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Elliottwaveprojection

Charting with Elliott Waves & Technical AnalysisUnderstanding how to do Technical Analysis of any chart based on Elliott Waves This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice. Multiple scenarios are possible in the real market, and there is a risk of being wrong. It is essential to consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred based on this analysis. Wave Rules: Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. Wave 3 is never the shortest wave. Wave 4 should not overlap with Wave 1's price territory, except in diagonal triangles. Applying Elliott Wave Theory Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool for traders, but it requires practice and a deep understanding of market psychology. By analyzing wave patterns, degrees, and Fibonacci relationships, traders can gain insights into potential market trends and make informed trading decisions. It is important to combine Elliott Wave analysis with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to enhance the accuracy and reliability of market forecasts. Elliott Wave Theory provides a comprehensive framework for understanding market cycles and predicting price movements. By mastering its principles and applying them with discipline, traders can enhance their ability to navigate the financial markets and capitalize on emerging trends. Let's understand study of this chart Elliott Wave Analysis: The chart represents the Possible Elliott Wave counts for TATA STEEL, currently indicating the completion and projection of waves within an impulsive structure. Wave Count Overview: The chart demonstrates a five-wave impulsive structure labeled as: Wave (i), Wave (ii), Wave (iii), Wave (iv), Wave (v) The blue zone highlights a previous resistance area, which is now acting as a potential support zone. The current wave structure projects wave (v) of ((v)). Invalidation Level: The nearest invalidation level for this wave count is at 155.00. A drop below this level would invalidate the current wave count. Potential Targets: The projected target for wave (v) of ((v)) is around level of 184.60 & more. This target is derived from typical characteristics of the fifth wave in Elliott Wave Theory, often extending to new highs before the completion of the impulse wave. Elliott Wave Principles and Characteristics of Wave (v): Elliott Wave Theory posits that market prices move in repetitive cycles, consisting of five waves in the direction of the main trend (impulse waves) and three corrective waves. Wave (v) in an impulse sequence is typically the final wave of the trend and often displays characteristics such as: Completing the overall five-wave pattern. Extending beyond the previous high of wave (iii). Exhibiting momentum divergences (where price makes a new high but momentum indicators do not). Sometimes driven by fundamental news or events, leading to sharp price movements. Key Levels to Watch: Current Price: 160.31 Nearest Invalidation Level: 155.00 Potential Target for Wave (v) of ((v)): 184.60 Educational Note: Students of Elliott Wave Theory are encouraged to practice drawing their own wave counts and verifying whether all subdivisions align with higher-degree wave principles. This practice will enhance your study, making it more accurate and practical. Always remember, in real markets, multiple possibilities exist, and this analysis focuses on one potential scenario. There is a risk of being completely wrong. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:TATASTEELEducation
by RK_Chaarts
10
Navigating the Waves: Piramal Enterprises Technical StudyTechnical Analysis of Piramal Enterprises (NSE: PEL) This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Overview Piramal Enterprises has shown a promising breakout with significant volume, indicating strong bullish momentum. The Elliott Wave analysis also suggests a positive structure, pointing towards potential further gains. Elliott Wave Analysis Wave 1: The stock completed its first impulse wave (1) near 1,140 INR. Wave 2: The corrective wave (2) concluded around 735.85 INR. Wave 3: The ongoing wave is expected to be an impulse wave 3, targeting higher levels. Current Structure - The stock has completed the corrective wave C of (2) and is now in the early stages of wave 3. - The recent breakout above the black trendline suggests the start of wave (i) of 3, supported by increasing volume, adding to the bullish sentiment. Key Levels - Current Price: 977.85 INR - Nearest Invalidation Level: 905.00 INR - Major Invalidation Level: 630.45 INR Targets - Elliott wave suggests ahead wave 3 first levels (1.0 Fibonacci Extension of Wave 1): 1,246.00 - Elliott wave suggests ahead wave 3 ideal level (1.618 Fibonacci Extension of Wave 1): 1,561.25 Conclusion Piramal Enterprises has provided a strong breakout backed by volume, aligning well with the Elliott Wave theory. The structure indicates a continuation of the uptrend with potential targets at 1,246 INR and 1,561.25 INR. The nearest invalidation level is at 905 INR, with a major invalidation level at 630.45 INR. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:PEL
by RK_Chaarts
SHALBY LTD's Elliott Wave AdventureSHALBY LTD Technical Analysis Hey, fellow traders! 🎉 Buckle up because SHALBY LTD is about to take us on a thrilling ride! 🚀 Elliott Wave Analysis: First, let’s break down what the Elliott Wave Theory is telling us. The stock price has been dancing to the tune of these waves quite beautifully. Wave (3): The party started with a powerful uptrend, marking the end of Wave (3) around December. The stock soared, leaving us all in awe. ABC Correction: Then came the correction phase (like a brief rain shower at a sunny beach). We saw the price dip into an ABC correction, finding support around INR 210.35, completing Wave (4). Wave 1 and 2: Recently, the stock broke out from the corrective phase, kicking off a new motive wave. The breakout from the resistance line (marked as Wave 1) was quite a spectacle! It faced a slight pullback (Wave 2), but that’s just the stock catching its breath. Trendline Breakout: Now, here’s where things get exciting! 🚀 Breakout with Volume: The price smashed through the resistance trendline like a champ, backed by strong volume – the kind that makes you sit up and take notice. This breakout suggests we’re gearing up for Wave 3 of the new cycle, which is typically the most explosive and profitable wave in Elliott Wave Theory. Current Price: As we speak, SHALBY LTD is trading at a cool INR 310.50. The price action has shown strength, indicating that the bulls are in control. Invalidation Levels: No analysis is complete without some risk management: Nearest Invalidation Level: Keep an eye on INR 264. If the price dips below this level, our bullish scenario might need a re-think. Major Invalidation Level: The ultimate line in the sand is at INR 210.35. If the stock breaks below this, it would invalidate our current wave count, and we’d need to reassess. Targets: Let’s talk potential profits – the sweet part! Short-term to Mid-term Targets: The next wave up (Wave iii) could see prices pushing past INR 340-370-380, and then might be small dip of (Wave iv) and then finally (Wave v) where the bulls really have their way, we’re looking at targets beyond INR 400! 🌟 Conclusion: So, here we are, sitting at INR 310.50 with a bullish outlook. The trendline breakout, supported by strong volume, suggests we could be in for some exciting upward moves. Keep those invalidation levels in mind and let’s ride the waves to potential new highs! I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Happy trading! 🌊📈 Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:SHALBYLong
by RK_Chaarts
2
GTPL HATHWAY LTD. Technical Outlook with Elliott wavesThe chart provided utilizes Elliott Wave Theory to analyze the price movements of GTPL HATHWAY LTD . Below is a breakdown of the wave counts and their significance: Primary Wave Count Labelled in Black Wave ((1)) in Black (Primary Degree): - This initial wave is marked from the low in March-2020 to the high Oct-2021. - It represents the first major upward movement after a prolonged downtrend, indicating a new bullish cycle. Wave ((2)) in Black (Primary Degree): - This corrective wave follows Wave ((1)), retracing a portion of the gains made in Wave ((1)). - It is marked from the high Oct-2021 to the low March-2022. - Wave ((2)) is typically characterized by a three-wave structure (ABC correction), although it appears to have a complex structure in this case. Wave ((3)) in Black (Primary Degree): - The current wave, which is expected to be the most powerful and extended wave. - It is divided into five smaller waves (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) within it, in Blue (Intermediate Degree). Intermediate and Minor Degree Waves Wave (1) of ((3)) (Intermediate Degree): - This wave is a smaller degree wave within the primary Wave ((3)). - It starts from the low of Wave ((2)) and moves up, completing its cycle around the first quarter of 2023. Wave (2) of ((3)) (Intermediate Degree): - A corrective wave within the primary Wave ((3)), following the high of Wave (1). - It retraces some of the gains made in Wave (1). Wave (3) of ((3)) (Intermediate Degree): - This wave is in progress and is expected to unfold into five smaller waves (i, ii, iii, iv, v). Subdivisions as Minor Degree in Red within Intermediate Waves Wave 1 of (3) (Minor Degree): - The first sub-wave of the intermediate Wave (3), indicating a small upward movement. Wave 2 of (3) (Minor Degree): - A corrective sub-wave following Wave 1, resulting in a minor pullback. Wave 3 of (3) (Minor Degree): - Expected to be the most extended and powerful sub-wave within the intermediate Wave (3). - This wave is likely to push the price significantly higher, followed by wave 4 & wave 5 to finish Wave (3). Bullish Scenario and Price Targets Target for Wave 3 (Primary Degree): - The projected target for Wave 3 is around the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, which is 353. Key Levels - Invalidation Level: 155 - This level serves as a crucial point. If the price drops below 155, it invalidates the current wave count and the bullish scenario for now. MACD Trend Indicator: - Already running positive in both Monthly and Daily timeframes. - Turned upside in Weekly timeframe and is on the verge of a positive crossover. Trendline Breakout: A trendline breakout has been observed on the Weekly timeframe. Moving Averages: The price has closed above the 50EMA, 100EMA, and 200EMA in both Weekly and Monthly timeframes. Bullish Divergences: Bullish divergences are aligned on both Weekly and Daily timeframes. Support and Resistance: The price is taking support at the 20SMA mid Bollinger Band in the Monthly timeframe. The stock is attempting to close above the Weekly 20 SMA, which has not been achieved yet. Conclusion The detailed wave count analysis suggests that "GTPL HATHWAY LTD" is currently in the early stages of a primary Wave 3, which is typically the strongest and most extended wave in Elliott Wave Theory. The intermediate and minor degree waves within this primary wave indicate a structured and progressive upward movement, supported by various technical indicators. The primary target is set at 353, with an invalidation level at 155. If the price breaks below the invalidation level of 155, it indicates that we are still in Wave (2) of the Blue Intermediate Degree. Consequently, we would need to wait for the start of Wave 1 of (3). In this scenario, the new invalidation level would be 93.75. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:GTPLLong
by RK_Chaarts
6
EURNZD Elliott Wave Analysis: Bearish momentumHello traders, Trust you are good. Please find below my Elliott wave analysis of EURNZD. You can refer to this chart to understand the underlining story. Following significant bearish pressure through an impulsive wave representing wave (A) of wave Y, the price corrected upward from 1.73935 to 1.76526. This corrective wave typically retraces between 38.20% and 61.80% of the previous wave length. The emergence of reversal signals around the 1.76500 price region after this upward correction suggests renewed bearish momentum, aligning with the anticipated wave (C) of Y. This bearish outlook is further reinforced by the presence of a bearish butterfly pattern. The target levels are set at 1.74854, 1.74296, and 1.74020. Cheers and happy trading.
Short
by Samuel124
Polyplex Corp: Analyzing Wave (5) Projection and SupportTechnical Analysis of Polyplex Corporation Ltd. Elliott Wave Counts and Structure The chart illustrates a possible Elliott Wave count on a weekly time frame, identifying key waves and corrective patterns. Here’s a detailed breakdown: 1. Primary Wave Structure: - The chart shows an unfolding five-wave impulsive structure, with Waves (1) through (4) completed, indicating a bullish phase followed by corrective waves. - Wave (1) is observed in November 2010, and Wave (2) is identified around September 2013. - Wave (3) peaks significantly higher than Wave (1), indicating a strong bullish phase, and completes near April 2022. - Waves 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 within Wave (3) are clearly marked, showing the internal structure of this impulsive wave. 2. Corrective Waves: - After the peak of Wave (3), the chart illustrates a complex corrective pattern labeled as W-X-Y-X-Z. - This correction appears to end at Wave (4), indicating the start of a new potential impulsive wave (Wave (5)). - The corrective waves show significant price declines, characteristic of Elliott Wave corrections. 3. Current Scenario and Target: - The current price action suggests the initiation of Wave (5). - The target for Wave (5) is projected to be above the high of Wave (3), which is near 2880 INR. - An upward arrow indicates the bullish outlook, projecting the price towards this target level. 4. Invalidation Level: - An invalidation level is marked at 751. If the price falls below this level, the current Elliott Wave count and bullish scenario would be invalidated. - This level acts as a critical support, below which the wave count may need to be re-evaluated. Summary and Considerations - Bullish Outlook: The primary analysis suggests a bullish wave (Wave (5)) is underway, targeting levels above the previous high of 2880. - Key Support: The invalidation level at 751 is crucial for maintaining the bullish scenario. - Risks: As noted in the disclaimer, Elliott Wave Theory involves multiple possibilities and inherent risks. It's important to consider this analysis as one potential scenario. Investors and traders should consult with financial advisors and consider broader market conditions, as well as other technical indicators, before making investment decisions based on this analysis. This analysis provides an educational perspective on using Elliott Wave Theory for Polyplex Corporation Ltd. and highlights the importance of monitoring critical price levels to validate the wave counts. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:POLYPLEXLong
by RK_Chaarts
4
Wave (3) Awakening: Shri Jagdamba Polymers Ltd. AnalysisOverview: Shri Jagdamba Polymers Ltd. has completed Wave (1) and Wave (2) in blue of Intermediate degree on the weekly chart. The stock now appears to be starting Wave (3) in blue, which should unfold into five subdivisions as Wave 1-2-3-4-5 in red of Minor degree . Currently, Wave 1 in red has finished its subdivisions as Wave ((i)) and Wave ((ii)) in black of Minute degree . Now, Wave ((iii)) in black of Wave 1 in red seems to be starting, indicating a bullish outlook. Wave (3) Characteristics: - Strong Impulse: Wave (3) is typically the most powerful and extended wave, characterized by strong upward momentum. - Fibonacci Extension Target: If Wave (3) in blue reaches 161.8% of Wave (1)-(2) , the price target can be approximately 3300 . - Subdivisions: Wave (3) subdivides into five smaller waves (1-2-3-4-5 in red of Minor degree), with each smaller wave further subdividing (e.g., Wave 1 in red subdivides into ((i)), ((ii)), ((iii)), ((iv)), ((v)) in black of Minute degree). Current Technical Setup: - Current Price: Observing the price action. - Key Levels: - Invalidation Level: 450 (marked as the low of Wave (2) ) - Fibonacci Extension Target: 3300 Technical Indicators: - Wave ((iii)) Starting: The initiation of Wave ((iii)) in black of Wave 1 in red signals potential strong bullish momentum. - Bullish Outlook: The completion of preliminary waves ((i)) and ((ii)) in black suggests that a significant upward move is likely ahead. Risk-Reward Analysis: - Risk: Low risk with the stop-loss set at 450 . - Reward: High potential reward with a target of 3300 . - Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable due to the substantial upside potential and defined risk level. - View: Long term Investment pick. Trading Strategy: - Consider entering a position as Wave ((iii)) in black of Wave 1 in red unfolds, with a stop-loss at 450 . - Monitor for further confirmation of upward movement and add to positions as Wave ((iii)) progresses. Conclusion: Shri Jagdamba Polymers Ltd. is poised to start Wave (3) in blue of Intermediate degree , characterized by strong bullish momentum. The current setup indicates the start of Wave ((iii)) in black of Wave 1 in red, offering a compelling risk-reward opportunity. Monitoring the progress of these waves and the overall price action will be crucial for optimizing entry and exit points. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BSE:SHRJAGPLong
by RK_Chaarts
4
Spy continues to near its target of 570 before U.S. electionsWith the dollar trending down and the VIX at low levels, we can then continue to expect the U.S. stock market to continue to rise. And, in fact, that is what we are witnessing as we close in on the blow-off top target of the Elliot Wave theory that has resonated with my instincts for these last 2 and a half years. We are currently in wave 5 and on our way to the target I have set of SPY 570-600. There is still time and I believe we will easily get there before U.S. election shenanigans begin to unfold (see my post on the VIX). Once you start to catch wind of anomalous election news events here in the U.S., know that we are near our top. For me, it will be time to pull out.
AMEX:SPYLong
by stewdamus
Solana at a Pivotal AreaWith respect to Solana I'll say two things. First, and probably in jest, I had no idea Venezuela was important to crypto mining. lol. (reference to the news why crypto rallied yesterday). Second, I am still awaiting signs that price has the intention to follow the purple alternative path. The attached Daily chart shows there is a full count to the upside complete with alternating 2's and 4's. Granted this does not preclude price from subdividing in a manner that extends the previous trend, but in those cases, we should see clear evidence of such. As of this morning, CLEAR, would not be a word I would use to describe the current pattern. C-wave is, however the label I would so far characterise as this current pattern. However, if price can rally into the $194 area, and hold the $179 area on any retrace, and then rally for OMH towards the recent highs I can become open to price moving higher. In lieu of that sort of price action playing out I await clues that price is completing it's minor B wave.
BINANCE:SOLUSD
by maikisch
3
Bitcoin - The ATH is STILL COMING ! Here's Why👉📉 BTC-USDT with Elliot Wave Theory Analysis 📈 I've been advocating for Elliot Wave patterns this cycle since I spotted similar fractals across crypto charts. I've been following fractals on SOL, DOGE and BTC - and they have all been extremely reliable thus far. As I've discussed in previous posts, BTC normally stops at a -30% correction. That will put us HERE exactly: The good news about this, is that wen the corrective wave (Wave 3-4) is over, we can expect the final impulse wave up (Wave 4-5). We may yet still see another ATH in the near future! Remember that correction waves also consists out of smaller corrective ABC waves, as seen in the next chart. According to Elliot Wave Theory Math, our next target should be the FINAL ATH : _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
12
Nvidia Retracement Outside of the Standard Target BoxNvidia has moved higher outside of the standard retracements expected. Due to the overlap we could be either dealing with a double zig zag for minor B which is common, or this is a series of nested 1-2's in the purple count. If this develops into the purple count, this will sub-divide towards the $1,100 region. As of this morning I am expecting in the minimum a micro iv and v to complete Minor B. That also puts price in a position to potentially challenge the previous ATH and remain a corrective retrace...that will result in price revisiting the $760 area minimum in a flat for an extended ALT wave 4 in purple. Best to all, Chris
NASDAQ:NVDA
by maikisch
Predicting Bitcoin's Cycle Using the Elliott Wave TheoryGreetings, fellow traders. In this article, we'll be reassessing our annual Elliott Wave counts and going deeper into interpreting Bitcoin's current decade cycle. I'll make sure to segment each part by drawing insights from the previous cycles, also employing the Elliott Wave Theory, and integrating major timeline events to bolster my perspective on Bitcoin's potential trajectory in the upcoming cycle. The wave theory will help neutralize many of the irrational thoughts that other analysts may have that just show straight arrows to the upside. This thesis helps you get a better understanding of where pullbacks and areas of high strength (wave 3 impulses) may occur. Remember, the wave theory will never be perfect in painting the picture, but it will help you be positioned as best as possible with proper invalidation levels. One of the most significant phenomena witnessed in the current financial market landscape is Bitcoin's adherence to a notably algorithmic parabolic trend, where cycles persist in a compounded manner in terms of percentages. This raises the crucial question: "Can we expect all past cycles to mirror the current one?" Answering this is very challenging. However, Bitcoin has one of the strongest strengths against all other coins, which is price history. Fundamentals attached, Bitcoin has been extremely resilient against major events (with wild swings), but the overall trend has remained in tact for over a decade. This indicates not only strength, but true adoption. We must discern whether the price action will evolve into something new or continue the pattern of echoing past cycles (fractals). The most effective method for interpreting Bitcoin's price movements is through the logarithmic chart that is presented in the chart above. When examining past cycles through the lens of only fractals (as that is how it has been for the past decade), the most effective approach to understanding the present cycle is by conceptualizing it as a sequence of nested '1-2' counts. In simpler terms, experiencing a succession of 1-2/1-2/1-2 patterns might lead to either optimistic expectations or impending disappointment. This ambiguity prompts consideration of an alternative bearish perspective, elaborated upon subsequently. Keep in mind, there's always room for firsts, meaning that the failure of the fractal pattern is always a possibility. Again, this idea is further explained in the bearish alternative explanation below. Bearish Alternative: For a more rational approach, the Elliott Wave Theory also suggests alternative pathways. One narrowed down scenario would be that the cycle has now matured, suggesting for a more maturing market with more complexity in corrective types (patterns). The logarithmic chart may indicate a deceleration in the macro timeframe, suggesting that Bitcoin is currently in a maturity phase. Its role as a store of value to say the least. To simply put, the corrections will be far more controlled as investors create larger distribution patterns through the timeline and create demand/sell zones. Price maturity, a concept commonly observed in stock models, implies that markets do not move linearly and eventually reach an endpoint, including in price action. Utilizing the Elliott Wave Theory, we can generate one alternative count that shows the whole cycle is now possibly in a larger 1-2 of some sort: 1. The fact that we have a possible WXYXZ corrective pattern for the 2021-2023 bear market, this may indicate this is part of something larger. Usually, you will see wave 2's have a simple ABC/WXY type patterns. 2. This speculation can then lead us to believe that we could be part of a larger corrective pattern, most likely as a flat pattern now. 3. Consequently, this insight aids in forecasting that we are entering into the new phase of 'market maturity,' or what I like to term as the "flattening of the curve theory." We could debate endlessly about the next bear market for Bitcoin, but the undeniable truth is that over the past 15 years, the market has proven its resilience against political turmoil, hacking attempts, and regulatory crackdowns. It's remarkable to realize that aside from halvings, forks, and institutional adoption, there haven't been any significant bullish events/catalysts. This speaks volumes about Bitcoin's strength. There wasn't any single groundbreaking moment or major catalyst for each bull run. Instead, it was a series of interconnected events that sustained that momentum, leaving it to us as investors to identify distribution points.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by XForceGlobal
30