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Elliottwaveretracement

Oil Corrective Structure Wave Analysis Buy/SellIf you look at my analysis from November 25th which is linked below you can see that I forecasted a big sell off in Oil. The sell off I was anticipating have began, now I am looking for the trend to continue to the downside. Before that happen I will not be surprised to see a bigger corrective structure to form which may retest resistance around 57.19. It may not get that high but I am looking for another push up to set up another potential sell off. Also watch the trend line to act as support.
FX_IDC:USDWTIShort
by JjohnsonBeGreat
S&P500: to impulse or to not impulse that is the question!Two weeks ago I shared my view on the TVC:SPX in that it was either following a standard impulse patterns higher or it was following an ending diagonal pattern. I mentioned back then " The first sees (grey) minute-iii complete soon then wave-iv (orange target zone) and then wave-v to complete (green) minor-3 ." Ideally I would have liked to see wave-iv reach TVC:SPX 3075-3040, but all we got was 3091 though this pullback materialized indeed "soon" as the low was in three days after my update was posted... So, the pullback was right on cue, but shallower then anticipated. It happens, as it's impossible to get it right all the time, and note the TVC:SPX is now already trading at the same level as two weeks ago: 3115... In addition, because the pullback was so shallow the subsequent rally fell also short as an ~100p rally would have been ideal but "all we got" was ~65p. This is common, as it means too many buyers jumped in at these higher levels, causing buyers exhaustion (i.e. when everybody has bought/is long, all that's left to do is to sell/go short). So, although the jury is still out there on which of the two larger patterns is evolving, we now know the market did five waves (grey, minute-i,ii,iii,iv,v) up off the October 3 TVC:SPX 2855.94 low, completing (green) minor-3/c. The 3 is for the impulse, the c label is for the diagonal. So the Bulls want to see the green "alt: 4" complete at ideally TVC:SPX 3042: the 100% retrace as in a standard impulse pattern wave-3 often reaches the 161.80% Fib-extension of wave-1, measured from wave-2, and then wave-4 should drop down to the 100% Fib-extension before wave-5 does (ideally) a nice 5=1 extension to the 200% Fib-extension. The latter is in this case at TVC:SPX 3229. So, last night the Futures market reached TVC:SPX 3158, which is exactly the 1.618x extension and started today's decline. A BINGO for the standard impulse pattern so far. This patterns is exemplified by the orange arrows. Ultimately, price will need to move and close below last week's low at TVC:SPX 3091, to confirm wave-3/c has completed, but the daily charts look weak, market breadth is negative, and sentiment readings have been frothy for weeks, so all suggest this should be accomplished over the next few days. The alternate is that we thus only saw three (green) minor waves up and that completed (red) intermediate wave-c of the diagonal, and wave-d is now underway. Note, I label the diagonal in letters to distinguish it from the impulse. Price will have to move and close below TVC:SPX 3040 and especially below 3022 to tell us the diagonal pattern is in play. Thus there's still some ways to go... If that happens, then the current decline will be labeled as red wave-d and it should drop to ideally TVC:SPX 3005+/-15. Now that still means there will be at a minimum a wave-e to complete (black) major wave-3 at around TVC:SPX 3200, followed by another wave-4 and 5 (grey arrows). Thus, the current decline is one way or another still a great buying opportunity, and we'll just have to monitor the price action carefully to better determine when and where this musical dance of chairs ends. Trade Safe!
SP:SPXShort
by intelligent_investing
3
Elliott Wave View: SP) Looking to Break to All Time HighS&P 500 (SPX) has been sideways since January 2018 and it’s also sideways more recently since July 26 high. After forming peak at January 22, 2018 at 2872, the Index managed to make two more marginal highs. However, each time, the new marginal high lose the momentum and pullback again. Current short term outlook suggests the rally to 3022 ended wave (1) and the decline to 2855.6 ended wave (2). In this proposed count, the Index should then be in wave (3) as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 2855,64, wave 1 should end soon as 5 waves in lesser degree. Wave ((i)) ended at 2959.75 and wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 2892.66. Index then resumed higher in wave ((iii)) towards 3003.28 and wave ((iv)) pullback ended at 2985.20. Expect Index to end wave ((v)) of 1 soon, then it should pullback in wave 2 to correct cycle from October 3 low (2855.64) before the rally resumes. The Index still needs to break above wave (1) at 3022 to validate this bullish view. As far as pivot at 2855.64 low stays intact in the dips, expect Index to extend higher.
SP:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave View: BAC Starts the Next Leg HigherBank of America (ticker: BAC) shows an Elliott Wave bullish sequence from August 15, 2019 low, favoring further upside. The decline to 27.19 ended wave (2) and the stock has resumed higher in wave (3). The internal of wave (3) is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure where wave 1 of (3) is expected to complete soon. Up from 27.19 low, wave ((i)) ended at 28.62, wave ((ii)) ended at 27.46, and wave ((iii)) ended at 30.72. Expect the stock to pullback in wave ((iv)) and turns higher 1 more time in wave ((v)). The 5 waves move higher should end wave 1 of (3). The stock should then pullback in wave 2 to correct cycle from October 3 low (27.19) before the rally resumes again. We don’t like selling the proposed pullback as it’s against the direction of right side tag. As far as pivot at 27.19 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside. Potential target to the upside is 100% Fibonacci extension from August 15, 2019 low towards $31.2 – $32.2.
NYSE:BACLong
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei Buyers in ControlNikkei shows Elliott Wave bullish sequence from December 26, 2018 low and August 26, 2019 low. This suggests that buyers are in control and favors further upside in the Index. The pullback to 21079 ended wave ((2)) and the Index has resumed higher in wave ((3)). Internal subdivision of wave ((3)) takes the form of a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Wave (1) of ((3)) is currently in progress as a leading diagonal. Up from 21079, wave 1 ended at 21650, wave 2 ended at 21325, wave 3 ended at 22265, and wave 4 ended at 21905. Expect Index to soon complete wave 5 of (1). Afterwards, Index should pullback in wave (2) to correct the cycle from October 3 low before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling the Index and expect buyers to appear in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 21079 low stays intact.
CME:NKD1!Long
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave View: Bullish Sequence in DAXDAX shows Elliott Wave bullish sequence from August 15, 2019 low (11266.48) favoring more upside. The rally from 11266.48 to 12497.28 ended wave (1) as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. On the chart below, we can see wave 3 of (1) ended at 12471.83, wave 4 of (1) ended at 12141.82, and wave 5 of (1) ended at 12497.28. Index then pullback in wave (2) and ended the correction at 11877.32. Index has resumed higher and broken above wave (1) at 12497.28, signalling the next move higher has started. Up from 11877.32, wave ((i)) ended at 12097.43 and wave ((ii)) ended at 11933.02. Expect Index to see a few more highs before ending wave 1 of (3) a 5 waves from 11877.32. Index should then pullback in wave 2 to correct cycle from October 4 low (11877.32) in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the rally resumes. We don't like selling the Index.
TVC:DEU40Long
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave Patterns & Fibonacci Relationships Reference GuideElliott Wave Theory attempts to identify recurring price movements within financial markets and to classify them into a set of meaningful patterns, which can become a reliable tool for future price predictions. The underlying principle is that price-action unfolds via an endless alternation between trending and corrective cycles, while producing this effect on any relative timescale (Fractality) . Elliott Wave (EW) price patterns are divided into  motive waves   (i.e. price movements that initiate progress in one direction and therefore create trend) and  corrective waves   (i.e. price movements that are reactionary in relation to the previous trend-setting move) . Corrective waves essentially attempt to revert or undo the movement that was initiated by the preceding motive wave. How to use this guide This EW reference guide provides an idealized drawing for each EW pattern, including a visualization of the most important internal wave size relationships. The images highlight the most common wave retracement and extension targets in red, followed by the next most common targets in orange, followed by the least common targets in grey. Important Concepts To Remember Before Applying EW Counts Wave Degrees Elliott Waves are labeled in different degrees that are nested within each other due to the fractal nature of price movements. Please refer to your Elliott Wave drawing software for the appropriate names and symbols used for each officially defined degree. Alternatively, you may simply label different degrees with different-colored labels on your chart. Alternation   (“expect a difference in the next expression of a similar pattern”) : EW patterns have the tendency to create alternation within them. This is reflective of nature’s general propensity towards dynamic balance. Following is a list of the main occurrences of alternation: Alternation of corrective waves: If wave 2 is sharp (i.e. zigzag or extended zigzag) and deep (i.e. deep in the sense of how much it retraces the preceding wave 1), then wave 4 will most likely going to be sideways (flat, combination, or triangle) and shallow relative to wave 3. The same applies in reverse but is less common. This is because triangles (which only appear during wave 4 inside a motive wave) are considered to be alternating to all other corrective patterns. That means even if wave 2 is a shallow sideways correction, a triangle can still appear in wave 4, but it is less likely. Alternation also occurs in terms of wave complexity. If a potential bigger complex correction starts out simple at first, then expect complexity to increase during the following parts of the correction (i.e. simple-complex-most complex). The reverse can also apply (i.e. most complex-complex simple) but it is more rare. Alternation of motive waves : If wave 1 is short, then wave 3 is likely to be extended, and wave 5 likely to be short again. If wave 1 is extended, then wave 3 and 5 are most likely not extended. If neither wave 1 nor wave 3 is extended, then wave 5 probably will be extended. If wave 3 is extremely long and overstretched, wave is 5 more in danger of being truncated. Balanced Proportions (“The Right Look”) : It is important that waves within a 5-wave or 3-wave sequence show reasonably balanced proportions to each other… not just in terms of size/magnitude (which can generally be verified by Fibonacci retracement and extension ratios), but also in terms of  time duration . This balancing can occur either via alternation and/or via equality. Consider the following as an example for ‘balance through alternation’ : an impulse is showing a classic deep and short-lived wave 2, plus a shallow but time-lengthy wave 4. The time-lengthiness of wave 4 is in balance with the depth of wave 2, while the shallowness of wave 4 is in balance with the short-lived nature of wave 2, thereby creating balance through alternation. The same need for balance applies for any motive waves within a 5-wave sequence (i.e. 1,3, and 5). The exception however will be the potentially extended wave within the sequence. It can/will be much larger in terms of magnitude and time than the other four waves, but the sub-waves (inside the extended wave) must show a balance to each other. The extended wave will also express relatedness to the other waves of the sequence by the angle of the overall price movement (that’s why impulsive motive waves travel quite neatly within parallel channel lines most of the time, even if one of the waves is extended). Consider the following as an example for ‘balance through equality AND alternation’ . Wave 1 and 5 of an impulse sequence are equal in size and duration (equality), while wave 3 is extended (alternation to waves 1 and 5). Alarm bells should be going off when a potential wave 4 is starting to grow out of proportion in terms of size and duration relative to the other waves of the same degree. It is dangerous to disregard the factor of balanced proportions during wave counting. Disproportionate and misshapen patterns should be seriously questioned. The ‘right look’ may not be evident at all degrees of trend simultaneously, so it is best to focus on the degrees that are the clearest.
XEducation
by ferGOD
10
Elliott Wave View: Further Downside in NetflixShort term Elliott Wave view suggests the rally to $299.5 in Netflix ($NFLX) ended wave 2. From there, the stock resumed lower and ended wave 3 at $252.03. Internal of wave 3 unfolded as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from $299.5, wave ((i)) ended at $287.45 and wave ((ii)) bounce ended at $293.81. The stock extends lower and ended wave ((iii)) at $261.89, wave ((iv)) bounce ended at $266.60, and wave ((v)) of 3 ended at $252.03. Wave 4 bounce i still in progress. Near term, while bounce stays below 299.54 expect Netflix to extend lower. We don’t like buying the stock.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
Bitcoin Correction Ahead Before Big Bullish WaveBitcoin have formed 5 waves up which signal that we have started a new direction in trend which is a bullish one. However I do expect a big correction to the downside to form a wave 2 before the big bullish wave continue. We are approaching a very strong supply/resistance area on the chart between $11,500-$13,500. Once the bearish correction start I can see it going all the way down to $5.800-$8,500 to complete a wave 2. After the completion of wave 2 I will look for Bitcoin to head higher to create new highs above $20,000
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by JjohnsonBeGreat
Elliott Wave View: Chesapeake Energy should See More DownsideElliott Wave view on Chesapeake Energy Corp (ticker symbol: CHK) suggests the rally to 2.17 ended wave (B). This suggests the stock has turned lower in wave (C) and can break below August 7 low (1.26). The stock however needs to break below 1.26 to confirm the bearish view and avoid a double correction in wave (B). Down from September 16, 2019 high (2.17), wave ((i)) ended at 1.92 and wave ((ii)) ended at 2.15. The stock then extends lower with separation in wave ((iii)) towards 1.58 and wave ((iv)) bounce ended at 1.68. Internal of wave ((iii)) subdivided into another impulse in lesser degree. Wave ((v)) is currently in progress and expected to complete soon. The 5 waves impulsive move lower should complete wave 1 in higher degree. The stock should then bounce in wave 2 to correct cycle from Sept 16 high (2.17) before the decline resumes. Bounce should find sellers in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside as far as pivot at 2.17 high stays intact.
C
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave View: Oil Outlook After Refinery AttackOil gapped up almost 20% early this week after the news that Saudi Arabia’s oil refineries got attacked by drones. It has since retraced after Saudi Arabia said they can restore most of the lost output within days. In the chart below, we label the rally to 63.39 as ending wave C of (X). It’s therefore part of an expanded Flat structure which started from June 5 low. The internal of wave C unfolded as a 5 waves impulse as an Expanded Flat is a 3-3-5 structure. Wave ((i)) of C ended at 58.76 as a diagonal, and pullback to 54 ended wave ((ii)) of C. It then gapped up higher to 63.34 and ended wave ((iii)) of C after the news. Wave ((iv)) of C pullback ended at 58.77 and wave ((v)) of C ended at 63.38. This rally also completed wave (X) in larger degree. Oil is now currently bouncing in wave ((ii)) to correct the decline from 63.43. Afterwards, as far as pivot at 63.43 high stays intact, it should extend lower at least 1 more leg lower.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast