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Patience in Trading Hello traders, Patience in trading is ability to wait to take the right action, if you have not enough patience you will have bad trades bad decisions and cause you to take action too soon. 3 things you should avoid if you want to become a better trader and improve your patience in trading. 1) Don't Rush : Market is there not going anywhere so don't need to rush in bad trades stick to your best trade setups and always looking for an opportunity don't rush into normal trades. So don't need to rush just relax and take things step by step, enjoy the journey of your trading. ''If you need to hurry, you are already too late'' 2) Over Confident : Over confident is a very worse thing especially in trading when someone overestimates their own skill and knowledge which can lead to them making mistakes. There are some types of over confident like wishful thinking, over ranking, and illusion of control etc... These all of types over confident can lead to big losses in trading. Some of things that you can do to overcome your over confidence in trading is : > Don't believe too much in your skills > Always use stop loss > Don't thinking just only for today > Create your trading rules and don't break stick to it > Always stay in the middle line don't go to the extreme which cause you over confident and don't go to the slight which cause you depression. ''We can never reach a stage where we can say, i know everything and i have nothing more left to learn'' 3) Believe : Believe in yourself if you don't have enough believe in your trading system or any kind of decisions you take in trading you can lead to big losses like comes in fear and try to close running trades and don't have enough believe in your taken trades. Try to believe in yourself, try to believe in your decisions, try to believe in your trading system and be patient with your taken steps and wait for the outcome either it will bad or good doesn't matter just continue the process and learn from your previous mistakes and be better next time. ''Trust yourself, you know more than you think you do'' These are 3 things that you should need to do for patience in trading. If you have any advice to be patient in trading please let me know in the comments. I wish you good luck and good trading. If you like the post, please support my work with like, thank you!
Education
by TheLoserMan
DLF- WEEKLY TIMEFRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart). Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves. we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle. Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price. Keep it simple, keep it Unique. please keep your comments useful & respectful. Thanks for your support.... Tradelikemee Academy
NSE:DLFLong
by Tradelikemee
Factor Investing: An IntroductionThe concept of factor investing has garnered significant attention in recent years as an innovative approach to portfolio management. The idea behind factor investing is that it seeks to uncover the primary sources of return in investment portfolios, and to explicitly target these sources, known as factors. By systematically identifying and targeting these factors, investors can achieve improved portfolio diversification, risk management, and potentially, enhanced returns. Factor investing can be traced back to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) introduced by Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965). The CAPM was a groundbreaking theory that posited that a security's expected return is directly related to its level of systematic risk, measured by the beta coefficient. The concept of beta provided an early example of a factor in investing. In recent years, factor investing has evolved and expanded considerably. Researchers and investment managers have identified numerous factors that drive investment performance, such as quality, low volatility, and liquidity. Primary Factors in Investing Market : The market factor represents the overall market return and is the core factor that drives investment performance. The market factor, or beta, is the exposure of an asset to the general movement of the market. Size : Size is the factor that focuses on the market capitalization of companies. Small-cap stocks typically offer higher potential returns than large-cap stocks, although they also tend to exhibit higher volatility. Value : Value investing targets stocks that are considered undervalued relative to their intrinsic value. Value stocks generally have low price-to-earnings, price-to-book, and price-to-cash-flow ratios, and they tend to outperform growth stocks over time. Momentum : The momentum factor captures the tendency of stocks that have recently outperformed to continue to do so. Momentum investing strategies aim to capture this trend by buying recent winners and selling recent losers. Quality : Quality is a factor that focuses on financially stable and well-managed companies. Quality stocks typically have high profitability, low leverage, and stable earnings growth. Low Volatility : Low volatility investing aims to identify stocks that have exhibited low price volatility over time. Low-volatility stocks often deliver better risk-adjusted returns than high-volatility stocks Benefits of Factor Investing Factor investing offers several benefits to investors, such as: Improved diversification : By targeting specific factors, investors can diversify their portfolios across various sources of return and risk, thereby reducing overall portfolio risk. Enhanced risk management : Factor investing enables investors to better understand the underlying risks in their portfolios and to manage those risks more effectively. Potential for outperformance : By systematically targeting well-established and robust factors, investors may achieve higher returns than traditional market-cap-weighted indexes. Cost efficiency : Factor investing strategies are often implemented using rules-based approaches, such as smart-beta or quantitative strategies, which can be more cost-effective than traditional active management. Transparency : Factor investing strategies are typically more transparent than traditional active management, as they rely on well-defined, rules-based methodologies that are easier for investors to understand and monitor. Potential Risks of Factor Investing While factor investing offers many benefits, it is important to be aware of the potential risks associated with this approach: Factor timing : Just like market timing, attempting to time factor exposures can be difficult and often leads to underperformance. Investors should be cautious about trying to predict when a particular factor will outperform or underperform. Overfitting : The process of identifying factors can be susceptible to overfitting, where a model is tailored too closely to historical data and may not perform well in the future. Crowding : As more investors adopt factor investing strategies, the potential for crowding in certain factors may increase, leading to diminishing returns or increased risk. Model risk : The effectiveness of factor investing strategies relies on the accuracy and stability of the underlying factor models. If the models are not robust or if they become less effective over time, the strategy's performance may suffer. Diversification risk : While targeting specific factors can help diversify a portfolio, it may also expose investors to concentrated risk if those factors underperform or experience periods of heightened volatility. Factor investing has revolutionized the way investors approach portfolio management, offering improved diversification, enhanced risk management, and the potential for outperformance. By identifying and targeting the primary drivers of investment performance, factor investing provides a systematic and transparent framework for constructing and managing portfolios. Trade with care. If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment & subscribe for future educational ideas and trading setups.
AMEX:GSLCEducation
by financialflagship
Fibonacci Levels and How They Can Be Used in TradingGreetings, @TradingView community! This is @Vestinda, bringing you a helpful article on the topic of Fibonacci Retracements and how to effectively utilize them in your trading strategies. Fibonacci retracement levels are helpful for traders and investors in financial markets. They're horizontal lines on price charts that can show where price may reverse direction. These levels are based on the Fibonacci sequence, which is a series of numbers that occur in math and finance. Use case: The first thing to understand about the Fibonacci tool is that it is most effective when the market is trending. In an upward trending market, traders commonly use the Fibonacci retracement tool to identify potential buying opportunities on retracements to key support levels. Conversely, in a downward trending market, traders may look for opportunities to short sell when the price retraces to a Fibonacci resistance level. Fibonacci retracement levels are regarded as a predictive technical indicator because they attempt to forecast where the price will be in the future. Based on the theory, when trend direction is established, the price tends to partially return or retrace to a previous price level before continuing to move in the direction of the trend. How to Find Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Fibonacci retracement levels can be found by identifying the key Swing High and Swing Low points of an asset's price movement. Once these points are established, you can use the Fibonacci retracement tool, which calculates the potential levels of support and resistance based on the ratios between the key points. To apply the Fibonacci retracement tool, click and drag from the Swing Low to the Swing High in a downtrend, or from the Swing High to the Swing Low in an uptrend. This generates a set of horizontal lines at predetermined Fibonacci ratios, including 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. Are you keeping up with me? ;) Now, let's explore some examples of how Fibonacci retracement levels can be applied in cryptocurrency trading The Uptrend: In this instance, the Fibonacci retracement levels were plotted by selecting the Swing Low and Swing High points, which were observed on January 8th, 2021 at a price of $41,904. The Fibonacci retracement levels were $33,521 (23.6%), $29,197 (38.2%), $26,114 (50.0%*), $23,356 (61.8%), and $19,925 (76.4%), as shown in the chart. Traders anticipating that if BTC/USD retraces from its recent high and it will likely find support at a Fibonacci retracement level. This is due to the tendency of traders to place buy orders at these levels as the price drops, creating a potential influx of buying pressure that can drive up prices. While the 50.0% ratio is not officially recognized as a Fibonacci ratio, it has nonetheless become widely used and has persisted over time. Now, let’s look at what happened after the Swing High occurred. Price bounced through the 23.6% level and continued to fall over the next few weeks. Two times tested 38.2% but was unable to fall below it. Subsequently, around January 28th, 2021, the market continued its upward trend and surpassed the previous swing high. Entering a long position at the 38.2% Fibonacci level would have likely resulted in a profitable trade over the long run. The Downtrend Next, we will explore the application of the Fibonacci retracement tool in a downtrend scenario. Here is a 4-hour chart depicting the price action of ETH/USD. As you can see, we found our Swing High at $289 on 14 February 2020 and our Swing Low at $209 later on 27 February 2020 The retracement levels are $225 (23.6%), $236 (38.2%), $245 (50.0%), $255 (61.8%) and $269 (76.4%). In a downtrend, a retracement from a low could face resistance at a Fibonacci level due to selling pressure from traders who want to sell at better prices. Technical traders often use Fibonacci levels to identify areas of potential price resistance and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. Let’s take a look at what happened next. The market did make an attempt to rise, but it briefly halted below the 38.2% level before reaching the 50.0% barrier. The placement of orders at the 38.2% or 50.0% levels would have resulted in a profitable trade outcome. In these two instances, we can observe that price positioned itself at a Fibonacci retracement level to find some temporary support or resistance. These levels develop into self-fulfilling support and resistance levels as a result of all the people who utilize the Fibonacci tool. All those pending orders could affect the market price if enough market participants anticipate a retracement to take place close to a Fibonacci retracement level and are prepared to enter a position when the price hits that level. In conclusion: It's important to note that pricing doesn't always follow an upward trajectory from Fibonacci retracement levels. Instead, these levels should be approached as potential areas for further research and analysis. If trading were as simple as placing orders at Fibonacci retracement levels, markets wouldn't be so volatile. However, as we all know, trading is a complex and dynamic process that requires a combination of knowledge, skill, and experience to succeed. We are truly grateful for your attention and time in reading this post. If you found it insightful and beneficial, we would be thrilled if you could show your support by clicking the <> button and subscribing to our page. We are excited to share that our upcoming post will showcase what occurs when Fibonacci retracement levels do not perform as expected. Stay tuned for an informative and professional read.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Vestinda
22
Navigating the Uncertainties of Fibonacci Retracements in CryptoHello, @TradingView community! I'm @Vestinda, and I'm thrilled to share an informative article with you today about Fibonacci Retracements. While they can be useful tools for traders and investors in financial markets, it's important to note that they are not infallible and may not always produce the desired outcomes. As discussed in our previous post, Fibonacci support and resistance levels are not infallible and may occasionally break. It is essential to remain vigilant and use these levels in conjunction with other technical indicators and market analysis to make informed trading decisions. While Fibonacci retracements can be a useful tool in technical analysis, it is crucial to exercise caution and not solely rely on them as the sole basis for trading decisions. Unfortunately, Fibonacci retracements are not infallible and may not always work as expected. Let us examine a scenario where the Fibonacci retracement tool proves to be ineffective in technical analysis. To make a prudent trading decision amidst the ongoing downtrend of the pair, you make a strategic choice to leverage the Fibonacci retracement tool. With meticulous attention to detail, you designate the swing low at 3,882 and the swing high at 10,482 for precise determination of a Fibonacci retracement entry point. The BTC/USD Daily chart is shown below. Upon careful analysis, it is evident that the pair has rebounded from the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level for multiple candles. As an astute trader, you recognize this crucial pattern and conclude that it is a viable opportunity to enter a short position. You thoughtfully consider, "This particular Fibonacci retracement level is showing remarkable resilience. It is undoubtedly a lucrative moment to short it." You may have been tempted to take a short position in anticipation of profiting from the downtrend of the pair, while simultaneously daydreaming of cruising down Rodeo Drive in a Maserati. However, if you had placed an order at that level without proper risk management, your hopes of profit would have quickly dissipated as your account balance plummeted. Observing the price action of BTC, let's examine what occurred next. Indeed, the price action of BTC demonstrates that the market is constantly evolving, and traders must be prepared to adapt to these changes. As shown in this specific case, the price not only climbed close to the Swing High level, but the Swing Low marked the bottom of the previous downtrend. This serves as a prime example of the significance of flexibility in the dynamic realm of cryptocurrency trading. What can we learn from this? In the world of cryptocurrency trading, Fibonacci retracement levels can be a useful tool to increase your chances of success. However, it's important to understand that they are not foolproof and may not always work as intended. It's possible that the price may reach levels of 50.0% or 61.8% before reversing, or that the market may surge past all Fibonacci levels. Additionally, the choice of Swing Low and Swing High to use can also be a source of confusion for traders, as everyone has their own biases, chart preferences, and timeframes. In uncertain market conditions, there is no one correct course of action, and utilizing the Fibonacci retracement tool can sometimes feel like a guessing game. To improve your chances of success, it's crucial to develop your skills and use Fibonacci retracements in conjunction with other tools in your trading toolkit. Thank you for taking the time to read our post. We sincerely appreciate your attention and hope that you found it informative and helpful. If you did, we kindly request that you show your support by clicking the "Boost" button and subscribing to our page. Your support helps us create more valuable content for our community.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Vestinda
6 month hold on $GTN with tight risk 80% upsideGTN has amazing fundamentals in Broadcasting sub industry compared to its peers, technically at the bottom of an expanding long term wedge, and we're going into political ad season and its market is in many swing states that will see high political ad spending; this has a tight risk stop loss at 18% and easy upside of 80%; I will take a measured long position in this soon at 2%-4% of portfolio and hold for 6=12 months. I do not have a position in this currently but will likely go long this week
NYSE:GTN
by dilille010
2
Easy-to-Spot Bullish Forex PatternsHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫 For the biggest part, I prefer to trade reactive rather than predictive. Chart patterns really come in handy with this strategy. Here are my top easy to spot chart patterns, specifically focused on bullish chart patterns today. The green highlight dots are to help identify the margins of the pattern and the purple highlighted dot is where a long entry can be taken. While you're here 👀 See this related idea on EURUSD from the monthly timeframe: _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
Education
by CryptoCheck-
44
The Ten Fundamental Objectives of the Federal ReserveIntroduction The Federal Reserve System, often referred to as "the Fed," was established in 1913 in response to a series of banking panics. As the central banking institution of the United States, it plays a crucial role in maintaining the stability and integrity of the nation's monetary and financial systems. This essay explores the ten fundamental objectives of the Federal Reserve, which include maintaining price stability, promoting full employment, and ensuring a stable financial system, among others. 1. Price Stability The primary objective of the Federal Reserve is to maintain price stability, which refers to a low and stable rate of inflation. By managing inflation, the Fed helps to preserve the purchasing power of money, ensuring that consumers and businesses can make informed decisions regarding spending, saving, and investment. 2. Maximum Sustainable Employment Another key objective of the Federal Reserve is to promote maximum sustainable employment, also known as full employment. This means providing enough job opportunities for all individuals who are willing and able to work, while minimizing the rate of unemployment. By promoting full employment, the Fed contributes to overall economic growth and well-being. 3. Moderate Long-Term Interest Rates The Federal Reserve aims to maintain moderate long-term interest rates, which are essential for economic growth and stability. By controlling short-term interest rates, the Fed can indirectly influence long-term rates, thereby encouraging borrowing, investment, and consumption. 4. Financial System Stability One of the most critical objectives of the Federal Reserve is ensuring the stability of the financial system, which involves monitoring and regulating financial institutions, as well as identifying and addressing potential risks. By maintaining a stable financial system, the Fed helps to prevent crises and protect the economy from shocks. 5. Efficient Payment and Settlement System The Federal Reserve is responsible for managing the nation's payment and settlement systems, which include check clearing, electronic funds transfers, and automated clearinghouse operations. By providing these services efficiently and securely, the Fed ensures that financial transactions occur smoothly, promoting confidence in the banking system. 6. Consumer Protection Another important objective of the Federal Reserve is to protect consumers by enforcing federal consumer protection laws and regulations. This includes monitoring financial institutions for compliance, addressing consumer complaints, and providing education and resources to help consumers make informed financial decisions. 7. Supervision and Regulation The Federal Reserve plays a vital role in supervising and regulating financial institutions to ensure their safety, soundness, and compliance with laws and regulations. This oversight helps to maintain a stable and resilient financial system, while also protecting consumers and investors. 8. Community Development The Federal Reserve is committed to promoting community development by supporting initiatives that address issues such as affordable housing, small business development, and workforce development. This objective aims to foster economic growth and improve the quality of life in communities across the country. 9. Economic Research and Analysis The Federal Reserve conducts extensive research and analysis to better understand the U.S. economy, as well as the global economy. This research informs the Fed's monetary policy decisions and helps it to fulfill its other objectives, such as promoting maximum employment and maintaining stable prices. 10. International Financial Cooperation Finally, the Federal Reserve cooperates with other central banks and international financial institutions to promote global economic stability and financial system resilience. This collaboration allows the Fed to share information, resources, and expertise, ultimately benefiting the U.S. economy. Conclusion The Federal Reserve plays a pivotal role in the U.S. economy by pursuing ten fundamental objectives, which range from maintaining price stability to promoting international financial cooperation. By fulfilling these objectives, the Fed ensures the stability and growth of the U.S. economy, while also fostering a resilient and efficient global financial system. Trade with care. If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment & subscribe for future educational ideas and trading setups.
FRED:FEDFUNDSEducation
by financialflagship
11
Safe $ACM ShortACM is the most poorly positioned commercial construction company on the market on a financial and technical basis currently. We take advantage of a slow down in commercial building with commercial banking stress. ACM is only off 10% from highs currently only 6 weeks ago. ACM Book value is 4.52, 20% higher than its industry average. Profit margin is 7.81% for industry at 20.61%. 5 year declining revenue growth at -6% annum. Long term debt to equity is 110% to industry average of 80.5%. I think this could easily drop 50% into a recession. I have profit take at 33% support with stop loss just over highs at 14% for a RR of 2.39. I have a short position in ACM currently.
NYSE:ACMShort
by dilille010
GOLD | Interesting facts about GoldOANDA:XAUUSD 1.Gold is a 'noble' metal, meaning that it does not rust or lose its shine. Other noble metals include ruthenium, rhodium, palladium, silver, osmium, iridium, platinum, mercury, rhenium and copper. 2.Gold is the only yellow metal. All other metals darken or turn a yellowish colour after they have oxidised or reacted with other chemicals. 3.Gold is one of the heaviest and densest of all metals in the Periodic Chart; a cubic foot would weigh more than half a ton. 4.Pure gold will melt at 1064.43° and boils at 2856.1°. Even at normal temperatures gold is extremely soft. One gram of gold can be flattened down to a square meter sheet, which is so thin that light passes through, and because of this it has been used as a protective film on visors in space suits 5.Odourless and tasteless, gold is not toxic - and flakes may be eaten in foods or drinks. 6.Gold is far rarer than diamonds but is only the 58th rarest earth element. 7.It is estimated about 160,000 tons of gold have been mined throughout history. 8.In 2018, China was the world leader in gold mining production. Second was Australia, Russia third, US fourth and Canada fifth. 9.The largest gold nugget is the 'Welcome Stranger' mined in Australia in 1869, weighing in at a colossal 173 pounds (that is nearly 78.5 kilos). 10.The first gold coins were produced in Lydia between 700 - 650 BC. They were made from electrum, which is a naturally occurring alloy of gold. 11.The Swiss Franc was the last remaining country to peg its currency to a value in gold. It became a fiat currency in 1999. 12.The Perth Mint in Western Australia cast the largest ever coin - weighing one tonne and measuring 80 centimetres (31.4 inches) in diameter. 13.New York’s US Federal Reserve Bank is reported to hold 25% of the world's gold reserves. 14.Gold is frequently used as a safe haven asset in times of economic turmoil or geopolitical uncertainty. 15.Gold has historically had a weak correlation to movements in the financial markets and is frequently used as a hedge against inflation.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by INVESTRONE
Get ahead of the Game of Crypto with Dow TheoryWelcome to @TradingView , this is @Vestinda! We're excited to share with you our insights on the Dow Jones Theory and how it can benefit cryptocurrency traders. Dow Theory, also known as Dow Jones Theory, is a trading strategy developed by Charles Dow in the late 1800s. Charles Dow did not write any books during his lifetime, but he did co-found The Wall Street Journal and the Dow Jones & Company. He also wrote many editorials for The Wall Street Journal. Here is a quote from one of his editorials that is particularly insightful: "The successful investor is usually an individual who is inherently interested in business problems." Dow theory continues to dominate and is regarded as one of the most sophisticated contemporary studies on technical analysis even after 100 years. What exactly is Dow Theory? Charles H. Dow compared the stock market to the tides of the ocean in the Wall Street Journal on January 31, 1901. "A person watching the tide come in and wanting to know the exact location of the high tide places a stick in the sand at the points reached by the incoming waves until the stick reaches a position where the waves do not come up to it and finally recedes enough to show that the tide has turned." This method is effective for observing and predicting the flood tide of the stock market." Dow believed that the current state of the stock market could be used to analyse the current state of the economy. The stock market can provide valuable measures for understanding the reasons for high and low trends in the economy or individual stocks. How Does the Dow Theory Work? The Dow Theory is based on several fundamental tenets, which are outlined below: 1. The Averages Reflect Everything: The market price takes into account every known or unknown factor that may impact both supply and demand. According to this observation, the market reflects all available information, even information that is not in the public domain. However, natural disasters such as droughts, cyclones, floods, or earthquakes cannot be considered. Major Geopolitical Events are Already Priced In: All significant geopolitical events, trade wars, domestic policies, elections, GDP growth, changes in interest rates, earning projections, or expectations are already priced in the market. Unexpected Events Affect Short-Term Trends: While unexpected events may occur, they usually only affect short-term trends, and the primary trend remains unaffected. Overall, the Dow Theory emphasises the importance of analysing the primary trend of the market and understanding that all available information is already reflected in the market price. 2. The Market Has Three Trends: The primary trend: It can be as long as one year to several years and is the ‘main movement’ of the market. These movements are typically referred to as bull and bear markets. This primary uptrend is called as bullish on the other hand primary downtrend can be considered as bearish trends. The reality of the situation is that nobody knows where and when the primary uptrend or downtrend will end. As you can see in the image above when a stock is moving in primary uptrend it makes new high followed by few lows not lower than the previous lows. Similarly the same patterns follows when it is in primary downtrend. The objective of Dow Theory is to utilize what we do know, not to make chaotic guess about what we don’t know. Through a set of guidelines from Dow Theory one can measure to identify the primary trend and stay with it. The intermediate trend or secondary trend: This trend can last between 3 weeks to several months. Secondary movements are reactionary in nature, think of them as corrections during bull market, or rallies & recoveries in the bear market. In a bull market, a secondary trend is considered a correction. In a bear market, secondary trend are called reaction rallies. So suppose if a stock during its primary uptrend made a high, it will retrace back to some points to make a low (known as intermediate trend or correction). Likewise during an primary downtrend, a stock can make a high after falling for several months or years(known as bear market rallies). The minor trend or daily fluctuations: This trend is least reliable which can be lasting from several days to few hours. Dow theory suggests not to put much attention to these trends. As a Long-term investor it is just the part of corrections in secondary uptrend or downtrend rally. This are just daily fluctuations happening in market on day to day basis. It constitutes of noise in market and perhaps be subject to manipulation. Out of the three trends mentioned only primary and secondary trends are trustworthy. However, the study of daily price action can add valuable insight, if you look in context of the larger picture. So when you are looking for daily price action of several days, or weeks try to evaluate bigger structure getting formed. By putting enough attention one can certainly benefit in short term rallies. A few pieces of a structure are meaningless, yet at the same time, they are essential to complete the entire picture. 3.Major Trends Have Three Phases: Dow significantly paid attention to the primary trends (major) in which he spotted three phases. These are Accumulation phase, Public participation phase and Distribution phase. These phases are cyclic in nature and repeats over the time. A) Accumulation phase: This phase occurs when the market is in bearish trend, sentiments are negative with no hope for any upcoming uptrend. For example as we saw in Indian share market a steep low in mid cap stocks, making new lows every other day. Most of the investors see them stay in this trend for unknown time period. However, this is the time when big investors, huge fund houses, institutional investors start accumulating them gradually. This is known as smart money keeping their view for long term investment. Although you would see sellers in market still selling, they find the buyers easily. B) Public participation phase: At this phase the market have already absorbed the negativity with ‘smart money’ getting invested. This is the second stage of a primary bull market and is usually sees the largest advance in prices. During this phase majority of public(retailers) also thinks to join in as the price is rapidly advancing. However most of them are left behind due to speed in rallies as well as the averages start heading higher. If you are also a trader or investor you might have this experience and a regret of not able to participate with rally. It is a period followed by improved business conditions and increased valuations in stocks. C) Distribution phase: The third stage is the excess phase which eventually be turned to distribution phase. During the third and final stage, the public (retailers) gets fully involved in the market, as they get mesmerized by the bull market rally. Some of them who felt left will still try to look for valuations and want to be part of the rally. But this is the time when ‘smart money’ starts liquidating shares on every high. Whereas public will try to buy at this level absorbing all liquidating (sell-off) volumes made by big investors. On contrary in the distribution phase, whenever the prices attempt to go higher, the smart money off loads their holdings. This is the beginning of bear market, where sentiments will start turning negative, you will see more and more companies filing bankruptcy, change in economic growth etc. During bear market the level of frustration rises among retail investors as they start loosing all hopes. 4.The Averages Must Confirm Each Other: Dow used to say that unless both Industrial and Rail(transportation) Averages exceed a previous peak, there is no confirmation or continuation of a bull market. Both the averages did not have to move simultaneously, but the quicker one followed another – the stronger the confirmation. To put it differently, observe the image above, as you can see both the averages are in bull market, trending upward from Point A to C. 5. Volume Must Confirm the Trend: Volume is a tool to know how many shares have been bought and sold in a given period of time. It helps in analysing the trends and patterns. Now according to Dow theory, a stock must be in uptrend with high volume and low in corrections. Volumes may not be an attractive piece of information but you should try to combine the volume data with resistance and support levels to get a clear picture. 6. Trend Is expected to Be Continued Until Definite Signals of Its Reversal: Quite similar to Newton’s first law of motion which states that an object will remain at rest or in uniform motion in a straight line unless acted upon by an external force. In simple words an object will remain in their state of motion unless a external force acts to change the motion. Likewise, the market will continue to move in a primary direction until a force, such as a change in business conditions, is strong enough to change the direction of this primary move. You can also see the signals for reversals when a trend is about to change. 7.Signals and Identification of Trends: One of the major challenges faced while implementing Dow theory is the accurate identification of trend reversals. Remember, if you are following the dow theory one should be not only looking for overall market direction, but also the definite reversal signals. One of the main skill used to identify trend reversals in Dow theory is peak and trough or high and low analysis. A peak is defined as the highest price of a market movement, while a trough is seen as the lowest price of a market movement. Dow theory suggests that the market doesn’t move in a straight line but from highs (peaks) to lows (troughs), with the overall moves of the market trending in a direction. An upward trend in Dow theory is a series of successively higher peaks and higher troughs. A downward trend is a series of successively lower peaks and lower troughs. 8. Manipulation In the Market: According to Charles dow the manipulation of the primary trend is not possible. where as Intraday, or day to day trading and perhaps even the secondary movements could be vulnerable to manipulation. These short movements, from a few hours to a few weeks, could be subject to manipulation by large institutions, speculators, breaking news or rumors. There is possibility that speculators, specialists or anyone else involved in the markets could manipulate the prices in short run. Individual shares could be manipulated for example the security rise up and then falls back and continues the primary trend. With this in mind one need to be aware of the situations while trading and investing. However, it would be next to impossible to manipulate the market as a whole. The market is simply too big for any kind of manipulation to occur. Why Dow Theory Is Not Infallible? Dow Theory is not a sure-fire means of beating the market hence it is not something which is infallible or fault-less. Some of the criticism received about Dow Theory is that it is really not a theory. Charles Dow's principles and theories, while developed for the stock market, can still be applied to crypto investing. Here are a few ways his knowledge can be used: Follow the trend: Dow's first principle is that the market moves in trends. In crypto investing, you can identify trends by looking at price charts and technical analysis. If the price of a particular cryptocurrency is in an uptrend, it may be a good time to consider buying. If it's in a downtrend, you may want to consider selling or waiting for a better entry point. Consider market breadth: Dow's second principle is that the market's movements should be confirmed by market breadth. This means looking beyond just the price of one cryptocurrency and examining the overall health of the market. For example, if a particular cryptocurrency is in an uptrend but the majority of other cryptocurrencies are in a downtrend, it may not be a sustainable trend. Use volume as a confirmation: Dow's third principle is that volume should confirm the trend. In crypto investing, volume can provide insight into the strength of a trend. For example, if the price of a cryptocurrency is increasing with high volume, it may indicate a strong uptrend. On the other hand, if the price is increasing with low volume, it may not be a sustainable trend. Be aware of market cycles: Dow's fourth principle is that the market moves in cycles. This means that there will be periods of growth and periods of decline. In crypto investing, it's important to be aware of these cycles and adjust your strategy accordingly. For example, during a bull market, you may want to focus on buying and holding, while during a bear market, you may want to consider shorting or staying on the sidelines. Overall, while the crypto market is different from the stock market, many of Dow's principles can still be applied to crypto investing to help you make more informed decisions. In conclusion, Dow Theory, developed by Charles Dow in the late 1800s, remains one of the most respected theories in financial market history. The theory's primary tenets are based on the idea that the stock market reflects all available information, and there are three trends in the market: primary, intermediate, and minor. The primary trend is the most important and can last several years, while the intermediate trend and minor trend are reactionary in nature. Dow Theory provides an excellent framework for traders and investors to evaluate the current state of the economy, and it has remained relevant even after 100 years. Whether you are an intraday trader, a short-term trader, or a long-term investor, the knowledge of Dow Theory will undoubtedly help you develop various strategies for your investments. So, in conclusion, Dow Theory is a respectful theory that has stood the test of time and continues to be an essential tool for anyone who trades or invests in the financial and crypto market. Unleash Your Inner Trader — Read Story About Bulls and Bears That Will Change Your Mindset! Hey there, our lovely friends! 😊 If you enjoyed reading this, please hit the "like" button 👍 and share it on your social media and groups. By doing so, more people can discover this interesting information, and we'll be encouraged to create even more awesome content for you! ♥️
TVC:DJIEducation
by Vestinda
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