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NIO Begins Allowing Customers to Test Drive ES8 in NorwayNio will enter the German market in 2021 at the earliest. NIO has started allowing Norwegian users to test-drive its ES8 SUV, marking its latest step in entering the international market. NIO Norway User Head An Ho shared the news on the NIO App, saying that the test drives opened on August 30 and nearly 300 spots were filled within three days of application. On the first day of the test drive, about 60 Norwegian users got to experience the ES8 first-hand, Ho said. At the performance experience area on the runway at Eggemoen Airport near Oslo, test drivers experienced the ES8's acceleration, as well as its handling performance. At the local Heen Grustak off-road track, test drivers experienced the vehicle's performance in off-road scenarios. NIO built a Mini version of the NIO House in Eggemoen Airport, where users can enjoy drinks from the NIO Café, according to Ho. In addition, NIO transported an NIO EP9 supercar from the UK to the test drive venue, allowing users in Norway to get up close with the car. This is NIO's latest move in the Norwegian market. The company's app for Norwegian users was made available on the local App Store and Google Play Store on August 16. The launch of the app means that local users are starting to have an exclusive online community, which NIO says "Shape a Joyful Lifestyle, is a vision we are pursuing together." The app currently offers Discover, This Moment, a personal account management page, and NIO Life, meaning the company is bringing its lifestyle brand to Norway as well. This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
NYSE:NIOLong
by EqualOcean
1
LCID Support!Hello Money Makers! LCID is approaching another key support zone. This area has proven to be a great place to go long in the past. A lot of great news has been coming out about this company in relation to Tesla. I see them being one of the next leaders in EV, along with a few other options I'm sure you're all aware of. Let's see if this support holds. if not, we can expect prices to drop to the next S/R zone shown below. Stop losses are KEY in areas like this Money Makers! Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts! Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Safe Trading Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect! This is not financial advice. Simplicity Wins
NASDAQ:LCID
by rnaofs
BYD, China's Next Hardware GiantAccording to Wilson's report, the average price of BYD's vehicles has surpassed that of popular joint venture brand Volkswagen by about CNY 10,000. BYD is an automobile company that provides vehicles, EV batteries, semiconductors and electronics foundry services. We estimate its stock's value based on the sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) method. The company's EV and battery businesses account for most of the valuation. We consider BYD to be currently undervalued and expect a 22% upbeat. In 2020, the Chinese NEV market had a stellar performance – NIO, Xpeng and Li Auto all delivered considerable volumes of vehicles. Meanwhile, we spotlight BYD, a car maker once invested by Warren Buffett, as a best-in-class electric vehicle company. With its solid fundamentals, BYD is likely to become a major hardware conglomerate – much like Tencent or Alibaba in the consumer Internet sector. This article will examine the company's business segments, touch upon potential risks, and conduct an SOTP analysis to value its shares. Intro Wang Chuanfu incorporated BYD in 1995, inspired by the prospects of the Li-ion battery applications. Since then, he has led the company, building it into an agile manufacturing mammoth capable of starting new ventures and succeeding quickly across many fields. For one, BYD started to produce face masks in the first days of the COVID-19 outbreak and has now become the biggest mask producer worldwide. Its business segments remain the same though – those are internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, EVs, power batteries, auto semiconductors and electronics assembly services. Auto OEM BYD sells both ICE vehicles and EVs, primarily in China (but is getting more active abroad). In 2020, it sold 231,000 units of ICE cars, a year-on-year (YoY) increase of 3.8%. The parts sales accounted for a significant share of total revenue but remained less profitable. Now, BYD is full speed ahead to transform itself into an EV-based company. Because BYD didn't disclose its total ICE car sales revenue, we broke down its revenue streams and assumed the average selling price (ASP) was between CNY 100,000 to CNY 110,000. Therefore, ICE generated revenue of CNY 24 billion in 2020. We expect the ICE business will drop 10% in the next few years as the sales momentum will shift to EV. In 2022, the revenue will reach CNY 19.4 billion. With a 2x PS ratio based on Great Wall Motor and Geely Auto, the ICE business will be valued at CNY 38 billion. In the meantime, EV sales has become the most valuable business – last year, BYD sold 162,000 EVs, a YoY decrease of 12.5%. After upgrading the 'dynasty' EV series, BYD entered the middle-to-high-end market. The series adopts self-made 'blade batteries' to prevent EV from battery catching fire. The hit model 'Han,' a car somewhat similar to Tesla's Model 3 and Xpeng P7, sold 8,522 units in July, surpassing the sales volume of NIO and Xpeng. According to the 2020 financial report, BYD made CNY 24.4 billion in revenue from EV sales. We project the EV sales will increase by 100% (based on the fact that sales from January to July 2021 surpassed last year's figure) and by 25% in 2021 and 2022, respectively. We also assume the ASP will increase by 5% in 2021 and 2022 as more high-end models are delivered. For these two years, the revenue will hit CNY 51 billion and 67 billion. With a 10x 2022 PS ratio, the EV department is worth CNY 670 billion. Power battery sales is another core business for BYD alongside EVs. According to SNE research, BYD's installed capacity reached (link in Chinese) 7.8 GWh during the first half of 2021, ranking No.4 worldwide. This is 23% of CATL's installed capacity. Therefore, conservatively speaking, we estimate the market capitalization of BYD's battery division will be one-fifth of CATL's. Thus, the power battery business is worth CNY 240 billion, based on the fact that CATL's market cap had already reached CNY 1,200 billion as of August 9, 2021. BYD Semiconductors Semiconductor manufacturing is another important segment for BYD. It is set to be spun off from BYD to go public. It features auto semiconductors, which provide IGBT, smart control IC, sensors and optoelectronic semiconductors. BYD semiconductors can independently design, manufacture, package and test chips. It is the only company to achieve this in China. Based on our latest report, auto chips will be in high demand as more vehicles will be electrified in the future. As per BYD's 2020 report, the semiconductor business was valued at CNY 7.5 billion in May 2021. We believe the figure will triple while launching on the open market. It is estimated that BYD will deliver semiconductors worth up to CNY 20 billion. BYD Electronic Apart from providing high-end products, BYD also made CNY 60 billion toplines (38% of total 2020 revenue) from assembling smartphones, tablet computers and laptops. These products show low profitability similar to other electronics foundries like Hon Hai Precision. We refer to Hon Hai's 0.25x 2022 PS ratio and project 12% growth in the next two years. We calculated that BYD Electronic is valued at CNY 18 billion. To sum up, BYD is valued at CNY 988 billion. Even so, we think the estimation is a bit conservative as some assumptions aren't considered in it. BYD's EV will deploy more self-made batteries and chips, which will save a lot of costs for the company in the long term. What's more, rumors said BYD's battery had been tested by Tesla and would likely be equipped with Tesla's vehicles. This potential opportunity will significantly boost BYD's valuation in the battery division. Risks BYD's EV sales were affected by the industry's downslide in 2019 and 2020. Moreover, the EV market has been involved with intensified competition, as proved by the price slash of a few models and few companies leaving. BYD, with its comprehensive business mix, should have the means to face these challenges. Conclusion Viewed as part of the big picture, BYD is a company less profitable than some of its auto peers – one with a 2.6% net profit margin in 2020. We consider the company to have set margin improvement as a long-term goal, while also expanding in the EV battery and related battery segments. Although BYD just saw a market cap rally in the past few days, we believe it is still undervalued and has a 22% upbeat opportunity as of August 20, 2021.
OTC:BYDDFLong
by EqualOcean
Wyckoff Accumulation HYLN updated 8/19EV sector continues to show behind the scenes buying from HFs/tutes (look at unusualwhales.com and sort by date of 13F filing). in a previous post, i shared this idea and thought that the accumulation was happening without this downward move into a spring happening. clearly i was incorrect, as we saw very strange -4% days all in a row--which appears very "manipulated" when you also account for increased volume. (i hate using that term "manipulated" but what i mean is that the price was suppressed to allow for more accumulation by those who have the capital to do so).
HLong
by barrymeindrinks
1
Li Auto: Challenges, Opportunities and Stock ValuationThe company is expected to report its Q2 2021 financial results on August 30. Li Auto will use the money from the secondary public offering to develop a battery EV. Li ONE is a good-selling model – but the company is yet to prove its ability to roll out a mature BEV. There are concerns about Li's technology and goal-setting, but there is room for improvement. Li Auto is fairly priced. Investors who have faith in EREV are encouraged to buy into the stock now. On August 12, 2021, Li Auto (LI:NASDAQ) started trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. It has become the second Chinese EV company to be listed on both hemispheres. Having collected CNY 11.6 billion while operating on dry powder, how will the company expand afterward? This article will do a business review of Li Auto and value its stock. The impediments arising from COVID-19 have not stopped China's EV market from sprinting in 2021. Among a wealth of EV companies, Li Auto delivered 38,743 units of Li ONE in the first half of that year, surpassing the previous year's figure. But the company's fundamentals are still somewhat overshadowed by those of its counterparts in the space. Technical bottlenecks, unrealistic goals According to our previous research, Li Auto has spent a lower percentage of revenue on research and development compared with NIO and Xpeng. More importantly, the Li ONE model uses the range extender as a core technology, one that has been used globally for some years now. Specifically, this technology was first commercially used on the Chevy Volt and the Nissan LEAF in late 2010. The extended-range electric vehicle (EREV) is fully powered by electric motors but has an internal combustion engine (ICE) to generate additional electric power. The battery pack will supply power to motors when it is fully charged. When the battery's power decreases to a specified level, the ICE-powered generator switches on to supply power to the electric motor and/or recharges the battery. The technology allows ICE to charge batteries but consumes noticeably less fuel than conventional internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs). Thus, vehicle owners can either charge cars with gasoline or electricity. In short, the range extender is a transitional solution and will likely be outdated in a few years as the battery cost quickly decreases and EV infrastructure upgrades. Presumably, BEV will account for a higher percentage of EV as EV penetrates the broader market. BEV development needs to meet professionalism/technology thresholds in battery, electric control and electric motor. Although most OEMs buy solutions from tier-one or tier-two manufacturers, a lot of work is needed for benchmarking and integrating these components into a mature product. Li Auto doesn't have enough expertise in this field. Based on Li's most recent prospectus, the company plans to roll out two new BEVs in 2023. We have doubts about whether the company will be able to finalize a mature product at that time. Besides, Li Auto's management set an exaggerated expectation of the company's EV sales that has alerted its investors. In February 2021, the company announced its outlook internally. The founder set a goal for the company to reach 1.6 million in annual EV sales by 2025. Such a target will be hard to achieve. 1.6 million vehicles equal Toyota's 2019 sales in China. Toyota, the Japanese auto giant, has been selling cars in the Chinese market for 20 years and has accumulated a much larger customer base and global reputation than Li Auto. An ambition to become a brand as famous as Toyota in five years appears challenging, to say the least. Having 1.6 million deliveries by 2025, inter alia, means that the annual delivery figures are projected to grow at a 170% CAGR, a rather high rate. Opportunities and attempts to catch up Notwithstanding, Li Auto still has an opportunity to join the group of tech leaders. Within the fast-growing EV industry, there are many suppliers providing solutions like ADAS, Lidar and third-party charging infrastructure – and, incentivized by China's state policies, new upstarts appear daily in these areas. The technological 'backwardness' of Li Auto might be resolved through a couple of acquisitions. The company, meanwhile, is taking some actions to drive innovation internally; for example, it started building an R&D center in Shanghai in April 2021. Li ONE, a best-selling model, also brought the public's attention to Li Auto. Li Auto's management expects over 10,000 sales in September 2021. We think the reason Li Auto has such strong momentum is due to its product positioning. One of the examples will be a family-oriented SUV with 6 to 7 seats. Compared to the competing models with the same price, this SUV is equipped with an entertainment system that includes three screens and appears to be a more economical option. The consistency in product positioning has made Li Auto a popular brand. Valuation To evaluate Li Auto's stock in a simplistic manner, we forecast Li's 2022 car sales will be around 130,000 to 140,000 units. With an assumed average revenue generated per car of CNY 284,000, according to the Q1 2021 financials, the total revenue for 2022 will be USD 5.7 billion to USD 6.1 billion. Because of Li Auto's ongoing technology transition, the multiple is halved to 5 times of 2022 revenue. Therefore, the projected market capitalization of Li Auto is USD 28.5 billion to USD 30.5 billion. Conclusion Li ONE is highly likely to maintain strong sales momentum in the short run. But 2023 will be a challenging year depending on whether the company can succeed in rolling out battery electric vehicles. Compared with NIO, Xpeng and BYD, the stock is at half of their EV divisions' multiples and priced at a reasonable level. Due to some technical and strategic issues, the company's outlook is mixed. Now is a good time for investors who have faith in EREV to make a decision.
NASDAQ:LILong
by EqualOcean
BYD Enters Europe with Delivering Tang EV in NorwayThe Shenzhen-based firm has imported a total of 100 units of the Tang EV to the Scandinavian nation. The Chinese EV-maker shipped the first 100 BYD Tang EVs from Shanghai to Norway about two months ago which was the company's first passenger car shipment to a European country. BYD plans to deliver as many as 1,500 units of the BYD Tang EV to dealers in Norway this year. The company has pre-sold 500 units in the country already. Along with its Scandinavian distributor RSA, the Chinese auto veteran has built up a network of 45 dealers. The subsidized price of the EV in China is CNY 279,500 to 314,800, while the car will be sold for about 600,000 Norwegian kroner in Norway which is about CNY 130,000 more expensive. In July this year, BYD's sales of new energy passenger cars soared by 262.7% year-on-year to reach 50,057 units, setting a new record for the firm's own monthly sales. It also marked a record high for China's monthly sales of new energy passenger cars.
OTC:BYDDF
by EqualOcean
NIKOLA: NKLA Can Be A Good Buy NowTraders, Nikola price has been it badly but it has reached a level where it can be a good buy on the completion of a good FCP pattern. Beware of the fact that this pattern can become extended to the downside. Hence we have to possible BUY zones Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik
NASDAQ:NKLALong
by vikinsa
16
NIO's Strong Q2 2021 Results: Revenue Up 127%, Net Loss HalvesThe electric vehicle maker generated CNY 8.45 billion this quarter, getting closer to break even. On August 11, 2021, Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker NIO (NIO:NYSE) released its financial report for the second quarter of 2021, with most key figures improving year on year: The total revenue hit CNY 8.45 billion, up by 127.2% from Q2 2020 and by 5.8% quarter on quarter. CNY 7.91 was made from car sales: NIO beat analysts' estimates, completing 21,896 vehicle deliveries in the second quarter. Net loss reached CNY 587.2 million, shrinking by 50.1% from Q2 2020 but increasing by 30.2% from Q1 2021. R&D cost grew by 62.1% year on year, reaching CNY 880 million; it now equals 10.4% of the firm's total revenue. While world-leading EV maker Tesla (TSLA:NASDAQ) is facing demand-side issues in the Chinese market, its local competitors are jumping in to fill the void. Through supply chain optimization and effective marketing messaging, NIO is solidifying its position as the domestic champion in the EV market's premium segment. For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
NYSE:NIOLong
by EqualOcean
Wyckoff Accumulation in HYLNBiden's signing of the Electric Vehicle executive order may be a tailwind for HYLN (Hyliion), the Texas-based company producing EV motors and retrofitting hybrid systems for long-haul trucking fleets. Add to that the proposed I-14 expansion between Texas and Georgia and the electric vehicle charging stations included in the current Infrastructure Bill going through congress, I believe there is a buying opportunity here of which many hedge funds and institutional investors are already aware. This accumulation is happening already, with 13F filings on whalewisdom.com showing that since 7/26, HFs have initiated new positions to the tune of roughly 800K shares long, and those already with positions have increased their holdings by over 1.25m shares in the same time period. This can be seen on the chart as well, with this classic Wyckoff Accumulation pattern playing out nicely. Add in a heavy amount of short interest, and upcoming earnings, and this stock could really make a move on positive PR.
HLong
by barrymeindrinks
8
BYD Sold 50,492 NEVs in July, Up 234% from a Year AgoBYD may supply its "blade battery" to Tesla in the second quarter of next year. BYD's new energy vehicle sales in July were 50,492 units, up 234 percent from a year ago and 22 percent from June. So far this year, BYD has sold 205,071 new energy vehicles, an increase of 170.62 percent over the same period last year, it said in an announcement. BYD sold 50,057 units of new energy passenger vehicles and 435 units of commercial vehicles in July. It sold 24,996 battery electric vehicles and 25,061 plug-in hybrid electric vehicles in July. Li Yunfei, general manager of BYD's passenger vehicle brand and public relations division, said in early June that the company's new energy vehicle sales will surpass Tesla China in June and is expected to become the global new energy vehicle champion within the year. BYD sold 41,366 new energy vehicles in June, up 192 percent from the same month last year and 26 percent from May. By comparison, according to the China Passenger Car Association, Tesla China's wholesale sales in June were 33,155 units, up about 122 percent year-over-year. This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
OTC:BYDDF
by EqualOcean
NIO Sprints Back into Growth Mode – No Regulatory Risk Thus FarNIO delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, up 124.48% year-on-year, down 2% month-on-month. ● We estimate NIO's 2022 revenue to show the value of the stock. ● The methodology includes a car sales forecast and average selling prices. ● Our evaluation indicates that the stock is currently fairly priced. ● None of the currently acute regulatory risks apply to NIO. Introduction NIO, China's arguably most successful EV startup, saw an incredible performance both business-wise and in the capital market. More investors have joined the camp of those bullish about the electric car maker's prospects. In 2021, NIO has been solidifying a high premium profile in China, launching a new model, the ET7. NIO has also recently started shipping the ES8 to Norway, with global expansion ambitions. This article follows an approach similar to that we used in our latest Xpeng analysis, estimating the value of the stock based on its projected future sales performance. Revenue estimation In this section, we will project NIO's revenue by 2030 and use the 2022 figure to evaluate the stock's current investment potential. The revenue will be calculated by multiplying projected car deliveries with average selling prices. The calculation of whole fleet (including ES6, EC6, ES8 and ET7) sales is based on a top-down methodology. It starts with a forecast of light vehicle sales in China. According to CAAM (link in Chinese), China's light-vehicle sales will hit 22.2 million in 2021. Under an assumption of slowing economic growth affecting the auto market, we estimate the growth rate will decline to 4% gradually. The market will reach 32.6 million in 2030. Speaking of the market share, we assume NIO can reach 2.4% of the total market by 2030. It results from the fact that William Li, the founder of NIO, has aligned the company's goals with those of iconic brands like Mercedes Benz, BMW and Audi. We linearized that number and estimated NIO's 2022 market share and deliveries, which will account for 0.6% and 152,066 units, respectively. To calculate the revenue, we also need to project the average selling price (ASP). Historically, NIO's ASP has been declining as new models have been rolled out. This trend will continue, whereas we think the ASP will remain higher than CNY 300,00 per vehicle. We set a declining rate for ASP calculation, from -2% in 2021 to -0.5% in 2030. The ASP in 2022 will be CNY 328,000. Per this projection, NIO's 2022 vehicle sales will be CNY 50 billion. Apart from car sales, NIO also generates revenue from selling charging facilities and related services, data, insurance and merchandise. These segments have correlated to vehicle sales and shown a faster growth pace. Thus, we project a slightly increasing percentage of revenue from selling them. In 2020, the number was 6%, and we allocated 7% and 9% for 2022 and 2030, respectively. In total, NIO is expected to make CNY 53.5 billion (USD 8 billion) in revenue in 2022. Similar to our Xpeng analysis, we multiplied NIO's PS ratio in 2022 by nine (referring to the Street's average expectations). Its fair market capitalization target is thereby around USD 74 billion. Risks NIO has recently been indirectly involved in the regulatory crackdown-related narrative. We think investors' massive selling may insignificantly hurt the company's business. To specify all the possible risks, we summarize all the incidents concerning Chinese concept stocks within this year. The antitrust and other new regulations are the key obstacle imposed by the central government. Some famous 'victim' cases include Tencent Music's copyrights, Alibaba's 'pick one from two' strategy and Meituan's rider employment and other issues. Obviously, the NEV market in China is still in its infancy (compared with ICE cars). NIO is certainly not a monopoly. Data/cybersecurity concerns are also not suitable for NIO. In early July 2021, it was reported that Didi Global had illegally collected users' personal data. Clearly, the ride-hailing giant possesses huge chunks of users' travel information. However, NIO is also collecting data that seems less significant than important route data handled by legitimate third-party providers like map products of Baidu and the likes of AutoNavi. NIO and its peers won't see anything like what happened to the country's edtech industry either: the central government, which is ''seeking to decrease workloads for students and overhaul a sector that has been 'hijacked by capital,'" is rather interested in the nationwide EV adoption. In short, NIO, much like any local EV maker, is not exposed to these major risks. Apart from regulatory risk, supply chain issues are worth discussing. The issues seem to remain controllable, but investors need to keep eyes on them – the component shortage will be a hot topic in the upcoming Q2 earnings calls. Conclusion Among Chinese concept stocks, NIO is a company with a solid product line, growing sales and great prospects. The stock has gone down and has remained volatile since the beginning of 2021. Suffering from the chip shortage, it is currently fairly priced. And is well set to gain more in the following quarters. For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
NYSE:NIOLong
by EqualOcean
1
ARVL - Arrival Group - Gaps can be filledARVL ENTRY = 10.50 - 11 Cost Avg Down = 6.50 - 6.75 1st Target = 236fib 18.44 2nd Target = Bear Gap Fill 20 3rd Target = 382fib 22 Hodl Target = 618fib 28+ ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ This content is for informational, educational and entertainment purposes only. This is not in any way, shape or form financial or trading advice. Good luck, happy trading and stay chill, 2degreez
ALong
by UnknownUnicorn7216011
1
Elliott Wave Analysis: TESLA Is Still Looking For Wave CHello traders! Today we will talk about Tesla, its price action from technical point of view and wave structure from Elliott Wave perspective. As you may already know, we have been looking for that wave C decline for a while, but seems like it's temporary on a pause as price action is slow and sideways, so wave B correction looks to be bigger and longer, ideally as part of a bearish triangle formation. Well, we are still expecting TESLA to drop into 500-400 support zone, but probably once a bearish triangle pattern is fully completed as subwaves "d" and "e" are still missing. After Tesla stocks split last year from $2,213 to $444, price can retrace to similar levels, a year later as A-B-C correction seems incomplete. Trade smart! If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea! Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ew-forecast
1
BUY Tesla (TSLA) for a breakout above $700Tesla's stock has demonstrated an extremely positive share price performance throughout the last two and a half months. The stock bottomed at around the $550 mark back in May, as the strong support there managed to stop the volatile stock price decline. The company was under severe pressure at the time following their sub-par Q1 earnings announcements, where it became clear that if it was not for the BTC sale that Tesla completed and the huge profit that it made from it, the company would have reported a Net Loss for Q1. In addition to that, many people started to realize that Tesla was receiving large government decarbonization credits and subsidies, which were the primary reason for the company's profitability. Furthermore, with the rising competition from the likes of Ford, General Motors in the electric vehicle market, investors have started to worry whether or not Tesla would be able to turn a profit in the event of a drastic decrease in the number of government decarbonization subsidies that it receives. The more companies there are that participate in the electrification of the Auto industry in the US the more candidates there will be for these government subsidies, thus Tesla will no longer be "the only show in town". However, we believe that in the short term most of the negativity has already been priced in, and the stock is about to reverse very soon. So basically, these have been the major company related reasons as to why the stock has been trading in the $550-700 range for few months now. This is way off its all-time highs of $900 that it reached earlier in the year. We've seen a strong pickup in the bullish momentum for the stock and everything points for a breakout above the $700 resistance mark, within the next few trading sessions. Once that resistance is broken, then the stock will be easily headed towards the $800-900 range heading into September. As you can see on the chart, all of the moving averages that we follow, as well as all of the key indicators that we use to define relative market strength and momentum are pointing higher. Thus, we would be opening a LONG TSLA position on a clear break above the $700 level and would be interested in potentially collecting a portion of our profit at around $890 for a 27% ROI.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DowExperts
Li Auto Inc. Delivered Record 8,589 Units in JulyLi Auto added more than 10,000 orders in June, a record high, the company previously said. Li Auto delivered 8,589 units of the Li ONE in July, the first time deliveries exceeded 8,000 units in a single month, up 251.3 percent year-over-year and 11.4 percent from June. Li Auto currently has only one model, the Li ONE, on sale, with total deliveries of 38,743 units in the first seven months of the year, bringing cumulative deliveries to date to 72,340 units, according to data released by the company on Sunday. "Before the end of the year, we will also launch a heavy-weight OTA upgrade that will take Li ONE's competitiveness to a whole new level," said Li Auto co-founder and president Shen Yannan. Li Auto's direct retail system construction is accelerating, with plans to have 200 direct retail centers covering more than 100 cities in China by the end of 2021, the company said. As of July 31, Li Auto had 109 retail centers in China, covering 67 cities, and 176 after-sales repair centers and authorized sheet metal spraying centers, covering 134 cities. Li Auto released the 2021 Li ONE on May 25 with a starting price of CNY 338,000 (USD 52,300), CNY 10,000 higher than the previous version. Deliveries of the new Li ONE began on June 1. Notably, despite the popularity of the 2021 Li ONE, owners are now beginning to complain about problems with the vehicle. Several Weibo users have recently reported that their Li ONE vehicles are making unusual noises at high speeds, suspected to be emitted by the generator. This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
NASDAQ:LI
by EqualOcean
Xpeng Delivered Record 8,040 Vehicles in JulyThe company plans to have the P5 officially available in the third quarter of 2021, with deliveries expected in the fourth quarter of 2021. XPeng Motors delivered 8,040 vehicles in July, its highest monthly delivery record, up 228 percent year-over-year and up 22 percent from June. The company's flagship sedan, the P7, delivered 6,054 units in July, the highest monthly delivery record since its launch, XPeng's data released Monday showed. Cumulative deliveries of P7 reached 40,612 units since its launch in July 2020. XPeng's compact SUV, the G3, delivered 1,986 units in July. As of July 31, the company's total deliveries for the year reached 38,778 units, up 388 percent year-over-year. XPeng previously said the P7 sedan with lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries has seen strong demand since its launch in March this year. Deliveries of the model began in May, with sales increasing 27 percent in that month compared to April. In March, XPeng announced the launch of the P7 and G3 with LFP batteries, with deliveries of the former starting in May and the latter in April. The new P7 is available in two variants a combined range of 480km. The new P7 is equipped with Xmart OS in-vehicle intelligence system, with the lower-priced version equipped with XPILOT 2.5 + automatic driving assistance system, priced from CNY 229,900 (USD 35,600). The higher-priced version is equipped with XPILOT 3.0 automatic driving assistance system, priced from CNY 239,900. Together with the newly released model with LFP battery, the XPeng P7 is now available in four models: rear-wheel drive standard range, rear-wheel drive long-range, rear-wheel drive extra long range and four-wheel-drive high performance. Their price range covers CNY 229,900 to CNY 339,900. This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
NYSE:XPEVLong
by EqualOcean
NIO Delivered 7,931 Vehicles in July, Up 124% Year-over-YearNIO's local counterparts, XPeng Motors and Li Auto delivered 8040, 8589 vehicles, respectively, in July. NIO delivered 7,931 vehicles in July, up 124.48 percent year-over-year and down about 2 percent from June. The deliveries consisted of 1,702 ES8s, 3,669 ES6s, and 2,560 EC6s. NIO has completed the delivery of 49,887 units in 2021, exceeding last year's full-year delivery. NIO's 100kWh battery pack is deploying to every battery swap station and the delivery of the 100kWh battery pack will significantly ramp up in the coming months, the company said. At the same time, the first batch of ES8 for user delivery has been officially shipped to Norway and is expected to open for ordering and delivery in Norway in September this year, it said. Ahead of the July delivery data was released, a team at Hong Kong-based financial services firm CMB International raised its price target on NIO earlier today, citing marginal improvement in chip supply and the prospect of continued growth in deliveries in the second half of the year. The team raised its price target for NIO by 13.6 percent to USD 52.60 per share, maintaining a buy rating. NIO closed up 4.83 percent to USD 44.68 on Friday and the price target implies an upside of about 18 percent. CMB believes that in the short term, NIO expects to drive sales growth through increased density of battery swap stations. In the long term, NIO's unique business model of separating the vehicle from the battery will contribute to vehicle sales as it focuses on providing quality service to its customers. Local tech media 36kr reported on Friday that Ai Tiecheng, former general manager of WeWork Greater China, has joined NIO to take charge of the company's mass-market-oriented sub-brand, and that a new model could be released in the first half of next year at the earliest. NIO is the only local Chinese brand that has a firm foothold in the high-end market, with a minimum price of CNY 358,000 (USD 55,400). If customers choose its BaaS battery leasing service, the purchase threshold can be lowered by at least RMB 70,000, but they will need to pay a monthly battery rental fee. The latest data from China Automotive Technology and Research Center shows that the average price of NIO vehicles in May was CNY 432,900, higher than BMW's CNY 391,000 and slightly lower than Mercedes' CNY 435,600. The high-end positioning means that NIO's sales could hit the ceiling earlier than its local counterparts XPeng Motor and Li Auto, and the launch of a mass-market-oriented brand is expected to make that ceiling higher. The so-called sub-brand, a mid-to low-end brand independent of the NIO brand, is expected to be priced in the CNY 150,000 (USD 23,200) - 250,000 market, the 36kr report said. "Li is also factoring in the positioning of the Wuling Hongguang Mini EV (priced at around CNY 30,000)," the report said, citing an unnamed source. The Mini EV is the top-selling EV in China, with sales of 29,143 units in June, up 12.56 percent from May, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers. NIO's sub-brand will follow the battery swap technology, but will operate through a separate system that includes channels, communities and an app, the 36kr report said. This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
NYSE:NIOLong
by EqualOcean
2022 Might Be a Winning Year for Xpeng – and the Stock Is FinallOn July 7, 2021, the company was listed on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange under the code '9868.' We estimate Xpeng's 2022 revenue to show the value of the stock. The methodology includes the forecast of sales of P7, G3&G3i and the upcoming P5 and SUV models. The results indicate that the stock is currently fairly priced Risks primarily come from supply chain and market regulation but remain controllable. With the current global chip shortage, most major auto OEMs have suffered from a lack of electronic supplies. Amid these concerns, China's EV sales are burgeoning, with light EV sales hitting 241,000, or 15% of total light vehicles sales in June, 2021. Among the country's EV pioneers, Xpeng (XPEV:NYSE) has recently presented some positive results: its half-year delivery number has surpassed last year's figure. This article presents a forecast of the company's EV sales in 2022 and evaluates its stock by analyzing each model of Xpeng and using the valuation multiples. Model-level breakdown P7 is Xpeng's hit product. Simplifying the modelling, we project the sales of P7 to increase by 184, 100 and 50 units month-on-month until 2023; 184 is the average monthly increase since the model's launch, while the incremental decrease is due to the upcoming P5 and 2022 SUV models. The average selling price will be around CNY 250,000, the same as in 2020. G3&G3i are the oldest models of Xpeng. The updated version G3i transformed into a more unified family design and attracted more sales. We estimate G3 and G3i will keep lifting sales volume by 46 per month during the same period. The average selling price will be around CNY 150,000 per unit. P5 will shoulder the company's expectations to become a family sedan. We estimate P5's first-month delivery number in October will be at around 1,000, referring to P7's data. Then the delivery figure will increase by 143 units per month, of which 100 will be at the cost of P7 sales declining, as the two models compete with each other, and 43 is organic growth. Based on the official price starting from CNY 160,00 to 230,000, we predict the ASP will be at CNY 190,000. Xpeng is planning to launch a new SUV model. The SUV has a family design 'X' logo that brings its length to 4,800 mm. The car design shares the same platform as the P7, the Edward platform. In addition, it will be equipped with premium specifications like XPilot 4.0 and air suspension. Some industry experts predict the price will be around CNY 300,000. We assume Xpeng will finish its launch day by September 2022. The first-month sale will be 300 units, which will increase by 145 units per month similar to the sales trajectory of NIO's ES6. Apart from EV sales, other services will account for 5% of total revenue. The 2022 EV sales won't be significantly impacted by the chip shortage. To sum up, Xpeng's 2022 revenue is projected to reach USD 4.3 billion (CNY 28 billion). Specifically, the company will sell 122,253 vehicles to make USD 4.1 billion topline, and USD 0.25 billion will be from other services. According to the Street's expectations, the stock is priced at 16, 8.8, 5.6, 4, 2.9 forward PS ratios by 2025. We select 9x as the 2022 multiples. Thus, the market cap will be USD 38.7 billion, around 10% up from the market cap on July 27, 2021. Risks Although the expectations for Xpeng are rather bright, the whole industry is facing the chip shortage problem – that is also the biggest threat to Xpeng. For NEV companies, production is challenging while orders are packed. Through our research, we found that most auto stakeholders in China expect the imbalance to last through 2021, affecting the global light-vehicle sales by 2.5-5.0%, but recover slightly in 2022. The edtech sector's regulatory update drove the recent sell-off in Chinese concept stocks. However, this crackdown won't be a long-term issue for EV innovators like Xpeng. According to Bloomberg, the government's motivation is to cut family workloads to turn the declining birth rates up. On the other hand, the 'Made in China 2025' scheme supports EV development radically. So the policy will rather play a positive role in the new energy vehicle market in the long term. Conclusion Up to the present, Xpeng has been on the right track, leveraging business through unified family designs, new stores opening, capacity boost and charging facilities build-up. The company's 2022 revenue would be a realistic basis for stocks to start. The most significant potential risk at present is the capacity problem caused by supply chain shortages. Investors should keep an eye on this topic in the company's upcoming Q2 earnings conference. For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
NYSE:XPEVLong
by EqualOcean
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