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Elliottwaveforecasts

BTC in accumulation from 4/2021. Long-term bullish triangle!Today I want to present my main scenario. As long as 37400 holds I give this scenario the highest probabillity. I have identified an expanded triangle in the WB of the triagnle. Foundation for this scenario is WB which made HH and WC which has corrective nature and was unable to make LL thus it made HL. Now we are moving up in WD which is a complex correction with heavily overlapping structure. It is however still making HHs and HLs. As long this is the case we should be bullish. We have already seen some bullish indications such as D engulfing and swept liquidity below 39k. The probabillity of this scenario increases if we manage to get the confirmations labelled on the chart. If this scenario is correct we should finished the triagnle by summer and ultimately move to ATHs towards the end of the year (and perhaps reached the mythic 100k). We are forming our gameplan based on the indentified patterns which give us higher probabillity (they have been proven statistically significant) which in the long run should give us an edge (alfa = overperformance) in the markets. However, we should also be prepared for the alternative scenarios with lower probabillity so that we dont suffer large losses or get wiped out, even if it means limiting our profits and cutting losses when we are proven wrong. As TWC says, the only thing you can control in the markets is how much are you going to lose.
FTX:BTCPERPLong
by Tradern53
2
Unconfirmed bearish scenario for BTC. Watch out!Today I present to you inverted W chart of BTCUSD. We can see clear impulse down. Because we can count five waves we should form a scenario where PA will correct the impulse. So far we have gotten a reaction from lows and a HL which is the first indications of reversal. To confirm this idea we should see break of wave B of the recent correction in the channel and break of W4 of the large impulse. Moreover, this break would also confirm a Head and shoulders formation. When this happens, we should adopt this idea as a main scenario. Until then we should prefer bullish scenarios which will result in trend continuation. The move from the lows also doenst look that much impulsive and I tend to indentify it as a corrective move which supports the bullish scenarios. We are forming our gameplan based on the indentified patterns which give us higher probabillity (they have been proven statistically significant) which in the long run should give us an edge (alfa = overperformance) in the markets.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by Tradern53
3