Gloomy Trades and Doji Dilemmas : The Market Mysterious DanceEGX30 has sustained a downward trend for eight consecutive days, marked by prominent long red Heikin Ashi bars. This pattern has recently shifted to a red doji, hinting at a potential market reversal due to the apparent indecision among both buyers and sellers. Moreover, the trading volume has dwindled, dipping below the 26-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating a possible lack of robust market participation.
The transition from a sequence of extended red Heikin Ashi bars to a doji suggests the potential for a reversal in the current trend. The appearance of a doji candlestick signifies market uncertainty, where neither buyers nor sellers hold a definitive advantage. This change in candlestick pattern could signal a shift in market momentum, particularly following an extended period of decline.
Moreover, the decline in trading volume beneath the 26-day EMA serves as further confirmation of diminished market participation at this juncture. Reduced trading volume may reflect waning interest and a weaker commitment from market participants in the present trend.
Taken together, the emergence of a doji following a series of prolonged red bars, coupled with the dwindling trading volume under the 26-day EMA, suggests a shift in market sentiment towards neutrality or indecision. This setting might present opportunities for a potential market reversal or consolidation in the near term, as both buyers and sellers show hesitance in forcefully driving the market in any singular direction.
EGX30
Breaking News: Markets Shocked by Lack of Shock in EGX30 IndexOn a daily time frame, the EGX30 index remains bearish with low volume and value being evident. The average value per hour is around 450 million. There is a notable difference between the traditional candlestick chart and the Heikin Ashi chart, primarily due to the specific calculation method of Heikin Ashi (Holcomb divided by 4).
Looking closer at the one-hour time frame, the index shows positivity on both Ichimoku and Bollinger Bands.
However, it's essential not to be overly optimistic as the EGX30 index has not yet surpassed the head and shoulders neckline at 25,192.
If you need further analysis or have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
Symphony of Clouds, Bands, and Waves for the Perfect RallyEGX30: A Symphony of Clouds, Bands, and Waves for the Perfect Rally
The analysis of the EGX30 market rally integrates several key technical indicators: Ichimoku cloud, Bollinger Bands, and Elliott Wave theory. This synthesis provides a comprehensive understanding of the market's current condition and potential trajectory.
1. Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:
• The Ichimoku cloud (Kumo) indicates a bearish market, with the EGX30 trading below the green Kumo cloud.
• The Chikou Span is trending downward, suggesting a potential continuation of the downward trend. There are no immediate obstacles to its descent.
• The Tenkan Sen is positioned below the Kijun Sen and is crossing downward past the recent bar, signaling a potential sell-off. A red Kumo cloud ahead suggests sustained downward pressure.
2. Bollinger Bands Analysis:
• The EGX30 has moved above the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a potential reversal from oversold conditions.
• This movement suggests an initiation of an upward trajectory or market reversal, likely marking the end of downward pressures.
3. Elliott Wave Analysis:
• USD Analysis: The index's move beyond Elliott Wave correction wave a suggests a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish phase. This transition may indicate an initiation of either a new impulse wave or a continuation of corrective waves b and c.
• EGP Analysis: The EGP-denominated EGX30 remains in Elliott Wave 4, a correction phase characterized by consolidation and ambiguity. However, crossing above the lower Bollinger Band during this phase suggests relief from significant selling pressures, potentially signaling the beginning of stabilization or transitioning to Impulsive Wave 5.
Market Rally Description:
• Potential Market Shift: Given the integration of the Ichimoku cloud, Bollinger Bands, and Elliott Waves, there are signs that the market may be shifting from a bearish to a bullish phase.
• Upside Potential: The EGX30's movement above the lower Bollinger Band, combined with potential transitions in Elliott Wave correction, indicates the possibility of an upward market rally.
• Key Resistance Levels: Market participants should monitor the next resistance levels provided by the upper Bollinger Band and the Ichimoku cloud. These levels could present obstacles to the rally and potential reversal points.
• Risk Management: Traders should use the Ichimoku cloud's positioning and Bollinger Bands' levels as guideposts for setting stop-loss orders and managing risk.
• Market Sentiment and Strategy: The EGX30's current trajectory suggests a potential rally, but caution should be exercised. Traders may look for confirmations from other indicators, such as volume and momentum oscillators, before making significant market moves.
When considering the EGX30 market rally from different investment perspectives—daily traders, mid-term traders, and long-term investors—it's important to adjust the analysis to suit each group's time horizon and risk tolerance. Below is an explanation of the rally for each type of investor:
Daily Traders:
• Focus on Short-Term Price Movements: Daily traders should pay close attention to short-term signals from the Ichimoku cloud, Bollinger Bands, and Elliott Waves.
• Ichimoku Cloud: Watch for changes in the position of the price relative to the green and red Kumo clouds. Moves above or below the clouds can signal potential trend changes.
• Bollinger Bands: Monitor the price relative to the upper and lower Bollinger Bands for potential overbought or oversold conditions, respectively. Price movements outside these bands can indicate opportunities for entry or exit points.
• Elliott Waves: Track the waves for potential reversal points or the start of new impulsive or corrective phases.
• Risk Management: Utilize tight stop-loss orders and profit targets based on key support and resistance levels to manage risk and lock in gains quickly.
Mid-Term Traders:
• Identify Trend Changes: Mid-term traders should focus on shifts in the overall trend, particularly those indicated by the Ichimoku cloud and Elliott Waves.
• Ichimoku Cloud: The positioning of the Tenkan Sen, Kijun Sen, and Chikou Span can help identify medium-term trend shifts and potential buying or selling opportunities.
• Elliott Waves: Look for transitions between different waves (corrective or impulsive) as potential entry or exit signals. Monitoring wave structures can provide insights into the market's longer-term direction.
• Bollinger Bands: Use Bollinger Bands to gauge potential trend reversals and areas of consolidation that may signal entry points for medium-term positions.
• Patience and Timing: Mid-term traders should be patient and wait for confirmations of trend changes before taking positions.
Long-Term Investors:
• Monitor Overall Market Sentiment: Long-term investors should consider the overall market trend and sentiment, as indicated by the Ichimoku cloud and Bollinger Bands.
• Ichimoku Cloud: Long-term investors should focus on the broader trend signals from the Kumo cloud, paying attention to shifts from bearish to bullish conditions and vice versa.
• Bollinger Bands: Look for sustained trends that stay within the upper and lower Bollinger Bands. Significant movements outside these bands may signal long-term shifts in the market.
• Elliott Waves: Consider the larger wave structure (e.g., higher-degree impulsive or corrective waves) to understand the market's long-term direction.
• Portfolio Diversification: While the rally may offer opportunities, long-term investors should prioritize diversification and risk management to mitigate potential market downturns.
In conclusion, while the current technical signals suggest a potential rally, it is essential to remain vigilant and incorporate other forms of analysis for confirmation. This holistic approach can help traders navigate the market effectively and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
#traders4traders
***This channel is intended for educational purposes only and should not be construed as an investment proposal.
Disclaimer:
The content provided is for Educational purposes only. It should not be interpreted as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other form of advice. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks and may lead to potential losses, including the loss of principal. It's important for investors to recognize that past performance does not guarantee future returns, and market fluctuations can impact investment value. Stocks discussed here are not synonymous with, nor should they be seen as a replacement for time deposits or similar saving instruments. Investing in securities of smaller companies may involve higher risks compared to larger, more established firms, possibly resulting in substantial capital losses. Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall I be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView.
EGX30 has a sour and bitter quality, akin to coleslaw
EGX30 buyers are absent and the trend has been broken, as evidenced by the Senkou Span B. The next target is 27,700.
The 52-period EMA (28,622) and the middle line of the Bollinger Bands (28,583) intersect today's bar. Meanwhile, the Chikou Span (28,435) is experiencing a rollercoaster ride. The Tenkan Sen (28,919) is applying pressure, pushing EGX30 down, while the Kijun Sen (29,833) observes the situation.
The next stop will involve exiting the linear regression lower line at 27,763, with a possible halt at the lower Bollinger Band (27,318), also known as the truckers' rest area. The final stop on the journey, marked by the end of Elliott Wave (c), is projected at 25,013.
Given that put options are not available in the Egyptian stock market, here are some alternative strategies for EGX30 traders in a bearish market situation:
1. Reduce Exposure: Consider reducing your exposure to the market by selling positions to protect your capital from further losses.
2. Hold Cash: Keeping a portion of your portfolio in cash can provide flexibility and readiness to capitalize on future opportunities once the market stabilizes.
3. Rebalance Your Portfolio: Assess your portfolio and consider reallocating assets to more defensive sectors or less volatile investments.
4. Look for Defensive Stocks: Consider investing in companies that tend to perform better during economic downturns, such as utilities, consumer staples, and healthcare.
5. Wait for Market Stability: Avoid making impulsive trades and wait for the market to show signs of stabilization before making significant moves.
6. Focus on Fundamental Analysis: During bearish markets, focusing on fundamental analysis can help you identify undervalued stocks with strong long-term prospects.
7. Use Technical Analysis: Utilize technical analysis to identify key support levels and potential reversal points to make informed trading decisions.
8. Stay Informed: Monitor economic and political news that could impact the market, as well as any company-specific news for your holdings.
9. Set Stop-Loss Orders: Set stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and protect your positions from significant downturns.
10. Consider Long-Term Investing: If you have a long-term investment horizon, consider holding quality stocks and weathering the market downturn.
Traders should carefully assess their own risk tolerance and trading strategy while considering the specific market conditions.
Disclaimer:
The content provided is for Educational purposes only. It should not be interpreted as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other form of advice. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks and may lead to potential losses, including the loss of principal. It's important for investors to recognize that past performance does not guarantee future returns, and market fluctuations can impact investment value. Stocks discussed here are not synonymous with, nor should they be seen as a replacement for time deposits or similar saving instruments. Investing in securities of smaller companies may involve higher risks compared to larger, more established firms, possibly resulting in substantial capital losses. Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall I be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView
SWEETNESS OF THE SOUL BEFORE THE DEEP DIVE TO wave cTomorrow's session titled "Sweetness of the Soul Before the Deep Dive to End the Correction Wave (c)," we've set our target projections between 28,900 and 30,200.
Based on the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo analysis, current trends for the EGX30 do not show positive signals. The index is submerged deep within the Kumo, with the Kijun Sen exerting downward pressure, making it difficult to exit the cloud. This is further supported by the downward trajectory of the Chikou Span.
Additionally, the EGX30's failure to sustain its upward momentum coincides with the conclusion of Elliott Wave (b) and the commencement of Wave (c).
For a more comprehensive technical analysis that goes beyond the basics to include Bollinger Bands, Elliott Waves, and more, please view the detailed video provided.
#traders4traders
***This channel is intended for educational purposes only and should not be construed as an investment proposal.
Disclaimer:
The content provided is for Educational purposes only. It should not be interpreted as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other form of advice. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks and may lead to potential losses, including the loss of principal. It's important for investors to recognize that past performance does not guarantee future returns, and market fluctuations can impact investment value. Stocks discussed here are not synonymous with, nor should they be seen as a replacement for time deposits or similar saving instruments. Investing in securities of smaller companies may involve higher risks compared to larger, more established firms, possibly resulting in substantial capital losses. Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall I be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView
EGX30EGX30 is trading in the KUMO & Inflated. volume is soaring & Value is inflated ..
confirmation for the recovery is as follows:
1- One Solid Green Bar (Marubuzo) above 28,400 level
2- Exiting the KUMO
3- Tenken sen is below the Marubuzo
ANALYSIS in this video is based on Ichimoku & Elliot Waves
Disclaimer:
The content provided is for informational purposes only. It should not be interpreted as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other form of advice. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks and may lead to potential losses, including the loss of principal. It's important for investors to recognize that past performance does not guarantee future returns, and market fluctuations can impact investment value. Stocks discussed here are not synonymous with, nor should they be seen as a replacement for time deposits or similar saving instruments. Investing in securities of smaller companies may involve higher risks compared to larger, more established firms, possibly resulting in substantial capital losses.
Wave 2 didn’t end yetBased on today's performance, SenkoSpan B serves as a key support level for the EGX30, aligning with the 23.8% Fibonacci retracement. Wave 3 begins when reaching 27,000 Bar, expect couple of bumps.
It's disheartening, but hopeful trading can sometimes be a delusion. The DotCom bubble's commemorative date is March 10, coinciding with the devaluation bubble. The EGX30 in USD exposed the EGX30 in EGP's burn rate, influenced by COMI & TMGH. The prices of USD-hedged stocks reflect the 24,000 bar prices. This situation represents a potentially bursting bubble. Regrettably, incidents of friendly fire can occur due to miscommunication, misidentification, or errors during intense and chaotic scenarios.
EGX30 1H time frame:target remains 33750 points.EGX30 1H time frame:target remains 33750 points.
You will find R & S on the chart (Red& turquoise lines).
Senko Span A is upward; however; in the very near future, EGX will consolidate.
Senko Span B is flying upward. EGX30 reached the entry point where it broke out.
30461 point is a main support point.
To conclude EGX30 $ represent best value for money. This is witnessed by foreigners net sales. However trading value in EGP 5.5b EGP is equal 110M$. This is poor performance ( equal to 3.4b EGP before the devaluation)
New cash injection will drive the EGX30.
EGX30 performance for locals is similar to Las Vegas Circus Circus but for foreigners is Walmart, low cost supermarket.
New cash will be injected. All stocks are cheap in EGP,and Best Buy in USD.
in sha’a Allah tomorrow, Market will rebound.
Target is 33314 pointsEGX30 is trading above green kumo. Chikou span is downward.
Red Long wick. Senko Span A is up trending. Senko Span B is plateau.
Target is 33314 points. However, hickups are FVG related. You can discover it in the 1H chart.
EGX30 1H time frame:target remains 33750 points.
You will find R & S on the chart (Red& turquoise lines).
Senko Span A is upward; however; in the very near future, EGX will consolidate.
Senko Span B is flying upward. EGX30 reached the entry point where it broke out.
30461 point is a main support point.
To conclude EGX30 $ represent best value for money. This is witnessed by foreigners net sales. However trading value in EGP 5.5b EGP is equal 110M$. This is poor performance ( equal to 3.4b EGP before the devaluation)
New cash injection will drive the EGX30.
EGX30 performance for locals is similar to Las Vegas Circus Circus but for foreigners is Walmart, low cost supermarket.
New cash will be injected. All stocks are cheap in EGP,and Best Buy in USD.
in sha’a Allah tomorrow, Market will rebound.
Can OIH revisit its ATH?- Finally after the market shook off all the prophets of doom who were calling for a market correction the bullish trend is continuing its course.
- OIH is highly liquid stock but the chart seems to be setting for a revisit of the ATH.
- Entry area is the current range.
- There is a good R:R so no need to have a tight stoploss.