Elliottwaveprojection
XAUUSD H-4 PROJECTIONFOCUS ON INVALIDATION LEVEL.
I expect Gold make 1 more high (1992-2005) before making reaction as Wave 2, invalidation level as barrier that Wave 1 still not finish.
Check Related Link down below for early perspective.
Elliott Wave is high subjective, i will post if there's a new update on my perspective.
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NZDUSD → A combination of signals gives a reversal potential FX:NZDUSD makes a false break of 0.6381 resistance and forms a correction within the uptrend.
The price is testing the trend support, a reversal candlestick pattern is formed on the 4H timeframe.Collectively, we have a signal on the candlestick pattern, a false breakout of trend support and a false breakout of MA-200. Consolidation is formed above the mentioned moving average.
The price is testing 0.236 Fibo and most likely this zone can serve as a starting point. If the bulls are able to keep the price above this level in the current situation, we may see growth in the medium term.
Support levels: 0.236 fibo, MA-200, trend support.
Resistance levels: 0.382 fibo, 0.6305
I expect the currency pair to strengthen after fixation above the mentioned support line. Medium-term target is 0.6305 and 0.6381.
Regards R. Linda!
PEPE Looks Clearly BullishPEPE Looks Clearly Bullish After A Completed A-B-C Correction Back In June.
After a completed A-B-C correction in mid June, we saw nice and clean five-wave bullish cycle into wave A/1 till the beginning of July. Since the beginning of July, we can now see it now finishing a three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) correction in B/2 that can find the support here around 0.*012 – 0.*010 support area before a continuation higher within higher degree wave C or maybe even wave 3 of a five-wave bullish impulse.
Commodities Are Waking Up From The SupportCommodities are waking up from the support with the help of China stocks and there's room for more upside.
Bloomberg commodity index with ticker AW made a nice three-wave (A)-(B)-(C) correction with the wedge pattern into wave (C). Unless it has alternatively unfolded a leading diagonal from the highs. Anyway, in both cases we can expect a recovery, at least for a temporary period of time.
Currently we can see it nicely breaking out of projected wedge pattern, which indicates for a bigger recovery, at least back to the starting point of the that wedge pattern near 120 area, or maybe even higher if correction is completed.
USDJPY is ready to take off!!!USDJPY on the 1H chart appears to be in subwave v of wave 3 by Elliott Wave theory. It has formed a triangle consolidation pattern, out of which sub-subwaves i and ii of subwave v seem to have completed.
Based on the impulse sequence and assuming the triangle as a running flat correction, USDJPY looks poised for a final leg higher to complete wave 3.
Upside projection for wave 3 is near 143.80. Active traders can look to buy around 141.25 to target 143.80 area. Stop loss can be placed below 140.79.
For those already short USDJPY, it is crucial to hedge by buying and aiming for break-even. The pattern suggests impending upside, hence long orders are recommended with 145.00 as the next target beyond 143.80.
EURAUD → A shake-up could provide bullish momentumFX:EURAUD in the format of local uptrend forms an interesting set-up of two false breakouts and pre-breakout consolidation after market clearing. Growth may continue.
The shakeout in May and mid-June cleared the market of a lot of crowds with their bids and increases the market maker's liquidity. A third approach to resistance and a third premise for price to break out of the range could be true.
Price is forming a sideways range of 1.654 - 1.626. Within the flat range, price is forming a pre-breakout consolidation near resistance. The euro is recovering and most likely will try to break the mentioned level.
The moving averages act as a strong support, especially MA-200, which outlines the support of the ascending channel.
Resistance levels: 1.654, upper boundary of the channel
Support levels: 1.646
I expect a resistance retest followed by a breakout. Strengthening of the currency pair may continue. Medium-term outlook 1.6786
Regards R. Linda!
NZDCHF → Activity of dynamic sellers forms a triangle FX:NZDCHF is forming a multi-month descending triangle. Globally, the currency pair is under downtrend pressure. What's going on?
Buyers are forming the limit zone at 0.5444, sellers continue to press this area since the end of April, thus a descending triangle is formed on the chart, which speaks for itself.
False breakdown of the support does not give the result and we see an attempt of another retest of the support level.
Formation of the subsequent test or pre-breakdown consolidation will form the momentum that can break the mentioned support and form a bearish impulse towards 0.5350.
But, if the buyers hold the zone, the price will head upwards. A breakout and consolidation of the price above 0.5496 will be a buy signal.
Support levels: 0.5444
Resistance levels: 0.5496
I expect the support breakout based on the technical feature of the currency pair at the moment.
Medium-term target is the support at 0.5350.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD: Technical rebound is coming?This is certainly the most important support area on daily chart (1.900/1.885), if it fails a deep bearish leg is expected. That said, if some reversal patterns form on small time frames, this could be an interesting area to try and take a long position.
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GOLD → The calm before the next surge. OANDA:XAUUSD since the opening of the session is forming a correction that may lead the price to the previously broken channel boundary, but on the high timeframe the instrument shows the prerequisites for bullish dynamics
While the dollar index is strongly losing its positions the market feels it. Gold after consolidation at resistance is forming a correction to increase liquidity. A false break of the channel support may form an impulse to the resistance of 1960 - 1963
Gold is smoothly changing the trend and a break of the bullish channel resistance confirms the market's intentions.
For us an important area for opening a long position will be the break of resistance 1960-1963. In this case the market will get the potential for another bullish rally.
Earlier a breakout of MA-50 was formed and now the price is retesting it, a rebound to 1953 is possible before further growth.
Support levels: 1953, 1950, 1946
Resistance levels: 1959.8, 1963
I expect that consolidation or correction will continue for some time, but as soon as the price starts to retest or enters the phase of pre-breakout consolidation, we should wait for a breakout of the resistance area with further growth to 1970.
Regards R. Linda!
NSE HEROMOTOCO: Are Bulls Strong Enough to Sustain Impulse?Timeframe: 30 min
Brief analysis:
HEROMOTOCO has started a five-wave impulse cycle from the low of 2745.5. Price has accomplished wave Y of wave (4) and started impulsive wave (5). Buyers will have an opportunity with a captivating risk reward to ride the trend after confirmation for the following targets: 3167 – 3210 – 3260+ .
In-depth analysis:
NSE HEROMOTOCO has formed an impulsive cycle after an extreme low. In this case, the security is trading above the 20,50, 100, and 200 EMAs, which indicates that the bulls are in control. The formation of wave two was a running flat which retraced 0.618% of wave (1) at 2795. The third wave was an extensive wave that extended 3.618% of wave 1.
Wave 4 has formed a double zigzag formation with wave W-X-Y, in which wave W was a zigzag, and wave Y is an expanding triangle. The retracement of wave (4) is 0.382 of wave 3. Currently, the price has broken out and traded above wave d, which signals that the big move is about to unfold.
Corrective structure always holds by either wave X or B-D trendline in expanding triangle. The price can take a retracement if the demand is growing with low volume. If the price breaks out at 3131, traders can initiate a long position for the following targets: 3167 – 3210 – 3260+ . The setup will be invalid after the breakdown of wave e.
Target measurements:
100% Reverse Fibonacci of the 4th wave at 3208, and 38.2% extension of wave 1 through the 3rd wave at 3212.
50% Fibonacci extension of wave 1 through 3rd wave at 3261.
Nearby high of wave B at 3167.
We will update further information soon.
GOLD → Waiting for correction after false breakout OANDA:XAUUSD is breaking uptrend resistance, which confirms a definitive trend change amid a weakening dollar. But what happens at the level of 1960?
The mentioned level forms a prolonged consolidation. The market is trying to make up its mind after the rally, but it is necessary for the market to form a correction or consolidation in a more neutral zone, for example between 1960 and 1940.
If the price forms a correction after the rally and a false break of resistance, it will form a flat with approximate boundaries: 1960 - 1940.
The correction may start when the local support 1955.5 is broken, in this case the price will head to the upper boundary of the channel or to the level of 1940.
A correction after a rally is a predictable reaction in the gold market. In the next few hours the breakout of 1960 is not worth waiting for, the price needs to replenish liquidity.
A retest of MA50 is forming, if the support is broken, the price will give an impulse downward.
Support levels: MA-50, 1955, 5
Resistance levels: 1960
I expect correction before further growth. The price is not ready to break the resistance of 1960, before that it is necessary to test the moving average.
Regards R. Linda!
SP500 Is Looking Higher By Elliott Wave TheorySP500 is looking higher for wave 5 of (5) of a five-wave bullish impulse by Elliott wave theory.
SP500 is bullish from 4100 area, an impulse that can resume even higher as the current sideways price action at 4360-4500 area appears like a corrective fourth wave, possibly a triangle or flat, but in either case more gains can be seen this month. Hidden divergence also suggests that price can be looking for a support soon. Support is at 4368, for a more complex and deeper w. 4.
GBP/USD: Bullish consolidation?From a technical point of view, trend is bullish in short term, and this structure looks like a "corrective", so the price action should be able to push the pair around the previous top. If we look at the hourly chart, small time frame pullbacks should be considered buy opportunities.
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ES Futures Primary AnalysisI'll keep this brief.
The area on the chart where purple 5 resides best counts as a 3-wave structure. Therefore, in my primary analysis, I am counting this as an irregular b wave that made a slightly higher high and now we should be heading into the 4370 area for our black c wave of 4. I have a purple alternative 5 on the chart because there is a chance of wave 5 truncation...but that is only confirmed with a breach of 4260. If my primary analysis is correct, our black wave 5 should conclude in the area of 4519-4530.
Therefore we await more price action.
Best to all,
Chris
Clean impulse on $CRCT - Wave 3 to follow
It had a clean impulse on the daily chart. Now with 61% retracement done, it would be a good idea to consider Wave 3.
Momentum Indicators are bullish on the weekly chart and it has taken a support from 40-week EMA. The candlestick is a hammer pattern as well.
Classic example of resistance turned into a support or in other words, breakout and a retest.
Morning Star Candlestick pattern on the daily chart which is a Bullish Reversal Pattern.
The setup has a Risk-Reward Ratio of more than 8 with the SL being recent low and profit level being the equality level by Elliot Wave method.
With parallel channeling, the approximate time for the trade can be expected around one month.
GOLD: ...next swing? we'll seeFrom a technical point of view, the swing is bullish on intraday chart, but at the same time, we cannot rule out a corrective structure in short term. If the market starts selling 1.934/1940 area, the first bearish leg should appear on hourly chart. Having said that, at the moment our setup is valid and we continue to follow it on daily chart:
The previously mentioned resistance area is also minimum target of our Hammer Pattern, and some traders might take some profit:
At the moment everything is still work in progress, but in the next few hours we may have some more details...
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USD/CAD: Short Term "Buy the Dip" strategy!From a technical point of view,, the FX:USDCAD pair is bearish in short term, but at the same time, we think a corrective structure "must" be triggered. With this in mind, the strategy is simple: "Buy the Dip" on the intraday chart (1H time frame).
On chart I have shown some potential targets that could be reached, but to understand which of these to look at, we need to follow the swing that will form (3 or 5 waves), so it will be necessary to follow and update this analysis (levels) along the way.
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NZDUSD: another bullish leg?From a technical point of view, another bullish leg is possible on intraday chart.
If this does not happen, it means that the structure in play is corrective (ABC Pattern).
Two potential Targets: The first is the return to the previous Top, the second around 0.6280 area. Stop with wave 1 failure.
Trade with care!
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GOLD: Short term rally continuation?To try to make sense of our analyses, let's go back to the last big picture we followed on hourly chart last week: the Harmonic .
💡 As we have shared in various updates, our bearish Target 2 could have triggered some reaction:
💡 We have also seen an interesting cluster on daily chart, with potential corrective structure completion:
💡 Another Potential Reversal Pattern we followed last week is a "Bullish Hammer":
📊 From a technical point of view, the upcoming Asian session could be our main driver in short term and the early opening hours could see the Bulls and the Bears play an important game. In conclusion, as long as these Patterns do not fail, an interesting bullish leg could appear in the short term. Harmonic Traders may also want to see their target around 38.2% Fib reached, but I hope we can go higher to confirm bullish impulse structure.
(new updates will follow in the next few hours)
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