyze the underlying factors that influence short-term fluctuations within those price levels. Lastly, you must opt for a Forex trading timeframe that aligns with your trading approach.
5. Scalping and Intraday Trading Strategy
To effectively track and analyze the shorter time periods M1 and M5, it is important to identify the four factors and key rate areas that can lead to errors. After doing so, it is recommended to backtest and determine if any of the trading frameworks are suitable. An effective intraday and scalping strategy is to utilize the breakout trading strategy, specifically targeting psychological zones such as support and resistance zones.
6. Trading Psychology
When it comes to short-term trading, traders face greater psychological pressure and must exercise more patience in order to achieve maximum profit while minimizing risk. Compared to long-term traders, those who engage in short-term trading experience more pressure. Additionally, it is important for traders to maintain a high level of trading discipline by entering trades quickly, placing accurate and timely orders, and avoiding greed. These factors are essential for success in short-term trading.
Greetings to all traders! I have some valuable trading-related information that I would like to share with you ❤️
The Philosophy of Selling Technical IndicatorsWith a rather odd & convoluted history, the industry of selling access to technical indicators goes back further in time than most traders & investors are aware of.
A rather large majority of investors perceive the act of selling access to technical indicators as being in most relation to selling 'snake-oil'.
While this is true for many vendors who unfortunately market indicators as a 'get rich quick' scheme for trading, it's not true for every vendor.
In this article we are going to do a deep dive exposing what makes a bad vendor, going through the history of indicator vendors, and outlining how vendors can actually have an overall positive impact for the community.
Disclaimer: LuxAlgo is a provider of technical indicators (mostly free, but some paid), however, we will try to be as un-biased as possible in this piece. This article is purely for informational & educational purposes for the greater community.
🔶 WHAT MAKES A GOOD VENDOR?
We could summarize this as a vendor who first & foremost follows TradingView vendor requirements , develops quality products, cares about the community, truly acknowledges that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and has good business practices.
A step by step ruleset to follow of how to be a good vendor could be as follows:
🔹 1. Publish open-source scripts
Aside from the paid scripts, vendors should be easily able to contribute other publications with open-source code for the greater community.
Come on, let the world see that code! There shouldn't be any hesitation to contribute open-source scripts if a vendor is deeming themselves good enough to sell private indicators, right?
Well, there's not many other ways to immediately tell if their products are "quality" if a vendor has no open-source publications to show for themselves as a developer.
If someone is going to sell indicators, we believe in our opinion that they should be able to contribute to the community with open-source work as well in a notable way. This can also be a vendor's way of "giving back" or at least just a way to show they care about the community.
Many vendors completely disregard publishing open source as a means to building a community & also being contributive to the great platform with a userbase they're building a business on top of, while in fact, it does all of this in an extremely productive way.
A possible reason why many vendors do not prioritize publishing open-source scripts could be that they don't know how to do so in any case, so they stick to private script publications mostly (or entirely) to avoid having to be in the public eye of the broader TradingView / Pine Script community.
🔹 2. Don't use misleading marketing practices
Indicators can be marketed as quality, efficient, comprehensive, educational, and supportive tools for traders / investors.
There is a balance a vendor must have when it comes to marketing a technical indicator as a product.
To be clear, of course, it is only logical & common sense to display a product as 'good', and there's nothing wrong with that.
However, if a vendor goes too far, such as saying, "Our indicator has an 89% win rate!" or "How to turn $1k into $100k!" or even "Revealing the game-changing secret weapon that made trader $1M on 1 trade!" - then a vendor is simply using bad practices to acquire customers.
A great analogy can be an advertisement for a food company such as Pizza Hut. Of course, they want to make the pizza look great with excellent visuals, good lighting, & shiny cheese, however, they don't tell you by eating the pizza it will get you a 6-pack rock hard abs.
The same can be applied to marketing technical indicators as products. Of course, a vendor can display their product functioning well in good market conditions primarily, however, by claiming it has any sort of "win-rate" or guaranteed profits, a vendor is being misleading.
The only difference between the Pizza Hut ad & the technical indicator ad being it pertains to the analysis of financial markets, so, in general there should also be proper disclaimers where fit to address consumer expectations using such products.
🔹 3. Don't be misleading in your branding, either.
This goes hand-in-hand with the point made above on marketing.
If a brand itself is in relation to generating profits like "Profit-Bot" or a product / feature is called "10x-Gains-Moving-Average"... the vendor is likely en-route to problems in the long run with the business (bad reviews, business disputes, poor community, etc).
A great business is made on transparency, providing value, caring about customers, and making a difference within an industry for the better.
The more a business does good by customers, the healthier the business will be, & the longer the business will last.
Within the space of technical indicators as products, no matter how transparent the marketing / website is, many customers will still have the impression that they will use these products to help themselves 'make profits'.
While this is of course mostly everyone's goal being involved in financial markets in the first place, it calls for a good balance in the presentation of the indicators as well as setting expectations clear by communicating realistic expectations to customers as best as possible.
One thing vendors can easily do to be transparent, honest, & an overall good actor in the industry is to provide a generous refund policy to ensure consumers who may still have the wrong idea about the intended usage have the opportuntiy to move on with a full refund.
Executing on a good refund policy tends to be the most successful strategy for vendors opposed to free trials even for managing expectations because free trials can attract even less experienced traders who don't want to take the time to learn the product itself no matter how many times they have directed to not follow indicators blindly.
There are many instances of where this is seen as similarly true within digital products in general such as plug-ins, educational programs, etc.
🔹 4. Create unique products
This should be a given, however, it's something we thought we should mention as many vendors tend to impersonate or completely mimic other products already existing in hopes of theirs attaining the same level of attention.
The reality is most technical indicators as products have already seen a high level of adoption from the broader community and it universally is known to them that there are knockoff products existing already.
Joining forces with the knockoffs is not a good bet in any endeavor and we believe that originality can go a long way in this industry as well.
🔶 WHAT MAKES A BAD VENDOR?
Well, this can be easily summed up in 1 image of course.
You know what they say, if something sounds too good to be true... it isn't.
If someone is standing in front of an exotic car, flashing cash, and telling you they got this rad lifestyle by using their trading indicator... it should immediately raise 1,000 red flags for you.
There's no such thing as getting rich quick, especially based on the functionality of a technical indicator. Period.
This type of malicious marketing is extremely harmful to people as it directly gives them false hopes, plays into desperation, and is from a common-sense perspective; a deceptive marketing tactic used by charlatans.
Bad vendors do not publish any open-source contributions and primarily just stick to marketing indicators in misleading ways that overall harm the community.
There are many potential reasons as to why vendors market indicators in misleading ways:
1.) They don't understand indicators & they are actually snake-oil salesmen (image above).
2.) They do understand indicators, maybe have something decent developed, but just don't know how else to market indicators other than promising profits.
3.) They may have tried marketing in non-misleading ways before, found that misleading marketing is producing the most sales for them, so they became fueled with greed & doubled-down on the misleading claims when marketing their product regardless. (Instead of trying to build a reputable business).
🔶 WHY & HOW VENDORS CAN BE GOOD FOR THE COMMUNITY
Vendors have the power to reach more people, since at the end of the day, there is a business established behind them with marketing efforts.
We believe that people will buy indicators no matter what and that this is a real established market as products for traders, regardless of what the majority of investors think of it.
So, as long as there are good actors primarily at the top of the industry, this is what's best for the community overall, and possibly the overall perception of indicator vendors can change eventually.
Good acting vendors with the right practices as listed earlier in this article are able to educate more people through marketing their products, community growth, & open-source contributions that they publish as well.
All in turn, growing the broader interest in the scripting community which helps grow technical analysis further by having a larger number of users provide feedback to each other & further improve the space over time.
In the case of LuxAlgo as a provider for example, it would not have been possible to grow a TradingView following of 200,000+ without the marketing efforts outside of TradingView on platforms like YouTube, Instagram, and even TikTok for all indicators we have created (free & paid).
Which has certainly grown into a large community, which over time has meaningfully contributed to the interest in custom technical indicators & the scripting community overall in general.
In the case of a bad acting vendor, this is the exact opposite & bad for the community overall because they do not make any good contribution to the community and just merely exist to try & sell access to their private indicators.
🔶 DO PAID INDICATORS "WORK" BETTER THAN FREE INDICATORS?
If you are defining the word "work" as "make more profits", then the answer is a hard no in all cases.
If you are defining the word "work" as in "being more useful", then it truly just depends on how comprehensive or unique the indicator is.
We believe that indicators are best used as supportive tools for decision making, so it's important to be asking this question in the right context & with this understanding when considering a product.
In the context of LuxAlgo Premium indicators specifically, we believe the answer is yes due to how the indicators were designed as all-in-one toolkits that include presets, filters, & various customization/optimization methods specifically designed to help traders embrace their trading style.
The position for paid indicators to exist under a subscription model is primarily done since indicators can be frequently updated / improved over time based on the user's feedback.
There are, however, other aspects of paid indicators which could be legitimately more useful than anything you can find for free in some other cases such as unique volume-based tools, extensive market scanner scripts, etc.
Although, it is quite limited when it comes to traditional technical indicators such as moving averages or signal-based indicators to make a strong argument that one is better than another in any meaningful way.
In most cases, you can take one indicator and overfit it to appear "better" or "more accurate" than another indicator by finding more specific market conditions or settings that has an advantage over another.
As a technical analyst, you begin to understand this once you have experimented with vast amounts of technical indicators with different use cases and have thoroughly reflected on its actual benefits to you. It's truly impossible to make an alternative argument in all cases, including debatably all paid technical indicators in existence right now.
🔶 THE REAL VALUE PROPOSITION OF PAID TECHNICAL INDICATORS
Since we can conclude in mostly all scenarios that paid indicators don't "work" better than free indicators in a technical sense when referring to its accuracy or direct visual aid to a trader, it begs to question what the actual value proposition can be for a vendor selling access to indicators.
A large part of the alternative value prop for a vendor may fall under the community & education that it provides under the brand, or additionally, the prospect of a vendor making paid indicators more interoperable with other applications such as large-scale alerts systems or cross-platform functionality.
Many vendors may try to create value propositions for their paid indicators by hosting a signal group where analysts callout trades using their paid indicators, however, this typically will be done in misleading ways over-hyping the usage and is not generally a good practice for vendors or users in our opinion.
With all of this mentioned, it may seem that the entire industry is full of charlatans at times, however, we do not believe the space will remain like this forever.
🔶 SHOULD THIS BE A MORE LEGITIMIZED INDUSTRY?
The history of paid indicators goes all the way back to the 1980's with John Ehlhers & Mark Jurik being two notable figures providing paid tools through websites on various charting platforms.
There was also a rather strange ecosystem of products with generally 'awkward' branding existing on older charting platforms since the early 2,000's. Some of which on these platforms still exist to this day. While interestingly enough, practically none of these brands ever grew past being considered small plug-ins.
Some considerably large educational programs / memberships throughout the 2,000's (& some existing still to this day) have implemented indicators as a part of their offerings, although they typically tend to integrate indicators only to add on to their sales funnel styled websites in hopes to add unique value to their "life changing online course" positioning, so we won't mention any names.
Additionally, while most new traders are likely unaware, TradingView had an app-store marketplace themselves in the 2010's called "marketplace add-ons" where users could purchase indicators from various vendors within their indicators tab alongside the Public Library now called Community Scripts.
Likely as the TradingView platform & Pine Script was mass-adopted on a larger scale, this marketplace was discontinued for various reasons with the adoption of invite-only scripts, where anyone with a premium account can manage access on these types of script publications.
This pivotal shift leveled the playing field for the industry whereas it created a new ecosystem of vendors who all could leverage their ability to manage access to users without appearing as "just another marketplace add-on", but rather, actual brands themselves.
While keeping this piece as un-biased as possible, this is where LuxAlgo was born, & generally speaking, was primarily the inspiration for the hundreds of "Algo" brands popping up all over the internet trying to sell TradingView indicators due to our notoriety in this environment.
In this current landscape, we believe there is an established ecosystem that has potential to mature further into a 'healthy' industry, so to speak... as mentioned earlier, just as long as there are more good actors leading it than bad.
We are also hopeful for platforms to recognize this evolution themselves & directly support the ecosystem to grow more efficiently with stronger operations over time while still allowing these brands their own independence as they have now.
It's very optimistic considering the realization of how popular the ecosystem has become & with the prospect of vendors within it to lead it in positive ways, which overall brings more people to TradingView & grows genuine interest in the Pine Script community from all over the internet very effectively.
🔶 CONCLUSION
We strongly believe indicator vendors will always exist in some capacity considering the 30–40-year history, the rise of digital products on the internet, as well as the growing popularity of indicator vendors in this current landscape. Considering this, it's important to ensure the brands leading the space are good actors so the space itself can mature long-term.
As a prominent figure in this industry, we hope from this article to have provided a lot of transparency for the broader community of traders & investors who may not have been aware of this space in such detail, as well as for any aspiring vendors to hopefully look to us and what we have outlined as a good role model / checklist for the sake of making this industry more legitimized in the future.
Thank you for reading!
- Sean Mack (Founder @LuxAlgo)
Credits
Alex Pierrefeu (TV profile @alexgrover) for being a massive leader in LuxAlgo since the beginning & going deep all the time creating theories w/ me about technical analysis & the industry with genuine fascination.
John Ehlers for being what we call the grandfather of this entire industry dating back to the 1980's with MESA Software.
Mark Jurik as a serious 'wave maker' with Jurik Research and for leading the way in the early 2,000's as a provider of unique tools.
@ChrisMoody for being a real "OG" in the TradingView community & for some cool discussions about the history of the industry early on.
All of the amazing users of LuxAlgo Premium since early 2020 and the entire community who provide us feedback to improve our indicators over time.
Everyone in the Pine Script community who follows us on TradingView & enjoys our contributions.
The @PineCoders team for being extremely helpful moderating the platform & for listening to our feedback / dealing with us throughout the years.
And lastly @TradingView for being the greatest platform for traders / investors and for making all of this possible in the first place.
The Power of Compound InterestIntroduction
Compound interest, often referred to as the eighth wonder of the world, is a financial concept that has the power to transform small investments into large fortunes over time. It is the key to building wealth, securing financial independence, and ensuring a comfortable retirement. In this essay, we will explore the underlying principles of compound interest, its benefits, and real-life examples. Additionally, we will discuss strategies for maximizing the potential of compound interest and managing its impact on debt.
The Basics of Compound Interest
At its core, compound interest is the interest earned on an initial sum of money (principal) as well as on any interest that has previously been added to the principal. In other words, it is interest on interest. The key factors that determine how much your investment will grow are the principal amount, the interest rate, and the time period. Compound interest allows money to grow exponentially, which means that the longer the investment period, the more significant the growth.
Real-Life Examples of Compound Interest
Let us consider a simple example to illustrate the power of compound interest. Suppose you invest $1.000 at an annual interest rate of 5%. After the first year, you will have earned 50 USD in interest ($1.000 * 0.05), resulting in a new balance of $1.050. With simple interest, the earnings would stop here, but with compound interest, the process continues.
In the second year, you will earn 5% interest on the full $1.050, which means you will earn $52.50 in interest, for a new balance of $1.102,50. This cycle repeats itself, with the balance and interest growing each year. Over the course of 30 years, a $1.000 investment at 5% annual interest compounded annually would grow to $4.321,94. The exponential growth over time demonstrates the incredible power of compound interest.
The frequency of compounding can also significantly impact the growth of an investment. Many investments compound interest daily, monthly, or quarterly. The more frequent the compounding period, the faster the investment will grow. For example, a $1.000 investment at 5% annual interest compounded quarterly over 30 years would grow to $4.486,98, demonstrating the benefits of more frequent compounding.
Maximizing Compound Interest Potential
There are several strategies for maximizing the potential of compound interest. Firstly, start investing as early as possible, as the exponential growth of compound interest accelerates over time. Even small, regular investments can lead to substantial gains over time. For instance, investing $100 per month at a 7% annual interest rate compounded monthly from age 25 to 65 would result in a balance of $262.481, even though the total contributions would only amount to $48.000.
Next, invest consistently and seek out investments with higher interest rates, which can significantly boost the growth of your investments. Finally, opt for more frequent compounding periods to accelerate your investment growth. By adhering to these strategies, you can make the most of compound interest and build substantial wealth over time.
Compound Interest and Debt Management
While compound interest can work wonders for wealth-building, it can also have negative consequences when it comes to debt. Credit cards, loans, and other forms of debt often compound interest, causing debt to grow rapidly if not managed properly. It is crucial to stay vigilant and make regular payments to prevent the negative effects of compound interest on debt.
Conclusion
In conclusion, compound interest is a powerful financial concept that can significantly impact your financial future. By understanding its principles, harnessing its benefits, and applying effective strategies, you can maximize your financial potential and secure a prosperous future. The key to success with compound interest lies in starting early, investing consistently, and being patient. Remember that small, consistent actions today can lead to enormous results in the future. It is crucial to research available investment options, assess your risk tolerance, and choose financial vehicles that align with your goals. By making informed decisions and leveraging the power of compound interest, you can make your money work for you and achieve financial success.
As a final note, it is essential to consider the impact of compound interest on debt management. Proper planning and disciplined payment schedules can help you mitigate the negative effects of compound interest on your financial well-being. By staying diligent and actively managing your finances, you can ensure a healthy balance between your investments and debts, paving the way for a bright and secure financial future.
Whether you are a seasoned investor or just beginning your financial journey, understanding the incredible potential of compound interest is invaluable. Embrace this financial marvel and harness its power to achieve your financial goals and secure a prosperous future for yourself and your loved ones.
Reasons and Effects of RecessionHi everyone,
Today, I am here with informative content. Let me start by saying that it will be a bit long, but let's learn what "Recession" means in detail.
🚩Recession can be defined as an economic downturn period. It is generally characterized by a decline in the gross domestic product (GDP) of a country in one or more quarters. Recession is associated with a series of economic indicators, such as rising unemployment rates, a decrease in consumer spending, and a general slowdown in economic activity.
🚩Recessions usually occur as part of the economic cycle and move with periods of economic growth. Some recessions may be shorter and less severe, while others may be longer and more severe. Recessions are generally attempted to be alleviated through economic incentives such as monetary policy, tax cuts, or increases in government spending.
🚩During a period when the economy slows down in general, financial markets are also affected. Recessions affect the prices of assets such as stocks, bonds, and commodities. Below are some examples of how recessions affect money markets:
🏳️Stocks: Stock prices usually decline during recession periods. Since the profitability of businesses decreases, investors tend to sell stocks as they expect a decrease in the company's future earnings potential. Therefore, during recession periods, there are often declines in stock markets.
🏳️Bonds: During recession periods, bonds usually have more demand. This may be due to investors turning to a safer investment. Bond interest rates may decline, and some investors may turn to safer but lower-yielding bonds from higher-risk assets.
🏳️Gold and other commodities: Gold and other commodities usually have demand during recession periods. This may be due to investors looking for a safer haven. Gold is a widely used "safe haven" asset worldwide, and its price usually rises during recession periods.
🏳️Currencies: Exchange rates between currencies can also change during recession periods. For example, currencies of countries with slowing economies usually decline, while currencies of countries with stronger economies usually become more valuable.
🚩The 2008 global financial crisis was triggered by a collapse that began in the US mortgage market. This collapse started when mortgage lenders turned high-risk mortgage loans into high-risk debts by commercializing them. Mortgage debts were then packaged with various debt instruments and sold in financial markets by investment banks. The collapse of debt instruments resulted in unpaid mortgage debts, a decline in house prices, and more homeowners facing financial difficulties. This situation turned into a mortgage crisis that began in 2007 and lasted until the middle of 2008.
🚩FED made several statements in the early 2008 indicating that there was a "mild recession" in the US economy. However, the FED failed to take necessary precautions for the collapse of the mortgage market to turn into a crisis.
One reason why FED could not take necessary precautions for the collapse of the mortgage market to turn into a crisis was due to the loose regulations of financial institutions in the US and permission to finance risky debts with high leverage. Therefore, the statements made by FED in early 2008 could have been made to maintain market confidence.
🚩However, towards the end of 2008, the mortgage crisis deepened and turned into a global financial crisis, which resulted in many financial institutions going bankrupt, unemployment rates rising, and a significant decline in the world economy.
As a result, the statements made by FED in 2008 were based on the assumption that the mortgage crisis would result in a less severe recession. However, this assumption did not come true, and the mortgage crisis turned into a global financial crisis. These events have shown that regulatory institutions need to closely monitor risks in financial markets and complexity in debt instruments.
Similarities and Differences:
🚩We can say the following about the similarities and differences between the 2008 global financial crisis and a potential crisis:
Similarities:
• Both the 2008 crisis and a potential crisis could begin with a collapse in financial markets.
• Both crises can affect many economic sectors and countries.
• Crises usually cause a decline in economic activity and a rise in unemployment rates.
• Both crises may require central banks to intervene through monetary policies by lowering interest rates.
Differences:
• The 2008 crisis began with the collapse of high-risk loans in the mortgage market. The start of a potential crisis may depend on a different cause or event.
• The 2008 crisis resulted in the bankruptcy of many financial institutions. In a potential crisis, the situation of financial institutions or the structure of financial instruments may be different.
• The 2008 crisis turned into a global financial crisis. The magnitude of a potential crisis will depend on how widespread the crisis is, which sectors are affected, and whether the crisis has a global impact.
• In a potential crisis, countries' economic structures and policies before the crisis may have a different impact on the severity and duration of the crisis.
🚩In conclusion, any economic crisis cannot be predicted in advance, and we cannot know its definite results beforehand. However, by looking at the causes and consequences of past crises, we can say that uncertainty and fluctuations in financial markets and economic activity are significant during crisis periods.
Possible Impact on Cryptocurrencies:
🚩Predicting the impact of a potential recession on cryptocurrency assets and Bitcoin is a difficult issue. However, in case of uncertainty in financial markets and investors avoiding risky assets, it is possible for cryptocurrencies to lose value. On the other hand, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies may act as a safe haven asset, especially in times of economic turmoil, and may increase in value.
Differences Between Technical Recession and Real Recession
🚩Technical recession is a situation where the economy has a declining growth rate for a certain period (usually a quarter or more). In this case, a country's economy shows a decline for two consecutive quarters. Technical recession is generally considered an indicator of an economic downturn period.
🚩Real recession, on the other hand, is an economic downturn period where economic indicators such as rising unemployment rates and decreasing consumer spending sharply decrease. One of the most important determinants of a real recession is the unemployment rate in an economy. When unemployment rates rise in an economy, the purchasing power of the unemployed people decreases, and as a result, consumer spending declines.
🚩The difference between the two terms is that technical recession only refers to a two-quarter economic downturn period, while real recession refers to more extended, usually more severe, and more serious economic problems such as an increase in unemployment.
Let's Take a Look at the 2001 and 2008 Crises
🚩In the past, the US economy entered a technical recession several times, but also experienced real recessions. For example, in 2001, the US economy shrank for two quarters, and technically, a recession occurred. However, the main reason for this economic downturn was the burst of the high-tech bubble. Therefore, the contraction in the economy was only caused by a temporary factor, and there was no significant change in other economic indicators.
🚩However, after the 2008 financial crisis, the US economy went through a more severe recession. This crisis was caused by subprime mortgages and other risky financial instruments. The crisis led to significant losses in financial markets and the bankruptcy of major banks. As a result, economic growth slowed down, unemployment rates increased, and consumer spending declined. This situation was evaluated as a real recession, and the US economy struggled to recover for a long time.
🚩The Fed has taken various steps to address technical and real recessions in the US economy by regulating interest rates and using monetary policy tools. For example, after the 2008 financial crisis, the Fed reduced interest rates to zero and tried to support financial markets using monetary policy tools. These steps helped the economy to recover, and the US economy started to grow again.
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Goodbye. 👋🏻👋🏻👋🏻