Bearish on the Euro below 1.0930Ever since the 1.1033 high from early February, it seems like the Euro is trading in a complex W-X-Y correction. The 1.0930 level reached last week is the critical point we are looking at. As long as we continue to trade below it, odds favor another run lower which should break below 1.0516, targeting at first 1.0460, the 38.2% retracement of the rally from 0.9569. A break above the mentioned resistance negates this view and confirms that the correction ended at 1.0516.
Elliottwaveanalyis
BTCUSDT | TFW Wave Analysis | Inverted H&S Retesting Neckline?The current uptrend wave is potentially a leading diagonal with a valid inverted head & shoulders reversal pattern breakout - now with a DOJI candlestick this week, the price could retrace to the neckline level 25k, watchout for a false breakout then most likely to breakdown - SHORT ENTRY to the neckline level and EMA200 week -20+% downside
(A valid inverted H&S consists of a strong downtrend with at least twice length of the head & shoulders pattern and massive volume breakout)
BTC Elliott Wave count 4H TFAt this moment I have an ABC scenario that may also be an impulse with wave 3 instead of C.
Wave A or 1 finished at 2.618 fib extension wave 1 (of wave A or 1) vs wave 2 (of wave B or 2), wave B or 2 that may be an extended flat pattern finished at 0.5 fib retracement of wave A or 1.
Now probably we have finished also wave 1 from wave C or 3 ( a leading diagonal that may continue up to 0.618 (29550) fib extension 3 vs 4 (blue count).
I am expecting the wave 2 from wave C or 3 to fall at 0.382 - 0.5 fib retracement zone (if wave 5 (blue count) from this leading diagonal is finished now and will be truncated).
If will lose 24000 I will do not have so much confident in this count.
I will post updates to this count anytime I see a change into it.
Good luck and have a great weekend!
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Where BTC going from here? BTC find bottom? Last 4 - 5 months I tracked #Bitcoin to see when it will hit the bottom like many of you and I was expecting capitulation before we see a strong move up from BTC.
Did Crypto find bottom, Alts and BTC? I'm not 100% sure but altcoins made nice 50%+ move some even bigger move from bottom. If you are not already long on some of these movers or if you catch some of these moves I guess it is a good time to take some profits from table and move Stop in profit. I'm 100% sure I will not long here.
Why?
Because I'll wait to see where this going from here. Can Bitcoin push from here without retrace? Sure, it's possible, but the question is what kind of traders are you? Holder? Where to enter and where to place Stop? Anyway this is what I tracked these months for #BTC and what I was looking for (I know bear option is not popular) and what could happen.
Back in September '20 the first harmonic pattern I spotted (after BTC make big drop) was bullish Shark pattern. I also noticed that is choppy waves and usually it is not a good idea to take long in bearish market.
I got the bearish harmonic pattern in result of how the price moves (small Butterfly harmonic pattern)
Again, I noticed choppy waves (not impulse, this move should be part of some larger correction)
At same time, I got a larger harmonic pattern (121 pattern)
and 5 - 0 pattern, that is a specific harmonic pattern (small margin for error)
I assume this is just internal (inside) correction of larger move down (from 25k to 18k) and I have confluence of 3 #harmonic patterns.
Risk to Reward (R:R) is good and in bearish market is always a better option to ride with trend. Clear Entry, Stop and all Targets.
So, Bitcoin reached all targets, for one small and two larger harmonic patterns.
After that drop, the next pattern I got is small Cypher and Anti Butterfly pattern.
Like I said before, it is not a good idea to long in bearish market but these harmonic patterns reached all targets (I ask myself maybe trend is going to change)?
After a nice move from that bottom, Bitcoin reached new larger bearish harmonic patterns (very large 121 pattern and Cypher and Anti Butterfly)
These patterns even reached PRZ however they still did not reach "entry". The question is will it be invalidated (not reached "Entry" before break up) or we will see valid harmonic patterns (hit entry) and reached some targets?
One of the reasons to be careful is because I can see two more possible harmonic patterns above (Crab and more upside Nen Star and Anti Bat).
If this is not bottom one of the options are this Elliott wave that I see.
I guess soon we will see where the top is for this move up (if this is bottom) and what kind of move down we will see after we find top (if this is not yet). 3 or 5 wave down.
Enjoy and good hunting.
Nesting periodThe price action suggests that we have possibility to see the nest, the 'basis' of a powerful jump. 1-2 1-2, 3 of a 3 of a 3 in progress!
EURUSD ForecsatEURUSD Forecast
The correction EURUSD started in September 2022 is not over yet. We are forecasting that we only have finished the (A) from the (A)(B)(C) of the correction in the intermediate degree (blue) to end wave 4 (green). Therefore we still need to see the price making higher highs from the current position.
We are forecasting this option as the most provable at this point because wave (A) seems like a clear motive wave for us. We clearly see 5 waves forming (A). That means that, as wave 4 in green (primary degree) has to have a corrective structure, there is still another wave up missing.
What to do?
We currently can not look to enter the market. We should be patient and wait for the price to break the 1.1033 level before looking for short-term buying opportunities.
Alternative scenario
We forecast that wave 4 in the primary degree (green) is not over yet. However, until the price does not break the 1.1033 level, we cannot discard the scenario where wave 4 is already over. If this is the case, the price will resume the downtrend directly, making lower lows.
Unfortunately, today we cannot give you a trade idea for the EURUSD, but we hope you understand what the asset situation of the EURUSD is.
As always, we will keep you updated
Please remember to do not to risk more than 2% of your account on each trading idea
BTC ForecastBitcoin Forecast
Technically the correction (II) in the super cycle degree (red) should have reached the 12,230 level to end the correction and start the new bullish cycle. However, the possibility that this will not happen is high as it seems that in Nov 2022 we ended this long corrective cycle.
Even though another push low is not 100% discarded, we forecast that the new bullish cycle is already in place. Therefore once we have a bullish sequence, we will be interested in buying BTC. This can happen this week. We will keep you updated.
In the alternative scenario where BTC makes another lower low, we would buy it if the price reaches the 12.3 k level.
Please remember to do not to risk more than 2% of your account on each trading idea