😨Fear comes. Gold is back in vogue.🥇●● Mine scenario
🕐 1M
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
Until recently, the main scenario was the count presented below on a dark background, but after weighing all the pros and cons, I chose the already formed triangle ((B)) of I . And in general, both counts suggest an ending diagonal of a degree lower, followed by a pullback, based on the depth of which we will build further plans.
🕐 1D
OANDA:XAUUSD
I expect the growth of the third wave within the diagonal ((C)) of I .
●● Alternative scenario
🕐 1M
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
As an alternative scenario, I propose to consider the probability of the formation of a wave ((B)) of I in the form of a triangle with a wider boundary.
🕐 1D
OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily timeframe, the current count is identical to the main count and assumes a resumption of growth in the near future, except that the goals are slightly more modest.
"Gold is the time-honored store of value, and although the price of gold may flatten for a long period, it is always good insurance to own some until the world’s monetary system is intelligently restructured, a development that seems inevitable, whether it happens by design or through natural economic forces. That paper is no substitute for gold as a store of value is probably another of nature’s laws".
EWP2005
The wave marking in the double circle parenthesis corresponds to the green marking in the circle on the chart.
Elliottwaveforecasts
OIL to continue lowerHello traders and investors,
today I bring you the chart of OIL. My EWC suggests that we may see further continuation to the downside to completed the correction started from the initial move down. Golden Box will possibly show some support.
Feel free to ask questions as always!
Magic TA: The future is predicted magically!Earlier was the first to published an idea about BTC is not gonna break ATH 61800 at this point of time, instead will need a price correction before 72k! According to the observation of recent days, it is confirmed to be riding on the price correction wave. It would be a huge retracement according to the principle of elliott wave. However, after a while I've seen many analyser posted the similar chart.
My philosophy is always "sell when people buy, buy when the others sell".
Thanks to those who blindly buy (long) BTC at the peak of the hill, and so I'm getting extreme high funding fee from the trading platform on every 8 hours. ;) This may be the good timing for the newbie (especially those "smart traders" trying to "educate" me in a bad way) to understand, what's the real meaning "Do not chase ups and downs. Anyway, regardless long or short, debate / discussion with open-minded is always welcomed. Sincerely hope ALL OF US could make a fortune from crypto trading!
Again, this is not a financial advises. I'm not a professional analyser, and I've started the trading for 2 months ONLY. :) It's my hobby to analyse the pattern so it would help in my development of automated pattern trading software.
Price correction: first target - 56200Earlier I've shared an Elliott wave analysis chart and mentioned we may on the point (B) position. meanwhile, I've revised the chart, and realised there are 2 possibilities.
Note: Please google on the complete elliott waves chart and compare to my draw.
1. Yesterday 2nd April 2021 highest point as a reference, we may on point (1) of the impulse wave.
2. Yesterday 2nd April 2021 highest point as a reference, we may on point (C) of the correction wave.
So, I've decided to draw another version. (above)
Sketch of 2nd April. (C) edition of correction wave.
Combining with others TA tools, to find out the highest point and next lower support line.
It's a cup and handle, with a highest point of 68517.
Meanwhile, applying ascending triangle to the chart,
we may see a lowest point of 55492, in the case of we get a breakout confirmation at 58930+
Last, be aware of the limitation of this ascending triangle.
The main problem with triangles, and chart patterns in general, is the potential for false breakouts. The price may move out of the pattern only to move back into it, or the price may even proceed to break out the other side. A pattern may need to be redrawn several times as the price edges past the trendlines but fails to generate any momentum in the breakout direction.
While ascending triangles provide a profit target, that target is just an estimate. The price may far exceed that target, or fail to reach it.
Interesting fact: 5 waves formedFun facts: 5 waves is formed on BTCEUR pair but not on BTCUSD
on this BTCEUR chart, major point (1) and point (4) is not intersect, which is a valid elliott waves.
However, the case is different on BTCUSDT pair. The point (4) is dipping below point (1) and so it is invalid.
Anyway, BTC seems exhausted at the moment, it failed to break ATH 61800 whereas others cryptocurrency broke its records.
Congratulation for ETH hodlers, the value of ETH will not be limited to 2100USD ONLY.
UPDATE
We're now testing the EMA Ribbon lines again.
Let's be patient and wait for the next few block of candlesticks for a buy/sell confirmation.
Time for Dollar go Down ??Yesterday DXY close in bearish candle after reaching 93.40 area. It is indicate me that DXY already finished its 5th subwaves for completing ABC retracement. I think it is the time for Dollar to go down as i can see now DXY making evening star pattern in daily timeframe. My analysis will be invalid if DXY can close above 93.45
Happy Easter guys
BTCUSDT going back to 43000 before new high?? ATH of BTC 61800 is not gonna break yet?
Yes, we're still in massive bullish price zone even retrace back to 43000! By applying elliott wave principle to the BTC market, we're currently on point B of the price correction zone.
Anyone may share your thought and tell me if i'm wrong? The chart drew according to the guideline of "Elliott wave principle key to market behavior"
RMR: Elliott impulse wave finishing, correction wave incoming?Hi. I've plotted a resistance zone that's been prevalent since the start of the year. I've also plotted some Elliot waves: some past, some current and some incoming.
The recent Three Drives pattern is over and unfortunately I didn't recognize it in time. But a good question then is what's next?
Well there is a clear impulse wave occurring at the moment. The high price difference between the MA 56 and close price strongly indicates that the impulse wave will continue to finish wave 3 and 4. The exact time when this will happen is uncertain, the price on point 5 is just an example.
But this means a correction wave is incoming when the impulse finishes.
There are two decent position to make if you believe the impending waves are probable:
When the current impulse wave has finished there is a good timing for a short position to profit off of the correction wave.
When that correction wave is complete there will most likely be an impulse wave. A long position when this is apparent or a long position on the B point of that wave could both be decent.
Thank you. Please, if you have any thoughts or comments do leave them below and I would gladly discuss or adjust my interpretations and methods with you.
This does not constitute financial advice. Any projected prices, even if explicitly stated, are made with intent to discuss the symbol and potential interpretations. Any trades shown or mentioned are examples and neither recommendations or mandates.
GBPUSD Daily Timeframe With Elliot WaveHere is my continuation analysis in GBPUSD. In my opinion GBPUSD just completed wave 4. After completed 3 subwave A B C and hit Daily Uptrend and also i see a double bottom in in daily timeframe. Right now im focusing how GBPUSD will make wave 5. My analysis will be invalid if GBPUSD break below 1.3670.
XAUUSD, 4hr tf, sell on completion of wave-4Hello my friends,
If you follow my previous post regarding XAUUSD to buy from 1680, you should be able to booked decent profits.
I myself banked +300 pips which yield 3R.
Based on my Elliott wave analysis, we could see another drop from XAUUSD as price might need to do 1 more impulse to the downside in order to complete wave-5.
Sell XAUUSD 1710-1712
Stop loss 1721
Take profit 1668 (4.8R)
Use only 1-2% risk
Good luck
🛢Investments in the Russian oil sector...●● Mine scenario
🕐 1W
MOEX:LKOH
«Pic.1»
We successfully predicted the growth of the fifth wave after the triangle ((iv)) and the subsequent decline within the wave 4 , which, based on the norm of alternation, is still expected in the form of a triangle.
🕐 1D
MOEX:LKOH
«Pic.2»
Combination "Double Three" SZ-X-CT
🕐 1D
MOEX:LKOH
«Pic.3»
The main purchases are planned under the condition of a fully completed triangle, at the end of the final wave ((e)) in its structure.
🕐 2h
MOEX:LKOH
«Pic.5»
This count has a number of disadvantages. They are: two sideways corrections in waves ii-iv , and a truncation within the assumed diagonal v . In connection with the above, I recommend any speculation in the short only after the breakout of the top iv , the level marked as «confirm.lvl» .
🕐 2h
MOEX:LKOH
«Pic.6»
Along the way, I am considering a variant count with a triangle in (b) of ((b)) , which suggests continued growth within wave (c) . Waiting for the implementation of my count for continued growth, I hold the buy position.
●● Alternative scenario
🕐 1W
MOEX:LKOH
«Pic.8»
As for the alternative count shown in "Pic. 8" , taking into account the probability of its implementation, I do not increase the volume of a long-term long position until we form a triangle as it is schematically depicted in "Pic. 1".
The wave marking in the double circle parenthesis corresponds to the green marking in the circle on the chart.
SPX Elliott wave count daily. 101 probable count1/ This new idea is based on the previous idea below, rsi possible extended 1st wave like our spx. Nothing guaranteed
here just an amazing similarities (chart # 1).
2/ The previous idea is coming handy for "Gaps behavior " and how they usually appear in waves 3 & C. Well it kind
of supporting this idea of an extended 1st wave. Here it is below (chart # 2).
3/ Combining these together kind of make the argument for and extended 1st wave is more probable, or not.
4/ So what's next, well Elliott Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Guidelines for an extended wave 1 as follow:
If wave 1 is extended, then the size of wave 3 through to the end of wave 5 is often 61.8% – 78.6% relative to the size of wave 1
If wave 1 is extended, then wave 2 and 4 are very likely to be shallow (i.e. 23.6% – 38.2%)
If wave 1 is extended, then wave 2 will often end at the level of sub-wave 4 of 1 (i.e. the internal wave 4 of wave 1)
4/ That's would put the probable target for this bull's move since March's low between .61-79 fibs with
minimum requirement @ 4122:
EUR/USD Complete Elliott Wave Analysis In the past, we have seen EUR/USD complete a bullish wave sequence
We can now see a possible ABC down.
It might be completed it might have more legs to do...
But is there an opportunity for us to take advantage of?
Also, have a look at my previous wave analysis attached below - Which was done in Jan this year.
NASDAQ CRASHING?Hello!
My EWC for the nas100 suggests that we may be recovering form the 10%+ move down and are slowly starting to resume higher. I expect a last move down which can't break the previous low to then resume higher.
Feel free to ask quesitons and let me know what you think in the comment!
AB.