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Elliottwaveretracement

Elliott Wave View: Impulsive Decline in NikkeiOur Elliott Wave view on Nikkei suggests the rally to May 4, 2019 high (22505) ended wave w. This ended cycle from December 26, 2018 low and the Index is in the process of at least doing a larger 3 waves pullback. Short Term, decline in Nikkei from May 4, 2019 high is unfolding as an Elliott Wave impulse structure. Down from 22505, wave 1 ended at 21935 and wave 2 ended at 22245. Wave 3 ended at 21080 low. Expect wave 4 bounce to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as wave 2 pivot at 22245 stays intact. Possible target for wave 4 is 23.6 – 38.2 retracement of wave 3 at 21539 – 21672. Alternatively, Index can end the entire 5 waves from May 4, 2019 high already. In this case, it should do a larger 3 waves bounce to correct the cycle from May 4 high before the decline resumes. We don’t like buying the Index and expect further downside in the Index to complete a 5 waves down.
NShort
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave View: Further Weakness in GBPJPYShort Term Elliott Wave view on GBPJPY suggests that further downside is expected. On the chart below, wave ((iii)) ended at 143.74 and wave ((iv)) bounce ended at 146.51. Pair has since broken to new low below 143.74, validating the downside bias. Internal of wave ((iv)) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure where wave (a) ended at 145.87, wave (b) ended at 144.78, and wave (c) ended at 146.5. Wave ((v)) is currently in progress as an Elliott Wave impulse structure. Down from 146.5, wave (i) ended at 144.96, wave (ii) ended at 145.37 and wave (iii) is still in process. Internal of wave (i) and (iii) also subdivided as an 5 waves Elliott Wave structure in a lesser degree. After ending wave (iii) we expect wave (iv) bounce to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swings for further downside. We don’t like buying the pair and as far as pivot at 146.5 peak stays intact it should continue lower.
Short
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave View Expecting AUDJPY to Extend LowerAUDJPY shows an incomplete Elliott Wave sequence from April 17, 2019 high, favoring more downside. The 100% target can reach as low as 75.7 – 76.3. In the chart below, the bounce to 78.94 ended wave 2. Wave 3 is currently unfolding as an Elliott Wave impulse with wave ((i)) of 3 ended at 76.77. The internal of wave ((i)) subdivided as another impulse structure of lesser degree. Wave (i) of ((i)) ended at 77.81 and wave (ii) of ((i)) ended at 78.18. Down from there, wave (iii) of ((i)) ended at 76.96, wave (iv) of ((i)) ended at 77.55, and wave (v) of ((i)) ended at 76.77. Wave ((ii)) ended at the blue box area (78.041). We don’t like buying the pair and like to stay short from the blue box area with a risk free position. As long as it stays below 78.041 peak it is expected to extend lower.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
LTCUSD EW Count with Pitchfork & Orderblocks LTC has been leading the market with small and shallow retracements since Jan 2019. What is that screaming? A wave 3 push. Forecast: Short Term: waiting for a retracement and complex wave 4 correction before pushing higher. Long Term, the completion of wave 5 which should take us to the 0.5 fib level (around 160) of the Y move before starting the Z of a WXYXZ (confirmation after breaking Dec 2018 lows) or push higher to break ATH. Trade Status: Neutral until support by the weekly order block is held and high is broken along with Pitchfork warning line.
COINBASE:LTCUSD
by tvlester
Elliot Wave View: Impulsive Decline in CADJPYShort Term Elliott Wave view in CADJPY calls the bounce to 84.37 on April 17, 2019 as wave 2. The pair is currently in wave 3 lower and the internal subdivides as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 84.37, wave (i) ended at 83.49, wave (ii) ended at 83.925, wave (iii) ended at 82.66, wave (iv) ended at 83.33, and wave (v) ended at 82.53. This 5 waves decline ended higher degree wave ((i)) of 3. Pair is currently in wave ((ii)) of 3 correction and the internal subdivides as a Flat Elliott Wave structure. A Flat is an ABC structure with subdivision of 3-3-5. Up from 82.53, we can see wave (a) ended at 83.2 and subdivides in 3 waves. Wave (b) ended at 82.59, and wave (c) ended at 83.35 peak. The blue box of 83.26 – 83.67 shows 100% – 161.8% fibonacci extension of wave (a)-(b) was the area where it was expected to end wave ((ii)). More importantly however, as far as the invalidation level of 83.35 stays intact, expect the bounce to fail and pair to extend lower.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave View: More Weakness in GDXElliott Wave view calls the decline in Gold Miners ETF (GDX) from March 27, 2019 high ($23.40) as an impulse structure. In the chart below, wave 2 of that impulse ended at $22.93. Down from there, wave 3 ended at $20.67 and wave 4 ended at $21.43. The miners still need to break below wave 3 at $20.67 to validate the view and avoid a double correction. The internal of wave 3 subdivides as an impulse Elliott Wave structure of lesser degree. Wave ((i)) of 3 ended at $21.89 and wave ((ii)) of 3 ended at $22.29. Down from there, wave ((iii)) of 3 ended at $20.71, wave ((iv)) of 3 ended at $20.97, and wave ((v)) of 3 ended at $20.67. Wave 4 bounce unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Wave ((a)) ended at $21.19, wave ((b)) ended at $20.76, and wave ((c)) of 4 ended at $21.43. Near term, while bounce stays below $21.43, and more importantly below $22.93, expect the miners to extend lower. Potential target to the downside for wave 5 is $19.6 – $20, which is where wave 1 = wave 5.
AMEX:GDXShort
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave View: AUDUSD Impulsive DeclineShort term Elliott Wave view in AUDUSD is calling the move lower from April 17, 2019 high (0.7206) as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. In the chart below, we can see rally to 0.7199 ended wave 2 bounce in Minor degree. Wave 3 is in progress and subdivides as an impulse in lesser Minute degree. Down from 0.7199, wave ((i)) ended at 0.7126 and bounce to 0.7139 ended wave ((ii)). Wave ((iii)) ended at 0.699 and while wave ((iv)) bounce fails below 0.714, expect further downside. Pair is also close to breaking below March 8 low at 0.6999. If pair breaks below the level, it will create a bearish sequence from January 31 high. Wave ((iv)) bounce can potentially reach 23.6 – 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of wave ((iii)) at 0.703 – 0.7054 before the next leg lower. Ideally, the rally should not go more than 50% retracement of wave ((iii)) at 0.707 or the structure can change again. The alternate view calls the move lower from April 17, 2019 high has ended. This is however seems less likely based on the momentum. We don’t like buying the pair and expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing.
Short
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
Elliott Wave View: Further Rally in Amazon (AMZN)Since bottoming on December 24, 2018 low, Amazon (ticker: AMZN) has continued to recover. The sequence from December 2018 low remains incomplete with 100% extension coming at $2033 – $2143. In shorter cycle, we can see from the chart below that the pullback to $1818.90 ended wave 2. Wave 3 is in progress and subdivides as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from $1818.90, rally to $1876.47 ended wave ((i)) with subdivision also as an impulse of lesser degree. Wave (i) of ((i)) ended at $1853.67, and wave (ii) of ((i)) ended at $1840.26. Wave (iii) of ((i)) ended at $1869.72, wave (iv) of ((i)) ended at $1852.50, and wave (v) of ((i)) ended at $1876.47. The stock then pullback in wave ((ii)) and ended at $1845.28. Internal of wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag where wave (a) ended at $1855.01, wave (b) ended at $1870.82, and wave (c) ended at $1845.28. Wave ((iii)) is in progress and Amazon can see 1 more leg higher to end wave ((iii)) before pulling back in wave ((iv)). Similar to wave ((i)), the internal of wave ((iii)) subdivides as an impulse structure in lesser degree. Wave (i) of ((iii)) ended at $1894.95, wave (ii) of ((iii)) ended at $1882.50, wave (iii) of ((iii))) ended at $1929.26, and wave (iv) of ((iii)) ended at $1916.59 and wave (v) of ((iii)) ended at $1933 peak. Below from there it is in wave ((iv)) pullback. The stock should continue to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as wave ((ii)) pivot at 1845.71 remains intact. We don’t like selling the stock.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Gold Wave Analysis Multiple Trading OpportunitiesGold is in the middle of a corrective structure. The structure is still forming and it is not yet clear if it is a variation of a Flat pattern or a zig zag. It is clear that price will make an initial sell off to retest the low of the A wave support, then it will either push to the blue box to finish the corrective structure forming a zig zag or it will push back up towards the resistance of the B wave to form a Flat pattern then push lower. After price reach the blue box I am looking for a very strong Impulse wave to finish the Bullish trend
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by JjohnsonBeGreat
Elliott Wave View: S&P 500 Futures Eyeing New All-Time HighShort term Elliott Wave view on S&P 500 Futures (ES_F) suggests that the rally from March 9, 2019 low (2726.50) is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. The Index is now within wave (3) which subdivides in 5 waves of lesser degree. In the chart below, we can see wave 3 of (3) ended at 2899.5 and wave 4 of (3) pullback ended at 2877.61. Short term, index ended wave (3) at 2921.5 peak. Subdivision of wave 5 is unfolded as a 5 waves impulse of lesser degree. Up from 2877.61, wave ((i)) ended at 2900 and wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 2885.25. Rally to 2914.75 ended wave ((iii)), and wave ((iv)) ended at 2900.50. Wave ((v)) of 5 ended at 2921.5. Currently, we are in the pullback in wave (4) to correct cycle from March 25, 2019 low before the rally resumes. The pullback in wave (4) is expected to stay above March 25, 2019 low (2790.25) for further upside. We don’t like selling the Index.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei Still Missing Wave 5Short Term Elliott Wave view on Nikkei Futures suggests the pullback to 20704 ended wave (2). The Index then resumed higher in wave (3) which ended at 21985. The internal of wave (3) subdivided as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 20704, wave 1 ended at 21415, wave 2 ended at 20985, wave 3 ended at 21765, wave 4 ended at 21490, and wave 5 of (3) ended at 21985. We can also see the internal of wave 1, 3, and 5 all subdivide as an impulse (5 waves) of lesser degree. This is an illustration of fractal within Elliott Wave where each wave consists of smaller waves and the pattern repeats indefinitely. Wave (4) dips appears complete after a 3 waves pullback ended at 21588+ blue box area. The internal of wave (4) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure where wave A ended at 21735, wave B ended at 21835, and wave C ended at 21565. At this stage, Nikkei still needs to break above wave (3) at 21985 to avoid a double correction in wave (4). While dips continue to stay above wave (2) low at 20704, expect Index to extend higher in wave (5). If bounce from the blue box fails to break above (3) high and it breaks the recent low, then structure of wave (4) should become a double three Elliott Wave structure and would be labelled as WXY. We would be able to define the next blue box area for a bounce if the bounce does fail and breaks the recent low.
NLong
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Elliott Wave View: Further Strength in FTSEElliott Wave view on FTSE calls the rally from February 28, 2019 low (7041) as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. An impulse is a 5 waves structure with wave 1, 3, and 5 all subdivide in 5 waves of lesser degree. Up from 7041 low, wave 1 ended at 7370.6 and wave 2 ended at 7146.29 and Wave 3 ended at 7477 peak. Up from 7146.29, wave ((i)) ended at 7222.64, wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 7160.14. Index resumes rally in wave ((iii)) at 7461.39, and wave ((iv)) ended at 7420.41 and wave ((v)) of wave 3 ended at 7477. Index should now pullback in wave 4 before the rally resumes in wave 5. Wave 4 should correct wave 3 rally from 7146.29 low. We don’t like selling the Index and expect buyers to appear to buy dips in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 7146.29 low stays intact.
TVC:UKXLong
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
Elliott Wave View: DJIA Futures (YM_F) Should Extend HigherShort term Elliott Wave view on Dow Jones Future (YM_F) suggests that rally from March 9, 2019 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. In the chart above, we can see wave (2) ended at 25448. Now wave (3) ended at around 26507. Up from 25448, wave 1 ended at 25823, wave 2 ended at 25744, wave 3 ended at 26289, and wave 4 ended at 26126 and wave 5 of (3) ended at 26507. Below from there it is in the wave (4) pullback before more upside afterwards should be seen. We don’t like selling the Index as the right side is to the upside against 25448 low.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Elliottwave-Forecast