How to Count Waves Using Chart Patterns?We can count waves using traditional patterns like Head and shoulders, Double Top and Bottom,
Triangle, cup & handle, etc. This article is about how you can count waves by identifying chart patterns.
I have covered Three chart patterns in this article,
1) Triangles
2) Head and shoulders
3) Double Top and Bottom
1) Head and shoulders:
In addition, the two lows formed when the price failed to rise and fell back down were basically at the same level. The horizontal line is often referred to as the "neckline" When the price fails to fall back for the third time neckline will break. So "head and shoulders" was officially established.
Changes in volume with head and shoulders:
During the formation of "head and shoulders", the left shoulder has the largest volume, the Head has a slightly smaller volume, and the right shoulder has the smallest volume. The phenomenon of diminishing trading volume shows that when the stock price rises, the chasing force is getting weaker and weaker, and the price has the meaning of rising to the end.
Operation plan after the Head and shoulders appear:
When the head and shoulders formed, you can decisively follow up the short order. The formation of the head and shoulders indicates the beginning of a new round of decline in the market, and the minimum drop is the distance from the head to the neckline. The profit is very substantial. Therefore, studying the formation of the Head and Shoulders is also a necessary analysis process for band enthusiasts.
Wave Count:
The left shoulder: wave 3/A.
The first touch on the neckline: wave 4/B
Head: wave 5/C
The second touch on the neckline: wave A/1
The right shoulder: wave B/2
The ending point of the right shoulder: wave C/3
2) Triangles:
These are the most commonly used triangle patterns. In this motion, we are going to understand the triangle in terms of the Elliot wave. We'll be talking about the classical triangle pattern in an upcoming educational series.
Wave Count:
A triangle forms in corrective waves. There are Four corrective waves in Elliott wave theory. The corrective waves are 2,4, B, and X.
There are four waves in a triangle which are A, B, C, D, E.
The starting point of wave A of the triangle is the ending point of impulsive wave 1/3/A/W. After the completion of wave E of wave 1/3/A/W, the Impulsive wave will initiate.
3) Double Tops and Bottom:
In the chart, you can sometimes see the stock price fluctuations. The stock price fell back after reaching the highest price. After some sorting, it rose again to near the previous stock price level and then fell back. Two "normally highs" The high point is formed on the circuit diagram and will not be seen again in the short term.
Wave Count:
In a Bull market, The first Top of the pattern represents the completion of the impulsive wave. The ending point of the Impulsive wave is the starting point of the corrective wave.
I started the wave count from the first Top and labeled it as A, B, and C waves.
In a Bear Market, The first Bottom of the pattern represents the completion of the impulsive wave. The ending point of the Impulsive wave is the starting point of the corrective wave.
I started the wave count from the first Bottom and labeled it as A, B, and C waves. After wave C is complete, we can ride the impulsive waves.
Elliottwaveforecasts
Dax to be supported soonI am looking at the possibility of a potential flat in wave 2 as we keep falling in what could be a wave {c}. Equality of wave {c} vs.{a} is where I would like to start seeing some support and that would be at the beginning of the golden box.
Feel free to ask question, trade safe!
Bitcoin Analysis - 2023.06.15INDEX:BTCUSD
CMP: 24955
BTC has completed wave 4 (black color) - which is a triple three WXYXZ (blue color) type of correction - around 24770, which is also the top of Wave 1 (black color).
- Confirmed by internal wave counts of WXYXZ.
- Hourly TF shows positive RSI Divergence
- Hourly TF shows early indication of MACD crossover with MACD line crossing above signal line
- Hourly TF shows increased volume
One can go long from here for target of 30800 - 32300 - 34600.
SL should be daily close below 24800.
looks like BTC wants up before falling againlook at those triangles folks, full of it every where which made me count the whole wave as a wave 4!
good possible we go up till max 27400 ( to finish wave c of 2) before falling down and make a new low (wave1 of 5 in the wave 3)
no trade advice, just an idea ;)
Pls share the channel, if you like the content so more people benefit
BITCOIN to find support at 25kAs the downmove from the 31k top seems to be a corrective move, being three wave structured, I am looking for a potential ending diagonal in wave {c} of 2. If I am correct we should briefly break the 25300 low, find support around 25k and then resume higher.
Feel free to ask me questions and trade safe!
Reliance Elliottwave update 9th June 2023Hello everyone,
Reliance is just completed corrective B wave, now C wave is starting, target is 2430.
Note: we have shared this info for education purpose only, not a recommendation, we are not responsible for your profits or losses, always trade with your own risk.
BTC Getting Ready to DROP - Read for more info!Bitcoin could enter a strong 3rd wave down soon which would likely send the price down to as low as 20700.
Due to the formation of the 5 clear waves in orange, the next major move looks like it will be a steep drop down.
A good entry on the short is at the Entry prices shown below.
The volume profile on the left hand side shows a significant amount of volume at the 28000 price level. This price is also at the 50% retracement of all 5 orange waves, so this would be an excellent place to enter a short position. In addition, we have the upward sloping white trend line and the 0.618 (golden ratio) retracement at 28740 which would also be an incredible place to enter a short position.
The stop loss is placed at the top of orange wave (1) because if the price goes beyond this level this count becomes invalid, although this seems highly unlikely to be reached.
The take profit shown below is at the price equal to 1.618 * the length of waves (1) to (5) taken from the 0.618 retracement of all 5 orange waves. This is a common ratio for price to reach during a '3rd' wave down (which this would be if it plays out). According to Elliott Wave Theory "The 3rd wave is usually the longest and strongest".
Entry Prices: 28741, 28056, 27387, 26897
Stop Loss: 31085
Take Profit: 20700
Disclaimer: Not financial advice and only intended for educational purposes
$DXY -Debt Ceiling Scenarios *2W
All Eyez on TVC:DXY !
The Fate of other Financial Markets is to be decided on X Date of Debt Ceiling
Important Candlesticks prints on *2W and *W
Dollar Index seems to been having stuck between the range of
100.8 - 105.9
so far speaking of 2023's Price Action
However, with the incoming decision of Debt Ceiling this range
can very well be violated on it's borders ;
wether to the downside or upside that has yet to be seen :
- Bearish case'C' wave on ABC Correction)
- Bullish Case Impulsive Wave1 from 1-2-3-4-5 Elliot Waves)
Moreover,
With the breakout of Red Trendine Resistance, wave one is about to come
in to fruiton while yet needing to clear the last Lower High of the downtrend
to create a Change of Character of the Donwtrend.
Breaking above last LH and holding support (Wave B)
also confulences with the Golden Zone of Fibb taken from 114.7 High
to Lows of 100.8 (Wave A)
TRADE SAFE
***
Note that this is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research and consult your Financial Advisor before partaking
any trading related activities based soly on this idea.
ETH not dead yetLooking for a bullish count here on ethereum as we seem to be looking to continue higher.
The down move off the 2140$ high seems to be a corrective move as it is a three wave move, therefore not trend establishing.
Looking for further upside as we could moving sideways in a triangle in wave (iv).
Questions are more than welcome, trade safe!
Feel free to check out my other post here on Tradingview!
Nifty50 Day End Analysis 2023.06.06NSE:NIFTY currently into iii (pink color) of 5 (orange color) of 5 (blue color) of 3 (gray color).
Wave ii (pink color) retraced wave i (pink color) by 61.8%.
As Nifty is currently into Wave iii (pink color), expecting Nifty to take out the trendline (purple color - from ATH to recent high) resistance around 18650 by providing a gap-up opening tomorrow above that level (this is because in 3rd waves, critical resistances are normally taken out by having a gap-up or gap-down opening).
Expecting Wave iii (pink color) to end around 18750 which is 161.8% extension of wave i (pink color).
View remains invalid if Nifty closes below 18560 on hourly candle.
APPLE (AAPL) Analysis - W3 develop
Save time. Technical Analysis in just a few words.
Daily Timeframe. AAPL is currently developing a bigger 3rd Wave on the upside.
Long term direction: LONG
It looks like Wave 3 is still unfolding on the upside. A correction will come soon, then a final Wave 5 will push on the upside (probably by the end of the year).
That's it. Have a nice day!
DISCLAIMER: The ideas shared in this context are strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial or legal advice. Each individual bears full responsibility for their own trades and decisions.
📐USDCAD: Long term triangle●● Preferred count
● USD / Canadian Dollar, 🕐TF: 3M
Fig.1
Friends, hello! Finally got around to the weekly public update. As you already understood, today we will analyze the USDCAD currency pair.
The calculation of historical data presented in Fig. 1 has not changed: I still believe that a series of impulses waves and sideways corrections can be interpreted as part of the emerging long-term diagonal. The only thing that is very confusing in this markup is the significant discrepancy between the wave degree and the size of the " (B) of Ⓦ " and " Ⓧ of I " waves. As a norm, Ⓧ should be greater than (B) of Ⓦ , but in our example the picture is reversed. In the future, this problem can be solved by expanding the boundaries of the triangle Ⓧ of I .
Fig.2
The second option for marking long-term waves suggests considering a series of sideways corrections as fourth waves within the impulse. Thus, the historical top formed in 2002 is the finale of the impulse, presumably within the framework of the wave Ⓐ of I . All subsequent wave counts will be based on the first variant (Fig. 1). The idea marked in Fig.2 came literally today and still requires some reflection and elaboration on smaller time intervals.
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● FX:USDCAD , 🕐TF: 4D
Fig.3
So, in the context of the wave count, which is currently considered as the main scenario, the sideways correction (B) of Ⓨ in the form of a triangle A-B-C-D-E is supposed to develop. Within the framework of the triangle, sub-wave A is a double zigzag, which means that all subsequent sub-waves must take the form of exclusively single zigzags ⓐ-ⓑ-ⓒ .
We should also remember that a double zigzag in wave " A " of a sideways correction can be not only within a triangle, but also within a flat.
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● FX:USDCAD , 🕐TF: 1D
Fig.4
On the daily and smaller timeframes, we again encounter variability in wave counting. Now the sub-wave ⓑ of C can transform from a zigzag into a triangle, a flat or a combination.
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● FX:USDCAD , 🕐TF: 8h
Fig.5
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●● Local alternative count
● FX:USDCAD , 🕐TF: 4D
Fig.6
Well, now let's see what alternatives can be for a triangle and a flat, indicated in Fig.3 . The first thing you should pay attention to is that wave (B) could be completed in the form of a double zigzag W-X-Y . This is the marking we had as the main scenario until a series of the first and second waves within (C) of Ⓨ did not bog down in the sideways, which is marked ⓧ of 1 in Fig.6 .
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● FX:USDCAD , 🕐TF: 1D
Fig.7
If the price exits the flat trend upwards (along the path of the red dotted line), then most likely priority will be given to this scenario.
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●● Alternative count
● FX:USDCAD , 🕐TF: 4D
Fig.8
An alternative scenario, which involves expanding the boundaries of the triangle Ⓧ , we discussed in previous updates. Earlier the wave X of (C) was considered as a zigzag, now there are reasons to wait for the wave X in the form of a triangle. I did not succeed in solving the problem with counting the impulse A of (B) of Ⓧ , and for this reason, the implementation of markup, in my opinion, is less likely, as before.
As you can see, even applying a number of strong guidelines in your work, it is not always possible to minimize the number of possible ways for the development of the market structure. It remains only to wait for the manifestation of a readable form of the model in one position or another, compare it with the available wave counts options and adjust the trading plan as information becomes available.
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📚 Elliott Wave Guide & Ellott Wave Archive ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️