PAYTM to half from currentlevels even after dropping 40% in2daysPAYTM is currently falling in Bearish "C" wave and the target for the same is projected around INR225-240 zone.
The fall after its listing was an bearish impulse labeled as "A" and the entire 2022-2023 move can be labelled as a counter trend bounce labelled as "B".
We can witness another 50% drop from current levels with or without any counter trend bounces on the way down.
Elliottwaveprojection
Part 1 - EUR/USD: Monthly Examination Utilizing Varied Approach
Price action Breakdown Analysis:
It is the EURUSD monthly timeframe, and it shows a downtrend for more than 15 years. The price has settled in a downward value area.
Elements of price action Breakdown:
Excess:
There are nine price excesses, four on the upper band and five on the lower band. It shows that the sellers were too aggressive when the price touched the upper band of the channel in comparison with the lower band at buyers. Buyers/Bulls tries makes the initiative to breakout the structure but end up when another party finds the price convenient for them.
Control line:
The control line represents the gravitational force to the price. The price can’t stay away until it breaks the range. There are twelve touches on the control line, and few are mentioned on the chart.
No Trading Activity Zone:
No trading activity is the zone where one party, either bull or bear, takes control and outnumbers the other. There are a total of 14 no-trading activities zone. Both of the participants have seen each other.
Sub-value area:
A rectangle sub-value area has taken place from March 2015 till now. An excess became a great place to buy the move, yet the upper band of the sub-value area provides strong resistance. The control line of this value area at 1.1480 is sharp enough to act as a pivot level. It could be a resistance to the current price.
Trend Justification:
Justification for the current market trend and the behavior of bulls and bears can be derived from four prominent lines on the chart.
Line 1, the lengthiest on the chart, connects the points from 1.5760 to the latest high at 1.2555 . This line also intersects with the second line, indicating that a breakout in one line would likely trigger a simultaneous breakout in both lines.
Line 2 stands out as the most robust resistance line, evidenced by the price experiencing significant declines on more than three occasions upon reaching this line. Therefore, the continuation of the uptrend appears contingent upon a successful breakout above resistance line 2.
Line 3 , marked at 1.23427 , serves as a horizontal resistance line. This line has played a crucial role, offering three supports and encountering two resistances. A substantial upward movement could potentially alter the overall trend post-breakout, given that it represents a lower high in the downward trend.
Line 4 represents a support level in close proximity to the current price, suggesting a potential stabilizing factor for the market at its current position.
Elliott Wave Projection:
According to Elliott wave analysis, the price has been undergoing a W-X-Y-X-Z formation, specifically identified as a triple zigzag, over a span of 15 years. The sequence involves the completion of wave (X) and the initiation of a downward impulsive wave denoted as (Z).
The Wave Formation unfolds as follows:
Wave (W): A flat correction pattern characterizes the formation of Wave (W).
Wave (X-1): Wave (X) takes shape in a standard zigzag formation, retracing 78.6% of Wave (W).
Wave (Y): This phase sees the construction of a zigzag pattern within Wave (Y), extended 1.618% of Wave (W)
Wave (X-2): Wave (X) materializes as an expanding triangle, retracing 50% of Wave (Y).
Wave (Z): The ongoing Wave (Z) is currently in progress, appearing to form sub-wave C. Notably, Wave (Z) has extended to 78.6% of Wave (Y).
For Bulls traders, a prudent entry point is identified as the breakout of Wave (X) at the level of 1.2349 . No risky trader should initiate Long position until it breaks out Line 1 & Line 2. Wave (Y) = Wave (Z) at 0.8838. So, After the accomplishment of sub-wave B of wave (Z), traders can sell for final wave C of wave (Z).
Different pattern Formation:
Traders can see the following patterns on the monthly charts:
1. Wamine pattern
2. Contracting Triangle
3. Wave Diagonal
4. Expanding Triangle
5. ABCD Pattern
6. Moolahs pattern
We will Update Further information on weekly & Daily time frame soon.
$UBER COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS Elliot wave analysis indicates that NYSE:UBER is currently in wave 3, Following a rebound from the 0.764 extension, it becomes evident that Uber is poised to advance towards the 1.618 extension, with the potential for further extension beyond, considering the substantial duration of the initial wave.
B FAILURE RUNING FLAT : ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS [ELLIOTT BABA]B FAILURE RUNING FLAT : ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS
RUNNING FLAT :
• A corrective 3 waves move labelled as ABC
• Subdivision of wave A and B is in 3 waves
• Subdivision of wave C is in 5 waves impulse / diagonal
• Subdivision of wave A and B can be in any corrective 3 waves structure including zigzag, flat, double three, triple three
• Wave B of the 3-3-5 pattern terminates beyond the starting level of wave A
• Wave C fails travel the full distance, falling short of the level where wave A ended
Fibonacci Ratio Relationship
• Wave B = 123.6%-138% of wave A
• Wave C must be 38% of wave A
EXPENDED FLAT : ELLIOTT WAVE CORRECTIONEXPANDED FLAT CORRECTION
2- EXPANDING FLAT :
• A corrective 3 waves move labelled as ABC
• Subdivision of wave A and B is in 3 waves
• Subdivision of wave C is in 5 waves impulse / diagonal
• Subdivision of wave A and B can be in any corrective 3 waves structure including zigzag, flat, double three, triple three
• Wave B of the 3-3-5 pattern terminates beyond the starting level of wave A
• Wave C ends substantially beyond the ending level of wave A
Fibonacci Ratio Relationship
• Wave B = 123.6% of wave A
• Wave C = 123.6% – 161.8% of wave AB
GBPUSD Points Higher After A ConsolidationCable has seen some nice recovery at the end of 2023; move that is looking impulsive so more gains can be seen after the corrective retracement that is now underway. Ideally, that's wave four correction, a higher degree pullback that can sooner or later send prices back to the highs, possibly already now after first support for a triangle near 1.26 held, but we still need broken upper triangle line near 1.2750 to make sure that fifth wave up is in play for 1.29-1.3 Deeper support is at 1.25 if 1.26 flor is broken.
BITCOIN on its journey towards $100K.The crypto after having witnessed a 77% crash between Nov.2021 and Nov 2022.,started on its recovery path.
The structure i can best label the crypto would be a 1-2-i-ii at this moment from the 2022 bottom(a pessimist analyst will label it as ABC) .
From here on the journey according me is only towards new highs. Wave iii of 3 comes at roughly the previous ATH and after surpassing it the journey should still continue towards 100K mark(approx.)
French Index to rally 8% in wave iii The CAC40 has begun its up journey in what is being labeled currently as wave iii of WAVE 3.
This particular sub-dividing leg is projected moving towards EUR8100-8150 zone.
The final projected target zone for the bigger wave 3 however comes in at a much higher level of EUR 8750.
$W ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS This analysis reflects my perspective on NYSE:W through the lens of Elliott Wave theory. I acknowledge the potential for error and welcome any feedback or alternative viewpoints.
Based on my analysis, it appears that NYSE:W has completed its corrective phase and is now poised for a robust bullish trajectory, forming a leading diagonal pattern. Both wave 4 and its sub wave B seem to have concluded, leaving only sub wave C and wave 5 remaining for completion. I anticipate wave 5 reaching approximately the 0.764 extension before undergoing a corrective phase in line with wave 3.
$DAL ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS This analysis reflects my perspective on NYSE:DAL through the lens of Elliott Wave theory. I acknowledge the potential for error and welcome any feedback or alternative viewpoints.
Please note that the unfulfilled waves are provided for contextual reference and do not indicate precise targets. Based on my assessment, it appears that NYSE:DAL is currently in wave 3, suggesting strong bullish sentiment for the foreseeable future.
Dow JonesMain analysis on #DowJones US30 is this. We hit a ST top soon around 38,500-39,000.
Then we retest the 2021 high breakout before running straight parabolic all gas no breaks bears slaughtered all the way up to 44,150.
Then major 4th can hit. So Just be warned now. Once 36,400 flips into support there will be 0 rest for bears. It will be explosive and relentless. Like Toyota Supra filled with Nitrogen and twin turbo engine running at peak performance level.
And BigMike & BigMikes team will be Bulls, laughing all the way to the f**king bank. FYI 😉
$BABA COORECTED ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS In my Elliott Wave analysis of BABA, I've observed a corrective pattern since its inception, with the peak occurring during the 2020 bull market. The correction seemed to have ended when BABA hit bottom in 2022. Following this, it appeared to start a new upward wave (wave 1), followed by a corrective phase (wave 2), which now seems to be complete. It's important to note that the placement of the other waves is solely for identification purposes and does not indicate any specific targets. This suggests that BABA could be gearing up for a bullish wave 3, making it quite promising for the long term.
$BABA COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS Based on my Elliot Wave analysis of NYSE:BABA , it appears that the stock has been following a corrective pattern since its inception, with the peak occurring during the 2020 bull run. Since then, it has been in wave B, currently progressing into subwave C of wave B. The trend is strongly bearish, indicating a downtrend.
I anticipate wave B to conclude around $18.90, although this is an estimation derived from Fibonacci ratios and could potentially fluctuate between $58.01 and $18.90. However, considering the length of sub wave A, the likelihood leans towards the $18.90 mark.
Berger paints to continue on the red streak!The stock seems to have fallen in an bearish impulsive wave between Sep-Oct 2023.
After this very fall the stock was in a complex triple three correction for almost 3 months.
The impulsive fall has been labeled as wave "A" and the stock has already begun the Wave "B" fall in the month of Jan.2024.
Wave "B" is projected going towards the INR 480 area.
580 will stand as a crucial resistance for the stock on the upside.
CHAINLINK ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS Navigating this chart poses quite a challenge given the intricacies of the candlestick formations. Despite this complexity, I've endeavored to apply my understanding of Elliott Wave Theory to analyze and potentially forecast future movements. However, I acknowledge the possibility of error, whether it's due to miscounting waves or other factors. I welcome alternative perspectives and suggestions.
Upon studying the chart, it appears that CHAINLINK has been undergoing a corrective ABC wave pattern since its inception, reaching a peak in 2021 before embarking on a corrective phase. The analysis becomes particularly nuanced due to nearly a year of consolidation, forming a triangle pattern likely indicative of the final wave C within its correction. If my interpretation is accurate, CHAINLINK has recently completed wave 1 and is poised for a correction with wave 2. This correction may target the 0.764 extension level or potentially fall below it. At present, the short-term trend appears bearish while the long-term outlook leans bullish.
JKLAKSHMI can rise 25-30% from current levelsThis cement stock can be expected to move towards INR 1190 levels in wave iii of III.
The stock has been maintaining its impulsive counts without much violations and is in very bullish structure.
The stock was seen rising in a wave i of I from Sep-Dec 2023.
Wave ii was a very shallow "FLAT"(labeled ABC) achieving a mere 23.6% retracement of the impulse, which is a sign of strength.
The stock gained 5% on Thursday's session along with a 2month range breakout of price as well as a volume breakout. These signs add to the healthy uptrend continuing for the coming months as well in this stock making it a great pick in the cement space.
On the down 880 will be a crucial support to rely upon.
BTC ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSISIn my evaluation of BTC using Elliott Wave analysis, I've observed that following its peak in 2021, BTC underwent a significant correction on a larger timeframe. This correction could manifest as either a flat corrective pattern or an extended wave B. Presently, we find ourselves within sub wave C of the overarching wave B, specifically in wave 4 of sub wave C.
While I remain uncertain whether wave 4 has concluded, I anticipate its completion by the next week. If the market exhibits an upward movement during this period, it will signify the conclusion of wave 4, paving the way for the initiation of wave 5 targeting the ATH (All-Time High). I welcome and am open to any opinions or suggestions for refining this analysis.
NVidia looking toppishNVIDIA seems to be near the completion of its wave 3.
In log scale, we can easily see 5 waves completed forming the inside of wave 3.
In the log scale chart we are also at the resistance area of the line linking the tops.
A pullback, possibly all the way down to $400, would be imaginable for a wave 4.
We are seeing negative divergence on the RSI-21 week which adds a bit of confidence to this call.
New highs in the short term would possibly means that the stock is making extension and going further into its parabolic move.
A Possible Elliott Wave 5 To New All Time Highs This is just a quick and dirty take on the MNQ1! which could be the possible beginning of a wave 5 to new all time highs.
Currently breaking out of bearish channel, which could be seen as a wave 4.
Fibs and fib projections for wave 1-4 all seem to fit.
Nvidia Continues on it's impulsive move towards completionNvidia is trading just shy of it's 1.382% Fib extension level at $609 where we would normally see a wave 3 terminate in the premarket. If price has designs to extend, it will more than likely do so in a wave 3. It will be interesting to see how this coincides with the broader SPX cash and futures market, which appears to be in the exact same scenario.
The apparent way Nvidia is subdividing and where it is in the overall count continues to cause me to suspect this entire pattern could complete around earnings time. If this was to align properly, that would mean that earnings will be used as a sell event. Something to keep in mind.
Navigating ABCAPITAL's Elliott Wave JourneyWeekly Time Frame:
Elliott Wave Analysis: ABCAPITAL has completed wave (4) in Blue on the weekly time frame and is possibly unfolding wave (5) in Blue.
Current Stage: A closer look at the daily time frame reveals the completion of wave 1 in Red, and a potential near-completion of wave 2 in Red.
Invalidation Level: Strict invalidation set at the low of wave 1 in Red, pegged at 155.
Daily Time Frame:
Next Phases: Anticipating the commencement of wave 3, followed by wave 4 and wave 5 in Red, completing wave (5) in Blue on the weekly.
What if Scenario:
Break Below 155: If the price breaks below 155, the low of wave 1 in Red, we might assume a more complex correction with the possibility of double corrections within wave (4) on the weekly.
Risk Management:
Traders are advised to incorporate risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses.
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My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
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Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
$NVDA COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSISI have identified all the wave counts visible on the weekly chart, and while they make sense to me, I acknowledge the possibility of errors, given my relatively new exposure to Elliott Wave analysis. It's evident that we are currently within wave B in the overarching wave count. Anticipating an elongated wave B due to various sub waves, my expectation is for wave B to reach the designated green pivot area before completing wave C well below the 2022 low.