IEA’s bullish outlook for electric vehicles “A new clean energy economy is emerging, and it is emerging much faster than many stakeholders, policymakers, industry players, and investors think today” – Fatih Birol, Executive Director, IEA during the Global EV Outlook 2023 press event on 26 April 2023.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) published its Global Electric Vehicle Outlook for 2023 on 26 April. Its assessment of the state of the industry is encouraging and its projections for the industry’s growth are exciting. Electrification of road transportation is the disruptive innovation the industry has been waiting for. It appears that the tipping point has been reached.
Highlights from 2022, and developments in 2023
Electric vehicle (EV) sales exceeded 10 million in 2022 (see Figure 1). This amounts to 14% of all new cars sold in 2022, up from 9% in 2021, and less than 5% in 2020. This trend has continued at the start of 2023 with over 2.3m EVs sold in the first quarter, 25% more than the same period last year. By the end of the year, sales could hit 14 million with an acceleration expected in the second half of the year1.
China remains the dominant market, accounting for around 60% of global electric car sales last year, with Europe and the United States following behind. Nonetheless, there are promising signs of growth in emerging markets such as India, Thailand, and Indonesia where sales of electric cars last year more than tripled compared to 2021.
The key tailwinds
Policy support for the adoption of electric vehicles has never been stronger and it continues to strengthen. The European Union has set out CO2 standards for cars and vans aligned with 2030 goals set out in the Fit for 55 package. In the US, the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), and California’s Advanced Clean Cars II rule could accelerate the journey to 50% EV market share by 20302.
Given strong support from policymakers and adoption from consumers, innovation in battery manufacturing also appears to have been catalysed. While it is a given that battery chemistries will continue to evolve and greater levels of efficiency will be achieved, developments along the way, such as CATL’s recent condensed battery launch, are noteworthy and encouraging.
On 19 April 2023, the Chinese battery manufacturer CATL, among the biggest names in the industry worldwide, unveiled a high-energy density, so-called ‘condensed battery’ at Auto Shanghai. CATL claims that this battery could not only meaningfully increase the range of EV batteries but could also help electrify passenger aircraft. Admittedly, there are multiple unknowns in CATL’s claims, including costs and delivery times, but it highlights how battery manufacturers are focused on achieving new degrees of efficiency.
Growing competition and, therefore, more choice for consumers is also facilitating the adoption of EVs. The number of electric car models worldwide exceeded 500 in 2022, more than double compared to 20183. While this is still significantly lower than the number of internal combustion engine (ICE) models on the market, this proliferation of models is increasing competition among original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) which should help bring costs down.
Electrification, however, is going beyond passenger cars. In 2022, over half of India’s three-wheeler registrations were electric. Similarly, electric light commercial vehicle sales worldwide increased by more than 90% in 2022 compared to the year before4. Such encouraging growth is also being witnessed in other market segments like electric heavy-duty trucks and buses.
The forecast
Even in the IEA’s stated policies scenario (STEPS – a conservative scenario which only factors in existing policies), growth of electric vehicles is expected to be strong this decade (see Figure 2). Across the globe, countries are swiftly introducing bans on the sale of new ICE vehicles. Some countries, like Norway, have taken the lead by making this ban effective from 2025. For many other countries, the bans come into effect between 2030 and 2040. Collectively, therefore, it is reasonable to expect a meaningful uptick in EV sales as we progress towards those deadlines.
One of the biggest hurdles in EV adoption is the availability of ample public charging infrastructure. Fortunately, charging infrastructure is developing quickly, albeit at different rates in different countries. Overall, however, the IEA have an optimistic view on the number of publicly available charging points worldwide by 2030.
A renewed focus on the supply chain
According to the IEA, automotive lithium-ion (Li-ion) battery demand increased by about 65% to 550 gigawatt hours (GWh) in 2022, from about 330 GWh in 2021, primarily because of growth in electric passenger car sales. In 2022, about 60% of lithium, 30% of cobalt, and 10% of nickel demand was for EV batteries. Only five years prior, these shares were around 15%, 10% and 2%, respectively.
Electric vehicles are not only driving demand for batteries, but also the underlying commodities. For investors, this means a holistic view of automotive and battery value chains is warranted when considering the electrification megatrend. For example, China holds a dominant position in both value chains and its role in terms of where it sits within the value chain is evolving rapidly. China is the biggest manufacturer of batteries worldwide but is also quickly establishing itself in the segment of car companies (OEMs) with the emergence of brands like BYD.
But as competition increases, more regulation is introduced, and further innovation happens, supply chains will develop. Some links may get broken while others get formed. All in all, an exciting time to be following this space.
Electric
Long DCFC LTF triple bottomLong DCFC based on technicals. Triple bottom and not sure how much lower market makers can let this one drop. Not advise.
Tesla - What's next?Tesla Bulls have partied in January...will the party continue?
A measured move into resistance, is now going to test the resolve of the bulls. Will the bears over power Tesla as the yields spike or will Elon announce a Twitter CEO that pumps the stock?
Tune into to our streams to see how we will trade TSLA.
LCID Short or GET OUT OF ITNASDAQ:LCID
Major Bearish Trend, Nothing bright in the future, Not in the technical view or fundamental.
The company is losing money, doesn't produce any products, just lies to investors, and wastes their time.
Short it if you get a nice short Fee, leave it if you are long.
Good luck
(*Shorted it so many times)
Price goal - 2$ until bankruptcy
Buy DCFC TritiumLovely looking monthly chart here on this recent electric charging ipo on the nasdaq. The three monthly candles of Jan, Feb and March show a very nice bullish pattern.
Biden ramped the hell out of this one, when the management met him and he talked about it in his press conference right up to $20 in one day before profit takers stepped in. Nice one to buy at 8.8, hold and forget about for a few years. Expect this one to grow a lot.
IDEX | EV Penny Stock | OversoldIdeanomics, Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops zero emission mobility solutions for the off-highway and on-highway commercial vehicle markets in Asia and the United States. The company's Ideanomics Mobility business unit focuses on the commercial adoption of electric vehicles (EV) by commercial fleet operators. This business unit provides solutions for the procurement, financing, charging, and energy management needs for the fleet operators of commercial EVs; and zero emission mobility solutions, such as the provision of commercial electric vans, trucks, buses, electric tractors, and two-wheeled transportation, supporting by the provision of energy services and infrastructure for the EV market comprising charging systems, energy storage, and energy generation, including hydrogen and solar, and associated data and management applications. It also offers high-power inductive charging solutions for medium and heavy-duty EVs; manufactures and distributes electric powered tractors; manufactures and sells hydrogen fuel cells and power electronics for electric, hydrogen, and hybrid powered vehicles; manufactures and sells electric motorcycles and the FIM Enel MotoE World Cup; sells EV bikes, scooters, and batteries under the Treeletrik brand; and sells ride hailing vehicles, electric vans, trucks, buses, and EV batteries. The company's Ideanomics Capital business unit provides fintech services, which focuses on the enhancement of efficiency, transparency, and profitability for the financial services industry. This business unit offers solutions for the real estate transactions, including title and escrow, residential and commercial title insurance, and closing and settlement services, as well as specialized offerings for the mortgage process industry; and acts as the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority-registered broker dealer that operates a funding platform. Ideanomics, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
NKLA | Time to Load | OversoldNikola Corporation operates as a technology innovator and integrator that works to develop energy and transportation solutions. It operates through two business units, Truck and Energy. The Truck business unit develops and commercializes battery hydrogen-electric and battery-electric semi-trucks to the trucking sector. The Energy business unit develops and constructs a network of hydrogen fueling stations; and offers BEV charging solutions for its FCEV and BEV customers, as well as other third-party customers. The company also assembles, integrates, and commissions its vehicles in collaboration with its business partners and suppliers. Nikola Corporation is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
10/5/22 CEGConstellation Energy Corporation ( NASDAQ:CEG )
Sector: Utilities (Electric Utilities)
Market Capitalization: $29.200B
Current Price: $88.17
Breakout price: $89.45
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $86.80-$82.45
Price Target: $93.20-$95.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 21-23d
Contract of Interest: $CEG 11/18/22 95c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.00/contract
LI | Loving This Play | EVLi Auto Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells new energy vehicles in the People's Republic of China. The company provides Li ONE, a six-seat smart electric sport utility vehicle that is equipped with smart vehicle solutions, navigation on ADAS, and automatic emergency breaking functionalities. It also offers sales and after sales management, and technology development and corporate management services, as well as purchases manufacturing equipment. The company was formerly known as Leading Ideal Inc. and changed its name to Li Auto Inc. in July 2020. Li Auto Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
CHPT big upsideCHPT broke a trendline in July of this year that started in January 2021, after a large push up the stock has regressed back to the trendline and bounced off nicely. With earnings for CHPT only 8 days away, depending on the results I believe this could be the start of a huge rise in the stock.
AGAIN, be weary of buying anything before or after earnings. However, based on positive recent publicity and the stock trend, things are looking very good for CHPT. If you have the risk appetite I would be a buyer and long-term holder
$NIO a technical blessing 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
My team entered Chinese Electric Vehicle company $NIO today at $22.50 per share. Our first take profit is set at $27.50. We also have a stop loss at $21.
OUR ENTRY: $22.50
FIRST TAKE PROFIT: $27.50
STOP LOSS: $21
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Price Moving Into Resistance But Still Looking Bullish!Hello Traders & Spectators,
LCID has fallen a lot in the past few weeks like everything else but has found a temporary bottom and is now looking to move higher. It is now at a major resistance that it hasn't been able to pass previously but since this resistance has been tapped so many times, that means it is getting weaker. A relief pump seems to be unfolding and ii can see prices pump to the dashed lines above. What do you think?
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Safe Trading, Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
$CRK oil hedge 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Today my team entered oil company Comstock $CRK at $20 per share. Take profit is unknown but the set-up looks very promising.
Entry: $20
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CHPT Interesting repeating patternFelt this pattern for Checkpoint warranted publishing, as rarely do you see a stock repeat such a symmetrical pattern. All trend lines are the same and the bars between highs and lows are nearly identical. If the pattern continues, CHPT will move lower to around the $6.50-$7.00 range before turning up. I would guess there is a good chance the move up could break the red trendline and continue up, given the macroeconomic climate and expected increase in electric car purchases in the future.
Also included a Scenario 2 (doubtful), which is purely based on the stock breaking the current trend line, but I expect to see a regression back to the trend line as we have seen in the past.
$TSLA tweet about it 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
My team entered electric vehicle company Tesla $TSLA today at $881 per share. Our take profit has been set at $1100.
Elon Musk: "Tesla has diamond hands"
Our entry: $881
Take profit: $1100
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MULN retracement complete If you haven`t bought the dip on MULN:
Then you should know that the retracement seems to be complete and the stock is ready for another leg up.
You will need to wait for the reversal candle formation, or at least a doji, though.
My next price target is $5.25.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
ZEV all time low | Falling Wedge Chart PatternZEV Lightning eMotors manufactures zero-emission commercial fleet vehicles and powertrains to commercial fleets, large enterprises, original equipment manufacturers, and governments in the US.
In the chart we can see a huge Falling Wedge Pattern, which is a bullish sign.
On 3/29/2022 DA Davidson brokerage Lower the Price Target Buy rating from $17.00 to $13.00
My price target is the 9.30 resistance.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Weakly SOS (sign of strength) RADA #RADA Electronic Industries Ltd., a defense #technology company, #develops, manufactures, markets, and sells #defense electronics to various air #forces and companies worldwide. It offers digital video/audio/data recorders; high definition digital video/audio/data recording for fighter and trainer #aircraft; a range of head-up-displays color video cameras for fighter aircraft; and various ground debriefing solutions. The #company also provides avionics solutions, such as mission data recorders and debriefing solutions and HUD video cameras; and avionics for unmanned aircraft vehicles (UAVs) comprising interface control processors, engine control computers, payload management computers, and others.
In addition, it offers land-based tactical radars for defense forces, critical infrastructure protection, border surveillance, active military protection, and counter-drone applications. The company was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in Netanya, #Israel.
#nyse #nasdaq #trend #military
$TSLA whos giving out this much return on investment? 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Recap: My team entered electric vehicle company Tesla $TSLA on March 9, 2022, at $800 per share.
Our first take profit was set at $975 but we were able to sell our shares today at $992 per share for a gain of 24%!
Our trade initially brushed a tight stop-loss we had at $775 but we talked it over and decided to hold onto our shares. We strive to promote an investing style that is profitable, but most importantly safe to use. Please understand that this isn't a healthy trading habit to have, and that going forward we will try and make sure that it doesn't happen again.
Congrats to those of you who took this trade!
Entry: $800
Take Profit (HIT): $992
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