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Technical Analysis with Elliott Waves: A Combined ApproachHello friends, Welcome to RK Charts! This Educational Post is based on technical analysis, specifically how to initiate analysis on a chart, and what points to consider. This is purely for Educational purposes. This is not a trading or investing tip or advisory. Rather, it's a comprehensive guide on how to easily analyze a chart, intended for educational purposes. I hope that by reading and understanding this post, you'll gain valuable knowledge and insights. Your focused effort to understand this will surely provide you with something valuable and easy to grasp. Let's dive in, During technical analysis, what we had observed certain points in this chart, I'm highlighting them here: 1. Resistance line breakout, where the price has closed above it. 2. The volume within that breakout. 3. The price closing above Weekly Exponential Moving Averages. 4. Elliott Wave Counts. 5. Projected Target along with Invalidation level as per Elliott Wave theory. 6. Projected Duration for Projected Targets. Breakout of Resistance zone with Good Volume intensity: So, friends, here we can clearly see on the chart that this is a weekly time frame chart of Shipping Corporation of India Limited. Over the last eleven months, from July 2024, the price has been falling, remaining largely bearish, but has now broken out of Curved Resistance Trendline for the first time with a bullish candle on Weekly (Closing basis), accompanied by good volume intensity. Alongside this, the price has sustained and closed above Major EMAs: - 50-Weekly Exponential moving average (red line plotted on the chart) - 100-Weekly Exponential moving average (blue line plotted on the chart) - 200-Weekly Exponential moving average (black line plotted on the chart) on the weekly time frame. Elliott Wave Theory: Considering the Elliott Wave structure, if we look at it theoretically, the top it made on July 2024, was the completion of Wave III. After that, it completed Wave IV in 7 swings (WXY) and is now possibly moving higher, making higher lows. It has closed above the moving averages, broken out of the Curved Trendline, and has strong volume. So, possibly, we are unfolding an impulse Wave V. In Elliott Wave Theory, the invalidation level means that the price should not go below that level, which in this case is the low of Wave IV at ₹130. If the price goes below that level for any reason, even by a single point, our wave counts will be invalidated, and we'll have to re-analyze the chart. That's why we call it the invalidation level. Analysts and traders also refer to it as a stop-loss level. So, in Elliott Wave Theory, our wave counts remain valid as long as the price stays above the invalidation level and doesn't trigger it. Now, regarding the target, if we take the measurement of Wave IV and calculate its 1.236 level, the target for Wave V should be above the high of Wave III. According to Elliott Wave Theory, the projected target for Wave V is near ₹440, which is the 1.236 Fibonacci level. Projected Duration for Projected Targets: In the chart analysis we conducted, where we prospectively projected a target, if everything goes right and the invalidation level is not triggered, what could be the duration of this target? It will definitely take more than a medium-term duration, maybe even a long-term duration. This is because each candle represents a week, and we're currently looking at the weekly time frame. Since the fourth wave has just ended and the fifth wave is upcoming, it will take a long-term duration I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:SCIEducation
by RK_Chaarts
9
Gold Is Doing What Ever Gold Wants To DoPreviously I posted a reading where I said gold was to go a bit down before is went up. But Gold didn't go down, and went straight up. But it did go up right :D Right now I strongly believe gold is in a wxy correction. And I think will finish the y-wave i the green box area somewhere between 3,147 and 3,077, which is the 100-123% fib-level of the w-wave. The reason I believe this, is at that timewise the y-wave will here have taken as long as the w-wave, and I the price is heading for that cyan median line. And normally price will also go to the bottom and a bit below of the Kennedy line. Multiple factors are pointing to that level. When price hits that level, I believe we will see a 5th level to the upside where 4,000 definitely is in play. I will include a link to a higher degree reading, where you can see I believe gold has finished a third wave, so we still need a 5th wave to the upside.
COMEX:GC1!
by TheDane
BTC is Still A Correction.BTC is in good rally these days, but my believe is that it is still in a correction. I am not 100% confident in wavecount, but I am confident that BTC is not done correcting until it has gone down to somewhere between 62.500 - 52.500. If the rally BTC is currently in, I believe we are seeing a flat, and I will correct my count accordingly.. But right now I'm seeing a W-X-Y-X-Z correction. Be careful, and do not bet on BTC is rallying to a million just yet ;) For now I believe there will be good odds for following the white line I've drawn on the chart.
by TheDane
DXY In Difficult Circumstances Since the Start 80's I decided to give a go at the Dollar Index given the circumstances around the world. And to be honest, I tried to put on the positive glasses. I believe the dollar has been in a complex correction since the mid 80's. Starting out with a large dump in '85 with the a-wave, the correction slowed down and only grew more and more complex. Thought about current wave: What I believe we are going through now is, that we are finishing up the purple C-wave in a green (C)-wave. This wave can end at any time now, since it's now at the 61.8% fib level of the purple A-wave. But it might go down to the 95 level (The green box) to complete at the 100% fiblevel of the purple A-Wave. But first we will have the fourth wave meaning the DXY is gonna struggle for some weeks. Because we had a swift two week wave 2, which means we are probably going have a slow fourth wave according to the rule of alternation. This mean the purple C-wave could drag out into the end of '25 into early '26. This is also with that in mind that a C-wave most likely will take longer than an A-wave. These are the Purple boxes. BUT, after this, DXY is gonna experience some happy years again, going back up to the yellow box somewhere between 110 and 120 to finish the WXY of x of the larger degree. This will take DXY into a couple of years bull-run as long as the green (C) wave runs and completes no earlier than late '27, depending when the purple C-wave prior to the green (C) wave ends. But I believe the green (C)-wave will take about two years to complete. But after this, DXY could again go into some dark ages and considering the high degree purple w-wave took 23 years to complete (blue giant box), there is no reason to believe this high degree purple y-wave will be a swift matter and actually don't complete before the year 2050. And it will take the DXY all the down to start 60's or lower. The reason I said I tried to put on the positive glasses, is that I tried seeing the white channel as a leading diagonal for a new bull run, but I just don't see it as such. I also tried seeing it as a C-wave of a flat diagonal, but this would result in another C-wave afterwards, and also take us down to the 60's level. So that didn't do us any good. For the sake of DXY, I hope I'm wrong, but this is how I see it.
TVC:DXY
by TheDane
2
My take on Gold. It's a difficult one..This is the read that makes most sense to me. And I have zoomed all the way into 15m, for you to be able to see my thoughts around it all. For that wave down from April 2nd to April 7th to make any sense to me, I have labeled it as W-X-Y to complete (A). At first I had labeled it as a diagonal, but then price should not have retraced as much as it has since April 7th. And I also believed Gold has finished a 5th of a 5th wave, so we need to see some more correction before price head to the upside again. I simply can't read the retracement back up since the April 7th as a A-B-C, and this is why I believe price is just finishing up the A wave (and it might already have) before it goes into the B correction. The initiated wave down (wave B of (B)) I believe will go down to 3,044 - 3,013 level and then finish of the flat with a wave C of (C). This wave C should be able to go to the 3,130 - 3200 level. But as I said, first we spend some days to the downside heading for that 3,044 - 3,013 level. What is your current take on gold?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheDane
1
(ATOM) cosmos "wave count"Long form wave count would appear to be in trend with an entirely new cycle for Cosmos, potentially, although I did not go all the way back to the origin of the company which is necessary to get a true depiction of history. Is the history of a company based on short lived moments or is there any knowledge to keeping track of the trend of a company through the entire duration of the chart regardless of what trends occur based on major moments in society and the seasonal hype from December and end of year excitement,. Many years in the making. . .
COINBASE:ATOMUSDLong
by CryptocurrencyBlot
2
A Closer Look at Bitcoin's Elliot Wave PatternHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the Bitcoin chart using Elliot Waves. Our approach will involve using Elliot Wave theory and structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis we present here focuses on one potential scenario that seems possible to us. Please note that this information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice or investment tips. There's a risk of being completely wrong, so never trade based solely on this post. We're not responsible for any profits or losses. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Now, let's discuss the Bitcoin chart. On the daily chart, we can see that a black primary degree wave has completed its ((4th)) wave, and the ((5th)) wave has started. Within the fifth wave, an intermediate degree wave is unfolding, which will have its own set of waves (1), (2), (3), (4), (5). The primary black degree wave five will be complete once the intermediate degree wave is finished. We've drawn accounts on the chart, illustrating the entire structure, including the nearest invalidation level at around $76,666 and the real invalidation level below $50,000. I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by RK_Chaarts
22
EUR/USD Key Levels – Watch Out! The EUR/USD pair is approaching crucial selling zones, signaling potential bearish pressure ahead! 🔥 📉 Price Action Insights: A strong supply zone is identified, aligning with our bearish outlook. Choch (Change of Character) confirms a shift in structure—indicating a possible rejection from higher levels. If price taps into our selling zones, we could see a strong drop to the downside! 🔎 Plan Ahead: Will sellers dominate, or will bulls regain control? Stay sharp and trade smart! 💡 💬 Drop your thoughts below! Are you shorting or waiting for confirmations? 👇
Short
by Greenfireforex
1
BTCUSDTAccording to this analysis, if the price reaches around $70,000 in a corrective structure with a time-consuming and low momentum in the form of wave F, it may grow to around $120,000 and even higher in the form of wave G. But it seems that the ideal buying point is around $60,000 and the origin of the breakout node. In this case, of course, we will have a strong wave F, which means that we must be a little flexible in the possible targets of wave G. In terms of time, late June, July and early August are the ideal time areas for the end of wave F, and late 2025 and early 2026 are the time areas for the end of the two waves G.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SAJAD_BAZYAR
Russell 2000 Elliott Wave Analysis (WXYXZ in progress)Possible wave (ii) complex correction in the form of a WXYXZ still in progress. Expecting corrective rally to fail around the 2200 resistance zone. A final wave down from there should find a bottom around the 1900 support zone where wave (ii) should end. Expecting wave (iii) to commence from there... ------ *would appreciate feedbacks and thoughts on this* **this is not a trade recommendation, just an idea that I am working with**
CITYINDEX:USSMALLCAP2000CFDShort
by RayGunaraj
UEC: Close to a Substantial Bottom? Bullish Outlook!The current pullback, which began in December, is still unfolding. Right now, the market is testing the white wave 2 support zone between $4.80 and $5.46, but the chart doesn’t yet look ready for an upside reversal. Even in the white scenario, a bit more downside is likely with some small downward moves still to come. In the orange scenario, the price would likely form a larger 4-5 structure to the downside. If UEC breaks below the wave 2 low at $4.10 (a swing low from September 2024), the orange wave 2 scenario would take precedence, with support between $3.86 and $3.08. Despite the short-term weakness, the overall structure remains bullish. Whether this is a smaller-degree wave 2 or a larger-degree wave 2 is still unclear, but the long-term outlook for UEC remains positive. I'm closely watching for an upside reversal, with the first signal coming from a break above $6.34.
AMEX:UEC
by MCOGlobal
SOL/USDT – Double Zigzag Completed! Is a Bullish Reversal Next?Solana (SOL) has likely completed a Double Zigzag (WXY) correction, with Wave C of Y bottoming at $130.60 (1.0 Fibonacci extension). This suggests a potential trend reversal, but SOL must first break key resistance at $146-$150 to confirm a bullish move. 🔹 Elliott Wave Analysis & Bullish Scenario If the Double Zigzag correction is complete, SOL could begin a new impulse wave, targeting: ✅ $169-$173 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement, previous Wave B resistance) ✅ $180-$195 (0.382 Fib & major supply zone) ✅ $220+ (Wave 3 extension target) 🔻 Bearish Scenario – Extended Correction? If SOL fails to break $150, it could indicate that the correction is not yet over, leading to: ❌ Retesting $130 support ❌ Possible extended correction towards $113-$100 (1.272 Fib extension) 📌 Key Level to Watch: 🔹 A break & close above $150 signals bullish continuation. 🔹 A rejection could mean further downside. 📊 Is SOL ready for a breakout, or will we see another leg down? Share your thoughts below! 👇🔥
Long
by DipWaves
3
The Crypto Space - Clarity Through COINNASDAQ:COIN has had a phenomenal run since the beginning of 2023, currently up about 1,100% within 2 years! In this Elliott Wave Analysis, I present my view of where I think Coinbase will stall and fall. So far the sequence is filling up nicely and has presented, those with a keen eye, several opportunities to join the 11x party :) As per this 2 day chart, I believe we are quite close to completing w3 of w(5) . In terms of EW, the chart is very clean and has been bouncing off Fibonacci support and resistance, for each wave degree, with relative precision. I would like to see price tag $353 - $375 then drop to $300 - $271 , before proceeding to a new high between $416 - $457 to complete a full five wave sequence from the 2023 lows. The sell off, thereafter, should be significant and if the space survives will present another opportunity for similar or greater returns during the next cycle. This should also coincide with a cyclical top across the cryptoverse. What are your thoughts?
NASDAQ:COINLong
by investornomics
3
Possible Wave Counts of RELIANCE : Near to Bottom ?Reliance Industries Technical Analysis based on Elliott Wave Counts (Possible) Chart: The analysis is based on a 2-hourly timeframe chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE). Elliott Wave Theory: The analysis utilizes Elliott Wave Theory, which suggests that market prices move in repetitive patterns called waves. These patterns consist of impulsive waves (numbered 1-5) that move in the direction of the main trend and corrective waves (labeled A-B-C) that move against the main trend. Possible Wave Counts: Overall Trend: The chart suggests a potential overall uptrend, with the analysis focusing on a smaller degree wave structure within this larger trend. Impulsive Waves: The chart highlights several impulsive waves (1-5) of varying degrees, indicating periods of strong price movement in the direction of the trend. Corrective Waves: The chart also identifies corrective waves (A-B-C), representing periods of price consolidation or retracement against the main trend. Current Wave: The analysis suggests that the price is currently in a corrective wave (2), following an impulsive wave (1). Potential Target: Based on the wave counts, there is a potential for further upward movement once the current corrective wave completes. However, specific price targets are not provided in this analysis. Key Levels: Invalidation Level: A key level to watch is the "Invalidation Level" marked on the chart. If the price breaks below this level, the current wave count may be invalidated, suggesting a different interpretation of the market structure. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:RELIANCE
by RK_Chaarts
Golden opportunity for gold! The Fibonacci channel has been drawn, and Elliott waves can be observed on the chart. Currently, the price is in the fifth Elliott wave. We have two scenarios for the future of gold: 1)The first scenario is a bullish scenario. Given the geopolitical tensions and conflicts between Israel, Iran, and Lebanon, as well as China's threats against Taiwan, which have all contributed to a further increase in gold prices, if these trends continue, it could complete wave 5 at the 1.414 level of the Fibonacci channel. 2)The second scenario is a bearish scenario. If we witness a hawkish stance from the FED or a reduction in geopolitical tensions, then we should expect a price reversal from the previous high of 2687. In this case, the 0.618 Fibonacci channel level would serve as strong support. Considering the geopolitical tensions, I believe the first scenario and a breakout above the previous high are more likely. In that case, we should watch for a breakout above the previous high and then enter a long position after confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market-Analyzer
Elliott Wave Outlook for RELIANCETechnical Analysis of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) based on Elliott Waves This analysis is based on Elliott Wave Theory and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investing involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Elliott Wave Analysis The provided chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) outlines a potential Elliott Wave pattern within a 1-hour timeframe. Elliott Wave Theory suggests that financial markets move in predictable and repeatedly patterns based on investor psychology. Key Observations: 1. Impulse Wave: The primary uptrend appears to be an impulse wave, a five-wave structure. Wave 1: The initial uptrend from the low point. Wave 2: A minor correction or pullback. Wave 3: A strong extension of the uptrend. Wave 4: A smaller correction. Wave 5: The final wave of the impulse, often ending with a climactic price movement. 2. Corrective Wave: The current downward movement was a zigzag corrective pattern. Wave A: The initial decline. Wave B: A minor retracement. Wave C: The expected continuation of the downward trend. Potential Scenario: If the current corrective pattern zigzag finishes here or near, then further wave ((3)) is to start post completion of wave (C) of ((2)), and it would not go sudden upside, because any impulse wave unfolds in five subdivisions, so wave (1) of wave ((3)) can start any time post completion of wave (C) of wave ((2)). Note: This analysis is based on a specific interpretation of the Elliott Wave pattern. Other analysts might have different interpretations. It's crucial to use multiple tools and indicators to confirm your analysis. Additional Considerations: Fundamental Analysis: Consider factors like company earnings, industry trends, and economic indicators to support your technical analysis. Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to limit your potential losses. Diversification: Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your investments across different assets. Remember: Elliott Wave analysis is a complex tool that requires practice and experience. It's essential to approach it with caution and always consider the potential risks involved in trading. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:RELIANCELong
by RK_Chaarts