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Elliottwaveprojection

EURUSD: Next Target around 1.1045?Today's session will be very important for FX:EURUSD pair, especially after the data that will be released later. Having said that, the trend is bullish on intraday chart and the next bullish target should be around 1.1045 area. From a technical point of view, this rally was supported by the bottom swing formed around October 13th (see analysis below). The dollar should fall further if U.S. consumer confidence data at 1500 GMT is weaker than expected... BOTTOM SWING ANALYSIS ======================= (click on chart below) Trade with care Like | Share | Comment *Visit our website for technical levels and setup
Long
by TheAnonymousBanker
3
Ethereum Is Eyeing April Highs After A PullbackHello Crypto traders! In today’s article we want to update Ethereum chart with ticker ETHUSD. We already talked about a nice bullish turn from the support in the past updates, where we have been tracking a new five-wave bullish cycle. As you can see today, ETH made nice and clean five-wave recovery, which indicates for more upside, at least towards the April highs and 2200 – 2300 area or maybe even higher. However, currently we can see it making a new corrective setback, so after a triangle corrective pattern or deeper A-B-C correction that can retest 1900 support, be aware of more gains. If ETH slips below 1870 level, then correction can go deeper and more complex with the next support around 1800 – 1750 area. One of the main reasons why ETH can stay in uptrend is also because of the bullish ALTcoins in current ALTseason.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Exploring the Unassailable Position of the U.S. DollarTechnical analysis From the point of view of technical analysis, we believe that the EUR/USD pair has completed the corrective wave Ⓑ after reaching the price range of 1.0945-1.097, which has also been a strong resistance zone over the last few days. After which, we expect that EUR/USD will continue to correct within the impulsive wave © until it reaches a strong support zone. Fundamental Analysis Thanks to positive macroeconomic data released by government agencies in the US and European Union and lower oil prices in recent weeks, the likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates in early 2024 has increased sharply. Moreover, the US economy has shown remarkable resilience relative to Europe in recent months, reflected in the faster rate of decline in inflation, job growth, and foreign direct investment. In addition, according to Adobe, Americans spent a record $5.6 billion on online shopping, up 5.5% from November 23, 2022, which will also help increase the attractiveness of the USD relative to the EUR. Show your support by liking👍, following✅, sharing🙌, and commenting✍! Feel free to share your ideas and charts below. Your engagement is crucial in spreading the word and maintaining the relevance of the content. Thanks for being an essential part of this community! Analyst’s Disclosure: This article may not take into account all the risks and catalysts for the stocks described in it. Any part of this analytical article is provided for informational purposes only, does not constitute an individual investment recommendation, investment idea, advice, offer to buy or sell securities, or other financial instruments. The completeness and accuracy of the information in the analytical article are not guaranteed. If any fundamental criteria or events change in the future, I do not assume any obligation to update this article.
Short
by AisenQuantum
2
Major Market Correlations Between Yields, Stocks And USDollarIn 2022, the stock market took a hit and the US Dollar gained strength due to higher yields in the US. Toward the end of that year, as yields eased off, the US Dollar lost some of its power, and this coincided with a rebound in stock market performance. Now, as yields are climbing once again, the US Dollar is regaining strength, but it seems like stocks are beginning to lose their previous momentum. However, the situation might shift if these rising yields are in the process of completing their fifth wave and are on the verge of slowing down. In that case, the US Dollar could actually become weaker again, and the stock market might continue its upward trend. Of course a lot will depend on the FED policy decisions, where dollar can turn down if FED will stop the hiking cycle. Well, a lot will depend on the US data, so market participants will surely watch the NFP very closely tomorrow.
TVC:US10Y
by ew-forecast
1
Crude Oil Found The Support?Crude oil is trading lower, currently showing blue wave C in late stages of a corrective wave B pattern. We can also see now five subwaves down within C from 88/89 zone, where final subwave (5) of C can be now coming to an end with a huge volume increase. We can actually already see a sharp bounce from the support that can be signal for a minimum three-wave recovery back to 80 area. If we get a five-wave impulsive recovery back above channel resistance line and 80.00 level, that's when we may call a bottom for crude.
NYMEX:CLF2024Long
by ew-forecast
INJ Neowave - Elliott Wave Theory Analysis (Daily - Medium Term)INJ is performing very well in 2023. The waves are quite similar in price, there is a possibility that the structure could be diametric. In this case, I would say that $13 is a very good level in terms of costing. The point to watch out for is the possibility of the structure turning into a symmetrical structure because in this case it should touch the 'dashed' trend support so that we can see waves 'H' and 'I' in the continuation of the trend. This could also be the opportunity of the year. Nevertheless, we will discuss this situation in the weekly updates. I will update the analysis on Mondays and have a profitable day.
by up_neowave
Ethereum Is Pointing Higher For Wave 5 or 3Ethereum is coming nicely higher as expected based on Elliott wave theory and it's now even extending the rally on the news that Blackrock Ethereum ETF plan is confirmed in the Nasdaq filing. On a daily chart, there's a chance it's trading in wave (5) of a potential leading diagonal formation or alternatively maybe even in wave (3) if we see a decisive break above upper leading diagonal line. However, in both cases there's still room at least up to 2200 - 2300 area to complete a five-wave bullish cycle in the 4-hour chart, so more gains can be seen, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Part 2: Price Action Breakdown - Advance ElementsIn the first part, we discussed the components of the price action theory. We covered value area, control line, and excess price with examples, setups & guidelines (with my own observations.) Now, in this idea, we are going to cover the following topics: No trading zone Initiative & responsive trading Shifting of the value area Bullish Value area Bearish value area Extention of the value area Combining all the pieces I request all of you to visit our first part if you have not read it yet. Check out the following demo chart, and try to mention each component by yourself: Now, you can check the following chart, and see if you have denoted correctly or noted: 1) No trading zone: No trading zone/activities is the area where trading is not happening. It shows the strength of buyers in the lower band and the strength of the sellers in the upper boundary. Its shows who is controlling, who will be controlling, and who have lost the opportunity. What does it mean? 🔹If the length of the no-trading zone is wide at the lower band, it shows that buyers are controlling the movement and sellers are not able to form trading activities. 🔹If the length of the no-trading zone is wide at the upper band, it shows that sellers are controlling the movement and buyers are not able to form trading activities. Observing the given formation that shows a sideways value area is enough to understand the whole story. There were actually three no-trading zones in the value area: two on the lower band and one on the upper band. The first NTZ(No-trading zone) on the lower band was the signal of the movement controlled by buyers. NTZ-2 was the widest of the value area, where sellers snatched the control from buyers and started outnumbering the buyers. NTZ-3 was the last no-trading zone where the buyers were on the controlled buy and couldn't give a response to the sellers' initiative move. The excess was the last price point from sellers that started the supply pressure. 2) Initiative & responsive trading As we discussed earlier, price movements are the result of the interaction between supply and demand. Buyer(demand) and seller's(supply) intuition are the main components of the price. Value area from where buyers and sellers are satisfied with the current prices. Neither buyers want to increase, nor the seller is interested in low prices at least for some duration. It's called equilibrium between buyers and sellers. What if it's enough? # Now buyers don't want to keep the prices as it's too low for them. So, the buyers will make an initiative to break the upper band of the value area. It is called "initiative" by buyers. # Sellers have to stop them from going out of the value area by making excess, which is called "response" by sellers. Anyone, either buyers or sellers, who are not satisfied can make an initiative. However, the opposite party has to respond to their initiative and settle into equilibrium again. Case 1: - The movement can only reach equilibrium by responding to each initiative. If a failure occurs, it signals evidence of a big move in the direction of the initiative. As per the chart, whenever buyers have made an initiative to move outside of the value area, sellers have responded with supply pressure and vice versa. Case 2: - Buyers have made an initiative, but sellers couldn't hold back the buyers' pressure and ended up losing movement. Here, we can say that the buyers have given a breakout of the value area, and the sellers' response was a failure. 3) Shifting of the value area - Traders don't have to be upset after the breakout of the value area. Supply and demand will balance and unbalance again, and traders will get an opportunity to trade according to the theory. We all know of the tenet of the dow theory that "price tends to trend ." Value area also shifts its value after the breakout/breakdown, often in the direction of the trend. Uptrend: The price was in an uptrend. After the breakout of the first value area, it has formed the second, and so on. Downtrend: The price was in a downtrend. After the breakdown of the first value area, it has formed the second, and so on.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Money_Dictators
9
The Timeless Abyss of Trading: The Greatest Trap Of All-timeI am here with a unique topic. It is about a psychological trading trap called the cycle of doom. What got me interested in this psychological topic? Well, there are very few articles about it. You can count them on one hand, and more than 90% of traders are losing money. Most traders find their method of trading. What stops them from becoming profitable traders? Tradingview platform is one of the biggest charting platforms that provide an educational section and editorial peak for traders to sharpen their knowledge related to technical analysis, trading methodology, trading psychology, etc. As a trader, we are making market memories by improving screen time, practicing technical analysis, analyzing option data(if applicable), and a lot more. Why do we still fall short in applying in real time? What stops us from becoming a profitable trader? Something looks missing out! I would like to draw your attention to the psychological trap cycle of doom, a topic discussed by only a few traders. Let me be clear, I do believe that this topic is universally applicable! The cycle of doom is made up of three phases: The search The Action The Blame "Sun Tzu said Know the enemy and know yourself in a hundred battles you will never be in peril." In order to exit from the loop of the cycle, we have to understand the parts of the cycle. 1) The Search: Probably, it's the first phase of the cycle. Just recall your initial stages of trading. You were finding a trading strategy to make money out of the money. You may have asked to friend, watched a YouTube video, read an article on Tradingview, bought a book or course or indicators, or purchased the strategy. At that time, you were entered into the cycle. Additionally, we should never trade for enjoyment but treat it as a business. The statement does not apply to the initial stages. Trader explores new methods, theories, and systems. Postulate, Trader A uses X theory to do their day trading for a living, and you were impressed and took it to put your money on it, or you found the method by yourself. The trader will switch his next position after finding a system that is convenient for his trading and trusts that he can take minimal risks to achieve expected returns. 2) The Action: The Action phase is the second phase of the cycle. Now, you have a trading system that will make your money grow to expected returns. This phase can be super exciting for traders as they believe he has an edge and is most likely a key to opening a present of unrealistic returns. Issues arise when a trader employs their strategy without supporting evidence, like backtesting results. Your heart may be pounding, and your fingers may be trembling like a child, but it doesn't mean you should directly trade the strategy without checking the results, failure, and performance of the system. Just five percent of traders actually test a trading system before putting it into action. You might discover that the trading system performs well for a prolonged period. Suddenly, a drawdown appeared! At a certain point, everything may seem bleak. While profits might flow in initially, eventually, the losing trades start to accumulate. It's a red signal for traders that their trading system is now on oxygen. I don't think traders can trust the system after a big streak of losing traders. You have entered into the blame phase. 3) The Blame: The Blame is the final stage of the cycle. As we discussed, the trader has lost their trust in his trading system, which was a holy grail for him at the initial stage. The Red portfolio hurts more than a break-up. The trader is not happy with the system as it has wiped out the gain + trading capital, and the trading system is the only cause that affected the profit and wants to remove the system and search for a new strategy. 4) Loop of the cycle: As can be seen, the trader again finds a new strategy and makes an effort and action on it, then blames the system. The cycle repeats and traps the trader in this way. How to get out of the cycle? 1. Modification is the only way to survival & Trust the system: Traders should modify their strategy according to market conditions, instruments, and trading style. Maybe not everything works for everyone. Therefore, traders should do this according to him. For example, I use Elliott wave theory as the first base and price action as a confirmation tool along with different indicators according to the situation. I do modify Elliott and price action as per my observation of price moves and wavelength. 2. Backtesting is the holy grail: Choosing trading theory also depends on traders' mindset, risk-aptitude, and expected return. Scalpers will never check the PE, P/S, or EV/EBITDA ratio of the firm just because of their duration and risk-reward calculation. After choosing an appropriate trading strategy, traders should backtest their trading strategy before doing real-market transaction. We have the advantage of backtesting tools, algo, and virtual account, which was not available for pit traders. 3. Risk management: Already many ideas are available on this topic. The trading system should be giving proper returns as per the taken risk unless it is nothing more than Drilling a well in the desert. I need more time to write a full idea on the escape of the cycle of doom. Thank you! @Money_Dictators
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Money_Dictators
14
Psychographic Analysis - Life Cycle of InvestorImagine an investment as a journey with twists and turns. Knowing its different stages is like having a map for investors. It helps them decide if they want a thrilling ride with big potential rewards or a smoother path with steady stability, based on their comfort with risk. For investors, understanding the life cycle is crucial because it directly impacts the investor's risk appetite. ✨Personality characteristics of investors ✨Risk/Return Trade-Offs for Investors: 🔸 Risk/reward trade-offs are related to the relationship that exists between the degree of risk an investor takes and the potential reward for the investment. larger-risk investments have the potential for greater returns, but they also have the potential for greater losses as well. Lower-risk investments, on the other hand, have the potential for lower profits, but also for fewer losses. 🔸 The risk tolerance and investment objectives of investors will change over time. Younger investors who are just starting out are more likely to be on the risk/reward spectrum, willing to take on more risk in exchange for the chance of larger profits. This is because they have a longer time horizon with which to invest and recoup from losses. Investors may grow more risk-averse and migrate to the left side of the spectrum as they near retirement. They may need to start withdrawing from their assets to fund their retirement, so they want to protect their money and avoid large losses. ✨Phases of the Investment Life Cycle: ↪️ Here is a breakdown of the investment life cycle and how risk/reward trade-offs may change at each stage: 1️⃣ Accumulation Phase In the initial stage, known as the accumulation phase, individuals find themselves with a modest net worth relative to their liabilities. Their investment portfolio tends to be limited and less diversified. Goals often include funding education, purchasing a home, and laying the groundwork for future financial independence. With a long time horizon and potential income growth, investors in this phase can afford to explore high-return, high-risk capital gain-oriented investments. 2️⃣ Consolidation Phase As individuals progress through their mid-to-late careers, they enter the consolidation phase. Characterized by income surpassing expenses, this period, although still distant from retirement, prompts a shift towards capital preservation. Investors start balancing high capital gain investments with lower-risk assets, creating a more stable and resilient portfolio. 3️⃣ Spending Phase The spending phase marks a transition when living expenses are no longer sustained by earned income but by accumulated assets, such as investments and retirement funds. With a decreased likelihood of returning to work, stability becomes paramount in the investment portfolio. Preferences shift towards investments generating steady income through dividends, interest, and rentals. Despite the reduced time horizon, some growth-focused investments are retained to hedge against inflation. 4️⃣ Gifting Phase In the final phase, the gifting phase, investors realize an abundance of assets beyond personal needs. At this juncture, the purpose of investments may evolve, focusing on leaving a lasting legacy or supporting charitable causes. 📊 Importance: It's like having a guide for your financial journey when you understand the investor life cycle. It assists you in choosing, depending on your comfort level with danger, between an exhilarating, high-risk ride and a more steady, smooth road. Understanding the various investment phases is essential as it influences your willingness to accept risk. It's similar to changing your game plan as you move through different stages of life, such as the exuberant early years and the more measured approach as you near retirement. Put simply, understanding the investor life cycle assists you at every stage in reaching your financial objectives and making wise decisions. By @Money_Dictators on @TradingView Platform
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by Money_Dictators
1
XAG SILVER Neowave - Elliott Wave Theory Analysis (Medium Term)Silver is forming a potential diametric structure in the medium term and the second phase of this structure has begun. The potential route I expect the price to follow is indicated in the image (with dotted lines). The wave e of the diametric structure is estimated January 15, 2024. We can say that we will be in a bear market for the next 2 months. After that, the structure will be completed with the rise of f and the fall of g. With the completion of the structure, I think we will enter a prolonged bull market. Maybe a short but sharp rise in time, or a market period spread over time... We will analyze this in the sequel. Your support is important for me, I can say it is a source of motivation. So thank you for that.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by up_neowave
3
AUDUSD: Simple Speculative SetupHi Traders! From a technical point of view, the trend is bearish so trying a bullish trade is very speculative (high risk of failure), so it should be right to try to take a long position with a small size, possibly there will be time to add new positions. Having said that, we have greatly simplified our setup on the chart, because we will look for some reversal pattern in support area before taking a long position, and if we are lucky, we may also be able to limit the stop loss before the price reaches 0.6270. If our work will be supported, we do not rule out publishing new updates. If the price triggers a new low, we will look for sell opportunities in the short term. From a Trade Management perspective, this setup has a good Risk/Reward ratio (>1:3). Trade with care Like | Share | Comment
Long
by TheAnonymousBanker
6
TRADE SETUP_LIC HOUSINGFIN_10% upsideThe stock was seen rising in march 2023 in wave 1 all the way till June 2023. The retracement to this wave came in next 1month through the month of July. Then from July till late September the stock was seen advancing up in wave 3.It spend the month of October subsequently in wave 4 corrective phase and now towards the year end, the stock is ready for wave 5 take off and can move towards 500 mark in November-December. It should be noted that since the wave 3 was shorter than wave 1 it should be presumed that wave 5 will be the shortest and therefore a modest target of 500 is projected for this stock. The stock is currently near a strong support area of 450. 440 can be used as a SL. Please note the wave counts have been studied and marked on a 3hour chart. Note*- Views expressed here are my personal observations/opinions. Always do your own analysis/research before taking up any financial position.
NSE:LICHSGFINLong
by neeraj_2_sharma
Weekly Update: Do Small Caps Still Lead the Broader Markets?We've all heard that the small capitalized publicly traded companies lead the larger cap companies, more so featured in the broader indices. A quick look back shows the Small Caps Topped in November 2021, whereas the Nasdaq and SP500 did not top till January 2022. Subsequently, the IWM bottomed in June of 2022, and it took the NDX and SPX till October of 2022 to form a bottom. So it appears we do not have to go back too far to see this phenomenon is still valid. If this price action of leading the broader markets continues to persist, then the IWM is now poised to literally "Drop like Rock". A quick observation shows the small caps are around their lows bouncing slightly for wave 2 in our primary c-wave down. You can read my prior posts on the SPX and NDX indices but it appears if you want to know if the recent bullish feeling rally in the DJIA, NDX and SP500 has sustainable legs...look no further than the IWM. Best to all, Chris
AMEX:IWMShort
by maikisch
XAUUSD LONG SCENARIOThe precious metal has gained more than 8% since Hamas attacked Israel. While the war will continue to drive haven flows toward Gold, further price gains also hinge on the Fed’s rate cycle nearing an end. This will result in retreating US yields, reducing the opportunity cost of Gold.(Source: FX Street) From Technical Aspect, XAUUSD is forming Wave C of (2), expect the price break 1986.85 as Bullish Confirmation. Kindly remember, Elliott Wave is highly subjective, i will post if there's a new update on my perspective. Trade safe, Everyone! Cheers.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by MarioSianipar_
Silver Is Trading Close To Technical "BUY" LevelSilver is trading sideways since 2021, a move that can be a corrective because of choppy and overlapping price action. Ideally, its a very big triangle in progress, currently with subwave C bottoming because of the bounce away from $21.00. Notice that rally back above 22.33 horizontal swing level is strong and impulsive, so ideally that's going to be part of a new recovery that can send metal even towards 24-25 area, but after wave B pullback that is now in progress and can find a support at 22.20-22.50 area. Also, we can see a potential HS bottom formation currently with the right shoulder playing out as a wave B.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by ew-forecast