BTCUSD | 1st ABC Correction A-wave Target ProjectionA potential bullish scenario : 1st ABC correction zigzag pattern with upcoming wave 5 of c-leg targeting 0.382 retracement of previous 5X motive wave move between 24-25K
However, wave 1 and 3 in c-leg are extended, wave 5 can be the shortest wave and truncation is still possible.
Action: A safer long entry can be placed when breakout downtrend line 2-4 or above wave 4 of c -leg, targeting the upper resistance of the bull flag.
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss!
Elliottwaveprojection
XAUUSD FORECASTI know almost all forecast on XAUUSD choose Triangle Scenario, So here's my perspective as WXY Corrective.
Elliott Wave's perspective is highly subjective, in my opinion, Invalidation Level is needed as all technical analysis is just an art of probabilities.
Safe trade, Everyone!
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Weekly Update: Stop Motion ChartsUnfortunately this week I do not have the time to do a deep dive into the ES futures...suffice to stay, if you like being entertained...go back and review my ES Chart posts over the weeks. It's like watching stop motion animation as the only that has changed on the chart is the price action.
PS: Next week I'll have more time to update my followers.
Best to all,
Chris
BNBUSDT Short (Longer term view)Here we have a longer term trade for BNBUSDT shown on the daily chart.
The Elliott Wave pattern shown in the image is an "ABC" pattern.
Blue wave (A) moves upwards and consists of 3 waves: A,B, and C (in yellow).
Blue wave (B) moves downwards and consists of 3 waves: A,B, and C (in yellow).
In accordance with the theory, wave C in an ABC must end with 5 waves, which is what we see with blue wave (C).
Blue wave (C) also formed an "ending diagonal" which usually signals that a sharp reversal is due ahead.
Entry price 1 is so that the position can be entered in case we continue down from here and is at 311.03
Entry price 2 is there in case the market pushes higher one last time before moving down and is at 347.35
Be cautious not to over allocate capital at Entry price 1, otherwise your risk:reward ratio will go down to around 1:1
Profit target 1 is at 253.77
Profit target 2 is at 235.74
As always this is not financial advice and is only intended for educational purposes
XRPUSDT LongThis is Elliott Wave Analysis that shows a potential long trade opportunity.
If Bitcoin breaks down sharply, do not take this trade, as the price will likely drop much further than shown in the image.
If the parallel trend channel holds, this could be a good trade. If you do take this, be ready to cut the trade if the market drops further than expected. It is best to not enter with a limit order, but manually enter using a market order if the market seems to hold within the green triangle buy zone shown in the image.
Entry: Between 0.4073 and 0.4000
Exit: 0.4337: profit target 1, 0.4581: profit target 2
Stop loss: 0.3792
Disclaimer: Not financial advice - intended for educational purposes only
Tesla Is Coming Into SupportTesla made nice and clean impulsive five-wave recovery from the lows that is now followed by a three-wave A-B-C correction, which from Elliott wave perspective suggests bigger recovery.
Tesla is now coming down into a support as mentioned few weeks back. Looks like wave C is now at the support, deeper one is 140. Invalidation level is at 102.
⚠️CONGESTION ON THE BITCOIN NETWORK⚠️Hello TradingView, today I'm going to share with you a little bit of my opinion about BITCOIN network congestion as well as the possible impacts on asset prices.
To begin with, some classic headlines after this weekend were:
"Bitcoin drops 3% after “congestion” and suspension of withdrawals on Binance"
But many claim that what caused all this was the Ordinals protocol, which allows the storage of NFTs on the BITCOIN blockchain.
The cryptocurrency market dawned red this Monday, still shaken by a tense weekend caused by congestion on the Bitcoin (BTC) network and the momentary suspension of withdrawals on Binance, the largest exchange in the world by trading volume.
The slowness in the Bitcoin network is attributed to the growing popularity of the Ordinals protocol, which allows storage of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) in the cryptocurrency system. The project led to “massive increases in network fees and congestion,” Hayden Hughes, co-founder of social trading platform Alpha Impact, told Bloomberg.
What are the possible impacts of congestion on Bitcoin?
The biggest impact can be felt in the pocket of those who use the network. Especially when we talk about smaller transactions, after all, to transact in the first layer of the network, fees are much more expensive, thus making lower value transactions unfeasible.
Miners will see this impact positively. That's because, in addition to receiving part of the new bitcoins issued on the market, miners also receive part of the fees paid as a form of economic incentive... And yes, for the first time thanks to congestion we observe the first block that paid more in fees to the miner than the reward itself. Fees received were 6.75BTC vs 6.25BTC reward for being mined.
Now a positive point is that the current stress test can be important to imagine a large-scale adoption of BITCOIN and this will probably make the network stronger for the next battles that will arise!
Some people also see a positive impact on prices as: The demand for, and struggle for, space can also inflate the price of bitcoin. The reason is that, since the “tip” to the validators is paid in satoshis, the smallest unit of bitcoin, and the issuance is controlled, there may be a supply shock within the network itself, which in my opinion is a little less likely because many brokerages stopped withdrawals which pushes the asset price down.
OK, Now let's go to the charts, these are my target zones the first reading and also more classic and objective would be a test on the VAH combined with a VWAP anchored from the bottom of the market, so the ranges from U$25,110 to U$23,770 are relevant points for realization of SHORTs.
Now thinking about Elliott Waves,with the chart OKX:BTCUSDT
I believe in these possibilities here.
Context 1- ABC followed by 5-3-5 combo
This first correction can evolve into this variable here, if it is a longer wave in time!
Context 2 - Flat ABC and the market should continue rising strongly unless the new impulse fails and gives rise to an X wave, thus building a WXY combo.
But my main score is this
EURAUD Is Looking For Strong ResistanceBroken multi-year trendline support suggests that the Australian dollar will be doing much better than the euro in years to come. Despite recent recovery, we just see it as a corrective rally within downtrend with nice technical multi-year resistance.
Looking at the daily chart of EURAUD currency pair, we can see a three-wave higher degree (A)-(B)-(C) corrective rally after completing the leading diagonal at 1.43 area in summer 2022. By reaching projected August 2021 resistance within a five-wave cycle for wave (C), a bearish reversal can be near, especially if we consider a bearish divergence on RSI. However, keep in mind that bearish confirmation is only below channel support line and 1.5844 level.
EW ANALYSIS EXPERIMENTI've been doing a little reading on elliott wave analysis amd after an extensive period without any publishing. i'll be running a few back tests and then i'll start publisng on a regular basis.
this is just a little little wave count i did. trend is bullish. the wave count confirms it. i wam wait for that triangle/combination pattern to retrace into the fib areas then i'll start taking long from 13202.3 if price confirms.
i'll work on improving my analysis . comments,questions and suggestions are welcome.
thank you.
MY THOUGHTS ON GBP/USDIn my analysis on the 2 HOUR CHART, price is moving BEARISHLY, forming a Barrier Triangle Ending Diagonal. Price is currently at 1.25498, I forecast that Wave A may move to price 1.23957 which is 100% of Wave A. Then to price 1.23013 which is 1.50% of Wave A. and finally to price 1.22800 which is 1.618% of Wave A. I used the Elliott Wave and Fibonnaci for my analysis. FX:GBPUSD
AAPL | Wave Analysis | potential bulltrap expanding triangleWave Analysis with price action and chart pattern trading
>A potential bulltrap scenario with fake bb line breakout with d wave of expanding triangle in major wave III.
> wave d - targeting at price rejection zone 1.0 - 1.272 fibonanci extension of wave a
> wave e - tp1 small wave a of e correction pattern possible target 1 at 0.618 retracement of wave d @ ma50w zone
> completed major wave IV correction, targeting wave e tp2 small c of e leg correction bearish scenario at 1.0- 1.272 of wave d @ ma200w to complete.
> before moving into motive wave 5 @ 1.618 fibononci length of major wave I. 210 - 220 USD zone with an estimated +60 - 70% upside.
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss!
Good Luck
HEX back to ATH for Christmas 2023? Could be!I've got a feeling...
So, my call for Hex's bottom got a bit messed up as TV decided to re-generate the chart or something. That means my previous charts won't load, but my bottom target box was hit (check the related chart), and we've seen some nice moves since then.
With Richard Heart's ETH-Fork Pulse Chain launch looking like it's just around the corner, there's a bit of a fundamental twist to my analysis. But getting back to all-time highs is just what good crypto projects do, right? Why Christmas? Well, bull markets often have a wild festive period, even if they keep climbing later on. So, I thought, 'Why not? It's got a fun vibe to it.'
Now, the waves might not play out exactly as shown, but something along those lines seems likely. I've always relied on Fibonacci extensions for targets, and they usually match up well with previous levels when you look back.
Good luck and have fun out there!
Crude Oil Is Nearing Temporary SupportWe see a drop on crude oil from 130 area as a five-wave impulse into wave A that can be coming to an end around 62 - 57 temporary support area. Current strong drop in the 4-hour chart which can be also considered as a spike into new lows, we see as a final wave (5) of A, so be aware of a corrective recovery into a higher degree wave B soon.
Federal BankHello & Welcome to this analysis
It completed an Elliott 5 waves from May 2022 lows to Jan 2023 high.
Post that Wave A till Feb 2023 lows followed by a Wave B till this week's high.
Today's reversal appears to be Wave C down that could probably take it to 115-110 where it appears to have a support based on the consolidation it has had in that area in the past.
Immediate support now at 124 while immediate resistance at 134.
American Express ($APX): Elliott Waves Analysis and Sell SetupThe American Express ($AXP) Main Trend is absolutely bullish, therefore we currently consider all descents as simple corrective structures of the trend in play. But why am I saying that? Because when you decide to take a position not following the trend, the risk is high, so logic tells us to use a smaller size, at least initially (...there's always time to increase it!). Having said that, the strategy I want to share with you is very simple: "Try to take a short position on breakout" , with stop loss above the previous swing (don't look at the levels on the chart, they are only indicative at the moment). Of course, a second option (yellow arrow) is also possible, but to do this you would need to be a little more expert. The potential target areas are the first around 119.50 and the second around 106.50 (my favorite).
Looking at the chart above (daily time frame) we can see how the potential short trade also has a good Risk/Reward ratio, and this makes this trade interesting.
I also take the opportunity to thank every Trader who supported me in the last setups on Stocks Market:
$AMAZON BULLISH SETUP
(Click and Play on Chart below)
$TESLA BEARISH SETUP
(Click and Play on Chart below)
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