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Elliottwaveretracement

$COIN COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS Observations indicate that NASDAQ:COIN is currently within the fifth wave of a broader wave C. Notably, yesterday saw a reversal from the 0.5 retracement level, signaling the completion of wave 4 and readiness for the forthcoming wave 5. It is customary for wave 1 and wave 5 to exhibit equality in length, a consequence of the extended wave 3. Anticipating this pattern, I project that wave 5 will reach the 3.618 extension, approximately at $315, thereby concluding both wave 5 and wave C in their entirety.
NASDAQ:COINLong
by thekidtrader11
3
Technical Analysis of GBP/USD - Bearish Crab PatternHello traders, I would like to do detailed technical analysis of GBP/USD currency pair and the potential presence of a bearish crab pattern. The bearish crab pattern is a harmonic chart pattern used by traders to identify potential reversal (correction) points in the market. Let's examine the key aspects of this pattern in GBP/USD, including the retracement levels and extension ratios. Bearish Crab Pattern Overview: The bearish crab pattern is a reversal pattern that typically forms after a strong bullish trend. It consists of four key points: XA, AB, BC, and CD. In the context of GBP/USD, the pattern has the following characteristics: 1. AB retraced XA by 0.598: The first part of the crab pattern is the AB leg, which retraced the XA leg by 0.598. This retracement level indicates a moderate pullback after a strong initial move. 2. BC retraced AB by 0.799: The BC leg of the pattern retraced the AB leg by 0.799. This level of retracement is deeper than the typical Fibonacci retracements, suggesting a more substantial correction. 3. CD is an extension of BC by 3.172: The CD leg is an extension of the BC leg by a ratio of 3.172. This means that the final leg of the pattern extends significantly beyond the BC leg. A 3.172 extension is a common feature of the bearish crab pattern and signals that the reversal is likely to be strong. 4. CD terminates at 1.24285: The CD leg terminates at the price level of 1.24285. This is a crucial point for traders, as it is where the pattern suggests a potential reversal in the GBP/USD pair. Technical Analysis and Implications: The presence of a bearish crab pattern in the GBP/USD currency pair with the described characteristics is a bearish signal. I will be considering the following implications: 1. Reversal Signal : The bearish crab pattern is a reversal/correction pattern, suggesting that the bullish trend in GBP/USD may be losing momentum, and a bearish trend could develop. 2. Resistance Level : The termination point of the CD leg at 1.24285 serves as a significant resistance level which emanated from the rejection of price on the 11th and 12th of October. Having seen a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern at this zone, we anticipate reversal around this price. 3. Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels : We are setting 1.24550 as our invalidation zone, while our potential profit areas are 1.22990 and 1.22400 respectively. 4. Confirmation : This pattern is further confirmed by our elliott wave count. The reversal point seems to coincide with the end of impulsive wave 3, confirming that the drop may be a wave 4 correction. And if wave 4, our target should not be big (maybe 1.23006) as the trend is bullish. Conclusion: The presence of a bearish crab pattern in the GBP/USD currency pair with the described characteristics suggests a potential reversal (correction) in the bullish trend. We have seen further confirmation using Elliott wave and price action analysis, but remember no trading idea is foolproof hence the need to manage risk properly. Cheers!!! Chart to EW Analysis:
Short
by Samuel124
🥇GOLD - Range resistance is the target Gold updates the high to 1874. Yesterday I pointed out the bullish pattern - the market is in the realization phase and gives us a 150pips rise, but we haven't reached the target yet TA on the high timeframe: 1) Strong bullish trend continues. Against the background of the crisis in the world, the interest in gold is only increasing 2) The medium-term target has not been reached yet. The growth will continue TA on the low timeframe: 1) A small pullback may follow before jumping to 1877.7. 2) After reaching 1877.7, I expect a false breakdown followed by a decline, most likely to the support of the mentioned range - 1857. 3) Short-term target is 1877, then 1857. And what will happen next, we will follow the price reaction to these zones. Key resistance📈: 1877.7 Key support📉: 1866, 1857
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
3
🥇GOLD - Price tends to move higher, but there's news ahead...Gold broke the strong resistance area of 1928.5 earlier, now the price is aiming for the next resistance ahead of the release of important news. TA on the high timeframe: 1) FOMC is not going to raise rates this time. I think the data release could have a big impact on metal pricing 2) In the long term, there is a chance that the price will start its decline, as the gold market is still under pressure from the negative fundamental background. TA on the low timeframe: 1) Price in the 1938 - 1928 range. The upper boundary has not been tested yet. Above 1938 a liquidity area has formed, which the market is interested in 2) Most likely the price can test both 1938 and 1948, but the FOMC and Federal Reserve data will determine further targets for both the dollar and gold. 3) It is difficult to decide the future direction in advance, so I recommend not trading before the news is released Key support📉: 1928 Key resistance📈: 1938
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AndeWave
16
GOLD → False breakdown and retest give mid-term targetsOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a signal that gives us insight into further medium-term potential. The market is trading within a descending price channel. Strong TVC:DXY continues to put pressure on the XAU price There is quite a lot of news published in the coming week. It is worth paying your attention to the following: 13.09: Core CPI CPI (MoM) & (YoY) 14.09: Core Retail Sales Initial Jobless Claims PPI On the global timeframe we see a broad sideways flat formation. At the moment there is a potential for a decline towards 1800 in the medium term, and even towards 1700 or 1600 in the long term - standard trading strategies determine the trading potential within the flat. On the daily timeframe we see a false breakdown of the descending channel resistance. After two bearish candles the market forms a shakeout and a retest of the trend resistance, but a new signal is formed - a candlestick pattern with a long candle, which is also a prerequisite for a red market. Local support level is 1915, in the first half of the trading week the market may test this area with a high probability of further breakout and realization of accumulated potential for further decline to the lower boundary of the channel or flat CAPITALCOM:GOLD VELOCITY:GOLD CAPITALCOM:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
16
💱GBPJPY - Price may form a bearish momentum GBPJPY forms potentially different signals on different timeframes. But there are localized preconditions that increase the chances for a fall. TA on the high timeframe: 1) Price failed to form an impulse after breaking through the resistance at 183.76. A consolidation with locally declining highs is forming. We see pressure from the sellers. 2) On H4, a kind of reversal pattern is forming in relation to the local resistance area. TA on the low timeframe: 1) The price has been in an ascending price channel for a long time. After the formation of a double top reversal set-up, the market forms an attempt to change the trend. 2) Price breaks the bullish channel support, a correction is formed and we see a strong consolidation forming over the last 24 hours. 3) If the price breaks the support at 184.74, we may see an impulse towards 183.00. 4) If the price returns to the boundaries of the ascending channel - the growth will continue. Key resistance📈: 185.59 Key support📉: 184.74
Short
by AndeWave
4
GOLD → The Bears continue to dominate. Ahead of CRS, RSOANDA:XAUUSD continues to update the lows. The price bounces from the local liquidity area of 1903 and forms a correction, making another attempt to retest the trend resistance The upper boundary of the descending channel does not let the price yet, most likely targets below the most important. Reports released today are: 1) Core Retail Sales (no data, the previous ones were bearish) 2) Retail Sales (expected to strengthen) After retesting the support, it is likely that the price may head up to retest the trend resistance, there is a possibility that the price may break the line and start to form a flat (consolidation) before moving further to one side or the other. A global bearish trend dominates the market. I still expect a retest of 1900 as a priority (a false breakout is possible) Moving averages act as resistance Support levels: 1905, 1903, 1900 Resistance levels: 1908.3, 1912.7 In priority, I expect the price to fall from the channel resistance to 1900 with the subsequent rebound and the formation of a flat on the background of the bear market. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
23
💱EURUSD - Retest of resistance zoneEURUSD is testing flat support. There is both the possibility of forming a false breakout, but in this case the previously broken trend resistance will be confirmed, and an attempted breakout, in which case the price will head down. TA on the high timeframe: 1) There is consolidation forming around 1.09526 and numerous retests. 2) Price is testing a strong support within the framework of correction 3) The price can both rebound and break the support. TA on the low timeframe: 1) Flat 1.1050 - 1.09526 is formed 2) In case of a false break of the flat support, the price may go to the upper boundary. 3) If the flat support is broken, the price will return to the downtrend boundaries, in this case the price will head towards 1.08000. Key support📉: 1.09289, 1.09526 Key resistance📈: 1.09997
by AndeWave
3
GOLD → The market is ready to continue its declineOANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a descending price channel. On Thursday a candlestick pattern is formed indicating the imbalance of forces in favor of sellers. This week is published quite a lot of interesting news. It is worth paying attention to: 15.08 1) Core Retail Sales (no data, the previous ones were bearish) 2) Retail Sales (expected to strengthen) 16.08 1) CPI (expected to decline) 2) FOMC Meeting Minutes 17.08 1) Initial Jobless Claims (no data, previous ones were bearish) 2) Fed MI In general, bad indicators for the dollar may strengthen the interest in gold, but again, we should not forget that news is a complex trading instrument. From a technical analysis perspective, gold is approaching the strong 1902-1900 liquidity area. Last week's session is closing very close to local lows, which can be interpreted as the market's willingness to continue to gain momentum for further declines. A strong bearish trend dominates the market. Local support: 1912.5, if this line is broken, an impulse to 1900 is possible, but a rebound should be expected from the mentioned support, most likely a rebound may follow during the news. Support levels: 1912, 1902, 1900 Resistance levels: 1915, 1920, 1935 Gold continues to decline, and most likely, from the opening of the new week the price may continue to fall, but in the second half there may be a rebound and local contrend strengthening. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
29
NZDUSD → A bearish wedge could lead to a rebound FX:NZDUSD is declining in the format of a bearish wedge. Within the pattern, the price may test the key support, but what to expect from the price further? The support level of 0.59939 is the lower boundary of the global flat. There are no signals to break the support now, a retest of the level is formed after 2 months, the liquidity area will not allow to break this level. After the breakout of the support of the wedge will be followed by a retest of the indicated support level 0.59939, but I do not expect a breakout of this support. With high probability a rebound from the support may follow and the price may form a bullish momentum to the 0.61330 area. The moving averages formed a bearish signal earlier, which has already worked out, at the moment the lines indicate a bearish trend. Support levels: 0.59939 Resistance levels: 0.60692 I expect a retest of the support followed by a bounce up to 0.60692 or 0.61330. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
BTCUSD → A logical correction will test a strong support area BITSTAMP:BTCUSD continues to form a global ascending price channel. The actual counter-trend correction at the moment does not indicate any change of trend, an adequate reaction to the strong resistance area formed back in 2021 is being formed. The price on the daily chart is forming a local support line 28850, a pre-breakdown consolidation and false breakdown is formed, there is no reaction in the form of a rebound, and the price continues to form a squeeze to the support. In the near future 28850 may be broken and the price will test 28450, a false breakdown is possible. Also within this correction the price may test the support of the ascending triangle and 200-day moving average. The price may technically decline in order to purchase the asset at more favorable prices. The cryptocurrency market emphasizes more on fundamentals than on technical analysis, it plays a secondary role in this partnership. Crypto players are waiting for some news to activate the movement in one direction or another. Interesting nuances recently: 1) Approval of the spot BTC-ETF will lead to billions of dollars of non-investment inflows into the market 2) The government has stepped up BTC protagging for June-July 3) Mainers collectively stopped selling and started accumulating BTC. Their reserves are growing 4) Minimal liquidity is accumulating strong consolidation. A surge in volumes may follow in the near future Strong support levels: 28850, 28450, figure support, MA-200 Strong resistance levels: 29650, 30575, figure resistance. This correction is a logical move in the market. The price can't grow all the time. I expect bullish activity after retesting the support area. Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
23
ETHUSD → Correction, after which growth to 2000 may be formedBITSTAMP:ETHUSD continues to form a bullish price channel, as evidenced by the MA-200, which accompanies the trend support. The price is forming a correction and breaking the support of 1846, thus marking the next target before further growth Ethereum is forming a global flat 2021 - 1700. Support 1728 plays an important role for us and there is a high probability that the price may test it in the near future. But we are primarily interested in the support of the ascending channel. The cryptocurrency market after active strengthening has moved to the correction format following bitcoin. There are no particularly key fundamental factors on this basis, as many nuances speak about the increasing interest in this market. The price is in a range and in our case we can apply a range trading strategy, which means that in an uptrend we need to look for strong support areas to open buy trades. Support levels: trend boundary, MA-200, 1775, 1728. Resistance levels: 1846, 2021 I expect the correction to continue to the support area of the uptrend, after the retest of which may be followed by a bullish impulse. Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by RLinda
13
GOLD → Friday's buyback. NonFarm in the coming week OANDA:XAUUSD after breaking the global trend support and attempting to change the trend is not in a hurry to fall yet, most likely the price is looking for confirmation of which way to go. Consolidation is forming which may confuse many. In the coming week there are quite important key reports: - ISM Manufacturing PMI (analysts expect a slight strengthening of the indicator) - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (may be followed by an improvement on the back of GDP growth) - Initial Jobless Claims (analysts expect deterioration of the indicator, last week the indicator was upgraded at the forecasted deterioration). - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (analysts expect a deterioration) - NonFarm Payrolls ! (Analysts expect it to worsen from 209K to 184K) - Unemployment Rate (unchanged) Against the backdrop of a rising GDP and a relative decline in inflation (unconfirmed), the indicators of the upcoming news may change relative to the expected data. If the expected data is confirmed, then the dollar may lose some ground and give a little room for gold to strengthen. From the technical analysis point of view: The price is in a sideways flat after the breakout of the global bullish channel. Everyone expected a sharp fall after breaking the support, but with the unstable fundamental background, gold is strengthening and forming a flat within 1983 - 1935. If we take a closer look, we can see a reversal set-up against the upper boundary of the range, which is a strong resistance, but on Friday gold buys back a 0.9% drop and once again questions the H&S set-up formed. At the moment the 1959.8 resistance plays a key role, the price forms a false break of the level but at the same time closes very close to this line, from the opening of the session a gap up could follow which would open the price above 1960. Since the price is flat and closed last session within the setup, the local strengthening may continue to 1980, and then we have to watch the price reaction to these levels. We should also pay attention to the fact that on the background of the news a strong bearish impulse was formed, which broke several supports and formed a correction to 1959.8. If this level is held by the sellers, the bears may send the price to 1948 for a retest (negative fundamental background is still present in the market). Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
23
BTCUSD → Price is forming a consolidation. Retest of 0.382 fiboBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is in the correction phase. The market is forming a decline in volatility to the lows of the last few months. Globally we still have an ascending price channel and a bullish trend. The price is declining to the limits of 0.382 fibo. Consolidation is formed above this line, in this case if the price continues to consolidate near 0.382 in the absence of a bounce, a breakout may follow and the price may decline to 28474 for a retest. A positive sign for us will be a rebound from 0.382 and a breakout of 0.236 with the subsequent consolidation of the price above the level, in this case the bulls will again begin to show potential and form a retest of resistance. The medium-term view of the situation tells us that this technical correction may continue, but not for long. The price is testing the important support area MA50 - 28474. In the long term it is worth paying attention to strong support levels, and secondly to the resistance, because in the uptrend it is worth looking for reversal points and entry points and breakout entry at these areas. Support levels: 0.382 fibo, 28474, 0.618 fibo Resistance levels: 0.236 fibo, 30575 I expect the correction to continue with a possible retest of 28474, but in the long term I expect continued growth to retest 30575 with a subsequent breakout and price movement to trend resistance. Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
29
GOLD → Re-test of support after a heavy fallOANDA:XAUUSD is falling. After the news press release on Wednesday and Thursday, the price fell by 2.27 and this is one of the biggest drops in the last few weeks. The opening of the session begins with consolidation and repeated retest of support The price is testing the support of 1948.16 and forms a small pullback and this is a fairly predictable reaction. The position in the market quickly turns over and sellers begin to dominate again. The market cannot form a deep pullback and forms a quick retest of support in 1948. This is a strong enough signal that the market is preparing for a continuation of the fall. I think that there may be an attempt to buy back part of the fall, in which case the price may strengthen until 1959, but I am not sure that this level will be broken. We monitor the reaction of the price to the specified levels. Moving averages do not provide clean data, because a struggle between participants is taking shape in the market. Support levels: 1948, 1933.9 (important level of 1939) Resistance levels: 1955, 1960 I expect a possible rebound and another support retest, which will only increase the potential for an approaching support breakthrough. Medium-term goal 1939-1927 Sincerely, R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
24
BTCUSD → Expected correction within consolidation BITSTAMP:BTCUSD forms a false breakdown of the key resistance after which the format of the movement passes into the correction phase. The price is consolidating between 0.236 and 0.382 fibo Paying attention to the chart we see the continuation of the ascending price channel formation. The price indicates a rather high interest on the part of buyers, as the price after long consolidations continues to strengthen and does not give deep corrections. A correction is forming within the new movement, which may reach 0.382 fibo in the near future. The rebound within the bullish trend can follow both from this level and from the level below - 28474. The trend at the moment is bullish, although recently the price has not reacted much on the hype around BTC-ETF, but the potential is still on the side of buyers. The hash rate continues to grow, glassnode in its reports claims that the price is coming out of the capitulation mode, SEC accepts applications of funds for spot BTC-ETFs for consideration - these nuances give some bullish prerequisites. Support levels: 0.382, 28474, 0.618. Resistance levels: 0.236, 30575 I expect the correction to continue, I don't think this movement will last long. Another retest of the nearest strong resistance will provoke a new impulse. In the medium term I expect a retest of 30575 and growth to 34000. Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
8
GOLD → Dollar allows gold to break trend support OANDA:XAUUSD is weakening while the dollar is starting to strengthen. The only fundamental factor affecting this is inflation, which the FOMC is still trying to combat XAUUSD is breaking uptrend support and forming a retest of flat support at 1959. There is a key liquidity zone below this boundary that could become interesting for the market, and price is likely to enter this zone on the backdrop of what is happening. If the price fails to reach this mark on a retest of 1959, a rebound will begin to form, which could reach one of the key areas of resistance before a further (possible) fall as part of a counter-trend correction. On D1, price is forming a false resistance breakout and on H1, an H&S is forming which hints at a possible decline. Within the flat market, 1935 level may be interesting (but it is not accurate). MA-50 is resistance and MA-200 is support, which may be tested in the near future Resistance levels: 1965, 0.236, 0.382 Fibo Support levels: 1959,8 I expect a correction to resistance for a possible retest, followed by a fall to flat support and the possibility of further declines. Regards, R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
21
GOLD → Correction after the LH update. Growth may continue OANDA:XAUUSD continues to execute active movements in the direction of price strengthening. This time the price is testing the resistance 1987.5, which indicates a high bullish potential and a strong trend The price is forming a correction after the impulse. In the zone of interest we have the level of 1981. The price is testing the support and if the market can hold this area, the price will head towards 1993 in the nearest future. A false breakdown scenario is possible and in this case the price will go to the support of 1970 before further growth. On the background of weakening dollar and news about weak inflation, the price of dollar is falling, which positively affects the price of gold. In the future, after fixing the price above 1981.7, such targets as 1993 and 2000. Support levels: 1978, 1970 Resistance levels: 1981.7 At the moment the key role is played by the level of 1981.7. The price may continue to test the area for a breakout in the near future, or make a rebound, but on the subsequent retest of 1981.7 the level may be broken and the price will show an impulse to 1993 Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
GOLD → A temporary respite after a high jump OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a bullish trend, indicating strong interest in the market. The strong rally is moving into a narrow consolidation, which may hint at certain implications Yesterday we saw a breakout of the local consolidation and a gorgeous 200 pips momentum. The price is testing the resistance at 1981.7 and forming a 110 pips wide fljt. Gold may test the support and start strengthening again or form a consolidation near 1981.8. At the moment, since there is a strong trend, we should consider either a rebound from 1970 or a breakout of 1981. The growth may continue and the price may test 1993 soon. The moving averages indicate a strong bullish trend. The daily timeframe is forming a candlestick that gives a prerequisite for a breakout of 1981 in the near future. Support levels: 1975, 1970 Resistance levels: 1981.8 I expect consolidation with the subsequent breakout of 1981.7. In the long term I expect growth to 1993 and 2000. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
28
NZDUSD → Long retest. High chance of a false breakdown FX:NZDUSD is forming a retest of the resistance at 0.63809. We seem to have a bullish trend after breaking the downtrend, but there is a high probability of a false breakdown and correction. On the daily timeframe the price approached a strong resistance area. A retest of the 0.63800 level, formed in early May, is being formed after quite a lot of time and a large pool of liquidity has been formed above this area, which can prevent the price from going up from the first time. The scenario is as follows: from the resistance 0.63800 may be followed by a decline either to 0.63050, or a pullback less and a quick retest of the resistance, which will form a pre-breakdown consolidation and break the level. Countertrend trades should be opened with reduced risk. In the medium term, the price may continue to strengthen on the background of a weak dollar. Support levels: 0.6305 Resistance levels: 0.63800, 0.6515. I expect a correction in the near future and a slight decline to 0.236 or 0.382 fibo followed by a retest of resistance and an attempt to breakout. Regards R. Linda!
by RLinda
13
GOLD → Active strengthening, retest of a previously broken lineOANDA:XAUUSD has been strengthening during the last two weeks. The signal for this was a false break of support 1907, formed back in March 2022. The price is approaching strong resistance and its growth is starting to slow down. What's next? Gold is strengthening towards the 1963-1965 area, with a key resistance line close by, which is the previously broken trend support. On Friday, gold draws a false break of one of the local resistances and forms a bearish candle. The session in the first half of the week could be bearish, but for now there are signs that the upside will continue. Although the Fed is still aggressive, but their policy is not considered as tough as before among traders, speculators and investors. The dollar has weakened quite a bit and continues to fall. The index has broken through a key support area and has entered a range within which it could fall to 95 and even 90, which would be a strong enough momentum for gold to strengthen further to 2000, 2050 and even 2100. There are several important news releases this week and it is worth paying attention to expectations and the general fundamental background before they are released, as harsh statements can have a strong impact on the price. From a technical analysis point of view, a strong resistance may be followed by a technical pullback before a further rise. Globally, the situation is neutral and looks even more bearish than bullish, but against the backdrop of the dollar may draw some conclusions. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
15
GOLD → Resistance breakout is directed towards a trend changeOANDA:XAUUSD is finally confirming a trend change. The price passes through a key liquidity area and forms a strong momentum. What's happening? Pay attention to the D1 chart below. The price is breaking the trend resistance. A rather interesting picture is developing in which gold is gaining upside potential towards 2000. The price is testing the resistance at 1959. Probably, the price can form a correction to the previously broken boundary and the chance for this is quite high. But with a strong consolidation of the price above the level of 1959, a bullish impulse to 1970 or even to 1981 will be formed. The Fed is talking about rate hikes and aggressive policy, but at the same time inflation is showing a green signal and is starting to weaken from 4% to 3%. Investors and analysts are not expecting a long-term complication of the situation, the dollar is likely to continue to weaken. The moving averages show a strong support area. There is strong resistance at 1967 ahead. It is worth paying attention to it. Resistance levels: 1959, 1970, 1981 Support levels: 1955, 1945, previously broken channel boundary. I expect consolidation relative to 1959. The market needs to decide on the potential. A correction is possible from the level, but if the bulls hold the area of the key level, the growth will continue. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25